onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Jan 12, 2015 11:48:41 GMT -5
The 50th Annual Academy of Country Music Awards Sunday April 19, 2015 Live at 8/7c on CBS From AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TXACM Awards WebsiteHosted by Blake Shelton and Luke BryanPERFORMERS:Keith Urban and Eric Church - "Pledge Allegiance To The Hag" / "Raise 'Em Up" George Strait - "All My Ex's Live In Texas" / "Let It Go" Sam Hunt - "Take Your Time" Florida Georgia Line - "Sippin' On Fire" Dierks Bentley - "Riser" Martina McBride - "Independence Day" Luke Bryan - "I See You" Miranda Lambert - "Mama's Broken Heart" / "Little Red Wagon" Jason Aldean - "Tonight Looks Good On You" / "My Kinda Party" / "Hicktown" / "She's Country" Reba McEntire - "Is There Life Out There" / "The Night The Lights Went Out In Georgia" / "Fancy" / "Going Out Like That" Little Big Town - "Girl Crush" Cole Swindell - "Ain't Worth The Whiskey" Thomas Rhett - "Make Me Wanna" Blake Shelton - "Sangria" Christina Aguilera and Rascal Flatts - "Shotgun" / "Riot" Garth Brooks - "All-American Kid" Kenny Chesney - "Young" / "Wild Child" Dan + Shay and Nick Jonas - "Jealous" / "Chains" / "Nothin' Like You" Lady Antebellum - "Long Stretch Of Love" Alan Jackson - "Where Were You (When The World Stopped Turning)?" Brad Paisley - "Crushin' It" Brooks & Dunn - "My Maria" Brad Paisley and Darius Rucker - "Let The Good Times Roll" Nominees / WinnersEntertainer of the Year• Jason Aldean • Garth Brooks • Luke Bryan• Miranda Lambert • Florida Georgia Line Male Vocalist of the Year• Jason Aldean • Dierks Bentley • Luke Bryan • Eric Church • Brad Paisley • Blake Shelton Female Vocalist of the Year• Brandy Clark • Miranda Lambert• Martina McBride • Kacey Musgraves • Carrie Underwood Vocal Duo of the Year• Brothers Osborne • Dan + Shay • Florida Georgia Line• Maddie & Tae • The Swon Brothers Vocal Group of the Year• Lady Antebellum • Little Big Town• Rascal Flatts • The Band Perry • Zac Brown Band New Artist of the Year• Cole Swindell• Sam Hunt • Thomas Rhett Album of the YearAwarded to the Artist, Producer(s), and Record Label• "Old Boots, New Dirt" - Jason Aldean | Produced by Michael Knox | Label: Broken Bow Records • "Pain Killer" - Little Big Town | Produced by Jay Joyce | Label: Capitol Nashville • "Platinum" - Miranda Lambert | Produced by Chuck Ainlay, Frank Liddell, and Glenn Worf | Label: RCA Nashville• "Riser" - Dierks Bentley | Produced by Ross Copperman and Jaren Johnston | Label: Capitol Nashville • "The Outsiders" - Eric Church | Produced by Jay Joyce | Label: EMI Nashville Single Record of the YearAwarded to the Artist(s), Producer(s), and Record Label • "American Kids" - Recorded by Kenny Chesney | Produced by Kenny Chesney and Buddy Cannon | Blue Chair Records/Columbia Nashville • "Automatic" - Recorded by Miranda Lambert | Produced by Chuck Ainlay, Frank Liddell, and Glenn Worf | Label: RCA Nashville • "Dirt" - Recorded by Florida Georgia Line | Produced by Joey Moi | Label: Republic Nashville • "Drunk On A Plane" - Recorded by Dierks Bentley | Produced by Ross Copperman | Label: Capitol Nashville • "I Don't Dance" - Recorded by Lee Brice | Produced by Lee Brice | Label: Curb RecordsSong of the YearAwarded to the Songwriter(s), Artist(s), and Publisher(s)• "American Kids" - Recorded by Kenny Chesney; Written by Rodney Clawson, Luke Laird, and Shane McAnally • "Automatic" - Recorded by Miranda Lambert; Written by Miranda Lambert, Nicolle Galyon, and Natalie Hemby• "Drink A Beer" - Recorded by Luke Bryan; Written by Chris Stapleton and Jim Beavers • "Follow Your Arrow" - Recorded by Kacey Musgraves; Written by Kacey Musgraves, Brandy Clark, and Shane McAnally • "Give Me Back My Hometown" - Recorded by Eric Church; Written by Eric Church and Luke Laird • "I Hold On" - Recorded by Dierks Bentley; Written by Dierks Bentley and Brett James Video of the Year (Off-Camera Award) Awarded to the Artist(s), Director(s), and Producer(s)• "American Kids" - Kenny Chesney | Director - Shaun Silva | Producer - Don Lepore • "Cop Car" - Keith Urban | Director - John Urbano | Producer - Michelle Abnet • "Drunk On A Plane" - Dierks Bentley | Director - Wes Edwards | Producer - Clarke Gallivan• "I'm Not Gonna Miss You" - Glen Campbell | Director - James Keach | Producer - Julian Raymond • "Somethin' Bad" - Miranda Lambert & Carrie Underwood | Director - Trey Fanjoy | Producer - Trent Hardville Vocal Event of the Year (Off-Camera Award) Awarded to the Artist(s), Producer(s), and Record Label• "Lonely Tonight" - Blake Shelton featuring Ashley Monroe | Produced by Scott Hendricks | Label: Warner Music Nashville • "Meanwhile Back At Mama's" - Tim McGraw featuring Faith Hill | Produced by Tim McGraw and Byron Gallimore | Label: Big Machine Records • "Somethin' Bad" - Miranda Lambert duet with Carrie Underwood | Produced by Chuck Ainlay, Frank Liddell, and Glen Worf | Label: RCA Nashville • "The South" - The Cadillac Three featuring Florida Georgia Line, Dierks Bentley, and Mike Eli | Produced by Dann Huff and Justin Niebank | Label: Big Machine Records • "This Is How We Roll" - Florida Georgia Line featuring Luke Bryan | Produced by Joey Moi | Label: Republic NashvilleSongwriter of the Year (Off-Camera Award) • Rodney Clawson • Ashley Gorley • Luke Laird• Josh Osborne • Chris Tompkins
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bigfan101
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Post by bigfan101 on Jan 12, 2015 15:17:18 GMT -5
Absolutely stunned that Maddie + Tae were not included.
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onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Jan 12, 2015 15:24:29 GMT -5
Absolutely stunned that Maddie + Tae were not included. Despite their buzz, maybe Maddie & Tae's success with their debut single came too late. It didn't reach the top until December. Maybe next year.
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bigfan101
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Post by bigfan101 on Jan 12, 2015 15:27:58 GMT -5
Absolutely stunned that Maddie + Tae were not included. Despite their buzz, maybe Maddie & Tae's success with their debut single came too late. It didn't reach the top until December. Maybe next year. I don't know; I would have thought the Academy would have scoped out any potential female nominee to go along with that group which is all male and features artists that did not have as big of hits as Maddie and Tae did.
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14887fan
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Post by 14887fan on Jan 12, 2015 17:34:32 GMT -5
Absolutely stunned that Maddie + Tae were not included. People are predicting that it was a label move, including Windmills on Twitter. From what I talked to him about, it seems as though they pushed Thomas Rhett to New Artist since that's really the only category he has any shot at getting nominated in, whereas M&T are likely locks for a Duo nom and might also sneak into Single & Song for GIACS, so they opted to focus their attention on getting nominations for them elsewhere. It's a damn shame, all things considered, but at the end of the day, labels only care about the surplus amount of nominations that their artists get because it's more room for bragging rights and opens up more opportunity for block voting. What'll be really interesting is, if M&T do get nom'd for Duo (which I can't imagine that they won't), seeing who Borchetta & Co. back in the voting at the ACMs. Post-GIACS' peak, the two ladies are making headway with "Fly" and are managing to catch themselves in some headlines. The team at BMLG and Dot Records could opt for making a real statement by getting them a win, or they could go the safe route and push for an otherwise-expected FLAGA win.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 12, 2015 18:34:31 GMT -5
I was initially stunned that Maddie & Tae aren't even being considered for New Artist as well...but then I thought some more about it and I'll bet that BMLG pushes them for 2016 when they might have a better chance to win. I think they have a lot of momentum right now, and yet...that's still based off of only one #1 hit. The 8 artists that are in the running have all released their debut albums, whereas we're still waiting on a full-length LP from M&T. Plus, if somebody like Kip Moore is still eligible this year, then Maddie & Tae will have definitely still be eligible next year. Don't forget that Justin Moore was deemed eligible last year, and he went on to win. Speaking of Kip, he won the fan-voted award at the ACC Awards last month, so he might have a pretty good chance to win this again, especially if his new single starts to take off a bit at country radio. But that's definitely some stiff competition in the category. I do think Maddie & Tae will be nominated in the Duo category (there are so few duos in the first place), but I still expect FGL to win that category pretty easily. It's just a real shame that there aren't ANY female artists even being considered for the New Artist category. Then again, who could they have possibly gone with? It's too soon for Mickey Guyton, virtually no one knows who Kelleigh Bannen is (not nearly enough success for her), and I'm guessing that Kacey Musgraves isn't eligible because she won Album of the Year last year...otherwise she would've certainly been in the category (especially since Justin Moore was still eligible last year, and Kip is in the category again this year). Brandy Clark would definitely be eligible for a category such as New Artist, though. Hopefully Warner Bros. LA will step up to the plate for her next year. Let's see...other possible female candidates...Leah Turner was obviously extremely unlikely since she no longer has a major label backing her, and of course she didn't have any success at radio either. Jana Kramer won New Female Vocalist back in 2012 so she obviously wasn't eligible. Ashley Monroe probably wasn't eligible either, since she charted a couple of singles back in 2006. Danielle Bradbery and Cassadee Pope would probably have been eligible this year, but neither had much of an impact compared to the 8 male artists. RaeLynn is in the same boat that Maddie & Tae is in, at least in my eyes (no album yet, more likely to be "pushed" in 2016). Other than the ladies in the above paragraph, the only other possible choices for "new" females (and I'm only counting females from labels that cater to the main Billboard & Mediabase charts) would've been Lindsay Ell (Stoney Creek), Krystal Keith (Show Dog), Allison Veltz (Blaster), and Kelsea Ballerini (Black River). Finally there's Jamie Lynn Spears and Lucy Hale, but Jamie doesn't have a label and Lucy has barely made any impact. In the end these nominations only further illustrate the dearth of successful female artists at country radio. It's shocking that not even 1-2 female artists could make it into the category, but then again, upon closer inspection, who could they have possibly gone with, especially if BMLG wasn't willing to push Maddie & Tae and RaeLynn yet this year?
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Kentucky25
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Post by Kentucky25 on Jan 12, 2015 21:13:05 GMT -5
Speaking to the fact that Thomas Rhett doesn't have a chance in any other category, I feel like there needs to be a middle level award between Artist of Year and Newcomer. Guys like Brice, Young, Nail and Houser really don't have a chance either of winning those categories.
I have to agree though, the lack of female artists being represented is a major problem. I'm not even someone that really enjoys a lot of female artists (more about not really identifying with the lyrics than anything else), but I can see that when the female artist of the year category at every award show is basically Carrie vs Miranda, that's a problem. Which has everything to do with Country radio and nothing to do with talent levels.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 12, 2015 22:59:53 GMT -5
I hope either Brett or Kip gets it, even though these two are hardly new. They both may technically have only one album released, but each of their big hit songs are going to be 3 years old this year. If Chase Rice gets it you can most likely expect him to have a raunchier twitter feed the night he gets it than Blake Shelton...
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sapphire
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Post by sapphire on Jan 13, 2015 0:06:22 GMT -5
Not surprised with that list. I'll probably choose Brett Eldredge, Sam Hunt and Cole Swindell as the final three though I'm not a huge fan of any of them.
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avalyn
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Post by avalyn on Jan 13, 2015 2:00:53 GMT -5
I'm guessing that Kacey Musgraves isn't eligible because she won Album of the Year last year...otherwise she would've certainly been in the category (especially since Justin Moore was still eligible last year, and Kip is in the category again this year). Is there a rule about number of times a person can be nominated for it? I feel like it was twice. That could have changed but I think that's the limit. Kacey was nominated for New Artist 2013 and 2014. She never made it to final round of nominations as 2013 was Jana, Brantley and Florida Georgia Line and 2014 was Kip, Brett and Justin. That's probably the reason behind her not being nominated for New Artist over Album of the year reasoning.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 13, 2015 2:05:33 GMT -5
I'm guessing that Kacey Musgraves isn't eligible because she won Album of the Year last year...otherwise she would've certainly been in the category (especially since Justin Moore was still eligible last year, and Kip is in the category again this year). Is there a rule about number of times a person can be nominated for it? I feel like it was twice. That could have changed but I think that's the limit. Kacey was nominated for New Artist 2013 and 2014. She never made it to final round of nominations as 2013 was Jana, Brantley and Florida Georgia Line and 2014 was Kip, Brett and Justin. That's probably the reason behind her not being nominated for New Artist over Album of the year reasoning. You could certainly be right. I seem to remember, though, a rule that basically says an artist can't be nominated in the New Artist category if he/she/they win one of the major awards the year before...and Male Vocalist, Female Vocalist, Group, Duo, and probably Album and Single of the Year wins would make someone ineligible. I'm not entirely sure if that's correct but I thought I read that somewhere. Anyway, it seems that Kacey would have probably been ineligible even if she hadn't won Album of the Year last year (since she was part of the New Artist nominations back in 2013 and 2014, and I think you are right--I don't think artists can be nominated in the New Artist category for more than 2 years). I hope either Brett or Kip gets it, even though these two are hardly new. They both may technically have only one album released, but each of their big hit songs are going to be 3 years old this year. Well, "Don't Ya" was released in October 2012, but it didn't peak until mid/late August of 2013, so if you go by its peak date, then Brett's first real hit isn't even 1 1/2 years old yet. Kip's "Somethin' 'Bout A Truck" peaked in June 2012, but his last big hit "Hey Pretty Girl" took him into August of 2013 as well. I do see your point though -- this is just me being nitpicky, lol
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zaclord 🌈
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Post by zaclord 🌈 on Jan 13, 2015 19:56:16 GMT -5
Whether or not Big Machine is the reason that M&T are not nominated this year is up in the air, but I do know that BMLG has had their eye on this award for Thomas Rhett since last year. They intentionally pushed for Justin over Thomas last year and told Thomas's management (who I interned for at the time) that they were focusing on Justin this year and Thomas the next year. So I fully expect Thomas to be one of the final three nominees if BMLG managed to get the win for Justin Moore last year, 6 years and 3 albums into his career.
I'd guess one from each label: Brett/D+S/Cole (Warner) and Sam/Kip (UMG) will make up the other two as I don't think Sony and Chase/Tyler have the clout behind them yet (and hopefully never will) to win the award, but the fan voting I guess could certainly get one of them into the running. If the other labels play the game the same way Big Machine does, I'm guessing the ones the labels will push are Brett, Kip, Thomas, and Tyler (the older artists) and the top 3 nominees will consist of 3 out of the 4 of them (probably leaving Tyler out). Then the next year we'll probably see Brandy/Cole/D+S, Maddie & Tae, and Sam be the three finalists.
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mus1cr0w
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Post by mus1cr0w on Jan 14, 2015 16:41:41 GMT -5
Maddie & Tae better hope for a duo nomination.
I've been told that "Girl In A Country Song" did not make it into single or song categories.
MR
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14887fan
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Post by 14887fan on Jan 14, 2015 17:41:53 GMT -5
Maddie & Tae better hope for a duo nomination. I've been told that "Girl In A Country Song" did not make it into single or song categories. MR Told through legitimate connections to the ACM? (Just wondering; I don't want to badger you and please don't feel compelled to answer if it makes you uncomfortable by answering "yes" or "no.")
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mus1cr0w
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Post by mus1cr0w on Jan 14, 2015 19:52:24 GMT -5
Maddie & Tae better hope for a duo nomination. I've been told that "Girl In A Country Song" did not make it into single or song categories. MR Told through legitimate connections to the ACM? (Just wondering; I don't want to badger you and please don't feel compelled to answer if it makes you uncomfortable by answering "yes" or "no.") Yes. MR
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Post by 43dudleyvillas on Jan 14, 2015 22:26:26 GMT -5
Whether or not Big Machine is the reason that M&T are not nominated this year is up in the air, but I do know that BMLG has had their eye on this award for Thomas Rhett since last year. They intentionally pushed for Justin over Thomas last year and told Thomas's management (who I interned for at the time) that they were focusing on Justin this year and Thomas the next year. So I fully expect Thomas to be one of the final three nominees if BMLG managed to get the win for Justin Moore last year, 6 years and 3 albums into his career. I'd guess one from each label: Brett/D+S/Cole (Warner) and Sam/Kip (UMG) will make up the other two as I don't think Sony and Chase/Tyler have the clout behind them yet (and hopefully never will) to win the award, but the fan voting I guess could certainly get one of them into the running. If the other labels play the game the same way Big Machine does, I'm guessing the ones the labels will push are Brett, Kip, Thomas, and Tyler (the older artists) and the top 3 nominees will consist of 3 out of the 4 of them (probably leaving Tyler out). Then the next year we'll probably see Brandy/Cole/D+S, Maddie & Tae, and Sam be the three finalists. I think that your analysis is right on here. I'm interested to see what UMG Nashville decides between Kip Moore and Sam Hunt. The fact that Kip Moore is even among the semi-finalists after his 2014 struggles on country radio is likely a testament to UMG Nashville's support, and he probably needs the nomination and the TV time associated with it more than Sam Hunt. But on the other hand, Sam Hunt clearly has all the momentum now, the pesky issue of whether he belongs on a country awards show notwithstanding, and he is clearly the biggest and most acclaimed debut artist who released a full album in 2014 that was marketed to country. Maddie & Tae better hope for a duo nomination. I've been told that "Girl In A Country Song" did not make it into single or song categories. MR That's a shame about "Girl in a Country Song"'s exclusion from the Single category. However, as I understand the ACM voting criteria, the Song of the Year nominees are now decided by a "professional panel" that is "composed of songwriters, publishers, producers, and performing rights organization (PRO) representatives. The Panel will submit five (5) nominees, which will be placed on the final ballot once approved by the Board." And under the "Voting Procedure" section, the descriptions of the "Nomination Round" and "Second Round" of voting suggest that ACM members do not vote on who will be nominated for Song of the Year. The only Song of the Year vote appears to be after the five nominees are announced. So with that in mind, unless there is some hidden culling procedure, I don't know how "Girl in a Country Song" would be out of the running for Song of the Year. But maybe I'm grasping at straws.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 15, 2015 0:52:17 GMT -5
Maddie & Tae better hope for a duo nomination. I've been told that "Girl In A Country Song" did not make it into single or song categories. MR That's a shame about "Girl in a Country Song"'s exclusion from the Single category. However, as I understand the ACM voting criteria, the Song of the Year nominees are now decided by a "professional panel" that is "composed of songwriters, publishers, producers, and performing rights organization (PRO) representatives. The Panel will submit five (5) nominees, which will be placed on the final ballot once approved by the Board." And under the "Voting Procedure" section, the descriptions of the "Nomination Round" and "Second Round" of voting suggest that ACM members do not vote on who will be nominated for Song of the Year. The only Song of the Year vote appears to be after the five nominees are announced. So with that in mind, unless there is some hidden culling procedure, I don't know how "Girl in a Country Song" would be out of the running for Song of the Year. But maybe I'm grasping at straws. One thing that I find particularly interesting is that BMLG/Dot Records included the line "For Your ACM Consideration" in their most recent Country Aircheck advertisement for Maddie & Tae's new single "Fly": Now it's entirely possible that the label deliberately "held them back", so to speak, when it comes to the New Artist category, but judging by that ad, BMLG is clearly pushing them for at least some categories. As I said up-thread, I fully expect Maddie & Tae to be nominated in the Duo of the Year category, along with Florida Georgia Line (obviously), Dan + Shay, and The Swon Brothers, with the final spot coming down to either Brothers Osborne (backed by UMG, but didn't have a ton of success), Thompson Square (well-known duo backed by BBR, but had a very quiet year), Montgomery Gentry (not much success, no longer with a bigger label), Big & Rich (one of their biggest hits, but no major label connections anymore), and Love and Theft (very little success, parted ways with Sony). However, I am not expecting Maddie & Tae to beat FGL, at least not yet at this point in their career. So if what mus1cr0w says here can be believed, and then taking into consideration the reply from 43dudleyvillas, really the only other category that Maddie & Tae would have a chance to be nominated in would be Song of the Year for "Girl In A Country Song" (since, again, we're assuming it didn't make it into the Single of the Year category). And I think it could go either way (50/50), as to whether Maddie & Tae's song is included or excluded from the Song of the Year category.
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onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Jan 15, 2015 15:52:26 GMT -5
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Post by Deleted on Jan 16, 2015 7:53:37 GMT -5
I'll give my nominee predictions, then my hopes for this year's show given that it's the big 5-0 in Dallas.
EOTY... Luke Bryan Blake Shelton Miranda Lambert Tim McGraw or Garth Brooks Jason Aldean -Maybe next year for Carrie, but with one new Carrie song and no tour, not this year. Maybe. Also very possible is FGL getting the Tim or Garth spot.
MVOTY... Luke Bryan Blake Shelton Jason Aldean Eric Church Kieth Urban or Tim McGraw -There's too many Male Vocalist to choose from so really that fifth slot could be like a revolving door with one in then one out. I just picked the two most likely.
FVOTY... Carrie Underwood Miranda Lambert Kacey Musgraves Martina McBride or Sara Evans Brandy Clark or Lee Ann Womack -Unlike Male Vocalist there's nowhere near enough women to realistic fill this category, sickening. I think they go with a woman who fills out a more country pop ground in Martina or Sara, and a more traditional style in either Lee Ann or Brandy. I'd like Lee Ann to get the nod.
DOTY... Florida Georgia Line Maddie & Tae Thompson Square Big and Rich or Dan and Shay The Swan Brothers -Doesn't seem to tough to predict this.
VGOTY... Lady Antebellum The Band Perry Eli Young Band Little Big Town Zac Brown Band -Again, generally pretty easy to predict here.
AOTY... Platinum Old Boots, New Dirt Anything Goes Bring Back the Sunshine The Outsiders -I think the ACM's follow a few of the Grammy nods here but they mainstream it more with FGL, Jason and Blake.
SINGLEOTY... Automatic Burnin' It Down Drunk On a Plane Something in the Water Girl in a Country Song -Always a little tough to predict but I gave it a try.
SONGOTY... Automatic Dirt Something in the Water I Hold On Follow Your Arrow -Also tough, but here are my guesses.
NAOTY... Kip Moore Cole Swindall Brett Eldridge
VOTY... Somethin' Bad Drunk On A Plane Burnin' It Down Bartender Not sure for the last one. -This category is tough for me as I don't watch videos that much.
VEOTY... Somethin' Bad Meanwhile Back at Mama's My Eye's Small Town Throwdown This is How We Roll -These seem like the most likely nominees.
Okay now some hopes for this year's show. -I hope this year that all of my favorites win especially Carrie, but we'll see. -I hope that with the 50th anniversary the artist will pay tribute to previous winners with their performances instead of new stuff, it would just be better. -I hope the special filmed the day after will honor Reba for being the longest running host and for her 40th year in music as well her releasing new music.
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Post by Fanofctrymusic on Jan 19, 2015 21:01:40 GMT -5
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14887fan
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Post by 14887fan on Jan 20, 2015 17:59:25 GMT -5
Nominees will be announced on January 27.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 20, 2015 18:15:11 GMT -5
^Does that seem early? Isn't usually February?
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14887fan
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Post by 14887fan on Jan 20, 2015 18:18:52 GMT -5
Making some predictions (I'm avoiding Single/Song/Music Video since those are always so up-in-the-air)... -Garth Brooks won't get any nominations. Entertainer Jason Aldean Luke Bryan Eric Church Miranda Lambert Blake Shelton* *I could see him getting subbed out for Florida Georgia Line. Male Vocalist Jason Aldean Luke Bryan Eric Church Blake Shelton Keith Urban I'd love to see either Lee Brice or Brad Paisley (or both!) sneak in there, but that won't happen -- for either of them. I don't see Dierks Bentley getting in here at all, unfortunately, even though he did have one hell of a year. Female Vocalist Brandy Clark Miranda Lambert Kacey Musgraves RaeLynn* Carrie Underwood *Hoping I'm wrong. Vocal Group The Band Perry Eli Young Band Lady Antebellum Little Big Town Zac Brown Band Boring category. Even a Rascal Flatts inclusion would be enough to shake this up at least a little bit. Vocal Duo Dan + Shay Florida Georgia Line Maddie & Tae The Swon Brothers Thompson Square Album Anything Goes, Florida Georgia Line BRINGING BACK THE SUNSHINE, Blake Shelton The Outsiders, Eric Church Platinum, Miranda Lambert Riser, Dierks Bentley Vocal Event "Meanwhile Back at Mama's", Tim McGraw ft. Faith Hill "My Eyes", Blake Shelton ft. Gwen Sebastian "Small Town Throwdown", Brantley Gilbert ft. Justin Moore and Thomas Rhett "Somethin' Bad", Miranda Lambert with Carrie Underwood "This is How We Roll", Florida Georgia Line ft. Luke Bryan All I will predict for Song & Single of the year is that "Automatic" will be in both categories and both "Drunk On A Plane" and "Somethin' Bad" will be in the video categories. The rest? Not a clue, and based off of the ACMs' track record, I'm afraid to find out. ^Does that seem early? Isn't usually February? End of January/early February has always been the usual trajectory for the announcement of the ACM nominations.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 20, 2015 19:01:29 GMT -5
^Okay, thanks it just seemed early. I like your first prediction about Garth, just a blanket statement get it out of the way, it made me laugh.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 21, 2015 17:45:04 GMT -5
Just for fun, here are my predictions for the nominations. :) Entertainer of the Year:01 Luke Bryan02 George Strait (I'm keeping in mind that the show is in Dallas, that it's the 50th annual, that George's last-ever tour didn't end until June (which was well within the eligibility period, and that this is, in all likelihood, the last time he will ever get nominated for an Entertainer of the Year Award) 03 Kenny Chesney04 Garth Brooks (his radio success and commercial performance has been lukewarm at best, but his tour has been record-shattering. RCA and Garth's team have already put out a few ads campaigning for an Entertainer of the Year nomination, and since this is going to be a huge show in Dallas, I'll bet the ACM's will want him there, and I think the voters will come through and nominate him...and since the category is still partially fan-voted, IF Garth should receive a nomination, I expect him to trounce Luke and the others quite easily) 05 Tim McGrawMale Vocalist of the Year:01 Luke Bryan 02 Dierks Bentley 03 Eric Church 04 Blake Shelton 05 Jason Aldean It was hard to leave out Keith and Tim here, but I'm thinking that UMG will campaign pretty hard for both Dierks and Eric since their albums are nominated at the Grammy's. Jason is the reigning Male Vocalist of the Year at the ACM's, so he seems like a shoe-in along with both Luke and Blake. Female Vocalist of the Year:01 Kacey Musgraves 02 Carrie Underwood 03 Miranda Lambert 04 Sara Evans 05 Lee Ann Womack I think there's a decent chance that Brandy Clark gets nominated here as well (in which case she'd take either Sara's spot or LAW's spot), especially if Brandy's new team at Warner Bros. Los Angeles steps up to bat for her a bit. Sara Evans had a top 20 hit and an album release so I think Sony can get her into the final 5. Lee Ann might not have the biggest label behind her, but she's a recognizable name with good history at these award shows. Duo of the Year:01 The Swon Brothers 02 Dan + Shay 03 Florida Georgia Line 04 Maddie & Tae 05 Big & Rich Stoney Creek will probably still push for Thompson Square's inclusion, but they did virtually nothing in 2014. Big & Rich may have lost their major label support over the last year, but I still think there's enough momentum for them to take the final spot here. The others seem like locks--FGL (no-brainer), Maddie & Tae (I'm very confident that BMLG will get them in here), Swon Brothers (backed by Sony), and Dan + Shay (backed by WMN). Group of the Year:01 Lady Antebellum 02 Little Big Town 03 Rascal Flatts 04 The Band Perry 05 Zac Brown Band Since Rascal Flatts released an album in 2014 and has a current single, I think BMLG will push them over the Eli Young Band (whose momentum has really cooled off). Lady A, LBT, and the ZBB are obvious locks for this category. New Artist of the Year:01 Sam Hunt 02 Brett Eldredge 03 Thomas Rhett Like zaclord 🌈 and 43dudleyvillas were talking about up-thread, I think the final 3 nominees in the New Artist category will come down to which of the 4 labels (Sony, UMG, WMN, and BMLG) present a better case for their artist(s). UMG has both Kip Moore and Sam Hunt nominated, but Sam definitely has the greater overall momentum right now and I think he'll be the one that UMG "pushes". Warner Bros. has Brett, Cole, and Dan + Shay, and I think Brett edges out Cole here, although perhaps they'll push Cole since Brett won New Artist at the CMA's in November. Thomas Rhett is Big Machine's sole nomination here, and you can bet that they'll step up big time for him; Thomas is coming off two #1 hits with "Make Me Wanna" looking like another #1 later this winter, so there's a lot of momentum for him and he won't be splitting any potential votes with any of his label-mates. And finally, Sony has Chase Rice and Tyler Farr, but I don't think either artist is quite as popular as the artists from the other labels. Album of the Year:01 Riser - Dierks Bentley 02 The Outsiders - Eric Church 03 Platinum - Miranda Lambert 04 Sundown Heaven Town - Tim McGraw 05 Old Boots, New Dirt - Jason Aldean There are some other possibilities as well, including FGL's Anything Goes and Blake Shelton's Bringing Back The Sunshine. The ACM's nominated both artists' previous albums last year, so I don't think they'd shy away from either of them this year, especially since the consensus seems to be that Blake's album is an improvement in quality. Other albums that could contend: Lady Antebellum's 747 (doubtful), Little Big Town's Pain Killer (possible), David Nail's I'm A Fire (doubtful), Sam Hunt's Montevallo (possible), Jennifer Nettles' That Girl (possible), Brad Paisley's Moonshine In The Trunk (doubtful), Kenny Chesney's The Big Revival (doubtful), Garth Brooks' Man Against Machine (doubtful), Jake Owen's Days Of Gold (doubtful), Hunter Hayes' Storyline (doubtful), Brantley Gilbert's Just As I Am (possible), Lee Brice's I Don't Dance (doubtful), Angaleena Prelsey's American Middle Class (doubtful), Lee Ann Womack's The Way I'm Livin' (possible), Sunny Sweeney's Provoked (doubtful), and Sturgill Simpson's Metamodern Sounds In Country Music (doubtful). Single of the Year:01 "Play It Again" - Luke Bryan 02 "Drunk On A Plane" - Dierks Bentley 03 "Leave The Night On" - Sam Hunt 04 "Something In The Water" - Carrie Underwood 05 "Shotgun Rider" - Tim McGraw Impossible category to predict, but I gave it my best shot. The 5 nominees last year were all pretty big digital hits ("Cruise", "Highway Don't Care", "Mama's Broken Heart", "Wagon Wheel", and "I Drive Your Truck"), but aside from "Play It Again", we really haven't seen anything of the magnitude of "Cruise", "Wagon Wheel", or "Highway Don't Care" in particular. Miranda is typically a favorite for these types of categories, but neither "Automatic" nor "Somethin' Bad" blew up quite as big as her biggest hits and award winners of the past. Other possibilities: Lady A's "Bartender", Eric Church's "Give Me Back My Hometown" and/or "Talladega", Kenny Chesney's "American Kids", Miranda Lambert's "Automatic" and/or "Somethin' Bad", Jake Owen's "Beachin'", Brantley Gilbert's "Bottoms Up", FGL's "This Is How We Roll" and/or "Dirt", Jason Aldean's "Burnin' It Down", and Lee Brice's "I Don't Dance". Song of the Year:01 "Drink A Beer" - written by Chris Stapleton and Jim Beavers; recorded by Luke Bryan 02 "I Hold On" - written by Dierks Bentley and Brett James; recorded by Dierks Bentley 03 "Follow Your Arrow" - written by Kacey Musgraves, Brandy Clark, and Shane McAnally; recorded by Kacey Musgraves 04 "Automatic" - written by Miranda Lambert, Natalie Hemby, and Nicolle Galyon; recorded by Miranda Lambert 05 "Girl In A Country Song" - written by Maddie Marlow, Taylor Dye, and Aaron Scherz; recorded by Maddie & Tae Another impossible category to predict, but I just went with how I think/hope it'll go. It's tough, though, because I think there are more than 5 deserving songs. I kept in mind that the nominations for this category are selected by a professional panel. I know normally there is a lot of overlap between the Single and Song categories, but with a different group of people (the professional panel) now selecting the nominees for the Song of the Year category, I am thinking/hoping that there won't be much overlap, or none at all. Other possibilities: Eric Church's "Give Me Back My Hometown" and/or "Talladega", George Strait's "I Got A Car", Carrie Underwood's "Something In The Water", Kenny Chesney's "American Kids", Hunter Hayes' "Invisible", Tim McGraw's "Meanwhile Back At Mama's", FGL's "Dirt", The Band Perry's "Gentle On My Mind", and Lee Brice's "I Don't Dance". Vocal Event of the Year:01 Miranda Lambert - "Somethin' Bad" (Duet with Carrie Underwood) 02 Blake Shelton - "My Eyes" (featuring Gwen Sebastian) 03 Tim McGraw - "Meanwhile Back At Mama's" (featuring Faith Hill) 04 Brantley Gilbert - "Small Town Throwdown" (featuring Thomas Rhett and Justin Moore) 05 Florida Georgia Line - "This Is How We Roll" (featuring Luke Bryan) Not a lot of choices here. Blake's "Lonely Tonight" is eligible so the label may push that too, but it will also be eligible for the ACM's in 2016 so I think they'll save it for then and only push "My Eyes" here instead. Then again, there are more "features" coming out now so the category could be more crowded and more competitive at the 51st annual ACM's. Hmmm... Other possibilities besides "Lonely Tonight" are probably just Trisha Yearwood's "Prize Fighter" (featuring Kelly Clarkson) and Justin Moore's "Home Sweet Home" (featuring Vince Neil). The voting criteria for Vocal Event states that the song has to have reached the top 50 on either Billboard or Mediabase, so in theory that should exclude album tracks. Songs like "Raise 'Em Up", "Wild Child", and "Diamond Rings And Old Barstools" should therefore not be eligible until the 2016 show. ** I haven't seen nearly enough videos to predict that category, so, there ya go! These are my predictions...less than a week to see how I did! :)
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14887fan
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Post by 14887fan on Jan 26, 2015 17:40:38 GMT -5
Nominees are announced tomorrow. Also, the show will be extended by another half an hour this year in honor of the show's 50th anniversary. So, a 3 and a half hour awards show.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 26, 2015 17:59:16 GMT -5
Nominees are announced tomorrow. Also, the show will be extended by another half an hour this year in honor of the show's 50th anniversary. So, a 3 and a half hour awards show. I'm hoping that they do a really god job since it's the 50th. I don't mind a lot of longer shows, but if it's just going to be excess celebration of today's popular country music, then no thanks. I get enough of that on the radio. I think artists like George, Garth, and Reba will all perform. It makes a ton of sense for Reba to perform, given that she hosted the show for so long and that she's finally back now with new music, not to mention that the fact that it sounds like her album will come out in April. She's also one of the biggest names the genre has ever seen. Performances from George and Garth (separate performances, not together) also seem like no-brainers to me. They are definitely two of the very biggest stars the genre has ever seen, George recently celebrated his storied touring career, and Garth recently restarted his storied touring career. Hopefully George has a new single ready by April, too. And I know Garth is currently struggling with "Mom" not likely to even make the top 30 but considering that this will be the 50th annual, I think he really needs to be there. I can see Garth either performing a new single or perhaps an unreleased song (from whatever his next album will be), or maybe he'll do one of his big hits of the past. Also, do you know what time they announce the nominees tomorrow? We're currently on mountain time zone here in Arizona so I'm thinking that the nominees will have been announced by the time I wake up, lol.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Jan 26, 2015 18:02:20 GMT -5
Nominees are announced tomorrow. Also, the show will be extended by another half an hour this year in honor of the show's 50th anniversary. So, a 3 and a half hour awards show. I don't mind a lot of longer shows Spoken like a west coast'er. ;)
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14887fan
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Post by 14887fan on Jan 26, 2015 20:06:42 GMT -5
Nvm nominees are being announced later on this week bc of the NE blizzard.
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avalyn
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Post by avalyn on Jan 29, 2015 15:38:36 GMT -5
Nominations are being announced tomorrow morning 8:30am via the acm awards twitter, facebook and instagram. I assume it's videos of artists and celebrities reading the nominations like it's been the last few weeks.
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