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Post by Deleted on Jul 16, 2015 23:02:57 GMT -5
Absolutely! :) One hell of a nail-biter until it really started to fire up! There also seems to be a path to #1 now that KTDU is making smaller, more measured gains. Do you think Top 3 is enough or will they try for that MB #1? It seems like a lot of effort has been spent particularly the past three week. I wonder how much they have left. I don't think the label has had to push really hard here. This is just kind of the way it is once songs hit the top 10 -- they all get heavy conversions and march up the chart one after the other. Occasionally a song will peak below #1, but I don't think that'll be the case with Brantley. I think this song has a good chance of topping both the Billboard and Mediabase charts after Jason and LBT clear out.
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samsager3
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Post by samsager3 on Jul 17, 2015 7:40:33 GMT -5
What's the next single once this is done any guesses? I figure this will be done in the next few weeks whether it peeks number 1 or not. Id love for 17 again to be released seeing as how it will probably be the final single from this album, but I figure he'll go with a more upbeat single to lead into the fall maybe if you want a bad boy or my baby's guns and roses.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 17, 2015 22:28:31 GMT -5
I just don't see this hitting #1. Brantley will end up at #3 on both charts this week. I see "Girl Crush" as bound to start falling next week after its massive push this week, and Jason will hit #1 on both charts this week, so Brantley's team will probably see a window to reach #1 next weekend and I suspect they'll do a final push for "One Hell of an Amen" next week. However, I'm sure Broken Bow will continue pushing Jason and since the gap between Brantley and Jason is so huge, I think Jason will end up staying at #1 for a second week with BG peaking at #2. Of course, only time will tell for sure if LBT will start falling and whether Valory will indeed decide to push next week.
As for the next single, I'm placing my bets on "Same Old Song," although it'll be really a shame if "17 Again" and "My Baby's Guns N' Roses" never see the light of day.
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dm2081
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Post by dm2081 on Jul 17, 2015 22:50:57 GMT -5
I just don't see this hitting #1. Brantley will end up at #3 on both charts this week. I see "Girl Crush" as bound to start falling next week after its massive push this week, and Jason will hit #1 on both charts this week, so Brantley's team will probably see a window to reach #1 next weekend and I suspect they'll do a final push for "One Hell of an Amen" next week. However, I'm sure Broken Bow will continue pushing Jason and since the gap between Brantley and Jason is so huge, I think Jason will end up staying at #1 for a second week with BG peaking at #2. Of course, only time will tell for sure if LBT will start falling and whether Valory will indeed decide to push next week. As for the next single, I'm placing my bets on "Same Old Song," although it'll be really a shame if "17 Again" and "My Baby's Guns N' Roses" never see the light of day. I don't see why Broken Bow would push for 2 weeks here. If they wanted 2 weeks, they should have blocked Canaan last week. The fact they let his song get the #1 proved to me that they'll be content with just one week. IMO, LBT can have the #1 next week if they want it, and just achieve some minimal gains next week. If not, I still think Brantley and his team can either get the #1 by next week or wait one more week. But it also wouldn't be the first time a song got antsy and made a final push a week too early. As for the next single, I agree with you that my bets are on "Same Old Song". While I enjoy the song, I think "17 Again" is a more original, and better song lyrically that seems like a big hit waiting. However, Brantley said when the release came out that one of the new tracks would be a single at some point, and "Same Old Song" is easily the most radio friendly out of all them. It has the same edge to it that "Bottoms Up" and "Country Must Be Country Wide" had, so I think it could be a big hit for him as well.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 17, 2015 23:43:11 GMT -5
I don't see why Broken Bow would push for 2 weeks here. If they wanted 2 weeks, they should have blocked Canaan last week. The fact they let his song get the #1 proved to me that they'll be content with just one week. I agree that I don't see BBR pushing for a 2nd week here, but I disagree that they let Canaan get the #1. On Mediabase, yes. On Billboard, no. To me it really looks like BBR had every intent of being at #1 on Monday's Billboard, and ceding only the MB #1 to Canaan. But then Canaan came and stole the BB #1 at the last minute, which is the first time in a long time that I've seen a label keep the push going through midnight Sunday after they'd already secured the Mediabase #1. Canaan was #1 on MB, and the label could have let him peak at #2 on BB and still called the song a #1, but they pushed hard for one more day and fought hard for the Billboard #1 as well. Jason was going to be #1 on both charts this week no matter what. I agree that BBR wanted a multi-week Billboard #1 here but Canaan put the kibosh on that. Anyway, Jason is at extremely high #'s on Mediabase -- I just can't see TLGOY still climbing next week, nor do I see it staying level. So I think next week comes down to LBT vs. Brantley. I know Jason is co-hosting Lon Helton's countdown the last weekend of the month, but I just can't see TLGOY hanging on that long. As for Brantley's next single, I'd hope for "17 Again" or an edit of "Lights Of My Hometown". "Same Old Song" would be an extremely disappointing choice.
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Post by AwayFromTheSun on Jul 19, 2015 9:03:47 GMT -5
Stone Cold Sober is going to be the next single. I'm so upset they keep overlooking "Lights Of My Hometown"
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trebor
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Post by trebor on Jul 19, 2015 9:15:38 GMT -5
Stone Cold Sober is going to be the next single. I'm so upset they keep overlooking "Lights Of My Hometown" Please quote the source (no Wikipedia, please :) LOL)
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Post by AwayFromTheSun on Jul 19, 2015 10:00:05 GMT -5
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dm2081
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Post by dm2081 on Jul 19, 2015 11:50:32 GMT -5
I can definitely live with "Stone Cold Sober" as the next single. Not sure if it's the best choice for chart success, but I think Brantley is pretty similar to Eric Church, where he has a huge and loyal fan base that will buy his album even if there aren't any radio fluff #1's on it. I just hope there's at least 2 more singles after "One Hell of An Amen" peaks, but obviously the next single would have to move a lot quicker to accomplish that feat.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Jul 19, 2015 11:53:27 GMT -5
That payoff took some serious commitment cause man, all I got out of the first five minutes of that interview was Brantley is afraid of sharks and he loves chocolate frosty's from Wendy's...
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Markus Meyer
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Post by Markus Meyer on Jul 19, 2015 14:27:02 GMT -5
Yes! I love SCS. While I think "Lights" would have been a monster hit, I think SCS will be very successful, and I'm beyond relieved that Same Old Song won't see the light of day at radio.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 20, 2015 2:06:41 GMT -5
By this point, I'm certain next week is BG's #1 push. However, I absolutely think Broken Bow will fight to keep Jason at #1. We're talking about the label that tried to make Parmalee's "Carolina" into a two-week #1 after the song took almost a year to climb the charts. Broken Bow always pushes songs for multiple weeks at #1 if they see even the slightest chance of keeping them alive. There's no way Jason's team doesn't want to take advantage of the monstrous lead he has over the next #1 challenger. However, I wasn't quite expecting Brantley to have such big gains this week so I'll slightly retract my earlier prediction that this won't hit #1. Right now, I think it's too soon to call who will be #1 next week but I expect it to be a photo finish between BG and Jason. I'll have to see what the numbers look like tomorrow and Tuesday. I'm expecting Brantley to start his final push week with about 1050-1100 spins on Mediabase since he picked up extra spins on Lon Helton's countdown program this weekend. Once I see how may spins he and Jason get Monday (Tuesday morning's chart update) without any syndicated program boost I'll make a final prediction about who will be #1, although I do like Brantley's chances of going the distance a lot better now than I did Thursday.
On a side note, I did hear Country Countdown USA and "One Hell of an Amen" received an extra spin of the studio version, not an acoustic or live version as some, including myself, had thought is usually the case. I don't listen to this program often so I can't say whether this is the norm, but these extra spins will count towards Brantley's position on the Billboard chart this week.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 20, 2015 2:15:11 GMT -5
However, I wasn't quite expecting Brantley to have such big gains this week I know a lot of stations have been spinning this extra this week because of the shootings in Chattanooga.
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trebor
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Post by trebor on Jul 21, 2015 6:32:47 GMT -5
Moves up 3 notches: #5 to #2! I'm stunned. :) By doing so he leaps Little Big Town on the Billboard Airplay Chart. The audience impressions are extremely high again and would had him snatch the #1 spot one year ago! (07/26/14: Joe Nichols: "Yeah" 44.796M and 08/02/14: David Nail: "Whatever She's Got" 41.987M)
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Post by Deleted on Jul 21, 2015 7:16:01 GMT -5
The audience impressions are extremely high again and would had him snatch the #1 spot one year ago! (07/26/14: Joe Nichols: "Yeah" 44.796M and 08/02/14: David Nail: "Whatever She's Got" 41.987M) A few weeks ago, Kenny Chesney's "Wild Child" was #1 with only 43.4 million. That's probably the lowest #1 total we've had on a non-holiday chart in quite some time, and it's crazy too because Kenny really had no competition for the #1 spot that week. So yeah, both Brantley Gilbert and Little Big Town have out-peaked "Wild Child" in terms of Billboard audience. But late summer and fall seem to be the time of year when audience totals skyrocket (for the top 5 songs, anyway). I've really noticed this over the last couple of years, when songs like "It Goes Like This", "Hope You Get Lonely Tonight", "Runnin' Outta Moonlight", "Don't Ya", and others have climbed up into the 48-50 million range or even higher. "Hope You Get Lonely Tonight" holds the record with 50.6 million, but unless Jason Aldean levels off later this week, "Tonight Looks Good On You" is likely to set a new Billboard audience record.
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trebor
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Post by trebor on Jul 21, 2015 7:31:08 GMT -5
The audience impressions are extremely high again and would had him snatch the #1 spot one year ago! (07/26/14: Joe Nichols: "Yeah" 44.796M and 08/02/14: David Nail: "Whatever She's Got" 41.987M) A few weeks ago, Kenny Chesney's "Wild Child" was #1 with only 43.4 million. That's probably the lowest #1 total we've had on a non-holiday chart in quite some time, and it's crazy too because Kenny really had no competition for the #1 spot that week. So yeah, both Brantley Gilbert and Little Big Town have out-peaked "Wild Child" in terms of Billboard audience. But late summer and fall seem to be the time of year when audience totals skyrocket (for the top 5 songs, anyway). I've really noticed this over the last couple of years, when songs like "It Goes Like This", "Hope You Get Lonely Tonight", "Runnin' Outta Moonlight", "Don't Ya", and others have climbed up into the 48-50 million range or even higher. "Hope You Get Lonely Tonight" holds the record with 50.6 million, but unless Jason Aldean levels off later this week, "Tonight Looks Good On You" is likely to set a new Billboard audience record.Do you happen to remember who holds the title? I'm too lazy to check myself right now.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 21, 2015 7:39:33 GMT -5
A few weeks ago, Kenny Chesney's "Wild Child" was #1 with only 43.4 million. That's probably the lowest #1 total we've had on a non-holiday chart in quite some time, and it's crazy too because Kenny really had no competition for the #1 spot that week. So yeah, both Brantley Gilbert and Little Big Town have out-peaked "Wild Child" in terms of Billboard audience. But late summer and fall seem to be the time of year when audience totals skyrocket (for the top 5 songs, anyway). I've really noticed this over the last couple of years, when songs like "It Goes Like This", "Hope You Get Lonely Tonight", "Runnin' Outta Moonlight", "Don't Ya", and others have climbed up into the 48-50 million range or even higher. "Hope You Get Lonely Tonight" holds the record with 50.6 million, but unless Jason Aldean levels off later this week, "Tonight Looks Good On You" is likely to set a new Billboard audience record.Do you happen to remember who holds the title? I'm too lazy to check myself right now. I said it like 2 sentences before, lol. Cole Swindell's "Hope You Get Lonely Tonight" is the record-holder with 50.6 million. :) Perhaps I should have just said that Jason is likely to break Cole's record.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 21, 2015 7:45:55 GMT -5
^Lol trebor's also gonna be happy to hear that in its 12th week on the Hot 100, this rises 57-50, making it Brantley's 2nd Top 50 song off "Just As I Am."
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trebor
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Post by trebor on Jul 21, 2015 7:51:08 GMT -5
Do you happen to remember who holds the title? I'm too lazy to check myself right now. I said it like 2 sentences before, lol. Cole Swindell's "Hope You Get Lonely Tonight" is the record-holder with 50.6 million. :) Perhaps I should have just said that Jason is likely to break Cole's record. #OMG The ultimate shame... #MoronAward2015Let me grab some coffee to clear up my head... So sorry! The heat must be taking its toll....
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 21, 2015 8:01:42 GMT -5
I said it like 2 sentences before, lol. Cole Swindell's "Hope You Get Lonely Tonight" is the record-holder with 50.6 million. :) Perhaps I should have just said that Jason is likely to break Cole's record. #OMG The ultimate shame... #MoronAward2015Let me grab some coffee to clear up my head... So sorry! The heat must be taking its toll.... No worries, trebor! :) Let me know how that coffee is!! I myself am enjoying some Reese's Sticks this morning, LOL.
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trebor
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Rock this quiet, little country town
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Post by trebor on Jul 21, 2015 8:10:48 GMT -5
#OMG The ultimate shame... #MoronAward2015Let me grab some coffee to clear up my head... So sorry! The heat must be taking its toll.... No worries, trebor! :) Let me know how that coffee is!! I myself am enjoying some Reese's Sticks this morning, LOL. Nescafé Classic instant coffee... :)
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Post by KeepDeanWeird on Jul 21, 2015 11:36:10 GMT -5
^Lol trebor's also gonna be happy to hear that in its 12th week on the Hot 100, this rises 57-50, making it Brantley's 2nd Top 50 song off "Just As I Am." I still think it's funny (sad) that country songs that are in or close to Top 20 airplay barely are scraping Top 50 - some it is clearly sales, but streaming is really holding them back on H100. Regardless, if Valory is doing a "max spins this week," will it be enough for No.1? TLGOY has a large lead and is still getting small gains. I'm still trying to decipher how and why Country PDs respond to these pushes six months into a songs life, only to do a major purge the following two weeks. Other than the 'false' dance chart, Country radio is still an enigma to me.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 21, 2015 11:54:03 GMT -5
I'm still trying to decipher how and why Country PDs respond to these pushes six months into a songs life, only to do a major purge the following two weeks. Other than the 'false' dance chart, Country radio is still an enigma to me. Country radio is based on relationships more than other radio formats are. The whole country radio industry really prides itself on the "relationships" between radio folks, label staffers, and the artists. If a song gets close to #1, radio loves going out of their way to help out their 'buddies' (personally the way it all works makes me gag, but w/e). It doesn't always work out, but most times if a song gets close to #1, radio is happy to step in and give it its week at the top. Songs often crawl along until they hit the top 20...then they pick up the pace a bit...and then suddenly they explode upon hitting the top 10. The charts move so slowly because there are so many singles available for radio to play, so what happens is that a bunch of them stay in light rotation for weeks or months, and just kind of "slip into the cracks", advancing 1 or 2 spots at a time, until they are high enough that they are starting to get noticed by a much broader audience. After that, the momentum just kind of snowballs from there. That's my take on it, anyway :)
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Post by KeepDeanWeird on Jul 21, 2015 12:30:24 GMT -5
I'm still trying to decipher how and why Country PDs respond to these pushes six months into a songs life, only to do a major purge the following two weeks. Other than the 'false' dance chart, Country radio is still an enigma to me. Country radio is based on relationships more than other radio formats are. The whole country radio industry really prides itself on the "relationships" between radio folks, label staffers, and the artists. If a song gets close to #1, radio loves going out of their way to help out their 'buddies' (personally the way it all works makes me gag, but w/e). It doesn't always work out, but most times if a song gets close to #1, radio is happy to step in and give it its week at the top. Songs often crawl along until they hit the top 20...then they pick up the pace a bit...and then suddenly they explode upon hitting the top 10. The charts move so slowly because there are so many singles available for radio to play, so what happens is that a bunch of them stay in light rotation for weeks or months, and just kind of "slip into the cracks", advancing 1 or 2 spots at a time, until they are high enough that they are starting to get noticed by a much broader audience. After that, the momentum just kind of snowballs from there. That's my take on it, anyway :) Thanks for explanation. What surprises me is the lack of significant burn among several songs. Clearly, if ratings were impacted significantly, the chart runs would be different. Unlike other formats, it's very much a lock-step system with rare significant hops and only a few songs trading places - particularly between 11-20, except when a song is nearing the end. It's just kind of funny how radio were pretty indifferent to OHOAA when it started with it struggling to edge the Top 40, especially following other hits, and yet months later, it (deservedly) will reach the summit.
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CoJoFan
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Post by CoJoFan on Jul 21, 2015 13:36:49 GMT -5
I predicted this to be a #1 hit and unless stations just absolutely quit playing it this coming week. I don't think my prediction will be wrong. The only thing I could see going wrong is stations playing "Girl Crush" more than Brantley and it jumping it to be the #1 song next week or Jason Aldean staying at the top for a second week. Brantley will get to #1 though!
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Post by Deleted on Jul 21, 2015 13:48:51 GMT -5
I predicted this to be a #1 hit and unless stations just absolutely quit playing it this coming week. I don't think my prediction will be wrong. The only thing I could see going wrong is stations playing "Girl Crush" more than Brantley and it jumping it to be the #1 song next week or Jason Aldean staying at the top for a second week. Brantley will get to #1 though! "Girl Crush" is done. It lost 1.5 million on Mediabase this morning. And anyway, Brantley is the one that jumped "Girl Crush". LBT moved 4-3 on Billboard last night, but Brantley moved 5-2. LBT will fall way out of the top 5 before we even get to the weekend. This week is Brantley's only chance to get to #1, and right now I'd say his odds are no better than 50/50. Jason Aldean still has a very sizable lead, and "Tonight Looks Good On You" isn't done gaining audience yet (Jason actually out-gained Brantley in audience in this morning's Mediabase udpate). Jason will need to level off, and perhaps lose some audience, toward the end of the week if Brantley hopes to catch him.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Jul 24, 2015 12:21:31 GMT -5
I think this will get to #1 on MB by Sunday but it's going to be fairly close. Broken Bow hasn't given up on gunning for two weeks at #1 and Jason's audience, while leveling off, hasn't fallen dramatically (Jason's actually gained a net audience of 340k for the week but has lost some audience the past couple days). If Jason's spins and audience stays leveled off, Brantley will get the #1 on MB but I'm not so sure about Billboard. If Jason's audience starts to bleed, than perhaps Brantley can get to #1 on Billboard as well. This is clearly Brantley's only chance to hit #1 but the reason I'm confident he'll get there is not only has his audience and spins gains been overwhelming (755 spins and 5.2 million in audience since Sunday), but I heard Brantley interviewed on Taste Of Country Nights two nights ago and the host Sam Alex was congratulating Brantley on his future #1. Brantley said he doesn't count his chickens before they hatch but was comforted by Alex saying something to the effect of "it's certainly looking that way."
I'm just in a daze at this point. The Canaan Smith debacle sucked all the will I have for chart watching this summer and made me once again realize that this process isn't organic whatsoever, and each #1 seems like a scheduled doctor's office visit.
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Post by Daryl the Beryl on Jul 26, 2015 5:04:30 GMT -5
#1 on MB
3 1 BRANTLEY GILBERT One Hell Of An Amen 8402 7399 1003 56.418
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Post by Fanofctrymusic on Jul 26, 2015 7:54:43 GMT -5
Country No.1 Brantley Gilbert One Hell Of An Amen +19175 Kenny Chesney Save It For A Rainy Day
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Post by Daryl the Beryl on Jul 26, 2015 7:59:39 GMT -5
YES
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