Hot 100 Year-End Predictions (2019) - Year 6

[johnny16]

versace on the floor is a great song, i hope it becomes a hit, we need music like this in 2017

[phillip12bluelov]

Nov 15, 2016 11:06:11 GMT -5 Raccoon said:

So no chance of black Beatles making the cut?

No, Thank You God, that N1 points loss it will sure bring problems to that song in 2017 year end, I get happy. Don't wanna that one to be 1 next year.

[Leo ✔]

What's happen if Billboard Hot 100 was a personal chart from an user in this forum? And also, if this user uses crownnote.com/ (Yes, a little of promotion isn't bad)

So, I took all the charts an used the formula (given by Kurt) to bring this.

Hot 100 Year End Chart by Crownnote.

[Harx]

^ I wish One Dance took over Love Yourself so bad, but I know it won't happen

[scrohr424]

So yeah. Tonight we'll get a taste of what we're ultimately in for. Then we can start preparing for next year!

Also George, it may seem like a minor thing after all of this, but don't forget to update the Decade-End predictions now that it's been four weeks

[phillip12bluelov]

Nov 15, 2016 17:20:30 GMT -5 Harx said:

^ I wish One Dance took over Love Yourself so bad, but I know it won't happen

No, the number 1 and 2 positions are Justin's. Is that that first time that happens? If it's Justin is really the king.

[johnny16]

Nov 15, 2016 22:59:22 GMT -5 phillip12bluelov said:

Nov 15, 2016 17:20:30 GMT -5 Harx said:

^ I wish One Dance took over Love Yourself so bad, but I know it won't happen

No, the number 1 and 2 positions are Justin's. Is that that first time that happens? If it's Justin is really the king.

usher did it in 2004

[georgetherunner314]

Ladies and gentlemen, I present to you 2016's

FINAL PREDICTIONS

TW	Song	Artist	Points	Weeks	Peak
1	Love Yourself	Justin Bieber	1,038,710	41	1
2	Sorry	Justin Bieber	1,018,450	39	1
3	One Dance	Drake Ft. WizKid & Kyla	997,120	32	1
4	Work	Rihanna Ft. Drake	919,790	36	1
5	Panda	Desiigner	895,520	38	1
6	Stressed Out	Twenty One Pilots	887,030	44	2
7	Don’t Let Me Down	The Chainsmokers Ft. Daya	839,390	39	3
8	Hello	Adele	837,180	23	1
9	Can't Stop The Feeling!	Justin Timberlake	766,910	27	1
10	Closer	The Chainsmokers Ft. Halsey	757,880	15	1
11	Cheap Thrills	Sia Ft. Sean Paul	747,090	39	1
12	7 Years	Lukas Graham	743,150	36	2
13	Needed Me	Rihanna	685,200	41	7
14	My House	Flo Rida	681,610	38	4
15	I Took A Pill In Ibiza	Mike Posner	681,030	37	4
16	Work From Home	Fifth Harmony Ft. Ty Dolla $ign	676,730	34	4
17	This Is What You Came For	Calvin Harris Ft. Rihanna	664,530	28	3
18	Cake By The Ocean	DNCE	619,450	42	9
19	Me, Myself & I	G-Eazy x Bebe Rexha	597,350	35	7
20	Ride	Twenty One Pilots	579,840	35	5
21	Heathens	Twenty One Pilots	578,400	21	2
22	PILLOWTALK	ZAYN	564,850	24	1
23	Stitches	Shawn Mendes	483,310	27	4*
24	Hotline Bling	Drake	469,170	21	2*
25	Cold Water	Major Lazer Ft. Justin Bieber & MØ	462,100	16	2
26	Send My Love (To Your New Lover)	Adele	452,040	26	8
27	Treat You Better	Shawn Mendes	409,000	23	6
28	Roses	The Chainsmokers Ft. ROZES	402,610	27	6
29	Too Good	Drake Ft. Rihanna	400,360	28	14
30	Low Life	Future Ft. The Weeknd	390,580	35	18
31	The Hills	The Weeknd	386,270	23	1*
32	What Do You Mean?	Justin Bieber	378,340	20	1*
33	Broccoli	D.R.A.M. Ft. Lil Yachty	376,350	22	5
34	Just Like Fire	P!NK	372,950	26	10
35	Dangerous Woman	Ariana Grande	362,830	21	8
36	Don’t	Bryson Tiller	361,900	27	13
37	I Hate U I Love U	Gnash Ft. Olivia O’Brien	353,330	30	10
38	Jumpman	Drake & Future	350,090	24	12
39	Here	Alessia Cara	348,230	19	5
40	Same Old Love	Selena Gomez	346,970	19	5
41	Controlla	Drake	341,010	26	16
42	Let Me Love You	DJ Snake Ft. Justin Bieber	334,840	14	4
43	Like I’m Gonna Lose You	Meghan Trainor Ft. John Legend	332,150	20	8
44	One Call Away	Charlie Puth	331,610	26	12
45	Let It Go	James Bay	330,070	34	16
46	NO	Meghan Trainor	329,470	20	3
47	Never Forget You	Zara Larsson & MNEK	328,660	23	13
48	Don't Mind	Kent Jones	320,410	20	8
49	H.O.L.Y.	Florida Georgia Line	316,650	22	14
50	We Don’t Talk Anymore	Charlie Puth Ft. Selena Gomez	312,920	23	9
51	Gold	Kiiara	304,790	25	13
52	Into You	Ariana Grande	303,810	24	13
53	Oui	Jeremih	294,880	27	19
54	679	Fetty Wap Ft. Remy Boyz	294,530	20	4*
55	Starboy	The Weeknd Ft. Daft Punk	290,380	8	2
56	Exchange	Bryson Tiller	288,780	31	26
57	Hands To Myself	Selena Gomez	285,420	20	7
58	2 Phones	Kevin Gates	285,180	25	17
59	For Free	DJ Khaled Ft. Drake	275,670	20	13
60	Never Be Like You	Flume Ft. Kai	264,040	26	20
61	Me Too	Meghan Trainor	261,980	20	13
62	In The Night	The Weeknd	260,440	19	12
63	Ex’s & Oh’s	Elle King	256,120	19	10*
64	Unsteady	X Ambassadors	247,580	26	25
65	White Iverson	Post Malone	246,880	20	14
66	Die A Happy Man	Thomas Rhett	246,490	22	21
67	Close	Nick Jonas Ft. Tove Lo	246,320	20	14
68	Sucker For Pain	Lil Wayne, Wiz Khalifa & Imagine Dragons w/ Logic, Ty Dolla $ign & X Ambassadors	245,510	20	15
69	Down In The DM	Yo Gotti Ft. Nicki Minaj	231,850	21	13
70	LUV	Tory Lanez	229,210	20	19
71	Hymn For The Weekend	Coldplay	229,120	23	25
72	Sorry	Beyonce	224,050	20	11
73	Can’t Feel My Face	The Weeknd	220,020	18	1*
74	Antidote	Travi$ Scott	219,190	16	16
75	Say It	Tory Lanez	218,450	20	23
76	Side To Side	Ariana Grande Ft. Nicki Minaj	217,030	11	6
77	Lost Boy	Ruth B	215,300	22	24
78	Sit Still, Look Pretty	Daya	212,640	24	28
79	Wildest Dreams	Taylor Swift	207,130	15	5*
80	Middle	DJ Snake Ft. Bipolar Sunshine	204,500	21	20
81	On My Mind	Ellie Goulding	203,590	14	13
82	When We Were Young	Adele	200,790	20	14
83	Pop Style	Drake Ft. The Throne	198,060	20	16
84	Hide Away	Daya	193,130	19	23
85	I Know What You Did Last Summer	Shawn Mendes & Camila Cabello	182,110	20	20
86	Lean On	Major Lazer & DJ Snake Ft. MØ	180,810	16	4*
87	All The Way Up	Fat Joe, Remy Ma & Jay Z Ft. French Montana & Infared	174,200	20	27
88	Watch Me	Silento	173,590	13	3*
89	Starving	Hailee Steinfeld & Grey Ft. Zedd	169,060	15	14
90	No Limit	Usher Ft. Young Thug	168,860	20	32
91	All In My Head (Flex)	Fifth Harmony Ft. Fetty Wap	168,460	18	24
92	Really Really	Kevin Gates	166,970	26	46
93	Back To Sleep	Chris Brown Ft. Usher & ZAYN	166,380	20	20
94	Cut It	O.T. Genasis Ft. Young Dolph	164,600	20	35
95	Adventure Of A Lifetime	Coldplay	162,250	19	13
96	Tiimmy Turner	Desiigner	160,920	16	34
97	Humble And Kind	Tim McGraw	158,150	20	30
98	Perfect	One Direction	155,450	16	10*
99	Wicked	Future	153,510	20	41
100	Somewhere On A Beach	Dierks Bentley	151,710	20	35

TW	Song	Artist	Points	Weeks	Peak
101	See You Again	Wiz Khalifa Ft. Charlie Puth	149,490	16	1*
102	Stand By You	Rachel Platten	147,770	19	37
103	Confident	Demi Lovato	147,500	14	21
104	Break Up In A Small Town	Sam Hunt	147,410	14	29
105	Black Beatles	Rae Sremmurd Ft. Gucci Mane	144,530	9	1
106	You Should Be Here	Cole Swindell	144,390	20	31
107	Peter Pan	Kelsea Ballerini	144,220	20	35
108	No Problem	Chance The Rapper Ft. Lil Wayne & 2 Chainz	143,020	25	43
109	Head Over Boots	Jon Pardi	142,950	24	51
110	Setting The World On Fire	Kenny Chesney Ft. P!NK	140,560	15	29
111	Summer Sixteen	Drake	140,510	14	6
112	Came Here To Forget	Blake Shelton	140,210	19	36
113	Wild Things	Alessia Cara	139,430	20	50
114	T-Shirt	Thomas Rhett	139,390	20	41
115	Money Longer	Lil Uzi Vert	137,020	22	54
116	Huntin’, Fishin’ & Lovin’ Every Day	Luke Bryan	136,820	20	37
117	I Got The Keys	DJ Khaled Ft. Jay Z & Future	136,320	17	30
118	My Church	Maren Morris	136,210	20	50
119	THat Part	ScHoolboy Q Ft. Kanye West	135,870	20	40
120	Best Friend	Young Thug	134,390	20	45
121	24K Magic	Bruno Mars	132,730	5	5
122	Father Stretch My Hands Pt. 1	Kanye West	132,090	23	37
123	Different For Girls	Dierks Bentley Ft. Elle King	132,080	20	42
124	Home Alone Tonight	Luke Bryan Ft. Karen Fairchild	131,650	19	38
125	Think Of You	Chris Young Duet w/ Cassadee Pope	131,550	20	40
126	Snapback	Old Dominion	131,550	20	50
127	The Sound Of Silence	Disturbed	130,470	20	42
128	Make You Miss Me	Sam Hunt	128,940	19	45
129	Record Year	Eric Church	128,350	20	44
130	Uber Everywhere	MadeinTYO	124,680	20	51
131	The Greatest	Sia Ft. Kendrick Lamar	124,480	10	19
132	Juju On That Beat (TZ Anthem)	Zayion McCall Ft. Zay Hilfigerrr	120,790	7	8
133	This Girl	Kungs Vs Cookin’ On 3 Burners	120,530	14	26
134	Focus	Ariana Grande	120,320	11	7*
135	Lights Come On	Jason Aldean	120,110	19	43
136	Confession	Florida Georgia LIne	119,090	20	53
137	YOUTH	Troye Sivan	118,780	18	23
138	Chill Bill	Rob $tone Ft. J. Davi$ & Spooks	118,780	15	29
139	Church Bells	Carrie Underwood	116,150	17	43
140	From The Ground Up	Dan + Shay	115,460	16	48
141	You Don’t Own Me	Grace Ft. G-Eazy	114,750	20	57
142	Ooouuu	Young M.a.	113,100	11	19
143	Vice	Miranda Lambert	112,460	17	47
144	Kill Em With Kindness	Selena Gomez	111,530	15	39
145	No Role Modelz	J.Cole	110,760	12	36
146	Again	Fetty Wap	107,740	12	33*
147	Beautiful Drug	Zac Brown Band	107,080	18	52
148	In The Name Of Love	Martin Garrix & Bebe Rexha	106,400	13	31
149	Middle Of A Memory	Cole Swindell	106,130	16	46
150	Locked Away	R.City Ft. Adam Levine	105,820	10	6*
151	Hold Up	Beyonce	105,070	14	13
152	American Country Love Song	Jake Owen	104,730	17	55
153	Come And See Me	PARTYNEXTDOOR Ft. Drake	104,690	19	56
154	Piece By Piece	Kelly Clarkson	104,550	15	8
155	Drunk On Your Love	Brett Eldredge	104,550	15	35
156	Trap Queen	Fetty Wap	104,240	9	2*
157	Wasted Time	Keith Urban	101,300	17	51
158	Sugar	Robin Schulz Ft. Francesco Yates	100,620	15	44
159	Scars To Your Beautiful	Alessia Cara	98,510	11	22
160	Pick Up The Phone	Young Thug & Travis Scott Ft. Quavo	97,310	13	43
161	It Don’t Hurt Like It Used To	Billy Currington	97,240	16	44
162	Light It Up	Major Lazer Ft. Nyla & Fuse ODG	97,150	20	73
163	Caroline	Amine	96,190	10	18
164	My PYT	Wale	95,260	15	54
165	Backroad Song	Granger Smith	95,150	16	49
166	Heartbeat	Carrie Underwood	94,790	14	42
167	Body	Dreezy Ft. Jeremih	93,910	18	62
168	Stay A Little Longer	Brothers Osborne	93,770	14	46
169	Bet You Can’t Do It Like Me	DLOW	92,840	14	45
170	I Like The Sound Of That	Rascal Flatts	92,730	16	52
171	Rise	Katy Perry	92,550	9	11
172	With You Tonight / Hasta El Amanecer	Nicky Jam	92,000	19	73
173	Make Me...	Britney Spears Ft. G-Eazy	90,300	9	17
174	Mind Reader	Dustin Lynch	90,080	16	57
175	Wat U Mean (Aye, Aye, Aye)	Dae Dae	88,980	17	66
176	You Was Right	Lil Uzi Vert	88,790	18	59
177	You & Me	Marc E. Bassy Ft. G-Eazy	88,520	16	58
178	Why You Always Hatin?	YG Ft. Drake & Kamaiyah	88,120	18	62
179	My Way	Calvin Harris	88,040	8	24
180	Don't Wanna Know	Maroon 5 Ft. Kendrick Lamar	87,600	5	9
181	1 Night	Lil Yachty	87,400	14	49
182	Might Not	Belly Ft. The Weeknd	85,790	17	68
183	Do You Mind	DJ Khaled Ft. Nicki Minaj, Chris Brown & August Alsina	85,430	14	39
184	WTF (Where They From)	Missy Elliott Ft. Pharrell Williams	84,850	13	22
185	Back Up	DeJ Loaf Ft. Big Sean	84,630	12	47
186	I’ll Show You	Justin Bieber	83,880	10	19
187	I Love This Life	LoCash	83,760	15	56
188	Blue Ain’t Your Color	Keith Urban	83,140	9	25
189	May We All	Florida Georgia Line Ft. Tim McGraw	82,930	11	30
190	Wake Up	Fetty Wap	81,970	13	50
191	Childs Play	Drake	81,270	14	49
192	Mama Said	Lukas Graham	79,520	11	36
193	Where Ya At	Future Ft. Drake	79,510	8	28*
194	Famous	Kanye West	78,490	14	34
195	The Fix	Nelly Ft. Jeremih	77,940	13	62
196	Nobody To Blame	Chris Stapleton	77,870	15	68
197	Move	Luke Bryan	77,280	12	50
198	Dibs	Kelsea Ballerini	77,140	14	58
199	Big Rings	Drake & Future	76,210	12	57*
200	Acquainted	The Weeknd	75,600	15	70

[jarhys]

It looks like there will be more songs that appear both year-end charts than before.

2015&2016: (13 songs or possibly 14 songs)
#35/#08 Hello - Adele
#36/#23 Stitches - Shawn Mendes
#30/#24 Hotline Bling - Drake
#10/#31 The Hills - The Weeknd
#33/#32 What Do You Mean? - Justin Bieber
#94/#39 Here - Alessia Cara
#76/#44 Like I'm Gonna Lose You - Meghan Trainor ft. John Legend
#21/#54 679 - Fetty Wap Ft. Remy Boyz
#73/#63 Ex’s & Oh’s - Elle King
#12/#73 Can't Feel My Face - The Weeknd
#57/#79 Wildest Dreams - Taylor Swift
#16/#86 Lean On - Major Lazer & DJ Snake ft. MØ
#08/#88 Watch Me - Silento

#03/#101 See You Again - Wiz Khalifa ft. Charlie Puth *Still a contender.

Edit: Forgot Ex's & Oh's.


For someone who interests the past:

SPOILER: Click to show

{Spoiler}

2012&2013: (11 songs)
#68/#12 Ho Hey - The Lumineers
#94/#27 Diamonds - Rihanna
#18/#38 One More Night - Maroon 5
#49/#46 Home - Phillip Phillips
#91/#47 It's Time - Imagine Dragons
#47/#55 Gangnam Style - PSY
#85/#57 Die Young - Ke$ha
#14/#58 Some Nights - fun.
#97/#84 Adorn - Miguel
#74/#86 Let Me Love You (Until You Learn To Love Yourself) - Ne-Yo
#52/#92 Wanted - Hunter Hayes

2013&2014: (11 songs)
#63/#05 Counting Stars - OneRepublic
#97/#19 Let Her Go - Passenger
#15/#20 Royals - Lorde
#19/#22 Wake Me Up! - Avicii
#62/#23 Demons - Imagine Dragons
#18/#44 Wrecking Ball - Miley Cyrus
#10/#46 Roar - Katy Perry
#34/#55 Hold On We're Going Home - Drake ft. Majid Jordan
#03/#57 Radioactive - Imagine Dragons
#96/#74 Brave - Sara Bareilles
#02/#83 Blurred Lines - Robin Thicke ft. TI, Pharrell

2014&2015: (8 songs)
#13/#18 Shake It Off - Taylor Swift
#08/#28 All About That Bass - Meghan Trainor
#62/#46 Animals - Maroon 5
#10/#58 Stay With Me - Sam Smith
#32/#77 Habits (Stay High) - Tove Lo
#27/#80 Bang Bang - Jessie J, Ariana Grande & Nicki Minaj
#25/#90 Chandelier - Sia
#52/#92 Don't - Ed Sheeran

[scrohr424]

So, my final thoughts:
- If even one of Sorry's first three weeks were counted towards this year, it would've likely been #1.
- I hope Drake takes a long break from recording after that collab album with Kanye drops. I am so freaking sick of him at this point. Taylor Swift dominating 2015 was one thing, but Drake is far less of a real personality.
- Please let that positioning for Heathens be true 21 weeks, 21 Pilots, #21. That'd be so fitting.
- In before gravey prays to god that WDYM will be one position lower so it ends up at #33 both years.
- I Hate U, I Love U proved to be quite a sleeper hit, with 30 weeks on the chart and making #10. Kinda like Photograph from last year, except a bit lower and with two weeks at #10 instead of just one.
- Hopefully after this we will never hear from Meghan Meghans ever again.
- It's too bad that Never Forget You couldn't make the Top 40. Would've loved for that.
- Dang at Starboy, even if it weren't for those first two days it still would've ended up in the high 60's. Very impressive.
- If it weren't for the 52/25 rule, I have a feeling that Uptown Funk would have ended up somewhere between For Free and White Iverson. Just a random assumption.
- I mentioned in another thread how erratic Sucker For Pain's chart run was, and I thought it'd die out quickly after Suicide Squad hype, because posse cuts don't usually hold very strong. Turns out not, as streaming was pretty kind to it.
- So Lemonade was able to squeeze (no pun intended) one single that managed to make this cut, although 6 Inch or Freedom definitely would've been better.
- If Middle had one less week, we would've had three songs that peaked at #20 and only had 20 weeks.
- Something told me that When We Were Young would be #82. Totally deserved to be a Top 10 hit though.
- The fact that we have two songs here that didn't even make the Top 40 is actually kinda sad when you really think about it. Just goes to show how inviting this year was to songs that don't peak high.

- I'm sad that Confident and You Should Be Here most likely won't make it. They were two of the best songs of the year if you ask me.
- So Black Beatles ends up being like Sorry last year, while 24K Magic ends up being like Blank Space in 2014 (but not really, seeing as it definitely won't be as big).
- Let's hope that The Greatest, Scars To Your Beautiful, In The Name Of Love and Do You Mind can make up for their wasted points here and make next year's list.
- Fun fact, Hasta El Amanecer debuted on the 7/30 chart, the week before Make Me... and Rise did, and here that songs ends up sandwiched between them.
- So Perfect Illusion failed to even make the lower 100, huh? Just goes to show how little fanfare it received. Shame though because I do like the song.
- Given all those random re-entries it made, I'm also surprised that Ophelia wasn't there, either.

I'm sure I have more to say, but this is all I can think of for the time being. Just wanted to make a post like this right now.

Also, jarhys, you forgot Ex's and Oh's (#73/#63). So 13 and possibly 14. Wow.

[MTSChart21]

So, Stressed Out ended up 8k behind Panda on George's predictions. This would mean that Stressed Out actually could pass Panda, but I don't think it will :(

Poor Black Beatles ending up about 7k behind #100 :(

Oh, and I still hope What Do You Mean? can finish #33 and Same Old Love can finish #42

[MTSChart21]

Sorry for double post, but I want to compare some predictions I made in September of finishing positions and points to George's final predictions.

Sept 9, 2016 10:12:48 GMT -5 MTSChart21 said:

My predictions for Year-End (using geroge's predictions, making minor changes to them, and some of my predictions for the next 10 weeks):

1. Love Yourself (1,038,710)
2. One Dance (1,022,760)
3. Sorry (1,012,450)
4. Work (975,820)
5. Panda (901,370) - Blocking the way better song from top 5 >:(
6. Stressed Out (886,750) - Getting blocked by 15k points >:( It could beat Panda if it wasn't robbed by the 52-week rule.
7. Hello (847,180)
8. Don't Let Me Down (837,860)
9. Closer (784,540)
10. Cheap Thrills (778,970)
11. CAN'T STOP THE FEELING! (765,510)
12. 7 Years (737,200)
13. Work From Home (706,670)
14. I Took A Pill In Ibiza (698,290)
15. Needed Me (692,120)
16. My House (682,610)
17. This Is What You Came For (678,360)
18. Cake By The Ocean (619,450)
19. Cold Water (608,500)
20. Me, Myself & I (597,350)
21. Ride (593,060) - 2nd year in a row that a song I love gets #21 (and misses top 20 :( )
22. Heathens (571,270)
23. PILLOWTALK (564,850)
24. Stitches (483,310)
25. Hotline Bling (469,170)
26. Send My Love (To Your New Lover) (464,520)
27. Too Good (449,410)

~37. Let Me Love You (348,150) - Peaking around 31.7k points, which should almost definitely give it a top 5 peak

Nov 16, 2016 3:17:28 GMT -5 georgetherunner314 said:

TW Song Artist Points Weeks Peak
1 Love Yourself Justin Bieber 1,038,710
2 Sorry Justin Bieber 1,018,450
3 One Dance Drake Ft. WizKid & Kyla 997,120
4 Work Rihanna Ft. Drake 919,790
5 Panda Desiigner 895,520
6 Stressed Out Twenty One Pilots 887,030
7 Don’t Let Me Down The Chainsmokers Ft. Daya 839,390
8 Hello Adele 837,180
9 Can't Stop The Feeling! Justin Timberlake 766,910
10 Closer The Chainsmokers Ft. Halsey 757,880
11 Cheap Thrills Sia Ft. Sean Paul 747,090
12 7 Years Lukas Graham 743,150
13 Needed Me Rihanna 685,200
14 My House Flo Rida 681,610
15 I Took A Pill In Ibiza Mike Posner 681,030
16 Work From Home Fifth Harmony Ft. Ty Dolla $ign 676,730
17 This Is What You Came For Calvin Harris Ft. Rihanna 664,530
18 Cake By The Ocean DNCE 619,450
19 Me, Myself & I G-Eazy x Bebe Rexha 597,350
20 Ride Twenty One Pilots 579,840
21 Heathens Twenty One Pilots 578,400
22 PILLOWTALK ZAYN 564,850
23 Stitches Shawn Mendes 483,310
24 Hotline Bling Drake 469,170
25 Cold Water Major Lazer Ft. Justin Bieber & MØ 462,100
26 Send My Love (To Your New Lover) Adele 452,040
29 Too Good Drake Ft. Rihanna 400,360
42 Let Me Love You DJ Snake Ft. Justin Bieber 334,840

(Side note: I got the LMLY peaking in top 5 thing correct )

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Nov 16, 2016 3:17:28 GMT -5 georgetherunner314 said:

Ladies and gentlemen, I present to you 2016's

FINAL PREDICTIONS

Thanks george! It turns out that I was able to get the same prediction (if I'm not wrong) using the one from the week before and a couple of predictions for this week's Hot 100 which pointed to Hymn for the Weekend dropping out and gave me a rough estimate of the weekly points of the songs still charting. I can't wait to see how close your prediction was to the one published by Billboard in about 3 weeks.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Nov 11, 2016 13:28:59 GMT -5 85la said:

Nov 11, 2016 1:10:40 GMT -5 Baby Yoda Hot100Fan said:

Yes. Once the final Hot 100, I'll post the total weeks for the following tiers that I consider important: Hot 100, Top 40, Top 20 and Top 10. For each tier, I'll have at least 10 songs.

Great, thanks!

Here they are (I'm using george's 2016 Year-End Hot 100 positions prediction as the tie-breakers and also included Top 5):

Most Top 5 weeks:

1. Love Yourself - Justin Bieber 18
2. One Dance - Drake Featuring WizKid & Kyla 17
3. Sorry Justin Bieber 16
4. Heathens - twenty one pilots 14
5. Panda - Desiigner 13
6. Can't Stop The Feeling! Justin Timberlake 13
7. Closer The Chainsmokers Featuring Halsey 13
8. Stressed Out twenty one pilots 12
9. Don't Let Me Down - The Chainsmokers Featuring Daya 12
10. Hello - Adele 12
11. Cheap Thrills - Sia Featuring Sean Paul 12

Most Top 10 weeks:

1. Love Yourself - Justin Bieber 24
2. Don't Let Me Down - The Chainsmokers Featuring Daya 23
3. One Dance - Drake Featuring WizKid & Kyla 20
4. This Is What You Came For - Calvin Harris Featuring Rihanna 19
5. Sorry - Justin Bieber 18
6. Work - Rihanna Featuring Drake 18
7. Cheap Thrills - Sia Featuring Sean Paul 18
8. Panda - Desiigner 17
9. Needed Me - Rihanna 16
10. Pillowtalk - Zayn 16

Most Top 20 weeks:

1. Love Yourself - Justin Bieber 31
2. Don't Let Me Down - The Chainsmokers Featuring Daya 30
3. One Dance - Drake Featuring WizKid & Kyla 27
4. This Is What You Came For - Calvin Harris Featuring Rihanna 26
5. Stressed - Out twenty one pilots 25
6. Work - Rihanna Featuring Drake 24
7. Cheap Thrills - Sia Featuring Sean Paul 24
8. Needed Me - Rihanna 24
9. Can't Stop The Feeling! - Justin Timberlake 23
10. Work From Home - Fifth Harmony Featuring Ty Dolla $ign 23

Most Top 40 weeks:

1. Stressed Out - twenty one pilots 41
2. Love Yourself - Justin Bieber 38
3. Sorry Justin Bieber 34
4. Don't Let Me Down The Chainsmokers Featuring Daya 34
5. Work - Rihanna Featuring Drake 33
6. One Dance - Drake Featuring WizKid & Kyla 32
7. Panda - Desiigner 32
8. My House Flo Rida 32
9. Needed Me - Rihanna 31
10. Work From Home - Fifth Harmony Featuring Ty Dolla $ign 31

Most Hot 100 weeks:

1. Stressed Out -  twenty one pilots 44
2. Cake By The Ocean - DNCE 42
3. Love Yourself - Justin Bieber 41
4. Needed Me - Rihanna 41
5. Sorry Justin Bieber 39
6. Don't Let Me Down - The Chainsmokers Featuring Daya 39
7. Cheap Thrills - Sia Featuring Sean Paul 39
8. Panda - Desiigner 38
9. My House Flo Rida 38
10. I Took A Pill In Ibiza - Mike Posner 37

[inverse]

Quick Note: Ex's And Oh's repeats from 2015 also

But I just wanted to say thanks to George for doing this, 2016 I feel had some really small hits such as Perfect and Cut It that normally would never make a year end hot 100, and so it's been super fun watching the year progress and trying to figure out which song would be number 100.

Thanks

[phillip12bluelov]

Have somebody realise that the contender of WDYM to be 33 in both years, while is set to be 32, is similar to Close 67 positions? Chains by Nick has hold the 68 spot last year, will Close do the same?
But, I don't really have no words to describe the rage I feel for Close not be a top 40 year end hot 100 worth, danm, the song is pretty good, while not even Bacon charted in hot 100...

[Deleted]

Artists having songs be same Year End position in different years is common.

Akon had Locked Up and Lonely at 44 in 04 and 05.
Eminem had Superman and Just Lose It at 98 in 03 and 04.
Bruno Mars had The Lazy Song and It Will Rain at 26 in 11 and 12.
Ludacris had 3 songs at 77, Southern Hospitality, Rollout, and Get Back, 2001, 2002, and 2005.

and of course theres many more than just these.

I won't say this is rare at all.

Justin Bieber WDYM being same year end for 2 years in a row, now that is rare.

[kcdawg13]

I can't believe we are already at the end of the charting year. Time flies. I am not gonna be making predictions, since George's final predictions for the year are the same as mine.

[truemusicreviews]

This was such a stagnant year for music. Hopefully it will be better next year. Shoutout to George for doing all of this! :)

[Abbaschand]

Nov 16, 2016 17:59:03 GMT -5 truemusicreviews said:

This was such a stagnant year for music. Hopefully it will be better next year. Shoutout to George for doing all of this! :)

Let's hope George's prediction will look similar to the real year end by Billboard. Like Daniel Collins in 2014 and Broccoli in 2015.

[phillip12bluelov]

Nov 16, 2016 14:42:12 GMT -5 @walker9 said:

Artists having songs be same Year End position in different years is common.

Akon had Locked Up and Lonely at 44 in 04 and 05.
Eminem had Superman and Just Lose It at 98 in 03 and 04.
Bruno Mars had The Lazy Song and It Will Rain at 26 in 11 and 12.
Ludacris had 3 songs at 77, Southern Hospitality, Rollout, and Get Back, 2001, 2002, and 2005.

and of course theres many more than just these.

I won't say this is rare at all.

Justin Bieber WDYM being same year end for 2 years in a row, now that is rare.

I thought it was a little rare. Sorry, I'm not so fã of charts. In the truth, I don't like'em. But they are the only metric for I know if the artists I like are doing well with their releases. I don't like charts because for me they (especially billboard) doesn't are impartial, and they can't exactly show what's the most popular songs. Just like, Billboard hot 100 works by streaming, radio and digital.
First: Streaming, OK, the people hear songs in Spotify and play videos on vevo, but if you see, the videos that are more viewed are from the artists with the biggest fanbase, look at Justin Company, it was a commercial failure, but its video had more than 100m, not because the song, but because is a Bieber Video, the fans will watch it many times for help him get views, not because they like, it's something like that I wanna say. The same happens in Spotify: His fans , or Rihanna's, Grande's and other big fanbase artists could put they song to play in Spotify, without even hearing to it, just to count to the charts. Streaming is really a immesor of popularity, but you got to agree that not 100% of the plays are "really" spontaneous.
Second: Digital, the people could simply download a song, here one time, don't like and erase, just like this. Just because a person bought a song it made it Popular?
Radio: What's played in radio are songs from artist of the moment. Why a song by Adele never fails in radio? Because she's famous. Why songs by Rihanna, swift, Drake doesn't decrease in radio easily? Because they are what's in media. This year, any Drake single wasn't flop on radio, while others wonderful songs like Body Say (hit in Spotify) hadn't even a chance to be played. The truth is: Radio is mafia, radio doesn't play songs because they are good or not, they play the songs that the artists pay more.
So hot 100 counts those 3? And dance club songs, why not, songs played in clubs throughout the country is a good immesor of popularity. While the illegal downloads? One song could just have 30k paid downloads, but if that one was downloaded 10000000 times illegally, because popularity doesn't necessarily respects the law. And those sptupid rules 52/25 20/20? That's one reason why hot 100 doesn't is exactly, if wasn't for that rule Uptown funk Could make year end, the song remained in recurrent all the year, so it keeps it's popularity, but without showing on hot 100? Why the hell those stupid rule exist? Charts aren't true, they are manipulated.

[johnny16]

this year sucked! so much crap from drake and justin bieber. Sad!

[lyhom]

Nov 16, 2016 18:22:41 GMT -5 phillip12bluelov said:

And dance club songs, why not, songs played in clubs throughout the country is a good immesor of popularity.

the thing is is that the songs that generally chart on the dance club songs chart don't have much reach, for example, the current #1, "believe" by crystal waters, currently only has about 7,300 plays on spotify total

While the illegal downloads? One song could just have 30k paid downloads, but if that one was downloaded 10000000 times illegally, because popularity doesn't necessarily respects the law.

how would you measure illegal downloads lmao

[macabyan]

Nov 15, 2016 22:59:22 GMT -5 phillip12bluelov said:

Nov 15, 2016 17:20:30 GMT -5 Harx said:

^ I wish One Dance took over Love Yourself so bad, but I know it won't happen

No, the number 1 and 2 positions are Justin's. Is that that first time that happens? If it's Justin is really the king.

Yep, The Beatles and Usher did it first:

1964 (The Beatles)
#1 - I Want to Hold Your Hand
#2 - She Loves You
2004 (Usher)
#1 - Yeah! (feat. Lil Jon & Ludacris)
#2 - Burn

And if we're going by the Top 3, here are the other acts:

1985 (Wham!)
#1 - Careless Whisper (feat. George Michael)
#3 - Wake Me Up Before You Go-Go
1995 (TLC)
#2 - Waterfalls
#3 - Creep
2000 (Santana)
#2 - Smooth (feat. Rob Thomas)
#3 - Maria Maria (feat. The Product G&B)
2009 (Lady Gaga)
#2 - Poker Face
#3 - Just Dance (feat. Colby O'Donis)

[georgetherunner314]

As I promised, I did create a video for this list. Feel free to watch if you enjoy these sorts of countdowns!

[chicken077]

George, I would really like to say thanks so much for taking up this task after Broccoli left. I know it was very time consuming and tough calculating points for 30+ weeks in just a few days and I really admire that even that you're very busy with your life, you still carry on with this every week. Thanks so much That being said, I truly hope this prediction is as accurate as possible, and it seems like it's gonna be pretty good given how close your weekly predictions are :)

I'm going to post some final remarks and hopes for the official chart later this week.

Also, I'm really wondering how Broccoli is doing tbh. He seemed very passionate about music, especially the technical side such as the YE predictions, and it is saddening to see him have to give up all of this because of mini moding on a Katy thread. He continued with the Hundo for a bit, but probably deleted his account after realizing that we figured out it was him. But given his passion, I'm pretty sure Broccoli continued his predictions and has a full list now. I kinda wanna see how his list compares with George's, but I totally respect that he doesn't wanna publicize any of this anymore.

Finally, this job has seem to have been a killer job... Daniel Collins took it up in 2014 and he started becoming inactive in 2015. Broc took it up in 2015 and left in 2016. Hopefully this won't happen to george, since he's truly one of my favorites, one of the most hardworking, and one of the most passionate music lovers on this board :)

[Sambalada]

chicken077 gurl im crying :'(

[Harx]

georgetherunner314 Thanks for the predictions so much! You really did a great job, both with weekly lists and the year end list. I've been visiting this thread for months rooting for songs I liked to reach the list and this year thankfully most of them made it!

[Deleted]

Did anyone catch the nice transition in Georges video from Number 46 to 45. Starts around the 12:12 mark in the video.

46. Meghan Trainor - You need to let it go, you need to let it go.

45. James Bay - Come and let it go.

I found this funny, lol

And this one too that I found funny as well. Starts at 16:24.

27. Shawn Mendes - I can treat you better. better than he can.

26. Adele - Send my love to your new lover, treat her better.

lmfao.

[phillip12bluelov]

It's really so good see Justin dominating!!!! First and Second spot? He's a king really. On the other hand it's so bad see Nick in 67, Close deserved being top 40. On my Mind unfortunately lost 8 weeks and stayed so down in 71. Guess the artists I like, there's just these 3.