Billboard Hot 100 : 8/31/2013

[NeRD]

Aug 15, 2013 12:59:52 GMT -5 Codex said:

Aug 15, 2013 12:55:23 GMT -5 stanr said:

I think Billboard still being super conservative. Katy will cross that 500k mark.
and ouch for Gaga. How come she's only doing 200-225k? Her BTW opening numbers were impressive! now it's doing worse than Womanizer or Touch My Body??

It's selling around the same as Ariana, Miley and Demi's lead singles. 

Girl, you are tew much.

[RadioBeatz]

"The Way" sold over 200k in its debut week, right? well, Gaga will have a similar debut to Ariana Grande.

[musik...]

The thing that Gaga does have going for her is that she is still planning on premiering her video next week, followed by her VMA performance the following weekend, so a drop off in sales is less likely over the next couple of weeks. With that said, however, it's pretty shocking and underwhelming that she may sell less copies of "Applause" over a two week period than "Born this Way" sold in three days (and less than half of Katy's song). Not good :o

[felipe]

I don't think that's shocking at all. Most of the singles from her last album either flopped or underperformed, which clearly affects her next album.

[Adonis the DemiGod!]

Aug 15, 2013 17:57:01 GMT -5 RadioBeatz said:

"The Way" sold over 200k in its debut week, right? well, Gaga will have a similar debut to Ariana Grande.

You mean to tell me it's Lady Gaga who sings Applause and not Ariana Grande... wow! who knew. Ariana is the hot new chick in town so of course she is going to put up some strong numbers. Don't use her to throw shade at Lady Gaga.

[RadioBeatz]

Aug 15, 2013 23:55:27 GMT -5 Adonis the DemiGod! said:

Aug 15, 2013 17:57:01 GMT -5 RadioBeatz said:

"The Way" sold over 200k in its debut week, right? well, Gaga will have a similar debut to Ariana Grande.

You mean to tell me it's Lady Gaga who sings Applause and not Ariana Grande... wow! who knew. Ariana is the hot new chick in town so of course she is going to put up some strong numbers. Don't use her to throw shade at Lady Gaga.

I wasn't being shady XD it's just Codex posted she'll have similar #s to Demi, Selena and Ariana and I went and checked out lol

It's still disappointing for Gaga.

[RadioBeatz]

The Hollywood Reporter:

In three days, the pop star has sold over 272,000 digital songs and is projected to hit 525,000 within the single's first week of release.

Katy Perry's new single “Roar” marks a career milestone for the pop singer.

The ferocious mid-tempo track, which hit digital retailers at midnight on Aug. 12, has already sold 272,000 digital songs, and “Roar” is on target to move 525,000 in its first week of release, surpassing RobinThicke's “Blurred Lines.”

In addition, “Roar” claims the biggest digital song debut of 2013, surpassing One Direction’s “Best Song Ever,” which tallied 322,000 for the week ending July 28.

The song marks a career best for Perry. Although she hit the ground running just as strongly with her previous album, 2010’s Teenage Dream — a release that would yield five No. 1 singles, a record for a female artist — the biggest digital track from that cycle was “Firework” with 509,000 unit sales for the week ending Dec. 26, 2010. Perry’s biggest digital song debut to date was 2012’s “Part of Me,” which moved 411,000 its first week out, according to Perry’s label, Capitol Music Group.

"Roar" inched onto the Billboard Hot 100 after it leaked on Aug. 10 and is expected to topple Thicke’s "Blurred Lines" from the top spot on next week’s chart, which factors sales and airplay.

It all bodes for a promising start to the Prism rollout. Perry’s third album is slated for release on Oct. 22.

[#Joseph.T]

Aug 16, 2013 1:23:48 GMT -5 RadioBeatz said:

The Hollywood Reporter:

In three days, the pop star has sold over 272,000 digital songs and is projected to hit 525,000 within the single's first week of release.

Katy Perry's new single “Roar” marks a career milestone for the pop singer.

The ferocious mid-tempo track, which hit digital retailers at midnight on Aug. 12, has already sold 272,000 digital songs, and “Roar” is on target to move 525,000 in its first week of release, surpassing RobinThicke's “Blurred Lines.”

In addition, “Roar” claims the biggest digital song debut of 2013, surpassing One Direction’s “Best Song Ever,” which tallied 322,000 for the week ending July 28.

The song marks a career best for Perry. Although she hit the ground running just as strongly with her previous album, 2010’s Teenage Dream — a release that would yield five No. 1 singles, a record for a female artist — the biggest digital track from that cycle was “Firework” with 509,000 unit sales for the week ending Dec. 26, 2010. Perry’s biggest digital song debut to date was 2012’s “Part of Me,” which moved 411,000 its first week out, according to Perry’s label, Capitol Music Group.

"Roar" inched onto the Billboard Hot 100 after it leaked on Aug. 10 and is expected to topple Thicke’s "Blurred Lines" from the top spot on next week’s chart, which factors sales and airplay.

It all bodes for a promising start to the Prism rollout. Perry’s third album is slated for release on Oct. 22.

most of the songs sell more on weekend , I think 'Roar' also , so I predict it will be around 550k-600k

[nivekwriter1]

By looking at the pop bars and the data we have now, I think Gaga will debut with 250k - 300k. Remember that her music video will be released on Monday.

[nivekwriter1]

My prediction:

1. Robin (295,000/12) + (230,900,000/7,500) + (6,800,000/450) = 70,481
2. Katy (565,000/12) + (67,000,000/7,500) + (4,000,000/450) = 64,906
3. Gaga (275,000/12) + (33,000,000/7,500) + (6,500,000/450) = 41,761
4. Miley (144,000/12) + (51,000,000/7,500) + (7,150,000/450) = 34,689

Remember that Applause will go for adds on August the 19th, so her radio updates
should be better next week.

[damazz09]

did Billboard or Paul make a statement about the last time the top 10 being static? I really can't remember the last time the top ten did not move at all.

[#Joseph.T]

1. ROBIN THICKE – Blurred Lines f/Pharrell & T.I: 282.632 (+ 0.544)
2. IMAGINE DRAGONS – Radioactive: 152.111 (- 0.413)
3. MAROON 5 – Love Somebody: 150.591 (- 0.559)
4. DAFT PUNK – Get Lucky: 141.507 (- 2.552)
5. BRUNO MARS – Treasure: 137.788 (+ 0.350)
6. ZEDD – Clarity f/Foxes: 125.174 (+ 0.395)
7. ANNA KENDRICK – Cups (Pitch Perfect’s When…: 111.755 (+ 0.445)
8. JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE – Mirrors: 108.164 (- 2.277)
9. MACKLEMORE & RYAN LEWIS – Same Love f/Mary Lambert: 106.870 (+ 0.863)
10. CAPITAL CITIES – Safe And Sound: 104.548 (+ 1.615)
11. CALVIN HARRIS F/ELLIE GOULDING – I Need Your Love: 90.923 (- 1.129)
12. JASON DERULO – The Other Side: 86.830 (- 2.091)
13. MACKLEMORE & RYAN LEWIS – Can’t Hold Us f/Ray Dalton: 79.012 (- 1.936)
14. JAY Z – Holy Grail f/Justin Timberlake: 78.764 (+ 1.494)
15. PINK – Just Give Me A Reason: 74.171 (- 1.113)
16. PHILLIP PHILLIPS – Gone, Gone, Gone: 73.029 (+ 0.283)
17. KATY PERRY – Roar: 69.645 (+ 10.727) ▲
18. BRETT ELDREDGE – Don’t Ya: 66.554 (+ 0.513) ▼
19. JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE – Take Back The Night: 64.428 (- 0.283) ▼
20. RANDY HOUSER – Runnin’ Outta Moonlight: 62.246 (- 1.161) ▼

RIHANNA – Stay f/Mikky Ekko: 61.891 (- 0.511)
KEITH URBAN – Little Bit Of Everything: 60.519 (+ 0.044)
MILEY CYRUS – We Can’t Stop: 59.816 (+ 0.328)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD – See You Again: 59.803 (+ 0.365)
LANA DEL REY – Summertime Sadness: 57.350 (+ 2.001)
EASTON CORBIN – All Over The Road: 54.979 (+ 0.997)
FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE – Round Here: 49.956 (+ 0.852)
J. COLE – Crooked Smile f/TLC: 48.931 (+ 0.637)
KENNY CHESNEY – When I See This Bar: 35.774 (- 0.127)
TAYLOR SWIFT – Everything Has …f/Ed Sheeran: 31.189 (+ 0.261)
PINK – True Love f/Lily Allen: 30.959 (+ 0.309)
LADY GAGA – Applause: 30.191 (+ 5.371)
DRAKE – Hold On We’re Going Home: 27.691 (+ 1.882)
AVICII – Wake Me Up: 24.759 (+ 1.992)
LORDE – Royals: 24.687 (+ 1.250)
PARAMORE – Still Into You: 23.758 (+ 0.294)
ENRIQUE IGLESIAS – Turn The Night Up: 23.077 (+ 0.217)
ONE DIRECTION – Best Song Ever: 22.522 (+ 0.146)
IMAGINE DRAGONS – Demons: 13.003
FLO RIDA – Can’t Believe It f/Pitbull: 10.223 (+ 0.203)
PASSENGER – Let Her Go: 9.596 (+ 0.182)
BASTILLE – Pompeii: 6.158 (+ 0.239)
ARIANA GRANDE – Baby I: 4.387
SELENA GOMEZ – Slow Down: 2.476 (+ 0.235)
EMINEM – Survival: 0.837
THE WANTED – We Own The Night: 0.557
AVRIL LAVIGNE – Rock N Roll: 0.011
JESSE MCCARTNEY – Back Together: (-)

[Deleted]

Aug 16, 2013 6:32:14 GMT -5 damazz09 said:

did Billboard or Paul make a statement about the last time the top 10 being static? I really can't remember the last time the top ten did not move at all.

Last year around April when Starships, Gotye, Payphone etc were charting, I think there was a static week or two.

[markb]

My Prediction Again: Roar: (570,000/12) + (75,000,000/7,500) + (5,800,000/450)= 70.389
Blurred Lines: (290,000/12) + (230,000,000/7,500) + (6,500,000/450)= 69.279
It all depends of Streaming!!!

[Deleted]

Aug 16, 2013 2:25:20 GMT -5 nivekwriter1 said:

By looking at the pop bars and the data we have now, I think Gaga will debut with 250k - 300k. Remember that her music video will be released on Monday.

Her music video being released on Monday will have no bearing on her sales for next week's chart.

[Deleted]

Is "survival" eminem's 8th studio album's first single?

[Daniel Collins]

Aug 16, 2013 6:51:21 GMT -5 Codex said:

Aug 16, 2013 6:32:14 GMT -5 damazz09 said:

did Billboard or Paul make a statement about the last time the top 10 being static? I really can't remember the last time the top ten did not move at all.

Last year around April when Starships, Gotye, Payphone etc were charting, I think there was a static week or two.

"The songs at Nos. 1 through 9, in fact, remain stationary on the Hot 100. It's the first time that the top nine have remained in the same order in consecutive weeks since the entire top 10 repeated their ranks on the chart dated Jan. 10. 2004."

www.billboard.com/articles/news/485449/phillip-phillips-storms-hot-100s-top-10-gotye-has-years-longest-running-no-1

EDIT: This also occurred in the middle of Billie Jeans reign at #1 (April 2nd, 1983). The entire Top 11 was static that week. Another instance was on the chart dated August 19th, 1978. That week holds the record because the Top 14 didn't move at all.

[HolidayGuy]

^Ent. Weekly reports that it will appear on the new album, but it's from the Call of Duty: Ghosts soundtrack.

[jayhawk1117]

Aug 16, 2013 7:21:00 GMT -5 markb said:

My Prediction Again: Roar: (570,000/12) + (75,000,000/7,500) + (5,800,000/450)= 70.389
Blurred Lines: (290,000/12) + (230,000,000/7,500) + (6,500,000/450)= 69.279
It all depends of Streaming!!!

Since Katy is such a worldwide star that her streaming would only be that high is if the video has 11M views

[Enigma.]

Roar has 9.2m and Applause 10.1m now

[colson]

^Do both music videos debut next week?

[Enigma.]

I think the Roar video was shot last weekend so it could premiere next week but that's quite tight schedule.

[KeepDeanWeird]

Aug 16, 2013 8:11:23 GMT -5 jayhawk1117 said:

Aug 16, 2013 7:21:00 GMT -5 markb said:

My Prediction Again: Roar: (570,000/12) + (75,000,000/7,500) + (5,800,000/450)= 70.389
Blurred Lines: (290,000/12) + (230,000,000/7,500) + (6,500,000/450)= 69.279
It all depends of Streaming!!!

Since Katy is such a worldwide star that her streaming would only be that high is if the video has 11M views

Only US streaming counting for Billboard, so being a WW star is irrelevant for chart purposes.

[#Joseph.T]

Aug 16, 2013 8:28:10 GMT -5 colson said:

^Do both music videos debut next week?

I think it will release on the end of August or the beginning of September or maybe 1 month after

[jma]

Eminem??

[Kris]

Roar will be top 10 next week, wow.

[ss8]

def. eagerly awaiting BBs predictions for where Roar will land next week. They prob. already know lol. Still...Im sure any moment now theyre going post some serious 'hint hints' to what we're looking at next week.

[RadioBeatz]

Even if Katy jumps to #2 this week, I know she'll hit #1 in the long run.

Just look at that insane update with so much to grow. :'(

[Az Paynter]

If Katy's only just shot her video last week (and I know she has, I saw the BTS pictures) then I highly doubt we'll be seeing it any time this month. I say early September at the earliest, we'll get it, unless they're working overtime to rush it out there.

[Deleted]

She'll probably hit #1 the week of the video released when she's top 5 on airplay. I see a chart run similar to California Gurls.