Hot 100 Year-End Predictions (2019) - Year 6

[Deleted]

I hope God's Country can somehow get a spot in the top 50.

[Abbaschand]

Yes, I'm back, and now I present you MY predictions for Scenario 2.

Scoring system (A horrible one, mind you)
No. Points
1 10000
2-3 9000
4-5 8000
6-10 7000
11-15 6000
16-20 5500
21-25 5000
26-30 4500
31-40 4000
41-50 3500
51-60 3000
61-70 2500
71-80 2000
81-90 1500
91-100 1000

Scenario 2 (December 1 to November 23)
No. Song Singer (Main) Points
1 Sunflower Swae Lee & Post Malone 355000
2 Without Me Halsey 320000
3 Old Town Road Lil Nas X & Billy Ray Cyrus 297000
4 Wow. Post Malone 278500
5 bad guy Billie Eilish 265000
6 Talk Khalid 250000
7 Happier (feat. Bastille) Marshmello 249500
8 Sucker Jonas Brothers 247000
9 Dancing with a Stranger Sam Smith & Normani 232000
10 7 rings Ariana Grande 229000
11 SICKO MODE (feat. Drake) Travis Scott 223500
12 High Hopes Panic! At the Disco 221500
13 Truth Hurts Lizzo 212000
14 thank u, next Ariana Grande 190000
15 Going Bad (feat. Drake) Meek Mill 189000
16 I Don't Care (feat. Justin Bieber) Ed Sheeran 188500
17 Shallow Lady Gaga & Bradley Cooper 186500
18 Eastside (feat. Halsey and Khalid) Benny Blanco 186500
19 Senorita Shawn Mendes & Camila Cabello 186000
20 Better Khalid 177500
21 Suge DaBaby 173500
22 Sweet But Psycho Ava Max 169500
23 No Guidance (feat. Drake) Chris Brown 163000
24 Someone You Loved Lewis Capaldi 159500
25 MIDDLE CHILD J. Cole 157000
26 Girls Like You (feat. Cardi B) Maroon 5 157000
27 Drip Too Hard Lil Baby & Gunna 144500
28 Ran$om Lil Tecca 140000
29 If I Can't Have You Shawn Mendes 133000
30 Goodbyes (feat. Young Thug) Post Malone 126000
31 Money In the Grave (feat. Rick Ross) Drake 122500
32 Speechless Dan + Shay 120500
33 Panini Lil Nas X 118500
34 Better Now Post Malone 115500
35 Look Back At It A Boogie Wit da Hoodie 115500
36 ZEZE (feat. Travis Scott and Offset) Kodak Black 115000
37 You Need to Calm Down Taylor Swift 113500
38 Youngblood 5 Seconds of Summer 113000
39 break up with your girlfriend, i'm bored Ariana Grande 112000
40 Please Me Cardi B & Bruno Mars 111000
41 Money Cardi B 110000
42 Beautiful People (feat. Khalid) Ed Sheeran 109500
43 Pop Out (feat. Lil TJay) Polo G 109000
44 A Lot (feat. J. Cole) 21 Savage 108500
45 God's Country Blake Shelton 104000
46 Beautiful Crazy Luke Combs 104000
47 MIA (feat. Drake) Bad Bunny 103500
48 Whiskey Glasses Morgan Wallen 103000
49 Thotiana Blueface 100000
50 Pure Water Mustard & Migos 97000
51 Close to Me (feat. Swae Lee) Ellie Goulding & Diplo 96500
52 Envy Me Callboy 94000
53 ME! (feat. Brendon Urie) Taylor Swift 93500
54 The Git Up Blanco Brown 93500
55 Be Alright Dean Lewis 93000
56 You Say Lauren Daigle 93000
57 Hey Look Ma, I Made It Panic! At the Disco 92000
58 Lucid Dreams Juice WRLD 91500
59 The London (feat. J. Cole and Travis Scott) Young Thug 90500
60 Beer Never Broke My Heart Luke Combs 90000
61 Wake Up in the Sky (feat. Kodak Black) Gucci Mane & Bruno Mars 88500
62 Taki Taki (feat. Ozuna, Cardi B, and Selena Gomez) DJ Snake 88000
63 Con Calma (feat. Snow) Daddy Yankee & Katy Perry 87500
64 Circles Post Malone 86000
65 Mo Bamba Sheck Wes 86000
66 Trampoline SHAED 84000
67 Act Up City Girls 82500
68 when the party's over Billie Eilish 79500
69 Murder on My Mind YNW Melly 77500
70 Only Human Jonas Brothers 75000
71 I Like It (feat. Bad Bunny and J. Balvin) Cardi B 75000
72 Baby Shark PinkFong 74000
73 bury a friend Billie Eilish 73500
74 My Type Saweetie 73000
75 How Do You Sleep? Sam Smith 73000
76 Baby Lil Baby & DaBaby 72500
77 Leave Me Alone Flipp Dinero 71500
78 Worth It YK Osiris 70500
79 Swervin (feat. 6ix9ine) A Boogie Wit da Hoodie 68000
80 Knockin' Boots Luke Bryan 67500
81 Close Friends Lil Baby 67500
82 One Thing Right (feat. Kane Brown) Marshmello 67000
83 Breathin Ariana Grande 65500
84 Hot Girl Summer (feat. Ty Dolla Sign) Megan Thee Stallion & Nicki Minaj 62000
85 Rumor Lee Brice 62000
86 Good as Hell Lizzo 59500
87 Look What God Gave Her Thomas Rhett 59500
88 Cash (feat. DaBaby) Megan Thee Stallion 59500
89 Good As You Kane Brown 59000
90 Clout (feat. Cardi B) Offset 58500
91 Trip Ella Mai 56500
92 On Chill (feat. Jeremih) Wale 56500
93 Hot (feat. Gunna) Young Thug 55500
94 Shotta Flow NLE Choppa 55500
95 Lover Taylor Swift 55000
96 Tequila Dan + Shay 55000
97 boyfriend (feat. Social House) Ariana Grande 54500
98 Eyes On You Chase Rice 53000
99 Love Lies Khalid & Normani 52500
100 All to Myself Dan + Shay 52500
101 Never Really Over Katy Perry 51500
102 Walk Me Home P!nk 51500
103 Ballin' (feat. Roddy Ricch) Mustard 50000
104 Beautiful (feat. Camila Cabello) Bazzi 50000
105 Robbery Juice WRLD 50000
106 Go Loko YG X Tyga X Jon Z 49000
107 I Don't Know About You Chris Lane 48500
108 Memories Maroon 5 48000
109 Here with Me (feat. CHVRCHES) Marshmello 48000
110 Time NF 48000
111 This Is It Scotty McCreery 48000
112 GIRL Maren Morris 48000
113 Earfquake Tyler, The Creator 47500
114 Callaita Bad Bunny & Tainy 47500
115 Talk You Out of It Florida Georgia Line 46500
116 China Anuel AA & Friends 45500
117 Girl Like You Jason Aldean 45500
118 Miss Me More Kelsea Ballerini 45500
119 Backin' It Up (feat. Cardi B) Pardison Fontaine 45000
120 Here Tonight Brett Young 45000
121 Put a Date on It (feat. Lil Baby) Yo Gotti 45000
122 All I Want for Christmas Is You Mariah Carey 44500
123 Otro Trago (feat. Darell) Sech 44500
124 Mixed Personalities (feat. Kanye West) YNW Melly 44500
125 Cool Jonas Brothers 44000
126 Girls Need Love (feat. Drake) Summer Walker 44000
127 Rearview Town Jason Aldean 44000
128 Press Cardi B 43500
129 Uproar Lil Wayne 43500
130 Who Do You Love (feat. 5 Seconds of Summer) The Chainsmokers 43000
131 HIGHEST IN THE ROOM Travis Scott 42000
132 Natural Imagine Dragons 42000
133 Easier 5 Seconds of Summer 42000
134 Prayed for You Matt Stell 41500
135 10,000 Hours (feat. Justin Bieber) Dan + Shay 41000
136 Take What You Want (feat. Ozzy Osbourne) Post Malone 41000
137 Armed and Dangerous Juice WRLD 40500
138 Twerk (feat. Cardi B) City Girls 40000
139 Calling My Spirit Kodak Black 39000
140 Lalala Y2K & bbno$ 39000
141 Just Us (feat. SZA) DJ Khaled 38500
142 Even Though I'm Leaving Luke Combs 37500
143 Pure Cocaine Lil Baby 37500
144 Millionaire Chris Stapleton 37000
145 This Feeling (feat. Kelsea Ballerini) The Chainsmokers 37000
146 Nightmare Halsey 36500
147 Sanguine Paradise Lil Uzi Vert 36500
148 One Man Band Old Dominion 36000
149 Best Shot Jimmie Allen 36000
150 Sixteen Thomas Rhett 36000

Now, with November 23 week scrapped, Beautiful won't made it (which is unfortunate because I loved the song). And Love Lies and All to Myself are both barely made it at 99 and 100, this is important because those two songs will be the ones I highlighted the most in the next week charts. (PS: At Scenario 1, Love Lies made it at 92, while All to Myself got it to 97.)

[Abbaschand]

Now for Scenario 3 (the one's that Pulse think will be the official one from Billboard, while I'm just sitting with everyone who thinks Scenario 4 will be the one.)

Scenario 3 (November 24 to November 23)
No. Song Singer (Main) Points
1 Sunflower Swae Lee & Post Malone 360000
2 Without Me Halsey 328000
3 Old Town Road Lil Nas X & Billy Ray Cyrus 297000
4 Wow. Post Malone 278500
5 bad guy Billie Eilish 265000
6 Happier (feat. Bastille) Marshmello 258500
7 Talk Khalid 250000
8 Sucker Jonas Brothers 247000
9 SICKO MODE (feat. Drake) Travis Scott 232500
10 Dancing with a Stranger Sam Smith & Normani 232000
11 7 rings Ariana Grande 229000
12 High Hopes Panic! At the Disco 228500
13 Truth Hurts Lizzo 212000
14 thank u, next Ariana Grande 200000
15 Shallow Lady Gaga & Bradley Cooper 191500
16 Eastside (feat. Halsey and Khalid) Benny Blanco 191500
17 Going Bad (feat. Drake) Meek Mill 189000
18 I Don't Care (feat. Justin Bieber) Ed Sheeran 188500
19 Senorita Shawn Mendes & Camila Cabello 186000
20 Better Khalid 180500
21 Suge DaBaby 173500
22 Sweet But Psycho Ava Max 169500
23 Girls Like You (feat. Cardi B) Maroon 5 165000
24 No Guidance (feat. Drake) Chris Brown 163000
25 Someone You Loved Lewis Capaldi 159500
26 MIDDLE CHILD J. Cole 157000
27 Drip Too Hard Lil Baby & Gunna 151500
28 Ran$om Lil Tecca 140000
29 If I Can't Have You Shawn Mendes 133000
30 Goodbyes (feat. Young Thug) Post Malone 126000
31 Speechless Dan + Shay 124500
32 Money In the Grave (feat. Rick Ross) Drake 122500
33 ZEZE (feat. Travis Scott and Offset) Kodak Black 122000
34 Better Now Post Malone 121500
35 Youngblood 5 Seconds of Summer 119000
36 Panini Lil Nas X 118500
37 Look Back At It A Boogie Wit da Hoodie 115500
38 Money Cardi B 115000
39 You Need to Calm Down Taylor Swift 113500
40 break up with your girlfriend, i'm bored Ariana Grande 112000
41 Please Me Cardi B & Bruno Mars 111000
42 Beautiful People (feat. Khalid) Ed Sheeran 109500
43 Pop Out (feat. Lil TJay) Polo G 109000
44 MIA (feat. Drake) Bad Bunny 109000
45 A Lot (feat. J. Cole) 21 Savage 108500
46 God's Country Blake Shelton 104000
47 Beautiful Crazy Luke Combs 104000
48 Whiskey Glasses Morgan Wallen 103000
49 Thotiana Blueface 100000
50 Lucid Dreams Juice WRLD 98500
51 Pure Water Mustard & Migos 97000
52 Close to Me (feat. Swae Lee) Ellie Goulding & Diplo 96500
53 You Say Lauren Daigle 95500
54 Be Alright Dean Lewis 94500
55 Taki Taki (feat. Ozuna, Cardi B, and Selena Gomez) DJ Snake 94000
56 Envy Me Callboy 94000
57 Wake Up in the Sky (feat. Kodak Black) Gucci Mane & Bruno Mars 94000
58 ME! (feat. Brendon Urie) Taylor Swift 93500
59 The Git Up Blanco Brown 93500
60 Mo Bamba Sheck Wes 93000
61 Hey Look Ma, I Made It Panic! At the Disco 92000
62 The London (feat. J. Cole and Travis Scott) Young Thug 90500
63 Beer Never Broke My Heart Luke Combs 90000
64 Con Calma (feat. Snow) Daddy Yankee & Katy Perry 87500
65 Circles Post Malone 86000
66 Trampoline SHAED 84000
67 Act Up City Girls 82500
68 when the party's over Billie Eilish 82500
69 I Like It (feat. Bad Bunny and J. Balvin) Cardi B 79500
70 Murder on My Mind YNW Melly 77500
71 Leave Me Alone Flipp Dinero 75500
72 Only Human Jonas Brothers 75000
73 Baby Shark PinkFong 74000
74 bury a friend Billie Eilish 73500
75 My Type Saweetie 73000
76 How Do You Sleep? Sam Smith 73000
77 Baby Lil Baby & DaBaby 72500
78 Breathin Ariana Grande 71500
79 Close Friends Lil Baby 70500
80 Worth It YK Osiris 70500
81 Swervin (feat. 6ix9ine) A Boogie Wit da Hoodie 68000
82 Knockin' Boots Luke Bryan 67500
83 One Thing Right (feat. Kane Brown) Marshmello 67000
84 Hot Girl Summer (feat. Ty Dolla Sign) Megan Thee Stallion & Nicki Minaj 62000
85 Trip Ella Mai 62000
86 Rumor Lee Brice 62000
87 Good as Hell Lizzo 59500
88 Look What God Gave Her Thomas Rhett 59500
89 Cash (feat. DaBaby) Megan Thee Stallion 59500
90 Tequila Dan + Shay 59000
91 Good As You Kane Brown 59000
92 Clout (feat. Cardi B) Offset 58500
93 Love Lies Khalid & Normani 58000
94 On Chill (feat. Jeremih) Wale 56500
95 Hot (feat. Gunna) Young Thug 55500
96 Shotta Flow NLE Choppa 55500
97 Lover Taylor Swift 55000
98 boyfriend (feat. Social House) Ariana Grande 54500
99 Beautiful (feat. Camila Cabello) Bazzi 54000
100 Eyes On You Chase Rice 53000
101 All to Myself Dan + Shay 52500
102 Never Really Over Katy Perry 51500
103 Walk Me Home P!nk 51500
104 Ballin' (feat. Roddy Ricch) Mustard 50000
105 Robbery Juice WRLD 50000
106 Go Loko YG X Tyga X Jon Z 49000
107 I Don't Know About You Chris Lane 48500
108 Memories Maroon 5 48000
109 Natural Imagine Dragons 48000
110 Here with Me (feat. CHVRCHES) Marshmello 48000
111 Time NF 48000
112 This Is It Scotty McCreery 48000
113 GIRL Maren Morris 48000
114 Earfquake Tyler, The Creator 47500
115 Uproar Lil Wayne 47500
116 Callaita Bad Bunny & Tainy 47500
117 Talk You Out of It Florida Georgia Line 46500
118 China Anuel AA & Friends 45500
119 Girl Like You Jason Aldean 45500
120 Miss Me More Kelsea Ballerini 45500
121 Backin' It Up (feat. Cardi B) Pardison Fontaine 45000
122 Here Tonight Brett Young 45000
123 Put a Date on It (feat. Lil Baby) Yo Gotti 45000
124 All I Want for Christmas Is You Mariah Carey 44500
125 Otro Trago (feat. Darell) Sech 44500
126 Mixed Personalities (feat. Kanye West) YNW Melly 44500
127 Cool Jonas Brothers 44000
128 Girls Need Love (feat. Drake) Summer Walker 44000
129 Rearview Town Jason Aldean 44000
130 Armed and Dangerous Juice WRLD 44000
131 Press Cardi B 43500
132 Who Do You Love (feat. 5 Seconds of Summer) The Chainsmokers 43000
133 HIGHEST IN THE ROOM Travis Scott 42000
134 Easier 5 Seconds of Summer 42000
135 Prayed for You Matt Stell 41500
136 10,000 Hours (feat. Justin Bieber) Dan + Shay 41000
137 Take What You Want (feat. Ozzy Osbourne) Post Malone 41000
138 Twerk (feat. Cardi B) City Girls 40000
139 Best Shot Jimmie Allen 39500
140 Calling My Spirit Kodak Black 39000
141 This Feeling (feat. Kelsea Ballerini) The Chainsmokers 39000
142 Lalala Y2K & bbno$ 39000
143 Just Us (feat. SZA) DJ Khaled 38500
144 Millionaire Chris Stapleton 38000
145 Even Though I'm Leaving Luke Combs 37500
146 Pure Cocaine Lil Baby 37500
147 Ella Quiere Beber Anuel AA & Romeo Santos 37500
148 Sixteen Thomas Rhett 37000
149 Arms Around You (feat. Maluma and Swae Lee) XXXTENTACION & Lil Pump 37000
150 Nightmare Halsey 36500

Now, Lover barely made it at 97, and All to Myself just missed it at 101. This goes to show how much Love Lies and Beautiful lost their points from November 24 week, because here, Love Lies is sitting nice at 93, while Beautiful still made it at 99.

[rimetm]

November 23, 2019 - 3/6 Scenarios Complete

Scenario 2 (November 24, 2018 - November 23, 2019 - 53 weeks)






Scenario 3 (December 1, 2018 - November 23, 2019 - 52 weeks)






While it's a little awkward that other predictors are ordering their Scenarios differently, my Scenario 3 is the one I'll be doing a video on in the near future!

[Lukas]

Dancing With A Stranger being in the top 15 of the entire year just seems so wrong. I recognize that this song has so much chart longevity, but like most of it is because of radio refusing to let go of it. I didn't see this song anywhere near the top of the digital sales or streaming charts.

Like, I really don't think that this song was bigger or deserves to be higher than Senorita, which had 17 weeks in the top 3 and 21 weeks in the top 5. Even for just the 2019 tracking year. And thank u next if Scenario 3 is used, for that matter.

Just my opinion though.

[sirskimask]

Nov 19, 2019 19:36:17 GMT -5 Lukas said:

Dancing With A Stranger being in the top 15 of the entire year just seems so wrong. I recognize that this song has so much chart longevity, but like most of it is because of radio refusing to let go of it. I didn't see this song anywhere near the top of the digital sales or streaming charts.

Like, I really don't think that this song was bigger or deserves to be higher than Senorita, which had 17 weeks in the top 3 and 21 weeks in the top 5. Even for just the 2019 tracking year. And thank u next if Scenario 3 is used, for that matter.

Just my opinion though.

DWAS came out at the beginning of the year so it makes sense that it's going to be higher than Senorita which didn't release til June

[Deleted]

Nov 19, 2019 19:27:48 GMT -5 rimetm said:

Scenario 2 (November 24, 2018 - November 23, 2019 - 53 weeks)

Hate to bother you but it appears you posted scenario 1 instead of scenario 2 (Good As Hell and Hot Girl Summer aren't updated).

EDIT: It's been fixed.

[reputainbow]

idk what billboard is going to do, but if 11/23 is the last tracking week of the 2019 year end list, this is what i have

SPOILER: Click to show

{Top 100}1 Old Town Road (Lil Nas X/Billy Ray Cyrus) 6491
2 Sunflower (Post Malone/Swae Lee) 6358
3 Without Me (Halsey) 5902
4 Bad Guy (Billie Eilish) 4927
5 Wow. (Post Malone) 4811
6 7 rings (Ariana Grande) 4540
7 Happier (Marshmello/Bastille) 4400
8 Sucker (Jonas Brothers) 4399
9 Truth Hurts (Lizzo) 4359
10 Talk (Khalid) 4298
11 Sicko Mode (Travis Scott) 3959
12 High Hopes (Panic! at the Disco) 3788
13 Dancing With a Stranger (Sam Smith/Normani) 3710
14 Senorita (Shawn Mendes/Camila Cabello) 3680
15 thank u, next (Ariana Grande) 3589
16 I Don't Care (Ed Sheeran/Justin Bieber) 3336
17 Shallow (Lady Gaga/Bradley Cooper) 3033
18 Someone You Loved (Lewis Capaldi) 2910
19 Going Bad (Meek Mill/Drake) 2910
20 No Guidance (Chris Brown/Drake) 2899
21 Eastside (Benny Blanco/Halsey/Khalid) 2847
22 Better (Khalid) 2810
23 Suge (DaBaby) 2691
24 Sweet But Psycho (Ava Max) 2612
25 MIDDLE CHILD (J. Cole) 2513
26 Girls Like You (Maroon 5/Cardi B) 2472
27 Ran$om (Lil Tecca) 2444
28 Drip Too Hard (Lil Baby/Yung Gunna) 2310
29 Goodbyes (Post Malone/Young Thug) 2068
30 If I Can't Have You (Shawn Mendes) 2036
31 Panini (Lil Nas X) 1971
32 Speechless (Dan + Shay) 1962
33 Please Me (Cardi B/Bruno Mars) 1911
34 Money In the Grave (Drake/Rick Ross) 1900
35 Look Back At It (A Boogie Wit da Hoodie) 1819
36 You Need to Calm Down (Taylor Swift) 1818
37 ZEZE (Kodak Black/Travis Scott/Offset) 1798
38 Better Now (Post Malone) 1782
39 Youngblood (5 Seconds of Summer) 1764
40 break up with your girlfriend, i'm bored (Ariana Grande) 1731
41 A Lot (21 Savage) 1704
42 Money (Cardi B) 1697
43 Pop Out (Polo G/Lil Tjay) 1687
44 Beautiful Crazy (Luke Combs) 1668
45 Circles (Post Malone) 1640
46 Beautiful People (Ed Sheeran/Khalid) 1635
47 MIA (Bad Bunny/Drake) 1623
48 God's Country (Blake Shelton) 1620
49 Whiskey Glasses (Morgan Wallen) 1604
50 Pure Water (Mustard/Migos) 1559
51 Be Alright (Dean Lewis) 1528
52 Thotiana (Blueface) 1522
53 Envy Me (Calboy) 1498
54 ME! (Taylor Swift/Brendon Urie) 1497
55 You Say (Lauren Daigle) 1477
56 Close to Me (Ellie Goulding/Diplo/Swae Lee) 1458
57 Lucid Dreams (Juice WRLD) 1452
58 Beer Never Broke My Heart (Luke Combs) 1445
59 The Git Up (Blanco Brown) 1432
60 The London (Young Thug/J. Cole/Travis Scott) 1429
61 Hey Look Ma, I Made It (Panic! At the Disco) 1396
62 Mo Bamba (Sheck Wes) 1363
63 Taki Taki (DJ Snake/Selena Gomez/Ozuna/Cardi B) 1350
64 Wake Up In the Sky (Gucci Mane/Bruno Mars/Kodak Black) 1337
65 Con Calma (Daddy Yankee/Katy Perry/Snow) 1335
66 Act Up (City Girls) 1320
67 Trampoline (SHAED) 1256
68 My Type (Saweetie) 1230
69 I Like It (Cardi B/Bad Bunny/J Balvin) 1211
70 Baby Shark (Pinkfong) 1189
71 Baby (Lil Baby/DaBaby) 1184
72 How Do You Sleep? (Sam Smith) 1181
73 Bury a Friend (Billie Eilish) 1176
74 Murder On My Mind (YNW Melly) 1168
75 When the Party's Over (Billie Eilish) 1163
76 Leave Me Alone (Flipp Dinero) 1157
77 Only Human (Jonas Brothers) 1109
78 Swervin (A Boogie Wit da Hoodie/6ix9ine) 1060
79 Knockin' Boots (Luke Bryan) 1055
80 Worth It (YK Osiris) 1043
81 Good as Hell (Lizzo) 1024
82 One Thing Right (Marshmello/Kane Brown) 1018
83 Hot Girl Summer (Megan Thee Stallion/Nicki Minaj/Ty Dolla $ign) 991
84 Breathin (Ariana Grande) 988
85 Clout (Offset/Cardi B) 944
86 Close Friends (Lil Baby) 939
87 Rumor (Lee Brice) 931
88 Look What God Gave Her (Thomas Rhett) 911
89 Cash s**t (Megan Thee Stallion/DaBaby) 903
90 Tequila (Dan + Shay) 898
91 Hot (Young Thug/Gunna) 893
92 Good as You (Kane Brown) 893
93 Trip (Ella Mai) 887
94 On Chill (Wale/Jeremih) 884
95 Lover (Taylor Swift) 857
96 Love Lies (Khalid/Normani) 838
97 Boyfriend (Ariana Grande/Social House) 816
98 Shotta Flow (NLE Choppa) 815
99 Never Really Over (Katy Perry) 815
100 Beautiful (Bazzi/Camila Cabello) 803

SPOILER: Click to show

{#101-125}101 All I Want for Christmas Is You (Mariah Carey) 791
102 HIGHEST IN THE ROOM (Travis Scott) 783
103 All to Myself (Dan + Shay) 779
104 Eyes on You (Chase Rice) 779
105 Memories (Maroon 5) 761
106 Walk Me Home (P!nk) 737
107 Ballin' (Mustard/Roddy Ricch) 728
108 Robbery (Juice WRLD) 727
109 Here With Me (Marshmello/CHVRCHES) 723
110 Time (NF) 720
111 Go Loko (YG/Tyga/Jon Z) 713
112 EARFQUAKE (Tyler, the Creator) 697
113 I Don't Know About You (Chris Lane) 686
114 GIRL (Maren Morris) 677
115 This Is It (Scotty McCreery) 676
116 Backin' It Up (Pardison Fontaine/Cardi B) 669
117 Natural (Imagine Dragons) 663
118 Uproar (Lil Wayne) 662
119 Girl Like You (Jason Aldean) 652
120 Callaita (Bad Bunny/Tainy) 651
121 10,000 Hours (Dan + Shay/Justin Bieber) 639
122 China (Anuel AA/Daddy Yankee/Karol G/J Balvin/Ozuna) 638
123 Take What You Want (Post Malone/Ozzy Osbourne/Travis Scott) 637
124 Miss Me More (Kelsea Ballerini) 637
125 Who Do You Love (The Chainsmokers/5 Seconds of Summer) 635

[Deleted]

Taking the 3 most likely scenarios, it appears the cutoff will either be Beautiful (11/24/18), Robbery (Neither) or This Is It (11/30/19).

[tuna]

rest in peace, Lover

May you live on in 2020

[Deleted]

Nov 19, 2019 22:15:03 GMT -5 tuna said:

rest in peace, Lover

May you live on in 2020

Its chances aren't done yet. If the week of November 30th, 2019 counts, it could very well slip in.

[GPMB]

Here are my OFFICIAL 11/24/2018-11/23/2019 (the most likely scenario imo) TOP 150 YEAR END PREDICTIONS using an INVERSE POINT SYSTEM! (they're based on how Daniel Collins used to do his predictions in 2014 but i already said that earlier in this thread)

1. POST MALONE & SWAE LEE - SUNFLOWER (1453110)
2. LIL NAS X feat. BILLY RAY CYRUS - OLD TOWN ROAD (REMIX) (1419620)
3. HALSEY - WITHOUT ME (1373880)
4. BILLIE EILISH - BAD GUY (1183350)
5. POST MALONE - WOW. (1037920)
6. ARIANA GRANDE - 7 RINGS (990980)
7. MARSHMELLO & BASTILLE - HAPPIER (973970)
8. LIZZO - TRUTH HURTS (961790)
9. JONAS BROTHERS - SUCKER (943590)
10. KHALID - TALK (927510)
11. TRAVIS SCOTT feat. DRAKE - SICKO MODE (902160)
12. SHAWN MENDES & CAMILA CABELLO - SEÑORITA (900260)
13. ARIANA GRANDE - THANK U, NEXT (843820)
14. PANIC! AT THE DISCO - HIGH HOPES (809540)
15. SAM SMITH & NORMANI - DANCING WITH A STRANGER (747210)
16. ED SHEERAN & JUSTIN BIEBER - I DON'T CARE (745080)
17. LEWIS CAPALDI - SOMEONE YOU LOVED (644880)
18. CHRIS BROWN feat. DRAKE - NO GUIDANCE (627250)
19. BENNY BLANCO, HALSEY, & KHALID - EASTSIDE (623690)
20. LADY GAGA & BRADLEY COOPER - SHALLOW (620270)
21. MEEK MILL feat. DRAKE - GOING BAD (592890)
22. DABABY - SUGE (556640)
23. MAROON 5 feat. CARDI B - GIRLS LIKE YOU (545130)
24. KHALID - BETTER (543320)
25. J. COLE - MIDDLE CHILD (537070)
26. AVA MAX - SWEET BUT PSYCHO (531530)
27. LIL TECCA - RANSOM (522500)
28. LIL BABY & GUNNA - DRIP TOO HARD (500740)
29. SHAWN MENDES - IF I CAN'T HAVE YOU (453330)
30. POST MALONE feat. YOUNG THUG - GOODBYES (452870)
31. DRAKE feat. RICK ROSS - MONEY IN THE GRAVE (403630)
32. LIL NAS X - PANINI (402960)
33. CARDI B & BRUNO MARS - PLEASE ME (402130)
34. KODAK BLACK feat. TRAVIS SCOTT & OFFSET - ZEZE (401290)
35. TAYLOR SWIFT - YOU NEED TO CALM DOWN (384580)
36. POST MALONE - CIRCLES (377550)
37. POST MALONE - BETTER NOW (376740)
38. DAN + SHAY - SPEECHLESS (371040)
39. 5 SECONDS OF SUMMER - YOUNGBLOOD (369410)
40. ARIANA GRANDE - BREAK UP WITH YOUR GIRLFRIEND, I'M BORED (368680)
41. CARDI B - MONEY (348150)
42. A BOOGIE WIT DA HOODIE - LOOK BACK AT IT (340730)
43. TAYLOR SWIFT feat. BRENDON URIE - ME! (336440)
44. ED SHEERAN feat. KHALID - BEAUTIFUL PEOPLE (331510)
45. POLO G feat. LIL TJAY - POP OUT (328350)
46. 21 SAVAGE feat. J. COLE - A LOT (326340)
47. BAD BUNNY feat. DRAKE - MIA (319470)
48. BLUEFACE - THOTIANA (319180)
49. LUKE COMBS - BEAUTIFUL CRAZY (311660)
50. SHECK WES - MO BAMBA (311240)
51. JUICE WRLD - LUCID DREAMS (310850)
52. BLAKE SHELTON - GOD'S COUNTRY (307180)
53. MORGAN WALLEN - WHISKEY GLASSES (302600)
54. GUCCI MANE, BRUNO MARS, & KODAK BLACK - WAKE UP IN THE SKY (299030)
55. DEAN LEWIS - BE ALRIGHT (288840)
56. MUSTARD & MIGOS - PURE WATER (288630)
57. BLANCO BROWN - THE GIT UP (282870)
58. CALBOY - ENVY ME (281450)
59. LAUREN DAIGLE - YOU SAY (279770)
60. ELLIE GOULDING, DIPLO, & SWAE LEE - CLOSE TO ME (277740)
61. PANIC! AT THE DISCO - HEY LOOK MA, I MADE IT (271510)
62. DJ SNAKE feat. SELENA GOMEZ, OZUNA, & CARDI B - TAKI TAKI (270170)
63. YOUNG THUG feat. J. COLE & TRAVIS SCOTT - THE LONDON (268770)
64. LUKE COMBS - BEER NEVER BROKE MY HEART (265710)
65. DADDY YANKEE feat. SNOW & KATY PERRY - CON CALMA (REMIX) (257590)
66. SHAED - TRAMPOLINE (254860)
67. CITY GIRLS - ACT UP (243010)
68. BILLIE EILISH - WHEN THE PARTY'S OVER (238830)
69. YNW MELLY - MURDER ON MY MIND (234870)
70. CARDI B, BAD BUNNY, & J BALVIN - I LIKE IT (234800)
71. SAWEETIE - MY TYPE (228660)
72. FLIPP DINERO - LEAVE ME ALONE (225200)
73. ARIANA GRANDE - BREATHIN (223980)
74. JONAS BROTHERS - ONLY HUMAN (223580)
75. BILLIE EILISH - BURY A FRIEND (222670)
76. PINKFONG - BABY SHARK (219100)
77. QUALITY CONTROL (LIL BABY feat. DABABY) - BABY (216800)
78. SAM SMITH - HOW DO YOU SLEEP? (214760)
79. LIZZO - GOOD AS HELL (206770)
80. LIL BABY - CLOSE FRIENDS (206650)
81. YK OSIRIS - WORTH IT (205750)
82. LUKE BRYAN - KNOCKIN' BOOTS (204300)
83. A BOOGIE WIT DA HOODIE feat. 6IX9INE - SWERVIN (200800)
84. MARSHMELLO & KANE BROWN - ONE THING RIGHT (194600)
85. MEGAN THEE STALLION feat. TY DOLLA $IGN & NICKI MINAJ - HOT GIRL SUMMER (189110)
86. ELLA MAI - TRIP (183500)
87. OFFSET feat. CARDI B - CLOUT (183000)
88. LEE BRICE - RUMOR (181530)
89. DAN + SHAY - TEQUILA (176930)
90. THOMAS RHETT - LOOK WHAT GOD GAVE HER (176900)
91. MEGAN THEE STALLION feat. DABABY - CASH SH*T (176500)
92. KANE BROWN - GOOD AS YOU (173350)
93. TRAVIS SCOTT - HIGHEST IN THE ROOM (170980)
94. YOUNG THUG feat. GUNNA - HOT (170500)
95. KHALID & NORMANI - LOVE LIES (170290)
96. MARIAH CAREY - ALL I WANT FOR CHRISTMAS IS YOU (167300)
97. WALE feat. JEREMIH - ON CHILL (165780)
98. MAROON 5 - MEMORIES (165600)
99. NLE CHOPPA - SHOTTA FLOW (165250)
100. TAYLOR SWIFT - LOVER (164560)

101. ARIANA GRANDE & SOCIAL HOUSE - BOYFRIEND (162700)
102. BAZZI feat. CAMILA CABELLO - BEAUTIFUL (159840)
103. DAN + SHAY - ALL TO MYSELF (159050)
104. CHASE RICE - EYES ON YOU (156500)
105. KATY PERRY - NEVER REALLY OVER (155530)
106. SCOTTY MCCREERY - THIS IS IT (150300)
107. YG feat. TYGA & JON Z - GO LOKO (149850)
108. P!NK - WALK ME HOME (149250)
109. DAN + SHAY & JUSTIN BIEBER - 10,000 HOURS (149060)
110. JUICE WRLD - ROBBERY (148890)
111. MUSTARD feat. RODDY RICCH - BALLIN' (147220)
112. IMAGINE DRAGONS - NATURAL (142920)
113. CHRIS LANE - I DON'T KNOW ABOUT YOU (142650)
114. NF - TIME (141500)
115. TYLER, THE CREATOR feat. PLAYBOI CARTI - EARFQUAKE (141480)
116. MAREN MORRIS - GIRL (140900)
117. MARSHMELLO feat. CHVRCHES - HERE WITH ME (140750)
118. BRETT YOUNG - HERE TONIGHT (140650)
119. JASON ALDEAN - GIRL LIKE YOU (140500)
120. FLORIDA GEORGIA LINE - TALK YOU OUT OF IT (138850)
121. LIL WAYNE - UPROAR (137500)
122. PARDISON FONTAINE feat. CARDI B - BACKIN' IT UP (135600)
123. SECH feat. DARELL, NICKY JAM, OZUNA, & ANUEL AA - OTRO TRAGO (REMIX) (134900)
124. KELSEA BALLERINI - MISS ME MORE (134850)
125. BAD BUNNY feat. TAINY - CALLAÍTA (134300)
126. YNW MELLY feat. KANYE WEST - MIXED PERSONALITIES (132550)
127. JASON ALDEAN - REARVIEW TOWN (131500)
128. ANUEL AA, DADDY YANKEE, & CAROL G feat. OZUNA & J BALVIN - CHINA (131450)
129. SELENA GOMEZ - LOSE YOU TO LOVE ME (131370)
130. YO GOTTI feat. LIL BABY - PUT A DATE ON IT (130350)
131. THE CHAINSMOKERS feat. 5 SECONDS OF SUMMER - WHO DO YOU LOVE (128200)
132. CARDI B - PRESS (128100)
133. SUMMER WALKER & DRAKE - GIRLS NEED LOVE (REMIX) (128000)
134. JUICE WRLD - ARMED AND DANGEROUS (126700)
135. JONAS BROTHERS - COOL (126000)
136. POST MALONE feat. OZZY OSBOURNE & TRAVIS SCOTT - TAKE WHAT YOU WANT (125470)
137. 5 SECONDS OF SUMMER - EASIER (122700)
138. MATT STELL - PRAYED FOR YOU (122650)
139. CITY GIRLS feat. CARDI B - TWERK (121480)
140. THE CHAINSMOKERS feat. KELSEA BALLERINI - THIS FEELING (116750)
141. KODAK BLACK - CALLING MY SPIRIT (115700)
142. LUKE COMBS - EVEN THOUGH I'M LEAVING (115440)
143. JIMMIE ALLEN - BEST SHOT (115400)
144. JUICE WRLD & YOUNGBOY NEVER BROKE AGAIN - BANDIT (114940)
145. JUSTIN MOORE - THE ONES THAT DIDN'T MAKE IT BACK HOME (112100)
146. LIL UZI VERT - SANGUINE PARADISE (112090)
147. Y2K & BBNO$ - LALALA (112000)
148. CHRIS STAPLETON - MILLIONAIRE (111600)
149. LUKE COMBS - SHE GOT THE BEST OF ME (111200)
150. HALSEY - NIGHTMARE (110320)

[dremolus - solarpunk]

What's the consensus on 'boyfriend'? Will it sneak in or miss?

[Deleted]

Nov 20, 2019 5:00:00 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

What's the consensus on 'boyfriend'? Will it sneak in or miss?

It seems to be on the very edge, so it all depends on the rules Billboard decides to apply. I really hope it gets to sneak in, it’s a nice throwback to early 2000s RnB.

[𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿]

Regardless of which scenario ends up being the official...

BAZZI AND CAMILA'S "BEAUTIFUL" SHOULD BE THERE!!!

But hoping it's Scenario 3 regardless of predictor.

[Deleted]

Nov 20, 2019 7:32:36 GMT -5 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 said:

Regardless of which scenario ends up being the official...

BAZZI AND CAMILA'S "BEAUTIFUL" SHOULD BE THERE!!!

But hoping it's Scenario 3 regardless of predictor.

I'm honestly rooting for Beautiful just so I can mess with my friend hydraflare who added it to his 2018 barely missed rankdown on Pulse.

Also, I rather have Love Lies and Beautiful than Go Loko and Robbery. Tequila would be locked and This Is It would still be in play as well.

[tuna]

Nov 19, 2019 22:42:14 GMT -5 @delphox said:

Nov 19, 2019 22:15:03 GMT -5 tuna said:

rest in peace, Lover

May you live on in 2020

Its chances aren't done yet. If the week of November 30th, 2019 counts, it could very well slip in.

Yes but that's unlikely

[GPMB]

what if it ends up being the case that we were all way off and Natural repeats just like Believer did last year

[Deleted]

Nov 20, 2019 14:54:24 GMT -5 GPMB said:

what if it ends up being the case that we were all way off and Natural repeats just like Believer did last year

As funny as that would be, Believer was only about 6,000 points away from the projected #100 song on fhas' list, so it made it due to error.

Natural is at best 18,000 points away from the projected #100 song on rimetm's list, and that is with the week of November 24th, 2018.

[rimetm]

The video's premiering in about 45 minutes, hopefully you guys will enjoy it!

[GPMB]

Nov 20, 2019 15:35:07 GMT -5 @delphox said:

Nov 20, 2019 14:54:24 GMT -5 GPMB said:

what if it ends up being the case that we were all way off and Natural repeats just like Believer did last year

As funny as that would be, Believer was only about 6,000 points away from the projected #100 song on fhas' list, so it made it due to error.

Natural is at best 18,000 points away from the projected #100 song on rimetm's list, and that is with the week of November 24th, 2018.

Yeah I know it’s basically impossible I’m just saying what if

[hydraflare]

Nov 20, 2019 10:45:32 GMT -5 @delphox said:

Nov 20, 2019 7:32:36 GMT -5 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 said:

Regardless of which scenario ends up being the official...

BAZZI AND CAMILA'S "BEAUTIFUL" SHOULD BE THERE!!!

But hoping it's Scenario 3 regardless of predictor.

I'm honestly rooting for Beautiful just so I can mess with my friend hydraflare who added it to his 2018 barely missed rankdown on Pulse.

Also, I rather have Love Lies and Beautiful than Go Loko and Robbery. Tequila would be locked and This Is It would still be in play as well.

I hate you

[inverse]

Nov 21, 2019 12:19:55 GMT -5 hydraflare said:

Nov 20, 2019 10:45:32 GMT -5 @delphox said:

I'm honestly rooting for Beautiful just so I can mess with my friend hydraflare who added it to his 2018 barely missed rankdown on Pulse.

Also, I rather have Love Lies and Beautiful than Go Loko and Robbery. Tequila would be locked and This Is It would still be in play as well.

I hate you

You need to calm down

[Deleted]

I feel like there are a lot of songs charting right now that will eventually be caught between years, especially with Christmas season on the way.

[twelvevinylrecords]

Happy 400 Pages y'all

[sirskimask]

Nov 21, 2019 14:13:43 GMT -5 @delphox said:

I feel like there are a lot of songs charting right now that will eventually be caught between years, especially with Christmas season on the way.

Time, Heat, Graveyard, Playing Games to name a few that'll probably get stuck 

[Deleted]

Nov 21, 2019 14:18:31 GMT -5 sirskimask said:

Nov 21, 2019 14:13:43 GMT -5 @delphox said:

I feel like there are a lot of songs charting right now that will eventually be caught between years, especially with Christmas season on the way.

Time, Heat, Graveyard, Playing Games to name a few that'll probably get stuck 

We also got Ballin', On Chill and maybe Lover if November 30th, 2019 isn't counted towards the 2019 year end list.

[GPMB]

at the rate that chart year strength is going as of now, in 20 years a song that charted for 1 week at #100 will be eligible for the year end

[nathanalbright]

Nov 21, 2019 14:22:13 GMT -5 GPMB said:

at the rate that chart year strength is going as of now, in 20 years a song that charted for 1 week at #100 will be eligible for the year end

It would have to beat a song that peaked at #99 and lasted for 27 weeks because it kept on beating recurrency.

[Deleted]

Jul 23, 2019 9:40:40 GMT -5 flextamcsignals said:

Bold prediction: Talk You Out Of It’s making the year-end.

It just achieved a new peak at 22 weeks and has yet to go top 10 on country airplay. If it keeps growing there, it won’t go recurrent on the main chart and get enough points.

Nice bold prediction Jfarbzz! ;)