Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 16, 2015 10:31:05 GMT -5
Also, with the Ariana remix of What Do You Mean coming out tomorrow, should help the song. Just after The Hills releasing two new remixes lol soooo... as it turns out, the WDYM remix is a "pre-order only" track, so it won't be counting toward the charts. at least not this week.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 16, 2015 10:44:01 GMT -5
"Levels" and "Love Myself" are looking like they are about fully cooked at radio. That's too bad for Nick, especially. Better get that next single ready, buddy, cuz your lead single wasn't a smasher.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 16, 2015 11:52:28 GMT -5
guess no one wants to answer my question, oh well
Also I think How Deep Is Your Love is at or near its peak right now too. Also, Brocolli, watch out for Alessa Caras Here, its gaining fast, could maybe be able to sneak in on Year End
Also regarding Planes, it could still possibly gain, so that song also has a chance to reach year end.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 16, 2015 21:25:56 GMT -5
if anyone is interested in buying a copy Joel Whitburn's Billboard Pop Singles 1955-2012 hardcover book, i have a coupon email to order it for $30 off (making it only $49.99). send me a PM with your email and i'll forward the coupon to you. it's a great book!!
Mind you, i'm sure this means there's a new edition coming out.. but still worth the price.
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85la
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Post by 85la on Oct 17, 2015 12:13:42 GMT -5
guess no one wants to answer my question, oh well Also I think How Deep Is Your Love is at or near its peak right now too. Also, Brocolli, watch out for Alessa Caras Here, its gaining fast, could maybe be able to sneak in on Year End Also regarding Planes, it could still possibly gain, so that song also has a chance to reach year end. Honestly I haven't listened to a whole lot of country in the last couple years (I'm assuming many of us haven't). I used to listen to a fair amount before, and I am a moderate fan of the genre. I'm sure I'd like many of the songs you named, just too lazy to listen to them all now lol!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 17, 2015 13:36:27 GMT -5
Wait what??? How is Watch Me #8? I really hope that's not accurate...there's no way it's higher than Cheerleader
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 17, 2015 14:15:11 GMT -5
guess no one wants to answer my question, oh well Also I think How Deep Is Your Love is at or near its peak right now too. Also, Brocolli, watch out for Alessa Caras Here, its gaining fast, could maybe be able to sneak in on Year End Also regarding Planes, it could still possibly gain, so that song also has a chance to reach year end. unless "Planes" starts going up in position, it probably won't make the list, "Here" probably won't make it, at this point I think it's too late for the song to make an impact, it would probably have to be in the top 10 by the end of the year to get in, otherwise, it'll have to wait until next year, there's a chance but it's very slim. "How Deep Is Your Love" has the best chance out of those of making it, but if it doesn't keep going up, it may not make it, is not doing too well on iTunes, and Airplay hasn't been too much, so we'll see what happens.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 17, 2015 14:32:01 GMT -5
Wait what??? How is Watch Me #8? I really hope that's not accurate...there's no way it's higher than Cheerleader I think you're probably looking at my *hypothetical chart* which is if the next 5 weeks were frozen on the Hot 100. this week's actual update (WEEK 47) was posted prior to this, and Cheerleader is still ahead of Watch Me as of this week. Watch Me benefitted greatly in this hypothetical because it had a big point boost this week from the viral video... so as my post stated, it's not going to be accurate, it's just for fun.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 17, 2015 14:56:36 GMT -5
Need to catch up on my predictions...
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THINKIN BOUT YOU
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Post by THINKIN BOUT YOU on Oct 17, 2015 16:28:32 GMT -5
Wait what??? How is Watch Me #8? I really hope that's not accurate...there's no way it's higher than Cheerleader You really need to work on close reading, hon...
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 17, 2015 16:43:23 GMT -5
guess no one wants to answer my question, oh well Also I think How Deep Is Your Love is at or near its peak right now too. Also, Brocolli, watch out for Alessa Caras Here, its gaining fast, could maybe be able to sneak in on Year End Also regarding Planes, it could still possibly gain, so that song also has a chance to reach year end. unless "Planes" starts going up in position, it probably won't make the list, "Here" probably won't make it, at this point I think it's too late for the song to make an impact, it would probably have to be in the top 10 by the end of the year to get in, otherwise, it'll have to wait until next year, there's a chance but it's very slim. "How Deep Is Your Love" has the best chance out of those of making it, but if it doesn't keep going up, it may not make it, is not doing too well on iTunes, and Airplay hasn't been too much, so we'll see what happens. my hypothetical chart post this week shows that "planes" has a shot if it were to maintain or make gains for the rest of year... HOWEVER... looking at the radio updates today... it's dropping at urban and rhythmic... sales aren't substantial enough to matter.... so it could fall off the Hot 100 this week, given it's #49 and will be recurrent if it drops below #50 without a bullet. "here" has remote potential at this point, but it's barely bubbling under (just making the top 200) as of this week. unless it makes bigger and bigger gains for the remaining 5 weeks, it's simply too far behind to catch up. currently it would need to more than double it's cumulative points to just barely make it in.... and that's not even accounting for how the #100 point threshold gets higher each week. it needs to SMASH, and quickly. i wouldn't count on this making it unless something big happens in the coming weeks. anything is possible! "how deep is your love" is one i've had my eye on as i've stated several times, and while it might end up coming close, it's not looking to make it at this point without some decent weekly gains. it wound up just outside the top 100 in my hypothetical chart. anyway, still a nice showing for this type of song without a big name featured artist. not as good as a couple other club/dance songs like Lean On and You Know You Like It, but still good for a house track. i love it.
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Dylan :)
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Post by Dylan :) on Oct 17, 2015 17:55:42 GMT -5
I think it would be better if Here didn't start smashing until four or five weeks time. I'd prefer it using those points to rank high on the 2016 charts, then waste them barely scraping the 2015 chart
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 17, 2015 23:27:06 GMT -5
Is there any chance Shut Up and Dance can surpass Sugar for Number 5?
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Mr. Thonk Eyes
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Post by Mr. Thonk Eyes on Oct 17, 2015 23:32:47 GMT -5
Is there any chance Shut Up and Dance can surpass Sugar for Number 5? Based on what broccoli has said, it's very unlikely. Such a shame too, as before Trap Queen became as huge as it did and See You Again showed up, I was thinking/hoping it would become a Radioactive type smash with incredible longevity and finish in the top 3 in the final list, but since it obviously isn't finishing in the top 3 now, I would like to see it sneak into #5 at least. I feel like Shut Up and Dance would have an excellent chance at #5 if Billboard used a different tracking period for the 2015 Year End Chart though, such as 12/27/2014 to 12/19/2015.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 18, 2015 0:36:50 GMT -5
if Flex reaches top 50, will it be the lowest ranking song to ever reach top 50?
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Dylan :)
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Post by Dylan :) on Oct 18, 2015 5:26:53 GMT -5
if Flex reaches top 50, will it be the lowest ranking song to ever reach top 50? This was just discussed a page or so back.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 18, 2015 9:42:41 GMT -5
if Flex reaches top 50, will it be the lowest ranking song to ever reach top 50? This was just discussed a page or so back. I saw it regarding top 100, didnt see regarding top 50
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Dylan :)
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Post by Dylan :) on Oct 18, 2015 10:05:08 GMT -5
This was just discussed a page or so back. I saw it regarding top 100, didnt see regarding top 50 Oh, sorry, I didn't read your post right
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Zach
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Post by Zach on Oct 18, 2015 10:34:20 GMT -5
Words can't express how much I'd love for SUAD to end up above Sugar. I like Sugar but SUAD . Too bad that doesn't seem too likely.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 18, 2015 15:37:11 GMT -5
Words can't express how much I'd love for SUAD to end up above Sugar. I like Sugar but SUAD . Too bad that doesn't seem too likely. yeah... probably not. BUT... if Sugar fell off this week and SUAD got a little viral boost or something or at least maintained its current weekly points for the rest of the year... then maybe. it needs over 60k to catch up. just wanted to give you a little bit of hope. glass half full. :)
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bccole
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Post by bccole on Oct 18, 2015 16:45:06 GMT -5
Someone asked for this last night, so I thought I'd share it. This is weeks for the Calendar Year and not the Chart Year though. It comes from someone on ATRL.
28 Uptown Funk (31 overall) 25 Trap Queen 22 Thinking Out Loud (23 overall) 21 Sugar 19 See You Again 18 Earned It (Fifty Shades Of Grey) & Shut Up And Dance 16 Cheerleader & Can't Feel My Face & Watch Me 15 Love Me Like You Do 13 Bad Blood 12 Take Me To Church (20 overall) & Blank Space (17 overall) 10 Lips Are Movin (12 overall) & Lean On & Good For You & The Hills 9 I'm Not The Only One (14 overall) & FourFiveSeconds & Style & Want To Want Me & Fight Song 8 Hey Mama & 679 7 Jealous (10 overall) & Shake It Off (24 overall) & G.D.F.R. & Locked Away 6 What Do You Mean? 5 All About That Bass (25 overall) 4 Time Of Our Lives & Nasty Freestyle & My Way & Hotline Bling 3 Animals (14 overall) & Honey I'm Good & Where Are U Now & Wildest Dreams 2 Love Me Harder (7 overall) & Centuries & Somebody & Stitches 1 Lay Me Down & Drag Me Down & Photograph
And yes, I've been away for a while. I had a neck operation. I'm shocked SYA has stalled out in the upper part of the 20s, so it should stay on the Hot 100 through the end of the chart year. I think TOL will too though.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 18, 2015 16:48:08 GMT -5
Someone asked for this last night, so I thought I'd share it. This is weeks for the Calendar Year and not the Chart Year though. It comes from someone on ATRL. 28 Uptown Funk (31 overall) 25 Trap Queen 22 Thinking Out Loud (23 overall) 21 Sugar 19 See You Again 18 Earned It (Fifty Shades Of Grey) & Shut Up And Dance 16 Cheerleader & Can't Feel My Face & Watch Me 15 Love Me Like You Do 13 Bad Blood 12 Take Me To Church (20 overall) & Blank Space (17 overall) 10 Lips Are Movin (12 overall) & Lean On & Good For You & The Hills 9 I'm Not The Only One (14 overall) & FourFiveSeconds & Style & Want To Want Me & Fight Song 8 Hey Mama & 679 7 Jealous (10 overall) & Shake It Off (24 overall) & G.D.F.R. & Locked Away 6 What Do You Mean? 5 All About That Bass (25 overall) 4 Time Of Our Lives & Nasty Freestyle & My Way & Hotline Bling 3 Animals (14 overall) & Honey I'm Good & Where Are U Now & Wildest Dreams 2 Love Me Harder (7 overall) & Centuries & Somebody & Stitches 1 Lay Me Down & Drag Me Down & Photograph And yes, I've been away for a while. I had a neck operation. I'm shocked SYA has stalled out in the upper part of the 20s, so it should stay on the Hot 100 through the end of the chart year. I think TOL will too though. Feels like this year hasn't had as many songs reaching top ten as previous years...makes sense since there hasn't been much action in the top ten this year compared to previous years
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Dylan :)
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Post by Dylan :) on Oct 18, 2015 17:43:52 GMT -5
Songs don't seem to be peaking as high, or spending as long in the top 10, but that is just from a glance, I'm not sure of the exact numbers compared. We shall see in a few weeks!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 20, 2015 8:32:31 GMT -5
Early top 20 final prediction. Cheerleader and Watch Me are gonna be close... and The Hills could swap with CFMF. But that's really all I can see changing, on my list anyway. 679 could possibly sneak in at #20 if it makes big gains... but that's reaching.
01 UPTOWN FUNK - MARK RONSON F/ BRUNO MARS (1) 02 THINKING OUT LOUD - ED SHEERAN (2) 03 SEE YOU AGAIN - WIZ KHALIFA F/ CHARLIE PUTH (1) 04 TRAP QUEEN - FETTY WAP (2) 05 SUGAR - MAROON 5 (2) 06 SHUT UP AND DANCE - WALK THE MOON (4) 07 BLANK SPACE - TAYLOR SWIFT (1) 08 WATCH ME - SILENTO (3) 09 CHEERLEADER - OMI (1) 10 EARNED IT - THE WEEKND (3)
11 CAN'T FEEL MY FACE - THE WEEKND (1) 12 THE HILLS - THE WEEKND (1) 13 TAKE ME TO CHURCH - HOZIER (2) 14 LOVE ME LIKE YOU DO - ELLIE GOULDING (3) 15 BAD BLOOD - TAYLOR SWIFT (1) 16 LEAN ON - MAJOR LAZER X DJ SNAKE F/ M0 (4) 17 SHAKE IT OFF - TAYLOR SWIFT (1)* 18 WANT TO WANT ME - JASON DERULO (5) 19 LIPS ARE MOVIN' - MEGHAN TRAINOR (4) 20 I'M NOT THE ONLY ONE - SAM SMITH (5)
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 20, 2015 9:58:09 GMT -5
Like I'm Gonna Lose You is a lock in 2 weeks.
These songs aren't totally out of the question IF they make some nice healthy gains each week:
Where Ya At Back To Back How Deep Is Your Love Jumpman Here Strip It Down
4 more weeks! AHHHHHHHH!!!!!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 20, 2015 11:11:56 GMT -5
Theres a chance The Weeknd will possibly end up having 3 songs in a row then on Hot 100? Also on my predictions I think I may have Shut Up and Dance over Sugar, we will see.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 20, 2015 11:20:34 GMT -5
Theres a chance The Weeknd will possibly end up having 3 songs in a row then on Hot 100? Also on my predictions I think I may have Shut Up and Dance over Sugar, we will see. I only see SUAD moving ahead of Sugar if Sugar falls off next week and SUAD maintains its points for the next 4 weeks. With Sugar continuing to rack up points, it's like another Thinking Out Loud over See You Again situation. The latter can't catch up. This is according to my point estimations, of course. Maybe I'm way off tho. We'll see. And yeah, I see The Weeknd at 10, 11 and 12 this year.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 20, 2015 11:40:40 GMT -5
I think "Back To Back" is a lock at this point, at least for the official list, and out of all of those, I think "Where Ya At" will be the only one that makes it in, I think it's too late for the others and I'm not sold on "How Deep Is Your Love". I think WYA will keep going up because it's gaining on urban radio and the popularity of both artists will keep getting that song up in position and points.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 20, 2015 11:52:13 GMT -5
I think "Back To Back" is a lock at this point, at least for the official list, and out of all of those, I think "Where Ya At" will be the only one that makes it in, I think it's too late for the others and I'm not sold on "How Deep Is Your Love". I think WYA will keep going up because it's gaining on urban radio and the popularity of both artists will keep getting that song up in position and points. I came up with the list by replicating this week's points for the remainder of the year. They all fell outside of the top 100... BTB and WYA just missed it. My logic for the list is that they are all within striking distance as is, so if they can manage to up their game a bit... they all have varying degrees of a shot at it. Some obviously better chances than others. I don't think they'll all make it in either, but I'm leaving the door open for them all to work some magic. They are the last of the already existing possibilities, basically. That said, it's still also mathematically possible for a song to be released this Friday (or even next Friday) and SLAY for a few weeks and make the top 100. Not likely, but not impossible. I won't mention any names....
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Zach
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Post by Zach on Oct 20, 2015 12:08:14 GMT -5
*cheerleads for SUAD to reach top 5*
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