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Post by Daryl the Beryl on Jan 8, 2015 6:22:42 GMT -5
I wonder if this has a chance at being the first Top 10 hit in forever not to hit the Hot 100. It's only at #3 on Bubbling Under right now. Nope, it debuts at #98 on the Billboard Hot 100 this week
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Ten Pound Hammer
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Post by Ten Pound Hammer on Jan 17, 2015 15:28:09 GMT -5
The way his hair sweeps up in the front makes me think that he looks kinda like Butt-head. Just sayin'.
Also, he's left-handed. Pretty kewl.
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onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Jan 17, 2015 15:42:00 GMT -5
The way his hair sweeps up in the front makes me think that he looks kinda like Butt-head. Just sayin'. Also, he's left-handed. Pretty kewl. That certainly beats my description of him (found on page one): Looks like Leonardo DiCaprio!
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Post by Daryl the Beryl on Jan 26, 2015 21:59:44 GMT -5
With Kenny and Carrie (assuming her song drops like a stone) going recurrent next week or the week after, this could easily be his first top 10 on BB unless Chris Young and Cole Swindell overtake him. :)
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Kanenrá:ke
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Post by Kanenrá:ke on Jan 26, 2015 22:26:26 GMT -5
I hope this makes top 10 if only so RedBow can move on to single #2. Honestly I don't know why they haven't announced a release date for the album yet. I hope he doesn't get the Greg Bates treatment... :(
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Jan 26, 2015 22:34:11 GMT -5
I hope this makes top 10 if only so RedBow can move on to single #2. Honestly I don't know why they haven't announced a release date for the album yet. I hope he doesn't get the Greg Bates treatment... :( Because this single has consistently under performed with its sales numbers. Even with cracking the top 10 on MB it still is below the 200 mark on the all-genre chart. Red Bow doesn't want to release an album if they have little confidence in a good return investment with its sales. I've said before how I would probably release the album too since they have spent quite a bit of money already with his young career but that's the way labels are thinking these days. Let's hope single #2 sells better and gets up the charts the way "Take It On Back" did, though without the OTV treatment will make it more difficult.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 26, 2015 22:40:50 GMT -5
With Kenny and Carrie (assuming her song drops like a stone) going recurrent next week or the week after, this could easily be his first top 10 on BB unless Chris Young and Cole Swindell overtake him. :) Carrie can't go recurrent for at least 3 more weeks yet. SITW is only 17 weeks old, so it'll get 2 drop weeks before it falls off. If it was 20 weeks old, then it would go recurrent as soon as it fell out of the top 10. But since it's only 17 weeks old, it doesn't matter if it's top 10 or not--it will get 2 drop weeks. Kenny's in a similar position. He might still fall below Chase next week (and out of the top 10), but "Til It's Gone" won't go recurrent until Monday the 9th, since tonight's chart marked just its 18th week on. "Shotgun Rider" fell to #11 before going recurrent, in large part because there's been a big "tier" of songs (Blake, Jason, Chase, Darius, Brett, Lee) all trying to fit into the top 10. They have all been so close to each other audience-wise for so long now, and as a result they've really pushed the airplay numbers up. For example, Chris Young at #14 has 27.5 million, which is normally good enough for #11 or #12. And last week, Dierks Bentley had more than 16 million but he wasn't even top 20 yet, which is simply unheard of.
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Post by Daryl the Beryl on Jan 26, 2015 22:48:24 GMT -5
With Kenny and Carrie (assuming her song drops like a stone) going recurrent next week or the week after, this could easily be his first top 10 on BB unless Chris Young and Cole Swindell overtake him. :) Carrie can't go recurrent for at least 3 more weeks yet. SITW is only 17 weeks old, so it'll get 2 drop weeks before it falls off. If it was 20 weeks old, then it would go recurrent as soon as it fell out of the top 10. But since it's only 17 weeks old, it doesn't matter if it's top 10 or not--it will get 2 drop weeks. Kenny's in a similar position. He might still fall below Chase next week (and out of the top 10), but "Til It's Gone" won't go recurrent until Monday the 9th, since tonight's chart marked just its 18th week on. I forgot about that! Sorry!
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dm2081
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Post by dm2081 on Jan 26, 2015 22:50:00 GMT -5
I sure hope that they would be satisfied with a top 10 peak for this song, as it's not really moving the needle at all. I understand why they would want to push it some more, but as a general country fan here, I wish they would throw in the towel, so some of the way more popular songs behind it (Lonely Eyes, Drinking Class, and Ain't Worth The Whiskey) can move ahead. This song is just taking up space in my opinion.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Feb 9, 2015 12:00:49 GMT -5
Today marked a sign that Red Bow might be satisfied with "Take It On Back's" peak. It lost 300k in audience today and 38 spins. I definitely think they saw that other songs are closing in and it would have just taken too long to get any higher than it was right now. The fact this loss came on a Monday to me signals the end for this song. It reached as peak of #9 on MB this week.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 9, 2015 20:11:50 GMT -5
Broken Bow never seems to give up promoting singles until they collapse. I think they'll still try to push Chase yet, to no avail, as "Take It on Back" may end up without a bullet on tonight's Billboard chart and I find it highly likely that the bottom caves in on this in the coming week and it ends up without a bullet on both charts next week. I have reconciled my feeling that Chase really didn't deserve this much success with his debut single with the fact that there's obviously a lot of buzz among radio people around him, as the OTV program is radio-voted. This means that even though listeners don't seem to care for Chase he might have gotten a top 20 based on radio support the way Charlie Worsham, The Henningsens, and Swon Brothers have. However, I think Chase Bryant's vocals as well as his style of music aren't going to be very consumer-supported and may not sustain him a long-term radio career. I personally don't see much of a future for this artist at all.
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dm2081
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Post by dm2081 on Feb 9, 2015 20:33:08 GMT -5
I hope this song is done. I don't hate this song or anything, and it's not even a station changer for me. But the interest just doesn't seem to be there right now. This song and "Like A Cowboy" have warn out there welcome with me, and I want to see a cleaning of house so we can get some fresh blood up the charts. This song and his label should be satisfied enough with a top 10 peak, because this wouldn't have even sniffed this area of the charts without help from OTV.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Feb 10, 2015 12:45:55 GMT -5
Red Bow appears to have let this one go as its down another 215k in audience and 27 spins today. Its down over 500k in audience the past two days.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 11, 2015 9:42:57 GMT -5
Red Bow appears to have let this one go as its down another 215k in audience and 27 spins today. Its down over 500k in audience the past two days. It's not done yet. BBR Music Group makes it pretty easy to tell when they've actually let a song go or not--you can tell by whether the song is included in their daily Aircheck ad. For example, "Take It On Back" still appeared in yesterday's ad, but Jackie Lee's "She Does" disappeared and was replaced by an ad for Jason Aldean's "Just Gettin' Started" (Aldean's song is really the only one they haven't been including in ads, likely because he's such a big star that he doesn't really need it). Red Bow is still working "Take It On Back" and Stoney Creek is still pushing "Like A Cowboy" as well. I do think that Chase has about reached the end of the road here, but the label is definitely still working this one. He posted a +76 spins update this morning, along with +139k in audience, and his bullet is back up to +96. I think Chase has probably peaked at #9 though, because it looks to me like Darius Rucker, Chris Young, and Lee Brice are all ready to jump ahead (at least on Billboard). But the bottom hasn't fallen out on this one yet.
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Zazie
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Post by Zazie on Feb 11, 2015 10:07:59 GMT -5
The label has to be careful that the song doesn't slip enough to fall out of the top 10 and wind up a chart week with a significant loss in audience. Say, a drop to #11 or 12 with a 750k loss. I say this because there are day-to-day variations and it isn't hard to post a big enough loss so that the eager BB chart-pruners wield their ax and chop this.
A small loss is safe, because the song would get a grace week and put them on notice that they've got to work harder. Today's Mb numbers were just fine but they'll need 4 days like that out of every 7 in order to retain their life. The hardest thing to do on the country chart is to stand still.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Feb 11, 2015 10:37:51 GMT -5
I really think that Red Bow knows this is the end of the line and will concede by this time next week. "Take It On Back" is not doing much of anything like Zazie said, and even though they still might be fighting for airplay, the way this song has performed the past week leads to believe it will go no higher than #9 and will be gone from both charts by months end.
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samsager3
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Post by samsager3 on Feb 11, 2015 11:21:33 GMT -5
I like this song and chase Bryant seems pleasant enough but this song alone wouldn't convince me to buy his album. I understand it's a top 10 hit but it had a lot of help to get there. Unless he's got something really good, which the only other track I've heard is way fair weather which wasn't that great, I can't see anything he releases upcoming going to top 10.He may need to go back and find something else after the next single fails just a prediction.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 18, 2015 0:14:20 GMT -5
I think this song might stay alive for one more week and then start falling, as Red Bow will start to focus on David Fanning's new single (which goes for adds on the 23rd). Not that I expect Fanning's song to do all that much, but that's just how labels work. "Take It On Back" clearly isn't going to be able to climb for much longer. It has so far peaked at #8 on Mediabase and #9 on Billboard, and I don't think it will get any higher. Darius Rucker and Chris Young are right behind him (and they've already passed him on Billboard), and Lee Brice, Cole Swindell, and the Zac Brown Band are closing in as well.
It'll be a little while before Luke Bryan and FGL fall down below Chase, and by that time "Take It On Back" will have been passed by some of the competition. Thus Chase would probably need to climb for another 3-4 weeks just to advance past #8...and so with the David Fanning single on the horizon, I expect that Red Bow will finally pull promotion for Chase's song after this week.
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Post by cws3030 on Feb 18, 2015 10:24:20 GMT -5
"On The Verge" saved this song. Sales are lackluster for a top-10. I'd BBR to ship a new single quick after this one fades. Then an album release date after the Tim McGraw tour, they'll want him in front of those fans before a release.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Feb 18, 2015 22:16:05 GMT -5
It'll be a little while before Luke Bryan and FGL fall down below Chase, and by that time "Take It On Back" will have been passed by some of the competition. Thus Chase would probably need to climb for another 3-4 weeks just to advance past #8...and so with the David Fanning single on the horizon, I expect that Red Bow will finally pull promotion for Chase's song after this week. You also need to keep on eye on Craig's Red Bow debut single which I think will be coming in the spring. Plus the unconfirmed information that Brooke Eden is with Red Bow though I think it might be a while til she's ready with her debut single if she is indeed with that imprint. I expect a new Chase Bryant single once "Take It On Back" is sent recurrent, followed along with a Craig Campbell single once Joe's song is done and by then Fanning's should be done as well, lol.
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Zazie
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Post by Zazie on Feb 19, 2015 16:55:16 GMT -5
I thought this would go recurrent this coming Monday on BB, thanks to the good-sized audience losses and the likelihood that the song will fall to #12 or 13 on next week's BB chart. But then it went and gained 60 spins on MB this morning, so it's positive on MB from Mon-Thurs. And if it manages to stay positive throughout the week in spins on BB it will keep its bullet. And if its spins total is down, but only by a tiny amount, this song can get a grace week.
I still think there's a better-than-50-50 chance it goes recurrent, but the label must still be working it and piling up some late-night spins to give it a chance to linger. The point of that is a little obscure but they're trying nevertheless.
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Post by rsmatto on Feb 19, 2015 21:38:44 GMT -5
"On The Verge" saved this song. Sales are lackluster for a top-10. I'd BBR to ship a new single quick after this one fades. Then an album release date after the Tim McGraw tour, they'll want him in front of those fans before a release. This song sold more than "Til It's Gone." And #32 this week in sales. I think it's just a case of a song radio loved and fans liked but didn't like enough to buy. It's not dissimilar from what "Did It For The Girl" did for Greg Bates a few years back. Chase, though, I doubt he would get dropped if his second single fizzled out (which I doubt it will). It's a good introduction.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Feb 23, 2015 12:19:52 GMT -5
"Take It On Back" is finally 100% finished, as it lost 842k in audience today, along with 149 spins. Like jhomes87 pointed out, David Fanning's new single is going for adds today and they probably have new music from Craig Campbell shortly on the way so they decided to keep this alive through this past week before letting it go. I expect this to drop like a rock now.
Its MB peak was #8 and its Billboard peak was #9.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 23, 2015 20:42:08 GMT -5
Why on Earth this one appears to have gotten a grace week is beyond me. Its loss wasn't huge, but this is its second consecutive week down in audience over the prior week, AND it dropped out of the top 10 (two spots) yet it still appears on the chart. It's also well over the 21 week rule. This one (in my mind) was given a grace on THREE accounts.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 23, 2015 21:40:00 GMT -5
Why on Earth this one appears to have gotten a grace week is beyond me. Its loss wasn't huge, but this is its second consecutive week down in audience over the prior week, AND it dropped out of the top 10 (two spots) yet it still appears on the chart. It's also well over the 21 week rule. This one (in my mind) was given a grace on THREE accounts. Songs cannot go recurrent as long as they are in the top 10. So no, the previous few weeks did not count as grace weeks, because Chase was in the top 10 for each of the last 3 weeks; tonight's chart is the only grace week Chase has had. On the 02/14 chart (from Monday Feb. 2), Chase did lose his bullet, but "Take It On Back" moved 11-10...so it was protected (because it was in the top 10). Its loss that week was 0.297 million in audience along with a decrease of 13 spins. But again, that does not count as a grace week because it was in the top 10. Then on the 02/21 chart, Chase inched up a spot to #9 despite a loss of 0.213 mil in audience (he did gain 151 spins though). Then last week, the 02/28 chart, Chase got pushed back a spot to #10, again with a small loss of audience (-0.364 mil) but with a gain in spins (+133). But it's important to note that "Take It On Back" had a bullet on the previous two charts, which made it eligible for a grace week tonight. An audience loss (if it's small) does not necessarily equal the loss of a bullet. Also, since pretty much all of Chase's loss came on the last day of the tracking week (yesterday), I imagine that played a big factor as to why Billboard gave him a grace week tonight. They certainly could have sent him recurrent if they had wished, and I imagine they would have done so if his loss was in the 800k to 1 million (or greater range), but in this case they decided to give him a grace week. The whole RaeLynn situation was probably on their minds as well. I can't imagine this one rebounding, which means I'm already 95% sure it'll go recurrent next week, but I'm completely fine with Billboard electing to give it a grace week tonight, just to be sure that it's done.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 23, 2015 22:18:11 GMT -5
Why on Earth this one appears to have gotten a grace week is beyond me. Its loss wasn't huge, but this is its second consecutive week down in audience over the prior week, AND it dropped out of the top 10 (two spots) yet it still appears on the chart. It's also well over the 21 week rule. This one (in my mind) was given a grace on THREE accounts. Songs cannot go recurrent as long as they are in the top 10. So no, the previous few weeks did not count as grace weeks, because Chase was in the top 10 for each of the last 3 weeks; tonight's chart is the only grace week Chase has had. I can't imagine this one rebounding, which means I'm already 95% sure it'll go recurrent next week, but I'm completely fine with Billboard electing to give it a grace week tonight, just to be sure that it's done. I was speaking more to the fact of this current week, where it has now seen two consecutive weeks down in audience (strike one), it dropped from the top 10 (strike two) and it lost a bullet in its 21+ chart weeks (strike three). That's three cases to send this one away, but I do understand why Billboard decided to keep it (even not mentioning the embarrassing situation with God Made Girls). I agree that it's done after this and I still stand by the fact that something is very funky about how they produced the vocals.
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.indulgecountry
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Post by .indulgecountry on Feb 23, 2015 22:40:37 GMT -5
Glad this one made the Top 10 and even though I love this and am sad to see it go, I'm looking forward to his next single. I really like his voice and the style of this song was countrier than some of his newer peers, so I'm interested in more music from him.
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Post by Daryl the Beryl on Feb 23, 2015 22:54:49 GMT -5
Did well for a debut single
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Marv
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Post by Marv on Feb 24, 2015 10:04:59 GMT -5
His label pulled the plug for keeps yesterday as it lost over 200 spins, but reaching the top 10 with your debut single is a very respectable achievement, so congratulations are definitely in order.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Feb 24, 2015 10:54:27 GMT -5
Did well for a debut single It had a little bit if help there at the beginning. ;)
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