Billboard 2013 Full Year End Predictions

[Deleted]

can you give me the final prediction for the year end chart?

[Daniel Collins]

Nov 21, 2013 8:09:26 GMT -5 @billboardfan1 said:

can you give me the final prediction for the year end chart?

1 Thrift Shop 1,292,988
2 Blurred Lines 1,254,659
3 Harlem Shake 1,060,689
4 Radioactive 1,044,939
5 Can't Hold Us 862,300
6 Just Give Me A Reason 810,944
7 Locked Out of Heaven 807,600
8 Mirrors 806,329
9 When I Was Your Man 802,909
10 Ho Hey 771,662
11 Roar 763,956
12 Cruise 746,556
13 Get Lucky 723,011
14 I Knew You Were Trouble 696,083
15 Stay 694,967
16 Royals 694,094
17 We Can't Stop 614,039
18 Wrecking Ball 604,511
19 Suit & Tie 572,008
20 Wake Me Up 570,758
21 Scream & Shout 551,550
22 Holy Grail 548,456
23 Diamonds 512,265
24 Cups 493,002
25 Don't You Worry Child 461,516
26 Safe & Sound 432,171
27 I Love It 432,077
28 Started Form The Bottom 428,572
29 Treasure 428,261
30 Clarity 427,920
31 Hold On Were Going home 425,078
32 Beauty And A Beat 421,098
33 Come & Get It 418,183
34 The Way 413,400
35 One More Night 410,300
36 Sail 401,500
37 Applause 392,856
38 Home 389,300
39 Feel This Moment 364,020
40 Summertime Sadness 349,094
41 Daylight 344,566
42 Love Me (lil) 335,944
43 Die Young 335,169
44 Fuckin' Problems 327,783
45 Girl on Fire 321,300
46 Same Love 320,730
47 Some Nights 317,550
48 Gangnam Style 317,400
49 MSKWYDITD 316,600
50 Sweet Nothing 315,420
51 Try 307,300
52 It's Time 307,000
53 I Cry 306,800
54 Heart Attack 296,378
55 Power Trip 294,320
56 Love Somebody 293,600
57 Demons 274,072
58 I Will Wait 272,000
59 Wagon Wheel 266,750
60 I Need Your Love 256,650
61 Counting Stars 256,467
62 Bad 246,670
63 Boys Round Here 245,450
64 Gone,Gone,Gone 242,645
65 Berzerk 229,833
66 Little Talks 223,900
67 Let Me Love You 217,500
68 The Other Side 216,950
69 Catch My Breath 214,800
70 The Fox 212,666
71 The A Team 204,400
72 Crash My Party 202,900
73 Swimming Pools 199,100
74 That's My Kind Of Night 193,800
75 Best Song Ever 191,936
76 Pour It Up 186,650
77 22 185,850
78 I Want Crazy 185,450
79 Adorn 181,500
80 Carry On 180,840
81 #Beautiful 177,830
82 Highway Don't Care 173,750
83 It Goes Like This 173,410
84 Hall of Fame 172,200
85 Body Party 166,400
86 Sure Be Cool If You Did 163,450
87 Let her Go 162,930
88 Wanted 161,800
89 Still Into You 161,720
90 UOENO 160,850
91 Don't Stop The Party 159,600
92 Troublemaker 159,260
93 Brave 155,970
94 I'm Different 152,290
95 Mamas Broken Heart 151,830
96 Crooked Smile 150,050
97 Runnin' Outta Moonlight 149,430
98 Clique 149,300
99 Next To Me 149,050
100 Love More 148,350

[surreallife]

I think "Royals" could sneak into the 11-15 range based on its' high on demand streaming totals (on-demand streams are double the weight of passive streaming), and I would not be surprised if "Sail" manages to make the top 25, but the top10 looks pretty accurate.

I have been trying to work out the HOT100 formula based on the September 7th, 14th and November 30th charts (BB was more detailed than usual in providing data for the top 2 songs for those weeks), but with no luck. I am pretty sure the airplay and sales weightings were changed as well as the weights for streaming, when YouTube views were added. A few weeks ago BB revealed that a Justin Bieber song had derived 91% of its' points from sales and 9% from streaming (YouTube views of video). The song had sold 127,000 downloads and had 507,000 streams. Using that data the sales weighting is 40 times the passive streaming weighting (it used to be 25x).

[josh]

Here's the prediction with my formula. Adding in extra points for "Harlem Shake" and "Blurred Lines" being so massive when they were #1 puts "Blurred Lines" at #1 and "Harlem Shake" at #11. (It was 3.5 the points of "Thrift Shop" for 2 weeks, 2x for 2 weeks, and only ~1.25x for 1 week.) Note that "Thrift Shop" was already quite a big #1, so "Harlem Shake" could sneak into the top 10 and not surprise me.

I do want to say that my formula seems to give too much weight to extra weeks, so songs that charted a long time in the lower regions of the chart get boosted too high. (I've compared to old Hot 100 year-end charts) I'm just too lazy to have tried messing with the formula yet.

ETA: Also note that the points are not Hot 100 points at all. They're just the random formula I came up with. I just put them there so you could see how close songs were to each other.

Rank	Song	Artist	WOC	Peak	Points
1	Thrift Shop	Macklemore & Ryan Lewis feat. Wanz	43	1	780733.9417
2	Blurred Lines	Robin Thicke feat. T.I. and Pharrell	31	1	731073.2094
3	Radioactive	Imagine Dragons	53	3	706623.85
4	Can't Hold Us	Macklemore & Ryan Lewis feat. Ray Dalton	39	1	606137.7051
5	Locked Out of Heaven	Bruno Mars	30	1	583428.7463
6	Mirrors	Justin Timberlake	40	2	542717.4883
7	Just Give Me a Reason	Pink feat. Nate Ruess	36	1	541423.0214
8	When I Was Your Man	Bruno Mars	35	1	523779.645
9	Get Lucky	Daft Punk feat. Pharrell Williams	29	2	516222.8452
10	Ho Hey	The Lumineers	39	3	512399.6396
11	Cruise	Florida Georgia Line feat. Nelly	41	4	488388.6605
12	Stay	Rihanna feat. Mikky Ekko	32	3	477142.4144
13	I Knew You Were Trouble.	Taylor Swift	32	2	458222.2079
14	We Can't Stop	Miley Cyrus	24	2	449249.8425
15	Roar	Katy Perry	15	1	438015.6862
16	Royals	Lorde	20	1	422688.6864
17	Holy Grail	Jay-Z feat. Justin Timberlake	19	4	391859.9152
18	Diamonds	Rihanna	19	1	383384.6607
19	Suit & Tie	Justin Timberlake feat. Jay-Z	26	3	377650.8905
20	Scream & Shout	will.i.am feat. Britney Spears	24	3	373089.8129
21	Wake Me Up	Avicii	21	4	362862.3241
22	Wrecking Ball	Miley Cyrus	13	1	324413.7084
23	Harlem Shake	Baauer	20	1	319145.4223
24	Cups (When I'm Gone)	Anna Kendrick	44	6	292260.1923
25	Treasure	Bruno Mars	23	5	286601.6594
26	Don't You Worry Child	Swedish House Mafia feat. John Martin	25	6	286583.9887
27	One More Night	Maroon 5	21	2	275771.7518
28	Started from the Bottom	Drake	22	6	272587.8953
29	Hold On, We're Going Home	Drake feat. Majid Jordan	15	4	271600.3388
30	Safe and Sound	Capital Cities	29	8	269550.8123
31	I Love It	Icona Pop feat. Charli XCX	29	7	268834.13
32	Beauty and a Beat	Justin Bieber feat. Nicki Minaj	19	5	266778.2289
33	Applause	Lady Gaga	14	4	265195.0439
34	Come & Get It	Selena Gomez	22	6	264059.3551
35	Clarity	Zedd feat. Foxes	33	8	254318.1256
36	The Way	Ariana Grande feat. Mac Miller	26	9	244449.3492
37	Die Young	Ke$ha	15	2	243499.8115
38	Home	Phillip Phillips	20	6	243224.5087
39	Feel This Moment	Pitbull feat. Christina Aguilera	24	8	226085.5902
40	Summertime Sadness	Lana Del Rey and Cedric Gervais	19	6	215065.0104
41	Daylight	Maroon 5	25	7	202423.3635
42	I Cry	Flo Rida	14	6	199052.8937
43	Love Me	Lil Wayne feat. Drake and Future	22	9	197520.0468
44	Same Love	Macklemore & Ryan Lewis feat. Mary Dalton	30	11	195665.7755
45	Some Nights	fun.	18	5	195230.8886
46	Girl On Fire	Alicia Keys feat. Nicki Minaj	20	11	194637.9685
47	f**kin' Problems	A$AP Rocky feat. Drake, 2 Chainz, and Kendrick Lamar	25	8	182606.007
48	Heart Attack	Demi Lovato	20	10	182061.5929
49	Gangnam Style	Psy	21	5	177930.7996
50	Try	P!nk	21	9	176504.4936
51	Sail	AWOLNATION	43	17	174872.9179
52	My Songs Know What You Did In the Dark (Light Em Up)	Fall Out Boy	26	13	171352.3777
53	Sweet Nothing	Calvin Harris feat. Florence Welch	26	10	170861.2032
54	Love Somebody	Maroon 5	21	10	166207.7865
55	It's Time	Imagine Dragons	24	15	155679.8632
56	Demons	Imagine Dragons	30	7	150528.7517
57	Berzerk	Eminem	12	3	148954.1555
58	Power Trip	J. Cole feat. Miguel	29	19	141516.7547
59	Counting Stars	OneRepublic	22	6	139274.9601
60	The Fox	Ylvis	11	6	134211.1845
61	Wagon Wheel	Darius Rucker	26	15	133476.3178
62	Boys 'Round Here	Blake Shelton feat. Pistol Annies and Friends	21	12	131353.901
63	Let Me Love You (Until You Learn to Love Yourself)	Ne-Yo	13	6	128335.1243
64	I Need Your Love	Calvin Harris feat. Ellie Goulding	25	16	126569.3708
65	I Will Wait	Mumford and Sons	25	12	126440.662
66	Best Song Ever	One Direction	17	2	111253.7738
67	That's My Kind of Night	Luke Bryan	14	15	108019.7217
68	Gone, Gone, Gone	Phillip Phillips	30	24	104396.9212
69	The Other Side	Jason Derulo	21	18	104137.7933
70	Bad	Wale feat. Tiara Thomas or Rihanna	26	21	103176.7025
71	The A Team	Ed Sheeran	15	16	103087.4711
72	#Beautiful	Mariah Carey feat. Miguel	16	15	99093.24788
73	Swimming Pools (Drank)	Kendrick Lamar	16	17	96439.68381
74	Catch My Breath	Kelly Clarkson	21	19	95392.08049
75	Little Talks	Of Monsters and Men	22	20	93843.20382
76	23	Mike Will Made It feat. Miley Cyrus, Wiz Khalifa, and Juicy J	9	11	90269.28992
77	Pour It Up	Rihanna	20	19	88582.20754
78	Crash My Party	Luke Bryan	21	18	87004.46128
79	Let Her Go	Passenger	16	11	85193.28872
80	I Want Crazy	Hunter Hayes	20	19	83031.5696
81	Carry On	fun.	20	20	82547.8635
82	22	Taylor Swift	19	20	82274.45662
83	Adorn	Miguel	18	17	81073.27664
84	The Monster	Eminem feat. Rihanna	3	2	78363.52441
85	Highway Don't Care	Tim McGraw feat. Taylor Swift and Keith Urban	20	22	77169.73245
86	We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together	Taylor Swift	10	9	76710.37791
87	Gentleman	Psy	15	5	75818.88886
88	It Goes Like This	Thomas Rhett	22	25	74692.4829
89	Too Close	Alex Clare	11	11	74636.63202
90	#thatPOWER	will.i.am feat. Justin Bieber	16	17	73466.73705
91	Clique	Kanye West, Jay-Z, and Big Sean	12	15	71621.7451
92	Don't Stop the Party	Pitbull feat. TJR	16	17	70844.97657
93	Still Into You	Paramore	19	24	69745.20787
94	U.O.E.N.O.	Rock feat. Future and Rick Ross	20	20	69597.58864
95	Sure Be Cool If You Did	Blake Shelton	20	24	69110.35239
96	Body Party	Ciara	20	22	69046.64793
97	Hall of Fame	The Script feat. will.i.am	18	25	67668.83539
98	Brave	Sara Bareilles	23	27	67271.85704
99	Mama's Broken Heart	Miranda Lambert	20	20	66705.96865
100	Troublemaker	Olly Murs feat. Flo Rida	20	25	66632.16725

[Deleted]

Here is my prediction
I did some research to come up with this list
also I am new to the site so hello
I hope my list is somewhat close to the real chart

Top 50 songs of the year prediction

1. Thrift shop
2. Blurred lines
3. Radioactive
4. Just give me a reason
5. Can't hold us
6. Harlem shake
7. Mirrors
8. Cruise
9. Locked out of heaven
10. Get lucky
11. When I was your man
12. Roar
13. I knew you were trouble
14 We can't stop
15. Ho hey
16. Stay
17. Royals
18. Wrecking ball
19. Scream and shout
20. Suit and tie
21. Holy grail
22. Wake me up
23. Diamonds
24. Cups
25. Safe and sound
26. Don't you worry child
27. Sail
28. Started from the bottom
29. Clarity
30. I love it
31. Come and get it
32. Treasure
33. One more night
34. The way
35. Hold on we're going home
36. Beauty and a beat
37. Feel this moment
38. Summertime sadness
39. Applause
40. Home
41. Die young
42. Daylight
43. Love me
44. Same love
45. Girl on fire
46. Some nights
47. Gangnam style
48. Love somebody
49. Heart attack
50. Sweet nothing

I was too lazy to put 100
I will get some criticism and that's ok
Things I think I will get criticized on
1. Harlem shake at #6
2. Sail at #27
3. The top 10 in general
4. No formula
5. Not putting all top 100 songs
6. leaving certain songs out
7. Putting songs too high/too low
8. Everything else

[Daniel Collins]

Nov 21, 2013 10:30:45 GMT -5 surreallife said:

I think "Royals" could sneak into the 11-15 range based on its' high on demand streaming totals (on-demand streams are double the weight of passive streaming), and I would not be surprised if "Sail" manages to make the top 25, but the top10 looks pretty accurate.

I have been trying to work out the HOT100 formula based on the September 7th, 14th and November 30th charts (BB was more detailed than usual in providing data for the top 2 songs for those weeks), but with no luck. I am pretty sure the airplay and sales weightings were changed as well as the weights for streaming, when YouTube views were added. A few weeks ago BB revealed that a Justin Bieber song had derived 91% of its' points from sales and 9% from streaming (YouTube views of video). The song had sold 127,000 downloads and had 507,000 streams. Using that data the sales weighting is 40 times the passive streaming weighting (it used to be 25x).

They gave more info in this article:
www.billboard.com/articles/columns/chart-beat/5740625/ask-billboard-how-does-the-hot-100-work

With Miley Cyrus at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 with "Wrecking Ball," a song with some of the greatest buzz for a video in quite a while, it seems like a good time for a refresher on how the Hot 100 is tabulated, doesn't it?

As we wrote in January when YouTube data was added to the Hot 100's equation: "Generally speaking, our Hot 100 formula targets a ratio of sales (35-45%), airplay (30-40%) and streaming (20-30%)."

Of course, that's an overall target for 100 songs each week. That mark can change week-to-week. This week, though, the Hot 100 breaks down in line with the formula's intent: sales, 39%; airplay, 34%; and, streaming, 27%.

And, week-to-week, some songs show largely along those percentages, while others skew noticeably toward any of the chart's three metrics.

Let's look at a few, starting with "Wrecking Ball."

This week, points for the Hot 100's leader stem 50% from streaming, 43% from sales and just 7% from radio airplay. No surprise: the song drew a whopping 14.3 million U.S. streams in the chart's tracking week, according to Nielsen BDS. (The No. 2-streamed song, Katy Perry's "Roar," garnered 7.3 million.) "Ball" ranks at No. 3 on Digital Songs with 301,000 downloads sold, according to Nielsen SoundScan. Conversely, as airplay for "Ball" is just beginning, its low Hot 100 points percentage reflects its No. 31 spot on Radio Songs (via 38 million all-format audience impressions, according to BDS).

Last week, which reflected the first week of streaming following the song's video premiere, the Hot 100 ratio for "Ball" was even more streaming-driven: 64%, streaming; 34%, sales; 2%, airplay. The cut's monster 36.5 million U.S. streams in the chart's tracking period produced the high percentage.


Perry's new digital single "Dark Horse," featuring Juicy J, meanwhile, has been released as a teaser track from her album "Prism," due Oct. 22. It's not being promoted to radio and has no official videoclip. Thus, as it debuts on the Hot 100 at No. 17, an almost monopolizing 99% of its points are from sales; it sold 194,000 downloads in its opening week, good for a No. 4 start on the Digital Songs chart.

The more established "Roar" (No. 2 on the Hot 100), which has been promoted to radio for close to two months and has been accepted at mainstream and adult top 40 and adult contemporary, lines up much closer to the Hot 100's average ratio: 43%, sales; 31%, airplay; 26%, streaming. It's No. 1 on Radio Songs (159 million) and No. 2 on Digital Songs (301,000) and Streaming Songs (7.3 million).

Another hit, like Cyrus', due mostly to streaming, and even more so? Ylvis' novelty track "The Fox," which makes tracks running 25-13 as the Hot 100's top Streaming Gainer this week. With it at No. 3 on Streaming Songs (7.1 million), 75% of its Hot 100 points are from streams. Almost the rest of its sum is from sales; it debuts at No. 22 on Digital Songs with 60,000 in its first week. The song sports almost no airplay, although that could change now that Warner Bros. has begun promoting it to pop radio.

And, a song driven largely by airplay? Maroon 5's "Love Somebody," at No. 26 after peaking at No. 10, shows 67% of its points thanks to radio, with 19% from sales and 13% from streaming. As a fourth single from an album that's been available for a year, it's logical that sales and streaming lag behind the song's activity at radio, with the band a consistent presence at pop and adult formats long after the buzz of an album release. It ranks at No. 11 on Radio Songs and No. 59 on Digital Songs (while ranking just inside the 100 most streamed songs of the week)


...
For the second week of 'Wrecking Ball' atop:
14.3M = 50%
301,000 = 43%
38M = 7%

40 streams = 1 sale = 750 airplay seems to work for the other examples but I'm still confused with how the On-Demand streams affect the charts ,is it added to the Streaming Songs chart ? Streaming = On-Demand + Youtube ?

[surreallife]

Streaming is made up of on-demand and passive streams. So the 14.3M streams in the above example include on-demand streams. On-demand streams have double the weighting of passive streams. Billboard has not been forthcoming on how it treats YouTube views, but my guess it is considered passive streaming. The best weeks to try and figure out the HOT 100 formula are those weeks in which BB breaksdown both the on-demand and passive streaming #s for the top 2 songs. September 7th and 14th are good candidates. Unfortunately since BB may have also tweaked the sales and airplay weightings when YouTube views were introduced, it is still very difficult to come up with the correct formula.

[Daniel Collins]

^Are the breakdown of On-Demand and passive streams still important if BB is giving the totals already?

[surreallife]

Dec 2, 2013 12:59:17 GMT -5 Daniel Collins said:

^Are the breakdown of On-Demand and passive streams still important if BB is giving the totals already?

Yes because on-demand counts 2x more than passive streaming. Each song is unique in terms of on-demand vs. passive streaming.  For example, "Royals" split was about 30-40% on-demand vs. passive which helped keep it at #1 for 9 weeks.  Miley Cyrus's songs have a tendency to be much more heavily weighted towards YouTube streaming, same with OneDirection.  And then there are the YouTube viral smashes such as "Harlem Shake" and "The Fox".  Only a small % of their total streams came from on-demand subscription services.

[Deleted]

The chart comes out in a few hours
Lets see how close your prediction was

[Daniel Collins]

My Prediction- Title - Actual Position
1 Thrift Shop ✔
2 Blurred Lines ✔
3 Harlem Shake (4)
4 Radioactive (3)
5 Can't Hold Us ✔
6 Just Give Me A Reason (7)
7 Locked Out of Heaven (11)
8 Mirrors (6)
9 When I Was Your Man (8)
10 Ho Hey (12)
11 Roar (10)
12 Cruise (9)
13 Get Lucky (14)
14 I Knew You Were Trouble (16)
15 Stay (13)
16 Royals (15)
17 We Can't Stop ✔
18 Wrecking Ball ✔
19 Suit & Tie (20)
20 Wake Me Up (19)
21 Scream & Shout (23)
22 Holy Grail (22)
23 Diamonds (27)
24 Cups (21)
25 Don't You Worry Child (26)
26 Safe & Sound (29)
27 I Love It (28)
28 Started Form The Bottom (32)
29 Treasure (30)
30 Clarity (24)
31 Hold On Were Going Home (34)
32 Beauty And A Beat (42)
33 Come & Get It ✔
34 The Way (31)
35 One More Night (38)
36 Sail (25)
37 Applause ✔
38 Home (46)
39 Feel This Moment (36)
40 Summertime Sadness (45)
41 Daylight (35)
42 Love Me (39)
43 Die Young (57)
44 f**kin' Problems (41)
45 Girl on Fire (49)
46 Same Love (43)
47 Some Nights (58)
48 Gangnam Style (55)
49 MSKWYDITD (40)
50 Sweet Nothing (44)
51 Try (53)
52 It's Time (47)
53 I Cry (64)
54 Heart Attack (50)
55 Power Trip (48)
56 Love Somebody (51)
57 Demons (62)
58 I Will Wait (52)
59 Wagon Wheel (54)
60 I Need Your Love (56)
61 Counting Stars (63)
62 Bad (59)
63 Boys Round Here (60)
64 Gone,Gone,Gone (61)
65 Berzerk (67)
66 Little Talks (65)
67 Let Me Love You (86)
68 The Other Side (66)
69 Catch My Breath (68)
70 The Fox (73)
71 The A Team (75)
72 Crash My Party (69)
73 Swimming Pools (79)
74 That's My Kind Of Night (78)
75 Best Song Ever (74)
76 Pour It Up (70)
77 22 (71)
78 I Want Crazy (72)
79 Adorn (84)
80 Carry On (76)
81 #Beautiful ✔
82 Highway Don't Care (77)
83 It Goes Like This (90)
84 Hall of Fame (85)
85 Body Party (83)
86 Sure Be Cool If You Did (80)
87 Let her Go (97)
88 Wanted (92)
89 Still Into You (100)
90 UOENO (87)
91 Don't Stop The Party (none)
92 Troublemaker (82)
93 Brave (96)
94 I'm Different (99)
95 Mamas Broken Heart (89)
96 Crooked Smile (none)
97 Runnin' Outta Moonlight (98)
98 Clique (none)
99 Next To Me (88)
100 Love More (none)


I got the top 5 songs right (just switched #3 and #4) , 6 to 12 is also the same songs (just mixed up) same for 13-16. 17-20 as well with only 19 & 20 switching.

[surreallife]

Well I did manage to get the top 5 songs right, and I placed 3 other songs in the top 10, just not in the right order. Totally missed "Mirrors" and I did not think that "Roar" would squeeze into the top 10. I thought it would be around 12 or 13. The year-end top 100 confirms my suspicions, that the overall point totals increased with the introduction of YouTube views on March 2nd. How else to explain "Locked Out Of Heaven" placing at #11?

[josh]

LOOH being so low is really bad. I thought they gave old weeks multipliers so the points would be about the same?

[surreallife]

Dec 13, 2013 16:36:41 GMT -5 josh said:

LOOH being so low is really bad. I thought they gave old weeks multipliers so the points would be about the same?

Basically BB was consistent with other year's in which they changed the formula during the chart year (2005, 2007, 2012).  The year-end placement is based on the actual points a song had per week. In 2007 "Stronger" by Kanye West placed at #27 despite finishing #7 in digital sales. It had the misfortune of being popular after the weighting of digital downloads was changed from 5:1 to 10:1 in August 2007. If BB had not changed the formula until the start of the 2008 chart year in December 2007, "Stronger" would have placed much higher in the year-end rankings.

BB changed the HOT100 formula once again on December 7th, 2013, but at least that is at the start of the 2014 chart year, so every song should be on an equal footing (unless they change the formula once again). 

[josh]

That's so stupid. Not representative at all. Glad this most recent change was at the beginning of the year.

[Kris]

LOOH being low makes perfect sense to me since it spent weeks on the chart before the 2013 chart year.

[josh]

Dec 14, 2013 11:32:55 GMT -5 Kris said:

LOOH being low makes perfect sense to me since it spent weeks on the chart before the 2013 chart year.

2012 chart year:
6 weeks
34 33 15 7 7 6

2013 chart year:
30 weeks
4 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 7 9 9 10 13 14 19 19 24 30 32 31 31 37 44 46 49

Definitely deserved higher.