dm2081
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Post by dm2081 on Jan 23, 2015 13:30:33 GMT -5
Please, PLEASE!!!!! Let this be a sign: 5 = FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE Sun Daze 6952 -12 222 -41 49.160 -0.091 I highly doubt it. In fact, their label might be trying to cool this one down a bit, considering the mess that lies right in front of them. Talladega, Something In The Water, and I See You are all going to be jostling for the #1 spot for at least the next 3 weeks. It wouldn't make sense for Fla Ga Line to keep screaming up right now, and with Randy Houser the closest competition right now (which basically means no competition, as that song is way too old and running out of steam to contend with Sun Daze) they have the wiggle room to do so right now. But this song's popularity only seems to be gaining, as it's now the highest it's been on iTunes so far during it's run (minus the debut week from pre-album sales), and the timing really couldn't be any more perfect for it to peak on iTunes.
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blueguitar
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Post by blueguitar on Jan 23, 2015 18:02:28 GMT -5
Please, PLEASE!!!!! Let this be a sign: 5 = FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE Sun Daze 6952 -12 222 -41 49.160 -0.091 I highly doubt it. In fact, their label might be trying to cool this one down a bit, considering the mess that lies right in front of them. Talladega, Something In The Water, and I See You are all going to be jostling for the #1 spot for at least the next 3 weeks. It wouldn't make sense for Fla Ga Line to keep screaming up right now, and with Randy Houser the closest competition right now (which basically means no competition, as that song is way too old and running out of steam to contend with Sun Daze) they have the wiggle room to do so right now. But this song's popularity only seems to be gaining, as it's now the highest it's been on iTunes so far during it's run (minus the debut week from pre-album sales), and the timing really couldn't be any more perfect for it to peak on iTunes. Well, poo! I guess I'll have to throw my wishful thinking out the window. ;)
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trebor
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Post by trebor on Jan 23, 2015 18:58:59 GMT -5
It hits #1 this week on MusicRow's Country Break-Out Chart (spins on secondary radio market)
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 27, 2015 9:48:35 GMT -5
Please, PLEASE!!!!! Let this be a sign: 5 = FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE Sun Daze 6952 -12 222 -41 49.160 -0.091 I highly doubt it. In fact, their label might be trying to cool this one down a bit, considering the mess that lies right in front of them. Talladega, Something In The Water, and I See You are all going to be jostling for the #1 spot for at least the next 3 weeks. It wouldn't make sense for Fla Ga Line to keep screaming up right now, and with Randy Houser the closest competition right now (which basically means no competition, as that song is way too old and running out of steam to contend with Sun Daze) they have the wiggle room to do so right now. But this song's popularity only seems to be gaining, as it's now the highest it's been on iTunes so far during it's run (minus the debut week from pre-album sales), and the timing really couldn't be any more perfect for it to peak on iTunes. Originally, I was on board with your thoughts on this. I didn't think they were "screaming up" at the time (instead, coming up just as much as some of the other songs around it), but nonetheless I agreed. After seeing their LOSS today, I am starting to have second thoughts. If the label had actually pulled off the gas a little, wouldn't it still be getting natural gains? I can't anticipate this song just "treading water" for a few weeks until it's time to start pushing again. I could essentially see the same scenario that happened with "Something in the Water". I've said all along that I do expect this song to miss #1, but now I'm wondering if it's even going to make it to #2. Further curiosity arises from the fact that more stations are jumping on board with "Sippin' on Fire", perhaps signalling that they are more or less done with this one. All that said, this CD was so underwhelming for me, I don't see how they go 4 for 4 or 5 for 5 on number ones. Next best bet for me is "Confession".
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Kat5Kind
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Post by Kat5Kind on Jan 27, 2015 11:13:49 GMT -5
I just want this to peak so I can have my two favorites as singles already. They'd be crazy not to release Anything Goes next. (Although Sippin' on Fire is pretty damn good.)
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dm2081
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Post by dm2081 on Jan 27, 2015 11:19:41 GMT -5
I highly doubt it. In fact, their label might be trying to cool this one down a bit, considering the mess that lies right in front of them. Talladega, Something In The Water, and I See You are all going to be jostling for the #1 spot for at least the next 3 weeks. It wouldn't make sense for Fla Ga Line to keep screaming up right now, and with Randy Houser the closest competition right now (which basically means no competition, as that song is way too old and running out of steam to contend with Sun Daze) they have the wiggle room to do so right now. But this song's popularity only seems to be gaining, as it's now the highest it's been on iTunes so far during it's run (minus the debut week from pre-album sales), and the timing really couldn't be any more perfect for it to peak on iTunes. Originally, I was on board with your thoughts on this. I didn't think they were "screaming up" at the time (instead, coming up just as much as some of the other songs around it), but nonetheless I agreed. After seeing their LOSS today, I am starting to have second thoughts. If the label had actually pulled off the gas a little, wouldn't it still be getting natural gains? I can't anticipate this song just "treading water" for a few weeks until it's time to start pushing again. I could essentially see the same scenario that happened with "Something in the Water". I've said all along that I do expect this song to miss #1, but now I'm wondering if it's even going to make it to #2. Further curiosity arises from the fact that more stations are jumping on board with "Sippin' on Fire", perhaps signalling that they are more or less done with this one. All that said, this CD was so underwhelming for me, I don't see how they go 4 for 4 or 5 for 5 on number ones. Next best bet for me is "Confession". Perhaps jhomes87 or sabre14 could chime in on this one, but I still feel pretty confident this will get at least a week at #1. Thomas Rhett is starting to make up some ground on them, but I still think there is enough time for everyone to get a turn at the top here. I don't think the label wants to get blocked by Luke twice in a year's span lol
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 27, 2015 12:07:25 GMT -5
It's really odd what's going on with this one. It had virtually no trouble reaching the top 5, its sales are pretty good (currently one of the top country songs on iTunes), and I'm not aware of any glaring issues with callout or anything like that (although admittedly I haven't studied any callout charts of late). I definitely understood why the label was easing off the gas pedal last week, as they didn't want to get up too close to Eric/Luke/Carrie. That created a gap of almost 7 million between "I See You" and "Sun Daze".
But now it doesn't make sense to me for this song to keep floundering this week, unless of course radio is done with it after all. But I just find that too hard to believe. Virtually 98% of songs these days that make the top 5 eventually make the top 2 if not #1, especially when it comes to artists as popular as FGL. Carrie's on her way down now so I wouldn't think it'd be too difficult for Republic Nashville to get "Sun Daze" into top 3 rotation across most of the board by the end of this week.
Who knows...maybe this just had a bad Monday, and it will pick up over the next 2-3 days. I do know that "Sippin' On Fire" has gotten at least 3 adds already (which means it's probably the next single), but I just don't see why "Sun Daze" wouldn't be able to gain 2 million this week - or why the label wouldn't want it to gain that much - and be perfectly set up for the next 2 weeks. That's ignoring the possibility that enough radio stations might be 'done' with this song already, but again, I don't think that's the case.
It could also be that EMI Nashville's continued promotion of "Talladega" is really throwing a wrench in their plans here. If "Talladega" gets its 2nd week at #1, that still leaves a week for Luke Bryan, and then FGL wouldn't be able to get to #1 'til the 15th/16th. Still, I don't think that would be too difficult, though, as their closest competition is label-mate Thomas Rhett. And I don't see why they'd be in such a rush to move on to the next single already.
We'll just have to wait and see how it plays out over the next few days. Their bullet did take a big hit today (-96 from yesterday, for a net result of -2 over the last 7 days), but even so they did manage to post a small audience gain (+0.164).
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Jan 27, 2015 12:58:54 GMT -5
I agree with jhomes87 here. We need to see how the rest of this week plays out in regards to "Sun Daze" and its lackluster days of late. They are far enough ahead of the songs below and Carrie is done while Eric's song will be out of the way in plenty of time if "Sun Daze" does turn on the jets. That leaves just Luke and "I See You" in front of them and surely a #2 peak on either chart is very plausible. But these updates have been strange. I wasn't surprised at all in the label (the way I perceived it) holding this one back to allow EMI and Arista to duke it out this week but surely that should be over by now.
Here's what's interesting. Let's say this was January of 2005 rather than January of 2015; then that might make me believe that this could be done at radio as songs peaking at #4 or #5 after a fairly quick rise to the top 10 were much more common back then. But this is 2015 - the day and age that every single that reaches the top 5 reaches #1, or at least #1 on MB and #2 on Billboard. The sales have been there all things considered with it being the dead of winter and this is a summer song. If "Talladega" can find a way to a second week on top I still think that would be enough time for FGL to get to the top even with Luke in the way. 99 days is how long this song has spent on MB and that shouldn't be too many days here, even for a act as hot as this one.
I agree we need to see how the next two day play out at least before making a well educated guess on how this turns out.
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Dustin J.
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Post by Dustin J. on Jan 27, 2015 13:01:32 GMT -5
"Sippin' On Fire" is the next single...although I was hoping for "Confession".
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dm2081
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Post by dm2081 on Jan 27, 2015 17:19:10 GMT -5
"Sippin' On Fire" is the next single...although I was hoping for "Confession". Agree with you on Confession. I know FGL isn't very popular on Pulse here, but I'm pretty sure that'd be the only song on their album that might get a lukewarm reaction on here. Sippin' On Fire isn't bad, but after listening to the whole album a couple times, it wasn't one of the more memorable ones. Confession is less bro/party and more chill driving type of song.
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Markus Meyer
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Post by Markus Meyer on Jan 27, 2015 19:02:18 GMT -5
"Sippin' On Fire" is the next single...although I was hoping for "Confession". While absolutely adore "Sippin' on Fire", I was also hoping for "Confession". It's been a go-to song for me since I heard it.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 2, 2015 13:07:13 GMT -5
I'd say the flat week "Sun Daze" had was due to the heavy pushes both "Talladega" and "Something in the Water" received that week causing radio to give more heavy rotation spins to those two. FGL had a song in the top 5 that was a good few weeks away from #1, making them a convenient candidate for radio stations to take spins from for a week. Things should work out well for them to push for #1 next week, though, since Luke will be able to get his two weeks at #1 on both Billboard and Mediabase before FGL. It's very tough for anyone to get more than two weeks at #1 on Mediabase so I don't think Republic Nashville will have a problem knocking "I See You" from #1 with a push next week.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 7, 2015 12:03:07 GMT -5
I'm definitely expecting Capitol Nashville to try to keep "I See You" at #1 next week. There would be no other reason for the ads in CAT for Luke's song this week since there's absolutely no way Luke isn't a lock for the #1 on this week's Mediabase and Billboard charts, and the ad is bragging about the youth of Luke's song, which is definitely an asset for a song that's vying for a third week at #1 after two on Mediabase. Since Monday, Luke has gained just under a million AIs on Mediabase while "Sun Daze" has gained about 800k. So the two are gaining about the same, which is very bad for FGL and pretty impressive for Luke since "I See You" is at levels of airplay that haven't been reached since last fall when "Dirt" and "Hope You Get Lonely Tonight" set the bar really high, while "Sun Daze" is six million below Luke at levels that don't usually qualify a song for the #1 position. Unless Luke's song gets taken out of heavy rotation on a lot of radio stations next week and starts really free-falling, then FGL might have a tough time getting the Billboard #1. (Mediabase #1 is a lock for FGL next week, no doubt.) Right now I'll be optimistic and say that "Sun Daze" will probably just barely take Luke out of the top spot on both charts with a monstrous Big Machine-style push, but the Billboard #1 is far from in the bag and for the third time in a row FGL have the worst artist/label to compete against for their #1 push. As dm2081 referenced in the thread for "Lonely Tonight," if Blake Shelton ran into luck as bad as an act like FGL, he might not have such a long-running #1 streak. This is just another example of how peak positions don't always perfectly reflect hit size. Florida Georgia Line's music is usually more popular than Blake Shelton's, but Blake Shelton hasn't gone up in the company of any of the top guns in the format in as long as I can remember, while it seems like Luke Bryan, Florida Georgia Line, Jason Aldean, and Cole Swindell run into each other in the top 5 on a consistent basis. I'm also blaming Republic Nashville for FGL's struggle right now. I've always thought "Sun Daze" was a waste of a single. It's still radio-friendly and selling and testing well, but this is definitely one of the less notable songs on Anything Goes. The fact that this would sound way better in the summertime aside, this is just another run-of-the-mill party song for Florida Georgia Line, while there are many songs on this record that show artistic growth and an attempt to try new themes and sounds ("Sippin' on Fire," "Smoke," "Confession," and "Like You Ain't Even Gone"). I highly doubt that a better single choice such as "Sippin' on Fire" would have any trouble at all knocking "I See You" from #1 next week and if Republic Nashville plays their cards right with singles from the rest of this album I don't expect FGL to have anymore top 5 struggling the way "Sun Daze" has.
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onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Feb 7, 2015 13:02:38 GMT -5
Since This Is How We Roll, the duet between Florida Georgia Line and Luke Bryan, Roller Coaster went to #1 succeeded by Dirt. I would like to see it happen again where I See You gets succeeded by Sun Daze.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Feb 7, 2015 13:13:22 GMT -5
Since This Is How We Roll, the duet between Florida Georgia Line and Luke Bryan, Roller Coaster went to #1 succeeded by Dirt. I would like to see it happen again where I See You gets succeeded by Sun Daze. I could live without that happening personally.
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onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Feb 7, 2015 13:15:00 GMT -5
Since This Is How We Roll, the duet between Florida Georgia Line and Luke Bryan, Roller Coaster went to #1 succeeded by Dirt. I would like to see it happen again where I See You gets succeeded by Sun Daze. I could live without that happening personally. It just may be the first time duet partners succeeded themselves at the top of the chart twice!
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Feb 7, 2015 13:21:00 GMT -5
I could live without that happening personally. It just may be the first time duet partners succeeded themselves at the top of the chart twice! Still don't care. Lol
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onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Feb 7, 2015 13:46:20 GMT -5
I found an example, but it will have to be filed in the 'special circumstances' department. Ready?
In 1978, Waylon Jennings and Willie Nelson had a #1 duet with Mammas Don't Let Your Babies Grow Up To Be Cowboys. In 1980, they had back to back #1s twice-Jennings first hit the top with I Ain't Living Long Like This followed by Nelson's My Heroes Have Always Been Cowboys. Later on that year, the Theme From The Dukes Of Hazzard Gold Ol' Boys by Jennings was succeeded by On The Road Again by Nelson. Not consecutive releases, mind you.
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dm2081
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Post by dm2081 on Feb 8, 2015 19:45:49 GMT -5
Was there an alternate or remixed version of this song sent to radio? I just heard a very different sounding version of it on 99.9 KISS Country which services the greater Miami area down here. It was really stripped back, and the production wasn't as in your face as the studio version was. Almost sounded more beachy, that's the best way I could describe it.
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Post by Fanofctrymusic on Feb 11, 2015 5:46:07 GMT -5
Country No.1 Florida Georgia Line Sun Daze +4177 Kenny Chesney w/ Grace Potter Wild Child
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 12, 2015 18:16:04 GMT -5
This should take over the #1 spot on Mediabase tomorrow morning, and it should easily be #1 on Monday's Billboard chart as well.
Luke Bryan started the week with a 4.8 million lead and some people thought he could get a 3rd week at #1, but I always saw that as pretty doubtful, mostly because "I See You" was already at such a high level of airplay when it took over at #1 (it actually had more audience when it was at #2 than it did during either of its #1 weeks, on Billboard that is), and also because it was pretty clear that Republic Nashville had been holding off on the accelerator with this one. They would have had a harder time getting this to #1 if it spent too many weeks above 42-43 million and so over the last 2-3 weeks, "Sun Daze" was kinda holding back a bit while Carrie, Eric, and Luke were all in power rotation. So, good maneuvering here by Republic Nashville, as they didn't really need to mount any sort of final push to get this to #1.
I'm thinking 1 week at #1 for "Sun Daze", 1 week for Thomas Rhett's "Make Me Wanna", then maybe 2 weeks for Blake/Ashley, and then probably Jason Aldean and Brett Eldredge after that.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 12, 2015 19:11:52 GMT -5
Capitol Nashville appears to have stopped pushing "I See You" and not even tried for a third week at #1. If they did try, I'm sure Luke could have held flat or had a small loss (about a million) and he would have stood a chance of blocking FGL on Billboard.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 12, 2015 19:20:38 GMT -5
Capitol Nashville appears to have stopped pushing "I See You" and not even tried for a third week at #1. If they did try, I'm sure Luke could have held flat or had a small loss (about a million) and he would have stood a chance of blocking FGL on Billboard. Sure, but I didn't really expect them to try at all. Not much difference between a 2-week #1 and a 3-week #1, and everybody knows Luke is the most popular artist out there right now. I would've been very surprised if Capitol had fought for a 3rd week here. They have Darius Rucker in the top 10 now, Dierks Bentley in the top 15, Lady A is struggling inside the top 20, "Raise 'Em Up" is approaching the top 20, and Mickey Guyton is right there on the cusp of the top 40. It made too much sense for them to let go of "I See You" and instead focus their efforts on "Homegrown Honey", "Say You Do", "Better Than You Left Me", and "Girl Crush", while also trying to do what they could for "Freestyle" (although this one looks like a lost cause).
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Marv
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Post by Marv on Feb 13, 2015 6:28:58 GMT -5
As the #1 label in country radio for sixconsecutive years in terms of airplay Capitol Nashville simply has too deep of a roster of format megastars to mis-allocate any resources on securing another week at #1 on either chart for a smash single which has already reached the penthouse. 'Freestyle' is certainly sputtering which must be really alarming to label execs; trying to jumpstart that tune has to be next on their to-do list.
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Post by Daryl the Beryl on Feb 13, 2015 7:12:43 GMT -5
FGL fans, rejoice, this just hit #1 on Mediabase and should hold by Sunday.
2 1 FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE Sun Daze 7672 7363 309 55.043
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Kat5Kind
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Post by Kat5Kind on Feb 13, 2015 11:12:46 GMT -5
FGL fans, rejoice, this just hit #1 on Mediabase and should hold by Sunday. 2 1 FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE Sun Daze 7672 7363 309 55.043 YESSSS. Another one in the book for the boys.
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kanimal
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Post by kanimal on Feb 13, 2015 14:27:24 GMT -5
Hope this holds. Saw at least one hack country blog using the fact that Sun Daze supposedly flopped to wage some claim about the death of bro country.
Instead, we have a top three that consists of FGL,Luke Bryan and Thomas Rhett.
Talk about reports of death being greatly exaggerated.
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dm2081
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Post by dm2081 on Feb 13, 2015 15:17:58 GMT -5
^I don't think we will ever see bro-country die out. There is still a big market for those type of songs (Colleges/Greek Life/Probably high schoolers and young adults as well), so they don't need to go away completely. I think we will see a smaller ratio of bro songs though. The real test will be when some of these guys release their next albums, guys like Cole Swindell and Thomas Rhett. At one point though there certainly were way too many copy cat bro songs out on the market, and that's why we saw such a huge backlash.
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Post by Daryl the Beryl on Feb 13, 2015 19:44:42 GMT -5
Bro-country is not dead. Sam Hunt, these guys, Cole Swindell are red hot right now. It may decline in popularity but the fact is it is not dead.
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Markus Meyer
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Post by Markus Meyer on Feb 13, 2015 20:51:39 GMT -5
Just 'cause an artist has released bro in the past doesn't automatically make everything they record bro-country. Luke, Sam and Cole may have new songs out right now, but they're FAR from bro country. Nothing about "I See You" or "Ain't Worth the Whiskey" is bro, nor is "Take Your Time"
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