Brad Paisley - "Perfect Storm"

[onebuffalo]

Dec 16, 2014 23:43:16 GMT -5 sabre14 said:

Dec 16, 2014 22:42:55 GMT -5 Zazie said:

At least on one of the charts he will. I think it's likely he can get both #1's, but the worst case scenario in my mind is not Brad falling short of overtaking Tim on both charts -- it's Brad getting #1 on MB and barely missing out on BB. That would be frustrating. I have to hope that Brad and the label are aware he's missed #1 on BB and made it on MB a few times.

Look I know I've been made fun of on more than a couple of occasions for following the MB charts so closely (and I respect your posts Zazie) but I'm hard pressed to think that Brad and Arista are fearing missing out on Billboard (which they won't) and would rather not settle for a MB #1 here (which again, they won't have to). I'm sure that the label and Brad recognize "Welcome To The Future", "American Saturday Night", "Southern Comfort Zone" and "Beat This Summer" as #1's. Granted, the "Southern Comfort Zone" one was pretty iffy in the manipulation department but I digress.

I agree with jhomes87 that we need to see how the rest of the week shakes out to determine whether Brad can catch Tim. But the label will gladly take a MB #1 along with a Billboard #1 and I think Brad can rest easy since his timing is looking spot on here for multiple weeks. I don't think "Perfect Storm" is going to be any sort of long lasting recurrent because of being a Billboard #1 rather than just the MB only variety in this case. All this to me is a moot point anyway since I believe "Perfect Storm" will hit #1 on both charts.

I'm sure Arista wants Brad Paisley to be the king of #2 hits. Just have to push that 'pesky' Eddy Arnold aside.

[Deleted]

Dec 16, 2014 16:44:24 GMT -5 Marv said:

I would love for Brad to get three weeks at #1 @ Billboard with this standout single; he's never wound up with the year's #1 single AFAIK, with 'The World' winding up #2 for the year at Billboard in 2006 being the best year-end finish for any of his previous hits.

I know that this tune won't achieve that, but it's still among his best singles ever IMHO.

Is it possible for any of these calendar year-enders to be that high on the year-end Billboard charts? I'm not as savvy about it as you guys are, but the Billboard started a new year recently right? To me, I don't think this song or say Shotgun Rider, for instance, would have enough audience just from their three or four close-to-peak weeks to garner that high a year-end ranking, but I could be wrong?

[Deleted]

I would love for Brad to go NO.1 with this. It's weird to think that his last one was two years ago, man how time flies

[Zazie]

No, you're right, Nicky1025: songs that cross over into a different chart year don't get to rank high in either of the years their airplay is divided between. Marv can speak for himself but I don't think he was saying that Storm was going to be a year-end champ. I think he is hoping for Brad to get a 3-weeker because Brad is often under-recognized, and then he used "lack of a year-end #1" as one standard of measuring under-recognition.

Looks pretty good for Brad to take over #1 next week. I'd say a 3-weeker is not too likely but it can't be ruled out thanks to the Christmas season. Kenny is tough competition, too. I'd give Brad a 60% chance at 2 weeks on top, a 30% shot at 1 week on top, and a 10% chance at 3 weeks.

[onebuffalo]

Dec 17, 2014 16:12:30 GMT -5 zack97 said:

I would love for Brad to go NO.1 with this. It's weird to think that his last one was two years ago, man how time flies

Try three. This is what I said yesterday:

2. NOT #2 AGAIN: Brad Paisley scoots two to #2 with the second Moonshine In The Trunk single, Perfect Storm. It is the follow up to another #2, River Bank. Paisley has not seen the top in three years as his duet with Carrie Underwood, Remind Me is his last chart topper to date. He has two other #2s in that span: Southern Comfort Zone and Beat This Summer (both 2013).

[Deleted]

Tim's audience loss was greater today, but he barely lost any spins--only 11 to be exact. And so I think that maybe Big Machine and Tim will try to hang on just long enough (thru Saturday) to secure a 2nd week at #1 on Mediabase, but it definitely looks like Brad will take over the Billboard #1.

I think Brad has a really good chance at 3 weeks on top. If Monday is the 1st week, then I would think he'd easily get a 2nd week over the Christmas holiday (when everybody is down), and then a 3rd week over the New Year's holiday (when everybody is back up). I just think it's going to be really tough for Kenny to overtake Brad, especially during the up and down weeks. And don't forget that Brad co-hosts Lon Helton's countdown on January 4, which would correlate with him scoring a 3rd week at #1 on BB. Kenny is Lon's co-host on January 10-11.

[onebuffalo]

I would love to advance Brad Paisley to #21 from #23 on the list of those artists with the most #1 hits.

[Marv]

No song reaching #1 in December of any given year has even a remote chance of topping BB's year-end chart or R&R/Mediabase/Country Aircheck's for that matter.

Off the top of my head, two of the very biggest and very best country singles of the past 15 years began 5-week stays at #1 that month yet neither came close to finishing #1 for the year the following year.

Fourteen years ago yesterday, 'My Next Thirty Years' began a five week stay in the penthouse.

Thirteen years ago this Friday, 'Where Were You (When The World Stopped Turning?)' became the second of THREE consecutive five-week charttoppers, sandwiched 'I Wanna Talk About Me' and 'Good Morning Beautiful'---pass the smelling salts!!!!!

Mr. Holy's tune went on to finish #3 for all of 2002 @ R&R/Mediabase, behind two MORE 5-week chart kings...'My List' and 'Drive (For Daddy Gene)'.

Those were the good ole days for TONS of country more did masterpieces, weren't they friends?

[Deleted]

Another interesting thing I noticed is that there was a "going for #1" ad for "Perfect Storm" in Monday's BCU, but not in Aircheck. That, coupled with Brad's gains so far, definitely seems to suggest that PS will be #1 on Monday but that Tim might be able to get a 2nd week at #1 on MB. It seems to me that Arista is willing to let Tim get a 2nd week at #1 on MB, hence they only put the "Perfect Storm" ad in the BCU and not in Aircheck Weekly.

Tim is still tracking at #1 on the Billboard RTT but with still 4 days left to go in the week, I think Brad will overtake him. The MB week only has 3 days left, though, and Tim's spins lead seems like it might hold up there.

So that will probably be a situation that pleases everybody involved--Tim would get 2 weeks at #1 on MB/1 week at #1 on BB (thus they can call "Shotgun Rider" a 2-week #1 hit), and Brad is set up nicely for a 3-week stay at #1 on Billboard.

[justme60]

This song a 3 weeker...wow. The songs not that great to me. Brad, IMO, is a lazy singer and boring. Anyhow there is so many other greater songs than PS trying hard to get up the charts and this sleeper is going to stay 3 weeks! Not surprised though.

[dm2081]

It definitely looks like Brad and Tim will split the charts this week, setting Brad up for a 3 week #1 on Billboard. Never expected this song to be as big as it is, but I'm happy for Brad because Southern Comfort Zone and especially Beat This Summer were both deserving of #1's IMO. I'd also like to say that "Limes" would make for a great 3rd single, and would be getting some good airplay/spins right around the time of Spring Break, which would be perfect timing for a song like that. They could really make a fun music video for it, and be a big Spring Break anthem. It sounds like the perfect song as the weather warms up in the spring.

[Deleted]

Dec 18, 2014 19:24:33 GMT -5 dm2081 said:

It definitely looks like Brad and Tim will split the charts this week, setting Brad up for a 3 week #1 on Billboard. Never expected this song to be as big as it is, but I'm happy for Brad because Southern Comfort Zone and especially Beat This Summer were both deserving of #1's IMO. I'd also like to say that "Limes" would make for a great 3rd single, and would be getting some good airplay/spins right around the time of Spring Break, which would be perfect timing for a song like that. They could really make a fun music video for it, and be a big Spring Break anthem. It sounds like the perfect song as the weather warms up in the spring.

For being on a record that many critics gave mixed reviews, and from an artist who some have said is well on his way downhill, he sure has a lot of potential singles on this CD. I personally love the album and I think he can't go wrong if he sticks to the safe ones for the next single.

[kml567]

The 3 week #1 is misleading. If not for the Christmas freeze, it'd be the typical 1-week #1 and then sink like a rock. I find "Shotgun Rider" to be the far better song (plus it has much higher sales), so I'm rooting for Tim to get 2 weeks at #1. Due to Xmas freeze, Brad could still get 2 weeks #1 on BB by default.

[Deleted]

I agree with kml567. It's crazy that we are having a discussion about whether "Shotgun Rider" will barely sneak in a second week at #1 on Mediabase only when Tim McGraw's song is the best-selling on iTunes and Brad Paisley's song is selling worse than Thomas Rhett's fifth single and Brett Eldredge's fourth single and just a bit better than a Tyler Farr ballad. I do agree with the analysis that "Perfect Storm" and "Shotgun Rider" will split the next four weeks roughly evenly, but I just think it's ridiculously disproportionate to the true size of the two hits.

[Deleted]

Dec 19, 2014 9:09:41 GMT -5 @daydrinker said:

I agree with kml567. It's crazy that we are having a discussion about whether "Shotgun Rider" will barely sneak in a second week at #1 on Mediabase only when Tim McGraw's song is the best-selling on iTunes and Brad Paisley's song is selling worse than Thomas Rhett's fifth single and Brett Eldredge's fourth single and just a bit better than a Tyler Farr ballad. I do agree with the analysis that "Perfect Storm" and "Shotgun Rider" will split the next four weeks roughly evenly, but I just think it's ridiculously disproportionate to the true size of the two hits.

I don't think the disparity is as large as you guys are suggesting.

Remember, Shotgun Rider was released only a week later than Perfect Storm. For two "old" guys, they both had a similarly speedy chart run. Until two weeks ago, Perfect Storm was in the top ten on iTunes consistently and a quick look at Spotify shows Shotgun Rider with 4,732,445 streams and Perfect Storm behind it with 4,363,132.

So while I agree that Shotgun Rider is in fact the bigger hit, I wouldn't necessarily call it "ridiculously disproportionate" by any means, as both songs have been highly successful.

[Zazie]

I'm baffled by the recurring theme that songs don't "deserve" to do well on the AIRPLAY chart because of their lack of sales. It seems to me that the country singles chart was based on airplay alone for years and years and years and years and years. If that were still true, I'd understand your wishing for a different measure.

If you privately hold the belief that the AIRPLAY chart has to have a relationship to sales, even in the modern era when we have a sales-based chart for you to follow, then I'm fine with that. You are entitled to your belief. But there are so many readers here who don't share that belief, and we are happy to have an AIRPLAY-based chart that does not factor in sales. And, much as I will defend your right to your beliefs, I do wonder at the frequency with which y'all restate them.

Seems like you have what you want -- a sales-based chart. It's officially the main chart for Billboard country. (Sorry MB hasn't helped you out, but eventually they might.) There's even a single-sales-only chart that's published along with the Songs chart almost every Thursday. And nobody is trying to take that chart away from you. Enjoy it. I don't see the point of constant repetitions along the lines that songs shouldn't get to #1 on the AIRPLAY chart because of their paucity of sales. I think they are two different measurements and I will concede that sales are a valuable measure, though not the only measure, of a song's success. Someone help me out here.

And as for Brad's song -- I hope he gets to #1 solely because of the greatness of the one line, "She don't just rain, she pours." He can have multiple weeks at #1 just for that. His delivery's good too. If he gets 3 weeks on top of the AIRPLAY chart, I'll download 10 copies of it, just because.

[sabre14]

^ I think that the airplay charts are helped by digital sales in terms of gauging interest from the listener. I do agree that perhaps less emphasis should be put on it since, like you said, it's the "Airplay" chart, but there are still cases to be had where the sales factor seems to be thrown (for the most part) by the waist side. "Til It's Gone" has breezed into the top 3 with (sorry to be harsh) but awful sales for a #3 single. While the impressive sales for Canaan Smith's "Love You Like That" have seen no payoff for his single as it's hanging around in the 40's. I could use a good example of "Take It On Back" with that song's abysmal sales but the OTV program makes that a unique case (I still think they swung and missed big time on that selection).

Now, I find it difficult to believe Zazie that in this hard economic time you will purchase Brad's song 10 times if this spends three weeks on top of the Airplay chart, and for that alone I'll root against that just so you can save some hard earned money. :)

[Deleted]

Dec 19, 2014 14:22:46 GMT -5 Zazie said:

I'm baffled by the recurring theme that songs don't "deserve" to do well on the AIRPLAY chart because of their lack of sales. It seems to me that the country singles chart was based on airplay alone for years and years and years and years and years. If that were still true, I'd understand your wishing for a different measure.

If you privately hold the belief that the AIRPLAY chart has to have a relationship to sales, even in the modern era when we have a sales-based chart for you to follow, then I'm fine with that. You are entitled to your belief. But there are so many readers here who don't share that belief, and we are happy to have an AIRPLAY-based chart that does not factor in sales. And, much as I will defend your right to your beliefs, I do wonder at the frequency with which y'all restate them.

Seems like you have what you want -- a sales-based chart. It's officially the main chart for Billboard country. (Sorry MB hasn't helped you out, but eventually they might.) There's even a single-sales-only chart that's published along with the Songs chart almost every Thursday. And nobody is trying to take that chart away from you. Enjoy it. I don't see the point of constant repetitions along the lines that songs shouldn't get to #1 on the AIRPLAY chart because of their paucity of sales. I think they are two different measurements and I will concede that sales are a valuable measure, though not the only measure, of a song's success. Someone help me out here.

And as for Brad's song -- I hope he gets to #1 solely because of the greatness of the one line, "She don't just rain, she pours." He can have multiple weeks at #1 just for that. His delivery's good too. If he gets 3 weeks on top of the AIRPLAY chart, I'll download 10 copies of it, just because.

No one is saying that this doesn't deserve to do well or even go to #1, but it makes no sense why it should get more weeks at #1 than a song that is selling way better on iTunes.

The hybrid chart has been more or less taken as a "joke" due to its inclusion of non-country airplay and its easy manipulation by temporary sales spikes and regardless of which chart Billboard calls its "main chart" everyone in the industry understands that the airplay charts are the ones that matter. I do believe the airplay radio stations choose to give songs should be based on sales, as well as research scores, listener requests, and other methods of gauging listener interest. If these things are ignored and radio programmers play whatever they want, then the airplay chart becomes meaningless because airplay is arbitrarily given based on reasons other than a song's merits. The reason why I personally place so much more emphasis on sales than research surveys is because sales are easier to examine and there are so many different research surveys that I don't always know how meaningful it is for a song to do well on just one of these many surveys. As far as "Perfect Storm" is concerned I haven't seen this doing consistently better in research than "Shotgun Rider." Going by the two surveys published in weekly Billboard magazines, Brad is doing better on the Callout America chart posted in the Monday airplay update, and Tim is doing better on the Radiofeedback survey posted in the Thursday hybrid update, which demonstrates how inconsistent research can be. I think it'd be best for radio stations to go by surveys specific to their markets, which may very well be what they do.

Regarding the single sales chart, as with the hybrid chart, this isn't the industry standard chart that is mentioned by countdown shows or radio DJs on a regular basis, so this is more of an "FYI" chart than a chart that labels focus their money and promotion on, although I will say that I generally am more likely to applaud a sales #1 than an airplay #1 unless there is some sort of performance of a song on television that leads to inflated sales for a few weeks.

So I think the point here is that while a lot of songs make an impact through ways other than sales, sales of a song are generally the most indicative of passion because strong sales show people have actually liked a song enough to spend money on it, rather than just giving it a high rating on a phone or web survey. I don't necessarily think the airplay chart should also factor sales into its methodology, but I do think it's strange for radio stations to give higher rotation to a much worse-seller unless there's some specific source of a lot of buzz or it's doing really well in research, which "Perfect Storm" hasn't quite shown. Since this is the case, it would seem like three weeks at #1 for Brad and only one for Tim would be largely a sign of a stronger, corporate label overpowering a bigger hit on a weaker, independent label.

Anyway, after I posted two large rants about this situation, it looks like "Shotgun Rider" will get at least two weeks at #1 on both charts after all. With the chart freeze coming next week, his song may end up getting a third week at #1, but I'm expecting two weeks at #1 for "Shotgun Rider" and two for "Perfect Storm," which I'll be fine with. Also, as @nickv1025 noted above, "Perfect Storm" was selling nicely until a few weeks ago, so this isn't that big a deal for the two songs to divide four weeks at #1 evenly.

[Deleted]

Dec 16, 2014 11:33:18 GMT -5 jhomes87 said:

I wouldn't say that Tim is dropping pretty significantly. But his loss was big enough today that Brad is indeed on pace to overtake him for the Billboard #1 next week. Still, that's after only 1 day. If Tim can manage to level off a bit (in other words, to avoid plummeting), he could make it tough for Brad to catch him. I suspect that we'll see less "adjusting" of playlists this weekend as we get closer to Christmas, so in the event of a close battle (with Tim falling and Brad rising), it might be a bit tougher for Arista Nashville to get "Perfect Storm" to #1 by Monday.

I'm suddenly looking pretty smart! Granted, I later went on and gave Tim only a 30% chance of hanging onto the Billboard #1, but still.

On Thursday morning it definitely looked like Brad was on pace to catch and pass Tim on Billboard, while Tim would probably hang on to the top spot at Mediabase. But now Tim has posted 2 pretty good updates over the last 2 days, and I think he'll hang on to #1 on both charts.

I'll give Tim a 99% chance at a 2nd week at #1 on MB, and at least a 75% chance to top the Billboard chart for a 2nd week. Brad had a pretty good chance to get 3 weeks but I think he'll have to settle for two--like I thought, Tim and Big Machine have fought hard to "hold" steady for the week. Normally a 300k drop on a Tuesday morning would be enough to signal that a song is done, but this week was different, given the approaching holiday and the "#1 and holding" ads that Big Machine put out for "Shotgun Rider" on Monday evening. With all that in mind, I figured that they wouldn't let go so easily, and now here we are and it's looking like Tim will indeed win out.

[Deleted]

Dec 20, 2014 23:00:19 GMT -5 jhomes87 said:

Dec 16, 2014 11:33:18 GMT -5 jhomes87 said:

I wouldn't say that Tim is dropping pretty significantly. But his loss was big enough today that Brad is indeed on pace to overtake him for the Billboard #1 next week. Still, that's after only 1 day. If Tim can manage to level off a bit (in other words, to avoid plummeting), he could make it tough for Brad to catch him. I suspect that we'll see less "adjusting" of playlists this weekend as we get closer to Christmas, so in the event of a close battle (with Tim falling and Brad rising), it might be a bit tougher for Arista Nashville to get "Perfect Storm" to #1 by Monday.

I'm suddenly looking pretty smart! Granted, I later went on and gave Tim only a 30% chance of hanging onto the Billboard #1, but still.

On Thursday morning it definitely looked like Brad was on pace to catch and pass Tim on Billboard, while Tim would probably hang on to the top spot at Mediabase. But now Tim has posted 2 pretty good updates over the last 2 days, and I think he'll hang on to #1 on both charts.

I'll give Tim a 99% chance at a 2nd week at #1 on MB, and at least a 75% chance to top the Billboard chart for a 2nd week. Brad had a pretty good chance to get 3 weeks but I think he'll have to settle for two--like I thought, Tim and Big Machine have fought hard to "hold" steady for the week. Normally a 300k drop on a Tuesday morning would be enough to signal that a song is done, but this week was different, given the approaching holiday and the "#1 and holding" ads that Big Machine put out for "Shotgun Rider" on Monday evening. With all that in mind, I figured that they wouldn't let go so easily, and now here we are and it's looking like Tim will indeed win out.

While I agree 100% about the Tim/Brad situation, I'm now not so sure Brad will get two weeks. As of right now Brad gained 1.8 mil in audience over last week and Kenny gained 3.8 mil. Keep that same increase next week and suddenly Kenny is right at Brad's heels. I also think if they are going to pick one of the two to stop playing in favor of Christmas songs, it would be Brad because his song is older. Since they are both on Sony, I do think Kenny will hold off just long enough for Brad to squeak in at #1, but I wouldn't be surprised if Kenny overtakes him shortly after next Sunday night.

[Marv]

Songs which are in 'power' rotation at this time of year can lose a chunk of spins although recurrents will certainly take a hefty hit in spins as well as new singles by both format veterans and newcomers during a week in which the charts are somewhat mundane.

I don't know how many country stations flip to all-Christmas or when besides KFKF/KC which shot to #1 the past two years after doing so, so don't be surprised if there's very little movement among the top 4 tunes @ Mediabase, or even in the top 10 this week.

If the trades disagree on their #1 singles this week or even next week, that's fine with me, since I've never had a problem with that at any time of the year.

[Deleted]

Dec 21, 2014 7:31:52 GMT -5 @nickv1025 said:

While I agree 100% about the Tim/Brad situation, I'm now not so sure Brad will get two weeks. As of right now Brad gained 1.8 mil in audience over last week and Kenny gained 3.8 mil. Keep that same increase next week and suddenly Kenny is right at Brad's heels. I also think if they are going to pick one of the two to stop playing in favor of Christmas songs, it would be Brad because his song is older. Since they are both on Sony, I do think Kenny will hold off just long enough for Brad to squeak in at #1, but I wouldn't be surprised if Kenny overtakes him shortly after next Sunday night.

I don't think Kenny is a threat at all. Just this past week, it was Brad who outgained Kenny on Billboard (almost +4 million for Brad, and +2.7 million for Kenny). Brad didn't gain as much this week because he's near the "summit"--he has much less room to grow than Kenny does.

This will be a slow week all around for nearly everybody, so it will be extra tough for anybody to move up. Tim should start falling (for real this time) within the next day or two, and Brad will be close enough to him that "Perfect Storm" should be able to easily take over the #1 spot prior to Christmas. Everybody will see big negative updates on the 25th and 26th (reflecting airplay for the 24th and 25th), and thus I can't see Kenny overtaking Brad until after the New Year. And Lon Helton's co-hosting schedule seems to add credibility to this theory as well--Brad co-hosts the 1st weekend in January, and Kenny the 2nd.

I don't think Columbia Nashville will push for max spins for Kenny's song until the first full week of January. That should allow Brad 2 weeks at #1 on Billboard.

[surfy]

Wow, I really like this song!!! I haven't been following country that much this year (Sadly...) but this song is really good!!! :)

[Deleted]

Somewhat surprised at what's going on here, but maybe not. This kind of goes with my theory that I mentioned in another thread that Perfect Storm is simply now down to what it's normal levels would be at this time in it's chart run, were it not for extra pushes. That makes sense because it is closer to where other power rotation songs are.

What's concerning is this song is now closer to Til It's Gone that it is to Shotgun Rider. Unless we see extravagant gains Friday, Saturday and Sunday, it's looking like Shotgun Rider will get 3 weeks at both charts, which is what none of us were predicting (although we can probably agree that this is the way it should have been all along). I would just hate for Brad to miss a #1 yet again, especially with this song that has clearly connected more than his other recent #2s (judging by its peak on the HCS chart vs. the other peaks).

[trustypepper]

Interesting to see this song hit No. 4 on Billboard's hybrid Hot Country Songs chart, while his other recent hits River Bank (No. 12), Beat This Summer (No. 9), and Southern Comfort Zone (No. 10) failed to reach so high despite all hitting No. 2 on Country Airplay as well. I sure hope he gets a well deserved No. 1 on the Country Airplay chart here. It's been too long

[Marv]

As someone who vividly remembers numerous collisions at the top of the charts between format superstars, most memorably involving Tim & King George in the late nineties, I nevertheless hope Brad can snag one week in the penthouse on either chart.

I'm not among the 'this DESERVES to be a #1 song' fan, since some of the very best country singles over the course of my 19 years as a country music listener wound up peaking at #2, and every format superstar of those same 19 years has had it happen to them at one time or another, certainly including Mr. Paisley.

[someguy]

A #2 peak is still really good, and indicative of a really big hit. Country radio has really been caught up in the revolving door #1s in the last five or six years, but we have to remember that some of the biggest hits of the last 20 years ended up being #2 prayers. If this does end up peaking at #2, I hope it begins to start another period of big hits peaking elsewhere in the top 5, and not the constant rotation at #1 (I'm sure that's wishful thinking though).

[Deleted]

I'm still confident that this will get to #1, although I can definitely now see how Tim might be able to get 3 or even 4 weeks at #1. I think Brad still has 2 really solid chances yet (not counting the current week): the 29th thru the 4th, or the 5th thru the 11th. After that (10th/11th of January), I expect "Perfect Storm" will be on its way down, although maybe it'll start down a week earlier (the 4th). That's the weekend that Brad co-hosts CC-USA, so I'm sure Arista will keep promoting PS through then (at the very least), in hopes of having Brad #1 on MB on Sunday the 4th, and #1 on BB on Monday the 5th.

[Zazie]

I would like to believe this song will get its shot at #1, at least on BB, but I didn't like the 900k gain for Chesney on Wednesday morning's MB update. I know better than to draw conclusions from one day of data, but I hope Brad doesn't have to wait through 4 weeks of Tim before taking his shot, because I'm not sure he'll have a shot left to take after that. 3 weeks of Tim might be a problem too, but much less of one.

[thebops]

As a non chart related comment, it is refreshing to see a Country song actually have a steel and fiddle in it. What a concept! So many of the other radio songs these days are just filled with guitars and... well that's about it (and drums).