Japan Hot 100 Year-End Predictions - Year 1 (2017)

[rimetm]

Week 48 (11/11/17 US, 11/6/17 JP)
Rank Song Artist Year-End
1 Koi - Gen Hoshino 372741
2 Futari Saison - Keyakizaka46 132180
3 Fukyouwaon - Keyakizaka46 117233
4 Shape of You - Ed Sheeran 115660
5 Uchiage Hanabi - Daoko & Kenshi Yonezu 103705
6 Influencer - Nogizaka 46 102704
7 TT - TWICE 102308
8 Zenzenzense - RADWIMPS 99863
9 PPAP - PIKOTARO 98937
10 Silent Majority - Keyakizaka46 95306
11 Dirty Work - Austin Mahone 86121
12 Nigemizu - Nogizaka 46 82312
13 Family Song - Gen Hoshino 77269
14 Negaigoto no Mochigusare - AKB48 72280
15 Peace Sign - Kenshi Yonezu 69206
16 Itsuka Dekiru Kara Kyou Dekiru - Nogizaka 46 65475
17 Tokyo Girl - Perfume 60788
18 Rain - SEKAI NO OWARI 60348
19 Stay Tune - Suchmos 56193
20 Sukinanda - AKB48 55627
21 Signal - TWICE 55427
22 Shoot Sign - AKB48 55087
23 Closer - The Chainsmokers 53118
24 Tsunagu - Arashi 51908
25 What Do You Mean? - Justin Bieber 51635
26 Chi Ase Namida - BTS 51325
27 Kaze ni Fukaretemo - Keyakizaka46 50626
28 Himawari - Mr. Children 50365
29 Orion - Kenshi Yonezu 49081
30 I'll Be There - Arashi 48637
31 Happy End - back number 48411
32 Happy? - Sandaime J Soul Brothers 47114
33 Hikari no Atelier - Mr. Children 43392
34 Magic - AAA 43278
35 One More Time - TWICE 42678
36 Igai ni Mango - SKE48 42117
37 Sayonara no Imi - Nogizaka 46 41531
38 Yattemiyou - WANIMA 41164
39 Boku Igai No Dareka - NMB48 40273
40 Wherever You Are - ONE OK ROCK 40083
41 Destiny - Che'Nelle 39383
42 Excite - Daichi Miura 38437
43 Senaka Goshi no Chance - Kame to Yama P 38342
44 Mita Koto Mo Nai Keshiki - Masaki Suda 38064
45 Give Me Love - Hey! Say! Jump! 37241
46 Sekai ni Hitotsu Dake no Hana - SMAP 37184
47 CQCQ - Kamisama Bokuwa Kizuite Shimatta 36802
48 Noroshi - Kanjani 8 36670
49 Hanabi - Mr. Children 36595
50 Something Just Like This - The Chainsmokers & Coldplay 36536
51 Pa - Kana Nishino 36361
52 Knock Knock - TWICE 36289
53 24K Magic - Bruno Mars 36223
54 Over the Top - Hey! Say! Jump 35860
55 Bagutte Iijan - HKT48 35590
56 Precious Girl - Hey! Say! Jump 35297
57 Stay - Zedd & Alessia Cara 35166
58 Youkoso Japari Park He - Doubutsu Biscuits * PPP 34953
59 Otona no Okite - Doughnuts Hole 34881
60 Kiseki - GReeeeN 34698
61 Togetsukyou (Kimi Omofu) - Mai Kuraki 34634
62 Koe - Green Boys 32134
63 Non Fiction - Ken Hirai 32082
64 Ribbon - BUMP OF CHICKEN 31953
65 Beauty and the Beast - Ariana Grande & John Legend 31650
66 Charm - WANIMA 30490
67 Ashita Mo - SHISHAMO 30380
68 Just You and I - Namie Amuro 30298
69 Uptown Funk - Mark Ronson feat. Bruno Mars 30256
70 Kiseki no Hito - Kanjani 8 29705
71 Kiss ha Matsu Shika Nainodeshouka? - HKT48 29600
72 Nagurigaki Beat - Kanjani 8 29240
73 Catch the Moment - LiSA 29236
74 Like OOH-AAH - TWICE 27057
75 Welcome to TOKYO - Sandaime J Soul Brothers 26980
76 Kono Yami wo Terasu Hikari no Mukou Ni - Anly + Sukima Switch = 26860
77 I Need Your Love - Beverly 26726
78 Dear Bride - Kana Nishino 26671
79 Sora - GENERATIONS 26367
80 Seishun Dokei - NGT48 25851
81 SUN - Gen Hoshino 25740
82 See You Again - Wiz Khalifa feat. Charlie Puth 25726
83 WanteD! WanteD! - Mrs.GREEN APPLE 25593
84 Itteki no Eikyou - UVERworld 24953
85 Snow Sound - Alexandros 24070
86 The Red Light - KinKi Kids 23863
87 Lightning - THE RAMPAGE 23825
88 Cheer Up - TWICE 23675
89 Loser - Kenshi Yonezu 23536
90 As If It's Your Last - BLACKPINK 23035
91 Eine Kleine - Kenshi Yonezu 22798
92 Saihate Aini - RADWIMPS 22745
93 Emma - News 22694
94 Forevermore - Hikaru Utada 22601
95 Tomoni - WANIMA 22596
96 Pick it Up - Kis-My-Ft2 22144
97 Michishirube - Busaiku 22094
98 Tonight - Kis-My-Ft2 21910
99 No Way Back - AAA 21495
100 We Are - ONE OK ROCK 21385

[rimetm]

Week 49 (11/18/17 US, 11/13/17 JP)
Rank Song Artist Year-End
1 Koi - Gen Hoshino 374438
2 Futari Saison - Keyakizaka46 132180
3 Shape of You - Ed Sheeran 118372
4 Fukyouwaon - Keyakizaka46 118146
5 Uchiage Hanabi - Daoko & Kenshi Yonezu 108784
6 TT - TWICE 104438
7 Influencer - Nogizaka 46 102704
8 Zenzenzense - RADWIMPS 100588
9 PPAP - PIKOTARO 99462
10 Silent Majority - Keyakizaka46 96833
11 Dirty Work - Austin Mahone 86984
12 Nigemizu - Nogizaka 46 82799
13 Family Song - Gen Hoshino 78471
14 Negaigoto no Mochigusare - AKB48 72280
15 Peace Sign - Kenshi Yonezu 71150
16 Itsuka Dekiru Kara Kyou Dekiru - Nogizaka 46 68785
17 Rain - SEKAI NO OWARI 61323
18 Tokyo Girl - Perfume 60788
19 Kaze ni Fukaretemo - Keyakizaka46 60028
20 Signal - TWICE 56677
21 Stay Tune - Suchmos 56193
22 Sukinanda - AKB48 55627
23 Shoot Sign - AKB48 55087
24 Closer - The Chainsmokers 53768
25 Tsunagu - Arashi 51908
26 What Do You Mean? - Justin Bieber 51635
27 Chi Ase Namida - BTS 51325
28 Himawari - Mr. Children 50365
29 Orion - Kenshi Yonezu 50316
30 I'll Be There - Arashi 48637
31 Happy End - back number 48411
32 One More Time - TWICE 47268
33 Happy? - Sandaime J Soul Brothers 47114
34 Hikari no Atelier - Mr. Children 43392
35 Magic - AAA 43278
36 Igai ni Mango - SKE48 42117
37 Sayonara no Imi - Nogizaka 46 41531
38 Wherever You Are - ONE OK ROCK 41236
39 Yattemiyou - WANIMA 41164
40 Boku Igai No Dareka - NMB48 40273
41 Excite - Daichi Miura 39827
42 Destiny - Che'Nelle 39383
43 Senaka Goshi no Chance - Kame to Yama P 38342
44 Mita Koto Mo Nai Keshiki - Masaki Suda 38064
45 Give Me Love - Hey! Say! Jump! 37241
46 Sekai ni Hitotsu Dake no Hana - SMAP 37184
47 CQCQ - Kamisama Bokuwa Kizuite Shimatta 36802
48 Knock Knock - TWICE 36739
49 Noroshi - Kanjani 8 36670
50 Hanabi - Mr. Children 36595
51 Something Just Like This - The Chainsmokers & Coldplay 36536
52 Pa - Kana Nishino 36361
53 24K Magic - Bruno Mars 36223
54 Over the Top - Hey! Say! Jump 35860
55 Bagutte Iijan - HKT48 35590
56 Precious Girl - Hey! Say! Jump 35297
57 Stay - Zedd & Alessia Cara 35166
58 Youkoso Japari Park He - Doubutsu Biscuits * PPP 34953
59 Otona no Okite - Doughnuts Hole 34881
60 Kiseki - GReeeeN 34698
61 Togetsukyou (Kimi Omofu) - Mai Kuraki 34634
62 Koe - Green Boys 32134
63 Non Fiction - Ken Hirai 32082
64 Ribbon - BUMP OF CHICKEN 31953
65 Beauty and the Beast - Ariana Grande & John Legend 31650
66 Uptown Funk - Mark Ronson feat. Bruno Mars 31006
67 Charm - WANIMA 30490
68 Ashita Mo - SHISHAMO 30380
69 Just You and I - Namie Amuro 30298
70 Kiseki no Hito - Kanjani 8 29705
71 Kiss ha Matsu Shika Nainodeshouka? - HKT48 29600
72 Nagurigaki Beat - Kanjani 8 29240
73 Catch the Moment - LiSA 29236
74 Like OOH-AAH - TWICE 28233
75 Welcome to TOKYO - Sandaime J Soul Brothers 26980
76 Kono Yami wo Terasu Hikari no Mukou Ni - Anly + Sukima Switch = 26860
77 I Need Your Love - Beverly 26726
78 WanteD! WanteD! - Mrs.GREEN APPLE 26694
79 Dear Bride - Kana Nishino 26671
80 Sora - GENERATIONS 26367
81 See You Again - Wiz Khalifa feat. Charlie Puth 26126
82 Seishun Dokei - NGT48 25851
83 SUN - Gen Hoshino 25740
84 Loser - Kenshi Yonezu 25052
85 Itteki no Eikyou - UVERworld 24953
86 Cheer Up - TWICE 24663
87 Eine Kleine - Kenshi Yonezu 24415
88 Snow Sound - Alexandros 24070
89 The Red Light - KinKi Kids 23863
90 Lightning - THE RAMPAGE 23825
91 As If It's Your Last - BLACKPINK 23798
92 LIFE - AAA 23169
93 Saihate Aini - RADWIMPS 22745
94 Emma - News 22694
95 Forevermore - Hikaru Utada 22601
96 Tomoni - WANIMA 22596
97 Look What You Made Me Do - Taylor Swift 22377
98 Pick it Up - Kis-My-Ft2 22144
99 Michishirube - Busaiku 22094
100 Tonight - Kis-My-Ft2 21910

[rimetm]

Week 50 (11/25/17 US, 11/20/17 JP)
Rank Song Artist Year-End
1 Koi - Gen Hoshino 375741
2 Futari Saison - Keyakizaka46 132180
3 Shape of You - Ed Sheeran 120893
4 Fukyouwaon - Keyakizaka46 118866
5 Uchiage Hanabi - Daoko & Kenshi Yonezu 113411
6 TT - TWICE 106461
7 Influencer - Nogizaka 46 103437
8 Zenzenzense - RADWIMPS 101071
9 PPAP - PIKOTARO 100270
10 Silent Majority - Keyakizaka46 98187
11 Dirty Work - Austin Mahone 87542
12 Nigemizu - Nogizaka 46 82799
13 Family Song - Gen Hoshino 79304
14 Peace Sign - Kenshi Yonezu 73275
15 Negaigoto no Mochigusare - AKB48 72280
16 Itsuka Dekiru Kara Kyou Dekiru - Nogizaka 46 70886
17 Kaze ni Fukaretemo - Keyakizaka46 65010
18 Rain - SEKAI NO OWARI 61793
19 Tokyo Girl - Perfume 60788
20 Signal - TWICE 57752
21 Stay Tune - Suchmos 56193
22 Sukinanda - AKB48 55627
23 Shoot Sign - AKB48 55087
24 Closer - The Chainsmokers 54363
25 Tsunagu - Arashi 51908
26 What Do You Mean? - Justin Bieber 51635
27 Chi Ase Namida - BTS 51325
28 Orion - Kenshi Yonezu 51314
29 Himawari - Mr. Children 50365
30 One More Time - TWICE 50309
31 I'll Be There - Arashi 48637
32 Happy End - back number 48411
33 Happy? - Sandaime J Soul Brothers 47114
34 Hikari no Atelier - Mr. Children 43392
35 Magic - AAA 43278
36 Wherever You Are - ONE OK ROCK 42319
37 Igai ni Mango - SKE48 42117
38 Sayonara no Imi - Nogizaka 46 41531
39 Yattemiyou - WANIMA 41164
40 Excite - Daichi Miura 40810
41 Boku Igai No Dareka - NMB48 40273
42 Destiny - Che'Nelle 39383
43 Senaka Goshi no Chance - Kame to Yama P 38342
44 Mita Koto Mo Nai Keshiki - Masaki Suda 38064
45 Doors - Arashi 37563
46 Give Me Love - Hey! Say! Jump! 37241
47 Sekai ni Hitotsu Dake no Hana - SMAP 37184
48 CQCQ - Kamisama Bokuwa Kizuite Shimatta 36802
49 Knock Knock - TWICE 36739
50 Noroshi - Kanjani 8 36670
51 Hanabi - Mr. Children 36595
52 Something Just Like This - The Chainsmokers & Coldplay 36536
53 Pa - Kana Nishino 36361
54 24K Magic - Bruno Mars 36223
55 Over the Top - Hey! Say! Jump 35860
56 Bagutte Iijan - HKT48 35590
57 Precious Girl - Hey! Say! Jump 35297
58 Stay - Zedd & Alessia Cara 35166
59 Youkoso Japari Park He - Doubutsu Biscuits * PPP 34953
60 Otona no Okite - Doughnuts Hole 34881
61 Kiseki - GReeeeN 34698
62 Togetsukyou (Kimi Omofu) - Mai Kuraki 34634
63 Kiss ha Matsu Shika Nainodeshouka? - HKT48 34095
64 Koe - Green Boys 32134
65 Non Fiction - Ken Hirai 32082
66 Ribbon - BUMP OF CHICKEN 31953
67 Beauty and the Beast - Ariana Grande & John Legend 31650
68 Uptown Funk - Mark Ronson feat. Bruno Mars 31006
69 Just You and I - Namie Amuro 30818
70 Charm - WANIMA 30490
71 Ashita Mo - SHISHAMO 30380
72 Kiseki no Hito - Kanjani 8 29705
73 Nagurigaki Beat - Kanjani 8 29240
74 Catch the Moment - LiSA 29236
75 Like OOH-AAH - TWICE 29053
76 WanteD! WanteD! - Mrs.GREEN APPLE 27477
77 Welcome to TOKYO - Sandaime J Soul Brothers 26980
78 Kono Yami wo Terasu Hikari no Mukou Ni - Anly + Sukima Switch = 26860
79 I Need Your Love - Beverly 26726
80 Dear Bride - Kana Nishino 26671
81 Sora - GENERATIONS 26367
82 See You Again - Wiz Khalifa feat. Charlie Puth 26126
83 Loser - Kenshi Yonezu 26096
84 Seishun Dokei - NGT48 25851
85 Eine Kleine - Kenshi Yonezu 25847
86 SUN - Gen Hoshino 25740
87 Cheer Up - TWICE 25508
88 Itteki no Eikyou - UVERworld 24953
89 LIFE - AAA 24848
90 Look What You Made Me Do - Taylor Swift 24502
91 As If It's Your Last - BLACKPINK 24406
92 Snow Sound - Alexandros 24070
93 The Red Light - KinKi Kids 23863
94 Lightning - THE RAMPAGE 23825
95 Saihate Aini - RADWIMPS 22745
96 Emma - News 22694
97 Forevermore - Hikaru Utada 22601
98 Tomoni - WANIMA 22596
99 Haiiro to Ao - Kenshi Yonezu & Masaki Suda 22172
100 Pick it Up - Kis-My-Ft2 22144

[rimetm]

Week 51 (12/2/17 US, 11/27/17 JP)
Rank Song Artist Year-End
1 Koi - Gen Hoshino 376892
2 Futari Saison - Keyakizaka46 132180
3 Shape of You - Ed Sheeran 123514
4 Fukyouwaon - Keyakizaka46 119666
5 Uchiage Hanabi - Daoko & Kenshi Yonezu 117522
6 TT - TWICE 108784
7 Influencer - Nogizaka 46 104532
8 Zenzenzense - RADWIMPS 101071
9 PPAP - PIKOTARO 100725
10 Silent Majority - Keyakizaka46 99415
11 Dirty Work - Austin Mahone 88327
12 Nigemizu - Nogizaka 46 83179
13 Family Song - Gen Hoshino 79939
14 Peace Sign - Kenshi Yonezu 75304
15 Itsuka Dekiru Kara Kyou Dekiru - Nogizaka 46 73485
16 Negaigoto no Mochigusare - AKB48 72280
17 Kaze ni Fukaretemo - Keyakizaka46 69631
18 Rain - SEKAI NO OWARI 61793
19 Tokyo Girl - Perfume 60788
20 Signal - TWICE 58792
21 Stay Tune - Suchmos 56193
22 Sukinanda - AKB48 55627
23 Shoot Sign - AKB48 55087
24 Closer - The Chainsmokers 54848
25 One More Time - TWICE 52773
26 Orion - Kenshi Yonezu 52129
27 Tsunagu - Arashi 51908
28 What Do You Mean? - Justin Bieber 51635
29 Chi Ase Namida - BTS 51325
30 Himawari - Mr. Children 50365
31 I'll Be There - Arashi 48637
32 Happy End - back number 48411
33 Happy? - Sandaime J Soul Brothers 47114
34 Doors - Arashi 44791
35 Wherever You Are - ONE OK ROCK 43431
36 Hikari no Atelier - Mr. Children 43392
37 Magic - AAA 43278
38 Excite - Daichi Miura 42754
39 Igai ni Mango - SKE48 42117
40 Sayonara no Imi - Nogizaka 46 41531
41 Yattemiyou - WANIMA 41164
42 Boku Igai No Dareka - NMB48 40273
43 Destiny - Che'Nelle 39383
44 Senaka Goshi no Chance - Kame to Yama P 38342
45 Mita Koto Mo Nai Keshiki - Masaki Suda 38064
46 Sekai ni Hitotsu Dake no Hana - SMAP 37729
47 Give Me Love - Hey! Say! Jump! 37241
48 CQCQ - Kamisama Bokuwa Kizuite Shimatta 36802
49 Knock Knock - TWICE 36739
50 Noroshi - Kanjani 8 36670
51 Hanabi - Mr. Children 36595
52 Something Just Like This - The Chainsmokers & Coldplay 36536
53 Pa - Kana Nishino 36361
54 24K Magic - Bruno Mars 36223
55 Over the Top - Hey! Say! Jump 35860
56 Bagutte Iijan - HKT48 35590
57 Precious Girl - Hey! Say! Jump 35297
58 Stay - Zedd & Alessia Cara 35166
59 Youkoso Japari Park He - Doubutsu Biscuits * PPP 34953
60 Otona no Okite - Doughnuts Hole 34881
61 Kiseki - GReeeeN 34698
62 Togetsukyou (Kimi Omofu) - Mai Kuraki 34634
63 Kiss ha Matsu Shika Nainodeshouka? - HKT48 34095
64 Koe - Green Boys 32134
65 Non Fiction - Ken Hirai 32082
66 Ribbon - BUMP OF CHICKEN 31953
67 Beauty and the Beast - Ariana Grande & John Legend 31650
68 Uptown Funk - Mark Ronson feat. Bruno Mars 31006
69 Ashita Mo - SHISHAMO 30940
70 Just You and I - Namie Amuro 30818
71 Charm - WANIMA 30490
72 Like OOH-AAH - TWICE 29883
73 Kiseki no Hito - Kanjani 8 29705
74 Nagurigaki Beat - Kanjani 8 29240
75 Catch the Moment - LiSA 29236
76 WanteD! WanteD! - Mrs.GREEN APPLE 28127
77 Eine Kleine - Kenshi Yonezu 27148
78 Loser - Kenshi Yonezu 27001
79 Welcome to TOKYO - Sandaime J Soul Brothers 26980
80 Kono Yami wo Terasu Hikari no Mukou Ni - Anly + Sukima Switch = 26860
81 Life - AAA 26808
82 I Need Your Love - Beverly 26726
83 Dear Bride - Kana Nishino 26671
84 Sora - GENERATIONS 26367
85 Cheer Up - TWICE 26233
86 Look What You Made Me Do - Taylor Swift 26223
87 See You Again - Wiz Khalifa feat. Charlie Puth 26126
88 Seishun Dokei - NGT48 25851
89 SUN - Gen Hoshino 25740
90 Haiiro to Ao - Kenshi Yonezu & Masaki Suda 25641
91 Itteki no Eikyou - UVERworld 24953
92 As If It's Your Last - BLACKPINK 24756
93 Dancing Hero - Yoko Oginome 24098
94 Snow Sound - Alexandros 24070
95 The Red Light - KinKi Kids 23863
96 Lightning - THE RAMPAGE 23825
97 Outou Seyo - Kanjani 8 23493
98 DNA - BTS 22775
99 Saihate Aini - RADWIMPS 22745
100 Emma - News 22694

[rimetm]

And finally, we come to the end; 52 weeks of punching in numbers and keeping track of literally thousands of entries, and we have the final predictions on hand. Because this is my first year and I want to see how accurate it is, I'm now posting the top 200 songs so that, should some stuff end up wrong, we'll all be able to see how close I was.

EDIT: It was brought to my attention that some weeks early in the year with physical high debuts were weighted down with a formula change, especially Futari Saison. As such this list has been corrected as the final list appears to use said consistent formula.

Top 200 Songs of Japan in 2017's Chart Year

Rank Song Artist Year-End
1 Koi - Gen Hoshino 378112
2 Shape of You - Ed Sheeran 125903
3 Uchiage Hanabi - Daoko & Kenshi Yonezu 121348
4 Fukyouwaon - Keyakizaka46 120551
5 TT - TWICE 110784
6 Futari Saison - Keyakizaka46 107773
7 Influencer - Nogizaka 46 105267
8 Zenzenzense - RADWIMPS 101941
9 PPAP - PIKOTARO 101505
10 Silent Majority - Keyakizaka46 100619
11 Dirty Work - Austin Mahone 88747
12 Nigemizu - Nogizaka 46 83179
13 Family Song - Gen Hoshino 80854
14 Peace Sign - Kenshi Yonezu 76909
15 Itsuka Dekiru Kara Kyou Dekiru - Nogizaka 46 75326
16 Kaze ni Fukaretemo - Keyakizaka46 72903
17 Negaigoto no Mochigusare - AKB48 72280
18 Rain - SEKAI NO OWARI 61793
19 Tokyo Girl - Perfume 60788
20 Signal - TWICE 59797
21 Stay Tune - Suchmos 56193
22 Sukinanda - AKB48 55627
23 Closer - The Chainsmokers 55613
24 Shoot Sign - AKB48 55087
25 One More Time - TWICE 54995
26 Orion - Kenshi Yonezu 52924
27 Tsunagu - Arashi 51908
28 What Do You Mean? - Justin Bieber 51635
29 Chi Ase Namida - BTS 51325
30 Himawari - Mr. Children 50365
31 11gatsuno Ankuretto - AKB48 49574
32 I'll Be There - Arashi 48637
33 Happy End - back number 48411
34 Doors - Arashi 47900
35 Happy? - Sandaime J Soul Brothers 47114
36 Wherever You Are - ONE OK ROCK 44889
37 Excite - Daichi Miura 43894
38 Hikari no Atelier - Mr. Children 43392
39 Magic - AAA 43278
40 Igai ni Mango - SKE48 42117
41 Sayonara no Imi - Nogizaka 46 41531
42 Yattemiyou - WANIMA 41164
43 Destiny - Che'Nelle 39383
44 Senaka Goshi no Chance - Kame to Yama P 38342
45 Mita Koto Mo Nai Keshiki - Masaki Suda 38064
46 Sekai ni Hitotsu Dake no Hana - SMAP 37729
47 Give Me Love - Hey! Say! Jump! 37241
48 CQCQ - Kamisama Bokuwa Kizuite Shimatta 36802
49 Knock Knock - TWICE 36739
50 Noroshi - Kanjani 8 36670
51 Hanabi - Mr. Children 36595
52 Something Just Like This - The Chainsmokers & Coldplay 36536
53 Pa - Kana Nishino 36361
54 24K Magic - Bruno Mars 36223
55 Over the Top - Hey! Say! Jump 35860
56 Precious Girl - Hey! Say! Jump 35297
57 Stay - Zedd & Alessia Cara 35166
58 Youkoso Japari Park He - Doubutsu Biscuits * PPP 34953
59 Otona no Okite - Doughnuts Hole 34881
60 Boku Igai No Dareka - NMB48 34806
61 Kiseki - GReeeeN 34698
62 Togetsukyou (Kimi Omofu) - Mai Kuraki 34634
63 Kiss ha Matsu Shika Nainodeshouka? - HKT48 34095
64 Bagutte Iijan - HKT48 33369
65 Koe - Green Boys 32134
66 Non Fiction - Ken Hirai 32082
67 Ribbon - BUMP OF CHICKEN 31953
68 Beauty and the Beast - Ariana Grande & John Legend 31650
69 Uptown Funk - Mark Ronson feat. Bruno Mars 31006
70 Ashita Mo - SHISHAMO 30940
71 Like OOH-AAH - TWICE 30828
72 Just You and I - Namie Amuro 30818
73 Charm - WANIMA 30490
74 Kiseki no Hito - Kanjani 8 29705
75 Nagurigaki Beat - Kanjani 8 29240
76 Catch the Moment - LiSA 29236
77 WanteD! WanteD! - Mrs.GREEN APPLE 28742
78 Haiiro to Ao - Kenshi Yonezu & Masaki Suda 28681
79 Eine Kleine - Kenshi Yonezu 28343
80 Life - AAA 28155
81 Loser - Kenshi Yonezu 27976
82 Look What You Made Me Do - Taylor Swift 27444
83 Dancing Hero - Yoko Oginome 27315
84 Cheer Up - TWICE 27058
85 Welcome to TOKYO - Sandaime J Soul Brothers 26980
86 Kono Yami wo Terasu Hikari no Mukou Ni - Anly + Sukima Switch = 26860
87 I Need Your Love - Beverly 26726
88 Dear Bride - Kana Nishino 26671
89 Sora - GENERATIONS 26367
90 See You Again - Wiz Khalifa feat. Charlie Puth 26126
91 Likey - TWICE 26068
92 Seishun Dokei - NGT48 25851
93 SUN - Gen Hoshino 25740
94 Outou Seyo - Kanjani 8 25726
95 Itteki no Eikyou - UVERworld 24953
96 As If It's Your Last - BLACKPINK 24756
97 DNA - BTS 24331
98 Snow Sound - Alexandros 24070
99 The Red Light - KinKi Kids 23863
100 Lightning - THE RAMPAGE 23825
101 Saihate Aini - RADWIMPS 22745
102 Emma - News 22694
103 Forevermore - Hikaru Utada 22601
104 Tomoni - WANIMA 22596
105 Pick it Up - Kis-My-Ft2 22144
106 Michishirube - Busaiku 22094
107 Tonight - Kis-My-Ft2 21910
108 No Way Back - AAA 21495
109 We Are - ONE OK ROCK 21385
110 Hero - Namie Amuro 20882
111 Good Life - G-Eazy & Kehlani 20849
112 Decided - UVERworld 20506
113 Coming Over - EXO 20228
114 Despacito - Luis Fonsi & Daddy Yankee feat. Justin Bieber 20132
115 Seimei - B'z 19909
116 Arigato - SMAP 19776
117 Zutto Futari De - Lei Ieiri 19427
118 Boombayah - BLACKPINK 19158
119 Big City Rodeo - GENERATIONS 18814
120 Kanade - Sukima Switch 18520
121 Kinen Satsuei - BUMP OF CHICKEN 18176
122 Jama Shinaide Here We Go! - Morning Musume.17 17799
123 Gyutto - Sexy Zone 17791
124 Nandemo Naiya - RADWIMPS 17721
125 Seiiki - Masaharu Fukuyama 17392
126 Dokomademo (How Far I'll Go) - Miliyah 17338
127 Osaka Ai.Eye.Ai - Johnny's WEST 17121
128 Eiyuu Unmei no Uta - EGOIST 16990
129 If You Wanna - Perfume 16793
130 Monochro - Flower 16600
131 Kimi He no Tegami - Keisuke Kuwata 16360
132 Boku no Kokoro wo Tsuketteyo - Ken Hirai 16184
133 God's S.T.A.R. - QUARTET NIGHT 16027
134 Taiyou Mo Tsuki Mo - GENERATIONS 16020
135 Hitorigoto - ClariS 16012
136 Love Queen - E-Girls 15984
137 Hana no Uta - Aimer 15841
138 Another Day of Sun - La La Land Cast 15793
139 Haru no Uta - Sakura Fujiwara 15731
140 Brand New Morning - Morning Musume.17 15717
141 Boku Tachi ga Yarimashita - DISH// 15547
142 Dokomademo (How Far I'll Go) - Tomona Yabiku 15529
143 Rock Tha Town - Sexy Zone 15237
144 Himawari no Yakusoku - Motohiro Hata 15224
145 Step Up LOVE - Daoko & Yasuyuki Okamura 14845
146 Hayaku Atai - Dream Ami 14788
147 Sekai Niha Ai Shikanai - Keyakizaka46 14770
148 That's What I Like - Bruno Mars 14761
149 ID - UP10TION 14709
150 Suna no Wakusei - Hachi feat. Miku Hatsune 14628
151 Wakai Hiroba - Keisuke Kuwata 14441
152 What Lovers Do - Maroon 5 feat. SZA 14199
153 One - Aimer 14051
154 Mirai no Bokura ha Shitteruyo - Aqours 13838
155 Ho Wo Agero! - BOYS AND MEN 13715
156 Christmas Song - back number 13667
157 Girls - Kana Nishino 13565
158 Girl - Motohiro Hata 13547
159 Bokura Kyou Mo Ikiteiru - Johnny's WEST 13467
160 Sorry - Justin Bieber 13105
161 My Boo - Shota Shimizu 13011
162 Ito - Creephyp 12971
163 Cut to the Feeling - Carly Rae Jepsen 12860
164 Hirari - Sakurako Ohara 12834
165 Taiyou no Elegy - Flower 12784
166 Dead End in Tokyo - Man With a Mission 12777
167 365 Nichi No Kami Hikouki - AKB48 12697
168 Castle on the Hill - Ed Sheeran 12446
169 10% Roll, 10% Romance - UNISON SQUARE GARDEN 12429
170 Suna na Tou - THE YELLOW MONKEY 12422
171 Feels - Calvin Harris feat. Pharrell Williams, Katy Perry & Big Sean 12411
172 Sangatsu Kokonoka - Remioromen 12348
173 Niji - Yu Takahashi 12253
174 Torisetsu - Kana Nishino 12104
175 The Main Street - Ringo Sheena & Tortoise Matsumoto 12046
176 Kiseki - Green Boys 11795
177 Don't Be Afraid - L'arc En Ciel 11712
178 Winter Wonderland - SHINee 11591
179 You Can't Hurry Love - Hi-STANDARD 11572
180 Kokoro - Kobukuro 11439
181 Sora ni Utaeba - Amazarashi 11436
182 Joshi Modoki - JY 11422
183 Answer - BUMP OF CHICKEN 11361
184 Happy Party Train - Aquors 11200
185 Aa Yume Mikoshi - Matsuri Nine. 11126
186 SKY's the limit - Boku no Lyric no Bouyomi 10971
187 Paris - The Chainsmokers 10944
188 I'm the One - DJ Khaled feat. Justin Bieber & Posse 10871
189 Dakara Hitori Janai - Little Glee Monster 10806
190 High Tension - AKB48 10707
191 Yume Makase - SOIL & "PIMP" SESSIONS feat. Yojiro Noda 10535
192 Personia - Kamen Joshi 10532
193 Fxxk It - BIGBANG 10476
194 Bang Bang Bang - BIGBANG 10440
195 Go! Go! Let's Go! - E-Girls 10351
196 Reason!! - 315 STARS 10339
197 Ryudoutai ni Tsuite - Kenji Osawa 10327
198 Kirakira - AI feat. Kanna 10305
199 Wiper - Suchmos 10284
200 Unicorn - Hiroyuki Sawano 10278

[rimetm]

The official list is now out! And...crud, I'm gonna need to do some heavy recalibration if I intend to do this list again.

1 Koi (=)
2 Shape of You (=)
3 Uchiage Hanabi (=)
4 Fukyouwaon (=)
5 Futari Saison (+1)
6 TT (-1)
7 Influencer (=)
8 PPAP (+1)
9 Zenzenzense (-1)
10 Silent Majority (=)
11 Dirty Work (=)
12 Nigemizu (=)
13 Family Song (=)
14 Peace Sign (=)
15 Negaigoto no Mochigusare (+2)
16 Itsuka Dekiru Kara Kyou Dekiru (-1)
17 Kaze ni Fukaretemo (-1)
18 Tokyo Girl (+1)
19 Stay Tune (+2)
20 Rain (-2)
21 What Do You Mean (+7)
22 Shoot Sign (+2)
23 Signal (-3)
24 Sukinanda (-2)
25 Happy End (+8)
26 Orion (=)
27 Chi Ase Namida (+2)
28 Closer (-5)
29 Tsunagu (-2)
30 Excite (+7)
31 One More Time (-6)
32 Happy? (+3)
33 I'll Be There (-1)
34 Himawari (-4)
35 Hikari no Atelier (+3)
36 Sekai ni Hitotsu Dake no Hana (+10)
37 Magic (+2)
38 24K Magic (+16)
39 11gatsuno no Anklet (-8)
40 Doors (-6)
41 Sayonara no Imi (=)
42 Yattemiyou (=)
43 Kiseki (+18)
44 Wherever You Are (-8)
45 Igai ni Mango (-5)
46 Mita Koto mo Nai Keshiki (-1)
47 Destiny (-4)
48 Youkoso Japari Park He (+10)
49 Senaka Goshi no Chance (-5)
50 Hanabi (+1)
51 Something Just Like This (+1)
52 Togetsukyou (+10)
53 Eine Kleine (+26)
54 Ashita Mo (+16)
55 CQCQ (-7)
56 Like OOH-AHH (+15)
57 Pa (-4)
58 Uptown Funk (+11)
59 Give Me Love (-12)
60 Knock Knock (-11)
61 Over the Top (-6)
62 Loser (+19)
63 Beauty and the Beast (+5)
64 See You Again (+26)
65 Otona no Okite (-6)
66 Stay (-9)
67 Boku Igai no Dareka (-7)
68 Noroshi (-18)
69 Sun (+24)
70 Charm (+3)
71 Cheer Up (+13)
72 Precious Girl (-16)
73 Catch the Moment (+3)
74 Koe (-9)
75 Just You and I (-3)
76 Non-Fiction (-10)
77 Ribbon (-10)
78 Tomoni (+26) (OUTSIDE TOP 100)
79 Bagutte Iijan (-15)
80 Kiss ha Matsu Shika Nainodeshouka? (-17)
81 Dear Bride (+7)
82 We Are (+27) (OUTSIDE TOP 100)
83 Kanade (+37) (OUTSIDE TOP 100)
84 Welcome to TOKYO (+1)
85 Himawari no Yakusoku (+59) (OUTSIDE TOP 125)
86 Kiseki no Hito (-12)
87 Nagurigaki Beat (-12)
88 Itteki no Eikyou (+7)
89 Seishun Dokei (+3)
90 Sora (-1)
91 I Need Your Love (-4)
92 Sorry (+58) (OUTSIDE TOP 150)
93 Good Life (+18) (OUTSIDE TOP 100)
94 Arigatou (+22) (OUTSIDE TOP 100)
95 Bang Bang Bang (+99) (OUTSIDE TOP 175)
96 My Boo (+65) (OUTSIDE TOP 150)
97 Kono Yami wo Terasu Hikari no Mukou Ni (-11)
98 Sugar (+141) (OUTSIDE TOP 225)
99 WanteD! WanteD! (-22)
100 Shake it Off (+171) (OUTSIDE TOP 250)

The Songs That Missed
Haiiro to Ao (78)
Life (80)
Look What You Made Me Do (82)
Dancing Hero (83)
Likey (91)
Outou Seyo (94)
As If It's Your Last (96)
DNA (97)
Snow Sound (98)
The Red Light (99)
Lightning (100)

The stuff in the bottom 10 indicates to me that the primary problem is that I interpolated the bottom 50 of the weeklies too low.

[thelegends]

What Really Baffles me is that Koi never charted in the US Hot 100 despite it being #1 in Japan YE, while PPAP charted in the US Hot 100 for a couple of weeks and peaked at #70 if i am correct and went #8 on Japan YE, but then PPAP was a worldwide meme during late 2016

[thelegends]

Also, it debuted in the same week as 24K Magic in the US