lugus15
Gold Member
Joined: April 2009
Posts: 790
|
Post by lugus15 on Oct 23, 2010 14:04:23 GMT -5
SARA BAREILLES - King Of Anything: 34.109 (+ 0.350) I don't know guys, I do think this can be like Hey, Soul Sister was last year. It stayed around 30-35 AI for like forever before it started exploding. The song is catchy (KOA I mean). |
|
Epic Fail
2x Platinum Member
"I think I need a ginger ale that was such an EPIC FAIL"
Joined: January 2010
Posts: 2,009
|
Post by Epic Fail on Oct 23, 2010 14:48:54 GMT -5
It looks like G6 is a lock for #1. Rihanna and Bruno will battle for #2 with the advantage going to Bruno and Nelly will be #4.
|
|
Music Fan
5x Platinum Member
Imma Be Boom Boom Pow because I Gotta Feelin' I'm Alive
Joined: April 2008
Posts: 5,427
|
Post by Music Fan on Oct 23, 2010 15:01:22 GMT -5
And it's run is officially starting  |
|
badrobot
3x Platinum Member
Joined: November 2006
Posts: 3,392
|
Post by badrobot on Oct 23, 2010 16:02:13 GMT -5
Cuz I'm a nerd I did a little calculating looking at 14 songs for the year so far.
If you used an inverse point system where #1 = 100 points and #100 = 1 point, you get this order:
1 Hey Soul Sister 3846
2 Need You Now 3823
3 Tik Tok 2832
4 Breakeven 2692
5 Bad Romance 2656
6 Telephone 2591
7 OMG 2562
8 Airplanes 2478
9 Nothin On You 2319
10 California Gurls 2161
11 Not Afraid 2099
12 Imma Be 2006
13 Empire State of Mind 1728
14 Love the Way You Lie 1666
If you just look at the weeks in the top 50 and make #1 = 50 pts and #50 = 1 pt (probably a little better at weighting weeks at higher positions better), you get:
1 Need You Now 1523
2 Hey Soul Sister 1496
3 Tik Tok 1232
4 Airplanes 1128
5 OMG 1112
6 Bad Romance 1106
7 California Gurls 1011
8 Nothin On You 971
9 Telephone 941
10 Not Afraid 899
11 Love the Way You Lie 816
12 Imma Be 813
13 Breakeven 781
14 Empire State of Mind 728
Of course some songs are still charting, so using those point systems several songs would climb by chart year's end.
It looks like there are several artists who could be in the top ten twice (Eminem, Lady Gaga, B.o.B.). I am betting that the final top 3 will be some order of Kesha, Lady Antebellum, and Train, though.
|
|
badrobot
3x Platinum Member
Joined: November 2006
Posts: 3,392
|
Post by badrobot on Oct 23, 2010 16:05:22 GMT -5
Note about Breakeven -- even though it never hit the top ten of the Hot 100, it has happened before where a non-top ten song has ended up in the year end top ten. I think Paula Cole's "I Don't Wanna Wait" was #10 for the year but peaked at #11.
And of course there have also been cases where a non-#1 song has ended up #1 for the year (2000 and 2001 most recently).
|
|
|
|
Post by kt1990 on Oct 23, 2010 16:17:17 GMT -5
SARA BAREILLES - King Of Anything: 34.109 (+ 0.350) I don't know guys, I do think this can be like Hey, Soul Sister was last year. It stayed around 30-35 AI for like forever before it started exploding. The song is catchy (KOA I mean). Yeah, I hope it makes it to the to 20, at least. I'm glad it's hung in there. It's been out since, like, May. |
|
Franck
3x Platinum Member
Normani -Dopamine
Joined: March 2009
Posts: 3,768
|
Post by Franck on Oct 23, 2010 16:40:33 GMT -5
Note about Breakeven -- even though it never hit the top ten of the Hot 100, it has happened before where a non-top ten song has ended up in the year end top ten. I think Paula Cole's "I Don't Wanna Wait" was #10 for the year but peaked at #11. And of course there have also been cases where a non-#1 song has ended up #1 for the year (2000 and 2001 most recently). I'm still thrilled "Breakeven" did so well. This is such a brilliant song. |
|
|
|
Post by slicknickshady on Oct 24, 2010 1:30:27 GMT -5
EMINEM - No Love f/Lil'Wayne: 13.671 (+ 0.721)
|
|
HolidayGuy
Diamond Member
Joined: December 2003
Posts: 33,923
|
Post by HolidayGuy on Oct 24, 2010 10:20:38 GMT -5
Is the new BEP similar to the last album? Would be crazy if the new single dominated like "Boom Boom Pow" and 'I Gotta Feeling."
|
|
SPRΞΞ
Diamond Member
Joined: July 2009
Posts: 22,307
|
Post by SPRΞΞ on Oct 24, 2010 11:14:53 GMT -5
^i hope not. It's terrible.
|
|
|
|
Post by ListenToItTwice on Oct 24, 2010 11:29:15 GMT -5
^^ Yeah there's no way this will strike the chord that I Gotta Feeling is still striking for some reason.
|
|
lugus15
Gold Member
Joined: April 2009
Posts: 790
|
Post by lugus15 on Oct 24, 2010 12:24:05 GMT -5
Cuz I'm a nerd I did a little calculating looking at 14 songs for the year so far. If you used an inverse point system where #1 = 100 points and #100 = 1 point, you get this order: 1 Hey Soul Sister 3846 2 Need You Now 3823 3 Tik Tok 2832 4 Breakeven 2692 5 Bad Romance 2656 6 Telephone 2591 7 OMG 2562 8 Airplanes 2478 9 Nothin On You 2319 10 California Gurls 2161 11 Not Afraid 2099 12 Imma Be 2006 13 Empire State of Mind 1728 14 Love the Way You Lie 1666 If you just look at the weeks in the top 50 and make #1 = 50 pts and #50 = 1 pt (probably a little better at weighting weeks at higher positions better), you get: 1 Need You Now 1523 2 Hey Soul Sister 1496 3 Tik Tok 1232 4 Airplanes 1128 5 OMG 1112 6 Bad Romance 1106 7 California Gurls 1011 8 Nothin On You 971 9 Telephone 941 10 Not Afraid 899 11 Love the Way You Lie 816 12 Imma Be 813 13 Breakeven 781 14 Empire State of Mind 728 Of course some songs are still charting, so using those point systems several songs would climb by chart year's end. It looks like there are several artists who could be in the top ten twice (Eminem, Lady Gaga, B.o.B.). I am betting that the final top 3 will be some order of Kesha, Lady Antebellum, and Train, though. There is absolutely no way Dynamite doesn't get a top ten placement. |
|
badrobot
3x Platinum Member
Joined: November 2006
Posts: 3,392
|
Post by badrobot on Oct 24, 2010 12:58:18 GMT -5
Ran the numbers for Dynamite and it would look like this:
Dynamite 1833 / 802
Which would put it at #13 by both methods. But again, those methods are just totally made up by me, not the real way it's determined.
I was not trying to diminish its success by any means I just didn't think to look at it.
|
|
ktucker13
Bubbling Under
Joined: April 2010
Posts: 13
|
Post by ktucker13 on Oct 24, 2010 23:26:08 GMT -5
I think you're missing a few top songs of the year on your list. They might not be Top 5 material but they had pretty good runs.
Break Your Heart, In My Head, and we must not forget I Gotta Feeling, even though it was mostly last year, it did chart for quite some time this year as well.
|
|
badrobot
3x Platinum Member
Joined: November 2006
Posts: 3,392
|
Post by badrobot on Oct 25, 2010 0:15:57 GMT -5
With those songs added:
based on top 100:
1 Hey Soul Sister 3846
2 Need You Now 3823
3 Tik Tok 2832
4 Breakeven 2692
5 Bad Romance 2656
6 In My Head 2630
7 Telephone 2591
8 OMG 2562
9 Break Your Heart 2507
10 Airplanes 2478
11 I Gotta Feeling 2406
12 Nothin On You 2319
13 California Gurls 2161
14 Not Afraid 2099
15 Imma Be 2006
16 Rude Boy 1913
17 Dynamite 1833
18 Empire State of Mind 1728
19 Love the Way You Lie 1666
based on top 50:
1 Need You Now 1523
2 Hey Soul Sister 1496
3 Tik Tok 1232
4 Airplanes 1128
5 OMG 1112
6 Bad Romance 1106
7 Break Your Heart 1059
8 California Gurls 1011
9 Nothin On You 971
10 In My Head 969
11 Telephone 941
12 Not Afraid 899
13 Dynamite 833
14 Rude Boy 826
15 Love the Way You Lie 816
16 Imma Be 813
17 Breakeven 781
18 I Gotta Feeling 756
19 Empire State of Mind 728
*Updated with Rude Boy
|
|
badrobot
3x Platinum Member
Joined: November 2006
Posts: 3,392
|
Post by badrobot on Oct 25, 2010 0:22:01 GMT -5
Based on all this my predictions are:
1 Need You Now
2 Tik Tok
3 Hey Soul Sister
4 Bad Romance
5 Airplanes
6 OMG
7 California Gurls
8 Love the Way You Lie
9 Break Your Heart
10 Dynamite
|
|
HolidayGuy
Diamond Member
Joined: December 2003
Posts: 33,923
|
Post by HolidayGuy on Oct 25, 2010 12:32:03 GMT -5
We'll have a better idea of year-end-chart performance if someone goes through each week every single spent on the Hot 100, and add up their estimated sales and airplay. Anyone up for that task?  |
|
kingofpain
Platinum Member
You give me the sweetest taboo.
Joined: February 2009
Posts: 1,816
|
Post by kingofpain on Oct 25, 2010 15:30:41 GMT -5
How come Rude Boy isn't in any of those lists? Was that chart-topping song that forgettable?
|
|
|
|
Post by jj99$ - - LeLe on Oct 25, 2010 15:57:45 GMT -5
How come Rude Boy isn't in any of those lists? Was that chart-topping song that forgettable? rude boy didnt last for very long on the chart after its stint at #1 |
|
|
|
Post by wolfmother on Oct 25, 2010 16:39:34 GMT -5
MEDIABASE
1. BRUNO MARS - Just The Way You Are: 138.943 (+ 0.722)
2. KATY PERRY - Teenage Dream: 113.353 (- 0.839)
3. USHER F/PITBULL - DJ Got Us Fallin’ In Love: 112.782 (+ 0.289)
4. TAYLOR SWIFT - Mine: 99.672 (+ 0.223)
5. TAIO CRUZ - Dynamite: 95.333 (- 0.135)
6. FAR EAST MOVEMENT - Like A G6 f/Cataracs & Dev: 94.083 (+ 0.704)
7. NELLY - Just A Dream: 94.050 (+ 0.783)
8. RIHANNA - Only Girl (In The World): 91.050 (+ 1.452)
9. TREY SONGZ - Bottoms Up f/Nick Minaj: 82.910 (- 0.157)
10. CHRIS BROWN - Deuces f/Tyga & Kevin McCall: 74.398 (+ 0.139)
11. FLO RIDA - Club Can't Handle Me f/DGuetta: 69.973 (+ 0.166) ▲
12. NEON TREES - Animal: 69.901 (+ 0.725) ▲
13. ENRIQUE IGLESIAS - I Like It f/Pitbull: 69.769 (- 1.217) ▼
14. EMINEM - Love The Way You Lie f/Rihanna: 69.685 (- 1.249) ▼
15. PINK - Raise Your Glass: 52.394 (+ 1.913) ▲
16. DARIUS RUCKER - Come Back Song: 51.558 (- 0.200) ▼
17. EASTON CORBIN - Roll With It: 46.576 (- 0.498)
18. ZAC BROWN BAND/A. JACKSON - As She's...: 46.304 (+ 0.464)
19. DAUGHTRY - September: 45.526 (+ 0.207)
20. SUGARLAND - Stuck Like Glue: 45.131 (+ 0.044)
RODNEY ATKINS - Farmer's Daughter: 43.162 (- 0.333)
DRAKE - Fancy f/T.I. & Swizz Beatz: 42.853 (- 0.603)
KATY PERRY - California Gurls f/Snoop Dogg: 42.486 (- 0.906)
LADY ANTEBELLUM - Need You Now: 42.362 (- 0.824)
LIL WAYNE - Right Above It f/Drake: 42.332 (+ 0.923)
MIKE POSNER - Cooler Than Me: 41.794 (- 0.140)
USHER - Hot Tottie f/Jay-Z: 41.464 (- 0.388)
BRAD PAISLEY - Anything Like Me: 41.275 (+ 0.490)
TREY SONGZ - Can't Be Friends: 40.997 (+ 0.194)
ONEREPUBLIC - Secrets: 40.947 (- 0.209)
THE BAND PERRY - If I Die Young: 38.382 (+ 0.255)
RASCAL FLATTS - Why Wait: 36.615 (- 0.044)
SARA BAREILLES - King Of Anything: 34.972 (+ 0.206)
WAKA FLOCKA FLAME - No Hands f/Roscoe Dash & Wale: 33.689 (+ 0.629)
JAZMINE SULLIVAN - Holding You Down (Goin' In ...: 32.965 (- 0.154)
MIKE POSNER - Please Don't Go: 31.743 (+ 0.746)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Mama's Song: 28.550 (- 0.583)
RICK ROSS - Aston Martin Music f/Drake: 27.067 (+ 0.494)
KEITH URBAN - Put You In A Song: 25.365 (- 0.270)
WILL. I. AM & NICKI MINAJ - Check It Out: 25.227 (- 0.089)
WILLOW - Whip My Hair: 24.910 (+ 0.905)
MIRANDA LAMBERT - Only Prettier: 24.173 (+ 0.025)
NICKI MINAJ - Right Thru Me: 21.454 (+ 0.525)
RIHANNA - What's My Name f/Drake: 20.283 (+ 1.512)
LIFEHOUSE - All In: 17.897 (+ 0.006)
EMINEM - No Love f/Lil'Wayne: 15.571 (+ 0.784)
KATY PERRY - Firework: 14.985 (+ 1.734)
MICHAEL BUBLE - Hollywood: 13.307 (+ 0.280)
EDWARD MAYA - Stereo Love: 12.952 (+ 0.238)
PLAIN WHITE T'S - Rhythm Of Love: 12.416 (+ 0.368)
JESSE MCCARTNEY - Shake: 11.813 (+ 0.994)
KANYE WEST - Runaway f/Pusha T: 11.616 (+ 0.563)
LADY ANTEBELLUM - Hello World: 10.660 (+ 0.931)
YOLANDA BE COOL & DCUP - We No Speak Americano: 10.581 (+ 0.119)
KINGS OF LEON - Radioactive: 10.105 (+ 0.080)
KE$HA - We R Who We R: 9.947 (+ 1.310)
LINKIN PARK - Waiting For The End: 9.262 (+ 0.103)
MUMFORD & SONS - Little Lion Man: 9.115 (+ 0.071)
AKON - Angel: 8.250 (- 0.136)
TAIO CRUZ - Dirty Picture f/Ke$ha: 6.372 (+ 0.149)
CHRISTINA PERRI - Jar Of Hearts: 5.336 (+ 0.235)
FLORENCE + THE MACHINE - Dog Days Are Over: 5.186 (+ 0.154)
MY CHEMICAL ROMANCE - Na Na Na: 4.717 (+ 0.053)
BLACK EYED PEAS - The Time (The Dirty Bit): 1.872 (+ 0.352)
BRANDON FLOWERS - Only The Young: 0.134 (+ 0.063)
LLOYD - Lay It Down: 17.064
CHARLIE WILSON - You Are: 12.359
CIARA - Gimmie Dat: 0.125
2AM CLUB - Worry About You: 0.017
|
|
|
|
Post by jj99$ - - LeLe on Oct 25, 2010 17:57:26 GMT -5
WILLOW - Whip My Hair: 24.910 (+ 0.905) NICKI MINAJ - Right Thru Me: 21.454 (+ 0.525) RIHANNA - What's My Name f/Drake: 20.283 (+ 1.512) EMINEM - No Love f/Lil'Wayne: 15.571 (+ 0.784) KATY PERRY - Firework: 14.985 (+ 1.734) Lets GOOOOOO. |
|
|
|
Post by Nic (Britney Spears) on Oct 25, 2010 22:35:32 GMT -5
what are the most Top 100 hits ever from one album before? Taylor's about to have 14 (and Fearless had 16?)
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Oct 25, 2010 22:40:38 GMT -5
I have a thread that keeps track of this (search function)
Fearless has the record with thirteen
Next highest is 7
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Oct 25, 2010 22:43:18 GMT -5
well I guess I don't track top 100 I just do top 40, top 10 and #1's
|
|
badrobot
3x Platinum Member
Joined: November 2006
Posts: 3,392
|
Post by badrobot on Oct 25, 2010 22:43:19 GMT -5
How come Rude Boy isn't in any of those lists? Was that chart-topping song that forgettable? I forgot! I added it, but it doesn't look like it would make the top ten. |
|
|
|
Post by Adonis the DemiGod! on Oct 26, 2010 2:36:04 GMT -5
I have a thread that keeps track of this (search function) Fearless has the record with thirteen Next highest is 7 top 10 hits wise I think Taylor could break Janet Jackson's record of having the most top 10 hits but probably won't be able to beat her record of having the most top 5 hits from one album. |
|
|
|
Post by musicissalvation on Oct 26, 2010 4:20:40 GMT -5
MEDIABASE6. FAR EAST MOVEMENT - Like A G6 f/Cataracs & Dev: 94.083 (+ 0.704)  |
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Oct 26, 2010 8:37:34 GMT -5
I have a thread that keeps track of this (search function) Fearless has the record with thirteen Next highest is 7 top 10 hits wise I think Taylor could break Janet Jackson's record of having the most top 10 hits but probably won't be able to beat her record of having the most top 5 hits from one album. Janet Jackson shares the record wiith all others at 7 |
|
Diego
Charting
Joined: May 2010
Posts: 362
|
Post by Diego on Oct 26, 2010 9:14:02 GMT -5
Tuesday
1. BRUNO MARS - Just The Way You Are: 139.524 (+ 0.581)
2. USHER F/PITBULL - DJ Got Us Fallin’ In Love: 113.077 (+ 0.295) ▲
3. KATY PERRY - Teenage Dream: 111.834 (- 1.519) ▼
4. TAYLOR SWIFT - Mine: 99.976 (+ 0.304)
5. NELLY - Just A Dream: 95.119 (+ 1.069) ▲
6. FAR EAST MOVEMENT - Like A G6 f/Cataracs & Dev: 94.921 (+ 0.838)
7. TAIO CRUZ - Dynamite: 94.616 (- 0.717) ▼
8. RIHANNA - Only Girl (In The World): 92.668 (+ 1.618)
9. TREY SONGZ - Bottoms Up f/Nick Minaj: 82.416 (- 0.494)
10. CHRIS BROWN - Deuces f/Tyga & Kevin McCall: 73.952 (- 0.446)
11. NEON TREES - Animal: 71.012 (+ 1.111) ▲
12. FLO RIDA - Club Can't Handle Me f/DGuetta: 70.229 (+ 0.256) ▼
13. ENRIQUE IGLESIAS - I Like It f/Pitbull: 68.653 (- 1.116)
14. EMINEM - Love The Way You Lie f/Rihanna: 68.137 (- 1.548)
15. PINK - Raise Your Glass: 54.318 (+ 1.924)
16. DARIUS RUCKER - Come Back Song: 51.489 (- 0.069)
17. ZAC BROWN BAND/A. JACKSON - As She's...: 46.406 (+ 0.102) ▲
18. DAUGHTRY - September: 45.642 (+ 0.116) ▲
19. EASTON CORBIN - Roll With It: 45.575 (- 1.001) ▼
20. SUGARLAND - Stuck Like Glue: 44.993 (- 0.138)
LIL WAYNE - Right Above It f/Drake: 44.119 (+ 1.787)
RODNEY ATKINS - Farmer's Daughter: 43.482 (+ 0.320)
DRAKE - Fancy f/T.I. & Swizz Beatz: 42.261 (- 0.592)
BRAD PAISLEY - Anything Like Me: 41.531 (+ 0.256)
KATY PERRY - California Gurls f/Snoop Dogg: 41.284 (- 1.202)
USHER - Hot Tottie f/Jay-Z: 41.124 (- 0.340)
TREY SONGZ - Can't Be Friends: 40.976 (- 0.021)
ONEREPUBLIC - Secrets: 40.785 (- 0.162)
THE BAND PERRY - If I Die Young: 38.498 (+ 0.116)
RASCAL FLATTS - Why Wait: 36.743 (+ 0.128)
SARA BAREILLES - King Of Anything: 35.505 (+ 0.533)
WAKA FLOCKA FLAME - No Hands f/Roscoe Dash & Wale: 34.213 (+ 0.524)
JAZMINE SULLIVAN - Holding You Down (Goin' In ...: 33.036 (+ 0.071)
MIKE POSNER - Please Don't Go: 32.673 (+ 0.930)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Mama's Song: 28.401 (- 0.149)
RICK ROSS - Aston Martin Music f/Drake: 27.897 (+ 0.830)
WILLOW - Whip My Hair: 25.467 (+ 0.557)
WILL. I. AM & NICKI MINAJ - Check It Out: 25.362 (+ 0.135)
KEITH URBAN - Put You In A Song: 25.308 (- 0.057)
MIRANDA LAMBERT - Only Prettier: 24.166 (- 0.007)
NICKI MINAJ - Right Thru Me: 21.853 (+ 0.399)
RIHANNA - What's My Name f/Drake: 21.307 (+ 1.024)
DAVID GUETTA - Memories f/Kid Cudi: 18.445
LIFEHOUSE - All In: 17.642 (- 0.255)
EMINEM - No Love f/Lil'Wayne: 16.445 (+ 0.874)
KATY PERRY - Firework: 16.361 (+ 1.376)
MICHAEL BUBLE - Hollywood: 13.447 (+ 0.140)
EDWARD MAYA - Stereo Love: 13.215 (+ 0.263)
PLAIN WHITE T'S - Rhythm Of Love: 12.789 (+ 0.373)
KANYE WEST - Runaway f/Pusha T: 12.099 (+ 0.483)
JESSE MCCARTNEY - Shake: 11.723 (- 0.090)
LADY ANTEBELLUM - Hello World: 11.175 (+ 0.515)
KE$HA - We R Who We R: 11.155 (+ 1.208)
YOLANDA BE COOL & DCUP - We No Speak Americano: 10.752 (+ 0.171)
KINGS OF LEON - Radioactive: 10.024 (- 0.081)
LINKIN PARK - Waiting For The End: 9.347 (+ 0.085)
MUMFORD & SONS - Little Lion Man: 9.161 (+ 0.046)
BRUNO MARS - Grenade: 8.855
AKON - Angel: 8.009 (- 0.241)
TAIO CRUZ - Dirty Picture f/Ke$ha: 6.499 (+ 0.127)
CHRISTINA PERRI - Jar Of Hearts: 5.497 (+ 0.161)
FLORENCE + THE MACHINE - Dog Days Are Over: 5.293 (+ 0.107)
MY CHEMICAL ROMANCE - Na Na Na: 4.746 (+ 0.029)
KERI HILSON - Pretty Girl Rock 2.891 (+ 0.117)
BLACK EYED PEAS - The Time (The Dirty Bit): 2.367 (+ 0.495)
BRANDON FLOWERS - Only The Young: 0.132 (- 0.002)
|
|
|
|
Post by musicissalvation on Oct 26, 2010 9:15:49 GMT -5
Tuesday RIHANNA - Only Girl (In The World): 92.668 (+ 1.618) RIHANNA - What's My Name f/Drake: 21.307 (+ 1.024) I live for this |
|
