Au$tin
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Grrrrrrrrrr. Fuckity fuck why don't you watch my film before you judge it? FURY.
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Post by Au$tin on Aug 14, 2013 11:38:06 GMT -5
Did this have a radio deal at all? Yes. No, it was Sunday. ;)
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RadioBeatz
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Post by RadioBeatz on Aug 14, 2013 11:39:57 GMT -5
"Roar" still reigning, me so happy. :'(
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irice22
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listening to Kesha. Always.
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Post by irice22 on Aug 14, 2013 11:40:43 GMT -5
Love #ROAR I want Blurred Lines to stay on top of the Hot 100 for 17 weeks (just to break Mariah's record), then Roar replaces BL to be the new #1 then a few weeks later Give It 2 U becomes #1 That would be the worst thing imaginable. Except for the part about "Roar" getting to #1.
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Post by Adonis the DemiGod! on Aug 14, 2013 11:41:59 GMT -5
I agree with thisiswilly!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 14, 2013 11:44:49 GMT -5
moore- one can only speculate based on the two figures of 448K (first three days) and 509K (the seven days that followed). Thank you for the numbers. So 740k+. Wowza. It was performed at the Grammys so I wouldn't be surprised if 350-400k of the second week came in the first 4 days. 800-850k is realistic, imo.
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jumpb4uthink
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Post by jumpb4uthink on Aug 14, 2013 11:52:57 GMT -5
The current pop bars show applause at .5594 which is decreasing and blurred lines is slowly increasing. How can one tell if Roar is increasing, decreasing, or is steady at 1.0000 ? Thanks
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Post by neverduplicated on Aug 14, 2013 11:56:12 GMT -5
The current pop bars show applause at .5594 which is decreasing and blurred lines is slowly increasing. How can one tell if Roar is increasing, decreasing, or is steady at 1.0000 ? Thanks The best thing to do is look at the trending of the majority of numbers. In the last update, the majority of songs gained a little bit, which in reality probably translates to most songs staying stable and "Roar" decreasing a bit. No need to worry, though, nearly all new songs that make a huge opening splash begin to decrease after a few days.
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dzjx
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Post by dzjx on Aug 14, 2013 12:03:19 GMT -5
Where will this debut on the hot 100?
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Au$tin
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Pop Culture Guru
Grrrrrrrrrr. Fuckity fuck why don't you watch my film before you judge it? FURY.
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Post by Au$tin on Aug 14, 2013 12:25:35 GMT -5
Where will this debut on the hot 100? Probably in the lower 70s/upper 80s.
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Brazilian Guy
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Post by Brazilian Guy on Aug 14, 2013 12:34:17 GMT -5
My radio played this but the lyrics video version, Iphone ringing and all... LOL.
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dbhmr
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>
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Post by dbhmr on Aug 14, 2013 13:06:19 GMT -5
Okay so any confirmation whether or not she sampled this from Sarah? So, they didn't "intentionally" copy Brave. Brave came out in April. lol...she knows what she's doing. Anyway, I think I like this more than "Applause" now (I really, really want to type "Applesauce" every time). But when I sing along, I just feel so lame. These lyrics.
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SPRΞΞ
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Post by SPRΞΞ on Aug 14, 2013 13:40:46 GMT -5
what are the chances this beats Flo Rida's record of 636k?
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crystalphnx
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Post by crystalphnx on Aug 14, 2013 13:48:10 GMT -5
debuts at No. 85 on the Hot 100:
"Roar" dents the Hot 100 at No. 85 thanks solely to almost four days of airplay. (As previously noted, its expected lofty first-week sales, as well as streaming, will count toward next week's Hot 100.) "Roar" bounds on to Radio Songs at No. 29 with 40 million impressions from 258 stations. It's the highest debut since Rihanna's "Diamonds" opened at No. 28 on the radio tally the week of Oct. 13, 2012. ("Diamonds" went on to crown the Hot 100 and Radio Songs for three weeks each). "Roar" represents Perry's highest start on Radio Songs, despite its midweek arrival; she previously began best with "California Gurls" (featuring Snoop Dogg) (No. 31) in 2010. "Gurls" was the lead single from "Teenage Dream," which yielded five Hot 100 No. 1s (tying Michael Jackson's "Bad" in 1987-88 for the most leaders from a set). "Roar" introduces Perry's "Prism," due Oct. 22.
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Arrow
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Post by Arrow on Aug 14, 2013 13:59:33 GMT -5
Thank you for the numbers. So 740k+. Wowza. It was performed at the Grammys so I wouldn't be surprised if 350-400k of the second week came in the first 4 days. 800-850k is realistic, imo. Way too high. 700k tops.
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moore746
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Post by moore746 on Aug 14, 2013 14:01:12 GMT -5
what are the chances this beats Flo Rida's record of 636k? Kworb's Twitter account predicts 500k. Way too low imo.
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cowboy
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Post by cowboy on Aug 14, 2013 14:12:14 GMT -5
Is this a lock for bb #1 for next week ?
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SoMuchToSay
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Post by SoMuchToSay on Aug 14, 2013 14:23:45 GMT -5
Whew! Glad she didn't come in at #98 - #100. My Kelly's record for the largest jump to #1 will be preserved! Hopefully this will be able to take the top spot! #1 digitally, #1 streaming (at least it is on youtube, but I"m not sure how that works), and will likely be top 15-20 by the end of the week. She definitely has a good shot. Hopefully Blurred Lines huge advantage in airplay doesn't block it next week. If not, I have full confidence that this will spend way more than just 1 week at #1 once all is said and done. It just has that sound that will make it a multi-week #1 smash.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 14, 2013 14:29:08 GMT -5
It was performed at the Grammys so I wouldn't be surprised if 350-400k of the second week came in the first 4 days. 800-850k is realistic, imo. Way too high. 700k tops. Tops? If you take 4/7th's of the second week and add it onto the first week, you get 739k... So it's safe to say it sold at least 740k in the first 7 days. It was still only on its fourth day when the week started, combined with the Grammy's which gave it a huge boost, saying that it sold ~75% of the second week's total in the first 4 days of the week (58% of the time) is pretty modest. On the third week it sold 286k (average of 41k/day), so using that the last 3 days of the second week could have been around 150k, meaning the first 4 would have sold 359k. You could calculate this more precisely but there's a very high probability that it passed 800k in the first 7 days.
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kevvybitch
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Post by kevvybitch on Aug 14, 2013 17:24:24 GMT -5
What will Roar have to do to get the #1? In terms of sales, airplay and streaming?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 14, 2013 17:29:21 GMT -5
What will Roar have to do to get the #1? In terms of sales, airplay and streaming? So, using that formula and hypothetical numbers: Blurred Lines = (290,000/12) + (230,000,000/7,500) + (7,000,000/450) = 70,389 Roar = (525,000/12) + (55,000,000/7,500) + (3,000,000/450) = 57,750 Applause = (320,000/12) + (35,000,000/7,500) + (1,000,000/450) = 33,556 We Can't Stop = (144,000/12) + (51,000,000/7,500) + (7,200,000/450) = 34,800 So next week: 1. Blurred Lines 2. Roar 3. We Can't Stop 4. Applause Possibly? It needs to sell like 680k to have a chance. Or release the video and go #1 on streaming, but even then it would need 600k+
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cowboy
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Post by cowboy on Aug 14, 2013 17:47:31 GMT -5
Brave is up to 22 on iTunes this is helping her tremendously
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 14, 2013 17:47:36 GMT -5
This song, imo, is her best moment sans the "Teenage Dream" single.
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cowboy
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Post by cowboy on Aug 14, 2013 17:50:09 GMT -5
What will Roar have to do to get the #1? In terms of sales, airplay and streaming? So, using that formula and hypothetical numbers: Blurred Lines = (290,000/12) + (230,000,000/7,500) + (7,000,000/450) = 70,389 Roar = (525,000/12) + (55,000,000/7,500) + (3,000,000/450) = 57,750 Applause = (320,000/12) + (35,000,000/7,500) + (1,000,000/450) = 33,556 We Can't Stop = (144,000/12) + (51,000,000/7,500) + (7,200,000/450) = 34,800 So next week: 1. Blurred Lines 2. Roar 3. We Can't Stop 4. Applause Possibly? It needs to sell like 680k to have a chance. Or release the video and go #1 on streaming, but even then it would need 600k+ Where is holy grail in this?
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Hierophant
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Post by Hierophant on Aug 14, 2013 17:53:48 GMT -5
Cant wait for the video... when it comesw
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 14, 2013 18:12:11 GMT -5
It needs to sell like 680k to have a chance. Or release the video and go #1 on streaming, but even then it would need 600k+ Where is holy grail in this? Jay Z's "Holy Grail" (featuring Justin Timberlake) maintains its No. 5 rank on the Hot 100, pushing 20-14 on Radio Songs (60 million, up 25%) and 3-2 on Digital Songs (166,000, up 2%). It lifts 10-8 on Streaming Songs, although with a 1% drop to 2.8 million. It tops Rap Songs for a third week. = 28000 points. Still a decent gap until it beats Miley.
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jumpb4uthink
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Post by jumpb4uthink on Aug 14, 2013 18:47:48 GMT -5
Cant wait for the video... when it comesw yea now that the song has conquered and slayed , it time to get jacked up with the video. Her videos have been great with a lot a cool photography and special effects, this one has my curiosity and excitement way up. Has she filmed it yet? God I'm loving everything about this so far.
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Legenderry
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Post by Legenderry on Aug 14, 2013 18:49:00 GMT -5
She has filmed it, a radio interviewer asked her to describe the theme of the video in one word and Katy answered with "green".
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jumpb4uthink
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Post by jumpb4uthink on Aug 14, 2013 18:52:51 GMT -5
Green??? Now that has my curiosity way up. As in emerald city maybe?????? The lion king of the forest?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 14, 2013 19:16:46 GMT -5
We already have pics, it's in a "jungle" apparently. On set of the video: Shot yesterday in Arcadia, California. It will feature elephants, tigers, monkeys, and alligators. Looks promising.
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Envoirment
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Post by Envoirment on Aug 14, 2013 19:22:21 GMT -5
Based on Katy's current lead and assuming that Robin Thicke is selling at least 300k this week, Katy is heading for a 750k+ week sales-wise.
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