Billboard Hot 100: 10/22/11

[musik...]

Does anyone know if Adele's Set Fire to the Rain is getting spins on radio? It's amazing how well it's selling on iTunes with zero promotion, especially with being certified gold already.

[HolidayGuy]

^It's not getting any significant radio airplay, but, like "Rumor Has It" before, it's being used in various ads, isn't it?

[NeRD]

I used to hear SFTTR on Lifetime episode commercials all the time this summer.

[Deleted]

SAIKI should be bold.

[cking33]

Oct 10, 2011 13:59:31 GMT -5 HolidayGuy said:

^It's not getting any significant radio airplay, but, like "Rumor Has It" before, it's being used in various ads, isn't it?

Yes, I've seen various TV promos that have used the song.

[musik...]

Oh ok, thanks. Looks like an obvious 3rd single choice for the US as well.

[Lozzy]

10/11 airplay updates:[/u]

1. MAROON 5 F/CHRISTINA AGUILERA - Moves Like Jagger: 145.291 (+ 0.017)
2. ADELE - Someone Like You: 142.223 (+ 1.592)
3. FOSTER THE PEOPLE - Pumped Up Kicks: 110.891 (+ 0.465)
4. GYM CLASS HEROES - Stereo Hearts f/Adam Levine: 98.685 (+ 1.685)
5. LMFAO - Party Rock Anthem: 92.473 (- 0.374)
6. BAD MEETS EVIL - Lighters f/Bruno Mars: 90.164 (- 1.452)
7. COBRA STARSHIP - You Make Me Feel... f/Sabi: 82.391 (+ 0.975)
8. PITBULL - Give Me Everything f/Ne-Yo: 79.484 (- 0.342)
9. DEV - In The Dark: 72.943 (+ 0.743)
10. NICKI MINAJ - Super Bass: 69.339 (- 1.868)
11. ONEREPUBLIC - Good Life: 66.969 (- 0.924)
12. LIL WAYNE - How To Love: 66.452 (- 0.719)
13. KATY PERRY - Last Friday Night (T.G.I.F.): 64.102 (- 1.631)
14. LADY GAGA - You And I: 63.521 (+ 0.463)
15. DRAKE - Headlines: 62.874 (+ 0.790)
16. DAVID GUETTA - Without You f/Usher: 62.165 (+ 1.282) ▲
17. ADELE - Rolling In The Deep: 60.722 (- 0.542) ▼
18. LIL WAYNE - She Will f/Drake: 56.208 (+ 0.881) ▲
19. BRITNEY SPEARS - I Wanna Go: 55.376 (- 1.367) ▼
20. DJ KHALED - I'm On One f/Drake, Rick Ross: 51.919 (- 1.175)

LMFAO - Sexy And I Know It: 50.647 (+ 1.743)
KEITH URBAN - Long Hot Summer: 49.815 (- 0.354)
BLAKE SHELTON - God Gave Me You: 48.735 (+ 0.438)
GEORGE STRAIT - Here For A Good Time: 48.441 (+ 0.612)
THE BAND PERRY - If I Die Young: 47.810 (- 0.012)
KELLY CLARKSON - Mr. Know It All: 47.357 (+ 0.216)
LADY ANTEBELLUM - Just A Kiss: 44.949 (+ 0.706)
ALEXANDRA STAN - Mr. Saxobeat: 44.417 (+ 0.245)
BIG SEAN - Marvin & Chardonnay: 44.348 (- 0.091)
RIHANNA - We Found Love f/Calvin Harris: 42.844 (+ 1.612)
JAY Z & KANYE WEST - N***** In Paris: 42.147 (+ 0.340)
THE SCRIPT - Nothing: 38.398 (+ 0.295)
MIRANDA LAMBERT - Baggage Claim: 36.728 (+ 0.232)
TAYLOR SWIFT - Sparks Fly: 34.586 (+ 0.695)
NICKI MINAJ - Fly f/Rihanna: 30.611 (+ 0.564)
RED HOT CHILI PEPPERS - Adventures Of Rain Dance...: 22.154 (- 0.325)
T-PAIN - 5 O'clock f/Wiz Khalifa: 21.918 (+ 0.803)
BEYONCE - Party f/Kanye & Andre: 21.834 (+ 0.826)
SELENA GOMEZ & THE SCENE - Love You Like A Love Song: 10.327 (+ 0.150)
KELLY ROWLAND - Lay It On Me f/Big Sean: 10.241 (- 0.462)
COLDPLAY - Paradise: 10.153 (+ 0.282)
BRITNEY SPEARS - Criminal: 8.731 (+ 0.291)
BLINK 182 - Up All Night: 8.089 (- 0.109)
KATY PERRY - The One That Got Away: 5.965 (+ 0.583)
EVANESCENCE - What You Want: 5.417 (+ 0.028)
ENRIQUE IGLESIAS - I Like How It Feels: 5.016 (+ 0.185)

[Source]

[NeRD]

Looks like WFL and SAIKI will be duking it out for the top spot within the next month.

[tonytaylor]

WFL a possibility but SAIKI? Is there some stellar promo on the horizon? It's been approx 15% behind SLY all week on iTunes and shows no signs of bridging the gap. And PUK doesn't seem to be going to overtake SLY like I've seen predicted, even after their SNL promo.

[Enigma.]

Next MONTH she said, not next week.

SAIKI will be a smash, everybody loves it and it's just a matter of time when it's the best seller in the country. It's one of those songs that don't need promo because it's inescapable when you go clubbing and meet people...

I'm not saying it will be number one on Hot 100 because there are so many factors but no way it will fail to be top 2.

[@DiegoMarcondes_]

MORE MEDIABASE


BLAKE SHELTON -God Gave Me You= 48.735 (+0.438)
GEORGE STRAIT -Here For A Good Time= 48.441 (+0.582)
LADY ANTEBELLUM -Just A Kiss= 44.949 (+0.526)
ELI YOUNG BAND -Crazy Girl= 41.774 (+0.352)
JASON DERULO -It Girl= 34.916 (+0.174)
LADY ANTEBELLUM -We Owned The Night= 31.658 (-0.055)
NEW BOYZ -Better With The Lights Off= 29.692 (-0.088)
WALE - That Way f/Jeremih & Rick Ross= 29.208 (+0.429)
THOMPSON SQUARE -I Got You= 29.198 (+0.581)
JASON ALDEAN - Tattoos On This Town= 28.721 (+0.530)
CHRIS BROWN -Wet The Bed= 28.542 (+0.463)
ANDY GRAMMER - Keep Your Head Up= 28.066 (+0.192)
J. COLE -Workout= 25.678 (+0.640)
RASCAL FLATTS -Easy= 25.073 (+0.381)
ACE HOOD -Body 2 Body f/Chris Brown= 22.742 (+0.460)
ZAC BROWN BAND -Keep Me In Mind= 22.147 (+0.649)
MINDLESS BEHAVIOR -Mrs. Right f/Diggy Simmons= 21.820 (-0.089)
COLBIE CAILLAT -Brighter Than The Sun= 20.221 (+0.278)
FOO FIGHTERS - Walk= 18.892 (-0.173)
THE BAND PERRY - All Your Life= 18.553 (+0.303)
GAVIN DEGRAW - Not Over You = 17.297 (+0.361)
MATT NATHANSON -Faster= 15.319 (-0.061)
LLOYD -Dedication To My Ex...= 14.910 (-0.158)
CEE LO GREEN -Fool For You f/Melanie Fiona= 14.410 (+0.063)
BUSH - The Sound Of Winter= 13.960 (+0.024)
SEAN PAUL -Got 2 Luv U f/Alexis Jordan= 13.175 (-0.107)
BRUNO MARS -It Will Rain= 12.450 (+0.824)
LUKE BRYAN -I Don’t Want This Night To End= 12.401 (+0.452)
DAUGHTRY -Crawling Back To You= 12.034 (+0.323)
NICKELBACK -When We Stand Together= 11.810 (+0.310)
MARTINA MCBRIDE -I'm Gonna Love You Through It= 10.095 (+0.430)
CHRIS YOUNG -You= 9.852 (+0.486)
FLO RIDA -Good Feeling= 9.687 (+0.273)
PATRICK STUMP -This City f/Lupe Fiasco= 9.561 (-0.028)
BIG SEAN -Dance (A$$)= 9.392 (+0.589)
SEETHER -Tonight= 8.629 (+0.061)
DEMI LOVATO - Skyscraper = 7.154 (-0.236)
MARY J. BLIGE -25/8= 7.000 (-0.028)
NICKELBACK -Bottoms Up= 6.452 (+0.153)
MAT KEARNEY-Hey Mama= 6.203 (-0.033)
T.I. -I'm Flexin f/Big K.R.I.T.= 5.694 (+0.135)
JESSIE J -Domino= 5.605 (+0.121)
VERSE SIMMONDS -Boo Thang f/Kelly Rowland= 4.931 (+0.067)
RICK ROSS -You The Boss f/Nicki Minaj = 4.844 (+0.915)
MELANIE FIONA -4 AM= 4.729 (+0.033)
CHEVELLE -Face To The Floor= 4.714 (+0.240)
YOUNG THE GIANT -Cough Syrup= 4.497 (+0.085)
B.O.B -Strange Clouds f/Lil Wayne= 4.349 (+0.393)
BEYONCE -Countdown= 4.210 (+0.172)
JENNIFER LOPEZ -Papi= 3.917 (+0.194)
SCOTTY MCCREERY -The Trouble With Girls= 3.914 (+0.031)
FOSTER THE PEOPLE - Helena Beat= 3.905 (+0.020)
MONICA -Until It's Gone= 3.671 (+0.428)
NICOLE SCHERZINGER -Don't Hold Your Breath= 3.422 (+0.166)
HOT CHELLE RAE -I Like It Like That f/New Boyz= 3.216 (+0.186)
RICK ROSS -I Love My B**ches= 2.992 (+0.440)
MARIO -The Walls f/Fabolous= 2.799 (+0.098)
DIERKS BENTLEY -Home= 2.767 (+0.181)
WALE -Lotus Flower Bomb f/Miguel= 2.426
YOUNG JEEZY -F.A.M.E. f/T.I.= 2.325 (+0.381)
J. COLE -Can't Get Enough f/Trey Songz= 2.210 (+0.113)
BRAD PAISLEY - Camouflage= 2.110 (+0.405)
FLORENCE + THE MACHINE -Shake It Out= 1.627 (+0.078)
CAGE THE ELEPHANT - Aberdeen= 1.516 (-0.027)
BLINK 182 - After Midnight= 1.384 (-0.058)
TYGA -Still Got It f/Drake= 1.318 (+0.156)
PITBULL F/CHRIS BROWN -International Love= 1.222 (+0.109)
ESTELLE -Thank You= 1.202 (+0.043)
FOO FIGHTERS -These Days= 1.156 (-0.090)
ROBIN THICKE -Love After War= 1.023 (+0.240)
MIRANDA BROOKE -Hater= 1.000 (-0.030)
DJ KHALED -Legendary= 0.965 (+0.099)
BILLY CURRINGTON -Like My Dog= 0.900 (+0.027)
ELLIE GOULDING -Lights= 0.871 (-0.019)
TAIO CRUZ -Hangover f/Flo Rida= 0.804 (-0.003)
KAT DELUNA -Drop It Low= 0.800 (+0.031)
SARA BAREILLES -Gonna Get Over You= 0.748 (+0.040)
JOE JONAS -Just In Love= 0.727 (-0.016)
AVRIL LAVIGNE - Wish You Were Here = 0.718 (+0.066)
WILLOW -Fireball f/Nicki Minaj= 0.708 (+0.091)
CASSIE -Radio f/Fabolous= 0.574 (-0.065)
THE FRAY -Heartbeat= 0.699 (+0.407)
ADELE -Set Fire To The Rain= 0.527
JOJO - Disaster!!! = 0.166 (+0.022)
WANTED -Glad You Came= 0.397
LEONA LEWIS -Collide= 0.069 (-0.008)
EVANESCENCE - My Heart Is Broken= 0.049

[tonytaylor]

Oct 11, 2011 10:02:59 GMT -5 Enigma. said:

Next MONTH she said, not next week.

SAIKI will be a smash, everybody loves it and it's just a matter of time when it's the best seller in the country. It's one of those songs that don't need promo because it's inescapable when you go clubbing and meet people...

I'm not saying it will be number one on Hot 100 because there are so many factors but no way it will fail to be top 2.

Ah, apologies. It's fairly misleading/confusing - does she mean within the next 31 days from now or within the next month, i.e before the end of November? Last week's prediction was a much more ambitious one.

[Enigma.]

And I also believe that it will be hard for WFL to find enough buyers to be number one on Hot 100. Radio will love it of course but I think Rihanna will have a better shot for #1 with the next single (whatever that is).

My prediction is that SLY will be #1 for a few weeks and then SAIKI will take over. But this is just a good guess obv. and anything can happen.

[NeRD]

Oct 11, 2011 9:19:41 GMT -5 tonytaylor said:

WFL a possibility but SAIKI? Is there some stellar promo on the horizon? It's been approx 15% behind SLY all week on iTunes and shows no signs of bridging the gap. And PUK doesn't seem to be going to overtake SLY like I've seen predicted, even after their SNL promo.

Yes AND SAIKI.

Its airplay will continue to increase, and its sales will follow suit. SLY's wig will be snatched within the next month, and you will just have to deal. ;) SLY's run has been AMAZING. Let's give other songs a chance.

[tonytaylor]

Oct 11, 2011 10:17:18 GMT -5 NeRD said:

Oct 11, 2011 9:19:41 GMT -5 tonytaylor said:

WFL a possibility but SAIKI? Is there some stellar promo on the horizon? It's been approx 15% behind SLY all week on iTunes and shows no signs of bridging the gap. And PUK doesn't seem to be going to overtake SLY like I've seen predicted, even after their SNL promo.

Yes AND SAIKI.

Its airplay will continue to increase, and its sales will follow suit. SLY's wig will be snatched within the next month, and you will just have to deal. ;)

Didn't you also predict a few days ago that PUK will overtake SLY after their SNL promo? And didn't you also agree with the poster on here last week who basically predicted WFL will be #1 on the Hot100 in 2 weeks' time? No disrespect but you're not the best at this prediction game are you? ;)

[NeRD]

Oct 11, 2011 10:20:53 GMT -5 tonytaylor said:

Oct 11, 2011 10:17:18 GMT -5 NeRD said:

Yes AND SAIKI.

Its airplay will continue to increase, and its sales will follow suit. SLY's wig will be snatched within the next month, and you will just have to deal. ;)

Didn't you also predict a few days ago that PUK will overtake SLY after their SNL promo? And didn't you also agree with the poster on here last week who basically predicted WFL will be #1 on the Hot100 in 2 weeks' time? No disrespect but you're not the best at this prediction game are you? ;)

When did I say this? I had no idea PUK had even performed on SNL until after I saw a post explaining its sudden surge on Itunes.

About WFL...I said the song could become a threat within the next 2-3 weeks if the video causes a sudden increase in sales, but I also said SLY staying at #1 for at least another two weeks is a given.

I also said that SAIKI will more than likely be the song to dethrone SLY NOT PUK.

No need to get all hot and bothered...this is a music forum full of predictions...

YOU said that SLY would stay at #1 until Christmas. Let's see how well that prediction holds.

[Scotty]

Oct 11, 2011 10:31:02 GMT -5 NeRD said:

When did I say this? I had no idea PUK had even performed on SNL until after I saw a post explaining its sudden surge on Itunes.

About WFL...I said the song could become a threat within the next 2-3 weeks if the video causes a sudden increase in sales, but I also said SLY staying at #1 for at least another two weeks is a given.

I also said that SAIKI will more than likely be the song to dethrone SLY NOT PUK.

No need to get all hot and bothered...this is a music forum full of predictions...

YOU said that SLY would stay at #1 until Christmas. Let's see how well that prediction holds

[/u]. [/quote]
It won't lol.

[NeRD]

Oct 7, 2011 12:18:43 GMT -5 NeRD said:

SLY is taking off at Rhythmic so I could definitely see it reach 150-160 million. However, both LMFAO and Rihanna have been steadily gaining ground on this all week on Itunes. Not to mention Rihanna has yet to release the video or publicly display a live performance of the song.

I dont think LMFAO's airplay will be a factor. I actually see Rihanna passing it overall in the next few days. Its strong digital sales will make up for it though.

SLY will remain #1 easily for the next 2-3 weeks. After that, I see both of those songs posing a threat.

Just cause.... :)

[Deleted]

And I also believe that it will be hard for WFL to find enough buyers to be number one on Hot 100.

Rihanna doesn't have to get WFL to #1, she only has to get it to #2 before the inevitable remix will kick in. ;)

[d.t.m]

I don't think they'll pull the remix ploy for the first single. Slashing the itunes price is more like it.

[Love Plastic Love]

If they are close I can see them doing some sort of remix or alternate version in addition to slashing prices. Rihanna/Katy do not play when it comes to being close to a #1 ever.

[livelikedying111]

Oct 11, 2011 17:54:10 GMT -5 d.t.m said:

I don't think they'll pull the remix ploy for the first single. Slashing the itunes price is more like it.

I doubt that too becuase for a first single, it should have enough hype to leave that mess for later struggling singles. I'm sure she'll get there somehow without a remix.

[Arabella21]

TOP 10
.
1. MAROON 5 F/CHRISTINA AGUILERA - Moves Like Jagger: 145.460 (+ 0.169)
2. ADELE - Someone Like You: 144.019 (+ 1.796)
3. FOSTER THE PEOPLE - Pumped Up Kicks: 111.735 (+ 0.844)
4. GYM CLASS HEROES - Stereo Hearts f/Adam Levine: 100.131 (+ 1.446)
5. LMFAO - Party Rock Anthem: 91.597 (- 0.876)
6. BAD MEETS EVIL - Lighters f/Bruno Mars: 87.926 (- 2.238)
7. COBRA STARSHIP - You Make Me Feel... f/Sabi: 83.156 (+ 0.765)
8. PITBULL - Give Me Everything f/Ne-Yo: 78.959 (- 0.525)
9. DEV - In The Dark: 73.469 (+ 0.526)
10. NICKI MINAJ - Super Bass: 67.495 (- 1.844)
.
FILA
.
11. ONEREPUBLIC - Good Life: 66.138 (- 0.831)
12. LIL WAYNE - How To Love: 65.670 (- 0.782)
13. DAVID GUETTA - Without You f/Usher: 63.818 (+ 1.653) ▲
14. LADY GAGA - You And I: 63.813 (+ 0.292)
15. DRAKE - Headlines: 63.613 (+ 0.739)
16. KATY PERRY - Last Friday Night (T.G.I.F.): 62.720 (- 1.382) ▼
17. ADELE - Rolling In The Deep: 60.062 (- 0.660)
18. LIL WAYNE - She Will f/Drake: 56.995 (+ 0.787)
19. BRITNEY SPEARS - I Wanna Go: 53.715 (- 1.661)
20. LMFAO - Sexy And I Know It: 52.689 (+ 2.042) ▲
.
OUTRAS
.
DJ KHALED - I'm On One f/Drake, Rick Ross: 51.357 (- 0.562)
BLAKE SHELTON - God Gave Me You: 49.483 (+ 0.748)
GEORGE STRAIT - Here For A Good Time: 48.991 (+ 0.550)
KEITH URBAN - Long Hot Summer: 48.831 (- 0.984)
KELLY CLARKSON - Mr. Know It All: 47.531 (+ 0.174)
THE BAND PERRY - If I Die Young: 47.477 (- 0.333)
LADY ANTEBELLUM - Just A Kiss: 46.019 (+ 1.070)
ALEXANDRA STAN - Mr. Saxobeat: 44.815 (+ 0.398)
RIHANNA - We Found Love f/Calvin Harris: 44.736 (+ 1.892)
BIG SEAN - Marvin & Chardonnay: 44.593 (+ 0.245)
JAY Z & KANYE WEST - N***** In Paris: 43.130 (+ 0.983)
THE SCRIPT - Nothing: 38.605 (+ 0.207)
MIRANDA LAMBERT - Baggage Claim: 36.822 (+ 0.094)
TAYLOR SWIFT - Sparks Fly: 35.217 (+ 0.631)
NICKI MINAJ - Fly f/Rihanna: 31.002 (+ 0.391)
T-PAIN - 5 O'clock f/Wiz Khalifa: 23.024 (+ 1.106)
BEYONCE - Party f/Kanye & Andre: 22.315 (+ 0.481)
RED HOT CHILI PEPPERS - Adventures Of Rain Dance...: 22.105 (- 0.049)
SELENA GOMEZ & THE SCENE - Love You Like A Love Song: 10.472 (+ 0.145)
COLDPLAY - Paradise: 10.373 (+ 0.220)
KELLY ROWLAND - Lay It On Me f/Big Sean: 10.024 (- 0.217)
BRITNEY SPEARS - Criminal: 8.825 (+ 0.094)
BLINK 182 - Up All Night: 7.969 (- 0.120)
KATY PERRY - The One That Got Away: 6.571 (+ 0.606)
EVANESCENCE - What You Want: 5.447 (+ 0.030)
ENRIQUE IGLESIAS - I Like How It Feels: 5.426 (+ 0.410)

[tonytaylor]

Oct 11, 2011 10:31:02 GMT -5 NeRD said:

Oct 11, 2011 10:20:53 GMT -5 tonytaylor said:

Didn't you also predict a few days ago that PUK will overtake SLY after their SNL promo? And didn't you also agree with the poster on here last week who basically predicted WFL will be #1 on the Hot100 in 2 weeks' time? No disrespect but you're not the best at this prediction game are you? ;)

When did I say this? I had no idea PUK had even performed on SNL until after I saw a post explaining its sudden surge on Itunes.

About WFL...I said the song could become a threat within the next 2-3 weeks if the video causes a sudden increase in sales, but I also said SLY staying at #1 for at least another two weeks is a given.

I also said that SAIKI will more than likely be the song to dethrone SLY NOT PUK.

No need to get all hot and bothered...this is a music forum full of predictions...

YOU said that SLY would stay at #1 until Christmas. Let's see how well that prediction holds.

I actually posed it as a question, lol. But I'll leave it as a prediction and not keep changing it seemingly every day like someone I could name. And talking of hot and bothered, of the 2 of us there's only one who keeps posting incessant iTunes updates about their fave on the dedicated thread (whilst virtually praying for SLY to decrease all the time)...and it sure aint me. Anyway, back to the Hot100.

[Lozzy]

Source for today's chart posted above.

[HolidayGuy]

SLY should get to No. 1 airplay with tomorrow's update. Who would have thought it was going to reach the airplay heights it has?

[tonytaylor]

It's clearly not peaked yet either (although it is understandably slowing). The crucial factor is even the up and coming singles like SAIKI & WFL aren't yet taking chunks out of that huge airplay lead. That will of course happen when SLY peaks but if it actually goes to, say, 160m that's not going to happen for a while yet. And it's all been done without the aid of a remix or any other gimmicks plus the hindrance of 110k+ people per week buying the song on the album. And if it's anything like RITD it will also decrease very slowly after peaking.

[HolidayGuy]

And like RITD, SLY is appearing on all sorts of genre charts. It debuted on the all-encompassing Latin Songs chart this week, and it's currently in the top 40 on Mediabase's rhythmic chart (not sure if it's on Billboard's rhythmic chart yet).

[tonytaylor]

#38 on Rhythmic is just crazy without a remix....isn't it? I mean, it's a 100% piano and voice driven ballad FGS :o (the first such Hot100 #1 ever by the way)

[Mike]

There are some dance remixes of SLY floating around. I imagine that some of the plays it's getting are from the mixes.