Hot 100 Year-End Predictions (2019) - Year 6

[GPMB]

no hope for Despacito lol

[willapted33]

Wait? There's a possibility Drowning and Butterfly Effect could make it?!?!?!

[Deleted]

Nov 1, 2017 15:37:21 GMT -5 willapted33 said:

Wait? There's a possibility Drowning and Butterfly Effect could make it?!?!?!

Drowning was always a possibility it seemed like.

[willapted33]

never realised that, but I'm very happy about it

[Mylo13 💜]

I hope a reputation bomb kills Do Re Mi and Crew tbh. Do Re Mi is over 20 weeks now.

[GPMB]

Nov 1, 2017 17:02:39 GMT -5 Mylo13 💜 said:

I hope a reputation bomb kills Do Re Mi and Crew tbh. Do Re Mi is over 20 weeks now.

no Taylor Swift bomb could kill Do Re Mi by the end of 2017 - look, I don't want Do Re Mi to make it either, but if Reputation bombs, it'll be the first week of 2018

[singingrulebritannia]

Nov 1, 2017 6:03:53 GMT -5 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 said:

I'm fine with that, but in my opinion, add in Despacito

I don't think so. It's going to have at most 9 weeks in the 20-35 range in 2018.

[inverse]

One thing that I think we should be remembering is that Swalla and Magnolia and actually the entire clump between 88 and 98 were all calculated with a different point system and given like an x.8 or .9 multiplier. So if you take that off then they are all more like 180000 to 190000 and I remember from Ride$'s earlier predictions before the multiplier was put into place Party had 183000 and Dirt On My Boots had 189000. So judging by those standards Crew is gonna miss and Do Re Mi and Havana are both gonna be kinda close. Even I Get The Bag is just barely gonna squeeze in there. Also looks like Look What You Made Me Do is gonna finish at 34 which is kinda embarassing

[Deleted]

Dang so these predictions may not be that close after all? :(

[inverse]

I'm sure most of it is pretty close it's just that the songs at the end of the year are gonna be lower than they're predicted. For example Small Town Boy isn't gonna be above Swalla, Magnolia, or Slippery.

[bigbertha]

Havana will make it imo.

[Deleted]

I just realized that Feels finished below Slide

[fhas]

Nov 1, 2017 17:40:48 GMT -5 inverse said:

One thing that I think we should be remembering is that Swalla and Magnolia and actually the entire clump between 88 and 98 were all calculated with a different point system and given like an x.8 or .9 multiplier. So if you take that off then they are all more like 180000 to 190000 and I remember from Ride$'s earlier predictions before the multiplier was put into place Party had 183000 and Dirt On My Boots had 189000. So judging by those standards Crew is gonna miss and Do Re Mi and Havana are both gonna be kinda close. Even I Get The Bag is just barely gonna squeeze in there. Also looks like Look What You Made Me Do is gonna finish at 34 which is kinda embarassing

Also, I saw a prediction on ATRL where the chart predictor said that last year Billboard "converted" the points for all weeks to one formula (the one used since February). If that's the case this year, songs that peaked in December, January, and early February (Closer, Starboy, Bad And Boujee, Black Beatles) are gonna be higher on the YE chart since these songs usually had much lower points thanks to last year's formula reducing the overall points in 15-20% compared to 2017's formula.

Using this year's formula Black Beatles would've had almost 80k points during its peak.

[Deleted]

Nov 1, 2017 18:57:38 GMT -5 fhas said:

Nov 1, 2017 17:40:48 GMT -5 inverse said:

One thing that I think we should be remembering is that Swalla and Magnolia and actually the entire clump between 88 and 98 were all calculated with a different point system and given like an x.8 or .9 multiplier. So if you take that off then they are all more like 180000 to 190000 and I remember from Ride$'s earlier predictions before the multiplier was put into place Party had 183000 and Dirt On My Boots had 189000. So judging by those standards Crew is gonna miss and Do Re Mi and Havana are both gonna be kinda close. Even I Get The Bag is just barely gonna squeeze in there. Also looks like Look What You Made Me Do is gonna finish at 34 which is kinda embarassing

Also, I saw a prediction on ATRL where the chart predictor said that last year Billboard "converted" the points for all weeks to one formula (the one used since February). If that's the case this year, songs that peaked in December, January, and early February (Closer, Starboy, Bad And Boujee, Black Beatles) are gonna be higher on the YE chart since these songs usually had much lower points thanks to last year's formula reducing the overall points in 15-20% compared to 2017's formula.

Using this year's formula Black Beatles would've had almost 80k points during its peak.

Wait, so technically Black Beatles was bigger in one week than Despacito during its biggest week?

[fhas]

Nov 1, 2017 19:04:43 GMT -5 @statemusix said:

Nov 1, 2017 18:57:38 GMT -5 fhas said:

Also, I saw a prediction on ATRL where the chart predictor said that last year Billboard "converted" the points for all weeks to one formula (the one used since February). If that's the case this year, songs that peaked in December, January, and early February (Closer, Starboy, Bad And Boujee, Black Beatles) are gonna be higher on the YE chart since these songs usually had much lower points thanks to last year's formula reducing the overall points in 15-20% compared to 2017's formula.

Using this year's formula Black Beatles would've had almost 80k points during its peak.

Wait, so technically Black Beatles was bigger in one week than Despacito during its biggest week?

I *think* it was. Its streaming numbers were insane in its 2nd/3rd week at #1. I'm not sure because no one knows the exact formula that Billboard used between Febuary 2016-February 2017.

Despacito had 75,900 using simm's formula.

[inverse]

15% wow that's crazy, this year end list would be completely broken if they left that discrepancy in. It seems like it's always the years that end in a 7 doesn't it...

Side note 2005 was actually even worse. Check this out.

Wonderful: 6-7-8-8-8-8-9-14-16-23-47-55-78. Finishes at 94
Because Of You: 99-61-43-34-23-21-14-9-9-8-8-7-8 Finishes at 72 ok billboard what's going on

[bobbybob]

Nov 1, 2017 17:40:48 GMT -5 inverse said:

One thing that I think we should be remembering is that Swalla and Magnolia and actually the entire clump between 88 and 98 were all calculated with a different point system and given like an x.8 or .9 multiplier. So if you take that off then they are all more like 180000 to 190000 and I remember from Ride$'s earlier predictions before the multiplier was put into place Party had 183000 and Dirt On My Boots had 189000. So judging by those standards Crew is gonna miss and Do Re Mi and Havana are both gonna be kinda close. Even I Get The Bag is just barely gonna squeeze in there. Also looks like Look What You Made Me Do is gonna finish at 34 which is kinda embarassing

The plot thickens...

[dynamac]

So is Look at Me! for sure gonna miss now?

[Mylo13 💜]

Nov 1, 2017 22:09:19 GMT -5 dynamac said:

So is Look at Me! for sure gonna miss now?

It may miss, but it's far from certain.

[kcdawg13]

Nov 1, 2017 22:10:45 GMT -5 Mylo13 💜 said:

Nov 1, 2017 22:09:19 GMT -5 dynamac said:

So is Look at Me! for sure gonna miss now?

It may miss, but it's far from certain.

Fingers crossed.

[𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿]

Nov 1, 2017 17:36:59 GMT -5 singingrulebritannia said:

Nov 1, 2017 6:03:53 GMT -5 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 said:

I'm fine with that, but in my opinion, add in Despacito

I don't think so. It's going to have at most 9 weeks in the 20-35 range in 2018.

But if it used those 9 weeks well, it may end up in 81-90 area at best.

[Mylo13 💜]

While I am glad that Shape Of You is all but confirmed number 1, I'm a bit sad its last weeks will be wasted.

[85la]

^ But it will already be #1 for this year, so including those extra weeks obviously couldn't bring it any higher for any one year. Unless you're referring to it making the YE list for more than one year, but since it likely won't chart for more than 52 weeks, the only way that would happen would be it possibly sacrificing its #1 rank this year, so it would be like #3 this year and #90 the next. I don't want to go through all the point calculations, but I guess it's possible that if only a few weeks were shaved off this year and went to next year, it might still be able to be #1 this year and chart the next. But for me, I'm good enough having it be #1 this year and that be it.

[jarhys]

Is it just me thinking some of this year's top 10 doesn't feel like this year's top 10?
I love Believer, but it doesn't feel like big enough hit to be top 10.
Same as Body Like A Back Road and Congratulations.

[bluepotato]

Nov 1, 2017 18:57:38 GMT -5 fhas said:

Nov 1, 2017 17:40:48 GMT -5 inverse said:

One thing that I think we should be remembering is that Swalla and Magnolia and actually the entire clump between 88 and 98 were all calculated with a different point system and given like an x.8 or .9 multiplier. So if you take that off then they are all more like 180000 to 190000 and I remember from Ride$'s earlier predictions before the multiplier was put into place Party had 183000 and Dirt On My Boots had 189000. So judging by those standards Crew is gonna miss and Do Re Mi and Havana are both gonna be kinda close. Even I Get The Bag is just barely gonna squeeze in there. Also looks like Look What You Made Me Do is gonna finish at 34 which is kinda embarassing

Also, I saw a prediction on ATRL where the chart predictor said that last year Billboard "converted" the points for all weeks to one formula (the one used since February). If that's the case this year, songs that peaked in December, January, and early February (Closer, Starboy, Bad And Boujee, Black Beatles) are gonna be higher on the YE chart since these songs usually had much lower points thanks to last year's formula reducing the overall points in 15-20% compared to 2017's formula.

Using this year's formula Black Beatles would've had almost 80k points during its peak.

really, it only makes sense that something is off about this chart, songs with low peak/ few weeks don't just swarm up the bottom of the chart all at once like that at the END of the year. I wouldn't be too surprised if it turns out "do re mi", "crew", and all other songs currently trying to squeeze in end up not making it.

[scrohr424]

Does this mean that Sign Of The Times is also in trouble now? Because I'm hoping not D:

[Deleted]

Yeah given all the potential miscalculations + the fact that FOUR people had to work on this year's list I'm not looking forward to an accurate YE chart

[Deleted]

NEW Hot 100 Year-End 2017 Predictions - Week 50, dated 11/11/2017
So, after quite sometime trying to figure out why these predictions seemed so off and find a way to fix it, i finally did it last night, by multipling the "affected" points (the ones that got the 0.7 multiplier) by 1.15. Doing it, it came close to Ride$'s first estimates, without those multipliers, so i redid all the songs with "affected" points and some that seemed a bit off too. As of now, it's just a test, because idk if it's going to end up even worse than before, but let's hope not, and at least for me, it seems a lot better now. Tell me what you guys think about it:

<sub>Legend
* = means that the stat is for the weeks that count to the 2017 Year-End, (Dec. 3, 2016 - Nov. 25, 2017) but the song's chart run is cut between years, so it's peak or chart weeks is different from that.
Red = Currently #1 on the Hot 100
Blue = Currently in the Top 10
Green = Currently in the Top 20
Bold = Currently in the Hot 100</sub>

1. "Shape Of You" - 1,618,210
Peak: #1 (Jan. 28. Feb. 18 - Apr. 29)
33 weeks in Top 10 (Jan. 28 - Sep. 9)
42 weeks in Hot 100

2. "Despacito" - 1,536,900
Peak: #1 (May 27 - Sep. 9)
25 weeks in Top 10 (May 6 - Oct. 21)
41 weeks in Hot 100

3. "That's What I Like" - 1,280,690
Peak: #1 (May 13)
28 weeks in Top 10 (Mar. 4 - Sep. 9)
41 weeks in Hot 100

4. "Bad And Boujee" - 854,550
Peak: #1 (Jan. 21. Feb. 4 - 11)
14 weeks in Top 10 (Jan. 14 - Apr. 15)
36 weeks in Hot 100

5. "Humble." - 836,640
Peak: #1 (May 6)
15 weeks in Top 10 (Apr. 22 - Jul. 29)
30 weeks in Hot 100

6. "Closer" - 833,390
Peak: #2 (Dec. 3 - 10)*
17 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 3 - Mar. 25)*
37 weeks in Hot 100*

7. "Body Like A Back Road" - 783,050
Peak: #6 (Apr. 22)
8 wks in Top 10 (Apr. 22 - 29. Jul. 22 - Aug. 19. Sep. 2)
39 weeks in Hot 100

8. "Something Just Like This" - 780,270
Peak: #3 (Apr. 15)
17 wks in Top 10 (Mar. 18. Apr. 1 - Jul. 15)
36 weeks in Hot 100

9. "Believer" - 767,680
Peak: #4 (Aug. 26. Sep. 9)
14 weeks in Top 10 (Jul. 15 - Oct. 14)
38 weeks in Hot 100

10. "Congratulations" - 744,420
Peak: #8 (Jul. 8 - 15)
6 weeks in Top 10 (Jun. 17 - Jul. 22)
44 weeks in Hot 100

11. "Say You Won't Let Go" - 711,640
Peak: #11 (Jun. 3 & 24)
16 weeks in Top 20 (Apr. 15 - Jul. 22. Aug. 5)
49 weeks in Hot 100*

12. "I'm The One" - 708,690
Peak: #1 (May 20)
15 weeks in Top 10 (May 20 - Aug. 26)
22 weeks in Hot 100

13. "24K Magic" - 685,410
Peak: #4 (Dec. 10 & 24 - Jan. 7)
10 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 3 - Feb. 4)*
36 weeks in Hot 100*

14. "Unforgettable" - 647,150
Peak: #3 (Aug. 19 - 26)
16 weeks in Top 10 (July 22 - Nov. 4)
29 weeks in Hot 100

15. "Black Beatles - 640,210
Peak: #1 (Dec. 3 - 31. Jan. 14)*
12 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 3 - Feb. 18)*
18 weeks in Hot 100*

16. "XO Tour Llif3" - 634,700
Peak: #7 (Jun. 24)
10 weeks in Top 10 (Apr. 29 - Jul. 1)
31 weeks in Hot 100

17. "Mask Off" - 634,610
Peak: #5 (May 6 - 13)
12 weeks in Top 10 (Apr. 29 - Jul. 15)
31 weeks in Hot 100

18. "Starboy" - 616,950
Peak: #1 (Jan. 7)
12 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 3 - Feb. 18)*
22 weeks in Hot 100*

19. "Stay" - 609,260
Peak: #7 (May 6. Jun. 10 - 17)
8 weeks in Top 10 (May 6. May 27 - Jul. 8)
31 weeks in Hot 100

20. "Wild Thoughts" - 565,950
Peak: #2 (Jul. 29 - Sep. 9)
13 weeks in Top 10 (Jul. 8 - Sep. 30)
19 weeks in Hot 100

21. "There's Nothing Holdin' Me Back"- 565,190
Peak: #6 (Aug. 26)
10 weeks in Top 10 (Jul. 29 - Sep. 30)
27 weeks in Hot 100

22. "I Don't Wanna Live Forever" - 556,570
Peak: #2 (Mar. 4)
12 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 31. Feb. 4 - Apr. 15)
23 weeks in Hot 100

23. "Redbone" - 551,690
Peak: #12 (Aug. 19)
13 weeks in Top 20 (Jun. 17 - Sep. 9)
44 weeks in Hot 100

24. "Bodak Yellow" - 550,080
Peak: #1 (Oct. 7 - 21)
12 weeks in Top 10 (Aug. 26 - Nov. 11)
17 weeks in Hot 100

25. "Location" - 549,430
Peak: #16 (May 13)
5 weeks in Top 20 (Apr. 29. May 13 - Jun. 3)
42 weeks in Hot 100

26. "iSpy" - 542,300
Peak: #4 (Apr. 22)
8 weeks in Top 10 (Apr. 1 & 15 - May 27)
30 weeks in Hot 100

27. "It Ain't Me" - 516,330
Peak: #10 (May 13 - 20. Jun. 10)
3 weeks in Top 10 (May 13 - 20. Jun. 10)
29 weeks in Hot 100

28. "Scars To Your Beautiful" - 512,300
Peak: #8 (Feb. 25)
3 weeks in Top 10 (Feb. 11 - 25)
32 weeks in Hot 100*

29. "Attention" - 509,830
Peak: #5 (Aug. 26. Sep. 9 - 16)
10 weeks in Top 10 (Aug. 5 - Oct. 7)
27 weeks in Hot 100

30. "Issues" - 490,520
Peak: #11 (Jun. 10 - 17)
14 weeks in Top 20 (Apr. 29 - Jul. 29)
29 weeks in Hot 100

31. "Love On The Brain" - 455,710
Peak: #5 (Mar. 25)
5 weeks in Top 10 (Mar. 4 - Apr. 1)
28 weeks in Hot 100*

32. "I Feel It Coming" - 451,600
Peak: #4 (Apr. 15)
5 weeks (Mar. 4. Apr. 1 - Apr. 22)
26 weeks in Hot 100

33. "Fake Love" - 442,020
Peak: #8 (Feb. 18)
5 weeks in Top 10 (Jan. 7 - 21. Feb. 11 - 18)*
22 weeks in Hot 100*

34. "Don't Wanna Know" - 438,640
Peak: #6 (Feb. 18)
12 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 3 - Jan. 7. Jan. 21 - Feb. 25)*
22 weeks in Hot 100*

35. "Bounce Back" - 429,710
Peak: #6 (Feb. 25)
5 weeks in Top 10 (Feb. 25 - Mar. 25)
28 weeks in Hot 100

36. "1-800-273-8255" - 419,800
Peak: #3 (Sep. 30. Oct. 28 - Nov. 11)
9 weeks in Top 10 (Sep. 16 - Nov. 11)
26 weeks in Hot 100

37. "Bad Things" - 418,920
Peak: #4 (Feb. 11 - 18)
10 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 24. Jan. 7 & 21 - Mar. 11)
22 weeks in Hot 100*

38. "Slow Hands" - 407,860
Peak: #11 (Sep. 30 - Oct. 7)
13 weeks in Top 20 (Jul. 29 - Oct. 21)
26 weeks in Hot 100

39. "Castle On The Hill" - 391,620
Peak: #6 (Jan. 28)
1 week in Top 10 (Jan. 28)
33 weeks in Hot 100

40. "Strip That Down" - 390,830
Peak: #10 (Sep. 16)
1 week in Top 10 (Sep. 16)
23 weeks in Hot 100

41. "Side To Side" - 390,340
Peak: #4 (Dec. 3 & 17)
9 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 3 - Jan. 28)*
17 weeks in Hot 100*

42. "Paris" - 387,610
Peak: #6 (Mar. 11)
10 weeks in Top 10 (Feb. 4 & 25. Mar. 11 - Apr. 29)
20 weeks in Hot 100

43. "Look What You Made Me Do" - 380,880
Peak: #1 (Sep. 16 - 30)
8 weeks in Top 10 (Sep. 16 - Nov. 4)
10 weeks in Hot 100

44. "Rockabye" - 379,720
Peak: #9 (Mar. 25)
2 weeks in Top 10 (Mar 25. Apr. 22)
27 weeks in Hot 100

45. "Let Me Love You" - 364,460
Peak: #7 (Dec. 3 & 17. Jan. 7)*
8 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 3 - Jan. 21)*
19 weeks in Hot 100*

46. "Can't Stop The Feeling!" - 357,340
Peak: #13 (Mar. 18)*
4 weeks in Top 20 (Dec. 3 - 10. Jan. 21. Mar. 18)*
25 weeks in Hot 100*

47. "Tunnel Vision" - 346,390
Peak: #6 (Mar. 25 - Apr. 8)
6 weeks in Top 10 (Mar. 18 - Apr. 22)
20 weeks in Hot 100

48. "Mercy" - 335,360
Peak: #15 (Mar. 25)
8 weeks in Top 20 (Jan. 14 - 21. Feb. 25 - Apr. 1)
25 weeks in Hot 100*

49. "T-Shirt" - 332,300
Peak: #19 (Feb. 18)
1 week in Top 20 (Feb. 18)
25 weeks in Hot 100

50. "Feel It Still" - 325,970
Peak: #4 (Nov. 4 - 11)
6 weeks in Top 10 (Oct. 7 - Nov. 11)
19 weeks in Hot 100

51. "Caroline" - 322,480
Peak: #11 (Jan. 7)
13 weeks in Top 20 (Dec. 3 - Feb. 25)*
18 weeks in Hot 100*

52. "Heathens" - 320,470
Peak: #5 (Dec. 3)*
4 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 3 - 24)*
18 weeks in Hot 100*

53. "Juju On That Beat (TZ Anthem)" - 311,940
Peak: #5 (Dec. 10. Jan. 7)
7 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 3 - Jan. 14)*
15 weeks in Hot 100*

54. "Bank Account" - 305,570
Peak: #12 (Aug. 26 - Sep. 23)
12 weeks in Top 20 (Aug. 19 - Nov. 4)
16 weeks in Hot 100

55. "Rake It Up" - 301,370
Peak: #8 (Oct. 7)
3 weeks in Top 10 (Sep. 9. Oct. 7 - 14)
17 weeks in Hot 100

56. "In Case You Didn't Know" - 295,340
Peak: #19 (Jun. 10 - 17)
3 weeks in Top 20 (Jun. 10 - 24)
28 weeks in Hot 100

57. "Rolex" - 289,270
Peak: #20 (Jun. 17)
1 week in Top 20 (Jun. 17)
25 weeks in Hot 100

58. "Sorry Not Sorry" - 285,760
Peak: #6 (Nov. 11)
5 weeks in Top 10 (Oct. 14 - Nov. 11)
16 weeks in Hot 100

59. "DNA." - 285,180
Peak: #4 (May 6)
2 weeks in Top 10 (May 6 - 13)
20 weeks in Hot 100

60. "Now Or Never" - 280,570
Peak: #17 (Jul. 29 - Aug. 5)
6 weeks in Top 20 (Jul. 1 & 15 - Aug. 12)
20 weeks in Hot 100

61. "Thunder" - 278,360
Peak: #5 (Nov. 4 - 11)
4 weeks in Top 10 (Oct. 21 - Nov. 11)
26 weeks in Hot 100

62. "Swang" - 276,030
Peak: #26 (May 13)
5 weeks in Top 30 (Apr. 22 - 29. May 13 - 27)
26 weeks in Hot 100

63. "Mi Gente" - 274,250
Peak: #3 (Oct. 21)
4 weeks in Top 10 (Oct. 21 - Nov. 11)
17 weeks in Hot 100

64. "Goosebumps" - 268,870
Peak: #32 (May 20)
8 weeks in Top 40 (May 20 - Jul. 8)
29 weeks in Hot 100*

65. "Broccoli" - 268,540
Peak: #9 (Dec. 3 - 10)*
4 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 3 - 17. Jan. 14)*
15 weeks in Hot 100*

66. "Passionfruit" - 266,980
Peak: #8 (Apr. 8)
2 weeks in Top 10 (Apr. 8 - 15)
20 weeks in Hot 100

67. "Cold" - 260,850
Peak: #16 (Apr. 1)
1 week in Top 20 (Apr. 1)
20 weeks in Hot 100

68. "Rockstar" - 248,030
Peak: #1 (Oct. 28 - Nov. 11)
6 weeks in Top 10 (Oct. 7 - Nov. 11)
6 weeks in Hot 100

69. "All Time Low" - 239,610
Peak: #16 (Jan. 14)
3 weeks in Top 20 (Jan. 14. Feb. 11 - 18)
17 weeks in Hot 100*

70. "Slide" - 239,320
Peak: #25 (Jun. 3)
6 weeks in Top 30 (May 13 - Jun. 17)
20 weeks in Hot 100

71. "Starving" - 235,380
Peak: #12 (Dec. 17)
8 weeks in Top 20 (Dec. 3 - Jan. 21)*
14 weeks in Hot 100*

72. "Loyalty." - 228,030
Peak: #14 (May 6)
1 week in Top 20 (May 6)
26 weeks in Hot 100

73. "Chained To The Rhythm" - 227,250
Peak: #4 (Mar. 4)
2 weeks in Top 10 (Mar. 4 - 11)
16 weeks in Hot 100

74. "Treat You Better" - 225,960
Peak: #16 (Dec. 3)*
4 weeks in Top 20 (Dec. 3 - 24)*
16 weeks in Hot 100*

75. "Hurricane" - 217,570
Peak: #31 (May 27)
6 weeks in Top 30 (May 20 - Jun. 24)
22 weeks in Hot 100

76. "Praying" - 215,250
Peak: #22 (Sep. 2)
13 weeks in Top 30 (Jul. 29. Aug. 26 - Nov. 11)
16 weeks in Hot 100

77. "Both" - 215,010
Peak: #41 (Jan. 7. May 20)
14 weeks in Top 50 (Jan. 7 & 28 - Feb. 11. Mar. 4 - 18. Apr. 15 - Jun. 3)
22 weeks in Hot 100

78. "Water Under The Bridge" - 214,370
Peak: #26 (Feb. 11)
3 weeks in Top 30 (Feb. 11 - 25)
21 weeks in Hot 100*

79. "Magnolia" - 211,460
Peak: #29 (Jul. 8 & 29 - Aug. 5)
5 weeks in Top 30 (Jul. 8 - Aug. 5)
20 weeks in Hot 100

80. "Sign Of The Times" - 210,510
Peak: #4 (Apr. 29)
1 week in Top 10 (Apr. 29)
13 weeks in Hot 100

81. "What Ifs" - 206,230
Peak: #26 (Nov. 4)
3 weeks in Top 30 (Oct. 21 - Nov. 4)
20 weeks in Hot 100

82. "Drowning" - 206,070
Peak: #38 (Aug. 5)
4 weeks in Top 40 (Jul. 15. Aug. 5 & 19 - 26)
21 weeks in Hot 100

83. "Slippery" - 203,970
Peak: #29 (Jul. 22)
1 week in Top 30 (Jul. 22)
21 weeks in Hot 100

84. "Love Galore" - 201,380
Peak: #32 (Oct. 14)
11 weeks in Top 40 (Aug. 19 - Oct. 28)
20 weeks in Hot 100

85. "Feels" - 197,120
Peak: #20 (Sep. 2)
1 week in Top 20 (Sep. 2)
18 weeks in Hot 100

86. "Everyday We Lit" - 196,050
Peak: #33 (Aug. 5)
10 weeks in Top 40 (Jul. 1 - Sep. 2)
20 weeks in Hot 100

87. "Swalla" - 195,520
Peak: #29 (Jun. 24)
2 weeks in Top 30 (Jun. 24 - Jul. 1)
20 weeks in Hot 100

88. "No Promises" - 193,880
Peak: #38 (Oct. 21)
2 weeks in Top 40 (Sep. 9. Oct. 21)
23 weeks in Hot 100

89. "Small Town Boy" - 192,950
Peak: #36 (Sep. 9)
7 weeks in Top 40 (Aug. 26 - Sep. 16 & 30 - Oct. 14)
20 weeks in Hot 100

90. "Malibu" - 191,230
Peak: #10 (Jun. 3)
1 week in Top 10 (Jun. 3)
15 weeks in Hot 100

91. "Down" - 190,300
Peak: #21 (Mar. 18)
6 weeks in Top 30 (Mar. 4 - Apr. 8)
17 weeks in Hot 100

92. "Deja Vu" - 189,170
Peak: #7 (Dec. 31)
1 week in Top 10 (Dec. 31)
20 weeks in Hot 100

93. "Dirt On My Boots" - 187,320
Peak: #37 (Apr. 1)
3 weeks in Top 40 (Mar. 4. Apr. 1 & 15)
20 weeks in Hot 100

94. "The Fighter" - 186,150
Peak: #38 (Apr. 22)
1 week in Top 40 (Apr. 22)
23 weeks in Hot 100

95. "Look At Me!" - 184,740
Peak: #34 (Apr. 22)
2 weeks in Top 40 (Apr. 22 - 29)
20 weeks in Hot 100

96. "This Town" - 183,370
Peak: #20 (Jan. 14)
1 week in Top 20 (Jan. 14)
15 weeks in Hot 100*

97. "Young, Dumb & Broke" - 181,170
Peak: #25 (Oct. 14. Nov. 4)
7 weeks in Top 30 (Sep. 30 - Nov. 11)
15 weeks in Hot 100

98. "Cheap Thrills" - 180,240
Peak: #19 (Dec. 3)*
1 week in Top 20 (Dec. 3)*
13 weeks in Hot 100*

99. "The Greatest" - 178,140
Peak: #18 (Dec. 10 - 24)*
4 weeks in Top 20 (Dec. 3 - 24)*
13 weeks in Hot 100

100. "Party" - 175,890
Peak: #40 (Feb. 11)
1 week in Top 40 (Feb. 11)
20 weeks in Hot 100


Others:
"Love Me Now" - 173,310
"Million Reasons" - 170,570
"What About Us" - 170,560
"Party Monster" - 169,450
"Too Good At Goodbyes" - 166,320
"Don't Let Me Down" - 165,500
"Better Man" - 164,860
"I Get The Bag" - 156,520
"Butterfly Effect" - 154,970
"It's A Vibe" - 151,110
"Do Re Mi" - 151,080
"Crew" - 151,060
"What Lovers Do" - 147,440
"Havana" - 120,610
"...Ready For It?" - 113,220
"New Rules" - 113,030
"Perfect" - 108,020
"Unforgettable (Thomas Rhett)" - 105,840
"When It Rains It Pours" - 104,920
"The Race" - 98,010
"Gucci Gang" - 81,930
"Bad At Love" - 76,140
"No Limit" - 59,080

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Now that the cutoff is around 180,000 points, i can only see What About Us, TGAG, I Get The Bag, What Lovers Do and Havana sneaking in

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Dangit. :( I liked the old predictions better...