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Post by areyoureadytojump on Jul 26, 2017 9:02:23 GMT -5
simmnfierzig from ATRL posted his early Hot 100 predictions. They include In the End, Numb and Heavy re-entering next week. atrl.net/forums/topic/57188-hot-100-unforgettable-5-attention-10/?page=13Early predictions 1 Despacito 659 (=) -3% 2 Wild Thoughts 385 (=) -2% 3 I'm The One 320 (+1) 4 That's What I Like 311 (-1) 5 Unforgettable 298 (=) 6 Believer 280 (+1) 7 There's Nothing Holdin Me Back 274 (+1) 8 Attention 265 (+2) 9 Shape Of You 264 (-3) 10 Body Like A Back Road 260 (-1) 11 Congratulations 230 (+1) 12 Redbone 221 (+1) 13 Humble 215 (-2) 14 Something Just Like This 206 (+1) 15 Stay 200 (-1) 16 XO Tour Lif3 194 (=) 17 Slow Hands 192 (+2) 18 Strip That Down 190 (+7) 19 Now Or Never 177 (-2) 20 Mask Off 169 (-2) 23 Sorry Not Sorry 158 (=) 25 Feels 149 (+1) 33 Rake It Up 118 (+8) 34 In The End 115 (re-entry) 35 Numb 115 (re-entry) 41 Heavy 101 (re-entry) 45 Fetish 95 (-18) 49 Praying 90 (-9)
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kingbeesus
Bubbling Under
Joined: July 2017
Posts: 5
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Post by kingbeesus on Jul 26, 2017 9:21:33 GMT -5
Someone pray that Taylor, Eminem, or maybe Adele (Even though that seems highly unlikely) could release a smash hit soon to debut at #1. I'm pretty sure Taylor will debut at #1 whenever she releases new music. But she's smart, she won't release it right now seeing that Despacito will probably dominate the Hot 100 for atleast another 4 or 5 weeks. I'm also sure that she's coming back later this year. Adele will only make a comeback after 5 years. I don't know about Eminem.
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kingbeesus
Bubbling Under
Joined: July 2017
Posts: 5
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Post by kingbeesus on Jul 26, 2017 9:26:50 GMT -5
Friday, August 11th will be when it will be going for week 15. I have a feeling Taylor might release then. That will mean the song will end at 14 weeks and taylor will get #1 unless Taylor pulls a Katy Perry and release garbage no one wants. Taylor's impact is no joke. Even if she doesn't manage to debut at #1. It's definitely coming for a Top 5.
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MilesW1998
3x Platinum Member
Banned
#1 Song: Bad At Love by Halsey (1st Week)
Joined: January 2017
Posts: 3,713
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Post by MilesW1998 on Jul 26, 2017 10:49:53 GMT -5
Top 20 Overall AI 7/26/17:
1. Despacito 188.997 (-0.209) 2. That's What I Like 163.494 (-0.787)*** 3. Stay 143.191 (+0.366) 4. Wild Thoughts 140.073 (+1.935) 5. There's Nothing Holdin' Me Back 139.536 (+2.635) +1 6. Believer 137.704 (+0.278) -1 7. Shape Of You 136.567 (-0.284) 8. I'm The One 124.758 (-0.999) 9. Something Just Like This 122.629 (-0.181) 10. Body Like A Back Road 112.961 (+1.330) 11. Now Or Never 109.252 (-1.083) 12. Attention 107.385 (+3.283) +1 13. It Ain't Me 103.572 (-0.840) -1*** 14. Redbone 99.725 (+0.499) +1 15. Castle On The Hill 99.490 (-0.925) 16. Unforgettable 92.089 (+1.184) 17. Say You Won't Let Go 89.214 (-0.648) 18. HUMBLE 76.109 (-0.292) 19. Slow Hands 69.943 (+0.608) 20. Issues 63.835 (-1.239)
Outliers:
24. Yours If You Want It 57.495 (-2.465) -3 25. My Girl 56.757 (-1.337) -2 27. Strip That Down 52.046 (+2.057) +2 31. Feels 48.732 (+1.036) 37. XO TOUR Llif3 45.647 (-1.825) -5*** 47. Every Time I Hear That Song 41.165 (-1.167) -3 49. Malibu 37.418 (-2.551) 55. LOYALTY 30.038 (+1.111) +5 60. Bad Liar 29.040 (-3.056) -8 89. Praying 20.067 (+1.122) +10 101. The Cure 18.860 (-1.142) -12
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atg
3x Platinum Member
Joined: April 2016
Posts: 3,004
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Post by atg on Jul 26, 2017 11:00:38 GMT -5
'Mi Gente' remmix featuring Bieber may be coming - LOL U already know lmao
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Post by Golden Bluebird on Jul 26, 2017 14:03:53 GMT -5
"Mi Gente" is currently in the Top 10 of the US Spotify chart.
Yeah, this is gonna be the next Latin hit.
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jayhawk1117
2x Platinum Member
Joined: July 2013
Posts: 2,758
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Post by jayhawk1117 on Jul 26, 2017 15:10:12 GMT -5
Justin Bieber the savior of Latin pop music
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forg
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Joined: May 2009
Posts: 2,356
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Post by forg on Jul 26, 2017 21:16:21 GMT -5
Mi Gente is a bop! An English remix is needed for it to get significant airplay but yes this has potential to be a chart topper as well
Demi Lovato's Sorry Not Sorry is still in the top 10 of Spotify as well. Quite impressive considering how female pop struggles there
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Enigma.
Diamond Member
Joined: July 2007
Posts: 14,176
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Post by Enigma. on Jul 27, 2017 5:11:50 GMT -5
I believe Fetish will rank a bit higher than that, it'll have two days of video streams to help. Currently the video has 3.7m views (that's WW of course)
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Post by .It'sGriffin on Jul 27, 2017 5:35:04 GMT -5
I'm happy that Redbone suddenly regained traction out of nowhere. It again has a chance to enter the top 10, especially since it has no real competition in the 11-20 area and BLABR looks like it'll fall off soon. Also, FiS has nice traction, too. Will it be the big alternative crossover of 2017?
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imbondz
2x Platinum Member
Joined: January 2006
Posts: 2,613
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Post by imbondz on Jul 27, 2017 7:38:22 GMT -5
Justin Bieber the savior of Latin pop music lol
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Someone
Charting
Joined: April 2017
Posts: 226
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Post by Someone on Jul 27, 2017 8:54:55 GMT -5
I'm happy that Redbone suddenly regained traction out of nowhere. It again has a chance to enter the top 10, especially since it has no real competition in the 11-20 area and BLABR looks like it'll fall off soon. Also, FiS has nice traction, too. Will it be the big alternative crossover of 2017? I hope Feel it still does good. It's crazy how the only reason it exploded on iTunes was because of a YouTuber used it.
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MilesW1998
3x Platinum Member
Banned
#1 Song: Bad At Love by Halsey (1st Week)
Joined: January 2017
Posts: 3,713
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Post by MilesW1998 on Jul 27, 2017 10:53:40 GMT -5
Top 20 Overall AI 7/27/27:
1. Despacito 188.458 (-0.539) 2. That's What I Like 160.991 (-2.503)*** 3. Stay 143.823 (+0.632) 4. Wild Thoughts 142.356 (+2.283) 5. There's Nothing Holdin' Me Back 141.841 (+2.305) 6. Believer 138.367 (+0.663) 7. Shape Of You 136.288 (-0.279) 8. I'm The One 124.223 (-0.535)*** 9. Something Just Like This 122.144 (-0.485) 10. Body Like A Back Road 114.240 (+1.279) 11. Attention 110.331 (+2.946) +1 12. Now Or Never 108.640 (-0.612) -1 13. It Ain't Me 103.138 (-0.434)*** 14. Redbone 100.158 (+0.433) 15. Castle On The Hill 98.939 (-0.551) 16. Unforgettable 93.355 (+1.266) 17. Say You Won't Let Go 88.397 (-0.817) 18. HUMBLE 75.641 (-0.468) 19. Slow Hands 70.921 (+0.978) 20. Issues 62.487 (-1.348)
Outliers:
21. The Fighter 59.191 (+1.144) +2 24. My Girl 55.478 (-1.279) +1 25. Yours If You Want It 54.559 (-2.936) -1 26. Strip That Down 54.070 (+2.024) +1 29. 2U 50.863 (-1.044) -1 31. Feels 49.795 (+1.063) 43. Mask Off 42.258 (-1.017) -2 49. Malibu 34.529 (-2.889) 69. No Promises 25.336 (+0.799) +3 70. Bad Liar 25.271 (-3.769) -10*** 84. Praying 21.298 (+1.231) +5 161. Bodak Yellow 11.856 (+4.585) +81***
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NeRD
Diamond Member
RIHANNA NAVY
Joined: March 2010
Posts: 15,302
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Post by NeRD on Jul 27, 2017 11:02:56 GMT -5
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Au$tin
Diamond Member
Pop Culture Guru
Grrrrrrrrrr. Fuckity fuck why don't you watch my film before you judge it? FURY.
Joined: August 2008
Posts: 54,624
My Charts
Pronouns: He/his/him
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Post by Au$tin on Jul 27, 2017 11:10:04 GMT -5
An English remix is needed for it to get significant airplay I honestly don't think that's true. Despacito only has one verse in English at the beginning from Bieber and look at it. Gangnam Style also performed decently in airplay with no English side from the word "style."
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Post by .It'sGriffin on Jul 27, 2017 12:28:14 GMT -5
An English remix is needed for it to get significant airplay I honestly don't think that's true. Despacito only has one verse in English at the beginning from Bieber and look at it. Gangnam Style also performed decently in airplay with no English side from the word "style." Sexy lady.
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MilesW1998
3x Platinum Member
Banned
#1 Song: Bad At Love by Halsey (1st Week)
Joined: January 2017
Posts: 3,713
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Post by MilesW1998 on Jul 27, 2017 21:21:24 GMT -5
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Post by Golden Bluebird on Jul 28, 2017 5:20:28 GMT -5
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fhas
3x Platinum Member
Three-time World Champions: 1992 - 2-1 vs. Barcelona, 1993 - 3-2 vs. Milan, 2005 - 1-0 vs. Liverpool
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Post by fhas on Jul 28, 2017 5:34:45 GMT -5
Unforgettable discounted again. Top 3 is coming next week.
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Someone
Charting
Joined: April 2017
Posts: 226
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Post by Someone on Jul 28, 2017 6:21:49 GMT -5
Unforgettable discounted again. Top 3 is coming next week. Where do you see Feel it Still being next week? Top 40?
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fhas
3x Platinum Member
Three-time World Champions: 1992 - 2-1 vs. Barcelona, 1993 - 3-2 vs. Milan, 2005 - 1-0 vs. Liverpool
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Post by fhas on Jul 28, 2017 6:38:55 GMT -5
Unforgettable discounted again. Top 3 is coming next week. Where do you see Feel it Still being next week? Top 40? I have no idea. I only estimate the Top 13-15 songs for our weekly predictions thread. Simmnfierzig's the only person that predicts the entire Hot 100 and will be posting his final predictions next Sunday.
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Someone
Charting
Joined: April 2017
Posts: 226
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Post by Someone on Jul 28, 2017 6:51:45 GMT -5
Where do you see Feel it Still being next week? Top 40? I have no idea. I only estimate the Top 13-15 songs for our weekly predictions thread. Simmnfierzig's the only person that predicts the entire Hot 100 and will be posting his final predictions next Sunday. I don't have a ATRL account and figured you did more then top 13. Thank you for responding anyways!
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Post by .It'sGriffin on Jul 28, 2017 6:58:57 GMT -5
If Unforgettable will get a stronger push on Airplay and Sales it may actually overtake Despacito pretty soon. Or just get a few remixes. It looks like it'll go to #1 on Spotify in two or three days. I think that it'll go to #2 next week.
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NeRD
Diamond Member
RIHANNA NAVY
Joined: March 2010
Posts: 15,302
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Post by NeRD on Jul 28, 2017 8:22:38 GMT -5
Wild Thoughts and There's Nothing Holding Me Back are head to head for the next airplay #1, but the fact that Wild Thoughts is being supported by more formats should give it the edge.
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NeRD
Diamond Member
RIHANNA NAVY
Joined: March 2010
Posts: 15,302
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Post by NeRD on Jul 28, 2017 8:23:33 GMT -5
If Unforgettable will get a stronger push on Airplay and Sales it may actually overtake Despacito pretty soon. Or just get a few remixes. It looks like it'll go to #1 on Spotify in two or three days. I think that it'll go to #2 next week. It's airplay is way too low, and it is still behind in sales, and doesn't have enough of a lead in streaming to overtake Wild Thoughts.
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Daniel Collins
4x Platinum Member
With every broken bone, I swear I lived
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Post by Daniel Collins on Jul 28, 2017 8:23:56 GMT -5
2017/07/28
*** = dropped or added a format
1. LUIS FONSI - Despacito f/Daddy Yankee: 186.613 (-1.845) 2. BRUNO MARS - That's What I Like: 159.445 (-1.546***) 3. DJ KHALED F/RIHANNA/B. TILLER - Wild Thoughts: 144.552 (+2.196) ▲ 4. SHAWN MENDES - There's Nothing Holdin' Me...: 144.202 (+2.361) ▲ 5. ZEDD & ALESSIA CARA - Stay: 143.727 (-0.096) ▼ 6. IMAGINE DRAGONS - Believer: 139.356 (+0.989) 7. ED SHEERAN - Shape Of You: 135.863 (-0.425) 8. THE CHAINSMOKERS & COLDPLAY - Something Just Like This: 122.055 (-0.089) ▲ 9. DJ KHALED - I'm The One f/Bieber/Quavo...: 121.865 (-2.358***) ▼ 10. SAM HUNT - Body Like A Back Road: 114.888 (+0.648)
11. CHARLIE PUTH - Attention: 113.447 (+3.116) 12. HALSEY - Now Or Never: 109.477 (+0.837) 13. KYGO X SELENA GOMEZ - It Ain't Me: 102.861 (-0.277) 14. CHILDISH GAMBINO - Redbone: 100.927 (+0.769) 15. ED SHEERAN - Castle On The Hill: 98.000 (-0.939) 16. FRENCH MONTANA - Unforgettable f/Swae Lee: 94.476 (+1.121) 17. JAMES ARTHUR - Say You Won't Let Go: 87.847 (-0.550) 18. KENDRICK LAMAR - Humble.: 74.806 (-0.835) 19. NIALL HORAN - Slow Hands: 71.713 (+0.792) 20. JULIA MICHAELS - Issues: 61.132 (-1.355)
21. KEITH URBAN - The Fighter f/Carrie Underwood: 60.359 (+1.168) 22. BILLY CURRINGTON - Do I Make You Wanna: 60.030 (+0.944) 23. THOMAS RHETT - Craving You f/Maren Morris: 58.009 (-0.198) 24. LIAM PAYNE - Strip That Down f/Quavo: 55.022 (+0.952) ▲ 25. DYLAN SCOTT - My Girl: 54.273 (-1.205) ▼ 26. ALESSIA CARA - Scars To Your Beautiful: 53.277 (-0.765) ▲ 27. COLE SWINDELL - Flatliner: 52.869 (+0.910) ▲ 28. BRUNO MARS - Versace On The Floor: 51.195 (+0.979***) ▲ 29. RASCAL FLATTS - Yours If You Want It: 50.973 (-3.586) ▼ 30. CALVIN HARRIS - Feels f/Pharrell/Katy/Big Sean: 50.720 (+0.925) ▲
31. DAVID GUETTA - 2U f/Justin Bieber: 50.116 (-0.747) ▼ 32. MIDLAND - Drinkin' Problem: 48.425 (+0.817) 33. MAROON 5 - Don't Wanna Know f/K. Lamar: 47.679 (+0.803) ▲ 34. LADY ANTEBELLUM - You Look Good: 47.285 (+0.208) ▼ 35. JUSTIN MOORE - Somebody Else Will: 46.902 (+0.779) ▲ 36. OLD DOMINION - No Such Thing As A Broken...: 46.718 (+0.547) ▼ 37. JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE - Can't Stop The Feeling: 45.641 (+0.789) ▲ 38. LIL UZI VERT - XO Tour Llif3: 45.100 (-0.295) ▼ 39. ADELE - Water Under The Bridge: 44.659 (-0.270) ▼ 40. DUSTIN LYNCH - Small Town Boy: 44.138 (+0.677)
41. POST MALONE - Congratulations f/Quavo: 43.095 (-0.031) 42. THE CHAINSMOKERS - Closer f/Halsey: 42.219 (-0.141) 43. SIA - Cheap Thrills: 41.699 (+0.169) ▲ 44. LUKE COMBS - Hurricane: 41.488 (-0.377) 45. FUTURE - Mask Off: 41.421 (-0.837) ▼ 46. YFN LUCCI - Everyday We Lit f/PnB Rock: 40.828 (-0.050) ▲ 47. BRETT YOUNG - In Case You Didn't Know: 40.759 (-0.732) ▼ 48. BLAKE SHELTON - Every Time I Hear That Song: 39.425 (-0.765) 49. DJ SNAKE - Let Me Love You f/J. Bieber: 34.349 (+0.234) ▲ 50. JON PARDI - Heartache On The Dance Floor: 33.530 (+0.801) ▲
51. RIHANNA - Love On The Brain: 33.179 (-0.051) 52. JASON ALDEAN - They Don't Know: 33.135 (+0.283) 53. MILEY CYRUS - Malibu: 31.787 (-2.742) ▼ 54. KHALID - Location: 31.665 (+1.100) 55. SHAWN MENDES - Treat You Better: 30.454 (+0.122) 56. KENDRICK LAMAR - LOYALTY. f/ Rihanna: 30.321 (+0.115) 57. BROTHERS OSBORNE - It Ain't My Fault: 29.684 (+0.290) ▲ 58. THE WEEKND - I Feel It Coming f/Daft Punk: 28.957 (-0.856) ▼ 59. SZA - Love Galore f/Travis Scott: 28.606 (+0.638) ▲ 60. KIP MOORE - More Girls Like You: 28.585 (+0.339)
61. BRUNO MARS - 24K Magic: 28.526 (-1.079) ▼ 62. PORTUGAL. THE MAN - Feel It Still: 27.335 (+1.064) ▲ 63. JON PARDI - Dirt On My Boots: 27.134 (-0.010) ▼ 64. MIGOS - Slippery f/Gucci Mane: 26.665 (+0.150) 65. CHRIS LANE - For Her: 26.425 (+0.291) ▲ 66. CHEAT CODES - No Promises f/Demi Lovato: 26.137 (+0.801) ▲ 67. LOGIC - 1-800-273-8255 f/A.Cara/Khalid: 25.938 (-1.147) ▼ 68. J BALVIN - Mi Gente f/Willy William: 25.763 (+0.411) 69. ZAYN/TAYLOR SWIFT - I Don't Wanna Live Forever: 25.746 (-0.166) ▼ 70. YO GOTTI F/NICKI MINAJ - Rake It Up f/Nicki Minaj: 24.437 (+0.808) ▲
71. SHAWN MENDES - Mercy: 24.297 (-0.530) 72. FLORIDA GEORGIA LINE - God, Your Mama, And Me: 23.858 (-0.765) 73. KENNY CHESNEY - All The Pretty Girls: 23.851 (+0.679) ▲ 74. CARLY PEARCE - Every Little Thing: 23.569 (+0.237) 75. MEEK MILL - Whatever You Need: 23.340 (+0.551) ▲
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Post by .It'sGriffin on Jul 28, 2017 8:49:19 GMT -5
I think that it'll go to #2 next week. It's airplay is way too low, and it is still behind in sales, and doesn't have enough of a lead in streaming to overtake Wild Thoughts. I legitimately forgot about WT 😑
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fhas
3x Platinum Member
Three-time World Champions: 1992 - 2-1 vs. Barcelona, 1993 - 3-2 vs. Milan, 2005 - 1-0 vs. Liverpool
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Post by fhas on Jul 28, 2017 8:49:45 GMT -5
I think that it'll go to #2 next week. It's airplay is way too low, and it is still behind in sales, and doesn't have enough of a lead in streaming to overtake Wild Thoughts. That's pure guess, but let's suppose that Unforgettable's numbers next week are something like: 35k sales 80m airplay 29m streams 31,680 pointsWild Thoughts should stay at #2 with 36k+ points, but That's What I Like (or I'm The One) falls to #4 with ~30k.
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NeRD
Diamond Member
RIHANNA NAVY
Joined: March 2010
Posts: 15,302
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Post by NeRD on Jul 28, 2017 9:18:26 GMT -5
Wild Thoughts now #1 on Pandora.
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Post by Christopher on Jul 28, 2017 11:49:59 GMT -5
I'm happy that Redbone suddenly regained traction out of nowhere. It again has a chance to enter the top 10, especially since it has no real competition in the 11-20 area and BLABR looks like it'll fall off soon. Also, FiS has nice traction, too. Will it be the big alternative crossover of 2017? I hope Feel it still does good. It's crazy how the only reason it exploded on iTunes was because of a YouTuber used it. I had no idea. Who was it? And link maybe?
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