Hot 100 Year-End Predictions (2019) - Year 6

[Daniel Collins]

Thanks to the following people:
Gary - for posting the top 50 of airplay, sales and streaming
Kworb - for the sales and radio estimates on his site.
Verisimilitude - for posting the Spotify top 50 on the Hot 100 thread
@markg94 - for commenting almost every week

And to the other regular commenters/followers of this thread:
jarhys,Mr. Thonk Eyes,rimetm,Dylan :),macabyan,Kris,mamooshka,Future Captain,@billboardfan1

THANK YOU!

[stanr]

Wow at those tiny gaps between Rude, Talk Dirty and AATB!!!
Sam Smith maybe not enter the top 10.

[Daniel Collins]

*UNOFFICIAL*
Top 100 Artists (base on Hot 100)

1 Katy Perry - 1,832,765
2 Pharrell Williams - 1,535,503
3 Iggy Azalea - 1,520,154
4 John Legend - 1,323,770
5 OneRepublic - 1,234,320
6 Jason Derulo - 1,225,233
7 Lorde- 1,218,840
8 Sam Smith - 1,157,673
9 Ariana Grande - 1,097,850
10 Imagine Dragons - 947,190

11 Meghan Trainor -898,580
12 Taylor Swift - 891,960
13 Magic!- 853,480
14 Nicki Minaj - 852,807
15 Avicii - 823,140
16 Pitbull - 822,025
17 Drake - 810,101
18 One Direction - 772,910
19 Luke Bryan - 756,977
20 Eminem - 751,553

21 Charli XCX - 748,037
22 Bastille - 742,480
23 Nico & Vinz - 738,390
24 Chris Brown - 737,160
25 Maroon 5 - 736,410
26 Florida Georgia Line - 670,243
27 Beyonce - 630,144
28 Ed Sheeran - 619,560
29 Miley Cyrus - 602,162
30 Idina Menzel - 594,115

31 Passenger - 571,440
32 Justin Timberlake - 570,798
33 Calvin Harris - 570,463
34 Sia - 517,701
35 Demi Lovato - 468,710
36 Jason Aldean - 468,370
37 Tove Lo - 455,035
38 American Authors - 449,680
39 Juicy J - 448,536
40 Coldplay - 448,520

41 Ellie Goulding - 432,330
42 5 Seconds Of Summer - 420,370
43 YG - 406,855
44 Trey Songz - 401,015
45 Kid Ink - 375,140
46 Blake Shelton - 368,100
47 Lil Jon - 349,715
48 Paramore - 349,400
49 DJ Snake - 340,825
50 Brantley Gilbert - 340,627

51 Lady Antebellum - 337,850
52 Dierks Bentley - 336,650
53 2 Chainz - 335,010
54 Disclosure - 329,056
55 Aloe Blacc - 328,640
56 Schoolboy Q - 319,355
57 MKTO - 307,670
58 Enrique Iglesias - 303,737
59 Bobby Shmurda - 299,180
60 Christina Aguilera - 295,215

60 A Great Big World - 295,215
62 Keith Urban - 287,760
63 Rihanna - 282,278
64 Clean Bandit - 278,880
65 Cole Swindell - 277,930
66 Lady Gaga - 274,088
67 Jeremih - 273,671
68 Jay-Z - 270,875
69 Shakira - 264,188
70 Echosmith - 262,750

71 Martin Garrix - 262,420
72 Zedd - 255,305
73 Miranda Lambert - 253,735
74 Sara Bareilles - 253,020
75 Eric Church - 249,580
76 Frankie Ballard - 249,270
77 Becky G - 246,180
78 TI - 244,648
79 Rixton - 241,220
80 Rae Sremmurd - 240,210

81 Ke$ha - 239,409
82 Kenny Chesney - 231,610
83 Wiz Khalifa - 218,847
84 TY Dolla $ign - 213,597
85 The Neighbourhood - 212,490
86 Joe Nichols - 205,300
87 Sam Hunt - 202,030
88 Lee Brice - 200,900
89 Young Thug - 197,596
90 Jake Owen - 197,530

91 Tinashe - 186,867
92 Kristen Bell - 186,025
93 Kongos - 185,450
94 Thomas Rhett - 181,977
95 AWOLNATION - 176,340
96 Rita Ora - 176,180
97 Lil Wayne - 171,469
98 Vance Joy - 170,100
99 Jhene Aiko - 168,453
100 Jessie J - 167,817

[Kris]

I am honoured to have contributed like 3 posts to this thread ;)

[Daniel Collins]

^That is actually your 13th post in here

[Clauss]

Yay at taylor #13

[H.]

Daniel Collins thank you so much for doing this!

[tucomrang]

daniel Collins: will you make the 2015 thread next week 

[Daniel Collins]

Yes. I'll start the 2015 predictions next week but I won't make a new thread.

[Clauss]

Pls i never commented but i always checked this thread to se how close the #1-2-3 are :)

[Daniel Collins]

^Thanks! :)
The year end predictions for 2015 would also be posted in this thread so that new visitors later in the year would be able to make the 2014 one as reference.

[jarhys]

Thank you so much! What a great year to be here :)

[badrobot]

Great work Daniel!

Based on your numbers, it looks like the tight races at the top will be:

#2-3, Katy vs. John

#6-8, all within a few points

#9-11, not as tight but a chance at reshuffling here

Given how "Roar" snuck in the top ten last year, I also wouldn't be surprised if BB's system put Taylor in that #10 spot -- although considering SIO seems pretty far behind, that would mean either they do a significantly different weighting system or they put their "thumb on the scale" a bit.

[Mr. Thonk Eyes]

Nice to see Taylor at her lucky #13!!!!

[Dylan :)]

Thank you so much for an amazing year, Daniel (even though I just joined here a few weeks ago)! :) Can't wait to see how close you were, and 2015 charts

[mamooshka]

Ditto, Daniel. Thanks for putting in the effort each week. You keep us coming back.

[Future Captain]

Thank you so much for this! I know this is pretty late, but since apparently you posted it right when I logged out, I found out rather late. But great job! Looking forward for the 2015 predictions!

[Daniel Collins]

WOAH!

[josh]

Nov 25, 2014 7:58:34 GMT -5 Daniel Collins said:

WOAH!

pulsemusic.proboards.com/user/10392/activity

haha

[Dylan :)]

Not sure if this is allowed or not (if no, I will remove this post). My year end mashup based off this chart is now up

youtu.be/CnVKgmN0kHo

[Rocky]

Lol I love it, it's decent. :'D If it wasn't awkwardly pitched at some parts it would be perfect.

[tucomrang]

Billboard changed the formula of the Hot 100 again which (I think) is gonna help pick up sales again 
can't wait to see how they gonna make this decade end chart after all those changes 

[Future Captain]

What do you think about the new formula? I think the formula is somewhere around this:

Sales/9

Airplay/8500-9000

Stream/700's

I think it's around this because right now Take Me To Church is #3 and the only time where a formula around the previous one work is when I divide sales by 9. I honestly expected it to be by 10 instead of 9. And since according to the article they're pushing down Streaming's importance, I guess they're changing it from 550-600 to 700's while Airplay don't have much change. What do you think about it?

[Dylan :)]

Seems Blank Space will be the first song at #1 on the 2015 year end chart
I've a feeling All About That Bass may be as popular in 2015 as Royals was in 2014

[Rocky]

Nov 29, 2014 15:06:27 GMT -5 Dylan :) said:

Seems Blank Space will be the first song at #1 on the 2015 year end chart

What a risky prediction, especially since we know that it is the first #1 song on the 2015 YE chart. :kii:

[Clauss]

I don't know if #1. But maybe top 5 is a high chance.

[surfy]

I didn't pay much attention to this, but I looked back and a lot of work went into this, so thank you to all who contributed for putting in all the time for this!!! :)

[Future Captain]

I think as long as Blank Space could stay at least for 30 weeks on the chart and around 16 weeks on top 10, it's position in the year-end top 10 is almost guaranteed, but if no, well..... The Monster is an example

[Dylan :)]

Wonder how high Love Me Harder will score this year. I don't think Take Me To Church, Animals or Habits will rank very high this year.

[Clauss]

Animals doesn't have the sales support, i can't see it top 10, maybe 20 for sure