sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Nov 25, 2014 23:42:11 GMT -5
I think "Buzz Back Girl" will not make the top 30. Jerrod's lost 25 spins since Sunday and really hasn't had a week where I've been optimistic about his chances here. Over the past four MB chart weeks, "Buzz Back Girl" has accumulated 741 points (average of 183 per week), 222 spins (average of 55 per week) and 890k in audience (average of 220k per week). Now granted, the 11/10 chart issue was a brutal update of -148 points and -300k in audience but "Buzz Back Girl" has gone backwards if anything the past two weeks in terms of overall numbers. There's only one song going recurrent next week (Blake) and three total in two weeks (Frankie, Hunter) on MB. That's not counting the songs that will likely jump Jerrod like Dierks and Cole.
There's just a couple weeks here before the Christmas shut down anyway and if Jerrod can cling to life these next few weeks, then the shut down will likely put the nail in the coffin for "Buzz Back Girl".
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onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Nov 26, 2014 8:49:18 GMT -5
I think "Buzz Back Girl" will not make the top 30. Jerrod's lost 25 spins since Sunday and really hasn't had a week where I've been optimistic about his chances here. Over the past four MB chart weeks, "Buzz Back Girl" has accumulated 741 points (average of 183 per week), 222 spins (average of 55 per week) and 890k in audience (average of 220k per week). Now granted, the 11/10 chart issue was a brutal update of -148 points and -300k in audience but "Buzz Back Girl" has gone backwards if anything the past two weeks in terms of overall numbers. There's only one song going recurrent next week (Blake) and three total in two weeks (Frankie, Hunter) on MB. That's not counting the songs that will likely jump Jerrod like Dierks and Cole. There's just a couple weeks here before the Christmas shut down anyway and if Jerrod can cling to life these next few weeks, then the shut down will likely put the nail in the coffin for "Buzz Back Girl". I say #35 is its peak position in Billboard. It did fall three to #40. Jerrod Niemann needs to get a lead single out during the first quarter of 2015 to try to get ANY momentum his way.
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Zazie
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Post by Zazie on Nov 26, 2014 11:22:07 GMT -5
I guess you guys are right. I should stop focusing on this wreckage of a chart run and move on to some other unpromising song that I can waste my time rooting for.
Maybe his next album will be more to my taste, even if it's very unlikely to generate a big hit single.
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rsmatto
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Post by rsmatto on Nov 26, 2014 16:43:41 GMT -5
I guess you guys are right. I should stop focusing on this wreckage of a chart run and move on to some other unpromising song that I can waste my time rooting for. Maybe his next album will be more to my taste, even if it's very unlikely to generate a big hit single. He had zero momentum at radio before "Drink." He can get a big hit single from a new project.
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Zazie
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Post by Zazie on Dec 1, 2014 23:53:57 GMT -5
The song with a dozen lives re-bullets and moves up 2 on BB tonight to #38. After I let y'all talk me into giving up on it, too. I think it's probably done now, but in case it puts up some gains it could move up 4 next week (passed by Garth; passing Corbin and Nichols; could benefit from as many as 3 recurrents). Also the song debuted on one of the callout sites and didn't do too well, giving me more reason to give up on it.
You guys probably have it right. This would need 3 more chart appearances before getting bailed out by the general Christmas weakness and then the post-Christmas rebulleting. And it doesn't have more than a 20% chance to last that long. But it's not impossible.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Dec 2, 2014 20:01:00 GMT -5
I don't think Arista will throw in a towel on this til that Christmas shutdown comes. Jerrod is up nearly 200k in audience since Sunday along with 14 spins but alas, no adds this week. In fact "Buzz Back Girl" is one of only 2 songs from #23-#50 with 0 adds this week, with Hunter's free falling "Tattoo" being the other.
I can find 6 potential songs going recurrent or at least falling below Jerrod over the next two chart weeks (assuming Jerrod has not collapsed himself). That would still only put Jerrod at #31, not counting any other songs that would leap him from now until then. The three wild cards are Toby (even though I do think is done), Jana (I predict her collapse to come any day now) and Big & Rich (who amazingly regained their bullet today as "Look At You" has gained over 100 spins since Sunday and over 200k in audience). I don't see any way Big & Rich get top 5 even with another bulletted week so I find keeping this alive for New Revolution is pointless, but I digress.
"Buzz Back Girl" will not do much more Zazie. Nothing's impossible but I've learned to always be pessimistic in situations like these. :)
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Zazie
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Post by Zazie on Dec 3, 2014 11:27:12 GMT -5
I don't think Arista will throw in a towel on this til that Christmas shutdown comes. Jerrod is up nearly 200k in audience since Sunday along with 14 spins but alas, no adds this week. In fact "Buzz Back Girl" is one of only 2 songs from #23-#50 with 0 adds this week, with Hunter's free falling "Tattoo" being the other.
I can find 6 potential songs going recurrent or at least falling below Jerrod over the next two chart weeks (assuming Jerrod has not collapsed himself). That would still only put Jerrod at #31, not counting any other songs that would leap him from now until then. The three wild cards are Toby (even though I do think is done), Jana (I predict her collapse to come any day now) and Big & Rich (who amazingly regained their bullet today as "Look At You" has gained over 100 spins since Sunday and over 200k in audience). I don't see any way Big & Rich get top 5 even with another bulletted week so I find keeping this alive for New Revolution is pointless, but I digress.
"Buzz Back Girl" will not do much more Zazie. Nothing's impossible but I've learned to always be pessimistic in situations like these. :)Good analysis. I know it's hopeless, but I have been hoping the song could sneak into the MB top 30 and get more countdown spins -- the truth is that it's a mediocre song and it's getting mediocre support so that it can have its mediocre chart run. There aren't a whole lot of songs that will pass Jerrod's over the next month -- maybe Garth's -- and there are a bunch of songs that could drop below Jerrod or fall off entirely. But I have to admit that doesn't really matter. There isn't anything magical about getting Lon Helton to play your song on a countdown show that would make radio stations all over the place see the "error of their ways." For one thing, I don't think those stations are making an error. Maybe Jerrod's next album will be terrific. He's capable of making good music, I know that.
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onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Dec 3, 2014 14:18:56 GMT -5
Maybe Jerrod's next album will be terrific. He's capable of making good music, I know that.
Maybe he can title his next CD like one from David Lee Murphy: Gettin' Out The Good Stuff. Seriously, Jerrod Niemann needs to find much better material for his next CD.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 3, 2014 14:28:13 GMT -5
Maybe Jerrod's next album will be terrific. He's capable of making good music, I know that. Maybe he can title his next CD like one from David Lee Murphy: Gettin' Out The Good Stuff. Seriously, Jerrod Niemann needs to find much better material for his next CD. Like Yellow Brick Road? Or in this current environment is it useless to release songs like that if you're trying to stay relevant? (Which I assume would be at least a moderate goal of most of the artists we discuss here).
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Zazie
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Post by Zazie on Dec 10, 2014 10:54:18 GMT -5
Consistent only in its inconsistency, BBG regains its MB bullet this week but lost its BB bullet. This morning, it sets a new high in its MB spins total for the whole chart run, so it should fall hard tomorrow. Still, I can't quite give up. All I'm asking for is top 30 on at least 1 chart. And I am not likely to get it, but at least he has a shot. 2 adds this week too.
Sabre, remind me why I should give up.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Dec 10, 2014 13:16:09 GMT -5
Consistent only in its inconsistency, BBG regains its MB bullet this week but lost its BB bullet. This morning, it sets a new high in its MB spins total for the whole chart run, so it should fall hard tomorrow. Still, I can't quite give up. All I'm asking for is top 30 on at least 1 chart. And I am not likely to get it, but at least he has a shot. 2 adds this week too. Sabre, remind me why I should give up. ^ Because, "It's beginning to look a lot like Christmas"..... Really though - that's still a huge factor but the number gains the past couple days aren't anything to write home about. If you combine the past three days with Jerrod's last three week numbers, "Buzz Back Girl" has accumulated 99 spins, almost 300k in audience and 6 total adds. The average there is a bit skewed with a good past couple days and a dreadful week, three weeks back, but the overall body of work still leads me to the conclusion that this upcoming week might very well be it for "Buzz Back Girl". You can't have a single tread water like this so close to the Christmas shutdown (while setting up a lawn chair in the 30's for what seems like an eternity). Big & Rich and Little Big Town are going recurrent this Sunday but Easton, Eric and Garth are all nipping at Jerrod's heels, so he has to keep up that pace he's garnered the past few days, which I don't see happening. After that is the shutdown phase and it's way to difficult to foresee "Buzz Back Girl" hanging on a month from now. Let's hope for a strong lead single from Jerrod in 2015. :)
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Zazie
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Post by Zazie on Dec 11, 2014 14:10:48 GMT -5
LOL at "lawn chair." Good description, but on the other hand Jana Kramer, Tyler Farr, Toby even though he's a slightly different case (debuting at 31), Band Perry (not getting serious promotion), Joe Nichols are all hanging around, doing nothing. K Bush, same thing only his chair is planted a little higher. And one or two of that group could easily wind up with a hit, starting upward after Christmas week. Maybe Easton Corbin? Heck, even Dierks was spinning his heels for longer than expected, which previously he had only done with a "bluegrass" single.
The bottom-feeders are really struggling, and their ability to sit and wait continues to surprise me. You say that will end right after Christmas -- I'm not opposed to that. Clear 'em all out. But in the short run, I think Paslay and Niemann will both rebullet on the next BB chart and dream of an eventual chart climb.
ETA that the song has reached its new spins high this week AND today, though it fell from the spins peak, it reached an MB audience almost-high, within 4k of its all-time high. All he needs is Luke Bryan to sign on as a duet partner and he's all set for his top 10 run.
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dajire4
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Post by dajire4 on Dec 14, 2014 17:05:09 GMT -5
I know Zazie likes Buzz Back Girl, but I just want it to go away to free up some top 40 space
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Zazie
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Post by Zazie on Dec 14, 2014 18:14:04 GMT -5
I know Zazie likes Buzz Back Girl, but I just want it to go away to free up some top 40 space I don't even like it, I promise. I'm just a Niemann fan who got caught up in chartwatching this one (the chart run has been a strange one). I'll stop posting about it unless it gets to the top 20. I realize that I'm bumping up a post that is better left unexplored.
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dajire4
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Post by dajire4 on Dec 15, 2014 1:00:43 GMT -5
Oh no dont. I like seeing conversation about songs even if I don't like them myself
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Dec 17, 2014 12:38:35 GMT -5
Well it was not a good update at all for "Buzz Back Girl" today. It lost 68 spins and its lost 88 total spins since Sunday. The audience didn't take too bad a hit though with a .070 loss, though its lost 200k in audience so far this week. Do you here that bugel call Zazie? ;)
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Zazie
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Post by Zazie on Dec 17, 2014 14:09:58 GMT -5
Well it was not a good update at all for "Buzz Back Girl" today. It lost 68 spins and its lost 88 total spins since Sunday. The audience didn't take too bad a hit though with a .070 loss, though its lost 200k in audience so far this week. Do you here that bugel call Zazie? ;) No, I can't hear much these days. It was that donkey of Jerrod's braying that cost me my hearing. I did see today's update -- a few others had bad days too. Dan + Shay, Jana Kramer (already recurrent on BB), K Bush all had a rough time of it. Not sure BB will get rid of all of them at once, and MB always follows their own rules carefully so it will take longer for MB to clean house. I'm going to avoid focusing on Jerrod for a few days and see how it goes -- besides, the question of whether Keith Urban's SIMC can stay on the BB chart for one more week is a much better subject for chart-watchers to obsess on this week. Very close call. Jerrod is on my promise-to-ignore list, and I have to honor that, bugle or no. Hee haw.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 17, 2014 22:08:45 GMT -5
My parody of this:
Listenin to this, listenin to this you don't even know what its doing to me, it makes me want to hurl, want to hurl...
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Dec 20, 2014 13:59:09 GMT -5
This is done. "Buzz Back Girl" has lost another 250k in audience today on MB bringing the number to nearly 600k in audience lost since Sunday. With it being so close to Christmas I could see a similar situation to what happened to Faith's "Stealing Kisses" and Keith Anderson's "Podunk" in 2006/2007, where Jerrod could hold steady during the freeze but collapse once the chart picks back up again in early January.
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.indulgecountry
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Post by .indulgecountry on Dec 20, 2014 15:38:55 GMT -5
So ready for this to be gone. I still can't believe this made it into the Top 40 to begin with and then it sat around doing nothing for as long as it did.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 20, 2014 16:29:36 GMT -5
That was quite a short album era for Jerrod Niemann. Last year at this time the lead single was only top 30, and now Jerrod is back to having just about no momentum at radio as he was after the last album. It looks like Jerrod is having a really hard time establishing a long-term career with country radio. His first two singles on a major label hit big, but that appears to have been the high point of Jerrod's career as he hasn't been able to sell albums or get much radio airplay since then. "Drink to That All Night" was a bit of a novelty song in that it yielded great single sales but couldn't move that many albums even with #1 radio rotation, and there was pretty much no interest in any other material off High Noon. If Jerrod Niemann really does come back with a traditional album as I believe was mentioned in a BCU, then I think he could have another era as disappointing as Free the Music next, but then again he doesn't have much to lose since the approach he tried this time around wasn't too successful in the long-run either.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 20, 2014 21:56:55 GMT -5
So lets see, this songs done, God Made Girls is near finished, same with Show You Off and Drunk Americans.... boy Christmas came early for me ;) (no offense to anyone who likes these songs)
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Post by Daryl the Beryl on Dec 24, 2014 7:15:12 GMT -5
38 40 JERROD NIEMANN Buzz Back Girl 1063 1026 37 4.536
Regained its bullet on Mediabase AGAIN. Can this just die?
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Dec 24, 2014 11:16:54 GMT -5
38 40 JERROD NIEMANN Buzz Back Girl 1063 1026 37 4.536 Regained its bullet on Mediabase AGAIN. Can this just die?Don't worry it will. Like I said before, this might be able to hold steady through the holiday's but "Buzz Back Girl" will likely falter in January. Jerrod's audience literally has stayed put or has sustained some loss for well over a month now. That's just not the actions of a song that will break free and crack the top 30. Actually, this is pretty remarkable. Jerrod's song has stayed between 4.5 and 4.9 in MB audience since November 10th - that's 54 consecutive days, nearly two solid months just doing nothing. I wasn't joking when I said "Buzz Back Girl" is chilling out in a lawn chair in the mid to low 30's. Heck Jerrod's probably drinking some pop and eating some Doritos and Sun Chips while taking a nap in that lawn chair he's been there so long. This will die come the new year and Arista will probably end the era now instead of throwing out another single from High Noon. All that momentum Jerrod got from "Drink To That All Night" is officially gone and this song's lifeless chart run is living proof.
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someguy
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Post by someguy on Dec 24, 2014 11:19:31 GMT -5
He's been sitting there so long that the grass is probably dead and brown underneath the chair.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Jan 1, 2015 18:14:49 GMT -5
Well with tomorrow being the first day we can look at a week gone by without the effect of Christmas airplay, I can now 100% say that "Buzz Back Girl" is finished. It's lost over 1.5 million in audience and 300 spins since December 15th. When most songs regained their losses from the Christmas holiday, "Buzz Back Girl" never did. It's MB and Billboard peak was #35 and I fully expect the High Noon era to be over. Quick, wasn't it?
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.indulgecountry
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Post by .indulgecountry on Jan 1, 2015 19:35:51 GMT -5
It's MB and Billboard peak was #35 and I fully expect the High Noon era to be over. Quick, wasn't it? Honestly didn't seem all that quick with the way this hung around taking up space on the chart for as long as it did. A quicker departure for BBG would've been preferable.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Jan 1, 2015 19:41:05 GMT -5
It's MB and Billboard peak was #35 and I fully expect the High Noon era to be over. Quick, wasn't it? Honestly didn't seem all that quick with the way this hung around taking up space on the chart for as long as it did. A quicker departure for BBG would've been preferable. Yeah, but High Noon was only released in late March of 2014. So how do you follow up your #1 single and a new album release? Release the biggest flame out on the charts that I can remember and follow that up with a mediocre song that meanders through the 30's for the entire 4Q.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 1, 2015 19:51:54 GMT -5
Honestly didn't seem all that quick with the way this hung around taking up space on the chart for as long as it did. A quicker departure for BBG would've been preferable. High Noon was only released in late March of 2013. 2013 ? Doesn't seem too quick to me :)
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Jan 1, 2015 19:53:08 GMT -5
High Noon was only released in late March of 2013. 2013 ? Doesn't seem too quick to me :) Maybe I'm trying to extend this era for Jerrod and don't even realize it. Lol Fixed it. :)
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