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Post by Wackadoodle on Oct 14, 2019 13:54:57 GMT -5
Based on the Country Countdown USA co-host schedule, this should be maxing the week of 11/4-11/10, after Russell Dickerson, but Brantley may hold out and avoid getting passed by Russell and push the week before. The #1 schedule may be fluid for the next few weeks. It'll really depend on whether the big gains Brantley had last week were simply due to his album's release and Russell goes back to out-gaining Brantley this coming week, or if Brantley continues this trend of converting faster than Russell this week. Based on the research, Russell seems to have higher negatives but Brantley has a high burn rate, so it may be a wash between the two and radio may just end up converting Brantley first because his song's first on the charts. We'll see as the week progresses. Really excited that this looks like a #1 contender even after so many slow weeks outside the top 10. It's been my jam all summer long and still is! What a rocker!
EDIT: Yup, the boldfaced prediction is coming true. It'll be an easy few weeks. Cole, Russell, Brantley. Probably no real contest for #1 until we get to the end of November and the three big hits from Luke, Old Dominion and Thomas collide. Then we'll have the little guys Kenny, Keith and Lady A fighting for their fake Mediabase #1's in between. Fun!
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Post by Naos on Oct 14, 2019 22:14:50 GMT -5
Hot 100: #64 (+21)
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Post by KeepDeanWeird on Nov 5, 2019 13:52:24 GMT -5
So is this really going to make it to MB #1? For a song released last November and that seemed to be eternally stuck outside the Top 10, even coming close is quite an accomplishment. But was it really worth investing almost a year on one track?
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CoJoFan
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Post by CoJoFan on Nov 5, 2019 14:13:07 GMT -5
So is this really going to make it to MB #1? For a song released last November and that seemed to be eternally stuck outside the Top 10, even coming close is quite an accomplishment. But was it really worth investing almost a year on one track? I don’t know if it will get the MB #1 or not. Luke C passed them this past week so he maybe at the top of both charts for a few weeks.
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raylatch98
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Post by raylatch98 on Nov 5, 2019 14:20:25 GMT -5
So is this really going to make it to MB #1? For a song released last November and that seemed to be eternally stuck outside the Top 10, even coming close is quite an accomplishment. But was it really worth investing almost a year on one track? I don’t know if it will get the MB #1 or not. Luke C passed them this past week so he maybe at the top of both charts for a few weeks. Well considering the fact that this is already back ahead of this song on Mediabase rolling chart today and is projected by Hits Daily Double. (Here is the link for the proof) hitsdailydouble.com/mediabase_chart_details&fmt=C1Also just judging on early percents by the first two days of the Mediabase (Also those gains are probably leading to huge audience gains for Brantley/Lindsay) I think "What Happens In A Small Town" will definitely be #1 on Mediabase, and likely Billboard as well.
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jhomes87
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Post by jhomes87 on Nov 5, 2019 14:23:37 GMT -5
Great post, raylatch98. I think this will easily top the Mediabase chart, and it could go #1 on Billboard too since it's receiving a massive push this week, although it's possible that Combs' song could re-pass Brantley/Lindsay on Sunday, the final day of the Billboard tracking week. That seems to be the only uncertainty at this point. The Mediabase #1 seems like a lock though.
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Post by KeepDeanWeird on Nov 5, 2019 15:57:06 GMT -5
I don’t know if it will get the MB #1 or not. Luke C passed them this past week so he maybe at the top of both charts for a few weeks. Well considering the fact that this is already back ahead of this song on Mediabase rolling chart today and is projected by Hits Daily Double. (Here is the link for the proof) hitsdailydouble.com/mediabase_chart_details&fmt=C1Also just judging on early percents by the first two days of the Mediabase (Also those gains are probably leading to huge audience gains for Brantley/Lindsay) I think "What Happens In A Small Town" will definitely be #1 on Mediabase, and likely Billboard as well. Yep. After seeing it make that huge jump to #1 on Monday's chart was the genesis of my post. Thanks for posting. Valory certainly waited an eternity to go for MAX SPINS!
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phil1996
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Post by phil1996 on Nov 5, 2019 17:06:27 GMT -5
Expecting either Never Gonna Be Alone or Bad Boy next. Bad Boy is a song of the year type of moment for BG, hoping for that as single #2.....
Though I have a bad feeling they’re gonna release Fire’t Up 🤮
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maine
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Post by maine on Nov 10, 2019 16:54:50 GMT -5
God that hook is so dumb.
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.indulgecountry
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Post by .indulgecountry on Nov 10, 2019 18:20:41 GMT -5
God that hook is so dumb. Just curious, but why do you find it dumb? I know it's a rip on the 'what happens in Vegas' saying, but I actually think the hook is pretty clever going off the idea that living in a small town it's hard to escape the memories of a breakup because there's only so much distance that can be put between you and your ex unless you leave.
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maine
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Post by maine on Nov 10, 2019 18:24:38 GMT -5
God that hook is so dumb. Just curious, but why do you find it dumb? I know it's a rip on the 'what happens in Vegas' saying, but I actually think the hook is pretty clever going off the idea that living in a small town it's hard to escape the memories of a breakup because there's only so much distance that can be put between you and your ex unless you leave. Just the line "'Cause what happens in a small town stays in a small town" just feels like lazy songwriting to me. I don't think the chorus' writing is bad, and it does make sense within the context of the song, but every time I hear that line on the radio, I just roll my eyes, lol.
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raylatch98
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Post by raylatch98 on Nov 10, 2019 18:36:26 GMT -5
Ok I am happy for Lindsay Ell especially that she got her first #1, but this is probably one of the most undeserving songs to hit #1 in recent memory.
This song has been really ho hum impact wise since released almost a year ago, also while the radio testing isn't bad it was pretty mediocre as well.
As of right now the latest singles from Jordan Davis, Ryan Hurd, Morgan Wallen, Carly Pearce/Lee Brice, Jason Aldean, Chris Young, Kelsea Ballerini, Gabby Barrett, Kane Brown, Ingrid Andress, and Maren Morris are all outselling "What Happens In A Small Town" despite none of the songs even half the airplay Brantley/Lindsay have.
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stanches2318
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Post by stanches2318 on Nov 10, 2019 18:53:08 GMT -5
Just curious, but why do you find it dumb? I know it's a rip on the 'what happens in Vegas' saying, but I actually think the hook is pretty clever going off the idea that living in a small town it's hard to escape the memories of a breakup because there's only so much distance that can be put between you and your ex unless you leave. Just the line "'Cause what happens in a small town stays in a small town" just feels like lazy songwriting to me. I don't think the chorus' writing is bad, and it does make sense within the context of the song, but every time I hear that line on the radio, I just roll my eyes, lol. that lyric is just as lazy as "It All Comes Out In The Wash" which is just like saying dirty laundry IMO
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Post by lady𝓐fan on Nov 10, 2019 18:54:26 GMT -5
Ok I am happy for Lindsay Ell especially that she got her first #1, but this is probably one of the most undeserving songs to hit #1 in recent memory. This song has been really ho hum impact wise since released almost a year ago, also while the radio testing isn't bad it was pretty mediocre as well. As of right now the latest singles from Jordan Davis, Ryan Hurd, Morgan Wallen, Carly Pearce/Lee Brice, Jason Aldean, Chris Young, Kelsea Ballerini, Gabby Barrett, Kane Brown, Ingrid Andress, and Maren Morris are all outselling "What Happens In A Small Town" despite none of the songs even half the airplay Brantley/Lindsay have. Almost as egregious as “Hangin’ On” last year. This, “Every Little Thing”, and “Love You Too Late” are the most un-impactful singles to hit number one this year, and adding salt to the wound they hit #1 one after another after each other (I couldn’t find a better way to word that lol). This is a really disappointing situation, especially considering Carrie Underwood peaked at #3 a few weeks ago with a song that literally took half the time to climb the charts. Timing, smh.
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Post by Naos on Nov 11, 2019 18:13:17 GMT -5
Hot 100: #53 (+13)
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gardyfan
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Post by gardyfan on Nov 11, 2019 22:29:37 GMT -5
Expecting either Never Gonna Be Alone or Bad Boy next. Bad Boy is a song of the year type of moment for BG, hoping for that as single #2..... Though I have a bad feeling they’re gonna release Fire’t Up 🤮 Country Aircheck tonight confirms that it is Fire't Up.
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Post by KeepDeanWeird on Nov 12, 2019 15:19:24 GMT -5
So it took 48 weeks to reach #1. Is that a record for Country Airplay?
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gardyfan
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Post by gardyfan on Nov 12, 2019 15:39:34 GMT -5
So it took 48 weeks to reach #1. Is that a record for Country Airplay? The last 2 number ones, Every Little Thing and Love You Too Late, were also 48 weeks. Love Ain't took 49 weeks last year. Love You Like That took 49 weeks in 2014-15. Let It rain took 49 weeks to get to the top in 2011-12. Voices hit the top in week 51 on 2-19-11, although the first 20 weeks were when it was originally released in 2008.
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Post by Wackadoodle on Nov 18, 2019 22:35:28 GMT -5
Ah. The old 3-1-11. Classic.
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