Zazie
5x Platinum Member
Joined: September 2003
Posts: 5,144
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Post by Zazie on Jun 12, 2005 14:44:27 GMT -5
Back to the topic of R&R's #1 song of 2005, as we reach the middle of June:
The AllAccess year-to-date spin totals has Craig Morgan ahead of Rascal Flatts BTBR by 113k to 109k, roughly. Those numbers look high -- is this the RR panel or the entire Mediabase panel being counted? If this is the RR panel, let's see how that 4k lead will fare as the year goes on. (If it isn't, Craig's lead might be a little less.)
1. Craig's outgaining RF by about 1,000 spins a week these days. Let's say he averages +800 for the next 6 weeks (while his song is still getting quite a bit of airplay) -- that gives him 5k more, for a lead of 9k.
2. RF might have a 10k or even 12k advantage from December 2004.
3. So the winner will be determined by the ground Craig does or doesn't make up from August-November -- can he pick up another 3 or 4 thousand spins. I imagine he can. His gains per week will decrease a lot, though. Depends on how his new song does -- RF can have multiple songs getting airplay, but I'm not sure Craig Morgan will get that kind of treatment.
We'll know a lot by Labor Day.
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