sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Nov 26, 2014 13:59:58 GMT -5
"Somewhere In My Car" currently sits at #1 on the MB rolling chart. Keith has gained 147 spins and 1.2 million in audience since Sunday, whereas Maddie & Tae have gained almost identical numbers with an 137 spin and 1.3 million increase in audience since Sunday.
Judging by the gains, Maddie & Tae have to makeup roughly 1000 MB points to overtake Keith by Sunday (four days left). I did not see any indication that Dot is gunning for the #1 position this Sunday and for the mean time appears to be playing nice with Capitol, allowing Keith his #1 status on both charts (two weeks on Billboard).
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 26, 2014 22:47:53 GMT -5
I think Dot is doing all they can to get "Girl in a Country Song" up the charts as quickly as possible as they've been putting ads out in weekly and daily trades. My guess is they really want to get to #1 on Billboard so Maddie & Tae can say their debut single went to #1 on the chart that keeps records that matter. I actually anticipate that Capitol Nashville might try to prevent that from happening by pushing Keith for a third week at #1 on Billboard next week.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Nov 26, 2014 23:16:35 GMT -5
I highly doubt Keith will stay at #1 on Billboard for a third week. There's just too much to ask of Capitol to maintain those audience numbers through the 8th. Maddie & Tae's song is now in the top 3 so I don't think it matters much to BMLG too much if they have to wait til the 30th and the 1st to achieve the first #1 song by a girl duo or group since "Leave The Pieces" by the Wreckers in 2006.
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Post by Deleted on Nov 27, 2014 2:11:24 GMT -5
sabre14, I agree that it'll be tough for "Somewhere in My Car" to keep gaining after this week. But I could imagine a scenario where Maddie & Tae and Keith end up gaining roughly the same amount of audience this week, leaving the Billboard audience gap at about 3-3.5 million audience impressions. (The gap this past week was 4 million, so this is assuming Maddie & Tae do gain just a bit on Keith). If Capitol can just keep Keith from free-falling too hard and he only loses a million or a million and a half next week, then Maddie & Tae would have to gain roughly 2 million to catch Keith by December 8. This isn't too difficult usually, but I have seen some new artists struggle in the top 5 in the past. This past February Cole Swindell ended up struggling in the top 5 with his debut single "Chillin' It" despite great sales and research and he ended up getting blocked by a single from Jason Aldean that had lower iTunes sales. I do think the prediction that Keith will only get two weeks at #1 is possible if not probable. My only point is that there is a possibility that, with strong label support and a mediocre week for Maddie & Tae, Keith could at least dream of staying at #1 for a third week and since Capitol Nashville has been pretty aggressive in fighting for multiple weeks at #1 in the past, I think they might at least try. I'm definitely not saying that I expect the three-week scenario for "Somewhere in My Car" to come true. But I can see why Capitol might at least try to make this work. I still think "Girl in a Country Song" would get to #1, though, even if "Somewhere in My Car" spent three weeks at #1, since the next song in line for #1 is "Shotgun Rider," which Big Machine can hold back long enough to push Maddie & Tae through the 15th.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 2, 2014 12:34:32 GMT -5
After today's update, it definitely looks like sabre14 was right about this one not getting three weeks at #1. I admit I'm surprised that Capitol Nashville appears to have been content to just let this one go. "Somewhere in My Car" could have at least held flat if not gained a bit more audience if Capitol would've tried to push for another week, I think. Keith had 49.330 million audience impressions in last night's Billboard chart and 57.916 million for the week on Mediabase. Florida Georgia Line's "Dirt" reached 50.5 million on Billboard and 58.8 million on Mediabase, so I think Keith could have possibly at least stayed alive for another week. In any event, a two-week #1 is still a great accomplishment and I think "Raise 'Em Up" will make a great fifth radio single to close out the Fuse era.
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CoJoFan
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Post by CoJoFan on Dec 2, 2014 18:12:00 GMT -5
If there's a 5th single it's going to be one of 3 songs. Either "Even The Stars Fall 4 U, "Good Thing" or "Raise Em Up".
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.indulgecountry
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Post by .indulgecountry on Dec 2, 2014 19:46:00 GMT -5
Glad this hit No. 1 to make up for chart injustice of Cop Car burning out just inside the Top 10, and it's a nice bonus that it got two weeks at the top. I'm ready for "Raise 'em Up" to close out the era now!
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Kanenrá:ke
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Post by Kanenrá:ke on Dec 12, 2014 8:59:12 GMT -5
Happy to see him keep hit top 10 streak going, I know that should the Eric Chirch duet get released that'll be an easy top 10. After that I think they definitely should move on to the next album. Shame that there's still a few songs I think are single worthy though. :(
Also is there a chance this'll go recurrent on Billboard this week? It's falling at a decent pace and Luke is powering up. As much as I Like the song it's be nice to see 3 singles fall from the top 10 to make room for those at the bottom of the chart.
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dm2081
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Post by dm2081 on Dec 12, 2014 10:49:12 GMT -5
Also is there a chance this'll go recurrent on Billboard this week? It's falling at a decent pace and Luke is powering up. As much as I Like the song it's be nice to see 3 singles fall from the top 10 to make room for those at the bottom of the chart. It would have to lose nearly 10 million in Audience in a couple of days, so there's no chance it goes recurrent this week, but certainly the next week.
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Zeebz
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Post by Zeebz on Dec 12, 2014 14:05:27 GMT -5
I'm so glad this hit number one. It's easily my favorite single from him this era and it's pretty close to being my favorite from him period. I would love to see "Raise 'Em Up" as the next single.
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kml567
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Post by kml567 on Dec 28, 2014 14:28:04 GMT -5
Did Mediabase forget to send this to recurrent last week?
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Dec 28, 2014 15:18:13 GMT -5
Did Mediabase forget to send this to recurrent last week? It will be sent recurrent next Sunday when the chart is back to routine.
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Marv
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Post by Marv on Dec 28, 2014 22:07:02 GMT -5
The first post-Christmas Mediabase airplay chart will be released this Friday around the usual release time (6:15 AM EST), and I expect this, 'Feelin' It' and 'Girl In A Country Song' to be the only songs in the top 30 without a bullet and will in all likelihood go recurrent on Sunday afternoon.
Toby's tune is on life support and might be down to its final week on the charts as well.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 1, 2015 0:09:46 GMT -5
I think "Raise 'Em Up" will make a great fifth radio single to close out the Fuse era. I'm ready for "Raise 'em Up" to close out the era now! I know that should the Eric Chirch duet get released that'll be an easy top 10. I would love to see "Raise 'Em Up" as the next single. Good news! I deleted the thread I had started, because someone who can update it more often should probably start one, but they have selected "Raise 'Em Up" as the next single. Keith confirmed this before performing for thousands of frozen people in Canada tonight. I think this is an excellent choice to extend the era, but I cannot wait for new music.
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Ten Pound Hammer
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Post by Ten Pound Hammer on Jan 1, 2015 12:15:44 GMT -5
The only problem with Raise 'em Up is that EC is kinda hard to discern. I honestly couldn't tell where he ended and Keith began.
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justme60
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Post by justme60 on Jan 1, 2015 12:22:19 GMT -5
The only problem with Raise 'em Up is that EC is kinda hard to discern. I honestly couldn't tell where he ended and Keith began. Thank goodness I don't have that problem. Great song!
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Ten Pound Hammer
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Post by Ten Pound Hammer on Jan 1, 2015 12:26:57 GMT -5
The only problem with Raise 'em Up is that EC is kinda hard to discern. I honestly couldn't tell where he ended and Keith began. Thank goodness I don't have that problem. Great song! I don't usually. Maybe it was just the first time I listened to the song.
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sbp17
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Post by sbp17 on Jan 1, 2015 12:48:16 GMT -5
The only problem with Raise 'em Up is that EC is kinda hard to discern. I honestly couldn't tell where he ended and Keith began. I had that problem too. In fact, I thought they were trading lines on the verses but after a second listen, am I correct in that they just each do their own verse? But that was what made an initial listen or two of Does He Love You neat...Reba and Linda's voices sounded so similar at first...but that probably fits better with the theme of DHLY. Anyway, this may have been mentioned but there's a couple of lines in either the verses or chorus that sound just like Keith's Somebody Like You. Does anyone else notice that?
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Post by Deleted on Jan 1, 2015 12:49:27 GMT -5
The only problem with Raise 'em Up is that EC is kinda hard to discern. I honestly couldn't tell where he ended and Keith began. Funny thing is that the first time I heard Start a Band, I didn't even know there was someone besides Brad singing, never mind that it was Keith. He sings distinctly in the bridge but the verse sounded similar at first, vocally. Interesting that you said the same thing about this one and it's also a Keith duet. Doubt it's anything more than a coincidence, but interesting nonetheless considering how distinct voices both Eric and Keith have.
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surfy
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Post by surfy on Jan 1, 2015 12:50:52 GMT -5
I'll have to check out that song now!
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justme60
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Post by justme60 on Jan 1, 2015 15:23:19 GMT -5
I see a similarity in Keith's Somewhere in My Car and Luke Bryan's I See You. Can't put my finger on it, but one sounds like the other.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Jan 1, 2015 16:48:26 GMT -5
I see a similarity in Keith's Somewhere in My Car and Luke Bryan's I See You. Can't put my finger on it, but one sounds like the other. It might be the vocal arrangement near the end of both chorus'. "Jumpin' up there with the band Takin' me by the hand"
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surfy
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Post by surfy on Jan 1, 2015 17:44:19 GMT -5
I see a similarity in Keith's Somewhere in My Car and Luke Bryan's I See You. Can't put my finger on it, but one sounds like the other. It might be the vocal arrangement near the end of both chorus'. "Jumpin' up there with the band Takin' me by the hand" That's exactly what I was thinking the first time I heard it, the melody is very similar there.
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rbundy1987
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Post by rbundy1987 on Jan 1, 2015 18:25:40 GMT -5
QUESTION: I realize that Mediabase and Billboard never sleep lol but I realize that Mediabase doesn't post charts for the last 2 weeks of December every year so I want to ask. I realize Keith Urban's "Somewhere In My Car" is going bye bye this weekend on Sunday from Mediabase but realize this went bulletless on Mediabase back on Dec 7th, so that makes one strike for that, 2 strikes for Dec 14th, but ignore the next weeks and then boom Jan 4th is bye bye to it but here is my question. If Keith Urban had gone bulletless on December 14th, and with the next 2 weeks being hiatus for Mediabase, would it still go recurrent on Jan 4th or would that count as strike 2 even if it got it's bullet back to almost everyone getting their spins and audience back from the holiday songs? Does "Girl In A Country Song" leave this Sunday since it had a bullet back on the 7th still but went without it on the 14th?
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Jan 1, 2015 18:38:14 GMT -5
The past two weeks are basically MIA in regards to MB. This same scenario happened last year with Keith and Miranda's "We Were Us". It fell from #2 to #3 on December 8th (bulletless) and then #3 to #8 on December 15th, 2013 (bulletless). Then come the first chart week of 2014, "We Were Us" was sent recurrent on January 5th.
The two strikes have already been used by "Somewhere In My Car" with the 8th and the 15th chart. The past two weeks are basically meaningless when it comes to counting those as strikes or regains of bullets. If that were the case then "Somewhere In My Car" could have been sent recurrent on the 22nd or the 29th. This will go recurrent on January 4th.
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rbundy1987
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Post by rbundy1987 on Jan 1, 2015 19:09:43 GMT -5
The past two weeks are basically MIA in regards to MB. This same scenario happened last year with Keith and Miranda's "We Were Us". It fell from #2 to #3 on December 8th (bulletless) and then #3 to #8 on December 15th, 2013 (bulletless). Then come the first chart week of 2014, "We Were Us" was sent recurrent on January 5th. The two strikes have already been used by "Somewhere In My Car" with the 8th and the 15th chart. The past two weeks are basically meaningless when it comes to counting those as strikes or regains of bullets. If that were the case then "Somewhere In My Car" could have been sent recurrent on the 22nd or the 29th. This will go recurrent on January 4th. I realize that sabre14, but I was asking would Keith's strikes without a bullet be at 2 if he had stayed with a bullet on the 7th and on the 14th finally went bulletless which would mean one strike, would then they consider January 4th as Keith's 2nd strike against him without a bullet thus keeping him til the 11th? I realize he is leaving on the 4th but I was asking if it had been that scenario, then would he had stayed one more week despite the last 2 weeks of the year are MIA with first week of the new year with business resuming. I am sorry if I am not being too specific in my post but I see "Girl In A Country Song" was with a bullet on the 7th but not on the 14th so one strike against Maddie & Tae, and I take it January 4th will be their second strike that is unless they can regain their bullet and then start all over again with the striking phase. I say regain their bullet because of all the spins and audience coming back to most but realize that the fallout is coming down the pipeline.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Jan 1, 2015 19:12:39 GMT -5
The past two weeks are basically MIA in regards to MB. This same scenario happened last year with Keith and Miranda's "We Were Us". It fell from #2 to #3 on December 8th (bulletless) and then #3 to #8 on December 15th, 2013 (bulletless). Then come the first chart week of 2014, "We Were Us" was sent recurrent on January 5th. The two strikes have already been used by "Somewhere In My Car" with the 8th and the 15th chart. The past two weeks are basically meaningless when it comes to counting those as strikes or regains of bullets. If that were the case then "Somewhere In My Car" could have been sent recurrent on the 22nd or the 29th. This will go recurrent on January 4th. I realize that sabre14, but I was asking would Keith's strikes without a bullet be at 2 if he had stayed with a bullet on the 7th and on the 14th finally went bulletless which would mean one strike, would then they consider January 4th as Keith's 2nd strike against him without a bullet thus keeping him til the 11th? I realize he is leaving on the 4th but I was asking if it had been that scenario, then would he had stayed one more week despite the last 2 weeks of the year are MIA with first week of the new year with business resuming. I am sorry if I am not being too specific in my post but I see "Girl In A Country Song" was with a bullet on the 7th but not on the 14th so one strike against Maddie & Tae, and I take it January 4th will be their second strike that is unless they can regain their bullet and then start all over again with the striking phase. I say regain their bullet because of all the spins and audience coming back to most but realize that the fallout is coming down the pipeline. If Keith had retained his bullet on the 7th, then yes, he should stay. But like I stated, it's not worth discussing since Keith is leaving on Sunday. I'll look up some examples but I do remember some exceptions to that rule if a song lost their bullet the final week before the Christmas shutdown. Edit: rbundy1987, I did find two situations where the MB rules didn't apply for whatever reason. The first was 2009/2010 with David Nail's "Red Light". It retained its bullet the final "regular" chart week in 2009 (issued 12/14) but did lose 8 spins. But it spent only one week "bulletless" in 2010 on the chart issued 1/4. Then it was removed for the second regular chart week when it theoretically should have stayed. The other was in 2012 with Greg Bates' "Did It For The Girl". It lost its bullet (strike #1) on the final "regular" chart week in 2012 (chart issued 12/17) but then it was removed completely on the first chart week of 2013 (chart issued 1/7). So I believe there are special circumstances when it comes to the end and start of the new year in regards to MB. Those two holdover weeks should not be held with merit though when it comes to songs leaving the chart since they do not count those two weeks. I believe "Somewhere In My Car" would have stayed for the January 5th issued MB chart is he did keep his bullet on December 7th and went just 1 strike in 2014.
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Ten Pound Hammer
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Post by Ten Pound Hammer on Jan 3, 2015 21:31:19 GMT -5
Any confirmation on Raise 'Em Up being the next single? I heard WCEN out of Saginaw play it earlier today, which is way unusual for them.
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justme60
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Post by justme60 on Jan 3, 2015 21:52:31 GMT -5
Keith has announced it himself several times. During his performance in Niagara Falls he was interviewed prior to the performance and he said then that he was releasing another song from FUSE and it is a duet with Eric Church called Raise Em Up.
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rsmatto
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Post by rsmatto on Jan 5, 2015 11:09:14 GMT -5
Keith has announced it himself several times. During his performance in Niagara Falls he was interviewed prior to the performance and he said then that he was releasing another song from FUSE and it is a duet with Eric Church called Raise Em Up. This very well means that UMG is going to hold off promoting another EC Single until "Raise 'Em Up" is done, though "Talladega" certainly is far from finished. It makes sense given that Eric's in no hurry to cut and release a follow-up To "The Outsiders" so UMG will just release 2 or more singles from the project.
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