Lockheart
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Posts: 4,273
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Post by Lockheart on May 29, 2011 20:57:19 GMT -5
^in fact ALL of 7-20 are declining. The top 20 is in desperate need of some new life. I agree. Seriously, some of the songs were from last year. Time for those summer smash to begin |
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Kworb
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Tiziano <3
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Post by Kworb on May 30, 2011 4:05:06 GMT -5
Hot 100 prediction based on my sales estimates + airplay trend
1. Rolling In The Deep (243 + 154 = 397)
2. Give Me Everything (200 + 99 = 299)
3. E.T. (132 + 145 = 277)
4. The Edge Of Glory (181 + 40 = 221) ***
5-6. The Lazy Song (127 + 88 = 215)
5-6. Just Can't Get Enough (100 + 113 = 213)
7-8. On The Floor (116 + 86 = 202)
7-8. Till The World Ends (107 + 92 = 199)
9. Party Rock Anthem (147 + 41 = 188)
10. I'm On One (155 + 26 = 181)
11-12. I Love You This Big (166 + 5 = 171)
11-12. The Show Goes On (96 + 74 = 170)
13-14. Look At Me Now (88 + 66 = 154)
13-14. Super Bass (123 + 30 = 153)
15. Roll Up (69 + 68 = 137)
16. Down On Me (63 + 65 = 128)
17-19. Born This Way (99 + 25 = 124)
17-19. Don't Wanna Go Home (93 + 30 = 123)
17-19. S&M (61 + 61 = 122)
20. Like My Mother Does (116 + 3 = 119)
*** The Edge Of Glory could end up much lower due to negative single sales from iTunes' complete my album feature.
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stanr
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Living legend u can look but don't touch
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Post by stanr on May 30, 2011 7:30:43 GMT -5
I love your weekly prediction, Kworb :)
nice, another top 10 position for TTWE
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stanr
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Living legend u can look but don't touch
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Post by stanr on May 30, 2011 7:36:49 GMT -5
1. ADELE - Rolling In The Deep: 151.751 (+ 0.703)
2. KATY PERRY - E.T.: 147.306 (- 0.421)
3. BLACK EYED PEAS - Just Can't Get Enough: 114.469 (- 0.824)
4. BRITNEY SPEARS - Till The World Ends: 94.576 (- 1.013)
5. PITBULL - Give Me Everything f/Ne-Yo: 94.140 (+ 1.222)
6. BRUNO MARS - Lazy Song: 86.598 (- 0.414)
7. JENNIFER LOPEZ f/ PITBULL - On The Floor: 86.388 (- 0.001)
8. LUPE FIASCO - The Show Goes On: 76.067 (+ 0.068)
9. CHRIS BROWN - Look At Me Now: 68.930 (- 0.485)
10. WIZ KHALIFA - Roll Up: 68.131 (- 0.060) ▲
11. JEREMIH - Down On Me f/50 Cent: 66.349 (- 1.843) ▼
12. RIHANNA - S&M: 60.812 (- 0.831)
13. PINK - F**kin' Perfect (Perfect): 59.242 (- 0.684)
14. THE SCRIPT - For The First Time: 57.819 (- 0.559) ▲
15. TINIE TEMPAH - Written In The Stars f/ETurner: 57.798 (- 1.395) ▼
16. CEE LO GREEN - F**k You (Forget You): 55.599 (- 1.543)
17. BRAD PAISLEY - Old Alabama f/Alabama: 52.069 (+ 0.107)
18. KE$HA - Blow: 49.877 (- 1.388)
19. KELLY ROWLAND - Motivation f/Lil Wayne: 49.789 (- 0.469)
20. BRUNO MARS - Just The Way You Are: 47.994 (- 1.871)
KEITH URBAN - Without You: 47.158 (+ 0.199)
RASCAL FLATTS - I Won't Let Go: 46.218 (- 1.161)
TAYLOR SWIFT - Mean: 43.802 (+ 0.173)
CHRIS BROWN - She Ain't You: 43.671 (- 0.339)
MIGUEL - Sure Thing: 42.811 (- 0.964)
BIG SEAN - My Last f/Chris Brown: 41.360 (- 0.238)
THE BAND PERRY - You Lie: 40.680 (+ 0.445)
LADY GAGA - The Edge Of Glory: 38.071 (+ 1.053)
LMFAO - Party Rock Anthem: 36.787 (+ 1.343)
JESSIE J - Price Tag f/B.O.B: 34.669 (- 0.088)
NEW BOYZ - Back Seat f/Cataracs & Dev: 33.491 (- 0.282)
ONEREPUBLIC - Good Life: 32.173 (+ 1.296)
NICKI MINAJ - Super Bass: 29.039 (+ 0.773)
JASON DERULO - Don't Wanna Go Home: 27.946 (+ 1.046)
SELENA GOMEZ & THE SCENE - Who Says: 25.556 (+ 0.140)
LADY ANTEBELLUM - Just A Kiss: 24.971 (+ 0.658)
MARTIN SOLVEIG & DRAGONETTE - Hello: 23.651 (+ 0.949)
MAROON 5 - Never Gonna Leave This Bed: 22.730 (+ 0.105)
HOT CHELLE RAE - Tonight Tonight: 20.110 (+ 0.286)
TREY SONGZ - Unusual f/Drake: 19.228 (+ 0.005)
ENRIQUE IGLESIAS - Dirty Dancer f/Usher/Lil Wayne: 19.080 (+ 0.845)
FOO FIGHTERS - Rope: 18.887 (- 0.477)
TAYLOR SWIFT - The Story Of Us: 16.828 (+ 0.353)
BEYONCE - Run The World (Girls): 16.102 (- 1.028)
MY CHEMICAL ROMANCE - Sing: 16.030 (- 0.582)
RIHANNA - Man Down: 15.558 (+ 0.250)
DAVID GUETTA/FLO RIDA/NICKI M. - Where Them Girls At: 11.351 (+ 0.386)
RIHANNA - California King Bed: 9.263 (+ 0.544)
NICOLE SCHERZINGER - Right There: 7.659 (+ 0.826)
KATY PERRY - Last Friday Night (T.G.I.F.): 6.741 (+ 0.761)
JENNIFER LOPEZ - I'm Into You f/Lil Wayne: 6.385 (+ 0.160)
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worldwide
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Posts: 2,145
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Post by worldwide on May 30, 2011 8:42:23 GMT -5
Adele has the 4th and 5th week in the bag. I guess pitbull will replace her in 2 weeks.
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on May 30, 2011 10:23:01 GMT -5
Wow who would've thought Adele to get 150+ AI.
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jgizzle89
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Post by jgizzle89 on May 30, 2011 10:43:52 GMT -5
Wow who would've thought Adele to get 150+ AI. no one. |
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spongebob
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Posts: 1,295
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Post by spongebob on May 30, 2011 11:22:12 GMT -5
Wow who would've thought Adele to get 150+ AI. |
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Post by ListenToItTwice on May 30, 2011 11:29:57 GMT -5
Wow who would've thought Adele to get 150+ AI. no one. I remember thinking "If we're lucky this will reach the top 40" back when I first heard this song six months ago. No one could have predicted 4 weeks at #1 on the Hot 100. |
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musik...
Charting
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Joined: November 2009
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Post by musik... on May 30, 2011 16:41:11 GMT -5
All I know is that Adele is literally rolling in the deep... stacks of money with this smash! This is one of those hits that restores confidence in the purchasing public that they don't just buy what fits in with the prevailing trend on mainstream radio. Who would've thought back in early December that perhaps the biggest radio hit of 2011 would be a song so non-mainstream song?
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badrobot
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Post by badrobot on May 30, 2011 20:19:39 GMT -5
Will EOG actually be affected by complete my album? I did not see that option in iTunes and I bought EOG.
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Post by LegendaryLover on May 30, 2011 20:32:02 GMT -5
I remembered weeks ago when "On The Floor" had this Complete My Album thing, but the sales were counted in as well, which resulted in a new peak of #3.
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HolidayGuy
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Posts: 33,918
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Post by HolidayGuy on May 30, 2011 21:20:52 GMT -5
"On the Floor" did not suffer from "Complete My Album"- it would be odd if only certain titles were affected (then again, I didn't pay much attention to see if, upon its release, the album was available for pre-order) I don't recall "The Edge of Glory" being part of the album pre-order. If it wasn't, it should not be affected by that.
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imbondz
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Post by imbondz on May 31, 2011 15:36:29 GMT -5
I remember thinking "If we're lucky this will reach the top 40" back when I first heard this song six months ago. No one could have predicted 4 weeks at #1 on the Hot 100. that's what makes it so great that its #1. I was glad when it went top 25. |
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Post by Adonis the DemiGod! on May 31, 2011 15:48:26 GMT -5
I remember thinking "If we're lucky this will reach the top 40" back when I first heard this song six months ago. No one could have predicted 4 weeks at #1 on the Hot 100. This is so true because it's one of those songs that could either do really well or totally bomb but everyone who hears it likes it. |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on May 31, 2011 16:15:34 GMT -5
I remember thinking "If we're lucky this will reach the top 40" back when I first heard this song six months ago. No one could have predicted 4 weeks at #1 on the Hot 100. that's what makes it so great that its #1. I was glad when it went top 25. I thought it would stall around #11-18 and then slowly fall off after 50 weeks. I cant believe it even has a chance at a year end #1... |
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on May 31, 2011 16:18:48 GMT -5
Yep- was an accomplishment when it reached the top 10- and look what happened thereafter. Not that Adele wasn't already making her commercial mark, with the album shifting 350K or so in its first week.
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forg
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Post by forg on May 31, 2011 20:14:55 GMT -5
I just wanted Rolling in the Deep to beat Chasing Pavement's peak at #21 so I'm really glad it beat the odds. I think the song will have great longevity on the chart much like "Just The Way You Are"
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imbondz
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Post by imbondz on May 31, 2011 21:10:15 GMT -5
Haley singing it on American Idol helped a lot too.
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Arabella21
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Post by Arabella21 on May 31, 2011 22:18:23 GMT -5
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Honeymoon
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Post by Honeymoon on May 31, 2011 22:58:34 GMT -5
"I Love You This Big" sold 173K Good enough for top ten debut on the Hot 100? |
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Post by Adonis the DemiGod! on May 31, 2011 23:40:53 GMT -5
Probably not this week but in a normal week it's probably good for a #7 debut.
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jun 1, 2011 2:46:14 GMT -5
Looks good for Idol. Top 10-20 hits for both contestants. They both outperformed Lee DeWho?
Only thing is during seasons 7-9 the winners/runner-ups had multiple songs charting.
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Jun 1, 2011 8:52:33 GMT -5
An Idol performance only pushes an original track so far- and, sorry, an Idol contestant is no Adele. :) RITD just rode the momentum.
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SPRΞΞ
Diamond Member
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Posts: 22,300
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Post by SPRΞΞ on Jun 1, 2011 9:12:34 GMT -5
TOP 10
1. ADELE - Rolling In The Deep: 153.892 (+ 1.459)
2. KATY PERRY - E.T.: 146.983 (- 0.169)
3. BLACK EYED PEAS - Just Can't Get Enough: 114.507 (- 0.022)
4. PITBULL - Give Me Everything f/Ne-Yo: 99.174 (+ 2.252)
5. BRITNEY SPEARS - Till The World Ends: 94.589 (+ 0.270)
6. BRUNO MARS - Lazy Song: 87.759 (+ 0.090)
7. JENNIFER LOPEZ f/ PITBULL - On The Floor: 86.154 (- 0.329)
8. LUPE FIASCO - The Show Goes On: 75.245 (- 0.306)
9. CHRIS BROWN - Look At Me Now: 68.349 (+ 0.158)
10. WIZ KHALIFA - Roll Up: 67.937 (+ 0.357)
11. JEREMIH - Down On Me f/50 Cent: 64.092 (- 0.885)
12. PINK - F**kin' Perfect (Perfect): 59.580 (+ 0.014)
13. RIHANNA - S&M: 59.506 (- 0.721)
14. THE SCRIPT - For The First Time: 58.087 (- 0.004)
15. TINIE TEMPAH - Written In The Stars f/ETurner: 56.366 (- 0.163)
16. CEE LO GREEN - F**k You (Forget You): 54.693 (- 0.096)
17. BRAD PAISLEY - Old Alabama f/Alabama: 51.978 (- 0.032)
18. KELLY ROWLAND - Motivation f/Lil Wayne: 50.163 (+ 0.645)
19. KE$HA - Blow: 49.688 (- 0.115)
20. KEITH URBAN - Without You: 47.845 (+ 0.061)
BRUNO MARS - Just The Way You Are: 46.855 (- 0.286)
CHRIS BROWN - She Ain't You: 44.822 (+ 0.879)
TAYLOR SWIFT - Mean: 44.361 (+ 0.106)
MIGUEL - Sure Thing: 42.545 (+ 0.407)
THE BAND PERRY - You Lie: 41.418 (+ 0.180)
BIG SEAN - My Last f/Chris Brown: 41.261 (+ 0.019)
LADY GAGA - The Edge Of Glory: 40.250 (+ 0.980)
LMFAO - Party Rock Anthem: 39.817 (+ 1.044)
JESSIE J - Price Tag f/B.O.B: 34.465 (- 0.111)
NEW BOYZ - Back Seat f/Cataracs & Dev: 33.550 (- 0.105)
ONEREPUBLIC - Good Life: 33.241 (+ 0.397)
NICKI MINAJ - Super Bass: 30.223 (+ 0.590)
JASON DERULO - Don't Wanna Go Home: 30.019 (+ 0.912)
LADY ANTEBELLUM - Just A Kiss: 26.541 (+ 0.729)
SELENA GOMEZ & THE SCENE - Who Says: 26.120 (+ 0.069)
MARTIN SOLVEIG & DRAGONETTE - Hello: 24.451 (+ 0.340)
DJ KHALED - I'm On One f/Drake, Rick Ross: 23.899
MAROON 5 - Never Gonna Leave This Bed: 23.044 (+ 0.186)
HOT CHELLE RAE - Tonight Tonight: 21.004 (+ 0.454)
ENRIQUE IGLESIAS - Dirty Dancer f/Usher/Lil Wayne: 20.458 (+ 0.421)
TREY SONGZ - Unusual f/Drake: 19.437 (+ 0.406)
FOO FIGHTERS - Rope: 18.876 (+ 0.162)
TAYLOR SWIFT - The Story Of Us: 17.206 (+ 0.184)
RIHANNA - Man Down: 16.710 (+ 0.481)
DAVID GUETTA/FLO RIDA/NICKI M. - Where Them Girls At: 12.100 (+ 0.467)
RIHANNA - California King Bed: 9.666 (+ 0.318)
NICOLE SCHERZINGER - Right There: 8.796 (+ 0.540)
KATY PERRY - Last Friday Night (T.G.I.F.): 8.076 (+ 0.451)
JENNIFER LOPEZ - I'm Into You f/Lil Wayne: 6.615 (- 0.061)
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Post by realestdownhere on Jun 1, 2011 9:45:56 GMT -5
DJ KHALED - I'm On One f/Drake, Rick Ross: 23.899
;)
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Rodze
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Post by Rodze on Jun 1, 2011 10:07:09 GMT -5
www.billboard.com/#/news/lady-gaga-tops-billboard-200-brad-paisley-1005208612.storyMcCreery is also the big news on the Digital Songs chart, as his coronation single "I Love You This Big" debuts at No. 3 with 171,000 downloads sold. It's the best debut sales week for an "Idol" winner's first single since David Cook did 236,000 with "The Time of My Life" in 2008. 2011 "Idol" runner-up Lauren Alaina just misses the top 10, as her "Like My Mother Does" arrives at No. 11 with 121,000. Back in the top 10, Adele's "Rolling in the Deep" continues to hold at No. 1 with 254,000 (down 14%) while Pitbull's "Give Me Everything" (featuring Ne-Yo, Afrojack and Nayer) is steady at No. 2 (210,000; down 1%). Lady Gaga's "The Edge of Glory" rises 14-4 (165,000; up 74%) -- no surprise considering her multiple performances of the song last week on TV ("Saturday Night Live," "Good Morning America" and "American Idol"). DJ Khaled's "I'm On One" (featuring Drake, Rick Ross & Lil Wayne) is the second-highest new entry, starting at No. 5 with 159,000, while LMFAO's "Party Rock Anthem" slides two spots to No. 6 with 154,000 (down 5%). Katy Perry's "E.T." slips four rungs to No. 7 (148,000; down 14%), Bruno Mars' "The Lazy Song" falls two to No. 8 (138,000; down 5%) and Jennifer Lopez's "On the Floor" dances down two spots to No. 9 (130,000; down 6%). Closing out the top 10 is Nicki Minaj's "Super Bass," which falls one position to No. 10, though it's up 13% (128,000). Digital track sales this past week totaled 24.69 million downloads, up 2% compared to last week (24.28 million) and up 14% stacked next to the comparable week of 2010 (21.75 million). Year to date track sales are at 536.14 million, up 10% compared to the same total at this point last year (488.01 million).
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Jun 1, 2011 10:11:50 GMT -5
What is Scotty M's airplay? Through Sunday, Billboard reported the track had 3.2 million audience at country stations. Not that the amount of play would significantly impact the track's Hot 100 ranking.
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SPRΞΞ
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Post by SPRΞΞ on Jun 1, 2011 10:28:46 GMT -5
looks like E.T. will cross 4M in 2 weeks.
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colson
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Post by colson on Jun 1, 2011 10:35:00 GMT -5
JENNIFER LOPEZ - I'm Into You f/Lil Wayne: 6.615 (- 0.061)
It looks like radio isn't going to let go of GOTF yet. Still, I thought this song would be trending far better than it is right now on radio. The slow start is definitely going to hinder her album sales from getting to at least 500k.
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