Hot 100 Year-End Predictions (2019) - Year 6

[Daniel Collins]

Most accumulated points in a week since Mar. 2013

Harlem Shake 251k (1st week #1)
Harlem Shake 243k (2nd week #1)
Harlem Shake 140k (3rd week #1)
Wrecking Ball 126k (1st week #1)
Harlem Shake 123k (4th week #1)
Shake It Off 87k (1st week #1)
Blurred Lines 82k (9th week #1)
Blurred Lines 76k (10th week #1)
Harlem Shake 75k (5th week #1)
Happy 74.9k (3rd week #1)
Roar 74k (2nd week #1)
Thrift Shop 72k (4th week #1)
Anaconda 71.4k (1st week #2)
Blurred Lines 70.5k (6th week #1)
Blurred Lines 70k (7th week #1)


Almost all of them are Billboard Hot 100 No.1 which is difficult to get, not everybody has that, to their credit.

[Rocky]

Aug 30, 2014 3:42:53 GMT -5 Daniel Collins said:

Almost all of them are Billboard Hot 100 No.1 which is difficult to get, not everybody has that, to their credit.

Nooo! at you quoting this

[musicismylife]

Aug 30, 2014 3:42:53 GMT -5 Daniel Collins said:

Most accumulated points in a week since Mar. 2013

Harlem Shake 251k (1st week #1)
Harlem Shake 243k (2nd week #1)
Harlem Shake 140k (3rd week #1)
Wrecking Ball 126k (1st week #1)
Harlem Shake 123k (4th week #1)
Shake It Off 87k (1st week #1)
Blurred Lines 82k (9th week #1)
Blurred Lines 76k (10th week #1)
Harlem Shake 75k (5th week #1)
Happy 74.9k (3rd week #1)
Roar 74k (2nd week #1)
Thrift Shop 72k (4th week #1)
Anaconda 71.4k (1st week #2)
Blurred Lines 70.5k (6th week #1)
Blurred Lines 70k (7th week #1)


Almost all of them are Billboard Hot 100 No.1 which is difficult to get, not everybody has that, to their credit.

Wow at Harlem Shake. And Anaconda would have gotten #1 on almost any other week of 2014 (besides that Happy week).

[Lahey's Lucky Star]

YAAAAAAAS LEGENDARIANA HELP KILL SAIL OFF

[Daniel Collins]

I made some adjustments to the points of songs below Top 25 so don't be surprised if you see some changes from recurrent songs.

[Daniel Collins]

Week 41: Up to week dated 9/13/2014

Formula: Sales/12 + Airplay/8,700 + Streams/550

Hot 100	Song	Points	% Streams	% Sales	% Radio
1	Shake It Off	55,700	26%	53%	21%
2	All About That Bass	53,770	38%	41%	21%
3	Anaconda	50,680	57%	31%	12%
4	Bang Bang	46,430	39%	44%	17%
5	Stay With Me	40,250	28%	26%	46%
6	Black Widow	36,750	34%	42%	24%
7	Break Free	33,560	43%	29%	28%
8	Rude	33,420	33%	17%	50%
9	Chandelier	27,700	43%	28%	29%
10	Boom Clap	27,470	26%	27%	47%

LW	TW	Artist	Song	Points	BB Hot 100	Weeks On	Peak
1	1	Pharrell Williams	Happy	1,256,130	24	35	1
2	2	Katy Perry	Dark Horse	1,245,950	32	41	1
3	3	John Legend	All Of Me	1,161,770	19	41	1
4	4	OneRepublic	Counting Stars	932,380	45	41	2
5	5	Iggy Azalea ft. Charli XCX	Fancy	883,490	13	26	1
6	6	Jason Derulo ft. 2 Chainz	Talk Dirty	850,400	-	33	3
7	7	Pitbull ft. Ke$ha	Timber	798,030	-	33	1
8	8	Bastille	Pompeii	738,230	-	39	5
9	9	Ariana Grande ft. Iggy Azalea	Problem	717,450	12	18	2
11	10	DJ Snake & Lil Jon	Turn Down For What	671,250	47	36	4
10	11	Eminem ft. Rihanna	The Monster	667,920	-	26	1
12	12	Magic!	Rude	630,880	8	19	1
13	13	A Great Big World & Christina Aguilera	Say Something	590,430	-	24	4
14	14	Lorde	Team	583,380	-	30	6
15	15	Passenger	Let Her Go	571,440	-	27	5
17	16	Idina Menzel	Let It Go (IM)	559,150	-	33	5
16	17	Lorde	Royals	556,520	-	24	1
18	18	Avicii	Wake Me Up	552,570	-	32	5
19	19	Imagine Dragons	Demons	545,000	-	31	6
22	20	Sam Smith	Stay With Me	536,870	5	21	2
21	21	Nico And Vinz	Am I Wrong	533,400	14	20	4
20	22	One Direction	Story Of My Life	528,820	-	29	8
23	23	American Authors	Best Day Of My Life	449,680	-	35	11
24	24	Beyonce ft. Jay-Z	Drunk In Love	432,870	-	20	2
26	25	Calvin Harris	Summer	421,950	37	24	7
27	26	Chris Brown ft. Lil Wayne, French Montana, Too $hort, Tyga	Loyal	420,990	39	33	9
25	27	Ellie Goulding	Burn	410,830	-	25	13
28	28	Miley Cyrus	Wrecking Ball	393,560	-	19	1
29	29	Kid Ink ft. Chris Brown	Show Me	390,550	-	29	13
30	30	Katy Perry	Roar	377,800	-	20	7
31	31	Justin Timberlake	Not A Bad Thing	367,910	-	22	8
32	32	Jason Derulo ft. Snoop Dogg	Wiggle	366,790	41	18	5
33	33	Disclosure ft. Sam Smith	Latch	360,220	18	24	7
34	34	Paramore	Ain't It Fun	341,000	-	24	10
35	35	Aloe Blacc	The Man	328,640	-	20	8
36	36	Florida Georgia Line ft. Luke Bryan	This Is How We Roll	323,390	-	28	15
37	37	MKTo	Classic	307,670	-	27	14
40	38	Imagine Dragons	Radioactive	296,640	-	23	13
38	39	Drake ft. Majid Jordan	Hold On We're Going Home	295,360	-	18	9
39	40	Trey Songz	Na Na	293,810	-	28	21
44	41	Sia	Chandelier	283,970	9	17	8
41	42	YG ft. Jeezy & Rich Homie Quan	My Hitta	279,410	-	21	19
42	43	Ed Sheeran	Sing	269,230	-	20	13
43	44	Avicii	Hey Brother	265,370	-	23	16
47	45	Martin Garrix	Animals	262,420	-	25	21
48	46	Maroon 5	Maps	257,470	11	11	6
46	47	Brantley Gilbert	Bottoms Up	255,800	-	25	20
45	48	Luke Bryan	Play It Again	252,510	-	20	14
49	49	Rixton	Me And My Broken Heart	241,220	-	20	14
50	50	Enrique Iglesias ft. Decemer Bueno, Gente De Zona	Bailando	235,040	16	18	12
53	51	Charli XCX	Boom Clap	233,840	10	13	10
52	52	Sara Bareilles	Brave	230,670	-	19	23
65	53	Meghan Trainor	All About That Bass	226,450	2	8	2
51	54	OneRepublic	Love Runs Out	222,840	43	17	15
55	55	Robin Thicke ft. TI, Pharrell	Blurred Lines	212,690	-	17	19
54	56	The Neighbourhood	Sweater Weather	212,490	-	14	14
60	57	Mike-Will-Made-It ft. Miley Cyrus, Wiz Khalifa , Juicy J	23	197,130	-	14	14
56	58	Lady Gaga ft. R.Kelly	Do What U Want	195,540	-	15	16
58	59	Naughty Boy ft. Sam Smith	La La La	195,230	-	20	19
73	60	Coldplay	A Sky Full Of Stars	194,000	28	18	10
70	61	Luke Bryan	Drink A Beer	189,700	-	18	31
57	62	Katy Perry	Birthday	189,560	-	18	17
59	63	Shakira ft. Rihanna	Can't Remember To Forget You	188,840	-	19	15
62	64	Beyonce	Partition	188,390	-	21	23
78	65	Ariana Grande ft. Zedd	Break Free	188,120	7	9	4
63	66	Zedd ft. Hayley Williams	Stay The Night	185,900	-	13	18
61	67	Macklemore & Ryan Lewis ft. Schoolboy Q and Hollis	White Walls	185,570	-	13	15
67	68	Kongos	Come With Me Now	185,450	-	21	31
64	69	Jake Owen	Beachin'	184,780	-	20	26
76	70	Eric Church	Give Me Back My Hometown	184,350	-	20	36
72	71	Demi Lovato	Neon Lights	182,160	-	20	36
66	72	Katy Perry	Unconditionally	178,980	-	16	14
71	73	5 Seconds Of Summer	She Looks So Perfect	178,700	-	20	24
74	74	Tinashe ft. Schoolboy Q	2 On	178,590	35	17	24
69	75	Michael Jackson & Justin Timberlake	Love Never Felt So Good	178,160	79	18	9
86	76	Lee Brice	I Don't Dance	177,800	60	20	33
79	77	AWOLNATION	Sail	176,340	-	16	32
68	78	Miley Cyrus	Adore You	174,670	-	16	21
75	79	TY Dolla $ign & B.O.B.	Paranoid	173,860	-	20	29
77	80	Becky G	Shower	173,180	23	13	16
82	81	Jason Aldean	When She Says Baby	173,120	-	20	38
85	82	Clean Bandit ft. Jess Glyne	Rather Be	171,950	15	12	13
83	83	Demi Lovato	Let It Go	171,400	-	20	38
80	84	Dierks Bentley	Drunk On A Plane	168,560	46	16	27
89	85	Jhene Aiko	The Worst	165,970	-	20	43
106	86	Iggy Azalea ft. Rita Ora	Black Widow	162,490	6	9	6
87	87	Jerrod Niemann	Drink To That All Night	162,480	-	20	34
91	88	Rascal Flatts	Rewind	161,980	-	20	38
88	89	Thomas Rhett	Get Me Some Of That	161,710	-	20	41
81	90	Christina Perri	Human	160,660	-	20	31
92	91	Capital Cities	Safe & Sound	159,890	-	14	28
101	92	Lady Antebellum	Bartender	156,950	36	15	31
84	93	John Newman	Love Me Again	156,350	-	18	30
90	94	Florida Georgia Line	Stay	155,000	-	15	28
95	95	Keith Urban	Cop Car	153,510	-	18	41
104	96	Wiz Khalifa	We Dem Boyz	151,500	52	20	43
108	97	Nicki Minaj	Pills N Potions	150,890	62	15	24
136	98	Jessie J, Ariana Grande & Nicki Minaj	Bang Bang	150,650	4	5	4
146	99	Nicki Minaj	Anaconda	150,440	3	4	2
99	100	Lil Wayne ft. Drake	Believe Me	148,860	59	14	26

Other Top 20 Songs:

LW	TW	Artist	Song	Points	BB Hot 100	Weeks On	Peak
158	105	Taylor Swift	Shake It Off	142,650	1	2	1
134	113	Tove Lo	Habits (Stay High)	135,880	20	14	20
152	139	Jeremih ft. YG	Don't Tell 'Em	116,200	17	10	17

[Deleted]

I can't believe "Timber" is going to be so high...I thought for sure TDFW, AIW, Pompeii, etc. would be able to kick it out of the top ten...

[Deleted]

Wait how did "Brave" gain 24k points this week??? :s
It hasn't been on the Hot 100 for a few months now...

[rimetm]

I think that's just a checking over of the old data due to either possible inaccuracies or a rebalancing on the current chart. There are a couple of others that rise and fall on this current prediction in a similar situation, like "Animals" (47-45) and "Drink a Beer" (70-61)

[Daniel Collins]

Sept 6, 2014 14:18:53 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

Wait how did "Brave" gain 24k points this week??? :s
It hasn't been on the Hot 100 for a few months now...

Sept 5, 2014 22:02:28 GMT -5 Daniel Collins said:

I made some adjustments to the points of songs below Top 25 so don't be surprised if you see some changes from recurrent songs.

I did this because I found out that songs below the top 25 are getting points more than what I assumed for 40 weeks.
From this:

I use some estimates for the songs below the top 10.
DPP = difference per position
11 = 20,000 pts. → 15 = 16,000 pts. (1,000 DPP)
16 = 15,500 pts. → 20 = 13,500 pts. (500 DPP)
21 = 13,200 pts. → 40 = 7,500 pts. (300 DPP)
41 = 7,400 pts. → 60 = 5,500 pts. (100 DPP)
61 = 5,450 pts. → 80 = 4,500 pts. (50 DPP)
81 = 4,480 pts. → 100 = 4,100 pts. (20 DPP)

It became like this one:
Top 30 -> estimated through sales, airplay, streaming.
31 = 12,800 pts. -> 40 = 11,000 pts. (200 DPP)
41 = 10,900 pts. -> 50 = 10,000 pts. (100 DPP)
51 = 9,800 pts. -> 60 = 8,000 pts. (200 DPP)
61 = 7,800 pts. -> 70 = 6,000 pts. (200 DPP)
71 = 5,900 pts. -> 80 = 5,000 pts. (100 DPP)
81 = 4,950 pts. -> 90 = 4,500 pts. (50 DPP)
91 = 4,450 pts. -> 100 = 4,000 pts. (50 DPP)

[emerald]

Sept 5, 2014 22:04:37 GMT -5 Daniel Collins said:

47	45	Martin Garrix	Animals	262,420	-	25	21
48	46	Maroon 5	Maps	257,470	11	11	6

Oh look

[jarhys]

All About That Bass is at #1 this week!! Woohoohoo~~

[Daniel Collins]

Week 42: Up to week dated 9/20/2014

Formula: Sales/12 + Airplay/8,700 + Streams/550

Hot 100	Song	Points	% Streams	%Sales	%Radio
1	All About That Bass	61,660	39%	42%	19%
2	Shake It Off	47,870	27%	49%	24%
3	Anaconda	38,770	62%	28%	10%
4	Bang Bang	35,080	41%	40%	19%
5	Black Widow	34,450	39%	35%	26%
6	Stay With Me	34,280	31%	21%	48%
7	Rude	32,460	36%	21%	43%
8	Break Free	29,650	44%	27%	29%
9	Maps	28,590	28%	29%	43%
10	Chandelier	26,440	47%	25%	28%

LW	TW	Artist	Song	Points	BB Hot 100	Weeks On	Peak(2014)
1	1	Pharrell Williams	Happy	1,270,050	26	36	1
2	2	Katy Perry	Dark Horse	1,258,530	32	42	1
3	3	John Legend	All Of Me	1,177,670	22	42	1
4	4	OneRepublic	Counting Stars	943,280	41	42	2
5	5	Iggy Azalea ft. Charli XCX	Fancy	904,760	16	27	1
6	6	Jason Derulo ft. 2 Chainz	Talk Dirty	850,400	-	33	3
7	7	Pitbull ft. Ke$ha	Timber	798,030	-	33	1
8	8	Bastille	Pompeii	738,230	-	39	5
9	9	Ariana Grande ft. Iggy Azalea	Problem	736,950	17	19	2
10	10	DJ Snake & Lil Jon	Turn Down For What	681,650	46	37	4
11	11	Eminem ft. Rihanna	The Monster	667,920	-	26	1
12	12	Magic!	Rude	663,340	7	20	1
13	13	A Great Big World & Christina Aguilera	Say Something	590,430	-	24	4
14	14	Lorde	Team	583,380	-	30	6
15	15	Passenger	Let Her Go	571,440	-	27	5
20	16	Sam Smith	Stay With Me	571,150	6	22	2
16	17	Idina Menzel	Let It Go (IM)	559,150	-	33	5
17	18	Lorde	Royals	556,520	-	24	1
21	19	Nico And Vinz	Am I Wrong	556,150	14	21	4
18	20	Avicii	Wake Me Up	552,570	-	32	5
19	21	Imagine Dragons	Demons	545,000	-	31	6
22	22	One Direction	Story Of My Life	528,820	-	29	8
23	23	American Authors	Best Day Of My Life	449,680	-	35	11
24	24	Beyonce ft. Jay-Z	Drunk In Love	432,870	-	20	2
25	25	Calvin Harris	Summer	432,650	43	25	7
26	26	Chris Brown ft. Lil Wayne, French Montana, Too $hort, Tyga	Loyal	431,490	45	34	9
27	27	Ellie Goulding	Burn	410,830	-	25	13
28	28	Miley Cyrus	Wrecking Ball	393,560	-	19	1
29	29	Kid Ink ft. Chris Brown	Show Me	390,550	-	29	13
30	30	Katy Perry	Roar	377,800	-	20	7
32	31	Jason Derulo ft. Snoop Dogg	Wiggle	377,390	44	19	5
33	32	Disclosure ft. Sam Smith	Latch	376,170	21	25	7
31	33	Justin Timberlake	Not A Bad Thing	367,910	-	22	8
34	34	Paramore	Ain't It Fun	341,000	-	24	10
35	35	Aloe Blacc	The Man	328,640	-	20	8
36	36	Florida Georgia Line ft. Luke Bryan	This Is How We Roll	323,390	-	28	15
41	37	Sia	Chandelier	310,410	10	18	8
37	38	MKTo	Classic	307,670	-	27	14
38	39	Imagine Dragons	Radioactive	296,640	-	23	13
39	40	Drake ft. Majid Jordan	Hold On We're Going Home	295,360	-	18	9
40	41	Trey Songz	Na Na	293,810	-	28	21
53	42	Meghan Trainor	All About That Bass	288,110	1	9	1
46	43	Maroon 5	Maps	286,060	9	12	6
42	44	YG ft. Jeezy & Rich Homie Quan	My Hitta	279,410	-	21	19
43	45	Ed Sheeran	Sing	269,230	-	20	13
44	46	Avicii	Hey Brother	265,370	-	23	16
45	47	Martin Garrix	Animals	262,420	-	25	21
51	48	Charli XCX	Boom Clap	260,110	11	14	10
50	49	Enrique Iglesias ft. Decemer Bueno, Gente De Zona	Bailando	257,760	15	19	12
47	50	Brantley Gilbert	Bottoms Up	255,800	-	25	20
48	51	Luke Bryan	Play It Again	252,510	-	20	14
49	52	Rixton	Me And My Broken Heart	241,220	-	20	14
54	53	OneRepublic	Love Runs Out	232,940	49	18	15
52	54	Sara Bareilles	Brave	230,670	-	19	23
65	55	Ariana Grande ft. Zedd	Break Free	217,770	8	10	4
55	56	Robin Thicke ft. TI, Pharrell	Blurred Lines	212,690	-	17	19
56	57	The Neighbourhood	Sweater Weather	212,490	-	14	14
60	58	Coldplay	A Sky Full Of Stars	207,940	25	19	10
57	59	Mike-Will-Made-It ft. Miley Cyrus, Wiz Khalifa , Juicy J	23	197,130	-	14	14
86	60	Iggy Azalea ft. Rita Ora	Black Widow	196,940	5	10	5
58	61	Lady Gaga ft. R.Kelly	Do What U Want	195,540	-	15	16
59	62	Naughty Boy ft. Sam Smith	La La La	195,230	-	20	19
82	63	Clean Bandit ft. Jess Glyne	Rather Be	194,790	12	13	12
105	64	Taylor Swift	Shake It Off	190,520	2	3	1
74	65	Tinashe ft. Schoolboy Q	2 On	190,050	34	18	24
61	66	Luke Bryan	Drink A Beer	189,700	-	18	31
62	67	Katy Perry	Birthday	189,560	-	18	17
99	68	Nicki Minaj	Anaconda	189,210	3	5	2
63	69	Shakira ft. Rihanna	Can't Remember To Forget You	188,840	-	19	15
64	70	Beyonce	Partition	188,390	-	21	23
80	71	Becky G	Shower	186,340	28	14	16
66	72	Zedd ft. Hayley Williams	Stay The Night	185,900	-	13	18
98	73	Jessie J, Ariana Grande & Nicki Minaj	Bang Bang	185,730	4	6	4
67	74	Macklemore & Ryan Lewis ft. Schoolboy Q and Hollis	White Walls	185,570	-	13	15
68	75	Kongos	Come With Me Now	185,450	-	21	31
69	76	Jake Owen	Beachin'	184,780	-	20	26
70	77	Eric Church	Give Me Back My Hometown	184,350	-	20	36
75	78	Michael Jackson & Justin Timberlake	Love Never Felt So Good	183,110	81	19	9
71	79	Demi Lovato	Neon Lights	182,160	-	20	36
72	80	Katy Perry	Unconditionally	178,980	-	16	14
73	81	5 Seconds Of Summer	She Looks So Perfect	178,700	-	20	24
84	82	Dierks Bentley	Drunk On A Plane	177,960	53	17	27
76	83	Lee Brice	I Don't Dance	177,800	-	20	33
77	84	AWOLNATION	Sail	176,340	-	16	32
78	85	Miley Cyrus	Adore You	174,670	-	16	21
79	86	TY Dolla $ign & B.O.B.	Paranoid	173,860	-	20	29
81	87	Jason Aldean	When She Says Baby	173,120	-	20	38
83	88	Demi Lovato	Let It Go	171,400	-	20	38
92	89	Lady Antebellum	Bartender	167,950	40	16	31
85	90	Jhene Aiko	The Worst	165,970	-	20	43
87	91	Jerrod Niemann	Drink To That All Night	162,480	-	20	34
88	92	Rascal Flatts	Rewind	161,980	-	20	38
89	93	Thomas Rhett	Get Me Some Of That	161,710	-	20	41
90	94	Christina Perri	Human	160,660	-	20	31
91	95	Capital Cities	Safe & Sound	159,890	-	14	28
97	96	Nicki Minaj	Pills N Potions	158,090	64	16	24
100	97	Lil Wayne ft. Drake	Believe Me	157,460	57	15	26
93	98	John Newman	Love Me Again	156,350	-	18	30
94	99	Florida Georgia Line	Stay	155,000	-	15	28
113	100	Tove Lo	Habits (Stay High)	154,000	18	15	18

Other Top 20 Songs:

LW	TW	Artist	Song	Points	BB Hot 100	Weeks On	Peak(2014)
139	113	Jeremih ft. YG	Don't Tell 'Em	138,990	13	11	13
159	148	Jason Aldean	Burnin' It Down	110,650	20	7	12
216	201	Bobby Shmurda	Hot Boy	61,000	19	6	19

[Daniel Collins]

Week 43: Up to week dated 9/27/2014

Formula: Sales/12 + Airplay/8,700 + Streams/550

Hot 100	Song	Points	% Streams	%Sales	%Radio
1	All About That Bass	68,200	41%	38%	21%
2	Shake It Off	58,920	34%	44%	22%
3	Anaconda	39,780	63%	26%	11%
4	Black Widow	34,450	39%	31%	30%
5	Bang Bang	34,110	40%	36%	24%
6	Stay With Me	30,890	33%	18%	49%
7	Break Free	28,390	45%	22%	33%
8	Maps	27,260	29%	24%	47%
9	Rude	26,970	41%	17%	42%
10	Boom Clap	26,690	29%	18%	53%

LW	TW	Artist	Song	Points	BB Hot 100	Weeks On	Peak
1	1	Pharrell Williams	Happy	1,283,070	29	37	1
2	2	Katy Perry	Dark Horse	1,270,050	38	43	1
3	3	John Legend	All Of Me	1,192,780	23	43	1
4	4	OneRepublic	Counting Stars	953,780	45	43	2
5	5	Iggy Azalea ft. Charli XCX	Fancy	923,900	17	28	1
6	6	Jason Derulo ft. 2 Chainz	Talk Dirty	850,400	-	33	3
7	7	Pitbull ft. Ke$ha	Timber	798,030	-	33	1
9	8	Ariana Grande ft. Iggy Azalea	Problem	753,980	19	20	2
8	9	Bastille	Pompeii	738,230	-	39	5
12	10	Magic!	Rude	690,310	9	21	1
10	11	DJ Snake & Lil Jon	Turn Down For What	681,650	-	37	4
11	12	Eminem ft. Rihanna	The Monster	667,920	-	26	1
16	13	Sam Smith	Stay With Me	602,040	6	23	2
13	14	A Great Big World & Christina Aguilera	Say Something	590,430	-	24	4
14	15	Lorde	Team	583,380	-	30	6
19	16	Nico And Vinz	Am I Wrong	577,100	15	22	4
15	17	Passenger	Let Her Go	571,440	-	27	5
17	18	Idina Menzel	Let It Go (IM)	559,150	-	33	5
18	19	Lorde	Royals	556,520	-	24	1
20	20	Avicii	Wake Me Up	552,570	-	32	5
21	21	Imagine Dragons	Demons	545,000	-	31	6
22	22	One Direction	Story Of My Life	528,820	-	29	8
23	23	American Authors	Best Day Of My Life	449,680	-	35	11
25	24	Calvin Harris	Summer	442,650	50	26	7
26	25	Chris Brown ft. Lil Wayne, French Montana, Too $hort, Tyga	Loyal	441,790	47	35	9
24	26	Beyonce ft. Jay-Z	Drunk In Love	432,870	-	20	2
27	27	Ellie Goulding	Burn	410,830	-	25	13
28	28	Miley Cyrus	Wrecking Ball	393,560	-	19	1
32	29	Disclosure ft. Sam Smith	Latch	391,050	24	26	7
29	30	Kid Ink ft. Chris Brown	Show Me	390,550	-	29	13
31	31	Jason Derulo ft. Snoop Dogg	Wiggle	387,190	51	20	5
30	32	Katy Perry	Roar	377,800	-	20	7
33	33	Justin Timberlake	Not A Bad Thing	367,910	-	22	8
42	34	Meghan Trainor	All About That Bass	356,310	1	10	1
34	35	Paramore	Ain't It Fun	341,000	-	24	10
37	36	Sia	Chandelier	335,590	11	19	8
35	37	Aloe Blacc	The Man	328,640	-	20	8
36	38	Florida Georgia Line ft. Luke Bryan	This Is How We Roll	323,390	-	28	15
43	39	Maroon 5	Maps	313,320	8	13	6
38	40	MKTo	Classic	307,670	-	27	14
39	41	Imagine Dragons	Radioactive	296,640	-	23	13
40	42	Drake ft. Majid Jordan	Hold On We're Going Home	295,360	-	18	9
41	43	Trey Songz	Na Na	293,810	-	28	21
48	44	Charli XCX	Boom Clap	286,800	10	15	10
49	45	Enrique Iglesias ft. Decemer Bueno, Gente De Zona	Bailando	280,230	14	20	12
44	46	YG ft. Jeezy & Rich Homie Quan	My Hitta	279,410	-	21	19
45	47	Ed Sheeran	Sing	269,230	-	20	13
46	48	Avicii	Hey Brother	265,370	-	23	16
47	49	Martin Garrix	Animals	262,420	-	25	21
50	50	Brantley Gilbert	Bottoms Up	255,800	-	25	20
51	51	Luke Bryan	Play It Again	252,510	-	20	14
64	52	Taylor Swift	Shake It Off	249,440	2	4	1
55	53	Ariana Grande ft. Zedd	Break Free	246,160	7	11	4
53	54	OneRepublic	Love Runs Out	242,140	54	19	15
52	55	Rixton	Me And My Broken Heart	241,220	-	20	14
60	56	Iggy Azalea ft. Rita Ora	Black Widow	231,390	4	11	4
54	57	Sara Bareilles	Brave	230,670	-	19	23
68	58	Nicki Minaj	Anaconda	228,990	3	6	2
58	59	Coldplay	A Sky Full Of Stars	222,310	26	20	10
73	60	Jessie J, Ariana Grande & Nicki Minaj	Bang Bang	219,840	5	7	4
63	61	Clean Bandit ft. Jess Glyne	Rather Be	217,490	13	14	12
56	62	Robin Thicke ft. TI, Pharrell	Blurred Lines	212,690	-	17	19
57	63	The Neighbourhood	Sweater Weather	212,490	-	14	14
65	64	Tinashe ft. Schoolboy Q	2 On	201,890	32	19	24
71	65	Becky G	Shower	198,130	34	15	16
59	66	Mike-Will-Made-It ft. Miley Cyrus, Wiz Khalifa , Juicy J	23	197,130	-	14	14
61	67	Lady Gaga ft. R.Kelly	Do What U Want	195,540	-	15	16
62	68	Naughty Boy ft. Sam Smith	La La La	195,230	-	20	19
66	69	Luke Bryan	Drink A Beer	189,700	-	18	31
67	70	Katy Perry	Birthday	189,560	-	18	17
69	71	Shakira ft. Rihanna	Can't Remember To Forget You	188,840	-	19	15
70	72	Beyonce	Partition	188,390	-	21	23
78	73	Michael Jackson & Justin Timberlake	Love Never Felt So Good	187,710	88	20	9
72	74	Zedd ft. Hayley Williams	Stay The Night	185,900	-	13	18
74	75	Macklemore & Ryan Lewis ft. Schoolboy Q and Hollis	White Walls	185,570	-	13	15
82	76	Dierks Bentley	Drunk On A Plane	185,560	62	18	27
75	77	Kongos	Come With Me Now	185,450	-	21	31
76	78	Jake Owen	Beachin'	184,780	-	20	26
77	79	Eric Church	Give Me Back My Hometown	184,350	-	20	36
79	80	Demi Lovato	Neon Lights	182,160	-	20	36
80	81	Katy Perry	Unconditionally	178,980	-	16	14
81	82	5 Seconds Of Summer	She Looks So Perfect	178,700	-	20	24
89	83	Lady Antebellum	Bartender	178,050	49	17	31
83	84	Lee Brice	I Don't Dance	177,800	-	20	33
84	85	AWOLNATION	Sail	176,340	-	16	32
85	86	Miley Cyrus	Adore You	174,670	-	16	21
86	87	TY Dolla $ign & B.O.B.	Paranoid	173,860	-	20	29
100	88	Tove Lo	Habits (Stay High)	173,220	16	16	16
87	89	Jason Aldean	When She Says Baby	173,120	-	20	38
88	90	Demi Lovato	Let It Go	171,400	-	20	38
90	91	Jhene Aiko	The Worst	165,970	-	20	43
97	92	Lil Wayne ft. Drake	Believe Me	164,660	64	16	26
96	93	Nicki Minaj	Pills N Potions	163,790	73	17	24
91	94	Jerrod Niemann	Drink To That All Night	162,480	-	20	34
113	95	Jeremih ft. YG	Don't Tell 'Em	162,350	12	12	12
92	96	Rascal Flatts	Rewind	161,980	-	20	38
93	97	Thomas Rhett	Get Me Some Of That	161,710	-	20	41
94	98	Christina Perri	Human	160,660	-	20	31
104	99	Kenny Chesney	American Kids	160,120	33	13	23
95	100	Capital Cities	Safe & Sound	159,890	-	14	28

Other Top 20 Songs:

LW	TW	Artist	Song	Points	BB Hot 100	Weeks On	Peak
148	128	Jason Aldean	Burnin' It Down	127,570	20	8	12
201	179	Bobby Shmurda	Hot Boy	79,040	18	7	18

[jarhys]

Top 10 predictions:

1. Happy
2. Dark Horse
3. All Of Me
4. Fancy
5. Counting Stars
6. Talk Dirty
7. Problem
8. Rude
9. Timber
10. Stay With Me

[Deleted]

SWM in top ten instead of Pompeii??? NOOOOOOO :(

[macabyan]

This is the most accurate prediction out there! Good job! Hope you do the same for 2015. For now, here are my predictions if there are gradual increases for the remaining songs:

1. Pharrell Williams - Happy
2. Katy Perry ft. Juicy J - Dark Horse
3. John Legend - All of Me
4. Iggy Azalea ft. Charli XCX - Fancy
5. OneRepublic - Counting Stars
6. Ariana Grande ft. Iggy Azalea - Problem
7. Jason Derülo ft. 2 Chainz - Talk Dirty
8. Magic! - Rude
9. Sam Smith - Stay With Me
10. Pitbull ft. Kesha - Timber
11. Bastille - Pompeii
12. Nico and Vinz - Am I Wrong
13. Meghan Trainor - All About That Bass
14. Taylor Swift - Shake It Off
15. DJ Snake and Lil Jon - Turn Down for What
16. Eminem ft. Rihanna - The Monster
17. A Great Big World and Christina Aguilera - Say Something
18. Lorde - Team
19. Passenger - Let Her Go
20. Idina Menzel - Let It Go
21. Lorde - Royals
22. Avicii - Wake Me Up
23. Imagine Dragons - Demons
24. One Direction - Story of My Life
25. Nicki Minaj - Anaconda
26. Iggy Azalea ft. Rita Ora - Black Widow
27. Sia - Chandelier
28. Maroon 5 - Maps
29. American Authors - Best Day of My Life
30. Ariana Grande, Jessie J and Nicki Minaj - Bang Bang / Calvin Harris - Summer / Charli XCX - Boom Clap

[Daniel Collins]

Of course, I'll do 2015 and so on! I did 2013 but I started by June so it's a bit messy so I'm hoping my prediction for this year would be so close.

[Deleted]

I would love it if AOM passed DH because I like AOM a lot more, but unfortunately it doesn't look like that will happen :(

[Daniel Collins]

^There are only 9 weeks left for the year-end , maybe if DH drops out of the Hot 100 this week there's a chance but I don't think it would happen.

[born]

He is right, this is the BEST prediction out there and you are great at doing that! Please keep it for the next years :)

[badrobot]

My guess -- Trainor pulls out just enough puts to eke in the top ten:

1 Happy
2 Dark Horse
3 All of Me
4 Fancy
5 Counting Stars
6 Rude
7 Talk Dirty
8 Problem
9 Stay With Me
10 All About That Bass

[stanr]

Sept 22, 2014 13:48:18 GMT -5 badrobot said:

My guess -- Trainor pulls out just enough puts to eke in the top ten:

1 Happy
2 Dark Horse
3 All of Me
4 Fancy
5 Counting Stars
6 Rude
7 Talk Dirty
8 Problem
9 Stay With Me
10 All About That Bass

I don't think Rude would be that high...

My prediction:
1. Happy
2. Dark Horse
3. All of Me
4. Fancy
5. Counting Stars
6. Talk Dirty
7. Problem
8. Rude
9. All About That Bass
10. Stay With Me
11. Timber
12. Pompeii
13. Turn Down For What
14. The Monster
15. Shake It Off
16. Am I Wrong
others...

[Deleted]

I honestly think "Rude" will pass "Problem". This week it was about 10k above it and it needs an average of about 7k above it per week and they're both falling at about the same rate right now.

1. Happy (yay!)
2. Dark Horse
3. All of Me
4. Fancy
5. Counting Stars
6. Talk Dirty
7. Rude
8. Problem
9. Stay With Me
10. All About That Bass

Kinda upset that Stay With Me will be there and not Pompeii :( hell I'd even rather Timber would be there instead of SWM...oh well

[imbondz]

Happys sales refuse to die. Problem just fell below Happy on iTunes

[Deleted]

Sept 23, 2014 18:38:07 GMT -5 imbondz said:

Happys sales refuse to die. Problem just fell below Happy on iTunes

Nice compensation for the airplay plummeting. It fell so much faster in airplay than any other song. Just a few short months after peaking it fell below the 10-12 songs that had reached #1 before it. Wtf? :(

[imbondz]

agreed

[Daniel Collins]

Week 44: Up to week dated 10/04/2014

Formula: Sales/12 + Airplay/8,700 + Streams/550

Hot 100	Song	Points	% Streams	%Sales	%Radio
1	All About That Bass	68,480	42%	34%	24%
2	Shake It Off	54,230	28%	45%	27%
3	Bang Bang	35,860	41%	33%	26%
4	Anaconda	35,480	63%	24%	13%
5	Black Widow	35,250	40%	29%	31%
6	Stay With Me	29,110	32%	17%	51%
7	Break Free	27,140	46%	19%	35%
8	Boom Clap	25,780	30%	18%	52%
9	Chandelier	25,710	56%	24%	20%
10	Don't Tell 'Em	24,770	24%	27%	49%

LW	TW	Artist	Song	Points	BB Hot 100	Weeks On	Peak
1	1	Pharrell Williams	Happy	1,296,830	29	38	1
2	2	Katy Perry	Dark Horse	1,280,750	43	44	1
3	3	John Legend	All Of Me	1,208,040	24	44	1
4	4	OneRepublic	Counting Stars	964,080	47	44	2
5	5	Iggy Azalea ft. Charli XCX	Fancy	940,750	20	29	1
6	6	Jason Derulo ft. 2 Chainz	Talk Dirty	850,400	-	33	3
7	7	Pitbull ft. Ke$ha	Timber	798,030	-	33	1
8	8	Ariana Grande ft. Iggy Azalea	Problem	769,400	23	21	2
9	9	Bastille	Pompeii	738,230	-	39	5
10	10	Magic!	Rude	714,510	12	22	1
11	11	DJ Snake & Lil Jon	Turn Down For What	681,650	-	37	4
12	12	Eminem ft. Rihanna	The Monster	667,920	-	26	1
13	13	Sam Smith	Stay With Me	631,150	6	24	2
16	14	Nico And Vinz	Am I Wrong	596,550	17	23	4
14	15	A Great Big World & Christina Aguilera	Say Something	590,430	-	24	4
15	16	Lorde	Team	583,380	-	30	6
17	17	Passenger	Let Her Go	571,440	-	27	5
18	18	Idina Menzel	Let It Go (IM)	559,150	-	33	5
19	19	Lorde	Royals	556,520	-	24	1
20	20	Avicii	Wake Me Up	552,570	-	32	5
21	21	Imagine Dragons	Demons	545,000	-	31	6
22	22	One Direction	Story Of My Life	528,820	-	29	8
25	23	Chris Brown ft. Lil Wayne, French Montana, Too $hort, Tyga	Loyal	452,190	46	36	9
23	24	American Authors	Best Day Of My Life	449,680	-	35	11
24	25	Calvin Harris	Summer	442,650	-	26	7
26	26	Beyonce ft. Jay-Z	Drunk In Love	432,870	-	20	2
34	27	Meghan Trainor	All About That Bass	424,790	1	11	1
27	28	Ellie Goulding	Burn	410,830	-	25	13
29	29	Disclosure ft. Sam Smith	Latch	404,050	32	27	7
31	30	Jason Derulo ft. Snoop Dogg	Wiggle	397,290	49	21	5
28	31	Miley Cyrus	Wrecking Ball	393,560	-	19	1
30	32	Kid Ink ft. Chris Brown	Show Me	390,550	-	29	13
32	33	Katy Perry	Roar	377,800	-	20	7
33	34	Justin Timberlake	Not A Bad Thing	367,910	-	22	8
36	35	Sia	Chandelier	361,300	9	20	8
35	36	Paramore	Ain't It Fun	341,000	-	24	10
39	37	Maroon 5	Maps	337,370	14	14	6
37	38	Aloe Blacc	The Man	328,640	-	20	8
38	39	Florida Georgia Line ft. Luke Bryan	This Is How We Roll	323,390	-	28	15
44	40	Charli XCX	Boom Clap	312,580	8	16	8
40	41	MKTo	Classic	307,670	-	27	14
52	42	Taylor Swift	Shake It Off	303,670	2	5	1
45	43	Enrique Iglesias ft. Decemer Bueno, Gente De Zona	Bailando	301,190	15	21	12
41	44	Imagine Dragons	Radioactive	296,640	-	23	13
42	45	Drake ft. Majid Jordan	Hold On We're Going Home	295,360	-	18	9
43	46	Trey Songz	Na Na	293,810	-	28	21
46	47	YG ft. Jeezy & Rich Homie Quan	My Hitta	279,410	-	21	19
53	48	Ariana Grande ft. Zedd	Break Free	273,300	7	12	4
47	49	Ed Sheeran	Sing	269,230	-	20	13
56	50	Iggy Azalea ft. Rita Ora	Black Widow	266,640	5	12	4
48	51	Avicii	Hey Brother	265,370	-	23	16
58	52	Nicki Minaj	Anaconda	264,470	4	7	2
49	53	Martin Garrix	Animals	262,420	-	25	21
50	54	Brantley Gilbert	Bottoms Up	255,800	-	25	20
60	55	Jessie J, Ariana Grande & Nicki Minaj	Bang Bang	255,700	3	8	3
51	56	Luke Bryan	Play It Again	252,510	-	20	14
54	57	OneRepublic	Love Runs Out	249,940	61	20	15
61	58	Clean Bandit ft. Jess Glyne	Rather Be	241,900	11	15	11
55	59	Rixton	Me And My Broken Heart	241,220	-	20	14
59	60	Coldplay	A Sky Full Of Stars	237,160	25	21	10
57	61	Sara Bareilles	Brave	230,670	-	19	23
64	62	Tinashe ft. Schoolboy Q	2 On	214,390	34	20	24
62	63	Robin Thicke ft. TI, Pharrell	Blurred Lines	212,690	-	17	19
63	64	The Neighbourhood	Sweater Weather	212,490	-	14	14
65	65	Becky G	Shower	209,380	39	16	16
88	66	Tove Lo	Habits (Stay High)	197,340	13	17	13
66	67	Mike-Will-Made-It ft. Miley Cyrus, Wiz Khalifa , Juicy J	23	197,130	-	14	14
67	68	Lady Gaga ft. R.Kelly	Do What U Want	195,540	-	15	16
68	69	Naughty Boy ft. Sam Smith	La La La	195,230	-	20	19
76	70	Dierks Bentley	Drunk On A Plane	192,560	65	19	27
69	71	Luke Bryan	Drink A Beer	189,700	-	18	31
70	72	Katy Perry	Birthday	189,560	-	18	17
71	73	Shakira ft. Rihanna	Can't Remember To Forget You	188,840	-	19	15
72	74	Beyonce	Partition	188,390	-	21	23
73	75	Michael Jackson & Justin Timberlake	Love Never Felt So Good	187,710	-	20	9
95	76	Jeremih ft. YG	Don't Tell 'Em	187,120	10	13	10
83	77	Lady Antebellum	Bartender	186,850	56	18	31
74	78	Zedd ft. Hayley Williams	Stay The Night	185,900	-	13	18
75	79	Macklemore & Ryan Lewis ft. Schoolboy Q and Hollis	White Walls	185,570	-	13	15
77	80	Kongos	Come With Me Now	185,450	-	21	31
78	81	Jake Owen	Beachin'	184,780	-	20	26
79	82	Eric Church	Give Me Back My Hometown	184,350	-	20	36
80	83	Demi Lovato	Neon Lights	182,160	-	20	36
81	84	Katy Perry	Unconditionally	178,980	-	16	14
82	85	5 Seconds Of Summer	She Looks So Perfect	178,700	-	20	24
84	86	Lee Brice	I Don't Dance	177,800	-	20	33
85	87	AWOLNATION	Sail	176,340	-	16	32
86	88	Miley Cyrus	Adore You	174,670	-	16	21
87	89	TY Dolla $ign & B.O.B.	Paranoid	173,860	-	20	29
89	90	Jason Aldean	When She Says Baby	173,120	-	20	38
92	91	Lil Wayne ft. Drake	Believe Me	172,260	62	17	26
90	92	Demi Lovato	Let It Go	171,400	-	20	38
99	93	Kenny Chesney	American Kids	171,120	40	14	23
93	94	Nicki Minaj	Pills N Potions	168,340	89	18	24
91	95	Jhene Aiko	The Worst	165,970	-	20	43
94	96	Jerrod Niemann	Drink To That All Night	162,480	-	20	34
96	97	Rascal Flatts	Rewind	161,980	-	20	38
97	98	Thomas Rhett	Get Me Some Of That	161,710	-	20	41
98	99	Christina Perri	Human	160,660	-	20	31
109	100	Florida Georgia Line	Dirt	160,540	28	11	11

Other Top 20 Songs:

LW	TW	Artist	Song	Points	BB Hot 100	Weeks On	Peak
157	133	Echosmith	Cool Kids	124,060	19	11	19
179	163	Bobby Shmurda	Hot Boy	99,880	16	8	16
NEW	289	Jennifer Lopez ft. Iggy Azalea, Pitbull	Booty	17,450	18	1	18

[Future Captain]

Do you think that One Direction and Carrie Underwood's new single will be able to crackt his year's year-end?

[Deleted]

Looks like Radioactive might not make the top 50 :(