85la
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Post by 85la on Nov 10, 2017 23:46:39 GMT -5
There is a discrepancy between this thread and jedenpolska's year-end predictions thread about Something Just Like This and how long it spent in the top 10. This one says 17 weeks and the other 18 weeks, so I was just wondering which one is correct.
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CF15
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Post by CF15 on Nov 10, 2017 23:53:03 GMT -5
There is a discrepancy between this thread and jedenpolska's year-end predictions thread about Something Just Like This and how long it spent in the top 10. This one says 17 weeks and the other 18 weeks, so I was just wondering which one is correct. It is 17. |
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Post by kcdawg13 on Nov 11, 2017 1:56:04 GMT -5
There is a discrepancy between this thread and jedenpolska's year-end predictions thread about Something Just Like This and how long it spent in the top 10. This one says 17 weeks and the other 18 weeks, so I was just wondering which one is correct. It is 17. It jumped to No. 5 on March 18th, dropped out and reentered on April 1st and hung around for 16 consecutive weeks before officially dropping on July 8th. It has 17 weeks overall, I don't know where they got 18 from. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 11, 2017 1:57:42 GMT -5
Will What Lovers Do get 12000 points this week?
Looks like Do Re Mi will miss right?
and Havana should make it too right?
and Unfortunately, so is IGTB...
Which means that LAM will be 101. But who knows on actual list if itll make it or miss.
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CF15
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Post by CF15 on Nov 11, 2017 2:05:09 GMT -5
It jumped to No. 5 on March 18th, dropped out and reentered on April 1st and hung around for 16 consecutive weeks before officially dropping on July 8th. It has 17 weeks overall, I don't know where they got 18 from. Maybe they thought it was still in the top ten on that week of March 25th when it dropped out, lol. |
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rainie
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Post by rainie on Nov 11, 2017 4:01:26 GMT -5
WOO so glad What About Us is in. I know it's been a guarantee for awhile but it's so nice to finally see it. Pink doesn't have the biggest hits anymore but in the midst of songs like Chained To The Rhythm, The Cure, Down, Malibu, Fetish, Swish Swish, and even Look What You Made Me Do all either outright flopping or at best peaking early and falling fast (LWYMMD and CTTR) the fact that Pink was able to get her song to 28 and then keep climbing is pretty astonishing actually. And there were certainly some times when it looked like it would take the Malibu route and fluctuate slowly downwards before a massive drop but that didn't happen which is great. Yeah agreed 100%, this was a very pleasant surprise for me. It seems that if you're a pop diva the easiest way to get a hit is to write slower AC-leaning ballads (unless you're Demi Lovato who is somehow still getting hits in this climate) which is pretty interesting to me. Also you forgot Green Light, Bob Appetit, and Bad Liar. God there were a lot of flops from female pop stars this year. |
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Harx
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Post by Harx on Nov 11, 2017 4:08:02 GMT -5
So Malibu is 100% safe now? I thought it was going to miss it.
I guess there's no hope for What Lovers Do though. How likely is it to make it in 2018? Its run is gonna be split between years.
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rainie
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Post by rainie on Nov 11, 2017 4:49:20 GMT -5
So Malibu is 100% safe now? I thought it was going to miss it. I guess there's no hope for What Lovers Do though. How likely is it to make it in 2018? Its run is gonna be split between years. It could possibly sneak into the bottom 10, and assuming it doesn't suddenly collapse I think it should be good for next year too. |
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inverse
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Post by inverse on Nov 11, 2017 14:34:43 GMT -5
WOO so glad What About Us is in. I know it's been a guarantee for awhile but it's so nice to finally see it. Pink doesn't have the biggest hits anymore but in the midst of songs like Chained To The Rhythm, The Cure, Down, Malibu, Fetish, Swish Swish, and even Look What You Made Me Do all either outright flopping or at best peaking early and falling fast (LWYMMD and CTTR) the fact that Pink was able to get her song to 28 and then keep climbing is pretty astonishing actually. And there were certainly some times when it looked like it would take the Malibu route and fluctuate slowly downwards before a massive drop but that didn't happen which is great. Yeah agreed 100%, this was a very pleasant surprise for me. It seems that if you're a pop diva the easiest way to get a hit is to write slower AC-leaning ballads (unless you're Demi Lovato who is somehow still getting hits in this climate) which is pretty interesting to me. Also you forgot Green Light, Bob Appetit, and Bad Liar. God there were a lot of flops from female pop stars this year. Green Light I indeed forget, I remembered the other two but honestly I think they flopped because they suck, not because of the Pop Diva Purge of 2017. I don't think Bon Appetit would have been a hit in Katy Perry's Prism era in 2014 either. She didn't get every single to become a hit there either, both Birthday and This Is How We Do really tanked because they just didn't take to the public (Birthday is great so I have no idea why in that case, overshadowed by DH I guess). I think Feels is another one that can be added to the list too |
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mako
Platinum Member
formerly known as "the one letter"
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Post by mako on Nov 11, 2017 15:31:06 GMT -5
WOO so glad What About Us is in. I know it's been a guarantee for awhile but it's so nice to finally see it. Pink doesn't have the biggest hits anymore but in the midst of songs like Chained To The Rhythm, The Cure, Down, Malibu, Fetish, Swish Swish, and even Look What You Made Me Do all either outright flopping or at best peaking early and falling fast (LWYMMD and CTTR) the fact that Pink was able to get her song to 28 and then keep climbing is pretty astonishing actually. And there were certainly some times when it looked like it would take the Malibu route and fluctuate slowly downwards before a massive drop but that didn't happen which is great. Yeah agreed 100%, this was a very pleasant surprise for me. It seems that if you're a pop diva the easiest way to get a hit is to write slower AC-leaning ballads (unless you're Demi Lovato who is somehow still getting hits in this climate) which is pretty interesting to me. Also you forgot Green Light, Bob Appetit, and Bad Liar. God there were a lot of flops from female pop stars this year. Yeah he forgot Bob Appetit, he's a great guy, great friend of mine. |
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85la
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Post by 85la on Nov 11, 2017 16:48:55 GMT -5
It jumped to No. 5 on March 18th, dropped out and reentered on April 1st and hung around for 16 consecutive weeks before officially dropping on July 8th. It has 17 weeks overall, I don't know where they got 18 from. Great, thanks for the clarification! |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 11, 2017 18:25:33 GMT -5
Lmao mako never stop doing these man |
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fhas
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Post by fhas on Nov 12, 2017 10:57:47 GMT -5
LAST WEEK'S ESTIMATED REAL POINTS - Billboard Hot 100 TOP 10 - November 18th 2017
Formula: sales/7.2 + airplay/8400 + on-demand streams/1500 + YouTube streams/1500 + programmed streams/3000 | # | Song | Points | Sales | Airplay | On-Demand | YouTube | Programmed | Total Streams | +/- (%) | | 1 | rockstar | 42,000 | 46.0k | 64.0m | 28.1m | 9.9m | 7.9m | 46.0m | -6.4 | | 2 | Havana | 34,200 | 47.0k | 61.0m | 12.2m | 16.6m | 3.4m | 32.3m | +30.5 | | 3 | Bodak Yellow | 33,400 | 28.9k | 68.1m | 12.2m | 16.3m | 6.3m | 35.0m | -7.3 | | 4 | 1-800-273-8255 | 29,500 | 19.3k | 91.0m | 11.4m | 9.6m | 5.7m | 26.8m | -4.1 | | 5 | Thunder | 27,800 | 54.0k | 96.0m | 6.5m | 4.9m | 3.7m | 15.1m | +3.8 | | 6 | Feel It Still | 27,500 | 33.0k | 127.0m | 7.1m | 2.4m | 4.3m | 13.8m | -4.4 | | 7 | Gucci Gang | 25,800 | 11.0k | 6.3m | 15.8m | 18.6m | 1.5m | 36.0m | +24.7 | | 8 | Sorry Not Sorry | 24,800 | 23.0k | 88.8m | 8.8m | 6.2m | 3.2m | 18.2m | -6.3 | | 9 | Mi Gente | 23,500 | 25.5k | 62.6m | 8.1m | 7.6m | 5.9m | 21.6m | -7.0 | | 10 | Too Good At Goodbyes | 23,300 | 28.5k | 68.7m | 9.2m | 6.0m | 2.8m | 18.1m | -1.8 |
Sources: Hot 100's article Billboard Chart Beat HDD's Streaming Songs Chart (On-Demand) HDD's Revenue Chart Kworb's Overall AI YouTube Insights Pandora Top Spins Chart @chartdata (Twitter)
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marcuz
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Post by marcuz on Nov 12, 2017 13:42:09 GMT -5
Based on simm's prediction for this week over at atrl, BLARB is going recurrent, meaning it will finish at number 9 on the year end chart. I was hopeful it was gonna hold on for at least one more week due to its airplay stabilizing and the small boost it got from the CMA.
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atg
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Post by atg on Nov 12, 2017 15:23:02 GMT -5
Based on simm's prediction for this week over at atrl, BLARB is going recurrent, meaning it will finish at number 9 on the year end chart. I was hopeful it was gonna hold on for at least one more week due to its airplay stabilizing and the small boost it got from the CMA. Idek how that song managed to do that well |
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scrohr424
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Post by scrohr424 on Nov 12, 2017 17:28:41 GMT -5
"I was hopeful it was gonna hold on for at least one more week"
*blocks*
Okay, that aside, that is a kind of steep drop from #10 to #11. Kind of telling that #10 is a song that peaked at #8 and spent only six weeks in the Top 10. But I'm glad that Something Just Like This is looking to pass Body Like A Back Road, no complaints there =) But hopefully Humble does in fact pass Bad and Boujee D:
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 12, 2017 20:19:27 GMT -5
To add to the OP, I don't hate B&B that much, I just really want Humble to pass B&B because Kendrick's an established artist and a living legend who really deserves a great chart feat.
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Nov 12, 2017 20:33:52 GMT -5
Taking a look at simm's predictions, it does seem that Havana, What Lovers Do and I Get the Bag will manage to make it on the last week when combined with @snoopdawg's prediction, which would mean Look at Me!, This Town and Cheap Thrills would miss making it.
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mako
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formerly known as "the one letter"
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Post by mako on Nov 12, 2017 23:43:14 GMT -5
Taking a look at simm's predictions, it does seem that Havana, What Lovers Do and I Get the Bag will manage to make it on the last week when combined with @snoopdawg 's prediction, which would mean Look at Me!, This Town and Cheap Thrills would miss making it. Havana would be #98 (188,300), What Lovers Do #94 (192,590), and I Get The Bag #90 (195,750) using simm's predictions, which means The Fighter will be #100 |
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inverse
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Post by inverse on Nov 13, 2017 14:01:21 GMT -5
Havana is still 2 and What Lovers Do went up to 9 so I think both of them along with I Get The Bag are in. It looks like Something Just Like This is actually gonna stay ahead of Believer and if Body Like A Back Road goes out then it will be passed by both. Sucks to fall from 7 to 9 in the last week but the song is terrible so...
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marcuz
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Post by marcuz on Nov 13, 2017 14:11:56 GMT -5
Havana is still 2 and What Lovers Do went up to 9 so I think both of them along with I Get The Bag are in. It looks like Something Just Like This is actually gonna stay ahead of Believer and if Body Like A Back Road goes out then it will be passed by both. Sucks to fall from 7 to 9 in the last week but the song is terrible so... With the recent speculated changes in H100 formula lowering YT. Who knows sales may now weigh more which works for BLABR. Since it barely misses the Top 50 in simm's predix, it may still chart tomorrow. I can't wait. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 13, 2017 14:37:14 GMT -5
Even if BLABR stays on the chart next week i think it'll end up at #9, and if that formula change is true, IGTB may end up missing it. Well, guess we'll need to wait to see what happens
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inverse
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Post by inverse on Nov 13, 2017 14:58:22 GMT -5
I Get The Bag only needs 9910 to pass The Fighter it's a guarantee
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mako
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formerly known as "the one letter"
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Post by mako on Nov 13, 2017 20:41:20 GMT -5
Using the data frome the bb article, What Lovers Do would have 192,590 (#92), and Havana 191,070 (#94).
which means
90. No Promises
91. Small Town Boy
92. What Lovers Do
93. Malibu
94. Havana
95. Down
96. Deja VU
97. Dirt On My Boots
98. The Fighter
99. Look At Me!
100. This Town
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mako
Platinum Member
formerly known as "the one letter"
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Post by mako on Nov 13, 2017 20:56:33 GMT -5
Using the data frome the bb article, What Lovers Do would have 192,590 (#92), and Havana 191,070 (#94). which means 90. No Promises 91. Small Town Boy 92. What Lovers Do 93. Malibu 94. Havana 95. Down 96. Deja VU 97. Dirt On My Boots 98. The Fighter 99. Look At Me! 100. This Town and IGTB would be #888 |
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Mylo13 💜
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Post by Mylo13 💜 on Nov 14, 2017 0:11:37 GMT -5
Last week hype!
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inverse
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Post by inverse on Nov 14, 2017 1:39:19 GMT -5
Uhh Body Like A Back Road stayed on... that's not good. Guess it's gonna be #7. I mean given the choice between it and Location falling off both are equally trash but I was hoping for BLABR because that would drop it by 2 spots. formula change why  |
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rainie
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Post by rainie on Nov 14, 2017 2:24:51 GMT -5
Uhh Body Like A Back Road stayed on... that's not good. Guess it's gonna be #7. I mean given the choice between it and Location falling off both are equally trash but I was hoping for BLABR because that would drop it by 2 spots. formula change why On the bright side, 7-9 are close enough in points that it could be 9th anyways due to miscalculations. Remember what happened to Panda and Stressed Out last year. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 14, 2017 3:22:36 GMT -5
Uhh Body Like A Back Road stayed on... that's not good. Guess it's gonna be #7. I mean given the choice between it and Location falling off both are equally trash but I was hoping for BLABR because that would drop it by 2 spots. formula change why On the bright side, 7-9 are close enough in points that it could be 9th anyways due to miscalculations. Remember what happened to Panda and Stressed Out last year. This will probably be the only time I will be okay with top 10 miscalculations if it happens. And to think I started another Panda vs. Stressed Out chain reaction... |
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Nov 14, 2017 7:23:07 GMT -5
Here's how the contending songs (some of them are clearly not, especially most outside of the top 100) for the 2017 Year-End Hot 100 End ended up in terms of inverse points. This is not meant to show where songs would end up. I'm guessing outside of the top 100, What Lovers Do, Too Good at Goodbyes, Rockstar and Havana will make it, which makes me think 98-100 don't make it, as well as a pick among Party, Cheap Thrills, Dirt on My Boots and No Promises.
1 Shape Of You - Ed Sheeran 4113
2 That's What I Like - Bruno Mars 3715
3 Say You Won't Let Go - James Arthur 3451
4 Despacito - Luis Fonsi & Daddy Yankee Featuring Justin Bieber 3447
5 Body Like A Back Road - Sam Hunt 3348
6 Congratulations - Post Malone Featuring Quavo 3300
7 Something Just Like This - The Chainsmokers & Coldplay 3163
8 Believer - Imagine Dragons 3112
9 Closer - The Chainsmokers Featuring Halsey 3095
10 Bad And Boujee - Migos Featuring Lil Uzi Vert 2897
11 Location - Khalid 2885
12 24K Magic - Bruno Mars 2787
13 Humble. - Kendrick Lamar 2751
14 XO TOUR Llif3 - Lil Uzi Vert 2675
15 Unforgettable - French Montana Featuring Swae Lee 2594
16 Stay - Zedd & Alessia Cara 2543
17 Mask Off - Future 2507
18 Redbone - Childish Gambino 2434
19 Scars To Your Beautiful - Alessia Cara 2399
20 There's Nothing Holdin' Me Back - Shawn Mendes 2370
21 iSpy - KYLE Featuring Lil Yachty 2332
22 Attention - Charlie Puth 2319
23 It Ain't Me - Kygo x Selena Gomez 2303
24 Issues - Julia Michaels 2178
25 Love On The Brain - Rihanna 2147
26 Slow Hands - Niall Horan 2087
27 I Feel It Coming - The Weeknd Featuring Daft Punk 2078
28 Bounce Back - Big Sean 2050
29 Castle On The Hill - Ed Sheeran 1981
30 I'm The One - DJ Khaled Featuring Justin Bieber, Quavo, Chance The Rapper & Lil Wayne 1975
31 I Don't Wanna Live Forever (Fifty Shades Darker) - Zayn / Taylor Swift 1966
32 Strip That Down - Liam Payne Featuring Quavo 1909
33 Starboy - The Weeknd Featuring Daft Punk 1908
34 Fake Love - Drake 1879
35 Wild Thoughts - DJ Khaled Featuring Rihanna & Bryson Tiller 1852
36 Can't Stop The Feeling! - Justin Timberlake 1824
37 1-800-273-8255 - Logic Featuring Alessia Cara & Khalid 1813
38 Don't Wanna Know - Maroon 5 Featuring Kendrick Lamar 1808
39 Rockabye - Clean Bandit Featuring Sean Paul & Anne-Marie 1777
40 Bad Things - Machine Gun Kelly x Camila Cabello 1736
41 Mercy - Shawn Mendes 1735
42 T-Shirt - Migos 1716
43 Paris - The Chainsmokers 1661
44 Black Beatles - Rae Sremmurd Featuring Gucci Mane 1637
45 Bodak Yellow - Cardi B 1629
46 Let Me Love You - DJ Snake Featuring Justin Bieber 1550
47 In Case You Didn't Know - Brett Young 1537
48 Rolex - Ayo & Teo 1535
49 Tunnel Vision - Kodak Black 1529
50 Bank Account - 21 Savage 1513
51 Sorry Not Sorry - Demi Lovato 1498
52 Mi Gente - J Balvin & Willy William 1482
53 Side To Side - Ariana Grande Featuring Nicki Minaj 1463
54 Rake It Up - Yo Gotti Featuring Nicki Minaj 1463
55 Feel It Still - Portugal. The Man 1455
56 Caroline - Amine 1449
57 Heathens - twenty one pilots 1421
58 Now Or Never - Halsey 1420
59 Thunder - Imagine Dragons 1410
60 Swang - Rae Sremmurd 1382
61 Goosebumps - Travis Scott 1345
62 Praying - Kesha 1309
63 Loyalty. - Kendrick Lamar Featuring Rihanna 1307
64 Passionfruit - Drake 1271
65 DNA. - Kendrick Lamar 1271
66 Cold - Maroon 5 Featuring Future 1254
67 All Time Low - Jon Bellion 1245
68 Slide - Calvin Harris Featuring Frank Ocean & Migos 1232
69 Broccoli - D.R.A.M. Featuring Lil Yachty 1202
70 Juju On That Beat (TZ Anthem) - Zay Hilfigerrr & Zayion McCall 1171
71 Treat You Better - Shawn Mendes 1170
72 Both - Gucci Mane Featuring Drake 1161
73 What Ifs - Kane Brown Featuring Lauren Alaina 1132
74 Water Under The Bridge - Adele 1125
75 Starving - Hailee Steinfeld & Grey Featuring Zedd 1125
76 Magnolia - Playboi Carti 1123
77 Feels - Calvin Harris Featuring Pharrell Williams, Katy Perry & Big Sean 1105
78 Drowning - A Boogie Wit da Hoodie Featuring Kodak Black 1093
79 Love Galore - SZA Featuring Travis Scott 1091
80 Hurricane - Luke Combs 1064
81 Slippery - Migos Featuring Gucci Mane 1046
82 Young Dumb & Broke - Khalid 1041
83 Look What You Made Me Do - Taylor Swift 1011
84 Small Town Boy - Dustin Lynch 1010
85 What About Us - P!nk 1001
86 Swalla - Jason Derulo Featuring Nicki Minaj & Ty Dolla $ign 993
87 Everyday We Lit - YFN Lucci Featuring PnB Rock 988
88 This Town - Niall Horan 985
89 Party - Chris Brown Featuring Usher & Gucci Mane 965
90 Malibu - Miley Cyrus 963
91 Chained To The Rhythm - Katy Perry Featuring Skip Marley 961
92 Down - Marian Hill 955
93 Cheap Thrills - Sia Featuring Sean Paul 947
94 Dirt On My Boots - Jon Pardi 944
95 No Promises - Cheat Codes Featuring Demi Lovato 937
96 Sign Of The Times - Harry Styles 931
97 I Get The Bag - Gucci Mane Featuring Migos 930
98 The Greatest - Sia Featuring Kendrick Lamar 929
99 Love Me Now - John Legend 927
100 Look At Me! - XXXTENTACION 890
101 Don't Let Me Down - The Chainsmokers Featuring Daya 885
102 Deja Vu - J. Cole 882
103 Better Man - Little Big Town 875
104 The Fighter - Keith Urban Featuring Carrie Underwood 864
105 What Lovers Do - Maroon 5 Featuring SZA 851
106 Party Monster - The Weeknd 844
107 Blue Ain't Your Color - Keith Urban 830
108 Too Good At Goodbyes - Sam Smith 823
109 Crew - GoldLink Featuring Brent Faiyaz & Shy Glizzy 821
110 do re mi - blackbear 817
111 Love. - Kendrick Lamar Featuring Zacari 808
112 Craving You - Thomas Rhett Featuring Maren Morris 805
113 It's A Vibe - 2 Chainz Featuring Ty Dolla $ign, Trey Songz & Jhene Aiko 805
114 Million Reasons - Lady Gaga 797
115 Rockstar - Post Malone Featuring 21 Savage 797
116 Bad Liar - Selena Gomez 790
117 Used To This - Future Featuring Drake 774
118 Cold Water - Major Lazer Featuring Justin Bieber & MO 764
119 When It Rains It Pours - Luke Combs 764
120 How Far I'll Go - Auli'i Cravalho 763
121 Portland - Drake Featuring Quavo & Travis Scott 737
122 X - 21 Savage & Metro Boomin Featuring Future 727
123 Butterfly Effect - Travis Scott 724
124 Chill Bill - Rob $tone Featuring J. Davi$ & Spooks 710
125 In The Name Of Love - Martin Garrix & Bebe Rexha 707
126 Havana - Camila Cabello Featuring Young Thug 706
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