Hot 100 Year-End Predictions (2019) - Year 6

[Daniel Collins]

Base on this method:

Bed Of Lies (78)
Santa Tell Me (61)
Dangerous (56)
Ghost (50)
Prayer In C (87)
Make Me Wanna (75)
Burnin' Up (89)
Drinking Class (64)
Masterpiece (103)
Often (69)
***Flawless (70)
Dear Future Husband (106)

[macabyan]

Centuries is on the rise! Hopefully it'll go as far as Pompeii did.

[Adel is not icant]

Thank you very much... How about Something Big?

[Daniel Collins]

Week 7: Up to week dated 1/17/15

Formula: Sales/10 + Airplay/9,875 + Streams/775

Hot 100	Song	Points	% Streams	%Sales	%Radio
1	Uptown Funk!	58,800	22%	65%	13%
2	Blank Space	57,050	25%	50%	26%
3	Take Me To Church	46,780	23%	57%	20%
4	Thinking Out Loud	36,610	26%	60%	14%
5	Lips Are Movin	35,840	31%	54%	15%
6	All About That Bass	32,700	37%	46%	16%
7	Shake It Off	32,660	32%	47%	20%
8	I'm Not The Only One	31,750	24%	39%	37%
9	Jealous	27,830	23%	43%	33%
10	Animals	26,490	21%	37%	42%

LW	TW	Artist	Song	Points	BB Hot 100	Weeks On	Peak
1	1	Taylor Swift	Blank Space	415,930	2	7	1
2	2	Hozier	Take Me To Church	289,720	3	7	2
3	3	Mark Ronson ft. Bruno Mars	Uptown Funk!	264,010	1	7	1
4	4	Meghan Trainor	All About That Bass	217,500	6	7	2
6	5	Meghan Trainor	Lips Are Movin	206,640	5	7	4
7	6	Taylor Swift	Shake It Off	199,710	7	7	4
5	7	Maroon 5	Animals	197,730	10	7	4
8	8	Sam Smith	I'm Not The Only One	197,280	8	7	5
9	9	Nick Jonas	Jealous	179,820	9	7	8
10	10	Ariana Grande & The Weeknd	Love Me Harder	174,260	11	7	7
14	11	Ed Sheeran	Thinking Out Loud	163,850	4	7	4
11	12	Tove Lo	Habits (Stay High)	157,320	20	7	6
12	13	Selena Gomez	The Heart Wants What It Wants	153,170	14	7	6
13	14	Big Sean ft. E-40	I Don't Fuck With You	152,110	12	7	11
15	15	I LOVE MAKONNEN ft. Drake	Tuesday	134,900	18	7	13
16	16	Jessie J, Ariana Grande & Nicki Minaj	Bang Bang	132,670	15	7	12
17	17	Ed Sheeran	Don't	128,920	23	7	10
18	18	Mr. Probz	Waves	126,000	22	7	14
19	19	Rae Sremmurd	No Type	118,630	21	7	16
20	20	Nicki Minaj ft. Drake, Lil Wayne, Chris Brown	Only	117,760	16	7	12
22	21	James Newton Howard ft. Jennifer Lawrence	The Hanging Tree	117,240	17	6	12
23	22	Fall Out Boy	Centuries	115,600	13	7	13
21	23	Bobby Shmurda	Hot Boy	112,480	25	7	15
25	24	Sam Smith	Stay With Me	107,280	19	7	19
24	25	Calvin Harris ft. John Newmann	Blame	102,130	32	7	21
26	26	Beyonce	7/11	100,160	24	6	13
27	27	Jeremih ft. YG	Don't Tell 'Em	93,710	30	7	22
29	28	Iggy Azalea ft. Rita Ora	Black Widow	91,150	31	7	23
28	29	Jason Derulo	Trumpets	89,330	40	7	17
30	30	Iggy Azalea ft. M0	Beg For It	87,500	29	7	27
31	31	O.T. Genasis	CoCo	82,480	26	7	26
32	32	Vance Joy	Riptide	77,610	36	7	32
34	33	Sia	Chandelier	73,050	37	7	31
33	34	Rich Gang ft. Young Thug, Rich Homie Quan	Lifestyle	73,040	50	7	27
37	35	MAGIC!	Rude	72,670	27	7	27
36	36	Fergie	L.A.LOVE (la la)	72,140	38	7	27
35	37	Clean Bandit ft. Jess Glynne	Rather Be	71,410	44	7	28
38	38	One Direction	Night Changes	68,450	34	7	31
42	39	Usher ft. Juicy J	I Don't Mind	66,620	28	7	28
39	40	Alesso ft. Tove Lo	Heroes (We Could Be)	65,570	39	7	35
40	41	Carrie Underwood	Something In The Water	64,710	42	7	37
41	42	Tim McGraw	Shotgun Rider	64,250	43	7	38
43	43	Milky Chance	Stolen Dance	61,940	45	7	39
45	44	Dej Loaf	Try Me	60,250	47	7	45
48	45	Nicki Minaj	Anaconda	57,330	48	7	48
46	46	DJ Khaled ft. Chris Brown, August Alsina, Future, Jeremih	Hold You Down	57,320	64	7	39
47	47	Trey Songz ft. Nicki Minaj	Touchin, Lovin	56,430	52	7	44
50	48	Ella Henderson	Ghost	56,090	41	7	41
49	49	One Direction	Steal My Girl	54,980	55	7	29
44	50	Pentatonix	Mary, Did You Know?	51,470	-	6	26

[jarhys]

For All About That Bass and Shake It Off rebounding from being #10 and #11 is quite impressive,
and they seem gonna stay a while in the top 10!

[Daniel Collins]

Week 8: Up to week dated 1/24/15

Formula: Sales/10 + Airplay/9,875 + Streams/775

Hot 100	Song	Points	% Streams	%Sales	%Radio
1	Uptown Funk!	59,500	25%	57%	18%
2	Blank Space	45,380	26%	39%	35%
3	Take Me To Church	42,680	28%	47%	26%
4	Thinking Out Loud	41,760	28%	54%	18%
5	I'm Not The Only One	30,690	29%	30%	41%
6	Lips Are Movin	30,030	35%	43%	22%
7	Jealous	25,980	26%	32%	42%
8	Love Me Harder	25,500	31%	22%	47%
9	Shake It Off	25,380	41%	35%	25%
10	All About That Bass	24,220	44%	35%	21%

LW	TW	Artist	Song	Points	BB Hot 100	Weeks On	Peak
1	1	Taylor Swift	Blank Space	461,310	2	8	1
2	2	Hozier	Take Me To Church	332,400	3	8	2
3	3	Mark Ronson ft. Bruno Mars	Uptown Funk!	323,510	1	8	1
4	4	Meghan Trainor	All About That Bass	241,720	10	8	2
5	5	Meghan Trainor	Lips Are Movin	236,670	6	8	4
8	6	Sam Smith	I'm Not The Only One	227,970	5	8	5
6	7	Taylor Swift	Shake It Off	225,090	9	8	4
7	8	Maroon 5	Animals	219,380	11	8	4
9	9	Nick Jonas	Jealous	205,800	7	8	7
11	10	Ed Sheeran	Thinking Out Loud	205,610	4	8	4
10	11	Ariana Grande & The Weeknd	Love Me Harder	199,760	8	8	7
13	12	Selena Gomez	The Heart Wants What It Wants	173,500	13	8	6
14	13	Big Sean ft. E-40	I Don't Fuck With You	173,180	12	8	11
12	14	Tove Lo	Habits (Stay High)	172,680	24	8	6
15	15	I LOVE MAKONNEN ft. Drake	Tuesday	151,550	19	8	13
16	16	Jessie J, Ariana Grande & Nicki Minaj	Bang Bang	147,970	25	8	12
17	17	Ed Sheeran	Don't	142,810	27	8	10
18	18	Mr. Probz	Waves	141,910	22	8	14
21	19	James Newton Howard ft. Jennifer Lawrence	The Hanging Tree	136,070	14	7	12
20	20	Nicki Minaj ft. Drake, Lil Wayne, Chris Brown	Only	135,540	16	8	12
19	21	Rae Sremmurd	No Type	135,310	18	8	16
22	22	Fall Out Boy	Centuries	134,000	15	8	13
23	23	Bobby Shmurda	Hot Boy	124,400	29	8	15
24	24	Sam Smith	Stay With Me	123,630	21	8	19
26	25	Beyonce	7/11	116,620	20	7	13
25	26	Calvin Harris ft. John Newmann	Blame	113,940	32	8	21
27	27	Jeremih ft. YG	Don't Tell 'Em	104,620	36	8	22
28	28	Iggy Azalea ft. Rita Ora	Black Widow	101,850	37	8	23
30	29	Iggy Azalea ft. M0	Beg For It	96,940	42	8	27
31	30	O.T. Genasis	CoCo	96,400	26	8	26
32	31	Vance Joy	Riptide	89,410	33	8	32
29	32	Jason Derulo	Trumpets	89,330	-	7	17
33	33	Sia	Chandelier	84,950	30	8	30
35	34	MAGIC!	Rude	83,210	38	8	27
39	35	Usher ft. Juicy J	I Don't Mind	82,390	23	8	23
37	36	Clean Bandit ft. Jess Glynne	Rather Be	79,910	46	8	28
36	37	Fergie	L.A.LOVE (la la)	79,740	55	8	27
38	38	One Direction	Night Changes	78,970	39	8	31
40	39	Alesso ft. Tove Lo	Heroes (We Could Be)	77,410	31	8	31
41	40	Carrie Underwood	Something In The Water	74,290	41	8	37
34	41	Rich Gang ft. Young Thug, Rich Homie Quan	Lifestyle	73,040	-	7	27
42	42	Tim McGraw	Shotgun Rider	72,550	48	8	38
43	43	Milky Chance	Stolen Dance	70,740	43	8	39
44	44	Dej Loaf	Try Me	68,650	47	8	45
48	45	Ella Henderson	Ghost	68,100	28	8	28
46	46	DJ Khaled ft. Chris Brown, August Alsina, Future, Jeremih	Hold You Down	64,420	60	8	39
47	47	Trey Songz ft. Nicki Minaj	Touchin, Lovin	63,730	58	8	44
49	48	One Direction	Steal My Girl	60,880	69	8	29
51	49	Eric Church	Talladega	59,340	50	8	49
45	50	Nicki Minaj	Anaconda	57,330	-	7	48

Bubbling Under:

LW	TW	Artist	Song	Points	BB Hot 100	Weeks On	Peak
NEW	104	Sia	Elastic Heart	17,440	17	1	17

[jarhys]

Hopefully All About That Bass is in top 10 next week, and it will be its 25th weeks in top 10. (Making some records pleassssse)

[Ted Sweeran]

Hopefully, Thinking Out Loud will have it's new peak position next week! Maybe #3 or #2? But still hoping for it to be #1. Even though I'm sure that it will never get the #1 it deserves.

[Deleted]

Jan 19, 2015 12:20:50 GMT -5 Ted Sweeran said:

Hopefully, Thinking Out Loud will have it's new peak position next week! Maybe #3 or #2? But still hoping for it to be #1. Even though I'm sure that it will never get the #1 it deserves.

I think it is possible that it will get to #1! But then again we thought the same of Take Me To Church and that obviously didn't happen :(

[jjose712]

I think Thinking out loud (it's at 2 this week) has more chances than Take me to church, because there are most possibilities of airplay and sales peaking at the same time. By the time it'll reach 1 on hot ac and pop (It will be very weird if it didn't get there) Uptown funk will be in its way down at least in the pop chart. OIf course it needs to get near on sales

[Dylan :)]

The Irish 2014 year end charts finally out. Note, the Irish charts only track sales :( TMTC #3

www.irma.ie/#verticalTab2

[Future Captain]

Thinking Out Loud shall rise to #8 this week, top 5 next week, then it will take a while to go top 3, but it will, probably passing TMTC. UF will probably reach #1 real soon, maybe in 3-4 weeks..... LAM will pass AATB..... But seriously, it's real sad that Sugar is the very first new top 10 song.... Hoping Centuries will pass AATB and LMH to give FOB their first top 10 song in like... what? 6 years? 7 years?

[rimetm]

Jan 24, 2015 5:28:43 GMT -5 Dylan :) said:

The Irish 2014 year end charts finally out. Note, the Irish charts only track sales :( TMTC #3

www.irma.ie/#verticalTab2

Thanks for letting me know! I've added them to my Year-End Checklist, which has basically every English-speaking chart's year-end, along with Japan's Overseas chart.

[Daniel Collins]

Week 9: Up to week dated 1/31/15

Formula: Sales/10 + Airplay/9,875 + Streams/775

Hot 100	Song	Points	% Streams	%Sales	%Radio
1	Uptown Funk!	72,900	26%	55%	19%
2	Thinking Out Loud	47,070	29%	51%	20%
3	Blank Space	41,000	28%	36%	36%
4	Take Me To Church	39,620	30%	40%	30%
5	Shake It Off	35,830	60%	25%	15%
6	Lips Are Movin	30,710	33%	42%	26%
7	I'm Not The Only One	30,290	31%	25%	44%
8	Sugar	27,550	37%	54%	8%
9	Jealous	25,040	25%	28%	47%
10	All About That Bass	24,880	43%	40%	17%

LW	TW	Artist	Song	Points	BB Hot 100	Weeks On	Peak
1	1	Taylor Swift	Blank Space	502,310	3	9	1
3	2	Mark Ronson ft. Bruno Mars	Uptown Funk!	396,410	1	9	1
2	3	Hozier	Take Me To Church	372,020	4	9	2
5	4	Meghan Trainor	Lips Are Movin	267,380	6	9	4
4	5	Meghan Trainor	All About That Bass	266,700	10	9	2
7	6	Taylor Swift	Shake It Off	260,920	5	9	4
6	7	Sam Smith	I'm Not The Only One	258,260	7	9	5
10	8	Ed Sheeran	Thinking Out Loud	252,680	2	9	2
8	9	Maroon 5	Animals	237,320	16	9	4
9	10	Nick Jonas	Jealous	230,840	9	9	7
11	11	Ariana Grande & The Weeknd	Love Me Harder	223,170	11	9	7
13	12	Big Sean ft. E-40	I Don't Fuck With You	192,280	14	9	11
12	13	Selena Gomez	The Heart Wants What It Wants	191,980	15	9	6
14	14	Tove Lo	Habits (Stay High)	185,220	28	9	6
15	15	I LOVE MAKONNEN ft. Drake	Tuesday	165,900	21	9	13
16	16	Jessie J, Ariana Grande & Nicki Minaj	Bang Bang	161,890	23	9	12
22	17	Fall Out Boy	Centuries	156,160	12	9	12
19	18	James Newton Howard ft. Jennifer Lawrence	The Hanging Tree	155,840	13	8	12
18	19	Mr. Probz	Waves	154,850	25	9	14
17	20	Ed Sheeran	Don't	153,960	31	9	10
20	21	Nicki Minaj ft. Drake, Lil Wayne, Chris Brown	Only	151,390	19	9	12
21	22	Rae Sremmurd	No Type	151,110	20	9	16
24	23	Sam Smith	Stay With Me	136,190	27	9	19
23	24	Bobby Shmurda	Hot Boy	134,800	34	9	15
25	25	Beyonce	7/11	132,640	18	8	13
26	26	Calvin Harris ft. John Newmann	Blame	123,600	40	9	21
27	27	Jeremih ft. YG	Don't Tell 'Em	114,340	39	9	22
28	28	Iggy Azalea ft. Rita Ora	Black Widow	110,550	44	9	23
30	29	O.T. Genasis	CoCo	109,190	26	9	26
29	30	Iggy Azalea ft. M0	Beg For It	104,340	57	9	27
31	31	Vance Joy	Riptide	101,010	30	9	30
35	32	Usher ft. Juicy J	I Don't Mind	99,390	17	9	17
33	33	Sia	Chandelier	95,610	33	9	30
34	34	MAGIC!	Rude	92,360	43	9	27
32	35	Jason Derulo	Trumpets	89,330	-	7	17
38	36	One Direction	Night Changes	88,190	42	9	31
39	37	Alesso ft. Tove Lo	Heroes (We Could Be)	87,610	35	9	31
37	38	Fergie	L.A.LOVE (la la)	85,740	66	9	27
40	39	Carrie Underwood	Something In The Water	83,920	41	9	37
45	40	Ella Henderson	Ghost	82,220	22	9	22
42	41	Tim McGraw	Shotgun Rider	80,150	55	9	38
36	42	Clean Bandit ft. Jess Glynne	Rather Be	79,910	-	8	28
44	43	Dej Loaf	Try Me	76,370	53	9	45
41	44	Rich Gang ft. Young Thug, Rich Homie Quan	Lifestyle	73,040	-	7	27
43	45	Milky Chance	Stolen Dance	70,740	-	8	39
47	46	Trey Songz ft. Nicki Minaj	Touchin, Lovin	70,530	62	9	44
46	47	DJ Khaled ft. Chris Brown, August Alsina, Future, Jeremih	Hold You Down	70,220	68	9	39
49	48	Eric Church	Talladega	67,840	46	9	46
48	49	One Direction	Steal My Girl	65,530	82	9	29
52	50	Florida Georgia Line	Sun Daze	64,140	49	9	49

Bubbling Under:

LW	TW	Artist	Song	Points	BB Hot 100	Weeks On	Peak
NEW	91	Maroon 5	Sugar	27,550	8	1	8

[Dylan :)]

Where is Elastic Heart?

[Deleted]

Wow a 55% lead over the #2 for UF! It's gonna get at least 3 more weeks at #1 for sure (unless something unexpected comes up)
Though I still do hope Ed can get a week at #1 :(

[tucomrang]

Has Style debuted on the list yet?

[tucomrang]

Jan 24, 2015 17:14:23 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

Wow a 55% lead over the #2 for UF! It's gonna get at least 3 more weeks at #1 for sure (unless something unexpected comes up)
Though I still do hope Ed can get a week at #1 :(

I think Ed will be at #1 the week after the Grammy

[Daniel Collins]

Dylan :) "Elastic Heart" is #88
tucomrang "Style" is #89

[Adel is not icant]

Why don't you post top 100?

[Daniel Collins]

Jan 26, 2015 9:10:32 GMT -5 Adel is not icant said:

Why don't you post top 100?

It's irrelevant as of the moment.

[Adel is not icant]

I really curious about where does Something Big rank?

[Daniel Collins]

It's no longer on the Hot 100 so I don't think there's a reason to post it.

[rimetm]

4260 (#92)
4500 (#80)

If incremental points haven't changed since this thread started, Something Big should have 8760 points. I'm guessing it's below #125, and it'll probably end up around or below #400 by the end of the year.

[Daniel Collins]

Week 10: Up to week dated 2/07/15

Formula: Sales/10 + Airplay/9,875 + Streams/775

Hot 100	Song	Points	% Streams	%Sales	%Radio
1	Uptown Funk!	69,080	28%	49%	22%
2	Thinking Out Loud	47,980	30%	48%	22%
3	Take Me To Church	38,330	31%	35%	34%
4	Blank Space	38,130	30%	33%	38%
5	Shake It Off	30,180	52%	32%	15%
6	Sugar	29,970	31%	56%	13%
7	Lips Are Movin	29,920	32%	38%	29%
8	I'm Not The Only One	29,160	32%	24%	44%
9	Jealous	23,680	26%	26%	48%
10	Centuries	23,270	29%	51%	20%

LW	TW	Artist	Song	Points	BB Hot 100	Weeks On	Peak
1	1	Taylor Swift	Blank Space	540,440	4	10	1
2	2	Mark Ronson ft. Bruno Mars	Uptown Funk!	465,490	1	10	1
3	3	Hozier	Take Me To Church	410,350	3	10	2
8	4	Ed Sheeran	Thinking Out Loud	300,660	2	10	2
4	5	Meghan Trainor	Lips Are Movin	297,300	7	10	4
6	6	Taylor Swift	Shake It Off	291,100	5	10	4
5	7	Meghan Trainor	All About That Bass	287,730	11	10	2
7	8	Sam Smith	I'm Not The Only One	287,420	8	10	5
10	9	Nick Jonas	Jealous	254,520	9	10	7
9	10	Maroon 5	Animals	253,800	18	10	4
11	11	Ariana Grande & The Weeknd	Love Me Harder	244,080	12	10	7
12	12	Big Sean ft. E-40	I Don't Fuck With You	210,910	13	10	11
13	13	Selena Gomez	The Heart Wants What It Wants	209,690	15	10	6
14	14	Tove Lo	Habits (Stay High)	196,830	30	10	6
17	15	Fall Out Boy	Centuries	179,430	10	10	10
15	16	I LOVE MAKONNEN ft. Drake	Tuesday	179,330	25	10	13
16	17	Jessie J, Ariana Grande & Nicki Minaj	Bang Bang	174,030	28	10	12
18	18	James Newton Howard ft. Jennifer Lawrence	The Hanging Tree	173,220	16	9	12
21	19	Nicki Minaj ft. Drake, Lil Wayne, Chris Brown	Only	168,070	17	10	12
19	20	Mr. Probz	Waves	166,530	29	10	14
22	21	Rae Sremmurd	No Type	166,220	22	10	16
20	22	Ed Sheeran	Don't	164,070	36	10	10
23	23	Sam Smith	Stay With Me	149,230	26	10	19
25	24	Beyonce	7/11	148,730	19	9	13
24	25	Bobby Shmurda	Hot Boy	134,800	-	9	15
26	26	Calvin Harris ft. John Newmann	Blame	132,020	50	10	21
29	27	O.T. Genasis	CoCo	124,160	23	10	23
27	28	Jeremih ft. YG	Don't Tell 'Em	123,440	47	10	22
28	29	Iggy Azalea ft. Rita Ora	Black Widow	119,610	48	10	23
32	30	Usher ft. Juicy J	I Don't Mind	117,680	14	10	14
31	31	Vance Joy	Riptide	112,250	31	10	30
30	32	Iggy Azalea ft. M0	Beg For It	109,840	72	10	27
33	33	Sia	Chandelier	106,540	33	10	30
34	34	MAGIC!	Rude	101,560	45	10	27
37	35	Alesso ft. Tove Lo	Heroes (We Could Be)	97,890	35	10	31
36	36	One Direction	Night Changes	97,380	46	10	31
40	37	Ella Henderson	Ghost	97,100	24	10	22
39	38	Carrie Underwood	Something In The Water	93,200	42	10	37
38	39	Fergie	L.A.LOVE (la la)	90,540	79	10	27
35	40	Jason Derulo	Trumpets	89,330	-	7	17
41	41	Tim McGraw	Shotgun Rider	86,950	62	10	38
43	42	Dej Loaf	Try Me	83,770	57	10	45
42	43	Clean Bandit ft. Jess Glynne	Rather Be	79,910	-	8	28
48	44	Eric Church	Talladega	77,110	43	10	43
50	45	Florida Georgia Line	Sun Daze	73,390	44	10	44
44	46	Rich Gang ft. Young Thug, Rich Homie Quan	Lifestyle	73,040	-	7	27
45	47	Milky Chance	Stolen Dance	70,740	-	8	39
46	48	Trey Songz ft. Nicki Minaj	Touchin, Lovin	70,530	-	9	44
47	49	DJ Khaled ft. Chris Brown, August Alsina, Future, Jeremih	Hold You Down	70,220	-	9	39
49	50	One Direction	Steal My Girl	70,030	84	10	29
55	51	Pitbull ft. Ne-yo	Time Of Our Lives	69,880	21	7	21
52	52	OneRepublic	I Lived	68,790	39	9	32
51	53	Brad Paisley	Perfect Storm	67,950	78	10	52
53	54	Imagine Dragons	I Bet My Life	65,800	63	10	54
56	55	Luke Bryan	I See You	63,880	41	9	41
58	56	Fifth Harmony	Sledgehammer	60,680	49	9	40
63	57	Flo Rida ft. Sage The Gemini, Lookas	G.D.F.R.	58,890	34	9	34
60	58	Lee Brice	Drinking Class	58,300	60	10	60
91	59	Maroon 5	Sugar	57,520	6	2	6
54	60	Nicki Minaj	Anaconda	57,330	-	7	48
57	61	David Guetta ft. Sam Martin	Dangerous	57,150	97	10	56
61	62	Kenny Chesney	Til It's Gone	56,050	69	10	60
64	63	The Weeknd	Often	55,130	59	10	59
62	64	RaeLynn	God Made Girls	54,450	75	10	61
68	65	Ne-yo ft. Juicy J	She Knows	54,170	38	9	38
66	66	Thomas Rhett	Make Me Wanna	53,150	55	10	55
69	67	Lillywood & Robin Schulz	Prayer In C	53,000	40	8	40
67	68	Blake Shelton ft. Ashley Monroe	Lonely Tonight	52,900	51	8	51
59	69	Pentatonix	Mary, Did You Know?	51,470	-	6	26
65	70	Keith Urban	Somewhere In My Car	47,600	-	8	51
70	71	Beyonce ft. Nicki Minaj, Chimamanda Ngozi Adichie	***Flawless	46,170	100	9	41
75	72	Brett Eldredge	Mean To Me	46,110	66	10	66
79	73	Nicki Minaj ft. Beyonce	Feeling Myself	44,560	58	6	43
73	74	Kid Ink ft. Usher, Tinashe	Body Language	44,410	87	10	72
77	75	Walk The Moon	Shut Up + Dance	44,380	64	9	64
80	76	Jason Aldean	Just Getting' Started	44,200	61	8	61
71	77	August Alsina	No Love	41,190	-	9	69
88	78	Sia	Elastic Heart	40,440	32	3	17
72	79	Echosmith	Cool Kids	40,260	-	4	30
74	80	Parmalee	Close Your Eyes	40,200	-	8	69
76	81	Lorde	Yellow Flicker Beat	39,510	-	7	34
89	82	Taylor Swift	Style	39,140	37	6	37
78	83	Colbie Caillat	Try	37,500	-	7	65
80	84	TI ft. Young Thug	About The Money	37,200	-	5	50
98	85	Weeknd	Earned It (Fifty Shades Of Grey)	36,580	27	5	27
82	86	Chris Brown ft. Usher, Rick Ross	New Flame	34,600	-	4	37
90	87	Randy Houser	Like A Cowboy	34,580	68	8	68
83	88	Ariana Grande	Santa Tell Me	34,180	-	5	42
105	89	Ellie Goulding	Love Me Like You Do	34,000	20	3	20
84	90	Maddie And Tae	Girl In A Country Song	33,020	-	5	54
85	91	Nico & Vinz	In Your Arms	31,850	-	7	79
94	92	Darius Rucker	Homegrown Honey	30,710	80	7	80
96	93	Chris Young	Lonely Eyes	30,650	74	6	73
100	94	Prince Royce ft. Snoop Dogg	Stuck On A Feeling	30,550	52	5	52
86	95	Nicki Minaj ft. Skylar Grey	Bed Of Lies	29,900	-	6	62
87	96	Blake Shelton	Neon Light	29,550	-	7	64
92	97	Pitbull ft. John Ryan	Fireball	27,080	-	5	50
101	98	J.Cole	Apparently	27,050	70	6	70
93	99	Mariah Carey	All I Want For Christmas Is You	26,140	-	3	35
95	100	Rae Sremmurd	No Flex Zone	25,900	-	4	60

[jarhys]

Jan 31, 2015 11:37:42 GMT -5 Daniel Collins said:

Hot 100	Song	Points	% Streams	%Sales	%Radio
1	Uptown Funk!	69,080	28%	49%	22%
4	Blank Space	38,130	30%	33%	38%

LW	TW	Artist	Song	Points	BB Hot 100	Weeks On	Peak
1	1	Taylor Swift	Blank Space	540,440	4	10	1
2	2	Mark Ronson ft. Bruno Mars	Uptown Funk!	465,490	1	10	1

Looks like Uptown Funk! can surpass Blank Space in 3-4 weeks.
I think Uptown Funk! will be #1 song this year.

[jarhys]

Jan 31, 2015 11:37:42 GMT -5 Daniel Collins said:

LW	TW	Artist	Song	Points	BB Hot 100	Weeks On	Peak
6	6	Taylor Swift	Shake It Off	291,100	5	10	4
5	7	Meghan Trainor	All About That Bass	287,730	11	10	2
9	10	Maroon 5	Animals	253,800	18	10	4
14	14	Tove Lo	Habits (Stay High)	196,830	30	10	6
16	17	Jessie J, Ariana Grande & Nicki Minaj	Bang Bang	174,030	28	10	12
20	22	Ed Sheeran	Don't	164,070	36	10	10
23	23	Sam Smith	Stay With Me	149,230	26	10	19
24	25	Bobby Shmurda	Hot Boy	134,800	-	9	15
27	28	Jeremih ft. YG	Don't Tell 'Em	123,440	47	10	22
28	29	Iggy Azalea ft. Rita Ora	Black Widow	119,610	48	10	23
33	33	Sia	Chandelier	106,540	33	10	30
34	34	MAGIC!	Rude	101,560	45	10	27
35	40	Jason Derulo	Trumpets	89,330	-	7	17
42	43	Clean Bandit ft. Jess Glynne	Rather Be	79,910	-	8	28
44	46	Rich Gang ft. Young Thug, Rich Homie Quan	Lifestyle	73,040	-	7	27
54	60	Nicki Minaj	Anaconda	57,330	-	7	48
72	79	Echosmith	Cool Kids	40,260	-	4	3
82	86	Chris Brown ft. Usher, Rick Ross	New Flame	34,600	-	4	37

These songs are in 2014's year-end chart,
but it looks like only 7-8 songs (top 7 and probably Chandelier) can make it in both years'.

There are 11 songs in both 2013's and 2014's, and 11 songs in both 2012's and 2013's.

[Deleted]

Given the only 1020 difference between 5-8, I expect that with the dying down of the viral video and continued decrease in sales and airplay SIO will fall to at least #8 if not lower. I really hope it does as it is getting old and it fell to #11 therefore not allowing it to hold that record so there's no point in it still being top 10.

[Ravi]

Very nice effort this.... and the virtual coincidence of the predicted Top-50 for year-end 2014 with the actual means that the accuracy levels are sufficiently high.

I have always wondered about the *real* relative rankings of songs as Billboard year-end charts have cutoff dates, and often a song's chart run gets split. For example, I have noticed many times that a song with, say, rank 75 actually had better run than the song with rank 50, but because some weeks of its run were counted in another year, it was ranked lower.

I wonder if with your database, it is possible to add all the accumulated chart points and then compare the songs.If you could add a column of total chart points for the entire run in your final predictions chart in page 13, then it would be great.

Anyway, keep up the good work.

[badrobot]

Feb 2, 2015 21:46:53 GMT -5 Ravi said:

Very nice effort this.... and the virtual coincidence of the predicted Top-50 for year-end 2014 with the actual means that the accuracy levels are sufficiently high.

I have always wondered about the *real* relative rankings of songs as Billboard year-end charts have cutoff dates, and often a song's chart run gets split. For example, I have noticed many times that a song with, say, rank 75 actually had better run than the song with rank 50, but because some weeks of its run were counted in another year, it was ranked lower.

I wonder if with your database, it is possible to add all the accumulated chart points and then compare the songs.If you could add a column of total chart points for the entire run in your final predictions chart in page 13, then it would be great.

Anyway, keep up the good work.

This is a cool idea. I wonder if it could be compiled retroactively? You could count each song based on the year it peaked (or the year it got the most points?).