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Post by 43dudleyvillas on Mar 12, 2015 22:59:31 GMT -5
rsmatto I'm aware that it's only been out for 7 weeks, and that sales will most likely pick up once it crosses the top 30 threshold. But it's not like nobody knows who he is at this point, he's had a couple of big hits already. Other songs around his area on the chart are doing better too, like Old Dominion, Mickey Guyton, Brantley Gilbert, and even Reba, who has a fan base prior to the digital age, is selling slightly better. I'm not writing this song off yet, but I think it's fair to say that many Kip Moore fans would be hoping for a better digital performance so far. I agree with this. I like to see digital download rankings for singles somewhere in the area of their airplay rankings, give or take five to ten spots to account for debuts, songs boosted by one-time events like TV performances or discounts, etc. "I'm to Blame" isn't close to that at the moment -- it didn't make the top fifty on this week's Billboard Country Digital Songs chart, and is currently sitting at #85 on the iTunes country chart, around fifty spots behind its airplay rank. It's clear that the passion of Kip Moore's core fanbase wasn't enough to help his previous two singles, and I think it's natural to look at indicators like sales (as their own metric and as a proxy for general listener passion) to try to gauge whether "I'm to Blame" will be the comeback single that Kip Moore needs in order to get his sophomore album out. At this early stage, I think sales that tracked with or in front of airplay would be a reassuring sign that "I'm to Blame" is inspiring active interest beyond those already dialed into Kip Moore's every move. That isn't happening here at the moment, but all that means is that we're missing a reassuring sign, pending a video release. Personally, I would rather listen to Kip Moore than the rest of the long line of bro-line (natch) that has overtaken country radio. So I'm rooting for all indicators for "I'm to Blame" to pick up soon.
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rsmatto
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Post by rsmatto on Mar 13, 2015 10:37:21 GMT -5
rsmatto I'm aware that it's only been out for 7 weeks, and that sales will most likely pick up once it crosses the top 30 threshold. But it's not like nobody knows who he is at this point, he's had a couple of big hits already. Other songs around his area on the chart are doing better too, like Old Dominion, Mickey Guyton, Brantley Gilbert, and even Reba, who has a fan base prior to the digital age, is selling slightly better. I'm not writing this song off yet, but I think it's fair to say that many Kip Moore fans would be hoping for a better digital performance so far. “I’m To Blame” has sold 35k in 5 weeks, Reba has sold 52k in 9 weeks, Mickey Guyton has sold 43k in 9 weeks. Old Dominion has sold 77k in 22(!) weeks. Your comparisons don’t hold any water. If anything, they're all in the same boat as Kip. Reba's a veteran artist with fans that still mostly prefer albums. Mickey is a new artist with buzz but not enough to make the song sell until it hits certain chart placements (The fact that it is even where it is at despite chart placement is positive) and Old Dominion's song (like Chase Rice's airplay of "Ride" on "The Highway") is a completely different animal. It's more like what happened with Canaan Smith's single or Rice's "Ready Set Roll" than anything Kip Moore's released. Similar (to Kip's "I'm To Blame") charted songs include Maddie & Tae’s “Fly,” a song which isn’t likely to “stall” in the 20s. It’s actually sold LESS than Kip’s song in 13 weeks. it has sold 33k. Also There’s Dustin Lynch’s similarly-charted track “Hell Of A Night” in 15 weeks on the chart, its sold 45k. Honestly, Kip is doing just fine at the moment. The mere fact that Kip’s fans helped the song debut high enough on the Top 30 digital tracks means that he can and will sell well once the song gets into certain chart markers (Top 30, Top 20, etc.) where people finally hear it, are reminded that they like Kip Moore and then decide to buy it on iTunes, GooglePlay or Amazon digital to put on their own playlists. The song is on the same path that similar “level” artists have hit. For example Brett Eldredge, Jake Owen, Frankie Ballard, and Chris Young. He's not an instant add or hot-seller yet. So to derive that fans should hope for a better digital performance is to not understand the digital sales chart dynamics at all. It's out-performing similarly placed singles and is very likely to at least hit 400k sold (if/when it ends its run in the Top 10 or Top 5). THAT is a good number. Not a great one but with a few lucky breaks, it will hit Gold and if it really catches fire this summer, it could do even more.
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Post by myeverything on Mar 13, 2015 11:02:48 GMT -5
That's all very reassuring. Thanks for the info it is greatly appreciated!
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Post by Deleted on Mar 19, 2015 3:37:08 GMT -5
I'm hopeful that once this one gets into the top 30, it'll start to pick up some more steam. By the way, Evan Williams Bourbon is offering a free download of this song. They also have some behind the scenes footage of the making of Kip's upcoming album. www.evanwilliams.com/insider.php?page=kipmoore
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Post by myeverything on Mar 19, 2015 8:32:54 GMT -5
How's it looking lately jhomes? Any idea when it'll hit the Top 30?
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Post by Daryl the Beryl on Mar 19, 2015 8:49:13 GMT -5
My guess would be somewhere in April if it doesn't slow down too badly.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Mar 19, 2015 12:39:43 GMT -5
This song has actually broken even in audience so far this week (.07K). "I'm To Blame" has definitely slowed down and I do think some caution is needed here, but at the same time, it's working on week #9 right now. Like jhomes87 said up thread, Kip hasn't had a top 20 hit in quite a while (almost two full years), so he needs to get reacquainted with radio. He's still not an A-Lister, so these sort of chart runs will have to do. The high 30's to low 20's is always a brutal portion of the chart and sometimes songs lose the battle if the chart is competitive enough (see "I Wish I Could Break Your Heart", "Clockwork", "Keep It To Yourself" and "What I Can't Put Down" as examples). I agree that getting top 30 will likely allow for some steam to pick up here. It's still early enough to let MCA do their work.
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Post by myeverything on Mar 19, 2015 22:05:59 GMT -5
Well, they better get on it!! haha
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Markus Meyer
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Post by Markus Meyer on Mar 29, 2015 17:00:54 GMT -5
I'm starting to get a little concerned for this one now. Another pretty much flat week, and sales haven't picked up again yet (#443 on the all-genre chart, which is lower than pretty much every other song in its range.) I still think this will got top-20, but I'm not nearly as confident in a high peak as I was earlier.
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Post by minnesotacountry on Mar 31, 2015 13:35:24 GMT -5
I'm new to the board and a huge Kip Moore fan, which is why I signed up. Has anyone seen/heard anything new on I'm to Blame and/or the record. Seems to have slowed down, and starting to worry about them jumping ship again at the label and setting back the album even further.
I personally like the song, but don't think it's his strongest from the new stuff so was a little surprised when they went with it. Hope it takes off, just blows my mind when great artists like him lag behind the run-of-the-mill stuff you're hearing from 90% of male artists right now .
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goodsoul81
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Post by goodsoul81 on Apr 7, 2015 12:19:51 GMT -5
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Post by myeverything on Apr 7, 2015 12:53:13 GMT -5
Bahahaha so worth the wait. A little cheesy, but this sums it up pretty well. This better get some buzz going about the song again!
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Post by minnesotacountry on Apr 13, 2015 13:21:24 GMT -5
Dig the video, even if a little bit hokey. Really hope it really gets the single moving again -- gotta wonder what label does with record if this one stalls like the last two.
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Post by myeverything on Apr 21, 2015 15:56:06 GMT -5
How's this one doing on the charts, y'all?
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Apr 21, 2015 16:09:53 GMT -5
How's this one doing on the charts, y'all? Hanging in there is the best I can say for this one. "I'm To Blame" has increased just 166 spins and 930k in audience over the past 23 days, and has lost 47k in audience since Sunday. It's sales are still a bit behind where I think they should be by now but again, this portion of the chart is all about weathering the storm. What's helping Kip right now is that his song is only 13 weeks old and MCA has gotten this to #32 on both Billboard and MB. I think Kip has a good shot at getting a top 30 finish on MB by Sunday evening as Chris and Joe will be going recurrent and Josh's song is now in free fall mode. One spot is going to Eric, who fell from the top 30 this past chart, and the other two should be going to Kip and Maddie & Tae. Both Reba and Luke can't make up the points they are behind "I'm To Blame" and "Fly" in seven days, and there's no one else threating on MB behind that, at least this week. What's beneficial about that is then Kip can get the countdown spins from Lon Helton's countdown and the stations who carry the top 30 version of Kix's countdown. It's not substantial, but it helps.
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Post by myeverything on Apr 22, 2015 19:47:28 GMT -5
Well lets hope those countdown spins help enough to get him gaining at a decent pace again. Gosh, it's so frustrating being such a big Kip fan sometimes..it's really hard to see him struggle in anything.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 25, 2015 21:41:14 GMT -5
Today was Kip's best single-day update in, like, forever. "I'm To Blame" increased by 89 spins and nearly 400k in audience, and it jumped 2 spots to #30 on Mediabase. Chris Young will go recurrent on MB tomorrow afternoon, so Kip should finish the week at #29 there...which means countdown spins from Lon Helton 2 weeks from now. I really, really want Kip's sophomore album, but at the same time, I'm a little bit worried...I don't enjoy "I'm To Blame", "Dirt Road", or "Young Love" nearly as much as I enjoyed virtually every song on his debut album (which I'm listening to right now, for about the 300th time). Seriously, "Drive Me Crazy", "Beer Money", "Everything But You", "Crazy One More Time", "Where You Are Tonight", "Hey Pretty Girl", "Reckless (Still Growin' Up)", "Up All Night", "Fly Again", "Faith When I Fall"...every song was incredible. The only one I didn't like of course was "Somethin' 'Bout A Truck". The 3 singles we've gotten so far (and who knows if "Young Love" and "Dirt Road" will even be on album #2) would only rank above "Somethin' 'Bout A Truck", in my opinion. Otherwise I like every single track from Up All Night more than the recent singles. To this day I'm still sad that "Drive Me Crazy", "Everything But You", and "Crazy One More Time" couldn't be singles :'( I just hope that the sophomore album has some really good tracks on it. The new songs on Spotify from a few months back sounded pretty promising...it's just the single choices that have been very perplexing. They chose great singles from his debut (I just wish they could've gone deeper, but I understand why they couldn't), but none of the new singles have completely won me over. "I'm To Blame" is pretty good, but again, if it had been on his debut album, it'd be near the bottom of the barrel. I just find it to be a bit underwhelming.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 26, 2015 1:01:20 GMT -5
I am totally with jhomes87 on Kip Moore's material being underwhelming this era (if we ever end up getting to call it that, lol). He definitely lost something since the last album. I want to say it's the passion you could feel in most of the tracks on Kip's debut album, but then again Kip seems really into "Young Love" and the song as a whole just still came across as a snoozer with way too much production. So I can't quite put my finger on what's going wrong but Kip Moore is losing me really, really quickly. I personally think even the promotional song Kip Moore did for Case Construction would have been a better single than the stuff he's been releasing to radio lately. This song is tied with "Young & Crazy" and "Let Me See Ya Girl" for #6 most spun song on The Highway, and it's still not selling too great, lingering in the lower half of the 200's on iTunes (was even lower until the video came out a few weeks ago and gave this a little spike). It's pretty bad for this song (as well as Frankie's) to be getting played so heavily on XM radio and still selling poorly, especially since this is a lead single. I frankly don't see this making the top 10 and so it's a gamble whether MCA will try to release an album if this peaks in the teens (which I'd say is the most likely peak range). If Kip doesn't get an album out with this single, I don't know what's going to happen. I don't know when an artist on a major label has recovered from a sophomore slump so bad that three singles couldn't get an album out, so while I don't see UMG dropping Kip if this misses the top 10, I think there will be a bit of a problem if Kip's label doesn't feel "I'm to Blame" makes enough of an impact to release a full-length record.
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Post by myeverything on Apr 26, 2015 16:01:27 GMT -5
A lot of the people that Kip has on his team want certain things from him, along with dozens of other people but usually Kip wants something else, lol. That's just how it is and that's just Kip. He may be stubborn and he may be a perfectionist, but at the end of the day he ALWAYs stays true to himself, tells it like it is, and does what ever he feels like doing. From time to time I've wanted him to just give in and do something he may not wanna do for a change but at the same time I'm glad he doesn't. Kip stays very dedicated to his craft and for the last 2 years he's done nothing but eat, sleep and breathe this new album. He'll sit there in the studio for days rearranging and re-recording the same song over and over again. He's even had everything finished and then randomly decides to go back in and cut a different song and mess around with things again. Sometimes I feel that he's become infatuated with it and you know what? That's okay. He's a rare one he is.
I just sincerely hope that we can finally get this album. Trust me when I say I've heard most if not all of the songs on it and it is truly outstanding. No, it doesn't sound like the first album but he say's he's in a very different stage in his life and he's already more willing to start taking some risks, etc. He's said time and time again that he doesn't wanna be predictable. He doesn't wanna release the same album over and over and that he doesn't want everyone to know what kind of album he's about to put out. So I think that has a lot to do with it also. But like I said, these new songs really are amazing. And they truthfully don't sound anything like the last 3 singles he's put out. I still cannot understand why they've put out the ones that they have but I clearly can't do anything about it as much as I sometimes want to, lol.
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Post by minnesotacountry on Apr 27, 2015 14:51:50 GMT -5
A lot of the people that Kip has on his team want certain things from him, along with dozens of other people but usually Kip wants something else, lol. That's just how it is and that's just Kip. He may be stubborn and he may be a perfectionist, but at the end of the day he ALWAYs stays true to himself, tells it like it is, and does what ever he feels like doing. From time to time I've wanted him to just give in and do something he may not wanna do for a change but at the same time I'm glad he doesn't. Kip stays very dedicated to his craft and for the last 2 years he's done nothing but eat, sleep and breathe this new album. He'll sit there in the studio for days rearranging and re-recording the same song over and over again. He's even had everything finished and then randomly decides to go back in and cut a different song and mess around with things again. Sometimes I feel that he's become infatuated with it and you know what? That's okay. He's a rare one he is. I just sincerely hope that we can finally get this album. Trust me when I say I've heard most if not all of the songs on it and it is truly outstanding. No, it doesn't sound like the first album but he say's he's in a very different stage in his life and he's already more willing to start taking some risks, etc. He's said time and time again that he doesn't wanna be predictable. He doesn't wanna release the same album over and over and that he doesn't want everyone to know what kind of album he's about to put out. So I think that has a lot to do with it also. But like I said, these new songs really are amazing. And they truthfully don't sound anything like the last 3 singles he's put out. I still cannot understand why they've put out the ones that they have but I clearly can't do anything about it as much as I sometimes want to, lol. I'm a huge fan of Kip's too, have followed him from the Mary is the Marrying Kind days and agree that the selection of singles they've decided to put out has been strange. I think the entire EP from September was better than the last 3 singles, and I actually don't mind those songs. I think Drive Me Crazy and Crazy One More time were bonafide hits they left on the table and DMC could've been a #1. I am genuinely starting to worry about the sophomore album and future if I'm to Blame continues to disappoint, which is looking more and more likely. With the fan base and road following he has, I can't see him getting dropped -- but clearly there is something amiss because all the stuff I've heard him do live, etc. as far as new songs has been fantastic...and is why the last 3 singles is such a weird thing. I genuinely think Kip is one of the best singer-songwriters Nashville has now...but coming off that monster debut album, I can't figure out why on earth we're at where we are at right now.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Apr 28, 2015 13:08:32 GMT -5
Better two day start to the week for this one as it's up 76 spins and nearly 700k in audience, granted this is currently the third most spun song the past seven days on Westwood One, so it's total audience is a bit inflated, lol.
I don't see "I'm To Blame" becoming a big hit though a top 20 peak is very possible and I echo the sentiments of the questionable single choices for this second album era, particularly "Dirt Road" which was just a complete waste of promotion if you ask me as that one had little chance of becoming a hit last summer. As much as MCA believes in him and, most artists have a potential to get dropped if there's lackluster chart success and sales (even those with loyal followings).
Hopefully "I'm To Blame" can chug along for a peak that warrants an album release.
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Post by myeverything on Apr 28, 2015 15:59:48 GMT -5
He says with Dirt Road that he just always feels that people took it too literal and there's a politics issue with it. I tend to agree with him. I also believe in him just as much as MCA does and I know dozens of others who feel the exact same. Kip has a very loyal underground fan base/thing going for him... The casual country music fan and listener and maybe even the community as a whole wouldn't know it, but it's one of the strongest I've seen and witnessed.
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Kat5Kind
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Post by Kat5Kind on Apr 28, 2015 16:03:18 GMT -5
He says with Dirt Road that he just always feels that people took it too literal and there's a politics issue with it. I tend to agree with him. I also believe in him just as much as MCA does and I know dozens of others who feel the exact same. Kip has a very loyal underground fan base/thing going for him... The casual country music fan and listener and maybe even the community as a whole wouldn't know it, but it's one of the strongest I've seen and witnessed. His fanbase is fantastic. Dirt Road wasn't meant to be taken that literally-people are ridiculous these days.
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onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on May 1, 2015 12:17:51 GMT -5
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Post by gardyfan on May 1, 2015 19:29:06 GMT -5
I've come around on the song. Still don't find it to be great, but it's a nice little song. Really helps to not hear it ten times a day like I did when it first came out.
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Post by myeverything on May 6, 2015 22:10:04 GMT -5
He's done this in his live shows for quite some time now and it's always a highlight!
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Post by minnesotacountry on May 13, 2015 9:38:42 GMT -5
anything new happening on this song? Cracked top 30 last I heard, but rumors are his album will not be delayed til August at least. Frustrating!
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on May 13, 2015 13:42:06 GMT -5
anything new happening on this song? Cracked top 30 last I heard, but rumors are his album will not be delayed til August at least. Frustrating! "I'm To Blame" sits at #27 on MB and #31 on Billboard. It's actually starting to start pick up some steam. "I'm To Blame" has gained 112 spins and 716k in audience since Sunday. Last week it racked up 953k in audience gains and 525k the week before. 13 of its spins are coming from W1HC (Westwood One) and All Access is not cooperating with W1MC's playlist. I think that things are looking rather upward for "I'm To Blame" though it's still not doing amazing. I'm sure MCA will get his album out if this cracks the top 20, which I think will happen. It'd be nice if its sales picked up a bit more though than they currently are, especially when The Highway has been a big supporter so far.
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onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on May 14, 2015 10:31:05 GMT -5
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Post by myeverything on May 15, 2015 21:34:37 GMT -5
Good news... thanks so much guys!!
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