Eloqueen™
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Post by Eloqueen™ on Aug 21, 2014 9:42:30 GMT -5
By the end of the tracking week Taylor will have blown Nicki out of the water in terms of airplay and sales. Youtube streams of their respective videos are only 1 million apart at the moment (not exactly enough to cause a huge upset, unless for some reason that gap widens significantly over the next few days). Spotify and other streaming services seem to be the only thing in question at the moment.
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Post by josh on Aug 21, 2014 9:45:18 GMT -5
By the end of the tracking week Taylor will have blown Nicki out of the water in terms of airplay and sales. Youtube streams of their respective videos are only 1 million apart at the moment (not exactly enough to cause a huge upset, unless for some reason that gap widens significantly over the next few days). Spotify and other streaming services seem to be the only thing in question at the moment. Nicki's video has been out for ~30 hours less than Taylor's, so the streaming gap is going to be pretty big. I personally think Taylor will be #1, regardless.
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Clauss
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Post by Clauss on Aug 21, 2014 10:06:23 GMT -5
Kworb said: 665 --> 525 --> 538
It's Thursday, an the lead is still more than 50%.. AATB will sell something like ~300k. I'm pretty sure SIO will make 500 at least
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Spidey
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Post by Spidey on Aug 21, 2014 10:10:26 GMT -5
By the end of the tracking week Taylor will have blown Nicki out of the water in terms of airplay and sales. Youtube streams of their respective videos are only 1 million apart at the moment (not exactly enough to cause a huge upset, unless for some reason that gap widens significantly over the next few days). Spotify and other streaming services seem to be the only thing in question at the moment. Nicki's video has been out for ~30 hours less than Taylor's, so the streaming gap is going to be pretty big. I personally think Taylor will be #1, regardless. I think "Anaconda" will jump to #2 with a shot at #1 next week.
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Clauss
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Post by Clauss on Aug 21, 2014 11:11:06 GMT -5
Kworb says now 578k... There is no way this do 400-450.. I'm gonna wait the billboard report increasing the expected sales
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kanimal
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Post by kanimal on Aug 21, 2014 11:24:59 GMT -5
Kworb says now 578k... There is no way this do 400-450.. I'm gonna wait the billboard report increasing the expected sales 578 might still be a stretch, but it's obviously holding up far better than expected. The monstrous airplay seems to be paying off. Or, maybe people weren't as aware of this Monday night as I thought they were/should have been. Unless Kworb's data is totally bogus, think I guessed it did about 180K through Tuesday. Based on its gain over AATB, let's say another 90K Wednesday. It should do another 80K today, so that will bring it to 350K by 12AM. I don't see how it only sells 75-100K from Friday through Sunday.
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Clauss
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Post by Clauss on Aug 21, 2014 11:29:10 GMT -5
Kworb says now 578k... There is no way this do 400-450.. I'm gonna wait the billboard report increasing the expected sales 578 might still be a stretch, but it's obviously holding up far better than expected. The monstrous airplay seems to be paying off. Or, maybe people weren't as aware of this Monday night as I thought they were/should have been. Unless Kworb's data is totally bogus, think I guessed it did about 180K through Tuesday. Based on its gain over AATB, let's say another 90K Wednesday. It should do another 80K today, so that will bring it to 350K by 12AM. I don't see how it only sells 75-100K from Friday through Sunday. I guess it's a sure thing to say this will pass 500k
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kanimal
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Post by kanimal on Aug 21, 2014 11:31:24 GMT -5
578 might still be a stretch, but it's obviously holding up far better than expected. The monstrous airplay seems to be paying off. Or, maybe people weren't as aware of this Monday night as I thought they were/should have been. Unless Kworb's data is totally bogus, think I guessed it did about 180K through Tuesday. Based on its gain over AATB, let's say another 90K Wednesday. It should do another 80K today, so that will bring it to 350K by 12AM. I don't see how it only sells 75-100K from Friday through Sunday. I guess it's a sure thing to say this will pass 500k It's tough for me to call something a sure thing since I don't know where Kworb/Live Pop Bars/Digital Sales Data get their ratios from - and I also don't know what methodology BB and HitsDD used for 425-450K. But, yes, if we assume Kworb is accurate about its ratio over AATB, I can't see how it does less than 500k.
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george1166
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Post by george1166 on Aug 21, 2014 11:40:41 GMT -5
This song is SO.DAMN.CATCHY. Been stuck in my head since it leaked
Max Martin is seriously a genius. Hope the next Brit album is produced by him entirely
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Eloqueen™
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Post by Eloqueen™ on Aug 21, 2014 11:58:39 GMT -5
Hell yes at this holding steady and that boosted projection. <3
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Glove Slap
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Post by Glove Slap on Aug 21, 2014 12:53:32 GMT -5
I think it'll finish close to the actual 500k mark. Maybe a bit below, maybe a bit above, either of which would be a fantastic start.
I guess I shouldn't be surprised by some of the arguments going on, but there's no reason to consider this anything less than an absolutely terrific start once again. Even before I heard anything about this project, I never expected her to match her previous lead's opening sales, not when digital sales have taken such a huge hit. Factor in now that she's consciously leaving a part of her career behind and I don't see why there should be any doomsday predictions right now, it's kicking things off astoundingly.
Granted yes, this could stall in a few weeks and sales may not hold up, but there's absolutely nothing to suggest that at this point. Everything's going terrific so far.
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dzjx
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Post by dzjx on Aug 21, 2014 15:02:01 GMT -5
Yeah people must remember digital single sales are not what they were in 2012 when WANEGBT came out.
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Charlotte.
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Post by Charlotte. on Aug 21, 2014 16:56:04 GMT -5
Yeah people must remember digital single sales are not what they were in 2012 when WANEGBT came out. True dat.
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Eloqueen™
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Post by Eloqueen™ on Aug 21, 2014 18:56:35 GMT -5
I am anxious to see her totals for this week. Should be mind-boggling.
Queen.
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Flip
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Post by Flip on Aug 22, 2014 3:31:46 GMT -5
Missed the number one spot in New Zealand. Debuts at #2, behind Meghan Trainor.
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Aug 22, 2014 5:19:56 GMT -5
POP: -- 16 TAYLOR SWIFT Shake It Off 5294 0 5294 37.203
+1191 Spins +1191 Bullet +7.370 Audience
HOT AC: -- 20 TAYLOR SWIFT Shake It Off 1903 0 1903 15.073
+424 Spins +424 Bullet +3.347 Audience
AC: -- 26 TAYLOR SWIFT Shake It Off 92 0 92 0.858
+31 Spins +31 Bullet +0.165 Audience
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YourFaveIsAFlop
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Post by YourFaveIsAFlop on Aug 22, 2014 5:30:22 GMT -5
I think this actually sounds better on the radio than listening to it on iTunes, somehow
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Eloqueen™
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Post by Eloqueen™ on Aug 22, 2014 7:09:26 GMT -5
POP:-- 16 TAYLOR SWIFT Shake It Off 5294 0 5294 37.203 +1191 Spins +1191 Bullet +7.370 Audience HOT AC:-- 20 TAYLOR SWIFT Shake It Off 1903 0 1903 15.073 +424 Spins +424 Bullet +3.347 Audience AC:-- 26 TAYLOR SWIFT Shake It Off 92 0 92 0.858 +31 Spins +31 Bullet +0.165 Audience Legend, Queen, killing it, etc.
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Post by countrygirl918 on Aug 22, 2014 7:18:13 GMT -5
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Post by GivesYouHell on Aug 22, 2014 8:11:13 GMT -5
POP:-- 16 TAYLOR SWIFT Shake It Off 5294 0 5294 37.203 +1191 Spins +1191 Bullet +7.370 Audience HOT AC:-- 20 TAYLOR SWIFT Shake It Off 1903 0 1903 15.073 +424 Spins +424 Bullet +3.347 Audience AC:-- 26 TAYLOR SWIFT Shake It Off 92 0 92 0.858 +31 Spins +31 Bullet +0.165 Audience Plus: Country?? ?? TAYLOR SWIFT Shake It Off 39 0 39 0.384 +7 Spins +7 Bullet +0.054 AI Rhythmic?? ?? TAYLOR SWIFT Shake It Off 78 0 78 0.515
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kanimal
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Post by kanimal on Aug 22, 2014 8:24:14 GMT -5
So Earl Sweatshirt obviously opened himself up to this response by saying that he hadn't watched it, but he did technically say that the concept is inherently problematic. I completely disagree with him, because to say a white girl putting herself adjacent to black hip hop dancers, no matter the context, is inherently "perpetuating black stereotypes" is to be inherently absurd, but it's not like he didn't explain why his opinion is valid despite not seeing the video.
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Ling-Ling
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Post by Ling-Ling on Aug 22, 2014 8:28:23 GMT -5
Mark Romanek directed this video!? WTF. He's responsible for some of the most EPIC videos of the past 20 years. It's a cute video, but definitely slumming by his standards in terms of quality.
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jjose712
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Post by jjose712 on Aug 22, 2014 8:47:29 GMT -5
So Earl Sweatshirt obviously opened himself up to this response by saying that he hadn't watched it, but he did technically say that the concept is inherently problematic. I completely disagree with him, because to say a white girl putting herself adjacent to black hip hop dancers, no matter the context, is inherently "perpetuating black stereotypes" is to be inherently absurd, but it's not like he didn't explain why his opinion is valid despite not seeing the video. Sorry, but that guy is stupid with capital S. First of all, if you are going to be critic with a video you don't say that you didn't watch it, who does he think he is? the Vatican. Second, if he wants to be critic of videos that perpetuate negative afroamerican stereotypes he could start with his own genre, because 90% of hip hop videos are like carbon copies, it's always the same and it's not positive. Taylor's video is funny, and that's clearly the intention. What's next, ballet dancers getting offended too
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 22, 2014 8:47:45 GMT -5
On first listen, I was like "Okay. Never really cared for her, but this is super catchy." After 3 listens, I found it super annoying. Agree with the people who think this may have high burnout.
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jjose712
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Post by jjose712 on Aug 22, 2014 8:59:03 GMT -5
On first listen, I was like "Okay. Never really cared for her, but this is super catchy." After 3 listens, I found it super annoying. Agree with the people who think this may have high burnout. Even if it hasn't a high burnout at the rate this is being overplayed it would burn out fast anyway
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bornfearless2000
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Post by bornfearless2000 on Aug 22, 2014 9:01:31 GMT -5
actually it hasn't burnt out for me. in fact, it's growing on me. i like it even more now
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SPRΞΞ
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Post by SPRΞΞ on Aug 22, 2014 9:05:18 GMT -5
doesn't look like this is going to break any first week airplay records. Looks like it will debut at #15 if it keeps getting ~1100 spins/day.
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Ling-Ling
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Post by Ling-Ling on Aug 22, 2014 9:07:36 GMT -5
I don't think this song is going to burnout any faster than any other fun, catchy pop hit does. This song is such a SMASH.
The only thing holding this song back from being truly great is the cringe-worthy spoken bit and the half-assed bridge that goes nowhere. Otherwise, this song is undeniable. And this is coming from someone that has never been here for Taylor.
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Eloqueen™
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Post by Eloqueen™ on Aug 22, 2014 9:11:35 GMT -5
A #15 debut. Crazy. Anyone have a list of the biggest debutes in pop radio history? And what is the last song that debuted so high? "Born This Way"?
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kanimal
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Post by kanimal on Aug 22, 2014 9:25:00 GMT -5
I don't think this song is going to burnout any faster than any other fun, catchy pop hit does. This song is such a SMASH. The only thing holding this song back from being truly great is the cringe-worthy spoken bit and the half-assed bridge that goes nowhere. Otherwise, this song is undeniable. And this is coming from someone that has never been here for Taylor. I get why people don't like it musically, but this is the type of thing that makes these songs stand out. As I've said, "so he calls me up and he's like, uhhhh I still love you" is far lamer and more "cringeworthy" than this one, and that's the thing everyone remembers from WANEGBT. Plus, the fella over there with the hella good hair is an excellent rhyme.
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