Billboard Hot 100: 10/15/11

[Deleted]

Oct 2, 2011 6:48:32 GMT -5 Sir LOVE IX said:

Purple isn't bad but I don't like the red one. Every time see it I think it's negative update

Yeah, it should be blue.

[Lozzy]

^ Blue makes it look like it's a hyperlink, and people will try to click it.

[Black Jesus]

What the fuck Adele!

[KeepDeanWeird]

I wonder what factor IHR had on these mega-updates.

[leoapp]

Oct 2, 2011 8:36:19 GMT -5 Lozzy said:

^ Blue makes it look like it's a hyperlink, and people will try to click it.

Okay, not red, not blue, how about brown

[Sir LOVE IX]

It can be lighblue which is different.

[HolidayGuy]

It looks like this will be SLY's fourth week out of five that it's Billboard's Airplay Gainer. FYI chart fact: Remember back in the day when singles outside the top 20 only had that Power Pick/Airplay and PP/Sales designations?

[SPRΞΞ]

how bout this color for 2M+

and this color for 3M+ kinda like how it is on kworb's site.

so it could be...

+1 million
+2 million
+3 million
+4 million
+5 million

[Lockheart]

Oct 2, 2011 11:01:43 GMT -5 SPRΞΞ said:

how bout this color for 2M+

and this color for 3M+ kinda like how it is on kworb's site.

so it could be...

+1 million
+2 million
+3 million
+4 million
+5 million

2 and 3 look too similar

[chartfreak]

Oct 1, 2011 17:51:00 GMT -5 HolidayGuy said:

"Papi" an unqualified SMASH, breaking that 2m barrier (possibly even higher BDS numbers).

Did "Don't Hold Your Breath" go for official play yet?

Leave PAPI alone!

[doak]

Oct 2, 2011 6:13:04 GMT -5 Arabella21 said:

2. ADELE - Someone Like You: 121.360 (+ 4.185)

B*tch!!!!

Adele is slaying.

[Deleted]

Lot of +1 mil gainers today..

RIHANNA - We Found Love f/Calvin Harris: 23.491 (+ 3.156)

This couldn't have been timed better, it'll smash right after SLY has peaked.

[c0ldasfire]

I am hoping that Britney can debut on the Hot 100 this week with Criminal

[HolidayGuy]

"Criminal" just cracked the top 300 at iTunes within the last couple of days (currently 262). Will its airplay be high enough to enter by Wednesday? I'd think it will appear on Bubbling Under before entering the Hot 100, but we'll see.

[@DiegoMarcondes_]

MORE MEDIABASE

10/02/11 Update


BLAKE SHELTON -God Gave Me You= 44.291 (+0.404)
GEORGE STRAIT -Here For A Good Time= 43.501 (-0.018)
TRACE ADKINS -Just Fishin'= 41.416 (+0.108)
LADY ANTEBELLUM -Just A Kiss= 40.886 (-0.160)
ELI YOUNG BAND -Crazy Girl= 39.630 (+0.247)
JASON DERULO -It Girl= 32.180 (+1.284)
LADY ANTEBELLUM -We Owned The Night= 29.326 (+0.206)
NEW BOYZ -Better With The Lights Off= 28.571 (+1.661)
THOMPSON SQUARE -I Got You= 28.099 (+0.133)
ANDY GRAMMER - Keep Your Head Up= 26.720 (+0.065)
WALE - That Way f/Jeremih & Rick Ross= 25.912 (+0.659)
CHRIS BROWN -Wet The Bed= 25.881 (+0.247)
JASON ALDEAN - Tattoos On This Town= 23.604 (+0.532)
RASCAL FLATTS -Easy= 22.369 (-0.145)
MINDLESS BEHAVIOR -Mrs. Right f/Diggy Simmons= 21.081 (+0.081)
FOO FIGHTERS - Walk= 19.680 (+0.219)
ACE HOOD -Body 2 Body f/Chris Brown= 19.118 (+0.630)
J. COLE -Workout= 17.994 (+0.838)
COLBIE CAILLAT -Brighter Than The Sun= 17.347 (+0.385)
THE BAND PERRY - All Your Life= 17.262 (-0.018)
ZAC BROWN BAND -Keep Me In Mind= 16.420 (+0.655)
MATT NATHANSON -Faster= 15.516 (-0.056)
BEYONCE - Party f/Kanye & Andre= 15.356 (+ 0.652)
LLOYD -Dedication To My Ex...= 14.788 (+0.376)
GAVIN DEGRAW - Not Over You = 14.637 (+0.593)
SEAN PAUL -Got 2 Luv U f/Alexis Jordan= 13.917 (+0.197)
CEE LO GREEN -Fool For You f/Melanie Fiona= 13.426 (+0.403)
BUSH - The Sound Of Winter= 12.256 (+0.337)
T-PAIN -5 O'clock f/Wiz Khalifa & Lily Allen = 12.254 (+0.913)
PATRICK STUMP -This City f/Lupe Fiasco= 9.130 (+0.247)
LUKE BRYAN -I Don’t Want This Night To End= 8.463 (+0.371)
DEMI LOVATO - Skyscraper = 8.205 (+0.304)
SEETHER -Tonight= 8.090(+0.148)
KELLIE PICKLER -Tough= 7.904 (-0.024)
DAUGHTRY -Crawling Back To You= 7.622 (+0.766)
MARTINA MCBRIDE -I'm Gonna Love You Through It= 7.567 (+0.287)
CHRIS YOUNG -You= 6.919 (+0.462)
NICKELBACK -When We Stand Together= 6.722 (+0.913)
FLO RIDA -Good Feeling= 6.253 (+0.769)
MARY J. BLIGE -25/8= 5.947 (+0.170)
MAT KEARNEY-Hey Mama= 5.904 (+0.193)
BIRDMAN -Y.U. Mad f/Nicki Minaj= 5.267 (+0.242)
BRUNO MARS -It Will Rain= 4.629 (+1.163)
NICKELBACK -Bottoms Up= 4.461 (+0.256)
JESSIE J -Domino= 4.450 (+0.063)
MELANIE FIONA -4 AM= 4.185 (-0.393)
YOUNG THE GIANT -Cough Syrup= 4.085 (+0.093)
MICHELLE BRANCH -Loud Music= 3.915 (-0.102)
LAUREN ALAINA -Like My Mother Does= 3.731 (+0.008)
BIG SEAN -Dance (A$$)=3.792 (+0.121)
FOSTER THE PEOPLE - Helena Beat= 3.591 (+0.203)
INCUBUS -Promises, Promises= 3.566 (+0.007)
ENRIQUE IGLESIAS -I Like How It Feels= 3.558 (+0.120)
SIMPLE PLAN -Jet Lag f/Natasha Bedingfield= 2.381 (+0.015)
SCOTTY MCCREERY -The Trouble With Girls= 2.308 (+0.118)
JENNIFER LOPEZ -Papi= 2.204 (+0.168)
KATY PERRY -One That Got Away= 2.190 (+0.550)
MARIO -The Walls f/Fabolous= 2.040 (+0.398)
BEYONCE -Countdown= 2.001 (+0.241)
NICOLE SCHERZINGER -Don't Hold Your Breath= 1.818 (+0.131)
CHEVELLE -Face To The Floor= 1.737 (+0.329)
JAY Z & KANYE WEST -Why I Love You f/Mr. Hudson= 1.710 (-0.005)
DEATH CAB FOR CUTIE -Stay Young, Go Dancing= 1.621 (+0.022)
B.O.B -Strange Clouds f/Lil Wayne= 1.551 (+0.313)
HOT CHELLE RAE -I Like It Like That f/New Boyz= 1.573 (+0.110)
SNOW PATROL -Called Out In The Dark= 1.511 (+0.011)
CAGE THE ELEPHANT - Aberdeen= 1.485 (+0.084)
CASEY JAMES-Let's Don't Call It A Night= 1.325 (+0.068)
NOEL GALLAGHER -If I Had A Gun= 1.303 (-0.011)
FOO FIGHTERS -These Days= 1.174 (+0.131)
ESTELLE -Thank You= 0.997 (+0.082)
YOUNG JEEZY -F.A.M.E. f/T.I.= 0.968
BLINK 182 - After Midnight= 0.945 (+0.191)
MONICA -Until It's Gone= 0.812 (+0.171)
DIERKS BENTLEY -Home= 0.781 (+0.115)
ELLIE GOULDING -Lights= 0.737 (-0.007)
MIRANDA BROOKE -Hater= 0.675 (+0.049)
CASSIE -Radio f/Fabolous= 0.618 (+0.063)
TAIO CRUZ -Hangover f/Flo Rida= 0.583 (+0.070)
FLORENCE + THE MACHINE -Shake It Out= 0.483 (+0.147)
SARA BAREILLES -Gonna Get Over You= 0.453 (+0.052)
TYGA -Still Got It f/Drake= 0.417 (+0.058)
JOJO - Disaster!!! = 0.150 (-0.007)
V V BROWN -Children (Keep On Singing)=0.112 (-0.003)
AVRIL LAVIGNE - Wish You Were Here = 0.096 (+0.025)
LEONA LEWIS -Collide= 0.057 (+0.000)
ROBIN THICKE -Love After War= 0.010
LADY GAGA -Marry The Night= 0.003 (+0.000)

[RockaByeBaby]

CASSIE -Radio f/Fabolous= 0.618 (+0.063)


This good?

[ListenToItTwice]

FLORENCE + THE MACHINE -Shake It Out= 0.483 (+0.147)
SARA BAREILLES -Gonna Get Over You= 0.453 (+0.052)

Two smashes in the making, I think

[jj99$ - - LeLe]

KATY PERRY -One That Got Away= 2.190 (+0.550)


Let the Smashing begin.

Were Ready for this Gem

[Lozzy]

10/3 airplay updates:[/u]

1. MAROON 5 F/CHRISTINA AGUILERA - Moves Like Jagger: 139.102 (+ 1.195)
2. ADELE - Someone Like You: 124.179 (+ 2.819)
3. FOSTER THE PEOPLE - Pumped Up Kicks: 104.822 (+ 0.614)
4. BAD MEETS EVIL - Lighters f/Bruno Mars: 98.225 (- 0.481)
5. LMFAO - Party Rock Anthem: 94.960 (- 0.560)
6. GYM CLASS HEROES - Stereo Hearts f/Adam Levine: 87.330 (+ 1.378) ▲
7. PITBULL - Give Me Everything f/Ne-Yo: 85.384 (- 0.600) ▼
8. NICKI MINAJ - Super Bass: 82.005 (- 2.341)
9. KATY PERRY - Last Friday Night (T.G.I.F.): 79.461 (- 1.243)
10. LIL WAYNE - How To Love: 79.273 (- 0.963)
11. COBRA STARSHIP - You Make Me Feel... f/Sabi: 75.475 (+ 1.308)
12. ONEREPUBLIC - Good Life: 73.369 (- 0.521)
13. DEV - In The Dark: 67.677 (+ 1.139) ▲
14. BRITNEY SPEARS - I Wanna Go: 66.847 (- 1.655) ▼
15. ADELE - Rolling In The Deep: 63.805 (- 0.437)
16. LADY GAGA - You And I: 60.460 (+ 0.589) ▲
17. DJ KHALED - I'm On One f/Drake, Rick Ross: 59.739 (- 0.695) ▼
18. RIHANNA - Cheers (Drink To That): 57.440 (- 1.095)
19. DRAKE - Headlines: 56.448 (+ 1.116)
20. DAVID GUETTA - Without You f/Usher: 54.459 (+ 1.379)

TOBY KEITH - Made In America: 51.695 (+ 0.176)
RODNEY ATKINS - Take A Back Road: 51.666 (- 0.007)
HOT CHELLE RAE - Tonight Tonight: 51.156 (- 0.707)
KEITH URBAN - Long Hot Summer: 49.296 (+ 0.474)
LIL WAYNE - She Will f/Drake: 49.287 (+ 0.834)
THE BAND PERRY - If I Die Young: 47.227 (- 0.007)
KELLY CLARKSON - Mr. Know It All: 43.953 (+ 1.040)
BIG SEAN - Marvin & Chardonnay: 43.895 (+ 0.068)
ALEXANDRA STAN - Mr. Saxobeat: 41.870 (+ 1.131)
LMFAO - Sexy And I Know It: 36.988 (+ 2.736)
JAY Z & KANYE WEST - N***** In Paris: 35.498 (+ 1.127)
THE SCRIPT - Nothing: 34.719 (+ 0.292)
MIRANDA LAMBERT - Baggage Claim: 34.130 (+ 0.123)
TAYLOR SWIFT - Sparks Fly: 32.092 (+ 0.107)
RIHANNA - We Found Love f/Calvin Harris: 26.469 (+ 2.978)[/color]
NICKI MINAJ - Fly f/Rihanna: 25.906 (+ 0.679)
RED HOT CHILI PEPPERS - Adventures Of Rain Dance...: 23.170 (+ 0.232)
BEYONCE - Party f/Kanye & Andre: 16.197 (+ 0.841)
KELLY ROWLAND - Lay It On Me f/Big Sean: 11.130 (+ 0.134)
SELENA GOMEZ & THE SCENE - Love You Like A Love Song: 8.237 (+ 0.037)
BLINK 182 - Up All Night: 8.050 (+ 0.186)
COLDPLAY - Paradise: 7.805 (+ 0.369)
BRITNEY SPEARS - Criminal: 6.660 (+ 0.264)
EVANESCENCE - What You Want: 5.290 (+ 0.114)

[Source]

[Kworb]

Hot 100 prediction based on my sales estimates

1. Someone Like You (226 + 130 = 356)
2. Moves Like Jagger (196 + 141 = 337)
3. Pumped Up Kicks (174 + 106 = 280)
4. Stereo Hearts (141 + 90 = 231)
5-6. Party Rock Anthem (123 + 94 = 217)
5-6. Strange Clouds (215)
7. Sexy And I Know It (159 + 42 = 201)
8. We Found Love (159 + 32 = 191)
9. Without You (128 + 57 = 185)
10. You Make Me Feel (87 + 78 = 165)
Lighters (61 + 97 = 158)
Yöu And I (95 + 61 = 156)
Cheers (97 + 55 = 152)
In The Dark (74 + 70 = 144)
Super Bass (60 + 78 = 138)
Give Me Everything (41 + 84 = 125)

[NeRD]

Looks like We Found Love is coming.

[tonytaylor]

Could SLY actually beat RITD's number of weeks at #1 on the Hot100? Unless its sales plummet disastrously the next #1 looks many weeks away!

[HolidayGuy]

Too soon to tell that- something may come out and sell bucketloads. Not sure what that could be, but ya never know.

[badrobot]

If the new LMFAO continues to smash it could dethrone SLY, but SLY's sales would have to be declining.

[realestdownhere]

LMFAO - Sexy And I Know It: 36.988 (+ 2.736)
This is the worst song in the world :S :S

[tonytaylor]

Oct 3, 2011 8:40:50 GMT -5 badrobot said:

If the new LMFAO continues to smash it could dethrone SLY, but SLY's sales would have to be declining.

Its sales are losing ground to SLY at the moment and it's got almost 90m AI to make up. If it does happen it's gonna take weeks, isn't it? If i was XL/Columbia I would look at the Hot100 at the moment and expect to be #1 for a good while yet. Whether by luck or good judgment they have timed it perfectly.

[@DiegoMarcondes_]

MORE MEDIABASE

10/03/2011

BLAKE SHELTON -God Gave Me You= 44.783 (+0.492)
GEORGE STRAIT -Here For A Good Time= 43.589 (+0.088)
LADY ANTEBELLUM -Just A Kiss= 41.467 (+0.581)
ELI YOUNG BAND -Crazy Girl= 39.756 (+0.126)
JASON DERULO -It Girl= 32.817 (+0.637)
LADY ANTEBELLUM -We Owned The Night= 29.749 (+0.423)
NEW BOYZ -Better With The Lights Off= 29.176 (+0.605)
THOMPSON SQUARE -I Got You= 28.004 (-0.095)
ANDY GRAMMER - Keep Your Head Up= 26.654 (-0.066)
WALE - That Way f/Jeremih & Rick Ross= 26.347 (+0.435)
CHRIS BROWN -Wet The Bed= 26.085 (+0.204)
JASON ALDEAN - Tattoos On This Town= 24.189 (+0.585)
RASCAL FLATTS -Easy= 22.274 (-0.095)
MINDLESS BEHAVIOR -Mrs. Right f/Diggy Simmons= 21.140 (+0.059)
FOO FIGHTERS - Walk= 19.703 (+0.023)
ACE HOOD -Body 2 Body f/Chris Brown= 19.549 (+0.431)
J. COLE -Workout= 18.877 (+0.883)
COLBIE CAILLAT -Brighter Than The Sun= 18.133 (+0.786)
THE BAND PERRY - All Your Life= 17.347 (+0.085)
ZAC BROWN BAND -Keep Me In Mind= 17.304 (+0.884)
MATT NATHANSON -Faster= 15.507 (-0.009)
LLOYD -Dedication To My Ex...= 15.022 (+0.234)
GAVIN DEGRAW - Not Over You = 14.950 (+0.313)
SEAN PAUL -Got 2 Luv U f/Alexis Jordan= 14.092 (+0.175)
CEE LO GREEN -Fool For You f/Melanie Fiona= 13.510 (+0.084)
T-PAIN -5 O'clock f/Wiz Khalifa & Lily Allen = 13.371 (+1.117)
BUSH - The Sound Of Winter= 12.511 (+0.255)
PATRICK STUMP -This City f/Lupe Fiasco= 9.000 (-0.130)
LUKE BRYAN -I Don’t Want This Night To End= 8.771 (+0.308)
DEMI LOVATO - Skyscraper = 8.210 (+0.005)
SEETHER -Tonight= 8.182 (+0.092)
DAUGHTRY -Crawling Back To You= 8.534 (+0.912)
CHRIS YOUNG -You= 7.805 (+0.886)
MARTINA MCBRIDE -I'm Gonna Love You Through It= 7.782 (+0.215)
NICKELBACK -When We Stand Together= 7.332 (+0.610)
FLO RIDA -Good Feeling= 6.850 (+0.597)
MARY J. BLIGE -25/8= 6.050 (+0.105)
MAT KEARNEY-Hey Mama= 6.088 (+0.184)
BRUNO MARS -It Will Rain= 5.771 (+1.142)
BIRDMAN -Y.U. Mad f/Nicki Minaj= 5.483 (+0.216)
NICKELBACK -Bottoms Up= 5.050 (+0.589)
JESSIE J -Domino= 4.534 (+0.084)
MELANIE FIONA -4 AM= 4.212 (+0.027)
YOUNG THE GIANT -Cough Syrup= 4.177 (+0.092)
BIG SEAN -Dance (A$$)=3.831 (+0.039)
MICHELLE BRANCH -Loud Music= 3.812 (-0.103)
FOSTER THE PEOPLE - Helena Beat= 3.796 (+0.205)
LAUREN ALAINA -Like My Mother Does= 3.605 (-0.126)
ENRIQUE IGLESIAS -I Like How It Feels= 3.603 (+0.045)
SCOTTY MCCREERY -The Trouble With Girls= 2.526 (+0.218)
JENNIFER LOPEZ -Papi= 2.497 (+0.293)
KATY PERRY -One That Got Away= 2.455 (+0.265)
SIMPLE PLAN -Jet Lag f/Natasha Bedingfield= 2.405 (+0.024)
MARIO -The Walls f/Fabolous= 2.200 (+0.160)
BEYONCE -Countdown= 2.185 (+0.184)
CHEVELLE -Face To The Floor= 2.090 (+0.353)
NICOLE SCHERZINGER -Don't Hold Your Breath= 1.930 (+0.112)
JAY Z & KANYE WEST -Why I Love You f/Mr. Hudson= 1.781 (+0.071)
B.O.B -Strange Clouds f/Lil Wayne= 1.692 (+0.141)
DEATH CAB FOR CUTIE -Stay Young, Go Dancing= 1.664 (+0.043)
HOT CHELLE RAE -I Like It Like That f/New Boyz= 1.627 (+0.054)
SNOW PATROL -Called Out In The Dark= 1.515 (+0.004
CAGE THE ELEPHANT - Aberdeen= 1.462 (-0.023)
CASEY JAMES-Let's Don't Call It A Night= 1.380 (+0.055)
FOO FIGHTERS -These Days= 1.268( +0.094)
BLINK 182 - After Midnight= 1.118 (+0.173)
YOUNG JEEZY -F.A.M.E. f/T.I.= 1.068 (+0.100)
ESTELLE -Thank You= 1.025 (+0.028)
MONICA -Until It's Gone= 0.954 (+0.142)
DIERKS BENTLEY -Home= 0.849 (+0.068)
ELLIE GOULDING -Lights= 0.826 (+0.089)
MIRANDA BROOKE -Hater= 0.692 (+0.017)
CASSIE -Radio f/Fabolous= 0.627 (+0.009)
TAIO CRUZ -Hangover f/Flo Rida= 0.655 (+0.072)
FLORENCE + THE MACHINE -Shake It Out= 0.551 (+0.068)
TYGA -Still Got It f/Drake= 0.538 (+0.121)
SARA BAREILLES -Gonna Get Over You= 0.522 (+0.069)
JOJO - Disaster!!! = 0.178 (+0.028)
AVRIL LAVIGNE - Wish You Were Here = 0.138 (+0.043)
V V BROWN -Children (Keep On Singing)=0.125 (+0.013)
ROBIN THICKE -Love After War= 0.091 (+0.081)
LEONA LEWIS -Collide= 0.058 (+0.001)
LADY GAGA -Marry The Night= 0.003 (+0.000)

[RockaByeBaby]

CASSIE -Radio f/Fabolous= 0.627 (+0.009)

:)

[Rhythm Nation]

JOJO - Disaster!!! = 0.178 (+0.028)

Fo real? lol

[badrobot]

Oct 3, 2011 8:59:17 GMT -5 tonytaylor said:

Oct 3, 2011 8:40:50 GMT -5 badrobot said:

If the new LMFAO continues to smash it could dethrone SLY, but SLY's sales would have to be declining.

Its sales are losing ground to SLY at the moment and it's got almost 90m AI to make up. If it does happen it's gonna take weeks, isn't it? If i was XL/Columbia I would look at the Hot100 at the moment and expect to be #1 for a good while yet. Whether by luck or good judgment they have timed it perfectly.

That's what I meant -- in like, 5-6 weeks, not anytime soon.