I had to re-post this in order to attach the full charts files. Sorry.
Here is the Top 20 Of 2011:
# SONG - ARTIST - TOP20WKS-TOP10WKS-PEAK(WKS#1)
1) Glorious Day (Living He Loved Me) - Casting Crowns - 39-30-1(4) 2) Stronger - Mandisa - 28-20-1(5) 3) Blessings - Laura Story - 31-20-1(7) 4) You Are More - Tenth Avenue North - 34-22-1(3) 5) You Love Me Anyway - Sidewalk Prophets - 31-20-1(2) 6) The Way - Jeremy Camp - 33-24-1(3) 7) I Lift My Hands - Chris Tomlin - 29-25-1(1) 8) I Refuse - Josh Wilson - 33-12-4 9) Strong Enough - Matthew West - 30-24-3 10) Beautiful - MercyMe - 26-16-1(4) 11) Do Everything – Steven Curtis Chapman - 29-21-1(2) 12) I Will Follow - Chris Tomlin - 25-19-1(6) 13) Hold Me - Jamie Grace & tobyMac - 20-18-1(1) 14) Your Love - Brandon Heath - 25-15-1(1) 15) Move - MercyMe - 27-16-1(2) 16) You Great Name - Natalie Grant - 21-10-6 17) Hold On – tobyMac - 24-17-4 18) Someone Worth Dying For – Mikeschair - 22-10-7 19) Children Of God - Third Day & New Hope Academy’s Children Choir - 21-14-3 20) My Hope Is In You - Aaron Shust - 18-13-1(9)
Here are my predictions for the Top 20 as well as for numbers 21-25:
1) Glorious Day (Living He Loved Me) - Casting Crowns - 39-30-1(4)-540 2) The Way - Jeremy Camp - 33-24-1(3)-445 3) You Are More - Tenth Avenue North - 34-22-1(3)-429 4) I Lift My Hands - Chris Tomlin - 29-25-1(1)-403 5) Strong Enough - Matthew West - 30-24-3-400 6) Do Everything - Steven Curtis Chapman - 29-21-1(2)-399 7) Blessings - Laura Story - 31-20-1(7)-397 8) Stronger - Mandisa - 28-20-1(5)-384 9) You Love Me Anyway - Sidewalk Prophets - 31-20-1(2)-380 10) I Will Follow - Chris Tomlin - 25-19-1(6)-379 11) Beautiful - MercyMe - 26-16-1(4) 12) Move - MercyMe - 27-16-1(2)-353 13) Your Love - Brandon Heath - 25-15-1(1)-325 14) Hold Me - Jamie Grace & tobyMac - 20-18-1(1)-307 15) I Refuse - Josh Wilson - 33-12-4-292 16) Hold On - tobyMac - 24-17-4-286 17) My Hope Is In You - Aaron Shust - 18-13-1(9)-280 18) Children Of God - Third Day & New Hope Academy’s Children Choir - 21-14-3-244 19) Turn Around - Matt Maher - 17-11-3-219 20) This Is The Stuff - Francesca Battistelli - 17-13-5-219 … 21) Courageous - Casting Crowns - 15-10-2-214 22) Someone Worth Dying For - Mikeschair - 22-10-7-208 23) Your Great Name - Natalie Grant - 21-10-6-201 24) Trust In Jesus - Third Day - 19-11-6-197 25) Listen To The Sound - Building 429 - 18-10-5-188
This is without a doubt the worst year ever for my predictions. However, I find myself unable to complain because of the high-quality songs this year. This is also only the second time for what songs I wanted to fall off and what songs to jump on has happened. My point system used to be generally. In 2006, I had the top nine songs right and that year was very steady to my predictions. In 2009, I had nine songs right, including the top five, and the only major moves on the chart were in the bottom quarter. This year and last year though they must have done something different for my simple point system is failing me. I shall discuss that at the end and I will also talk about big moves, great songs, and weird chart action.
Like I said, what I wanted was for Someone Worth Dying For and Your Great Name to jump on and knock This Is The Stuff off. I think This Is The Stuff is excellent, so simple but something everyone, especially myself, should learn. However, I think those two manage to be better. I actually want This Is The Stuff on but with the situation that unfolded, I’d wished it gone. It’s strange though because it had 110 stations playing it in just four weeks and debuted so high and quickly but still dropped quickly. 7x70 did that as well. I don’t get it but OK so let’s move on. Unfortunately, I’m not gonna get Motion Of Mercy on the charts either apparently. Turn Around is OK and even fun bit it just isn’t something that deserves to be on. If it must though, it still has a good chance next year. I’ll discuss the other two songs I wanted on when we come to them. Looking at the other song, Listen To The Sound isn’t that great so I’d not want it on. I almost thought that Building 429 would have one on since so they were so unlucky to begin with a milestone song at four in 2004 and have had nothing since. I do want Where I Belong to succeed so let’s hope that can. Trust In Jesus is excellent but there are only two songs at the bottom I wanted gone and I could only pick two. I didn’t pick this one because as minute a chance it may be, it could still make it next year. Courageous is excellent but will likely spend another 25 weeks on the chart next year so I want it on that year. I hope it starts the year at number one. Children Of God, My Hope Is In You, and Hold On I all wanted on and the latter two were too far up for me to wish to fall off anyways.
My Hope Is In You starts at 20, falling back three. At this point I was extremely nervous about what may happen, if the songs I wanted on would be there and if the chart would be messed up. I kinda expected My Hope Is In You at 20 and so there it was. It did spend nine weeks at number one but it debuted too late to go any higher. Last year, Starry Night came in at only 18, even with nine weeks at number one. It did have more weeks and 70 more points than My Hope Is In You which moved all the way up to 10 on my predictions chart. So, that has to be strange seeing the song with the most time at number one in the year at 20. At least it made it. I like its simple message and posing points. At 19 is Children Of God, falling back only one. I was happy that this made it since it could have failed but was nervous it was gonna be Courageous which I did not want yet. There’s a lot of good Scripture in this song which is what makes it so great. I’m surprised though it didn’t do much better. I visit All Access for info on radio singles and this was one had hundreds of plays by dozens of stations picking it up. I thought it was gonna spend 3-something weeks on with time at one but it didn’t. Oh well, at least it made it. At 18 was when nervousness disappeared and my giddiness began as I heard Someone Worth Dying For jumped from 22 to 18 on the chart. This is excellent, exceptional song that really has a good perspective on the salvation message. We are worth dying for. I’m not gonna complain about the four-place move, which I would consider too big. I don’t get how this song debuts at 14, never gets past seven, takes forever to get there, and doesn’t even get enough points to make it on my predictions chart. There was a lot of behavior like that in the past. But I’m just not used to seeing it. At 17 is Hold On, falling back one. I think it’s a good song, better than tobyMac’s previous two. If it was any lower, I’d want Trust In Jesus to have replaced it. I don’t get though how it has the same number of points as City On Our Knees did in 2010 yet that song jumped to ten while this one fell back to seventeen. It’s ironic how both tobyMac songs got the same number of points and it’s lucky it made it since it spent 11 weeks in the lower ten before movin’ up. At 16 is when my giddiness reached its peak as Your Great Name comes in at 16. Like I Said, I’m not gonna complain that it jumped seven places. This is an excellent worship song with just many simple truths, great Scripture, and the many names of God heard in it. Natalie Grant’s just lucky ‘cause Perfect People did only slightly worse in 2009 and came in at 22 on my predictions chart but jumped to 16 as well. Unfortunately, my happiness began a downfall after this.
At 15 is Move, fallin’ back three places. I couldn’t care because I don’t like the song too much. It’s sloppy, generic, and too upbeat. Fun to listen to but it doesn’t deserve a spot on the year-end countdown. However, after hearing the first five songs, I found myself not carin’. Really, the only songs on here that I really can’t stand to be on here are this one and Your Love but it’s really all good. I just hope That MercyMe’s next album turn out better singles like some of those from the past. Also, I thought this song was gonna fail as it was movin’ slow at first and I was rooting for it. Unfortunately, it slowly but manageably moved ahead. At 14 is Your Love, switching places with Hold Me at 13. Your Love isn’t that great but it’s OK. It managed to pull off one week at number one, amidst the long run of I Will Follow, and held on tight at the end which was quite annoying. Move also pulled off just two weeks at number one that I forget to mention. Songs didn’t spend much time at number one this year because many were fighting for the top spot. We’ll look at that some more. It’s also sad that I didn’t like Your Love and it succeeded but I did like The Light In Me and it failed. That happens with other artists too like Matt Maher. Oh well. Hold Me had impressive run. A brand new artist that only 19 has her first radio single debut at 11, the highest debut since There Is A Way the first week of 2010. Of course, she does pull off one week at one and goes 4-3-6-7-9-13-gone. Only 20 weeks on but she just broken 300 points. Why do some songs do that? In 2009, several songs spent only about 20 weeks on and then just dropped off up high, most in the top ten, but still made it on the year-end countdown. Perfect People, God You Reign, Free To Be Me, Wait And See, and More Beautiful You all did this. You Found Me only had 14 weeks on and did this but was still on the year-end chart. It makes sense but songs did that back then. Now just a few here and there do it. Are we returnin’ to those old days? I Will Follow falls back just two places to twelve. I thought it tied with You Love Me Anyway but the latter turned out to have one more points. So, I Will Follow only fell back two places. I was a bit disappointed because Chris Tomlin usually releases songs that directly mention God. Nonetheless, it’s still a good song. It was also only the second of three songs to have more than five weeks at number one. It also tied with The Words I Would Say and Glory Defined for the highest jump to number. The former two songs did that though because they were that popular. This was only did that because of the weird chart action at this time of the year. When we got to 11 is when I really started to get upset. It was a preface of the big moves to come though I already knew of the one by I Refuse since I predicted it at 15. Do Everything, which turned out to not be tied either, falls back five from six. I was hopin’ it would be in the top ten since it be the first SCC song to do so since 2002 but it didn’t. A strange song that debuts at 20 only a month after released, falls off, recurs at 12, spends seven weeks there before finally movin’, and goes all the way to one. It is the first number one SCC song since 2003. It has a simple but profound message that we should all the seemingly trivial things in our lives to the glory of God. Just that testimony can bring about evangelism opportunities. I could certainly learn that and this song helped.
At 10 was Beautiful, movin’ up just one. That’s a good song, not as good as All Of Creation but still better than Move. It had a strange beginning ‘cause it moved fast, debuting 17-14-11 but was stuck at 11 for four weeks. It looked to succeed when it finally jumped from seven to two but it didn’t need to hold on that long, nor I Will Follow. At nine is Strong Enough, fallin’ back four places form five. That was an interesting song since it spent six weeks at the bottom before jumpin’ from 15 to ten and crawled all the way to three. Then, it spent around ten weeks at four and three. I thought it might hit number one but it didn’t. I wonder how long it’ll hold out next year. Matthew West’s songs though behave very strange. He had two consecutive number one years and nothin’ the year after. I’m disappointed My Own Little World failed but glad Strong Enough didn’t. Just inserting Philippians 4:13 in the center makes the song great and brings about the simple message. God is strong enough, we aren’t, and we need Christ’s strength to get through. I could apply that to my future evangelistic efforts. I may not necessarily be stronger than those who oppose Christianity but God certainly is and He will give the strength to overcome this world. At eight, is I Refuse, jumpin’ seven places from fifteen. Oh Josh Wilson is such lucky guy who just continues to defy the odds. Before The Morning managed to succeed despite its long delay in debuting and this one kept switching back and forth between its good and bad pulls. Eventually, the good pulls finished first, putting him far past where he should be. But should I complain? Absolutely not!!!! This is one of the greatest Christian songs I’ve ever heard and will be way, way up on my Top Songs Of 2011 chart. He tacks such a stab at evangelistic apathy that every Christian needs to learn. Josh Wilson is a Christian genius and I highly respect him. Not only does he right such great, deep, intellectual music but you can tell that he lives just the way a Christian should. I think I can put him up there as a role model next to MLKJ. There was something else I was gonna mention about that song but I forget. Oops. At seven is I Lift My Hands, fallin’ back three. I really can’t complain because the songs I predicted at seven to four were all in a six-point range. I Lift My Hands had 403 points and the song I predicted at seven, Blessings, had 397 points. That’s not too bad. That is a good song as well with simple truths that people need to hear. I hope How Great Is Our God (World Edition) does well too since that is another genius song. However, I’d also like to hear one more song from And If Our God Is For Us… if possible. I’m not sure what’ll happen. Also, it also only spent one week at one and drooped to four. Hold Me did the exact same thing and I was wonderin’ if any song was gonna hold on to one. That was interesting to see. Then at six is The Way fallin’ back four places. I was hopin’ it would be two to continute that 5-4-3 pattern from 2007-2008-2009 but it didn’t. It could be the next song to get 500 points. It was one of six songs, the others being Glorious Day, Stronger, Blessings, You Love Me Anyway, and You Are More, that I thought could be at number one if it just held out. But when it dropped, goin’ 1-2-6, I knew it wouldn’t be. Oh well. It is an excellent with great scripture and a message on the cross. Always a song like that is good in my thinkin’.
At five is You Love Me Anyway, jumpin’ from nine to five. Sidewalk Prophets is one of the luckiest new artist, except for the You Can Have Me mishap. The Words I Would Say set milestones and records and this jumped to five. It is a very good song that I’m underestimating I believe. God does love us, no matter what we do. I love how he manage to slip in the repentance bit as well. Many people emphasize God’s love without repentance. That’s not how it works. Sidewalk Prophets writes very good songs as well. At four is You Are More, a somewhat steady song in this chaotic movin’. It only falls one from three. It’s a good song. It’s also Tenth Avenue North’s first number one song. I thought By Your Side was but apparently it wasn’t. It still holds the record for the longest time on the chart and within a year. At three is Blessings, jumpin’ from seven to three. Now that I think about, all six songs I thought might be number one actually made up the top six though not all were to be there. Blessings is a good song with some simple truths. I still don’t get how it gets to three in five weeks, spend seven weeks at number one, but still drops so quickly. Oh well. One thing though is that she just released her next single, What A Savior. It has great lyrics but she made it louder than the song on her CD. Why she and other artists do that? I don’t if its necessarily bad but it makes me lose respect for artists when they do stuff like that. The version on her CD is great so why can’t she just put that out. Plus, she just released the only piano-solo song that I’ve heard on a year-end chart in recent years so why does she need to do this? Oh well. At two is Stronger, it’s great but I’ve never had a song jump from eight to two though. The top five is far, far steadier in past years but this year it’s just bad. Congratulations to Mandisa for her first single on a 20 TCM. She was on Lose My Soul but that was tobyMac’s song. Also, congratulations to Laura Story and Jamie Grace, our two new artists this year. Stronger is an excellent with a simple but profound message as well. I just like she mentions that God’s knows this will make you stronger. That is very good. And at one is Glorious Day, Casting Crown’s first number one song. They are basically the most popular Christian music artist out there but this is the first time they have been number one for the year on 20 TCM. I’m also glad such a great song made it at one. It’s a hymn that tells the life and plans of Jesus which are always good. I also like their attitude in saying they wanted to show people that hymns are still good. Let’s not forget that. It’s strange though how they can just be one though the rest of the chart is messed up. Of course, besides having the highest number of points, they did have the most time on the chart and in the top ten. I was hopin’ for forty weeks but Courageous apparently just knocked it off. Oh well.
Yes this is the worst year I’ve ever done with only one song right-on and nine songs far off. However, many good songs made it so I can’t complain. I can see how my point system is inaccurate. Only the songs on the top 20 get points but It think the whole chart goes down to at least 100. If I had the whole chart, I could give points to all of the song and that might help. However, I don’t know if I could access it. Is that possible? I think that’s the only way I can make point system more accurate unless they switch back to their original computin’ ways when my system was still accurate. The other thing too is that a song only gets a set amount of points at one position, say one for example. No matter what, only 20 points go to a song at number one. But in reality, a song at one during one week may have 25,000 plays but another week the number one song has 50,000 plays. There’s no way to account for that. Oh well. I just keep with my original point system for now until I may be able to revise. At least it gives a rough estimate of what songs you will see on the year-end countdown.
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