Avenged Sevenfold - Welcome to the Family

[HereIsGone]

Feb 13, 2011 15:03:29 GMT -5 Devin said:

Wonder if this will be the next #1 on Billboard... it's still #1 on Mediabase right?

Yup. :)

[Devin]

If it gets to #1 on Billboard, "Welcome to the Family" will be their 1st #1! Should've been "Nightmare", but Disturbed blocked their chance at #1. :(

[HereIsGone]

Feb 13, 2011 15:31:07 GMT -5 Devin said:

If it gets to #1 on Billboard, "Welcome to the Family" will be their 1st #1! Should've been "Nightmare", but Disturbed blocked their chance at #1. :(

Well, they got revenge this time around since The Animal got blocked from No. 1. :)

[rockmaniac]

but Isolation is a road block now

[Devin]

My official guess is:

No, it will be blocked by "Isolation" with around 100 spins in difference (Active+Heritage)

[HereIsGone]

Pardon my ignorance, but what's the situation with this addition of Heritage rock and what is it exactly in terms of format?

[Devin]

^ Heritage rock is like classic rock stations I think that play mostly hard rock and are very slow on adding new songs. It's aimed more towards middle-aged people who listen to rock music I think. It is included along with Active to make up the Billboard Mainstream Rock Tracks.

Here is the BDS Heritage Rock chart:
charts.bdsradio.com/bdsradiocharts/charts.aspx?formatid=11

[HereIsGone]

Ah, thank you.

[Devin]

^ Any time :)

[jvandyck87]

BDS Heritage Rock is similar to what mediabase calls Mainstream Rock. They both have much smaller panels, and because their stations don't play much new music, the songs current enough to be on the chart have very low spin totals.
www.allaccess.com/mediabase/q/report/sevenDay/format/R5/panel/R/detail/C/reportType/R is the mediabase equivalent to heritage rock which combined with mediabase active rock is an approximation of the Billboard Mainstream Rock chart. However, combining the two BDS charts gets the exact results I believe.

[Devin]

According to my calculations (using BDS Heritage Rock and active Rock charts)

"Welcome to the Family" - 1648 spins
"Isolation" - 1731 spins

Looks like Avenged Sevenfold aren't getting their first Billboard #1 this week. :(

[Shadows in the Dark]

Did Bat Country make it to #1 on Active? Because I know that also failed to top Billboard.

[rockmaniac]

Feb 16, 2011 12:57:50 GMT -5 Shadows in the Dark said:

Did Bat Country make it to #1 on Active? Because I know that also failed to top Billboard.

i believe it didn't

[Jorge_Str [Som3on3]]

still #2 on BB Mainstream Rock, if next week won't be #1 then it seems like it's gonna be their destiny not to have a #1 there

[Devin]

I predict:

"Welcome to the Family" - 1638
"Isolation" - 1659
"Diamond Eyes (B-L B-L B)" - 1655

"Welcome to the Family" could very well be pushed down to #3 on Mainstream Rock Tracks, while still being #1 on BDS Active Rock chart. It will be a very close Top 3 though, with a legit fight for #1 between these three tracks. :) Suspenseful

[lockebox]

Oct 31, 2010 21:29:37 GMT -5 Devin said:

Peak Predictions:

#5 on Active
#20 on Alt

Oct 31, 2010 21:30:58 GMT -5 lockebox said:

#3 - Active
#18 - Alternative

Oct 31, 2010 21:34:40 GMT -5 Devin said:

^ Ur on!

We both underestimated this song, huh?

[Devin]

I guess we did
Same thing happened with "Shoot It Out" lol (except I got the alt peak of #21 right on and was one spot off on active, with mine being #7 and the actual being #6)

[lockebox]

You didn't underestimated it at all then. :) I was one spot off aswell... I said it would peak at #5. >:(

[Devin]

Well, all is well.
We'll see who wins the Red faceoff ;)
I'm gonna put an alt prediction and you should be more specific. Go!

[lockebox]

^ For "Feed the Machine"?

[Devin]

^ No for the song by Red not being released as a single lol

[lockebox]

Haha sorry got confused, as we were talking about Avenged Sevenfold, RED & 10 Years all at once.

[Shadows in the Dark]

19 25 AVENGED SEVENFOLD Welcome To The Family 422 550 -128 1.556

This definitely had a nice run on Alternative. Hopefully the follow up can do at least Top 30.