Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 29, 2011 2:15:16 GMT -5
I too believe that this song will have a great shot to hit #1 on the country chart. I thought so from the beginning actually. And it's had amazing callout scores.
I'll say it peaks the 2nd or 3rd week of March. It looks like Blake Shelton will stay ahead of her, and I think he could get more than 1 week. If she can stay ahead of Brad, things will be looking very good. If Brad passes her, that could be a bit of a problem, since Jason & Kelly's duet is looking like a monster ready to gobble up anyone left behind. But I think Taylor can make it to #1 right before them, hopefully.
So, I'll say early to mid March, she'll get a week at #1.
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onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Feb 7, 2011 16:39:53 GMT -5
Debuts at #26 on the adult contemporary chart.
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Post by passionformusic on Feb 12, 2011 8:37:18 GMT -5
It has suddenly slowed down...nr1 is quite a long shot now. Pity.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 12, 2011 14:38:35 GMT -5
It has suddenly slowed down...nr1 is quite a long shot now. Pity. It hasn't slowed much. It's still gaining at a solid rate. But the problem is that, Jason & Kelly will move ahead on Billboard this week, and they could wind up blocking Taylor (and maybe Brad too) from the top, since DYWS is looking so strong.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 20, 2011 1:01:48 GMT -5
I have a feeling Jason & Kelly will be blocking Taylor out of this #1, which will be unfortunate. I really like this song. :(
Heck, the J/K duet might even block Brad out of his #1, too.
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#brayden
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Post by #brayden on Feb 20, 2011 1:06:40 GMT -5
:( I hope this manages to make it to #1! It's one of, if not, her best single releases. I'll be happy with this peaking at #2, though... but I'd really like for her to get a #1 this era and I think this is her best shot.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 20, 2011 1:11:15 GMT -5
:( I hope this manages to make it to #1! It's one of, if not, her best single releases. I'll be happy with this peaking at #2, though... but I'd really like for her to get a #1 this era and I think this is her best shot. I agree with this completely. This is one of my favorite songs ever from her, and I'm not her biggest fan. Although, if she did have a chance at another #1 from this era, I definitely think she could get it with "Sparks Fly" or "Enchanted". Maybe even "Dear John".
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#brayden
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Post by #brayden on Feb 20, 2011 1:16:48 GMT -5
'Sparks Fly' and 'The Story Of Us' would both have pretty good shots at hitting the top spot, and I hope they're released as the third and fourth singles from the album. 'Enchanted' is a beautiful song that could probably go Top 10 with a decent enough radio edit. Same goes for 'Dear John', but a radio edit for that would be nearly impossible.
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slayZ
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Post by slayZ on Feb 20, 2011 1:33:23 GMT -5
"Mean" is an instant country hit. It needs to be released. Apparently, some country stations have already started playing this song without an ads date which is interesting because that could possibly suggest they're doing a dual release. I don't see them releasing "Mean" to Pop/HAC and I assume (and hope) they go for "Story Of Us." "Mean" would SMASH in country radio, though.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 20, 2011 1:41:23 GMT -5
"Mean" is an instant country hit. It needs to be released. Apparently, some country stations have already started playing this song without an ads date which is interesting because that could possibly suggest they're doing a dual release. I don't see them releasing "Mean" to Pop/HAC and I assume (and hope) they go for "Story Of Us." "Mean" would SMASH in country radio, though. I forgot about TSOU. That could definitely work as a single. It's got radio quality. And the Country spins for "Mean" may not be a big indication of it being the next single. Carrie's "Songs Like This" was picked up by a few Country stations and it put the song at #50 on the Country Songs for this week. However, it's not the next single, so I'm not sure if the same is happening to "Mean", or if the label is trying to do something with it. Either way, there's lots of options Big Machine and Taylor have with the 3rd choice, but they need to be smart about it. Had they released BTD a week or two earlier than they did, I think it could probably be in the Top 3 right now, and maybe even at #1 already. "Don't You Wanna Stay" came on a lot stronger than I expected, and that's what will really determine if Taylor reaches the #1 spot.
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Gravity.
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Post by Gravity. on Feb 20, 2011 13:38:48 GMT -5
I don't see "Enchanted" or "Dear John" being released. They are among her best songs yet, but I don't think that a radio edit of either of them woud work.
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Post by Living Legend on Feb 20, 2011 13:50:42 GMT -5
I do hope that this hits #1 for at least a week. I can't believe she hasn't had a #1 on Country since "You Belong With Me". I do think Sparks Fly & The Story of Us should be the 3rd and 4th singles in that order.
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Post by mattyboy on Feb 20, 2011 13:56:43 GMT -5
^ Mine went to #1 on Mediabase.
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Post by Living Legend on Feb 20, 2011 14:02:29 GMT -5
^ Mine went to #1 on Mediabase. Oh yeah I meant Billboard Country Songs, I guess I should've been clearer lol
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drock89
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Post by drock89 on Feb 20, 2011 16:00:17 GMT -5
Just as a gentle reminder: 6. Stay on topic: Threads for singles should be used to discuss the single's chart run and the single itself. The threads should not be used to discuss subsequent single possibilities unless the current single has already peaked. The staff will allow some latitude for good tangential discussions pertaining to the artist, his/her/their career trajectory, or some historical significance the artist or single may have. --- Forum rulesThanks.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 21, 2011 13:27:50 GMT -5
NOW things are looking up for BTD.
In one day, it just leaped from #5 to #2, passing Brad's "This is Country Music" and Jason and Kelly's "Don't You Wanna Stay" with a gain of over 500 points.
Never underestimate the power of Big Machine.
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4toby4
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Post by 4toby4 on Feb 21, 2011 15:56:34 GMT -5
NOW things are looking up for BTD. In one day, it just leaped from #5 to #2, passing Brad's "This is Country Music" and Jason and Kelly's "Don't You Wanna Stay" with a gain of over 500 points. Never underestimate the power of Big Machine. Just want to point out that the massive gain was due to Taylor Co-hosting CCUSA with Lon Helton. Meaning that BTD got an extra spin on the show to account for the 500 point jump!! But BMR is very good at pushing so they just might be able to pull off the #1 this week. If not this week however the window closes very SWIFTLY because the Jason and Kelly duet is gonna rule the chart for awhile i believe!!!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 21, 2011 17:30:16 GMT -5
Absolutely. If Taylor can't pull the #1 this week, then Blake will fall and Taylor will grab a single week at the top spot.
After that, I'm expecting Jason & Kelly to rule the chart for the next 3-4 weeks, which would subsequently block out Brad and Billy from #1s.
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austin
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Post by austin on Feb 21, 2011 17:57:31 GMT -5
If not this week however the window closes very SWIFTLY because the Jason and Kelly duet is gonna rule the chart for awhile i believe!!! I see what you did there.
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Gravity.
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Post by Gravity. on Feb 21, 2011 18:55:23 GMT -5
NOW things are looking up for BTD. In one day, it just leaped from #5 to #2, passing Brad's "This is Country Music" and Jason and Kelly's "Don't You Wanna Stay" with a gain of over 500 points. Never underestimate the power of Big Machine. Damn. That's crazy. Team Taylor really wants this to hit #1. This week and next are this song's only chances. After that, Jason/Kelly will be at the penthouse for at least three weeks. By that time, Taylor will likely be falling down the chart.
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lyrichord
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Post by lyrichord on Feb 21, 2011 19:15:46 GMT -5
It's this week or bust for BTD definitely, like with "Mine" I suspect Big Machine is only looking for a mediabase #1 with Billboard pretty much out of reach. They started their big push on Sunday and will be continuing through Saturday. The song just peaked on pop so they probably want it to peak on country ASAP and put a new single out there.
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Post by McCreerian (Harris 2024!) on Feb 21, 2011 20:07:24 GMT -5
The radio station here in Charlotte has been playing "Mean" this week all of a sudden. I hope that is gonna be the new single. Its the most Country thing she'd recorded since "Tim McGraw" if not even more Country! It'd be great for the Spring. So when BTD peaks this may be the new one out! I dare to say "Mean" is even Dolly-esque.
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joey2002
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Post by joey2002 on Feb 21, 2011 20:33:56 GMT -5
The radio station here in Charlotte has been playing "Mean" this week all of a sudden. I hope that is gonna be the new single. Well, according to Sirius/XM, "Mean" will indeed be her new single. Seems like "Back To December" is gearing up to make the same move as many of her past singles—surge all the way to #1 on Mediabase this week—and then drop like a rock the next week or two...
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ClevelandRox
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Post by ClevelandRox on Feb 22, 2011 0:49:25 GMT -5
I love Mean, but I don't see it as the big single to boost her back to where she was with Fearless AT ALL.
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Cody Wants Out...
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Post by Cody Wants Out... on Feb 22, 2011 7:14:14 GMT -5
OK, is this going to hit #1 for sure? Hope so.
As far as single #3 goes, I'd prefer Sparks Fly instead of Mean. The former would sound perfect for country radio this summer. Then, Mean could maybe take it's turn this fall. If Mean is indeed next after BtD, I'm not really gonna root for it, although I'm sure it'll do well. It sounds kinda weak to me. We'll see, though.
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Post by passionformusic on Feb 22, 2011 7:41:46 GMT -5
The radio station here in Charlotte has been playing "Mean" this week all of a sudden. I hope that is gonna be the new single. Well, according to Sirius/XM, "Mean" will indeed be her new single. Seems like "Back To December" is gearing up to make the same move as many of her past singles—surge all the way to #1 on Mediabase this week—and then drop like a rock the next week or two... Will it be like a dual release? Sending it to pop could be a bit risky. Going from mature to childlike. I think its great Taylor is getting so much support from her label. She was/is the main reason why they are so successful right now. "BTD" will have a steadier fall than "Mine", i believe.
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mairy
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Post by mairy on Feb 22, 2011 9:14:49 GMT -5
I'd love "Mean" to be the new single. But if that's actually true I'm guessing they will releae The Story Of Us on pop radio. I actually tought it would be the third single overall, but I really don't see it on country radio. So, I'll be ok with Mean.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 22, 2011 20:03:49 GMT -5
I think "Mean" is the next single.
And it also looks like BTD will take over the #1 from Blake, preventing him from a second week on top! :)
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slayZ
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Post by slayZ on Feb 22, 2011 21:29:57 GMT -5
Oh wow so Mean IS the next single! I'm so happy. This is going to do great.
As for BTD, I'm really happy that this MIGHT hit #1 after all and it does look like it may happen this week. I strongly believe Mean will continue the #1 trend. It has to.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 22, 2011 22:10:50 GMT -5
^^^I think "Mean" will continue the Country #1s, but I'm a bit skeptical as to how it will do in her streak of Pop crossover successes. But anything is possible with Big Machine.
And I'm pretty much certain that this week's #1 will be BTD. It's just a matter of how long it will last on top before "Don't You Wanna Stay" swallows it up, because it looks like DYWS will take over #1 once Taylor's done for the next 3-4 weeks after, which will block out Brad, Billy, and Thompson Square. Even Lady A might suffer, too. The song is just too strong to not get a good 3 weeks on top. I hope ZBB isn't affected by it because I really like "Colder Weather".
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