musiciscool
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Post by musiciscool on Sept 2, 2015 10:01:47 GMT -5
Hopefully it can get to #3 on pop! If this can continue to make gains, this should make it to #3. CFMF is now free falling, which makes it easier for CFTS to make it there.
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Au$tin
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Post by Au$tin on Sept 2, 2015 21:21:03 GMT -5
Number one is even still in reach for this. "Photograph" and "Locked Away" are still quite a bit away, and we've seen how predictable the top five is getting. Slow down, speed up, slow down, speed up. It's kind of annoying. Looking for +300s within the next two weeks, I guarantee it. Unfortunately, the pop chart is starting to feel more and more like the country chart as the months go on.
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Sept 3, 2015 4:57:21 GMT -5
POP: 5 4 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 13413 12457 956 71.241
+121 Spins -95 Bullet +1.239 Audience
HOT AC: 13 12 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 3303 3100 203 16.875
+25 Spins +20 Bullet +0.157 Audience
AC: 26 26 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 124 115 9 0.627
+3 Spins -4 Bullet +0.023 Audience
RHYTHMIC: 29 31 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 1025 1037 -12 2.920
-10 Spins -24 Bullet +0.013 Audience
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Sept 4, 2015 5:02:11 GMT -5
POP: 5 4 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 13516 12629 887 72.459
+103 Spins -69 Bullet +1.218 Audience
HOT AC: 13 12 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 3310 3118 192 17.332
+7 Spins -11 Bullet +0.357 Audience
AC: 26 27 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 129 111 18 0.622
+5 Spins +9 Bullet -0.005 Audience
RHYTHMIC: 29 31 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 1032 1035 -3 2.982
+7 Spins +9 Bullet +0.062 Audience
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Sept 5, 2015 4:56:36 GMT -5
POP: 5 4 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 13682 12822 860 73.551
+166 Spins -27 Bullet +1.092 Audience
HOT AC: 13 12 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 3320 3140 180 17.539
+10 Spins -12 Bullet +0.207 Audience
AC: 26 27 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 131 111 20 0.639
+2 Spins +2 Bullet +0.017 Audience
RHYTHMIC: 29 32 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 1031 1034 -3 3.051
-1 Spin = Bullet +0.069 Audience
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Post by missbehaving on Sept 5, 2015 16:09:53 GMT -5
Demi is an interesting artist... she already gets lots of radio airplay, but never really makes it to the top in the charts. Don't understand why.
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Sept 6, 2015 6:08:50 GMT -5
POP: 5 4 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 13780 12972 808 74.170
+98 Spins -52 Bullet +0.619 Audience
HOT AC: 12 12 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 3319 3167 152 17.707
-1 Spin -28 Bullet +0.168 Audience
AC: 25 27 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 133 114 19 0.617
+2 Spins -1 Bullet -0.022 Audience
RHYTHMIC: 29 32 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 1023 1024 -1 3.070
-8 Spins +2 Bullet +0.019 Audience
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Dylan :)
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Post by Dylan :) on Sept 6, 2015 6:22:08 GMT -5
Come on Demi, so close..
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irice22
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Post by irice22 on Sept 6, 2015 11:49:13 GMT -5
Demi is an interesting artist... she already gets lots of radio airplay, but never really makes it to the top in the charts. Don't understand why. She and Calvin Harris are the King and Queen of getting a lot of radio play, but hardly ever making Hot 100 Top 10.
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yuh yuh
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Post by yuh yuh on Sept 6, 2015 13:42:53 GMT -5
Demi is an interesting artist... she already gets lots of radio airplay, but never really makes it to the top in the charts. Don't understand why. She and Calvin Harris are the King and Queen of getting a lot of radio play, but hardly ever making Hot 100 Top 10. They should join their forces and make a song together
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Au$tin
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Post by Au$tin on Sept 6, 2015 23:11:08 GMT -5
Demi used to be the other way around. She struggled to get noticed at all on radio, yet sold fairly well. Remember Skyscraper was a #1 smash on iTunes while barely scraping the top 40 on pop, which at the time became her biggest airplay hit.
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Sept 7, 2015 8:04:22 GMT -5
POP: 5 4 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 13859 13146 713 74.570
+79 Spins -95 Bullet +0.400 Audience
HOT AC: 12 12 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 3301 3195 106 17.872
-18 Spins -46 Bullet +0.165 Audience
AC: 25 26 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 133 115 18 0.594
= Spins -1 Bullet -0.023 Audience
RHYTHMIC: 29 32 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 1009 1011 -2 3.094
-14 Spins -1 Bullet +0.024 Audience
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Future Captain
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Post by Future Captain on Sept 7, 2015 9:49:42 GMT -5
Demi used to be the other way around. She struggled to get noticed at all on radio, yet sold fairly well. Remember Skyscraper was a #1 smash on iTunes while barely scraping the top 40 on pop, which at the time became her biggest airplay hit. Then, GYHAB is the exact opposite. Rather mediocre sales but a #1 in Pop (And she's competing with the juggernaut Call Me Maybe and the 2 years old smash Lights)
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Au$tin
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Post by Au$tin on Sept 7, 2015 10:31:17 GMT -5
Demi used to be the other way around. She struggled to get noticed at all on radio, yet sold fairly well. Remember Skyscraper was a #1 smash on iTunes while barely scraping the top 40 on pop, which at the time became her biggest airplay hit. Then, GYHAB is the exact opposite. Rather mediocre sales but a #1 in Pop (And she's competing with the juggernaut Call Me Maybe and the 2 years old smash Lights) She wasn't competing with CMM, that was already recurrent by the time GYHAB made it to number one. In fact, she wasn't really competing with anybody. GYHAB was the lowest peaking number one of 2012, not even cracked 10000 spins IIRC. Lights and Wide Awake were already falling in spins, Whistle and Blow Me were too far away, and the next juggernaut, One More Night, had just cracked the top ten when GYHAB took number one. It lasted for two weeks before Whistle could muster up enough strength to take the top spot. GYHAB also wasn't that bad of a seller, I think it's near 1.5 million at this point, which is good for a song that only hit pop and nowhere else, but it took the song 9 months from adds date to radio peak, spreading its sales over months. IIRC, she even performed it way back in January or February of 2012, so it was consistently in the top 200 of iTunes from January 2012 through its peak in airlplay in September. It wasn't really until Heart Attack that things started feeling off. Heart Attack still sold decently, but it smashed on iTunes out of the gate like Skyscraper, but didn't hold its sales as well despite having radio jump on it. Heart Attack also gained some interest in rhythmic, which should have help to improve its sales a bit, but it didn't. And she's been that way ever since with every single. Very strange. Her albums tend to sell well, though, so at least she has that going for her.
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pnobelysk
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Post by pnobelysk on Sept 7, 2015 12:41:26 GMT -5
^ I'm pretty sure heart attack and give your heart a break have passed 2 million in sales :)
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Future Captain
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Post by Future Captain on Sept 7, 2015 16:25:54 GMT -5
Then, GYHAB is the exact opposite. Rather mediocre sales but a #1 in Pop (And she's competing with the juggernaut Call Me Maybe and the 2 years old smash Lights) She wasn't competing with CMM, that was already recurrent by the time GYHAB made it to number one. In fact, she wasn't really competing with anybody. GYHAB was the lowest peaking number one of 2012, not even cracked 10000 spins IIRC. Lights and Wide Awake were already falling in spins, Whistle and Blow Me were too far away, and the next juggernaut, One More Night, had just cracked the top ten when GYHAB took number one. It lasted for two weeks before Whistle could muster up enough strength to take the top spot. GYHAB also wasn't that bad of a seller, I think it's near 1.5 million at this point, which is good for a song that only hit pop and nowhere else, but it took the song 9 months from adds date to radio peak, spreading its sales over months. IIRC, she even performed it way back in January or February of 2012, so it was consistently in the top 200 of iTunes from January 2012 through its peak in airlplay in September. It wasn't really until Heart Attack that things started feeling off. Heart Attack still sold decently, but it smashed on iTunes out of the gate like Skyscraper, but didn't hold its sales as well despite having radio jump on it. Heart Attack also gained some interest in rhythmic, which should have help to improve its sales a bit, but it didn't. And she's been that way ever since with every single. Very strange. Her albums tend to sell well, though, so at least she has that going for her. Oops, my bad. I guess I mixed up CMM and Wide Awake. Wow, I don't know GYHAB actually sell that much. Then again, it's a top 20 hit in 2012, the peaak of digital sales.
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Sept 8, 2015 5:04:52 GMT -5
POP: 5 4 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 13933 13223 710 75.679
+74 Spins -3 Bullet +1.109 Audience
HOT AC: 12 12 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 3316 3229 87 18.095
+15 Spins -19 Bullet +0.223 Audience
AC: 25 26 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 136 116 20 0.607
+3 Spins +2 Bullet +0.013 Audience
RHYTHMIC: 30 32 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 990 1023 -33 3.084
-19 Spins -31 Bullet -0.010 Audience
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Glove Slap
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Post by Glove Slap on Sept 8, 2015 11:19:49 GMT -5
#11 Hot 100
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Dylan :)
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Post by Dylan :) on Sept 8, 2015 11:24:09 GMT -5
UGH SO CLOSE! :'( Oh well, at least it is top 15 :)
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RockaByeBaby
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Post by RockaByeBaby on Sept 8, 2015 11:54:50 GMT -5
Not #11 ughh still a decent run so far although this deserves much more
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Au$tin
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Post by Au$tin on Sept 8, 2015 12:08:16 GMT -5
...it's not over
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yuh yuh
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Post by yuh yuh on Sept 8, 2015 12:16:38 GMT -5
She'll come with a revenge and will get that #8+ spot one day, really hope with something in Confident
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Tea-why
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Post by Tea-why on Sept 8, 2015 12:24:41 GMT -5
I hope she hits the top-10 on the Hot 100! This is one of my summer songs
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The Upper Hand
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Post by The Upper Hand on Sept 8, 2015 15:16:34 GMT -5
Mine too ;)
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Post by hitmakaontharise on Sept 8, 2015 16:44:48 GMT -5
top 10 next week maybe???
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 8, 2015 22:31:51 GMT -5
I'd say this has one last week to try to hit top 10, then its run will be over. Whatever happens, this had a good run.
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Sept 9, 2015 5:00:15 GMT -5
POP: 4 4 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 14043 13292 751 75.897
+110 Spins +41 Bullet +0.218 Audience
HOT AC: 12 12 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 3322 3279 43 18.270
+6 Spins -44 Bullet +0.175 Audience
AC: 25 25 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 140 121 19 0.575
+4 Spins -1 Bullet -0.032 Audience
RHYTHMIC: 30 32 DEMI LOVATO Cool For The Summer 954 1036 -82 2.969
-36 Spins -49 Bullet -0.115 Audience
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Dylan :)
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Post by Dylan :) on Sept 9, 2015 6:57:08 GMT -5
It seems the only songs capable of overtaking it this week are Wildest Dreams, Downtown, and possibly Photograph. The only song it can possibly over take in the top 10 is Where Are U Now.
Sales (from kworb's estimates): Wildest Dreams rose, while the other three fell (as well as CFTS). CFTS should finish higher than Photograph and WAUN, the most immediate threats, but lower than the others.
Streaming: I'm not too sure about streaming, but it seems WD and DT didn't gain that much this week, and I am assuming Photograph and WAUN didn't gain at all. The main problem is it is quite behind the other songs on this week's streaming chart, where it fell 24-21. This could be the deciding factor this week.
Radio: Thankfully, it is second place here. It has a big lead over WD, DT and WAUN (which is falling quick), and isn't incredibly far behind Photograph. If it can keep gaining in AI until Sunday it should keep its decent lead.
From my judgement of this, I think Photograph and Wildest Dreams are the only serious threats. Photograph's lead in radio may be enough to get it ahead of it, but it should finish with a little over 10K more sales than Photograph, and still has a big lead in streaming, Photograph also fell this week. Wildest Dreams may have enough to do it. It has more streaming, although its lack of Spotify and second week drop on YT may help CFTS there. Even though WD was ahead in sales and streaming last week, CFTS was still ahead of it, so hopefully the drop in streaming and CFTS' radio lead will be enough to hold off WD.
I'm probably horribly wrong and it'll fall out of the top 20, but if anyone would like to check this out with points estimates, that would be great. Cross your fingers!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 9, 2015 11:30:53 GMT -5
This song has no burn rate for me. It's officially my favorite lead single of hers.
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Marooned@Midnight
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Post by Marooned@Midnight on Sept 9, 2015 11:45:32 GMT -5
I'm pleasantly surprised that this is holding on past Labor Day. I agree with the no burn rate comment and I'd love to see it at the top.
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