HITS 7/31: Jill Scott 43-48k SPS, Lamb Of God 40-45k SPS

[Adam (UTR)]

Jill Scott (Atlantic) 40-45k albums, 43-48k SPS
Lamb of God (Epic) 38-43k, 40-45k
Southpaw (Shady/Interscope) 30-35k, 35-40k
Bea Miller (SYCO/Hollywood) 21-24k, 24-27k

(HDD)

[Green Baron]

It isn't entirely impossible for Lamb of God to get #1 now, is it?

[areyoureadytojump]

Quiet week...

[fearlessarrow]

So this looks like a three-way battle between Jill Scott, Lamb of God, and Taylor Swift...

Regardless of what hits #1, the #1 album is bound to be one of the lowest-selling for a Billboard 200 #1, isn't it?

[Enigma.]

I imagine Future will be on that 50k region too.

[fearlessarrow]

^Oops, I totally forgot about Future...

A 4-way battle then? When was the last time that a race for #1 between 4 albums happened?

[kanimal]

Top 15 Forecast: hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=297003

*Jill Scott (Blues Babe) 50-55k sales, 55-60k SPS
*Lamb of God (Epic) 43-48k, 45-50k
Future (Epic) 30-35k, 47-52k
*Southpaw (Shady/Interscope) 30-35k, 35-40k
*Bea Miller (SYCO/Hollywood) 24-27k, 25-28k
Tyrese (Voltron) 21-24k, 24-27k
Taylor Swift (Big Machine/BMLG) 21-24k, 45-50k
Alan Jackson (Capitol Nashville) 19-22k, 20-23k
*We Came As Romans (Equal Vision) 15-18k, 16-19k
Meek Mill (MMG/Atlantic) 14-16k, 27-29k
Ed Sheeran (Atlantic) 14-16k, 30-35k
*Hopsin (Funk Volume/Warner Bros.) 14-16k, 15-17k
*Jack & Jack (Jack & Jack) 13-15k, 15-17k
Kidz Bop Kids (Razor & Tie) 12-14k, 13-15k
Sam Hunt (MCA Nashville) 12-14k, 26-29k
============

Bea Miller SPS total makes no sense. Fire N Gold itself is expected to sell ~40K this week. Perhaps Hits is assigning the TEA to the EP, but why would that be the case?

[DJ General]

Pretty impressive for the Southpaw soundtrack to be getting almost 40k with no promotion on TV or radio. The power of Eminem :)

[Enigma.]

Wow never thought Jill Scott could get another #1

Great timing!

[#LisaRinna]

Tyrese holding up!

[damita34]

Great for Jill for having another #1 album!!

[areyoureadytojump]

Status: Building 57% - UPDATED DAILY TUESDAY-FRIDAY

-- 1 JILL SCOTT WOMAN BLUES BABE 32,352
-- 2 SOUTHPAW VARIOUS ARTISTS SHADY/INTERSCOPE 22,221
-- 3 LAMB OF GOD VII: STURM UND DRANG EPIC 21,544
-- 4 BEA MILLER NOT AN APOLOGY HOLLYWOOD/SYCO 20,153
1 5 FUTURE DS2 EPIC 15,961
6 6 TAYLOR SWIFT 1989 BIG MACHINE 11,911
2 7 TYRESE BLACK ROSE VOLTRON 10,380
-- 8 ALAN JACKSON ANGELS AND ALCOHOL CAPITOL NASHVILLE 10,073
-- 9 JACK & JACK CALIBRASKA - EP JACK & JACK 9,969
-- 10 HOPSIN POUND SYNDROME FUNK VOLUME 9,609
7 11 KIDZ BOP KIDS KIDZ BOP 29 RAZOR & TIE 7,165
-- 12 ASHLEY MONROE THE BLADE WARNER BROS. NASHVILLE 6,459
9 13 ED SHEERAN X ATLANTIC 6,456
10 14 SAM HUNT MONTEVALLO MCA NASHVILLE 6,260
-- 15 ISRAEL & NEW BREED COVERED: ALIVE IN ASIA RCA INSPIRATION 5,568
8 16 MEEK MILL DREAMS WORTH MORE THAN MONEY MMG/ATLANTIC 5,444
16 17 MEGHAN TRAINOR TITLE EPIC 4,523
18 18 SAM SMITH IN THE LONELY HOUR CAPITOL 4,277
21 19 ERIC CHURCH THE OUTSIDERS EMI NASHVILLE 4,025
17 20 ZAC BROWN BAND JEKYLL + HYDE SOUTHERN GROUND/VARVATOS/BMLG/REPUBLIC 3,901
14 21 BREAKING BENJAMIN DARK BEFORE DAWN HOLLYWOOD 3,729
20 22 NOW 54 VARIOUS ARTISTS NOW 3,710
15 23 TWENTY ONE PILOTS BLURRYFACE FUELED BY RAMEN 3,651
22 24 LITTLE BIG TOWN PAIN KILLER CAPITOL NASHVILLE 3,123
41 25 FIFTY SHADES OF GREY SOUNDTRACK REPUBLIC 3,079
34 26 JASON ALDEAN OLD BOOTS, NEW DIRT BROKEN BOW 2,999
23 27 DRAKE IF YOU'RE READING THIS, IT'S TOO LATE YMCMB/REPUBLIC 2,964
29 28 FALL OUT BOY AMERICAN BEAUTY/AMERICAN PSYCHO DCD2/ISLAND 2,949
35 29 NOW COUNTRY 8 VARIOUS ARTISTS NOW 2,805
12 30 GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY: AWESOME MIX, VOL. 1 SOUNDTRACK HOLLYWOOD 2,789
4 31 JASON ISBELL SOMETHING MORE THAN FREE THIRTY TIGERS 2,746
44 32 BRANTLEY GILBERT JUST AS I AM VALORY/BMLG 2,721
13 33 JAMES TAYLOR BEFORE THIS WORLD CONCORD 2,701
43 34 MAROON 5 V 222/INTERSCOPE 2,673
25 35 TEEN BEACH 2 SOUNDTRACK WALT DISNEY 2,670
48 36 FLORIDA GEORGIA LINE ANYTHING GOES REPUBLIC NASHVILLE/BMLG 2,630
27 37 MUMFORD & SONS WILDER MIND GLASSNOTE 2,519
-- 38 ANDY GRAMMER MAGAZINES OR NOVELS S-CURVE 2,484
26 39 R5 SOMETIME LAST NIGHT HOLLYWOOD 2,478
37 40 FLEETWOOD MAC GREATEST HITS WARNER BROS. 2,459
49 41 SHAWN MENDES HANDWRITTEN ISLAND 2,379
31 42 J. COLE 2014 FOREST HILLS DRIVE ROC NATION/COLUMBIA 2,356
-- 43 JOURNEY GREATEST HITS COLUMBIA/LEGACY 2,325
39 44 HOZIER HOZIER COLUMBIA 2,307
45 45 IMAGINE DRAGONS SMOKE + MIRRORS KIDINAKORNER/INTERSCOPE 2,199
28 46 KACEY MUSGRAVES PAGEANT MATERIAL MERCURY NASHVILLE 2,194
-- 47 WE CAME AS ROMANS WE CAME AS ROMANS EQUAL VISION 2,180
5 48 TAME IMPALA CURRENTS MODULAR/INTERSCOPE 2,028
-- 49 LUKE BRYAN CRASH MY PARTY EMI NASHVILLE 1,889
32 50 MIGUEL WILDHEART RCA 1,881

[timmierz]

Jul 26, 2015 5:29:20 GMT -5 fearlessarrow said:

So this looks like a three-way battle between Jill Scott, Lamb of God, and Taylor Swift...

Regardless of what hits #1, the #1 album is bound to be one of the lowest-selling for a Billboard 200 #1, isn't it?

Does anyone know of a list of the lowest selling #1 albums? I've found one that covers 1991-2008 totals - web.archive.org/web/20081223190048/http://new.music.yahoo.com/blogs/chart_watch/20401/chart-watch-extra-what-a-turkey-the-25-worst-selling-1-albums/ - Omarion's 21 had only sold a total of 390k. Cake and Amos Lee made headlines in 2011 for making #1 with around 40k of sales each, but I'm guessing that's been beaten since. Anyone know what the worst totals and debut weeks are for #1 albums?

[Deleted]

Jul 31, 2015 8:27:26 GMT -5 timmierz said:

Jul 26, 2015 5:29:20 GMT -5 fearlessarrow said:

So this looks like a three-way battle between Jill Scott, Lamb of God, and Taylor Swift...

Regardless of what hits #1, the #1 album is bound to be one of the lowest-selling for a Billboard 200 #1, isn't it?

Does anyone know of a list of the lowest selling #1 albums? I've found one that covers 1991-2008 totals - web.archive.org/web/20081223190048/http://new.music.yahoo.com/blogs/chart_watch/20401/chart-watch-extra-what-a-turkey-the-25-worst-selling-1-albums/ - Omarion's 21 had only sold a total of 390k. Cake and Amos Lee made headlines in 2011 for making #1 with around 40k of sales each, but I'm guessing that's been beaten since. Anyone know what the worst totals and debut weeks are for #1 albums?

Amos Lee's Mission Bell still holds the record for lowest sales week for a #1 with 40k, although several albums since then have come dangerously close to that. I don't know what the worst total for a #1 album is though (I would guess Amos would also hold that record, but I don't know how much that album sold). Total sales for albums are increasingly harder to find these days for all but the biggest sellers.

[areyoureadytojump]

Album Sales

Status: Final

-- 1
JILL SCOTT
WOMAN
BLUES BABE 57,797 --
-- 2
LAMB OF GOD
VII: STURM UND DRANG
EPIC 48,560 --
-- 3
SOUTHPAW
VARIOUS ARTISTS
SHADY/INTERSCOPE 33,394 --
1 4
FUTURE
DS2
EPIC 31,649 -76%
-- 5
BEA MILLER
NOT AN APOLOGY
HOLLYWOOD/SYCO 25,504 --
2 6 TYRESE
BLACK ROSE
VOLTRON 24,051 -43%
6 7 TAYLOR SWIFT
1989
BIG MACHINE 23,425 -9%
-- 8 WE CAME AS ROMANS
WE CAME AS ROMANS
EQUAL VISION 22,380 --
3 9 ALAN JACKSON
ANGELS AND ALCOHOL
CAPITOL NASHVILLE 19,212 -55%
7 10 KIDZ BOP KIDS
KIDZ BOP 29
RAZOR & TIE 16,191 -25%
9 11 ED SHEERAN
X
ATLANTIC 15,708 13%
-- 12 JACK & JACK
CALIBRASKA - EP
JACK & JACK 14,930 --
-- 13 HOPSIN
POUND SYNDROME
FUNK VOLUME 14,680 --
8 14 MEEK MILL
DREAMS WORTH MORE THAN MONEY
MMG/ATLANTIC 13,044 -39%
-- 15 PRINCE ROYCE
DOUBLE VISION
SONY MUSIC LATIN 12,699 --
10 16 SAM HUNT
MONTEVALLO
MCA NASHVILLE 11,697 -12%
-- 17 ASHLEY MONROE
THE BLADE
WARNER BROS. NASHVILLE 10,985 --
4 18 JASON ISBELL
SOMETHING MORE THAN FREE
THIRTY TIGERS 10,862 -74%
-- 19 WARREN HAYNES
ASHES & DUST
CONCORD 10,058 --
5 20 TAME IMPALA
CURRENTS
MODULAR/INTERSCOPE 9,686 -75%
13 21 JAMES TAYLOR
BEFORE THIS WORLD
CONCORD 9,680 -10%
15 22 TWENTY ONE PILOTS
BLURRYFACE
FUELED BY RAMEN 9,641 -7%
18 23 SAM SMITH
IN THE LONELY HOUR
CAPITOL 9,509 3%
16 24 MEGHAN TRAINOR
TITLE
EPIC 9,460 0%
17 25 ZAC BROWN BAND
JEKYLL + HYDE
SOUTHERN GROUND/VARVATOS/BMLG/REPUBLIC 9,218 0%
-- 26 ISRAEL & NEW BREED
COVERED: ALIVE IN ASIA
RCA INSPIRATION 9,064 --
14 27 BREAKING BENJAMIN
DARK BEFORE DAWN
HOLLYWOOD 8,878 -16%
-- 28 JOE SATRIANI
SHOCKWAVE SUPERNOVA
LEGACY 8,619 --
-- 29 DEJ LOAF
#ANDSEETHATSTHETHING - EP
COLUMBIA 8,311 --
21 30 ERIC CHURCH
THE OUTSIDERS
EMI NASHVILLE 7,976 -4%
23 31 DRAKE
IF YOU'RE READING THIS, IT'S TOO LATE
YMCMB/REPUBLIC 7,937 14%
31 32 J. COLE
2014 FOREST HILLS DRIVE
ROC NATION/COLUMBIA 7,014 12%
20 33 NOW 54
VARIOUS ARTISTS
NOW 6,961 -22%
22 34 LITTLE BIG TOWN
PAIN KILLER
CAPITOL NASHVILLE 6,841 -10%
12 35 GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY: AWESOME MIX, VOL. 1
SOUNDTRACK
HOLLYWOOD 6,667 -42%
29 36 FALL OUT BOY
AMERICAN BEAUTY/AMERICAN PSYCHO
DCD2/ISLAND 6,405 0%
27 37 MUMFORD & SONS
WILDER MIND
GLASSNOTE 6,333 -3%
43 38 MAROON 5
V
222/INTERSCOPE 6,186 14%
39 39 HOZIER
HOZIER
COLUMBIA 6,168 11%
-- 40 LYNYRD SKYNYRD
ONE MORE FOR THE FANS
LOUD & PROUD 5,738 --
11 41 MAGIC MIKE XXL
SOUNDTRACK
WATERTOWER 5,674 -53%
30 42 JOSH GROBAN
STAGES
REPRISE 5,637 -11%
28 43 KACEY MUSGRAVES
PAGEANT MATERIAL
MERCURY NASHVILLE 5,566 -15%
36 44 KENDRICK LAMAR
TO PIMP A BUTTERFLY
TDE/AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE 5,509 -4%
34 45 JASON ALDEAN
OLD BOOTS, NEW DIRT
BROKEN BOW 5,440 -5%
-- 46 LEON BRIDGES
COMING HOME
COLUMBIA 5,341 16%
-- 47 KID ROCK
FIRST KISS
WARNER BROS. 5,329 --
25 48 TEEN BEACH 2
SOUNDTRACK
WALT DISNEY 5,241 -23%
38 49 FLORENCE + THE MACHINE
HOW BIG HOW BLUE HOW BEAUTIFUL
REPUBLIC 5,213 -8%
35 50 NOW COUNTRY 8
VARIOUS ARTISTS
NOW 5,110 -11%

[areyoureadytojump]

SPS:

Status: Final

-- 1
JILL SCOTT
WOMAN
BLUES BABE 61,357 --
1 2
FUTURE
DS2
EPIC 51,656 -66%
-- 3
LAMB OF GOD
VII: STURM UND DRANG
EPIC 50,899 --
2 4
TAYLOR SWIFT
1989
BIG MACHINE 48,556 7%
7 5
MEEK MILL
DREAMS WORTH MORE THAN MONEY
MMG/ATLANTIC 35,527 -6%
8 6 ED SHEERAN
X
ATLANTIC 33,986 6%
-- 7 SOUTHPAW
VARIOUS ARTISTS
SHADY/INTERSCOPE 33,394 --
-- 8 BEA MILLER
NOT AN APOLOGY
HOLLYWOOD/SYCO 28,044 --
9 9 SAM HUNT
MONTEVALLO
MCA NASHVILLE 27,655 -5%
4 10 TYRESE
BLACK ROSE
VOLTRON 26,493 -41%
-- 11 WE CAME AS ROMANS
WE CAME AS ROMANS
EQUAL VISION 23,463 --
12 12 MEGHAN TRAINOR
TITLE
EPIC 23,017 23%
11 13 DRAKE
IF YOU'RE READING THIS, IT'S TOO LATE
YMCMB/REPUBLIC 21,817 16%
3 14 ALAN JACKSON
ANGELS AND ALCOHOL
CAPITOL NASHVILLE 20,357 -55%
16 15 SAM SMITH
IN THE LONELY HOUR
CAPITOL 19,664 22%
13 16 FALL OUT BOY
AMERICAN BEAUTY/AMERICAN PSYCHO
DCD2/ISLAND 19,250 12%
15 17 MAROON 5
V
222/INTERSCOPE 18,897 17%
-- 18 HOPSIN
POUND SYNDROME
FUNK VOLUME 18,599 --
14 19 TWENTY ONE PILOTS
BLURRYFACE
FUELED BY RAMEN 18,022 6%
21 20 NICKI MINAJ
PINKPRINT
YMCMB/REPUBLIC 17,587 24%
10 21 KIDZ BOP KIDS
KIDZ BOP 29
RAZOR & TIE 17,066 -24%
-- 22 PRINCE ROYCE
DOUBLE VISION
SONY MUSIC LATIN 16,376 --
28 23 MAJOR LAZER
PEACE IS THE MISSION
MAD DECENT 16,365 32%
25 24 J. COLE
2014 FOREST HILLS DRIVE
ROC NATION/COLUMBIA 16,273 28%
29 25 ANDY GRAMMER
MAGAZINES OR NOVELS
S-CURVE 16,166 31%
-- 26 JACK & JACK
CALIBRASKA - EP
JACK & JACK 15,867 --
23 27 SHAWN MENDES
HANDWRITTEN
ISLAND 15,862 20%
17 28 ZAC BROWN BAND
JEKYLL + HYDE
SOUTHERN GROUND/VARVATOS/BMLG/REPUBLIC 15,142 2%
36 29 BIG SEAN
DARK SKY PARADISE
DEF JAM 14,796 33%
33 30 WALK THE MOON
TALKING IS HARD
RCA 14,610 25%
20 31 ERIC CHURCH
THE OUTSIDERS
EMI NASHVILLE 14,100 -1%
18 32 LITTLE BIG TOWN
PAIN KILLER
CAPITOL NASHVILLE 13,280 -8%
19 33 RACHEL PLATTEN
FIGHT SONG - EP
COLUMBIA 13,009 --
37 34 SKRILLEX & DIPLO
SKRILLEX & DIPLO PRESENT JACK U
ATLANTIC 12,520 13%
6 35 TAME IMPALA
CURRENTS
MODULAR/INTERSCOPE 12,389 -71%
-- 36 ASHLEY MONROE
THE BLADE
WARNER BROS. NASHVILLE 12,354 --
39 37 A$AP ROCKY
AT.LONG.LAST.A$AP
RCA 11,882 9%
5 38 JASON ISBELL
SOMETHING MORE THAN FREE
THIRTY TIGERS 11,702 -73%
-- 39 DEJ LOAF
#ANDSEETHATSTHETHING - EP
COLUMBIA 11,139 --
-- 40 X AMBASSADORS
VHS
KIDINAKORNER/INTERSCOPE 10,923 --
30 41 BREAKING BENJAMIN
DARK BEFORE DAWN
HOLLYWOOD 10,690 -13%
44 42 KENDRICK LAMAR
TO PIMP A BUTTERFLY
TDE/AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE 10,659 10%
-- 43 WARREN HAYNES
ASHES & DUST
CONCORD 10,488 --
26 44 FIFTY SHADES OF GREY
SOUNDTRACK
REPUBLIC 10,052 -19%
45 45 SIA
1000 FORMS OF FEAR
MONKEY PUZZLE/RCA 10,022 7%
40 46 FURIOUS 7
SOUNDTRACK
ATLANTIC 10,004 -7%
48 47 JASON DERULO
EVERYTHING IS 4
WARNER BROS. 9,990 10%
-- 48 FLO RIDA
MY HOUSE
IMPORTS 9,890 --
27 49 JAMES TAYLOR
BEFORE THIS WORLD
CONCORD 9,808 -21%
42 50 PITBULL
GLOBALIZATON
POLO GROUNDS/RCA 9,729 -7%

[Caviar]

The album isn't no where near my favorite but congrats to Jill Scott on another #1 album! R&B artists are finally getting the attention they deserve.

[Enigma.]

I predict TS will be #2 on Soundscan but we'll see on Tuesday.

[Daryl the Beryl]

Just asking, do y'all think Dr. Dre can beat Luke Bryan for the #1 in two weeks' time? (Dr. Dre recently announced his new album a few days' back)

[Enigma.]

If it's the "inspired by SOC" one, I highly doubt that. But it's not impossible.

Have there been any predictions on Bryan's debut numbers?

[Daryl the Beryl]

Aug 3, 2015 1:47:46 GMT -5 Enigma. said:

If it's the "inspired by SOC" one

Yes, it's the Compton soundtrack one.