inverse
2x Platinum Member
Your mind is in disturbia...
Joined: December 2015
Posts: 2,095
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Post by inverse on Nov 2, 2016 18:40:51 GMT -5
Glad to have you back! Not sure if you were reading but the thread pretty much fell apart after 1 day delay lol, people were asking if you were dead and stuffs
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Post by georgetherunner314 on Nov 2, 2016 19:20:52 GMT -5
WEEK 50 (November 12, 2016)2 weeks to go! Notes/Analysis: - With the entry of Side To Side, Tiimmy Turner and Starving appear to be the only songs left that will also make the year-end chart.
- Panda has been falling pretty quickly, as of late, so we'll see if Stressed Out can stay ahead (very unlikely). Next week, Panda would be right around Stressed Out's point value meaning that leaving soon could play a part in their "face off."
- CSTF! and Closer are looking to be the #9 and #10 finishers at the moment, imo. Cheap Thrills and 7 Years will be close for 11 and 12.
- Needed Me is likely to sneak in at #13 on my predictions while My House, ITAPII, and Work From Home are very tight for 14-16.
- Ride and Heathens are actually going to finish very close to one another at 20 and 21. 21P looks secure to have the #21 song.
- It'll be tough for Same Old Love to finish at #42 with the current point gap I have between itself and LIGLY. It can still be passed by Controlla, Broccoli and IHU,ILU but that wouldn't be enough.
Legend:
Blue = Actively charting in the hot 100's top 10.
Bold = Actively charting on the hot 100.
* = Reached its highest peak in a separate time period.
   
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scrohr424
Gold Member
Joined: May 2016
Posts: 756 
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Post by scrohr424 on Nov 2, 2016 19:28:13 GMT -5
Alright! So now that that’s taken care of, as I was going to say… Here I may be kinda thinking a bit to the future, but what songs that will end up here do we think will make 2017’s Year-End list, too? Of the songs that are currently on the Hot 100 that are set for 2016’s list…
Will definitely make next year’s list: Let’s see… Closer, Starboy and Heathens will all make it for sure (Heathens is still holding very well, even though it’ll probably peak on airplay soon it still has great momentum, and will gain more when it gets spun by the radio stations at the end of the year - more on that in a bit). The two Bieber tracks, Cold Water and Let Me Love You, should make it unless they leave the Top 10 like next week and have a huge collapse, which I doubt they will. Broccoli and Side To Side should make it too. And I Hate U, I Love U has been a sleeper hit, and seeing as it re-entered the Top 10 this week it could stick around.
No chance: Panda, Needed Me, Ride, Send My Love (To Your New Lover), Too Good, Controlla, Into You, We Don’t Talk Anymore, Sucker For Pain, Hymn For The Weekend, LUV, Sit Still, Look Pretty, Tiimmy Turner and No Limit. Most of these are falling and will be out before long.
Possibly: First we have the massive smashes that are still here. One Dance has some streaming to save it, but that will only get it so far, especially with no YouTube. Don’t Let Me Down, Can’t Stop the Feeling!, and Cheap Thrills, while all losing in everything, if they don’t leave before the end of the year, could gain last minute boosts from the radio stations that will be playing them for their own year-end lists (and CSTF has the Trolls release very soon, although that’ll be the final week of this year). This Is What You Came For is in the same boat, but I wish it would drop harder already and not make Decade-End. Treat You Better and Gold are both still decently high, so they could make it again as well. So is Starving, although that one is newer than those two so its stability may be more likely to not fall apart. Unsteady has been dropping slowly and could become a sleeper hit and then make this one too, but it’s doubtful.
What do you guys think? How accurate would you say these predictions are? Thanks!
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Nov 2, 2016 19:28:39 GMT -5
Happy to see Queen Ari get 3 entries on here, love all 3
I really hope Starving makes the cut
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Nov 2, 2016 19:35:11 GMT -5
Odds of Chill Bill being like White Iverson for 2017? in terms of chart run? I love that song a lot and hope it can make year end 2017.
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johnny16
Charting
Joined: September 2016
Posts: 44
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Post by johnny16 on Nov 3, 2016 1:51:01 GMT -5
very tight race between dont let me down and hello
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Post by kcdawg13 on Nov 3, 2016 3:34:18 GMT -5
Needed Me is still holding on. 39 weeks and going strong. It'll most likely pass Love Yourself and become the longest running song of the year (it'll tie it chart-year wise having only 2 weeks left, leaving both at 41). I'm guessing Needed Me is the longest-running song on the Hot 100 to not peak in the Top 5. Someone correct me if I am wrong.
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Sambalada
8x Platinum Member
Founder of Rankdown ca. 2016
Mmmmmmmm....
Joined: June 2016
Posts: 8,749
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Post by Sambalada on Nov 3, 2016 4:30:42 GMT -5
^ nope, it's not. BHC esists
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Post by bluepotato on Nov 3, 2016 5:21:19 GMT -5
Needed Me is still holding on. 39 weeks and going strong. It'll most likely pass Love Yourself and become the longest running song of the year (it'll tie it chart-year wise having only 2 weeks left, leaving both at 41). I'm guessing Needed Me is the longest-running song on the Hot 100 to not peak in the Top 5. Someone correct me if I am wrong. Sail,I'm yours,demons, and (as of now) cake by the ocean all have more weeks. |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Nov 3, 2016 7:18:02 GMT -5
Needed Me is still holding on. 39 weeks and going strong. It'll most likely pass Love Yourself and become the longest running song of the year (it'll tie it chart-year wise having only 2 weeks left, leaving both at 41). I'm guessing Needed Me is the longest-running song on the Hot 100 to not peak in the Top 5. Someone correct me if I am wrong. Sail,I'm yours,demons, and (as of now) cake by the ocean all have more weeks. there was also Where Are U Now with 45 weeks |
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Post by 54generation on Nov 3, 2016 9:54:27 GMT -5
Now that we're getting "Closer" to see the year end chart in the official Billboard website...
Here are some of my predictions.
1 What Do You Mean can be 33 this year too? There might still be a chance?! But I'm not entirely sure, it'll probably end up in 32 instead :/
2 Same Old Love = 42? Nah. It'll probably end up in the 39-41 range.
3 "Closer" will probably miss the top 10 by like 1-2 spots. I predict it will end up in 13.
4 "Low Life" might be 30 in the year end.
5 NO will be in top 45
6 Gold will not enter top 50
7 Sucker For Pain, Unsteady and Hymn For The Weekend will end up in 3 consecutive positions.
8 LUV ended up right below/above Say It
9 The cut off song is Somewhere on a beach
10 Timmy Turner and Starving will replace positions 99 and 100 on the prediction year end chart currently. (in the end)
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Leo ✔
Diamond Member
Julia Michaels Stan
Happy happy happy ♪
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Posts: 75,485
My Charts
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Post by Leo ✔ on Nov 3, 2016 9:55:18 GMT -5
I really hope Starving can made YE Chart
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Nov 3, 2016 9:58:18 GMT -5
54generation no way Closer is 13, it is still number 1 and gaining by a lot, it could be 9th, and some people are even thinking that it could pass Hello and DLMD for 7th.
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Post by chicken077 on Nov 3, 2016 10:00:04 GMT -5
I really hope Starving can made YE Chart pretty sure Starving is set to make this years YE chart as it's almost top 10 and very close to the current top 100 (just over 10k off, and it's scoring well in the 10 range per week given it's close to top 10 status). I just hope it makes next year's YE as well... It kinda reminds me of Here last year so hopefully it gets a similar, if not better, run |
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scrohr424
Gold Member
Joined: May 2016
Posts: 756
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Post by scrohr424 on Nov 3, 2016 10:24:26 GMT -5
Also, totally random, but four country songs just entered the Top 10 on iTunes, supposedly as a result of the Country Music Awards last night (I didn't watch it; I watched the World Series finale) - My Church, Humble and Kind, Vice, and Die A Happy Man.
I highly doubt that'd be enough to get any of them back on the Hot 100 for the final week of the year, but I thought that craziness is definitely worth mentioning.
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inverse
2x Platinum Member
Your mind is in disturbia...
Joined: December 2015
Posts: 2,095
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Post by inverse on Nov 3, 2016 12:26:55 GMT -5
No way for Let Me Love You to pass Same Old Love?
In any case, maybe there was a mistake or something. I know you're not supposed to hope for mistakes but anything to keep Same Old Love at 42. (desperate)
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arthurne23
Bubbling Under
Joined: May 2016
Posts: 8
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Post by arthurne23 on Nov 3, 2016 15:08:55 GMT -5
[/quote]Damn it! Stand By You was so close :'( hope it can make my Year End chart; It is 41 as of yesterday, according to a website I use. Well, at least i hate u i love u and Lost Boy are making it for sure  |
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johnny16
Charting
Joined: September 2016
Posts: 44
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Post by johnny16 on Nov 3, 2016 15:35:31 GMT -5
Also, totally random, but four country songs just entered the Top 10 on iTunes, supposedly as a result of the Country Music Awards last night (I didn't watch it; I watched the World Series finale) - My Church, Humble and Kind, Vice, and Die A Happy Man. I highly doubt that'd be enough to get any of them back on the Hot 100 for the final week of the year, but I thought that craziness is definitely worth mentioning. peter pan needs that so bad, it was so close to make it |
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Raccoon
Platinum Member
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Posts: 1,950
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Post by Raccoon on Nov 3, 2016 19:57:17 GMT -5
Damn it! Stand By You was so close :'( hope it can make my Year End chart; It is 41 as of yesterday, according to a website I use. Well, at least i hate u i love u and Lost Boy are making it for sure [/quote] can you explain your year end chart to me? I'm intrigued |
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atg
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Joined: April 2016
Posts: 3,004
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Post by atg on Nov 3, 2016 20:27:21 GMT -5
So love yourself is #1 confirmed
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Post by truemusicreviews on Nov 4, 2016 0:21:39 GMT -5
"Can't Stop The Feeling" is also attached to the new Trolls movie. Although the movie should impact "Can't Stop The Feeling" in the last week of 2016, it still could give it enough momentum to make the 2017 list.
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arthurne23
Bubbling Under
Joined: May 2016
Posts: 8
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Post by arthurne23 on Nov 4, 2016 5:58:16 GMT -5
Damn it! Stand By You was so close :'( hope it can make my Year End chart; It is 41 as of yesterday, according to a website I use. Well, at least i hate u i love u and Lost Boy are making it for sure can you explain your year end chart to me? I'm intrigued [/quote] My Year End Chart is the one Spotify offers you in early December. It's called Year In Music. It is currently offline because Spotify staff is getting things ready for 2016. As for the position I mentioned, I also use a site called SmarterPlaylists so I can have a look at my 50 most played tracks of the year. The only reason I do not trust this website 100% is because I started using it in April, meaning it does not have data for the first three mouths of 2016. I also have a last.fm account, but I started using it in May (I had it since December 2015, but only connected it to Spotify in May  ), so this one is even less trustwhorthy. |
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Post by kcdawg13 on Nov 4, 2016 9:25:32 GMT -5
I joined Pulse in May. I wasn't here at the beginning of the year, so I don't know what normally goes on.
What happens after a year wraps up? I'm guessing the points reset.
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Dylan :)
Diamond Member
smth 'bout youu
Joined: October 2014
Posts: 13,035
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Post by Dylan :) on Nov 4, 2016 10:44:21 GMT -5
I joined Pulse in May. I wasn't here at the beginning of the year, so I don't know what normally goes on. What happens after a year wraps up? I'm guessing the points reset. The points going towards this year's chart are gathered from all the points songs got from the first chart week of December 2015 to the last week of this month. Next year's chart will do the same but instead combine all the points from the first week of December 2016 until the last week of November 2017 and so on :) |
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jtd Thee Stallion
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Meet Me @ The Altar Fan Account
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Post by jtd Thee Stallion on Nov 4, 2016 10:55:23 GMT -5
I think Black Beatles is almost a lock to make it next year..
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2016 11:08:47 GMT -5
I think Black Beatles is almost a lock to make it next year.. What about Chill Bill? |
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Harx
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Post by Harx on Nov 4, 2016 11:36:48 GMT -5
"Love Yourself" is pretty much set to be 2016 Year End #1. It also happens to be one of my least favorite songs of the year. Seriously, there haven't been a Year End #1 song that I'd dislike this much since 1991's "Everything I Do" by Bryan Adams.
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Zach
7x Platinum Member
And at once I knew I was not magnificent...
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Post by Zach on Nov 4, 2016 14:17:51 GMT -5
"Love Yourself" is pretty much set to be 2016 Year End #1. It also happens to be one of my least favorite songs of the year. Seriously, there haven't been a Year End #1 song that I'd dislike this much since 1991's "Everything I Do" by Bryan Adams. For me it isn't that I dislike Love Yourself, it's just that it seems like such a nonevent in the grand scheme compared to songs like Uptown Funk, Happy, Thrift Shop, Somebody That I Used to Know, Rolling in the Deep, etc. Year-end #1s usually just usually seem so MASSIVE to me, and Love Yourself doesn't. |
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Harx
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Joined: August 2016
Posts: 5,049
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Post by Harx on Nov 4, 2016 14:29:45 GMT -5
"Love Yourself" is pretty much set to be 2016 Year End #1. It also happens to be one of my least favorite songs of the year. Seriously, there haven't been a Year End #1 song that I'd dislike this much since 1991's "Everything I Do" by Bryan Adams. For me it isn't that I dislike Love Yourself, it's just that it seems like such a nonevent in the grand scheme compared to songs like Uptown Funk, Happy, Thrift Shop, Somebody That I Used to Know, Rolling in the Deep, etc. Year-end #1s usually just usually seem so MASSIVE to me, and Love Yourself doesn't. Technically it wasn't even biggest Bieber hit this year, since "Sorry" spent more weeks at #1. |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
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Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2016 14:33:18 GMT -5
For me it isn't that I dislike Love Yourself, it's just that it seems like such a nonevent in the grand scheme compared to songs like Uptown Funk, Happy, Thrift Shop, Somebody That I Used to Know, Rolling in the Deep, etc. Year-end #1s usually just usually seem so MASSIVE to me, and Love Yourself doesn't. Technically it wasn't even biggest Bieber hit this year, since "Sorry" spent more weeks at #1. Lose Yourself was the biggest hit. It spent 24 weeks in top 10 while Sorry only spent 21. Lose Yourself had a better run than Sorry. |
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), so this one is even less trustwhorthy.
