slw84
7x Platinum Member
I only tolerate legends
Joined: August 2008
Posts: 7,896
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Post by slw84 on Jun 19, 2018 16:26:59 GMT -5
1. I like it 2. Girls like you 3. Ape 4. Nice for what 5. Lucid dreams 6. God's plan 7. psycho 8. Boo'd up 9. The middle 10. No tears update for xxxtentacion 1. I like it. 2. Nice for what 3. Ape 4. Sad! 5. Girls like you 6. Lucid dreams 7. god's plan 8. Psycho 9. Boo'd up 10. The middle
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fhas
3x Platinum Member
Three-time World Champions: 1992 - 2-1 vs. Barcelona, 1993 - 3-2 vs. Milan, 2005 - 1-0 vs. Liverpool
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Post by fhas on Jun 19, 2018 17:54:26 GMT -5
We have no data and since it was a Tidal exclusive release on Saturday, it's gonna be almost impossible to predict accurately. So it could go either way then? Massive debut or disappointing flop? What are we leaning towards? Their success seems pretty inconsistent, DJ Khaled had two huge debuts last year with Bieber and Rihanna collabs but his song with the Carters underperformed. However, add Bey to a spanish song and you got yourself a top 5 hit, not to mention "Perfect"... And Lemonade was an album bomb but now there's claims of fake data provided (lol if that happens again). I think that a massive debut is more likely because it's #2 on Apple Music and iTunes. We'll have a better idea tonight (or tomorrow) when YouTube updates Apeshit's first full day (Sunday).
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fhas
3x Platinum Member
Three-time World Champions: 1992 - 2-1 vs. Barcelona, 1993 - 3-2 vs. Milan, 2005 - 1-0 vs. Liverpool
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Post by fhas on Jun 19, 2018 18:04:03 GMT -5
Why do people think GLY will go #1? I know sales and YouTube are pretty good but what is it currently gaining on? Maybe it's not going #1 this week but it's gaining 14.7% on Spotify (June 15-18 compared to June 8-11), 30% on Youtube (June 15-16 vs. June 8-9) and had a 2.7M update on radio today (using Kworb's data). It's on pace to pass I Like It on the Hot 100 dated as July 7.
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renaboss
Platinum Member
I don't want to miss a thing.
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Post by renaboss on Jun 19, 2018 19:32:18 GMT -5
It'd be awesome if Cardi got two #1's back-to-back. Wouldn't mind Maroon 5 getting their fourth #1 with this song either - their #1's are weird anyway, the only one that truly makes sense is "Moves Like Jagger".
Drake's "Scorpion" impacts which chart exactly? July 14? I feel like we've been waiting for that album bomb forever.
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braveheart
Gold Member
Banned
Joined: July 2012
Posts: 572
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Post by braveheart on Jun 19, 2018 20:36:06 GMT -5
2.8 million US Streams for ApeShixx on Sunday on Youtube
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jun 19, 2018 20:51:17 GMT -5
1. I Like It 2. Girls Like You 3. Nice For What 4. Physco 5. Lucid Dreams 6. No Tears Left Too Cry 7. SAD! 8. God's Plan 9. Boo'd Up 10. Apeshit
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kanfad
Gold Member
Enjoy your privileged life
Joined: March 2018
Posts: 871
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Post by kanfad on Jun 19, 2018 22:11:42 GMT -5
2.8 million US Streams for ApeShixx on Sunday on Youtube With these numbers + probably doing 2m/day on apple music + its poor spotify numbers, it would take "special" tidal streams for it to debut in the top ten
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Zach
7x Platinum Member
And at once I knew I was not magnificent...
Joined: September 2015
Posts: 7,544
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Post by Zach on Jun 19, 2018 23:37:45 GMT -5
Why do people think GLY will go #1? I know sales and YouTube are pretty good but what is it currently gaining on? Maybe it's not going #1 this week but it's gaining 14.7% on Spotify (June 15-18 compared to June 8-11), 30% on Youtube (June 15-16 vs. June 8-9) and had a 2.7M update on radio today (using Kworb's data). It's on pace to pass I Like It on the Hot 100 dated as July 7. Oh for the love of god...
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roman1166
New Member
Joined: February 2018
Posts: 129
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Post by roman1166 on Jun 20, 2018 7:19:34 GMT -5
1. I Like It 2. Girls Like You 3. Sad! 4. Nice For What 5. Psycho 6. Lucid Dream 7. God's Plan 8. No Tears Left To Cry 9. Boo'd Up 10. The Middle
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jtd Thee Stallion
6x Platinum Member
Meet Me @ The Altar Fan Account
Joined: September 2015
Posts: 6,836
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Post by jtd Thee Stallion on Jun 20, 2018 9:15:34 GMT -5
This week is completely fucked so I’m going for a home run. 1. SAD! 2. I Like It 3. Girls Like You 4. Nice For What 5. Psycho 6. Lucid Dreams 7. Boo’d Up 8. no tears left to cry 9. God’s Plan 10. APESHIT
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korbel16
Platinum Member
Joined: September 2017
Posts: 1,903
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Post by korbel16 on Jun 20, 2018 10:09:13 GMT -5
This week is completely f**ked so I’m going for a home run. 1. SAD! 2. I Like It 3. Girls Like You 4. Nice For What 5. Psycho 6. Lucid Dreams 7. Boo’d Up 8. no tears left to cry 9. God’s Plan 10. APESHIT the most annoying thing would be if sad went number 1....
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braveheart
Gold Member
Banned
Joined: July 2012
Posts: 572
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Post by braveheart on Jun 20, 2018 10:38:12 GMT -5
I like it vs SAD
Streams - 35million vs 45 million Sales - 30k vs 32k Radio - 90M AI vs 5M AI
why is streaming factoring so much more than radio that sad is now favored to be number 1 ? 90 million audience and just a streaming hit can cause u to lose #1 spot ? radio i believe needs to count way more cause radio takes time to build.
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Ferrero
Platinum Member
Joined: February 2006
Posts: 1,624
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Post by Ferrero on Jun 20, 2018 10:48:53 GMT -5
issit a lost cause for I like It though? I understand SAD had a great day but there's not guarantee it can sustain throughout the rest of e tracking week right?
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Post by Mayman on Jun 20, 2018 11:51:42 GMT -5
issit a lost cause for I like It though? I understand SAD had a great day but there's not guarantee it can sustain throughout the rest of e tracking week right? I'm not sure how SAD! can be #1, it's had a few good days but sales don't make up a lot of points and it doesn't have much radio at all. It's going to have 4 good days of streaming but that's about it. I Like It has good numbers for all 3 formats.
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kacpe3
Gold Member
Joined: May 2017
Posts: 543
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Post by kacpe3 on Jun 20, 2018 11:53:42 GMT -5
1. I Like It 2. Girls Like You 3. Nice For What 4. SAD 5. Psycho 6. Lucid Dreams 7. No Tears Left To Cry 8. Boo'd Up 9. God's Plan 10. Ape5h1t
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Post by lostinhavana on Jun 20, 2018 12:33:35 GMT -5
1. Girls Like You 2. I Like It 3. Nice For What 4. Psycho 5. SAD! 6. Lucid Dreams 7. No Tears Left To Cry 8. I’m Upset 9. Boo’d Up 10. The Middle
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renaboss
Platinum Member
I don't want to miss a thing.
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Post by renaboss on Jun 20, 2018 13:02:31 GMT -5
I never have any idea what I'm doing with predictions, I just wing it, but this week it's especially difficult.
1. I Like It 2. Girls Like You 3. Nice for What 4. Lucid Dreams 5. SAD! 6. Psycho 7. God's Plan 8. No Tears Left to Cry 9. Boo'd Up 10. Apeshit
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wicked
New Member
Dupe
Joined: April 2018
Posts: 155
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Post by wicked on Jun 20, 2018 13:12:20 GMT -5
issit a lost cause for I like It though? I understand SAD had a great day but there's not guarantee it can sustain throughout the rest of e tracking week right? I'm not sure how SAD! can be #1, it's had a few good days but sales don't make up a lot of points and it doesn't have much radio at all. It's going to have 4 good days of streaming but that's about it. I Like It has good numbers for all 3 formats. In the “few good days” it’s been absolutely murdering ILI in streams. Only god’s plan has been streamed more in a single day on Spotify US than SAD! was yesterday.
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Post by Mayman on Jun 20, 2018 13:39:20 GMT -5
I'm not sure how SAD! can be #1, it's had a few good days but sales don't make up a lot of points and it doesn't have much radio at all. It's going to have 4 good days of streaming but that's about it. I Like It has good numbers for all 3 formats. In the “few good days” it’s been absolutely murdering ILI in streams. Only god’s plan has been streamed more in a single day on Spotify US than SAD! was yesterday. I understand that, but SAD! will only have "a few days" of those monster streams. It has next to no radio plays and not very much sales either, so it will mainly be streaming that makes it chart high, similar to Lucid Dreams. Lucid Dreams is #6 with about 40 million streams, and not very much sales and radio numbers. I see SAD! reach #4 or #5.
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fernando4
New Member
Joined: June 2017
Posts: 347
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by fernando4 on Jun 20, 2018 16:08:13 GMT -5
1. I Like It (+2) 2. Girls Like You (+3) 3. Nice for What (-2) 4. Psycho (-2) 5. Lucid Dreams (+1) 6. SAD! (+46) 7. God's Plan (-3) 8. No Tears Left to Cry (+1) 9. Boo'd Up (-2) 10. Apeshit (NEW)
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wicked
New Member
Dupe
Joined: April 2018
Posts: 155
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Post by wicked on Jun 20, 2018 19:22:24 GMT -5
In the “few good days” it’s been absolutely murdering ILI in streams. Only god’s plan has been streamed more in a single day on Spotify US than SAD! was yesterday. I understand that, but SAD! will only have "a few days" of those monster streams. It has next to no radio plays and not very much sales either, so it will mainly be streaming that makes it chart high, similar to Lucid Dreams. Lucid Dreams is #6 with about 40 million streams, and not very much sales and radio numbers. I see SAD! reach #4 or #5. Sales are basically irrelevant Also, sad is streaming better than lucid dreams. Yes it might be #4 or #5 but it could also be #1 Top 5 is ridiculously close rn
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Jun 20, 2018 22:41:05 GMT -5
I normally don't edit my predictions, but seeing XXXTentacion's first day streaming numbers after his death which I shared in the BB 200 thread, I readjusted Sad!'s position accordingly.
1. I Like It 2. Sad! 3. Girls Like You 4. Nice for What 5. Psycho 6. Lucid Dreams 7. Boo'd Up 8. God's Plan 9. No Tears Left to Cry 10. The Middle
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Zach
7x Platinum Member
And at once I knew I was not magnificent...
Joined: September 2015
Posts: 7,544
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Post by Zach on Jun 20, 2018 23:36:59 GMT -5
1. I Like It 2. Girls Like You 3. Nice for What 4. SAD! 5. Psycho 6. Lucid Dreams 7. Boo'd Up 8. God's Plan 9. No Tears Left to Cry 10. The Middle
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ahmiizafii
New Member
Joined: March 2018
Posts: 161
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Post by ahmiizafii on Jun 21, 2018 3:29:32 GMT -5
1-I LIKE IT 2-GIRLS LIKE YOU 3-SAD 4-NICE FOR WHAT 5-LUCID DREAMS 6-PSYCHO 7-BOO'D UP 8-GODS PLAN 9-NTLTC 10-THE MIDDLE
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feoba
New Member
Joined: August 2016
Posts: 342
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Post by feoba on Jun 21, 2018 7:36:41 GMT -5
1. I Like It 2. Girls Like You 3. SAD! 4. Nice For What 5. Psycho 6. Lucid Dreams 7. Boo’d Up 8. God’s Plan 9. No Tears Left to Cry 10. The Middle
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kcdawg13
7x Platinum Member
You Are Now Listening to 103.5 Dawn FM
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Post by kcdawg13 on Jun 21, 2018 11:42:14 GMT -5
1. I Like It 2. Girls Like You 3. Nice For What 4. Psycho 5. Lucid Dreams 6. Boo'd Up 7. No Tears Left To Cry 8. God's Plan 9. The Middle 10. Yes Indeed
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korbel16
Platinum Member
Joined: September 2017
Posts: 1,903
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Post by korbel16 on Jun 21, 2018 12:33:24 GMT -5
Way-Too-Early Predictions 1. | I Like It | 33,700 | (+2) | 2. | Girls Like You | 33,300 | (+3) | 3. | Nice For What | 30,800 | (-2) | 4. | Psycho | 30,400 | (-2) | 5. | Lucid Dreams | 29,900 | (+1) | 6. | Boo'd Up | 27,200 | (+1) | 7. | No Tears Left To Cry | 25,300 | (+2) | 8. | God's Plan | 24,900 | (-4) | 9. | The Middle | 23,300 | (-1) | 10. | Yes Indeed | 22,500 | (+1) |
I'm still trying to calculate how God's Plan was ahead of Girls Like You last week, so I may be underestimating GP and overestimating GLY. any update ? :o
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korbel16
Platinum Member
Joined: September 2017
Posts: 1,903
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Post by korbel16 on Jun 21, 2018 12:43:39 GMT -5
Ughhhhhhh :/
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annoymous1
7x Platinum Member
Joined: December 2017
Posts: 7,094
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Post by annoymous1 on Jun 21, 2018 13:39:11 GMT -5
Hopefully I like it pulls through and gets the #1 . The only thing SAD! Doesn't have is radio right now maybe the airplay for I Like it can push it to get the #1.
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Post by hot100predictions on Jun 21, 2018 14:03:49 GMT -5
I hope not, I like SAD! much better than I Like It and Girls Like You. Imo
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