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Post by Tylerjamesnerd on Feb 1, 2014 23:30:52 GMT -5
I know im a little late to the predictions but here it is!
1 Kacey musgraves will surge in 2014
2 miranda lambert will have the biggest year in music she has ever had.
3 Jana, dustin, will have a top 5 hit again with their lead single and then followed by a top 10!
4 Maggie rose will have a top 15 with "looking back now" with that finishing her era
5 carrie undrwood will come back in summer with a lead single that will slay the charts all the way to number one!
6 blakes success with slowly decrease
7 sugerland will make a new album and put it out by the end of 2014
8 cassadee pope and Danielle will hit a brick on the charts and wont hit top 30 again till their coming albums!
9 hunter hays wont make top 20 with "invisible" because its not that great of a song!
10 I hope we stop seeing new males hog the charts oh and old males hog the charts too!
11 2014 will be a good year for females!
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14887fan
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Joined: November 2013
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Post by 14887fan on Nov 1, 2014 17:44:43 GMT -5
Since the last of the big Country music news (CMAs) is this week (+ Grammy noms in Dec, but w/e) and the bulk of the genre's beef having now come and gone, I figured I'd bump this thread so we can all read the predictions we made and laugh (or cry) at how accurate/inaccurate they came out to be. 1. David Nail will become the breakout artist of 2013, and deservingly so. 2. Little Big Town's next album will spawn another #1 lead single and a Top 10 follow-up. They'll continue their reign as Vocal Group of the Year at both the ACMs and the CMAs. 3. The Band Perry will achieve another crossover hit, alike to "If I Die Young." 4. Kellie Pickler will achieve a Top 20 hit with "Bonnie and Clyde," the evident breakout smash of her career. 5. Carrie Underwood will be silent... Nope, nope, nope, nope, nope... 5. ...and still manage a Female Vocalist of the Year nomination at the CMAs. Oh, and her and Brad will co-host (as if there was ever any other option). 6. Martina McBride will re-enter the Female Vocalist races with an obligatory nomination at the shows, but still won't see the Top 10 with a magnifying glass for any radio release. Her covers album will eclipse the Top 7. Miranda Lambert's fifth release will be her first release to top the Billboard 200 and will see her biggest opening sales week to date. She'll score a #1 and a Top 5 hit, but not two #1s in a row. Yes, yes, yes! 8. Taylor Swift will release her fifth album and sell slightly below 1 million but still make an impressive debut. Not sure what sound will come of this album, but seeing as she went Pop/dubstep with Red and still managed to get the CMA Pinnacle Award this year, I have a feeling she'll take a bit too much advantage of her always having Country as her original home and alienate some hardcore fans of hers. She'll still sell out stadiums, though, so does it really matter anyways? 9. Luke Bryan will release one too many radio terrors and get "1994"'d (yes, I'm making this a verb -- thanks, Aldean!). Speaking of... 10. Jason Aldean will have a quiet year with one collaborative release that scrapes the Top 10. And back to 3 more "no"s. I suck at this game. 1. There will be a legitimate cheating scandal within the realms of the genre. 2. "Duck Dynasty" crashes and burns and the entire gimmick of a show will be dead and gone. The Robertsons will return to hiding in swamps without cameras following them around. Trace Adkins? The hype is dead, the ratings are shit, and they're hanging on by a thread. Here's hoping someone takes some heavy duty pliers to that thread and obliterates their empire soon. lol 3. Florida Georgia Line will run out of steam and collapse. And then lose their record deal. And then never get picked up by anyone ever again. And go get a desk job somewhere. And wear shirts with sleeves. And wash their hair so it doesn't look so greasy. 4. Married and then pregnant 3 weeks later? In that case, Kelly Clarkson will be pregnant with her second baby at around Christmas time because she just doesn't seem to ever want to waste time after one milestone in her life. Speaking of which... 5. Kelly Clarkson will release a Country album that will A) piss off her Pop fans, B) make a decent dent in Country music, C) get critical acclaim, and D) become her lowest-selling album to date. Nope x3 6. There will be a major divorce between a couple in the genre -- perhaps in relation to prediction #1 on this list. Trace Adkins! 7. Blake Shelton's #1 streak will break and he'll realize that he actually has to make -- wait for it -- DECENT music to keep his credibility in tact (even though he's sold his soul to that messfest that is The Voice). Almost -- has "Neon Light" peaked? I know it's sold like crap. 8. Danielle Bradbery will see virtually no career lift despite having a (corny and mediocre) song represent the 2014 Winter Olympics. Sorry, but that song is no "Home" by Phillip Phillips. Okay, so this wasn't much of a bold prediction, but I'm still right and I'm losing this game, so I'm taking the point. :bert: 9. Lady Antebellum will go on hiatus after their tour. lol, or they'll rush release a brand new album that pales in comparison to how good Golden was and get a #1 lead-off hit out of it. Oops. 10. Eric Church will become the male diva of the genre, a la Justin Bieber and Pop music (only not to such an immature extent), leading to a slow 2014 for him. I really suck at this game.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 1, 2014 18:39:28 GMT -5
Since the last of the big Country music news (CMAs) is this week (+ Grammy noms in Dec, but w/e) and the bulk of the genre's beef having now come and gone, I figured I'd bump this thread so we can all read the predictions we made and laugh (or cry) at how accurate/inaccurate they came out to be. 1. David Nail will become the breakout artist of 2013, and deservingly so. 2. Little Big Town's next album will spawn another #1 lead single and a Top 10 follow-up. They'll continue their reign as Vocal Group of the Year at both the ACMs and the CMAs. 3. The Band Perry will achieve another crossover hit, alike to "If I Die Young." 4. Kellie Pickler will achieve a Top 20 hit with "Bonnie and Clyde," the evident breakout smash of her career. 5. Carrie Underwood will be silent... Nope, nope, nope, nope, nope... 5. ...and still manage a Female Vocalist of the Year nomination at the CMAs. Oh, and her and Brad will co-host (as if there was ever any other option). 6. Martina McBride will re-enter the Female Vocalist races with an obligatory nomination at the shows, but still won't see the Top 10 with a magnifying glass for any radio release. Her covers album will eclipse the Top 7. Miranda Lambert's fifth release will be her first release to top the Billboard 200 and will see her biggest opening sales week to date. She'll score a #1 and a Top 5 hit, but not two #1s in a row. Yes, yes, yes! 8. Taylor Swift will release her fifth album and sell slightly below 1 million but still make an impressive debut. Not sure what sound will come of this album, but seeing as she went Pop/dubstep with Red and still managed to get the CMA Pinnacle Award this year, I have a feeling she'll take a bit too much advantage of her always having Country as her original home and alienate some hardcore fans of hers. She'll still sell out stadiums, though, so does it really matter anyways? 9. Luke Bryan will release one too many radio terrors and get "1994"'d (yes, I'm making this a verb -- thanks, Aldean!). Speaking of... 10. Jason Aldean will have a quiet year with one collaborative release that scrapes the Top 10. And back to 3 more "no"s. I suck at this game. 1. There will be a legitimate cheating scandal within the realms of the genre. 2. "Duck Dynasty" crashes and burns and the entire gimmick of a show will be dead and gone. The Robertsons will return to hiding in swamps without cameras following them around. Trace Adkins? The hype is dead, the ratings are s**t, and they're hanging on by a thread. Here's hoping someone takes some heavy duty pliers to that thread and obliterates their empire soon. lol 3. Florida Georgia Line will run out of steam and collapse. And then lose their record deal. And then never get picked up by anyone ever again. And go get a desk job somewhere. And wear shirts with sleeves. And wash their hair so it doesn't look so greasy. 4. Married and then pregnant 3 weeks later? In that case, Kelly Clarkson will be pregnant with her second baby at around Christmas time because she just doesn't seem to ever want to waste time after one milestone in her life. Speaking of which... 5. Kelly Clarkson will release a Country album that will A) piss off her Pop fans, B) make a decent dent in Country music, C) get critical acclaim, and D) become her lowest-selling album to date. Nope x3 6. There will be a major divorce between a couple in the genre -- perhaps in relation to prediction #1 on this list. Trace Adkins! 7. Blake Shelton's #1 streak will break and he'll realize that he actually has to make -- wait for it -- DECENT music to keep his credibility in tact (even though he's sold his soul to that messfest that is The Voice). Almost -- has "Neon Light" peaked? I know it's sold like crap. 8. Danielle Bradbery will see virtually no career lift despite having a (corny and mediocre) song represent the 2014 Winter Olympics. Sorry, but that song is no "Home" by Phillip Phillips. Okay, so this wasn't much of a bold prediction, but I'm still right and I'm losing this game, so I'm taking the point. :bert: 9. Lady Antebellum will go on hiatus after their tour. lol, or they'll rush release a brand new album that pales in comparison to how good Golden was and get a #1 lead-off hit out of it. Oops. 10. Eric Church will become the male diva of the genre, a la Justin Bieber and Pop music (only not to such an immature extent), leading to a slow 2014 for him. I really suck at this game. God, I WISH that prediction about FGL had come true lmao. I don't see Kelie ever having a mainstream hit again, and she seems fine with that. Eric Church has always had that "love him or hate him" attitude and music, but I think his fanbase/critical acclaim is enough to sustain his career. Poor LBT; every single time they take one step forward success-wise, it seems like they take two steps back. Their career trajectory is one of the strangest ever.
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Markus Meyer
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Post by Markus Meyer on Nov 1, 2014 19:13:50 GMT -5
Predictions: FGL will go with a more serious approach with their sophomore album and will remain dominant with that as well. Kind of?Garth Brooks' comeback will be wildly successful. Not from a radio standpoint, but yes.Dallas Smith, Chase Rice, Charlie Worsham, Joel Crouse and The Swon Brothers will all break out. Smith has done nothing in America, Worsham has done nothing, Crouse hasn't had success TSB had a top 15 and Rice had a top 5 so I guess I was half right.Jake Owen will become an A-List artist. Almost, but not quite.Joe Nichols will become a consistent hitmaker. Yup.ETA Taylor Swift will go nearly full time pop. Yes.Bro-country will start to fade. Yes.Jason Aldean will start to lean more pop-country than country-rock. Kind of. "Burnin' It Down" was pop, but his album was vintage Aldean rock.Brad Paisley will return to his older style with a new lead single. Yes.Luke Bryan will become the biggest star of the genre. Yes.Kacey will continue to bring in critical acclaim, and score a top-5 hit. Unfortunately, no top 5 for Kacey.TBP will become the next superstar group. Seems like they only lost momentum.Brantley Gilbert will hit the top of the charts, followed by 2 top-10's. Only one top 10, not two, but yes.Cole Swindell's follow up will the top-20, and dissapear after that. Not the case apparently.Thomas Rhett and Brett Eldredge will continue to establish themselves as stars. Yes.Autumn Hill will sign with an American record label. No.David Nail will get back-to-back #1's. Doesn't look like it.
I'm thinking a few consistent hitmakers will return to form after slipups in 2013. Specifically Josh Turner, Rodney Atkins and Dierks Bentley. Hell yeah for Dierks, Josh and Rodney, not so much.Me thinks 2014 will be somewhat of a redemption year for the genre. I mean, there won't be traditional country dominating radio, but I think lyrical substance will make a marginal comeback. This wave of "Bottoms Up", "Drink to That All Night" and "Get Me Some Of That" will be more or less the final wave of bro. Somewhat.I could also see Canadian artists making the cross to American. Such as Autumn Hill, Tim Hicks, Chad Brownlee, etc. Not really.
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zjames
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Post by zjames on Nov 1, 2014 21:00:36 GMT -5
2014 Predictions:
1. Jake Owen will not score a #1 off Days of Gold. No. 2. Taylor Swift's next album is more country than Red. No. 3. Charlie Worsham, Cole Swindell, and Dan + Shay break out No, Yes, and Sort Of. 4. Kenny Chesney's lead single from his new album goes Top 10, but his next singles miss the Top 20. Yes (but that wasn't bold at all), and No. 5. See You Tonight goes #1 and establishes Scotty McCreery's presence at country radio. No. 6. Joe Nichols scores one or two more hits off Crickets. Yes. 7. Eric Church gets two consecutive number ones after The Outsiders. No. 8. Brad Paisley gets two Top 5 hits. No, unless "Perfect Storm hits Top 5 before the year ends. 9. Zac Brown Band's next album will stray from their established country sound. We'll see. 10. Kip Moore gets three #1s off his new album. I don't know what I was thinking here. 11. Blake Shelton's number one streak ends. No. 12. Garth Brooks' tour becomes the most successful country tour of all time, The Call goes #1. We'll see, and No.
Wishful Thinking:
1. Bourbon in Kentucky is re-released, becomes a Top 10 hit and garners award consideration. No. 2. FGL releases This Is How We Roll, which gets shunned by country radio and leads to their demise. No. 3. Chris Stapleton breaks out. sigh No.
I'm definitely more knowledgeable about country music now than I was last year, so my predictions for 2015 will be A LOT better.
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Post by drummerman2009 on Nov 1, 2014 23:46:15 GMT -5
I know im a little late to the predictions but here it is! 1 Kacey musgraves will surge in 2014 2 miranda lambert will have the biggest year in music she has ever had. 3 Jana, dustin, will have a top 5 hit again with their lead single and then followed by a top 10! 4 Maggie rose will have a top 15 with "looking back now" with that finishing her era 5 carrie undrwood will come back in summer with a lead single that will slay the charts all the way to number one! 6 blakes success with slowly decrease 7 sugerland will make a new album and put it out by the end of 2014 8 cassadee pope and Danielle will hit a brick on the charts and wont hit top 30 again till their coming albums! 9 hunter hays wont make top 20 with "invisible" because its not that great of a song! 10 I hope we stop seeing new males hog the charts oh and old males hog the charts too! 11 2014 will be a good year for females! 1. No 2. Kind of yes but not in terms like she did with "The House That Built Me" 3. No, Yes and No 4. No 5. Yes but in the fall and SITW will go #1 by the end of the year. 6. No 7. No 8. Yes 9. No but you were close (#19) 10. No 11. No
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 2, 2014 7:21:27 GMT -5
Predictions... 1. Garth Brooks will make waves with his first single, most likely making it to at the least the top 5. His second single will make it into the top 15, and subsequent singles may struggle. Sorry, I just see it that way. 2. FGL, will continue to hit with Bro-Country. 3. Taylor will stray farther from country and will still be recognized within the genre's award shows, Carrie on the other hand will continue to be successful in country music and will still be snubbed for Entertainer of the Year. 4. Bro-Country will still be the leading form of music in the genre, but it may start to fade. 5. Luke Bryan will continue to dominate, and be the top artist of the year. 6. By year's end I think we will see a fifth album from Miranda, and Carrie. Also, Tim McGraw will put out another mediocre album and score #1 hits. 7. Toby Keith will probably put out bro-country, but probably will not be successful with it, while George Strait continues to decline, but he may still score one top 20 hit. 8. Reba may announce a new album, but she too will most likely have limited success. 9. Women will still struggle on the charts, with the exception of the obvious prominent women. 10. There will be between 27 and 32 number one hits. 1. Not really, no. 2. Yes, "Dirt" strayed "Sun Daze"...well... 3. Yes, not so much with the awards, and yes to Carrie. 4. Yes 5. Yes 6. Yes, if you consider a greatest hits her fifth. Not sure on Tim's #1s, haven't paid attention to him. 7. Generally yes. 8. Yes and we'll see about success. 9. Yes 10. Not sure.
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Post by drummerman2009 on Nov 2, 2014 9:28:15 GMT -5
Predictions: 1. Dottie West, Ronnie Milsap, The Judds and Johnny Horton are all inducted into the Country Music Hall of Fame. 2. George Strait ends his 32 year run of Top 10 hits. 3. Sugarland breaks up as does The Dixie Chicks. 4. Believe it or not, Brooks and Dunn will reunite. 5. Parmalee and The Eli Young Band go on tour together. 6. Lady Antebellum struggles with their singles in 2014. 7. Toby Keith sells his interest in Show Dog Nashville as his career is fading fast away. 8. Parmalee becomes the surprise group with at least 2 more #1's from Feels Like Carolina and winning Best New Artist 9. The Band Perry and Jake Owen becomes less popular. 10. Taylor Swift does something in the vein of Miley Cyrus and Lady Gaga that will shock everyone. 11. Garth Brooks' singles will struggle with airplay while his tours will definitely set records. 12. Little Big Town comes back to #1 in a big way with a lead single from their new album. 13. Florida Georgia Line will release an album that will be full of ballads and less of the summertime stuff and will remain very popular. 14. Billy Currington becomes a headlining act. 15. The Eli Young Band will release their new album in early spring with a cover of Kings of Leon's Supersoaker as their next single after Drunk Last Night. 16. Zac Brown Band will not win Vocal Group of the Year. 17. RFD-TV drops all country music from their lineup. 18. Dan + Shay becomes a one-hit wonder. 19. Jerrod Niemann's "Drink To That All Night" takes 55 weeks to go #1. 20. George Strait's son Bubba releases his first album. 21. Jason Aldean and his former wife reunite and remarry. 22. Rodney Atkins becomes a father again. 23. Blake Shelton and Miranda Lambert announce that they're expecting a baby. 24. Brad Paisley releases a Greatest Hits album which lead single brings him back to #1 again. 25. Randy Travis recovers from his stroke and performs for the first time at the 2014 CMA Awards. 26. Kenny Rogers and Dolly Parton's "You Can't Make Old Friends" wins a Grammy and is re-released to country radio resulting in the song going Top 20. 27. Zac Brown Band and The Foo Fighters tour together. This will cause Luke Bryan to call Zac a hypocrite for him saying that his song "That's My Kind of Night" was too rock for country. 28. Luke Bryan gets involved when a statement about ZBB and TFF touring together results in a controversy (see #27 prediction) 29. Eric Church's singles will struggle to get radio airplay after a couple more singles from his new album does better than The Outsiders but doesn't put him back in the Top 10. An image change will result from this as he will look like a heavy metal singer. 30. An electronically produced duet with Ray Price and Blake Shelton is released and makes Top 40. 31. The new American Idol winner will be a country singer. 32. Luke Bryan's "Drink A Beer" wins Single and Song of the Year at both the ACM's and CMA's. 33. An album containing George Jones songs with other artists as electronically created duets is released (think about Jim Reeves and Deborah Allen). 34. Jason Aldean's band releases their own album. 35. An attempt to revive Hee Haw is planned. 1. Ronnie Milsap was inducted. 2. Yes 3. Jury is still out with Sugarland and Dixie Chicks 4. No 5. No 6. No 7. No to first one, career coming back with "Drunk Americans" 8. Carolina went #1, waiting on "Close Your Eyes" 9. No 10. No but her switching to pop wasn't a surprise to everyone 11. Yes 12. "Day Drinking" may do it 13. Yes both ballad wise and summer song wise 14. No 15. No 16. Yes 17. No 18. Jury still out 19. No did go #1 however 20. No 21. No 22. No 23. No 24. No 25. No 26. No 27. No 28. No 29. Yes ("Cold One") and No ("Give Me Back My Hometown", "Talladega") and No to the image change 30. No 31. No 32. No 33. No 34. No 35. No
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Post by 43dudleyvillas on Nov 2, 2014 10:02:30 GMT -5
Predictions: 35. An attempt to revive Hee Haw is planned. 35. No You know about this, right? Seems to me that it should count in favor of your prediction. I'm going to hold off on evaluating my predictions for a few weeks, because some of them refer to events that could still happen (or are still to be determined) this year.
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Post by drummerman2009 on Nov 2, 2014 10:55:09 GMT -5
You know about this, right? Seems to me that it should count in favor of your prediction. I'm going to hold off on evaluating my predictions for a few weeks, because some of them refer to events that could still happen (or are still to be determined) this year. I wasn't aware of that but I was talking about a TV revival rather than a Broadway revival of Hee Haw so at least part of it has come true.
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sabre14
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Vince Gill & the Muppets make everything better
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Post by sabre14 on Nov 29, 2014 1:14:36 GMT -5
2014 Predictions: 1. Cole Swindell will score a top 15 hit with his second single, but that will be all. 2. Dan + Shay will score another hit single with "Stop, Drop Roll", or "Show You Off", and cause a discussion for how pop is too much pop for country radio. 3. Luke will win ACM Entertainer for the second straight year and notch two more #1's ("Roller Coaster", "Play It Again") 4. Taylor Swift will only score one top 20 country single and focus more on the AC/Pop charts. 5. Craig Morgan will get back into the top 20, but it wont be with "Wake Uo Lovin You". ("We'll Come Back Around") 6. Eric Paslay, Dustin Lynch, and Jana Kramer will not have any single reach top 30. 7. "Yeah" will go #1 for Joe Nichols 8. Scott Borchetta will open a strictly Rock division of Big Machine Label Group. 9. Shania Twain will make a return by the end of 2014 with a full new studio album and release a single that will go top 20. 10. "Slip On By" from Austin Webb will go on a 40 week chart run and peak somewhere between 16 and 21. 1. No 2. Kinda 3. Almost 4. Half right 5. No 6. No 7. Yeah, I got this one right ( no pun intended) ;) 8. Almost 9. No, what else is new. Remind me not to predict this for 2015. 10. Did I mention how frustrated I am with country radio?
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someguy
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Post by someguy on Nov 29, 2014 1:45:15 GMT -5
2013 Observations: 1. Overall, I'd say this was a real year of transition. A lot of reliable hitmakers of the past had noticeably slower years at radio, either by underperforming (Kenny Chesney, Brad Paisley, George Strait, Alan Jackson, Faith Hill, LeAnn Rimes, Dierks Bentley, Toby Keith, Taylor Swift - but that's most likely for different reasons), or just by not being present at all (Reba McEntire, Martina McBride, Rascal Flatts). I think this was really a year of the genre redefining itself, and unfortunately, I just don't really like where it seems to be headed. 2. Women continue to be underplayed and under-represented. Even the big female 'breakthrough' artist barely scraped the top 10. I'm hopeful that will change (see predictions/wishful thinking below), but I don't know. This drought has been going on for way too long. Even the only women to top the Billboard chart this year (Taylor & Miranda) did so with a collaboration with a male artist. 3. Despite crossover sounds, country acts aren't having hits cross over to other formats. "Cruise" is the obvious exception, but even that needed a remix with a rapper to get played on pop radio. Taylor released separate singles to the formats, although "Red" could have easily been released to pop, and "Everything Has Changed" could have gone to country. Despite having poppy sounds, The Band Perry, Luke Bryan, Hunter Hayes, Keith Urban, etc. haven't tried to send anything to pop, which I found a little strange. 4. Enough with trucks, being redneck, being countrier than someone else, generic pickup lines, and partying all the time songs. I actually have liked some of the songs that are really disliked here ("Boys Round Here" and "That's My Kind Of Night" for example), but country needs a year-long break from songs with these subject matters. I really don't know if I've ever seen a worse, more generic year end top 10 than the Billboard Airplay year end chart. There are a couple of songs I like there, but for the most part, I think one look at it sums up what's wrong with the genre right now. 2014 Predictions: 1. This will be the year of the comeback. Garth Brooks, Trisha Yearwood and Reba McEntire will all score at least one major hit this year. 2. "Female Vocalist of the Year" will look like the 90s again, with both Trisha and Reba scoring nominations. Someone other than the current 'big three' will win it. 3. Sugarland will officially announce their break up. Jennifer Nettles will score a string of hits, though likely not with "That Girl". 4. Nothing from Love Is Everything makes the top 40, but George Strait will release a new lead single and it will peak in the top 20 by the end of the year. 5. Kelly Clarkson and Sheryl Crow each score a solo top 10. Kelly releases a country album that gets embraced by the country music community. She talks of releasing a pop album, but only the country album gets released. 6. Someone unexpected will die young. 7. Carrie Underwood takes the year off to start a family. 8. Luke Bryan will win Male Vocalist at the CMAs, but lose Entertainer to a veteran again (Garth this time). 9. For at least one week, there will be more females in the top 10 than males. 10. Florida Georgia Line become the first artist to score 6 #1s from one album. Since one of the #1s will come from one of the new songs on the re-release, Pulse will heatedly debate the legitimacy of this 'record' all year, which will result in at least one banning and one 'boardaciding'. 1. Nope - Reba didn't try, and both Garth and Trisha underperformed :'( 2. Nope - Miranda kept her streak alive, and Reba and Trisha didn't get nominated 3. They didn't officially announce it, though I still feel it's coming. Jennifer didn't have even one hit though :'( 4. Nope. One final single from Love Is Everything hit the top 20, but no mention of a new single. 5. Both Kelly and Sheryl had quiet years. 6. No, thankfully. 7. I'll give myself that. She's pregnant, and a Miranda feature and a greatest hits is pretty close to the year off. 8. Luke lost Male Vocalist, but won Entertainer. 9. Not even close :'( 10. They went 5 for 5 (on Mediabase), but didn't release a sixth single. I didn't do well at this at all
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Post by Deleted on Nov 29, 2014 23:55:45 GMT -5
"This Is How We Roll" did actually end up with a #2 peak on both Billboard and Mediabase charts so no airplay record was broken. (Although Zac Brown Band still holds the record for nine career-starting #1 singles on Mediabase so FGL wouldn't have broken a record with a Mediabase-only #1 anyway.)
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vamp111
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Post by vamp111 on Dec 18, 2014 0:39:50 GMT -5
A lot of interesting predictions! Let me try...(some of these may be wishful thinking also) 1. Garth Brooks makes a huge comeback and begins the shift away from frat-country, country-rap, etc. in country radio. 2. More and more country stars speak out on the current state of country music, sparking a traditional country movement. 3. Carrie Underwood gets pregnant and takes part of the year off. 4. Cassadee Pope will get a top 10 single with WATT then her 2nd single will barely make the top 40, and won't get any other singles off of her album after that. 5. Raelynn will be quietly dropped. 6. Taylor Swift will become primarily a pop artist and will continue to be less associated with country music. 7. The Blake/Miranda love fest will finally cool down. 8. Dan + Shay will be huge breakthrough artists 9. Scotty McCreery's See You Tonight will finally hit the top 10(and will peak around the top 5-7 range), and his 2nd single off of the album will be his first number 1 hit. 10. Danielle Bradbury's 2nd single will barely make a dent. 11. Jamie Lynn Spears will be picked up by a major label and country radio will finally have a new solo female who will get consistent top 10 hits. 12. The Pistol Annies and Sugarland will "officially" announce they have broken up. 13. Cole Swindell's Chillin' It will hit number 1 and his next single will also hit number 1. I will think of more later, but I am too tired now. I was surprisingly correct on a lot of these! 1. I was kind of right. Garth made a huge comeback while radio has been lukewarm. 2. Yes, but I wouldn't say there is a movement yet. Maybe this year? 3. Wow I was right on the money about the pregnancy and she is taking a little break it seems like. 4. Correct on this! 5. Nope. 6. Right on the money. 7. Not really, although the Blake love fest has cooled a little. 8. They are doing good, but not sure about breakthrough. 9. I was right about the first single, the 2nd single just made top 10 though. 10. Right with this one. 11. I don't think she has been signed? 12. I don't think any have officially announced. 13. I was right! I think I will make a 2015 one.
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Post by 43dudleyvillas on Dec 26, 2014 22:22:34 GMT -5
The time for my reckoning has arrived! 2014 Predictions: - The songwriter with credits on the most #1 songs will be Jimmy Robbins.
No - Jimmy Robbins had two country #1s this calendar year: "Whatever She's Got" and "Beachin'." Rodney Clawson had the most #1s this calendar year ("Helluva Life," "Lettin' the Night Roll," "Bartender," "American Kids," "Dirt" and "Burnin' It Down"). - Eric Church will have another million-plus seller with The Outsiders, picking up another #1 hit and another top-10 hit along the way, but The Outsiders won't connect as widely as Chief did.
Not quite at a million-plus yet, but the rest of this looks about right. - "Bro country" will dominate unabated for the first quarter of 2014 and hold strong in the second quarter of 2014. Surprisingly, it will be the summer of 2014 that ushers in a new sonic and thematic trend.
I think this was accurate. - The 2014 ACM nominees for Album of the Year will be: Blake Shelton's Based on a True Story, Florida-Georgia Line's Here's to the Good Times, Luke Bryan's Crash My Party, Kacey Musgraves' Same Trailer, Different Park, and Tim McGraw's Two Lanes of Freedom. The 2014 CMA nominees for Album of the Year will be: The Outsiders by Eric Church, Crash My Party by Luke Bryan, Dierks Bentley's Riser, Miranda Lambert's upcoming album, and Jason Aldean's upcoming album. The 2014 Grammy nominees for Best Country Album will be: The Outsiders by Eric Church, Twelve Stories by Brandy Clark, Riser by Dierks Bentley, Miranda Lambert's fifth studio album, and the upcoming album by Zac Brown Band.
100% right on the ACM nominations, 80% right on the CMA nominations (Jason didn't release an album within the eligibility period), and 80% right on the Grammy nominations (Zac Brown Band didn't release an album during the eligibility period). - Blake Shelton will successfully campaign for his first Grammy Award, and he will score his biggest first week of sales with his fourth quarter 2014 album. Blake's big sales week will happen just in time for him to lose his CMA Male Vocalist crown to Luke Bryan. Blake's album will lean away from "bro country" and include some Blake co-writes as part of Blake's effort to transition from the now-replaced male flavor of the moment into a more respected artist.
Wrong on everything except when it came to Blake's album leaning away from "bro country." - Someone will release a game-changing single for the country genre in July or August 2014.
It's arguable whether Maddie & Tae changed the game, but they surely changed the conversation when "Girl in a Country Song" came out in July. I can give myself this one, right? - Despite a lower first week of sales than Blake, Miranda Lambert will resume her perch as the power-couple's top album seller when it comes to their next studio releases. She will also win CMA Female Vocalist of the Year for a record-setting fifth consecutive year.
Right on everything except Miranda having a lower first week of sales than Blake, and I'm liking my chances of seeing Miranda become the stronger album seller between the two again. - Carrie Underwood will headline a live TV variety special on a major network in December 2014.
No. But!!!!! I posted this in January 2011:And I think that applies in 2014 so can I take partial credit? ;) - Brandy Clark's Twelve Stories will surpass the 100K copies sold threshold.
Not yet. - Repeating a prediction from 2013, television placement will result in satellite radio picking up a single from an unestablished country artist, which eventually translates into a terrestrial radio hit.
Not yet. - George Strait's team will put together a major campaign to try to win him the fan-voted ACM Entertainer of the Year award, along the lines of the "60 for 60" campaign behind "Give It All We Got Tonight."
I don't think there was a major campaign, but he did win it. - "Follow Your Arrow" by Kacey Musgraves will make the top-20 of Billboard Hot Country Songs, but mostly because of airplay on other formats.
It actually went top-10, and more due to sales than airplay on other formats. - Garth Brooks will be the Country Music Hall of Fame's Artist in Residence in 2014, and participate in a series of high profile events highlighting the history of country music, as well as his own part in it. There will be some live and televised component to his artist residency. He will also return to play the Opry for the first time in years.
Nope. - "Day Drinking" will return Little Big Town to the top-5, but it will be the second single from their late summer 2014 album that will be their next hit that really resonates.
Their album came out in October, not late summer, the "Day Drinking" part is about right, and I sure hope "Girl Crush" resonates. - Hunter Hayes will hit #1 with the lead single from his sophomore album but will see uneven fortunes on country radio (at least relative to his sales and star power) after that.
Not even close to #1 with his lead single, and it would be generous to characterize his fortunes at country radio this year as "uneven" (definitely not up to his profile). - Cassadee Pope will follow in the illustrious footsteps of Julianne Hough and win the 2014 ACM New Artist of the Year award.
Nope. - Josh Turner will release a gospel album.
No. - Taylor Swift. Goth phase. Her relationship with the country industry will continue with her new album even as her music continues to show little to no affinity for country music and her impact in the country market continues to decline. Meanwhile, her impact on music in general will grow.
She has more or less cut ties with the country industry for the moment, so I was wrong. - Jason Aldean will change absolutely nothing in his approach for his next album, and while he will fail to recapture the commercial magic of My Kinda Party, he will continue to be a platinum-selling touring powerhouse.
Well, "Burnin' It Down" was a shift, but the rest of his album wasn't and the rest of this looks about right. - Lady Antebellum will release another full studio album in the fourth quarter of 2014, and it will open with lower first-week sales than Golden.
Late third quarter release, actually, but correct about the sales. - Tim McGraw's upcoming album will contain both one of the best songs he has ever recorded and a song that is even more embarrassing than "Truck Yeah."
I'm going to give myself this one, between "Lookin' for that Girl" (embarrassing) and cuts like "Diamond Rings & Old Barstools" (excellent). - Every major label male country artist and male group will mine the Chris Stapleton catalog for songs to cut, making him the new Shane McAnally.
Not quite, though Jason Aldean did include a song of Stapleton's on his album. - Brad Paisley will release a high profile side project in the last four months of 2014.
Well, he did launch a new clothing line in mid-October. - The video for Jana Kramer's next single will make a bigger splash than the single does at country radio.
The video didn't make much of a splash, either. - Florida-Georgia Line will somewhat hilariously win the 2014 CMA for New Artist of the Year.
Didn't realize they weren't eligible. - Jake Owen and Kip Moore will underperform relative to expectations in the sense that neither will graduate to the next level of country stardom. But both will maintain a solid presence in the marketplace.
Correct re: Jake, but this year was rough for Kip. - Sara Evans will quietly part ways with RCA Nashville at the end of the year, after two singles and the release of her album.
Doesn't appear to be the case. - Warner Brothers Nashville will continue to surge in the marketplace.
Well, Warner Nashville retained its spot as the #2 Airplay Label this year and moved up from #6 to #2 among Airplay Imprints, thanks to Blake, Cole Swindell, Frankie Ballard, and Brett Eldredge. As for sales, Blake underperformed early, Swindell performed respectably for a new artist, and I guess Ballard and Eldredge did a solid downloads business even if they didn't sell albums. I haven't seen sales market share numbers, but am having a hard time imagining this was an up year for Warner Nashville in that regard. But I'm not sure. - Two solo females will score their first solo top-20 hits at country radio. Four duos will land their first top-20 hits at country radio, and four solo males will score their first top-20 hits at country radio.
Only one female got her first top-20 solo hit this year, right - RaeLynn? As for duos, we had Dan+Shay, The Swon Brothers and Maddie & Tae hitting top-20 for the first time this year, but I believe that was it. So it was three duos, not four (and now I resent country radio even more for not taking Brothers Osborne's "Rum" into the top-20). - Country stations will start to rebrand as "music from the country"/"music from the heartland" or "country and contemporary" to reflect the fact that their playlists are more about the so-called country lifestyle than country music.
No. - Country music album sales will increase in 2014, but it will be largely due to the 2014 release schedule compared to the 2013 release schedule, not because the actual sales climate in country has strengthened.
No, country music album sales were still down. - Repeating another prediction from 2013, George Strait will resume appearances at the Opry after he wraps up The Cowboy Rides Away tour, and he will be invited to join the Opry. Dailey & Vincent will also be invited to join the Opry.
Wrong and wrong. - The momentum artists at the end of 2014 will be: Dan & Shay, Brett Eldredge, Luke Bryan, and the Cadillac Three.
Yes to Brett and Luke, I guess. No re: Dan & Shay and the Cadillac Three.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 27, 2014 1:54:22 GMT -5
Let's see how I did! *Garth Brooks will not hit #1, but he will release a studio album sometime in 2014 and he will get at least two top 20 hits over the course of the year. Correct on the "not hitting #1" part as well as the studio album, but with "People Loving People" released later than anticipated, Garth couldn't quite fit two top 20 singles into 2014. *Radio will largely turn its back on George Strait :( Gary Allan will not see much success, either. "It Ain't The Whiskey" will go top 40 but not top 30. Josh Turner will return with a big #1 hit, and Kip Moore will score at least two #1's during the year. David Nail will go to #1 with "Whatever She's Got" and will follow that up with another big hit, which will go top 10 at least. "I Got A Car" did fairly well for George, although it took a long time just to go top 20. But I do think radio has more or less decided to phase him out. I was right about Gary Allan; "It Ain't The Whiskey" peaked at #36 and he was completely quiet for the rest of the year. Completely wrong about Josh Turner and Kip Moore. I do think Josh can get to #1 with "Lay Low", but it'll be a long (potentially 40+ weeks) chart run and therefore won't happen until well into 2015. Kip Moore has had a disastrous sophomore era so far, but I'm optimistic with my 2015 prediction for him. David did get to #1 with "Whatever She's Got", but "Kiss You Tonight" hasn't been quite as big as I predicted. *The 2nd single from Jennifer Nettles' solo album will get into the top 20. Billy Currington's "We Are Tonight" will climb slowly but it will eventually get to #1 and wind up as a bigger hit than "Hey Girl". Scotty McCreery will score his first top 10 hit, but he will not get all the way to #1 with any song in 2014. Easton Corbin will stick to the traditional sound and will get back to the top 10 with his next single. Wrong about Jennifer Nettles; Mercury shied away from radio after basically getting the cold shoulder (it's hard to blame them, though--radio was just not open to Jennifer's sound). As for Billy Currington, "We Are Tonight" did indeed go #1 but it probably wasn't quite as big as "Hey Girl" was, simply because HG was the lead single. Scotty did indeed score his first top 10 hit though (and he actually got two of them!), but unfortunately Easton Corbin has not gotten back to the top 10. He's more or less kept it traditional, although his current and most recent singles have been a bit more on the contemporary side. *Kacey Musgraves will release a new, critically-acclaimed album late in the year (October or later), but nothing else from her current album will go top 20. Lauren Alaina will finally release another single but it will not be a big hit, and Mercury will drop her by the end of the year. Chris Stapleton will score a top 20 hit by the end of the year and will release an incredibly well-received album. All wrong. I guess I was right in that Kacey didn't score any other top 20's from her debut album, but she didn't get to her sophomore album as quick as I predicted (and I'm actually glad of that--I feel like she's got a chance to produce another really great album, and there is still a lot of hype for her). It was completely quiet on the Lauren Alaina and Chris Stapleton fronts in 2014. *Keith Urban will hit #1 with both "Cop Car" and "Good Thing". Lady Antebellum will upset me by not releasing any more singles from Golden. Luke Bryan will have a colossally huge year...his album will fly past 2 million sold and he will score at least three #1 hits. Dierks Bentley will reach the top 5 with "I Hold On", and the follow-up will also go top 10. Little Big Town's next single (after "Sober") will be a big #1 hit, but Darius Rucker will not see the top 10 again in 2014 after "Radio" drops off the chart. Wrong about Keith! "Cop Car" was actually his lowest-peaking airplay single (#8) in almost 15 years, and it was "Somewhere In My Car"--not "Good Thing"--that followed after CC and went #1. Luke Bryan did indeed score three #1 hits, and Crash My Party has sold more than 2.3 million copies, so I nailed that prediction. As for Dierks, he had a better 'era' than I predicted, with both "I Hold On" and follow-up "Drunk On A Plane" going to #1. Correct about Lady A; they upset me by ending the Golden era with "Compass" (from the re-released deluxe edition) as the last single. LBT's "Day Drinking" was a fairly big hit; it did peak at #1 on Mediabase but #2 on Billboard. And I was right about Darius Rucker not getting into the top 10 with any of his 2014 releases post-"Radio". *Eric Church's The Outsiders album will open with more than 400k sold and it will feature a diverse blend of sounds. At least 1 of his songs will go #1. Kelleigh Bannen will make the top 40 with "Famous", but it will not go any higher. Eric Paslay will have a pretty nice year. "Friday Night" will peak in the top 3 and he'll score another top 20 by year's end. Alan Jackson will unfortunately remain absent from mainstream country radio (they'll play his old tunes, but nothing new from him). Eric Church's The Outsiders didn't sell 400k in its opening week, but it still did very well with 288k sold. It definitely features a diverse blend of sounds, and it also produced the #1 hit "Give Me Back My Hometown". Kelleigh Bannen couldn't make the top 40, though. Eric Paslay hit #2 with "Friday Night" and also scored a 2nd top 20 with "Song About A Girl", so I was right with predictions for him. Unfortunately, my prediction about Alan Jackson was also spot-on :( *Carrie Underwood will take nearly half the year off, but she'll come back with a big #1 in the fall (probably released in the summer, peaking in the fall). Brad Paisley will only score one top 10 hit all year, and despite mild success with "Drink To That All Night", Jerrod Niemann will continue to struggle. The Henningsens will change up their sound in an effort to score a radio hit, and this will result in a top 20 hit and an album release by the end of the year. The album will include "American Beautiful" but not "I Miss You" or any of the other songs they've been doing. Carrie's not quite to #1 with "Something In The Water", but that prediction looks pretty good (granted, it was a pretty safe prediction), as SITW should hit #1 in January (early February at the latest). Brad has scored two top 10's though, thankfully doing better than what I predicted. Correct about Jerrod Niemann, as he has definitely struggled after "Drink To That All Night". Still nothing from The Henningsens. *Kenny Chesney will release a very strong album and the lead single will return him to #1. Tyler Farr will have one of the big hits of the year with "Whiskey In My Water", but its follow-up will struggle. Casey James' sophomore album will be pretty solid but radio's response to his new music will be lukewarm. I think Kenny's album is pretty strong, although that's subjective of course. But "American Kids" was certainly a big #1 for him. "Whiskey In My Water" was a pretty big hit for Tyler Farr, but not among the biggest of the year. Its follow-up is the lead single to his sophomore album and it's definitely struggled so far, but I expect it to peak in the top 5 next year. Casey James is still in between albums; hopefully "Fall Apart" will go to radio early in the new year. *Miranda Lambert will release her next single in either February or March, and it will be a big hit. She will have another very big 2014, and with Carrie taking the early half of the year off, that means more Female Vocalist wins for Miranda at both the ACM's and CMA's, unless either organization decides to push Kacey into the spotlight. If Kacey scores a top 15 hit I could see her winning at the CMA's, but I don't think that big hit will come soon enough for her to win in 2014, so therefore, I see Miranda's reign continuing. Correct! "Automatic" was released in February and became a pretty big hit, peaking at #1 on MB/#3 on BB and winning a few awards along the way. Miranda also continued her female vocalist streak at both the ACM's and CMA's. *Jake Owen will return to #1 with "Ghost Town". Sara Evans will go top 20 with "Slow Me Down", but the follow-up will stall out in the 21-30 range. Chris Young will not hit #1 but he will see a pair of top 10's. Dee Jay Silver's brand of 'country' will start getting a good deal of exposure on Friday and Saturday nights--syndicated late night type of shows (unfortunately). Jake unfortunately chose to release "Beachin'" instead of "Ghost Town", but I guess that worked out for him since "Beachin'" was such a big hit. I think "Ghost Town" would be a huge hit as well, but I digress. Sara Evans did make the top 20 with "Slow Me Down", but follow-up single "Put My Heart Down" did much worse than a 20's peak. Chris Young saw only one top 10, as "Lonely Eyes" hasn't climbed quite quick enough to reach top 10 before the end of the year. Finally--and unfortunately--I would say I was right with my Dee Jay Silver prediction. *Blake Shelton will finally start to cool off. "Doin' What She Likes" will go #1, but The Voice's ratings will continue to slowly decline, and Blake will not release enough quality music for him to keep regularly going to #1. Basically, I think Luke Bryan and some of the newer guys will be the new 'hot' items, so it would really take a musical 'shake-up' for Blake to remain as one of the top two guys. Gloriana will score a big hit but its follow-up will struggle. Charlie Worsham will go #1 with "Want Me Too". I think Blake has cooled off a little bit, but his music has actually gotten quite a bit better in terms of quality, so I was wrong about that. I was right about "Doin' What She Likes" getting to #1, but wrong about him not regularly hitting #1, as both "My Eyes" and "Neon Light" topped the chart, extending his #1's streak to 13. Blake's probably still the 3rd biggest male artist at country radio, behind only Luke and Jason. Also, The Voice's ratings have indeed declined a bit, but they are still pretty solid. I was completely wrong about Gloriana and Charlie Worsham, though :( *Frankie Ballard will go top 5 with "Helluva Life" and Cole Swindell will hit #1 with "Chillin' It". Cole will see a very big year, but Frankie's next single will not be as big of a hit. Dan + Shay will have a big year, but they will be criticized for being a pop duo in a country market. Two new Warner artists will see their first top 20 hits, and Jana Kramer will return to the top 20. Hunter Hayes' next single will take him back to the top 5. Eh, I was mostly right about Cole and Frankie. "Chillin' It" 'only' peaked at #2, but it was technically a #1 on Hot Country Songs. Frankie actually scored a pair of #1's but "Sunshine & Whiskey" was one of the 'lesser' #1 hits in 2014, and Cole's year was bigger overall than Frankie's was. Frankie and Cole don't count for my prediction of two new Warner artists scoring their first top 20's, though, because "Helluva Life" and "Chillin' It" were both already in the top 20 by the end of 2013. However, Dan + Shay qualifies as a new Warner artist to score their first top 20 hit in 2014, although their overall success was moderate at best. Jana Kramer failed to go top 20 (and even top 30), and Hunter Hayes didn't come even close to the top 5. I'm gonna go ahead and count Ashley Monroe as the second "new" Warner artist to score her first top 20 hit, since Blake's "Lonely Tonight" is top 20 :) *Taylor Swift will release "All Too Well" as the final single from Red, and it will go top 10 with ease. Her 5th album will be more 'rootsy' in sound...not necessarily more country, but definitely nothing like "I Knew You Were Trouble", "We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together", "22", etc. Tim McGraw will score a big #1 with his next single, and the follow-up will go at least top 10. Danielle Bradbery will make the top 10 with "The Heart Of Dixie", but her 2nd single will stall out shy of the top 20. Well, Taylor veered further away from country than I expected, and her album is definitely not what I'd call "rootsy". In her own words, it's her very first documented pop album. As for Tim, "Lookin' For That Girl" was anything but a big hit; however, he did go top 10 easily with "Meanwhile Back At Mama's". Danielle Bradbery stalled out just short of the top 10 (#12) with "The Heart Of Dixie", and unfortunately "Young In America" fell well shy of the top 20. *Justin Moore will remain rather under-the-radar, with "Lettin' The Night Roll" taking 30+ weeks to hit #1. Thomas Rhett will score another big #1 hit with "Get Me Some Of That" and Brantley Gilbert will also score a big #1 with "Bottoms Up". I think I did well with my Valory predictions. Justin Moore did get to #1 with "Lettin' The Night Roll", and it also took more than 30 weeks to get there (it took 35, for the record). "Get Me Some Of That" was unfortunately another big #1 for Rhett, and same goes for "Bottoms Up" and Brantley. *The Band Perry will release "Forever Mine Nevermind" as their next single and it will be a bigger hit than "Don't Let Me Be Lonely". Eli Young Band will have their biggest year yet, with their next single going #1 and a pretty popular album (no bro-country!) Florida Georgia Line will release their sophomore album late in the year, but their next single (after "Stay") will miss #1. Still, their year will be huge and they'll be red hot again by the end of 2014. Cassadee Pope will peak at #7 with "Wasting All These Tears", and the follow-up will go top 5. ...but I didn't do nearly as well with my Republic Nashville predictions, lol. I was completely off regarding both TBP and the EYB. I guess FGL technically missed #1 with "This Is How We Roll" (which of course followed "Stay"), and even though I recently said in the "Sun Daze" thread that I felt they've cooled off a bit, I still think they're pretty red hot (not white hot though, haha). Cassadee peaked at #10 (not #7), but her follow-up single unfortunately stalled at #32. *Neither Dallas Smith nor Chase Rice will see any substantial success. At this point, there are too many artists making this style of music (bro-country) for any new artists to really break onto the scene (after Cole Swindell, that is). Lee Brice will have a really big year--no bro-country from him either--and Rodney Atkins will get a song back into the top 20, but it won't be "Doin' It Right". Curb/Sidewalk will not see any major success with anyone besides Lee Brice. Not too bad with this set of predictions. Dallas Smith had no major success, although Chase Rice got picked up by Columbia and did quite well as a result. I haven't listened to Lee Brice's new album yet, but neither of the first 2 singles has been bro-country. I don't know if his year was "really big", but it was pretty big. No top 20's for Rodney Atkins, though, so yeah, Curb's only success story remained Lee Brice. *Jason Aldean will release a brand new single in spring or early summer, with an album by late summer. It'll be a little more like My Kinda Party, and his new single will be a much bigger hit than "Take A Little Ride" or "The Only Way I Know". Dustin Lynch will return to the top 20 with a brand new single, and Thompson Square will go #1 with "Everything I Shouldn't Be Thinking About". Their next single, however, will barely scrape the top 20. Aldean's music came out just a little later than I guessed, but I definitely think "Burnin' It Down" was a bigger hit than "Take A Little Ride" was. I don't think the album is necessarily like My Kinda Party; then again, I wouldn't say that Jason has changed up his sound much throughout his entire career so far... Dustin Lynch did better than only top 20, as he took "Where It's At" all the way to #1. Thompson Square missed out on #1 with EISBTA, though, and the follow-up singles completely tanked, not even coming close to the top 20. *Lindsay Ell will reach the top 30 with "Trippin' On Us", but James Wesley and Kristy Lee Cook will remain mostly on the sidelines and unable to break into the top 40 on the charts. Parmalee's next single will go top 10 and Randy Houser will score a 3rd straight #1 with "Goodnight Kiss". He'll have a great chance for 4 in a row after the label decides to release "Like A Cowboy" as the final release from his CD. Joe Nichols will score another #1 with "Yeah", but Rachel Farley will not reach the top 40 in 2014. No on Lindsay, but yes re: James and Kristy. My other predictions here were mostly perfect--Parmalee returned to the top 10 (with #4-peaking "Close Your Eyes"); Houser peaked at #1 MB/#2 BB with "Goodnight Kiss", and now "Like A Cowboy" appears like it'll have a good chance to hit #1 in early 2015 (technically I never said it would hit #1 in 2014!); Joe scored a big #1 with "Yeah"; and Rachel Farley couldn't even chart and eventually parted ways with Red Bow. *Toby Keith will not hit the top 20 all year. Josh Thompson and JT Hodges will each see a top 20 hit, but Joel Crouse will not. Show Dog-Universal will continue to struggle, for the most part. Craig Campbell will see another slow climb into the top 20 with "Keep Them Kisses Comin'", but Bigger Picture will struggle with their other artists. Chris Cagle will finally score another top 30 hit by late in the year. Correct about Toby, but Show Dog did even worse, with neither Josh, JT, or Joel coming very close to the top 20. Craig Campbell did well with "Keep Them Kisses Comin'", but Bigger Picture struggling is an understatement, as they struggled so bad that they closed shop. *Jamie Lynn Spears will be picked up by a big label sometime this winter/spring and she will score a top 30 hit. Craig Morgan will eek out a top 30 peak with "Wake Up Lovin' You", but his next single will peak lower. Kellie Pickler will score two top 40 hits, and Maggie Rose will score one more top 40 hit, but it will be from her next album. Unfortunately, Jamie Lynn Spears is still unsigned. Craig Morgan did better than only top 30, as "Wake Up Lovin' You" made it all the way to #14. His next single "We'll Come Back Around" certainly peaked lower, though (#54). No top 40's for Kellie Pickler or Maggie Rose, though. *Zac Brown Band will get further away from country music, and as a result, they will only hit the top 10 once this year. Ronnie Dunn will release a solid album but he will not see a top 40 hit. Aaron Lewis will come back with another impressive country album, and it will produce a top 40 hit. I do think ZBB's EP took them a bit further away from country, but given that they didn't release much, it's hard to say what direction they plan on going in. "Sweet Annie" was their only top 10 hit, but it was already top 10 by the end of 2013 and since they didn't score any other top 10's, I think I have to count that one as an incorrect prediction. I was right about Ronnie Dunn, but wrong about Aaron Lewis, as he didn't release any new music in 2014. All in all, not too bad with many of these predictions. :)
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bboat11
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Post by bboat11 on Jan 2, 2015 5:23:17 GMT -5
My turn to give it a try! -Kellie Pickler would indeed be a great pick for the Opry! I like that suggestion. She will continue to struggle with radio, since there is very little momentum for her album at this point, but she will manage to get at least one more single on the charts after "Little Bit Gypsy". It will most likely barely crack the top 40. She will start planning her next album in late fall, but we won't get a lead single until 2015. Kinda. I will say I got this one about 3/5 right! She did continue to struggle with radio, and did release one more single after "Little Bit Gypsy". "Closer to Nowhere" came nowhere near the top 40 though. I do believe she is probably working on new music, but I don't think it has been confirmed... So we definitely won't see a lead single until 2015! ;) Oh, and no to the Opry as well. Low sales continued, as Slow Me Down's sales have been absolutely abysmal (has it even sold 100k yet??), but that's about the only thing I got right. The album only debuted at #2, and the release was pushed back a week or two. "Slow Me Down" never really took off, but it did manage to come within sniffing distance of the top 15! It certainly was not a #1 though. No major award-show performances. No success whatsoever from the subsequent single. No Opry induction. No Female Vocalist Nominations. Basically this one was a complete failure :( Which sucks, because I love Sara! My Martina predictions were surprisingly good, aside from a couple things. Her album ended up being pushed back, so it was not actually released on the same day as Sara's after all. Initial sales were nowhere near Eleven's ( Everlasting was around 21,000, and wasn't Eleven around 40,000?), but she still managed to snag the #1 spot on the Country Album chart, thanks in part to rather soft competition on release week, which beat my prediction of #2. Sales have not held up well over time, but I think that is okay because she really has not been trying to reach too far outside of her die-hard fan-base for this era. This album obviously cannot be considered a failure, since she set a record as the first solo female to have a #1 album without the backing of a major label! She also did not release a Christmas album... As expected, nothing from Everlasting has been released to radio. As a result, Brad Paisley and Rascal Flatts did indeed pass her and push her a couple spaces further away from reaching top 50 on the Whitburn list. And she definitely continues to be a strong tourer! Her Everlasting tour has been selling quite well! Not to mention getting to help George close out the final leg of his final tour... Now, about that Grammy... I was surprised she wasn't even nominated, considering how much the Grammys seem to love nominating her! Seriously, she has to hold some kind of a record for the most nominations without ever having actually won... New project up her sleeve, yes! I was a little ambitious with my timing, but that is alright because there was a lot more going on behind-the-scenes than I could have expected, what with the Nash Icon stuff. New album, check. Enjoyable and well-done, check. Nobody knows about it, check. Continues to do well in Canada, check (I think). Best since "Pain To Kill"? In my opinion, yes! Knocked the Terri predictions out of the park! George's year was indeed quite huge. His success at radio is waning, but "I Got A Car" did indeed find its way into the top 20! "When The Credits Roll" was not released, but I think that was ultimately for the best. It might have given radio an excuse to give George an official boot out the door, since it is very much a perfect song with which to end a career. The fall did bring about a CD/DVD of his final concert. He has rested a little longer than I anticipated, with no new single or word of an album yet. Hopefully we will get word of a single soon! And hopefully the new album won't be a compilation... I had only predicted it would be if he didn't let much time pass after the conclusion of his tour. He did indeed come back! But once again my timing was ambitious. The single came out at the end of the year rather than the beginning. However, it is moving extremely slowly, as predicted! It may become his 5th #1 yet! Fairly accurate. He HAS had an unreal reception to his live tour, what with selling out like 5 nights in a row in each city he's come to so far. The album came in the fall rather than the summer. Just as I predicted, the buzz mostly surrounds his tour rather than the new music. The music has actually been less successful than I predicted!
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Post by countryfan4life on Jan 2, 2015 18:09:13 GMT -5
Let’s see how I did with my predictions for this past year.
1. The industry will finally take Luke Bryan seriously after the success of "Drink A Beer." "Roller Coaster" will be the next single, and he will end Blake's reign as CMA Male Vocalist of the year and maybe grab CMA EOTY (unless Garth is up for it, like someone else pointed out). He will take both at the ACMs as well. Not sure if the industry is taking Luke seriously, but I was right that him winning CMA EOTY. “Roller Coaster” did not follow “Drink A Beer” but it was released eventually as a single. I was wrong about him ending Blake’s reign as CMA Male Vocalist and was wrong about him winning ACM EOTY and Male Vocalist.
2. Speaking of Garth he will break records and will have a lot of radio success for him. I'm optimistic and I am beyond excited for his comeback! Well not sure if his comeback broke records on radio, but he sure has made his presences known.
3. FGL will win me back over if they start showing a more sensitive and softer side to their lyrics and music. This is both a prediction and a wish. Ummm not so much. “Dirt” was a step in the right direction, but unfortunately with the exception of a few songs off their new album, it’s pretty much a continuation of their debut.
4. Kellie Pickler will be the next Opry member. I predicted Rascal Flatts Opry membership a month before it happened so this might come true. Carrie will also be the one to surprise her with the news. Wrong again, but I’m really happy for Little Big Town! Kellie’s time will come, I’m sure of it!
5. Brett Eldredge will have even more success and Scotty McCreery and Cole Swindell will be the break out stars. Scotty will finally get his first number 1 and a CMA New Artist nomination. Brett will definitely be in the first round for ACM New Artist of the Year along will Cole possibly. Brett Eldredge had success times a million this year! Not only did he make it to the first and final rounds of voting for ACM New Artist, but he also won CMA New Artist. Plus he won an ACCA for Song of The year! I’d say it was a pretty good year for him and I couldn’t be happier! I thought Scotty would see a little more success with “Feelin’ It,” but still his sophomore album has done wonders for his career. Cole Swindell definitely was a break out star as well this year, but I was wrong about him getting an ACM nomination. He did get a CMA one though. :)
6. More girl power in the genre in all areas. Another prediction and wish! Hopefully Lauren Alaina and Kellie Pickler will be involved with this. Well this didn’t happen. Hopefully this will come true in 2015!
7. Rascal Flatts' new music will remind people that they are still around and awesome. Please let this one come true! Well for me personally this came true. I love their new album and I hope “Riot” will bring them success in 2015!
8. Dan and Shay will continue rise but probably won't break out like the artists in #5. The way they started out I thought they were going surpass my expectations, but for some reason it seems like they have lost some momentum on the radio with “Show You Off,” which is surprising. This was such a crowd favorite when I saw them and I thought for sure it would go Number 1. So I guess this prediction was right.
9. Carrie Underwood will be snubbed by the CMAs and ACMs as usual, but this time it won't be Miranda beating her. I'm guessing Kacey based on how well she does in 2014. I was right about Carrie being snubbed, but I was wrong saying it was going to be Kacey beating her. I mean out of everyone in the Female Vocalist category Miranda was the most active, and therefore deserved to win at both shows. It will be interesting to see what happens in 2015.
10. I agree with most of you about Taylor going completely pop, but I'm also predicting that she'll pull a Shania Twain and make a country and pop versions of her 5th album. Well I was right about her going pop, but wrong in saying that she was going to release two versions.
11. Shania's long awaited and long over-do comeback will finally happen. Ummmm nope…
12. The ACM special the day after the awards will honor Alabama and all of the artists on their tribute album will perform on the special. This needs to happen so I can see Alabama and Rascal Flatts perform together! And nope again, although I enjoyed the ACM Special that honored the troops this year!
13. Kenny Chesney will pull a Tim McGraw and will make a strong comeback on radio. I’d say this came true. “American Kids” was a smash and I think “Til It’s Gone” is currently in the top 5 on Billboard Country Airplay.
Now for some non-music related ones.
1. I like the idea of Blake and Miranda having a baby Nope
2. I know this probably won't happen since they have said that 2 is enough, but Luke and Caroline Bryan will have a daughter. Seeing how cute Luke was with the little girl that sang with him on stage and the little girl on the Christmas special, imagine how adorable he would be with his own daughter! Again probably unlikely. Nope
3. Blake will kiss Luke (probably on the lips) at some point during the ACMs Hahaha I don’t recall this happening this year.
4. I also like the idea of Jason Aldean and his wife getting back together. Yeah the complete opposite happened...
Personal Prediction After failing miserably this year I will finally see Luke Bryan in 2014. Yes this came true!!!! :) :) Hopefully I’ll see him a second time in 2015! :)
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