NEW Hot 100 Year-End 2017 Predictions - Week 50, dated 11/11/2017
So, after quite sometime trying to figure out why these predictions seemed so off and find a way to fix it, i finally did it last night, by multipling the "affected" points (the ones that got the 0.7 multiplier) by 1.15. Doing it, it came close to Ride$'s first estimates, without those multipliers, so i redid all the songs with "affected" points and some that seemed a bit off too. As of now, it's just a test, because idk if it's going to end up even worse than before, but let's hope not, and at least for me, it seems a lot better now. Tell me what you guys think about it:
Legend
* = means that the stat is for the weeks that count to the 2017 Year-End, (Dec. 3, 2016 - Nov. 25, 2017) but the song's chart run is cut between years, so it's peak or chart weeks is different from that.
Red = Currently #1 on the Hot 100
Blue = Currently in the Top 10
Green = Currently in the Top 20
Bold = Currently in the Hot 100
1. "Shape Of You" - 1,618,210
Peak: #1 (Jan. 28. Feb. 18 - Apr. 29)
33 weeks in Top 10 (Jan. 28 - Sep. 9)
42 weeks in Hot 100
2. "Despacito" - 1,536,900
Peak: #1 (May 27 - Sep. 9)
25 weeks in Top 10 (May 6 - Oct. 21)
41 weeks in Hot 100
3. "That's What I Like" - 1,280,690
Peak: #1 (May 13)
28 weeks in Top 10 (Mar. 4 - Sep. 9)
41 weeks in Hot 100
4. "Bad And Boujee" - 854,550
Peak: #1 (Jan. 21. Feb. 4 - 11)
14 weeks in Top 10 (Jan. 14 - Apr. 15)
36 weeks in Hot 100
5. "Humble." - 836,640
Peak: #1 (May 6)
15 weeks in Top 10 (Apr. 22 - Jul. 29)
30 weeks in Hot 1006. "Closer" - 833,390
Peak: #2 (Dec. 3 - 10)*
17 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 3 - Mar. 25)*
37 weeks in Hot 100*
7. "Body Like A Back Road" - 783,050
Peak: #6 (Apr. 22)
8 wks in Top 10 (Apr. 22 - 29. Jul. 22 - Aug. 19. Sep. 2)
39 weeks in Hot 100
8. "Something Just Like This" - 780,270
Peak: #3 (Apr. 15)
17 wks in Top 10 (Mar. 18. Apr. 1 - Jul. 15)
36 weeks in Hot 100
9. "Believer" - 767,680
Peak: #4 (Aug. 26. Sep. 9)
14 weeks in Top 10 (Jul. 15 - Oct. 14)
38 weeks in Hot 100
10. "Congratulations" - 744,420
Peak: #8 (Jul. 8 - 15)
6 weeks in Top 10 (Jun. 17 - Jul. 22)
44 weeks in Hot 100
11. "Say You Won't Let Go" - 711,640
Peak: #11 (Jun. 3 & 24)
16 weeks in Top 20 (Apr. 15 - Jul. 22. Aug. 5)
49 weeks in Hot 100*
12. "I'm The One" - 708,690
Peak: #1 (May 20)
15 weeks in Top 10 (May 20 - Aug. 26)
22 weeks in Hot 100
13. "24K Magic" - 685,410
Peak: #4 (Dec. 10 & 24 - Jan. 7)
10 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 3 - Feb. 4)*
36 weeks in Hot 100*
14. "Unforgettable" - 647,150
Peak: #3 (Aug. 19 - 26)
16 weeks in Top 10 (July 22 - Nov. 4)
29 weeks in Hot 100
15. "Black Beatles - 640,210
Peak: #1 (Dec. 3 - 31. Jan. 14)*
12 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 3 - Feb. 18)*
18 weeks in Hot 100*
16. "XO Tour Llif3" - 634,700
Peak: #7 (Jun. 24)
10 weeks in Top 10 (Apr. 29 - Jul. 1)
31 weeks in Hot 100
17. "Mask Off" - 634,610
Peak: #5 (May 6 - 13)
12 weeks in Top 10 (Apr. 29 - Jul. 15)
31 weeks in Hot 100
18. "Starboy" - 616,950
Peak: #1 (Jan. 7)
12 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 3 - Feb. 18)*
22 weeks in Hot 100*
19. "Stay" - 609,260
Peak: #7 (May 6. Jun. 10 - 17)
8 weeks in Top 10 (May 6. May 27 - Jul. 8)
31 weeks in Hot 100
20. "Wild Thoughts" - 565,950
Peak: #2 (Jul. 29 - Sep. 9)
13 weeks in Top 10 (Jul. 8 - Sep. 30)
19 weeks in Hot 100
21. "There's Nothing Holdin' Me Back"- 565,190
Peak: #6 (Aug. 26)
10 weeks in Top 10 (Jul. 29 - Sep. 30)
27 weeks in Hot 100
22. "I Don't Wanna Live Forever" - 556,570
Peak: #2 (Mar. 4)
12 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 31. Feb. 4 - Apr. 15)
23 weeks in Hot 100
23. "Redbone" - 551,690
Peak: #12 (Aug. 19)
13 weeks in Top 20 (Jun. 17 - Sep. 9)
44 weeks in Hot 100
24. "Bodak Yellow" - 550,080
Peak: #1 (Oct. 7 - 21)
12 weeks in Top 10 (Aug. 26 - Nov. 11)
17 weeks in Hot 100
25. "Location" - 549,430
Peak: #16 (May 13)
5 weeks in Top 20 (Apr. 29. May 13 - Jun. 3)
42 weeks in Hot 100
26. "iSpy" - 542,300
Peak: #4 (Apr. 22)
8 weeks in Top 10 (Apr. 1 & 15 - May 27)
30 weeks in Hot 100
27. "It Ain't Me" - 516,330
Peak: #10 (May 13 - 20. Jun. 10)
3 weeks in Top 10 (May 13 - 20. Jun. 10)
29 weeks in Hot 100
28. "Scars To Your Beautiful" - 512,300
Peak: #8 (Feb. 25)
3 weeks in Top 10 (Feb. 11 - 25)
32 weeks in Hot 100*
29. "Attention" - 509,830
Peak: #5 (Aug. 26. Sep. 9 - 16)
10 weeks in Top 10 (Aug. 5 - Oct. 7)
27 weeks in Hot 100
30. "Issues" - 490,520
Peak: #11 (Jun. 10 - 17)
14 weeks in Top 20 (Apr. 29 - Jul. 29)
29 weeks in Hot 100
31. "Love On The Brain" - 455,710
Peak: #5 (Mar. 25)
5 weeks in Top 10 (Mar. 4 - Apr. 1)
28 weeks in Hot 100*
32. "I Feel It Coming" - 451,600
Peak: #4 (Apr. 15)
5 weeks (Mar. 4. Apr. 1 - Apr. 22)
26 weeks in Hot 100
33. "Fake Love" - 442,020
Peak: #8 (Feb. 18)
5 weeks in Top 10 (Jan. 7 - 21. Feb. 11 - 18)*
22 weeks in Hot 100*
34. "Don't Wanna Know" - 438,640
Peak: #6 (Feb. 18)
12 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 3 - Jan. 7. Jan. 21 - Feb. 25)*
22 weeks in Hot 100*
35. "Bounce Back" - 429,710
Peak: #6 (Feb. 25)
5 weeks in Top 10 (Feb. 25 - Mar. 25)
28 weeks in Hot 100
36. "1-800-273-8255" - 419,800
Peak: #3 (Sep. 30. Oct. 28 - Nov. 11)
9 weeks in Top 10 (Sep. 16 - Nov. 11)
26 weeks in Hot 100
37. "Bad Things" - 418,920
Peak: #4 (Feb. 11 - 18)
10 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 24. Jan. 7 & 21 - Mar. 11)
22 weeks in Hot 100*
38. "Slow Hands" - 407,860
Peak: #11 (Sep. 30 - Oct. 7)
13 weeks in Top 20 (Jul. 29 - Oct. 21)
26 weeks in Hot 100
39. "Castle On The Hill" - 391,620
Peak: #6 (Jan. 28)
1 week in Top 10 (Jan. 28)
33 weeks in Hot 100
40. "Strip That Down" - 390,830
Peak: #10 (Sep. 16)
1 week in Top 10 (Sep. 16)
23 weeks in Hot 100
41. "Side To Side" - 390,340
Peak: #4 (Dec. 3 & 17)
9 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 3 - Jan. 28)*
17 weeks in Hot 100*
42. "Paris" - 387,610
Peak: #6 (Mar. 11)
10 weeks in Top 10 (Feb. 4 & 25. Mar. 11 - Apr. 29)
20 weeks in Hot 100
43. "Look What You Made Me Do" - 380,880
Peak: #1 (Sep. 16 - 30)
8 weeks in Top 10 (Sep. 16 - Nov. 4)
10 weeks in Hot 100
44. "Rockabye" - 379,720
Peak: #9 (Mar. 25)
2 weeks in Top 10 (Mar 25. Apr. 22)
27 weeks in Hot 100
45. "Let Me Love You" - 364,460
Peak: #7 (Dec. 3 & 17. Jan. 7)*
8 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 3 - Jan. 21)*
19 weeks in Hot 100*
46. "Can't Stop The Feeling!" - 357,340
Peak: #13 (Mar. 18)*
4 weeks in Top 20 (Dec. 3 - 10. Jan. 21. Mar. 18)*
25 weeks in Hot 100*
47. "Tunnel Vision" - 346,390
Peak: #6 (Mar. 25 - Apr. 8)
6 weeks in Top 10 (Mar. 18 - Apr. 22)
20 weeks in Hot 100
48. "Mercy" - 335,360
Peak: #15 (Mar. 25)
8 weeks in Top 20 (Jan. 14 - 21. Feb. 25 - Apr. 1)
25 weeks in Hot 100*
49. "T-Shirt" - 332,300
Peak: #19 (Feb. 18)
1 week in Top 20 (Feb. 18)
25 weeks in Hot 100
50. "Feel It Still" - 325,970
Peak: #4 (Nov. 4 - 11)
6 weeks in Top 10 (Oct. 7 - Nov. 11)
19 weeks in Hot 100
51. "Caroline" - 322,480
Peak: #11 (Jan. 7)
13 weeks in Top 20 (Dec. 3 - Feb. 25)*
18 weeks in Hot 100*
52. "Heathens" - 320,470
Peak: #5 (Dec. 3)*
4 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 3 - 24)*
18 weeks in Hot 100*
53. "Juju On That Beat (TZ Anthem)" - 311,940
Peak: #5 (Dec. 10. Jan. 7)
7 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 3 - Jan. 14)*
15 weeks in Hot 100*
54. "Bank Account" - 305,570
Peak: #12 (Aug. 26 - Sep. 23)
12 weeks in Top 20 (Aug. 19 - Nov. 4)
16 weeks in Hot 100
55. "Rake It Up" - 301,370
Peak: #8 (Oct. 7)
3 weeks in Top 10 (Sep. 9. Oct. 7 - 14)
17 weeks in Hot 100
56. "In Case You Didn't Know" - 295,340
Peak: #19 (Jun. 10 - 17)
3 weeks in Top 20 (Jun. 10 - 24)
28 weeks in Hot 100
57. "Rolex" - 289,270
Peak: #20 (Jun. 17)
1 week in Top 20 (Jun. 17)
25 weeks in Hot 100
58. "Sorry Not Sorry" - 285,760
Peak: #6 (Nov. 11)
5 weeks in Top 10 (Oct. 14 - Nov. 11)
16 weeks in Hot 100
59. "DNA." - 285,180
Peak: #4 (May 6)
2 weeks in Top 10 (May 6 - 13)
20 weeks in Hot 100
60. "Now Or Never" - 280,570
Peak: #17 (Jul. 29 - Aug. 5)
6 weeks in Top 20 (Jul. 1 & 15 - Aug. 12)
20 weeks in Hot 100
61. "Thunder" - 278,360
Peak: #5 (Nov. 4 - 11)
4 weeks in Top 10 (Oct. 21 - Nov. 11)
26 weeks in Hot 100
62. "Swang" - 276,030
Peak: #26 (May 13)
5 weeks in Top 30 (Apr. 22 - 29. May 13 - 27)
26 weeks in Hot 100
63. "Mi Gente" - 274,250
Peak: #3 (Oct. 21)
4 weeks in Top 10 (Oct. 21 - Nov. 11)
17 weeks in Hot 100
64. "Goosebumps" - 268,870
Peak: #32 (May 20)
8 weeks in Top 40 (May 20 - Jul. 8)
29 weeks in Hot 100*
65. "Broccoli" - 268,540
Peak: #9 (Dec. 3 - 10)*
4 weeks in Top 10 (Dec. 3 - 17. Jan. 14)*
15 weeks in Hot 100*
66. "Passionfruit" - 266,980
Peak: #8 (Apr. 8)
2 weeks in Top 10 (Apr. 8 - 15)
20 weeks in Hot 100
67. "Cold" - 260,850
Peak: #16 (Apr. 1)
1 week in Top 20 (Apr. 1)
20 weeks in Hot 100
68. "Rockstar" - 248,030
Peak: #1 (Oct. 28 - Nov. 11)
6 weeks in Top 10 (Oct. 7 - Nov. 11)
6 weeks in Hot 100
69. "All Time Low" - 239,610
Peak: #16 (Jan. 14)
3 weeks in Top 20 (Jan. 14. Feb. 11 - 18)
17 weeks in Hot 100*
70. "Slide" - 239,320
Peak: #25 (Jun. 3)
6 weeks in Top 30 (May 13 - Jun. 17)
20 weeks in Hot 100
71. "Starving" - 235,380
Peak: #12 (Dec. 17)
8 weeks in Top 20 (Dec. 3 - Jan. 21)*
14 weeks in Hot 100*
72. "Loyalty." - 228,030
Peak: #14 (May 6)
1 week in Top 20 (May 6)
26 weeks in Hot 100
73. "Chained To The Rhythm" - 227,250
Peak: #4 (Mar. 4)
2 weeks in Top 10 (Mar. 4 - 11)
16 weeks in Hot 100
74. "Treat You Better" - 225,960
Peak: #16 (Dec. 3)*
4 weeks in Top 20 (Dec. 3 - 24)*
16 weeks in Hot 100*
75. "Hurricane" - 217,570
Peak: #31 (May 27)
6 weeks in Top 30 (May 20 - Jun. 24)
22 weeks in Hot 100
76. "Praying" - 215,250
Peak: #22 (Sep. 2)
13 weeks in Top 30 (Jul. 29. Aug. 26 - Nov. 11)
16 weeks in Hot 100
77. "Both" - 215,010
Peak: #41 (Jan. 7. May 20)
14 weeks in Top 50 (Jan. 7 & 28 - Feb. 11. Mar. 4 - 18. Apr. 15 - Jun. 3)
22 weeks in Hot 100
78. "Water Under The Bridge" - 214,370
Peak: #26 (Feb. 11)
3 weeks in Top 30 (Feb. 11 - 25)
21 weeks in Hot 100*
79. "Magnolia" - 211,460
Peak: #29 (Jul. 8 & 29 - Aug. 5)
5 weeks in Top 30 (Jul. 8 - Aug. 5)
20 weeks in Hot 100
80. "Sign Of The Times" - 210,510
Peak: #4 (Apr. 29)
1 week in Top 10 (Apr. 29)
13 weeks in Hot 100
81. "What Ifs" - 206,230
Peak: #26 (Nov. 4)
3 weeks in Top 30 (Oct. 21 - Nov. 4)
20 weeks in Hot 100
82. "Drowning" - 206,070
Peak: #38 (Aug. 5)
4 weeks in Top 40 (Jul. 15. Aug. 5 & 19 - 26)
21 weeks in Hot 100
83. "Slippery" - 203,970
Peak: #29 (Jul. 22)
1 week in Top 30 (Jul. 22)
21 weeks in Hot 100
84. "Love Galore" - 201,380
Peak: #32 (Oct. 14)
11 weeks in Top 40 (Aug. 19 - Oct. 28)
20 weeks in Hot 100
85. "Feels" - 197,120
Peak: #20 (Sep. 2)
1 week in Top 20 (Sep. 2)
18 weeks in Hot 100
86. "Everyday We Lit" - 196,050
Peak: #33 (Aug. 5)
10 weeks in Top 40 (Jul. 1 - Sep. 2)
20 weeks in Hot 100
87. "Swalla" - 195,520
Peak: #29 (Jun. 24)
2 weeks in Top 30 (Jun. 24 - Jul. 1)
20 weeks in Hot 100
88. "No Promises" - 193,880
Peak: #38 (Oct. 21)
2 weeks in Top 40 (Sep. 9. Oct. 21)
23 weeks in Hot 100
89. "Small Town Boy" - 192,950
Peak: #36 (Sep. 9)
7 weeks in Top 40 (Aug. 26 - Sep. 16 & 30 - Oct. 14)
20 weeks in Hot 100
90. "Malibu" - 191,230
Peak: #10 (Jun. 3)
1 week in Top 10 (Jun. 3)
15 weeks in Hot 100
91. "Down" - 190,300
Peak: #21 (Mar. 18)
6 weeks in Top 30 (Mar. 4 - Apr. 8)
17 weeks in Hot 100
92. "Deja Vu" - 189,170
Peak: #7 (Dec. 31)
1 week in Top 10 (Dec. 31)
20 weeks in Hot 100
93. "Dirt On My Boots" - 187,320
Peak: #37 (Apr. 1)
3 weeks in Top 40 (Mar. 4. Apr. 1 & 15)
20 weeks in Hot 100
94. "The Fighter" - 186,150
Peak: #38 (Apr. 22)
1 week in Top 40 (Apr. 22)
23 weeks in Hot 100
95. "Look At Me!" - 184,740
Peak: #34 (Apr. 22)
2 weeks in Top 40 (Apr. 22 - 29)
20 weeks in Hot 100
96. "This Town" - 183,370
Peak: #20 (Jan. 14)
1 week in Top 20 (Jan. 14)
15 weeks in Hot 100*
97. "Young, Dumb & Broke" - 181,170
Peak: #25 (Oct. 14. Nov. 4)
7 weeks in Top 30 (Sep. 30 - Nov. 11)
15 weeks in Hot 100
98. "Cheap Thrills" - 180,240
Peak: #19 (Dec. 3)*
1 week in Top 20 (Dec. 3)*
13 weeks in Hot 100*
99. "The Greatest" - 178,140
Peak: #18 (Dec. 10 - 24)*
4 weeks in Top 20 (Dec. 3 - 24)*
13 weeks in Hot 100
100. "Party" - 175,890
Peak: #40 (Feb. 11)
1 week in Top 40 (Feb. 11)
20 weeks in Hot 100
Others:
"Love Me Now" - 173,310
"Million Reasons" - 170,570
"What About Us" - 170,560"Party Monster" - 169,450
"Too Good At Goodbyes" - 166,320"Don't Let Me Down" - 165,500
"Better Man" - 164,860
"I Get The Bag" - 156,520
"Butterfly Effect" - 154,970
"It's A Vibe" - 151,110
"Do Re Mi" - 151,080
"Crew" - 151,060
"What Lovers Do" - 147,440
"Havana" - 120,610
"...Ready For It?" - 113,220
"New Rules" - 113,030
"Perfect" - 108,020
"Unforgettable (Thomas Rhett)" - 105,840
"When It Rains It Pours" - 104,920
"The Race" - 98,010
"Gucci Gang" - 81,930
"Bad At Love" - 76,140
"No Limit" - 59,080