Sherane Lamar
2x Platinum Member
Banned
Long live XXX
Joined: February 2016
Posts: 2,900 
|
Post by Sherane Lamar on Nov 10, 2017 12:13:51 GMT -5
What are the odds that "Hey Mama" hits the Hot 100?
I'm thinking maybe like a 5% chance. But idk. Too bad Billboard has the damn Top 50 rule for old songs.
|
|
deepston
5x Platinum Member
Nightmare Dressed Like a Kitty
just like a folk song, our love will be passed on
Joined: August 2017
Posts: 5,661 
|
Post by deepston on Nov 10, 2017 12:17:52 GMT -5
Eminem/Beyoncé might be coming in to disrupt "Havana" getting to #1 next chart. Seriously doubt it. |
|
jenglisbe
Diamond Member
Joined: January 2005
Posts: 35,628
|
Post by jenglisbe on Nov 10, 2017 12:20:24 GMT -5
Eminem/Beyoncé might be coming in to disrupt "Havana" getting to #1 next chart. Seriously doubt it. Yeah, now that I hear it, it doesn't seem massive. But sales and streaming could be huge the first week just due to hype/interest. |
|
inverse
2x Platinum Member
Your mind is in disturbia...
Joined: December 2015
Posts: 2,095
|
Post by inverse on Nov 10, 2017 12:28:10 GMT -5
What are the odds that "Hey Mama" hits the Hot 100? I'm thinking maybe like a 5% chance. But idk. Too bad Billboard has the damn Top 50 rule for old songs. By David Guetta? Why would that re enter? |
|
fhas
3x Platinum Member
Three-time World Champions: 1992 - 2-1 vs. Barcelona, 1993 - 3-2 vs. Milan, 2005 - 1-0 vs. Liverpool
|
Post by fhas on Nov 10, 2017 12:33:31 GMT -5
Eminem needs ~40,000 to debut at #1.
huge sales/decent streaming & airplay ---> 150k sales + 27m airplay + 30m streams
huge airplay/decent streaming & sales ---> 60k sales + 60m airplay + 41m streams
huge streaming/decent streams & sales ---> 60k sales + 27m airplay + 47m streams
|
|
Sherane Lamar
2x Platinum Member
Banned
Long live XXX
Joined: February 2016
Posts: 2,900
|
Post by Sherane Lamar on Nov 10, 2017 12:37:49 GMT -5
What are the odds that "Hey Mama" hits the Hot 100? I'm thinking maybe like a 5% chance. But idk. Too bad Billboard has the damn Top 50 rule for old songs. By David Guetta? Why would that re enter? No. By Kanye West. |
|
Choco
Diamond Member
james dean daydream
Joined: February 2009
Posts: 27,985
My Charts
Pronouns: he/him
|
Post by Choco on Nov 10, 2017 14:25:46 GMT -5
By David Guetta? Why would that re enter? No. By Kanye West. Is that because of the fan campaign? I doubt it'll be that massive. |
|
|
|
Post by kcdawg13 on Nov 10, 2017 15:09:54 GMT -5
Is that because of the fan campaign? I doubt it'll be that massive. Lmao the kids on Kanye's subreddit are gonna stream Hey Mama all day to protest Taylor Swift and try to knock her numbers down, I wish them luck but that's definitely not gonna happen. I appreciate that they wanna support Kanye since it's the tenth anniversary of his mother's death, but trying to take down a titan like Swift is child's play. Again, good luck to them. |
|
ddlz
2x Platinum Member
Joined: June 2011
Posts: 2,166
|
Post by ddlz on Nov 10, 2017 23:31:09 GMT -5
The battles for #1 nowadays are getting bloodier and bloodier. It's all-out war, with discounts, vertical videos, unofficial videos, Spotify spots, etc... The way Epic and Republic records keep going at each other...  |
|
|
|
Post by kcdawg13 on Nov 11, 2017 0:20:10 GMT -5
Papa Bless!
|
|
fhas
3x Platinum Member
Three-time World Champions: 1992 - 2-1 vs. Barcelona, 1993 - 3-2 vs. Milan, 2005 - 1-0 vs. Liverpool
|
Post by fhas on Nov 11, 2017 8:39:27 GMT -5
YouTube United States Daily Chart - 2017/11/08 2. (+8) Post Malone - Rockstar - 2,258,252 (+1,095,443) 4. (=) Camila Cabello - Havana - 2,095,414 (-42,023) YouTube was Camila's only streaming advantage over Post. kworb.net/youtube/insights/us_daily.html |
|
kindofbiased
Platinum Member
Rough surf on the coast
Joined: May 2017
Posts: 1,759
|
Post by kindofbiased on Nov 11, 2017 9:26:37 GMT -5
Next month is looking to be a crazy one for #1, probably gonna be a battle between Havana and Walk On Water until another major interruption like Rihanna or Ariana comes along.
|
|
|
|
Post by Golden Bluebird on Nov 11, 2017 12:37:39 GMT -5
kworb.net/airadio/*** = Dropped or added a format Overall AI (Top 20) - 11/11/20171. (=) PORTUGAL. THE MAN - Feel It Still (167.000) (-2.312) 2. (=) IMAGINE DRAGONS - Thunder (138.239) (+0.975) 3. (=) P!NK - What About Us (123.606) (-0.153) 4. (+1) DEMI LOVATO - Sorry Not Sorry (119.377) (-1.880) 5. (-1) CHARLIE PUTH - Attention (118.783) (-3.090) 6. (=) LOGIC - 1-800-273-8255 f/A.Cara/Khalid (116.971) (-2.677) 7. (=) MAROON 5 - What Lovers Do f/SZA (109.686) (-0.292) 8. (=) SHAWN MENDES - There's Nothing Holdin' Me Back (105.827) (-2.601) 9. (=) CAMILA CABELLO - Havana f/Young Thug (102.016) (+2.121) 10. (+2) POST MALONE - Rockstar f/21 Savage (97.629) (+1.707) 11. (=) LIAM PAYNE - Strip That Down f/Quavo (97.164) (-1.291) 12. (-2) SAM SMITH - Too Good At Goodbyes (96.342) (-2.368) *** 13. (=) NIALL HORAN - Slow Hands (93.874) (-1.567) 14. (=) CARDI B - Bodak Yellow (87.229) (-1.304) 15. (+1) J BALVIN - Mi Gente f/Willy William (86.777) (+0.065) 16. (-1) KESHA - Praying (86.522) (-0.400) 17. (+1) ED SHEERAN - Perfect (83.828) (-0.209) 18. (-1) ED SHEERAN - Shape Of You (83.276) (-1.236) 19. (=) FRENCH MONTANA - Unforgettable f/Swae Lee (78.141) (-1.196) 20. (+1) IMAGINE DRAGONS - Believer (72.982) (-1.197) Others: 24. (=) CARLY PEARCE - Every Little Thing (68.223) (+1.167) 29. (+1) TAYLOR SWIFT - Ready For It (58.291) (+1.349) 41. (+2) BLAKE SHELTON - I'll Name The Dogs (48.244) (+1.040)
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 11, 2017 12:47:43 GMT -5
Next month is looking to be a crazy one for #1, probably gonna be a battle between Havana and Walk On Water until another major interruption like Rihanna or Ariana comes along. I don't see Walk On Water being 1 if it even reaches it and for long as well. |
|
kindofbiased
Platinum Member
Rough surf on the coast
Joined: May 2017
Posts: 1,759
|
Post by kindofbiased on Nov 11, 2017 16:20:53 GMT -5
Next month is looking to be a crazy one for #1, probably gonna be a battle between Havana and Walk On Water until another major interruption like Rihanna or Ariana comes along. I don't see Walk On Water being 1 if it even reaches it and for long as well. Once he releases the album I could see it hitting #1. |
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 11, 2017 16:22:30 GMT -5
I don't see Walk On Water being 1 if it even reaches it and for long as well. Once he releases the album I could see it hitting #1. Maybe with another song, but not with this. |
|
garrettlen
Gold Member
Joined: April 2017
Posts: 882
|
Post by garrettlen on Nov 11, 2017 20:41:55 GMT -5
Next month is looking to be a crazy one for #1, probably gonna be a battle between Havana and Walk On Water until another major interruption like Rihanna or Ariana comes along. Ariana? Ariana has not yet had a #1 hit on the Hot 100, what makes you think her next new release will be the one? |
|
mako
Platinum Member
formerly known as "the one letter"
|
Post by mako on Nov 12, 2017 1:52:38 GMT -5
Next month is looking to be a crazy one for #1, probably gonna be a battle between Havana and Walk On Water until another major interruption like Rihanna or Ariana comes along. Ariana?  Ariana has not yet had a #1 hit on the Hot 100, what makes you think her next new release will be the one? Yeah, I guess its kindofbiased |
|
djea92
Platinum Member
Banned
Joined: June 2017
Posts: 1,386
|
Post by djea92 on Nov 12, 2017 5:32:13 GMT -5
Hope Havana gets it this week. Walk On Water isn't going number 1 lol it's an album opener that just happens to be sent to radio
|
|
willapted33
9x Platinum Member
blonded
Joined: February 2017
Posts: 9,557
Pronouns: he/him
|
Post by willapted33 on Nov 12, 2017 5:40:27 GMT -5
It would be hilarious if Hey Mama re-enters
edit: it won't but it did get around 700k streams yesterday :)
|
|
|
|
Post by Golden Bluebird on Nov 12, 2017 9:24:38 GMT -5
kworb.net/airadio/*** = Dropped or added a format Overall AI (Top 20) - 11/12/20171. (=) PORTUGAL. THE MAN - Feel It Still (165.451) (-1.549) 2. (=) IMAGINE DRAGONS - Thunder (140.053) (+1.814) 3. (=) P!NK - What About Us (123.808) (+0.202) 4. (=) DEMI LOVATO - Sorry Not Sorry (118.132) (-1.245) 5. (=) CHARLIE PUTH - Attention (117.223) (-1.560) 6. (=) LOGIC - 1-800-273-8255 f/A.Cara/Khalid (114.335) (-2.636) 7. (=) MAROON 5 - What Lovers Do f/SZA (109.707) (+0.021) 8. (+1) CAMILA CABELLO - Havana f/Young Thug (104.212) (+2.196) 9. (-1) SHAWN MENDES - There's Nothing Holdin' Me Back (104.034) (-1.793) 10. (=) POST MALONE - Rockstar f/21 Savage (99.681) (+2.052) *** 11. (=) LIAM PAYNE - Strip That Down f/Quavo (96.696) (-0.468) 12. (=) SAM SMITH - Too Good At Goodbyes (95.852) (-0.490) 13. (=) NIALL HORAN - Slow Hands (92.471) (-1.403) 14. (+1) J BALVIN - Mi Gente f/Willy William (87.592) (+0.815) 15. (+1) KESHA - Praying (86.979) (+0.457) 16. (-2) CARDI B - Bodak Yellow (85.998) (-1.231) 17. (=) ED SHEERAN - Perfect (84.545) (+0.717) 18. (=) ED SHEERAN - Shape Of You (82.347) (-0.929) 19. (=) FRENCH MONTANA - Unforgettable f/Swae Lee (77.410) (-0.731) 20. (+1) BRUNO MARS - That's What I Like (72.836) (-0.137) Others: 23. (+1) CARLY PEARCE - Every Little Thing (69.399) (+1.176) 44. (=) KENDRICK LAMAR - LOVE. (46.159) (+1.005)
|
|
kindofbiased
Platinum Member
Rough surf on the coast
Joined: May 2017
Posts: 1,759
|
Post by kindofbiased on Nov 12, 2017 11:32:18 GMT -5
Next month is looking to be a crazy one for #1, probably gonna be a battle between Havana and Walk On Water until another major interruption like Rihanna or Ariana comes along. Ariana? Ariana has not yet had a #1 hit on the Hot 100, what makes you think her next new release will be the one? Anything she releases after One Love Manchester (that isn't a live song from that event) is almost inevitably gonna be huge. |
|
kindofbiased
Platinum Member
Rough surf on the coast
Joined: May 2017
Posts: 1,759
|
Post by kindofbiased on Nov 12, 2017 11:32:43 GMT -5
Ariana? Ariana has not yet had a #1 hit on the Hot 100, what makes you think her next new release will be the one? Yeah, I guess its kindofbiased thats hilarious dennis |
|
Someone
Charting
Joined: April 2017
Posts: 226
|
Post by Someone on Nov 12, 2017 12:01:29 GMT -5
simmnfierzig‘s final predictions
1 Rockstar 394 (=)
2 Havana 349 (=)
3 Bodak Yellow 317 (=)
4 Too Good At Goodbyes 294 (+6)
5 Thunder 290 (=)
6 Gucci Gang 276 (+1)
7 1-800-273-8255 273 (-3)
8 Feel It Still 255 (-2)
9 What Lovers Do 242 (+3)
10 Perfect 237 (+1)
11 Sorry Not Sorry 236 (-3)
12 Mi Gente 231 (-3)
13 No Limit 216 (+11)
14 I Get The Bag 195 (+1)
15 Bank Account 183 (+1)
16 Unforgettable 180 (+1)
17 What About Us 174 (+5)
18 Rake It Up 171 (-5)
19 Despacito 171 (+1)
20 Attention 170 (-2)
21 Bad At Love 169 (+6)
22 Motorsport 168 (-8)
23 New Rules 167 (+3)
24 Believer 167 (-3)
25 Shape Of You 164 (-2)
26 Young Dumb & Broke 164 (-1)
27 Strip That Down 163 (+1)
28 I Fall Apart 157 (+1)
29 Praying 146 (+2)
30 Ready For It 142 (-11)
31 Call It What You Want 142 (debut)
32 There's Nothing Holdin Me Back 141 (-2)
33 The Way Life Goes 140 (+22) (I don't think Nicki will get credit)
34 Slow Hands 133 (-2)
35 That's What I Like 131 (-2)
36 Do Re Mi 125 (+5)
37 Ric Flair Drip 124 (+34)
38 Ghostface Killers 122 (+19)
39 Look What You Made Me Do 122 (-5)
40 When It Rains It Pours 120 (-3)
41 What Ifs 115 (-5)
42 Humble 113 (=)
43 The Weekend 113 (+1)
44 Congratulations 113 (-4)
45 Something Just Like This 112 (-6)
46 Crew 111 (-1)
47 Location 111 (+1)
48 Pills & Automobiles 110 (+3)
49 Wild Thoughts 110 (-11)
50 XO Tour Lif3 110 (-7)
51 How Long 105 (-5)
52 Unforgettable 104 (=)
53 Silence 99 (-3)
54 Greatest Love Story 98 (-1)
55 Roll In Peace 94 (+1)
56 Plain Jane 91 (-2)
57 Wolves 90 (-22)
58 Love So Soft 89 (-11)
59 Let You Down 89 (+2)
60 Every Little Thing 86 (-2)
61 Light It Up 83 (+1)
62 I'll Name The Dogs 83 (+3)
63 Meant To Be 80 (-3)
64 The Race 78 (-5)
65 Rap Saved Me 78 (+9)
66 Let Me Go 71 (-2)
67 Like I Loved You 70 (-4)
68 Lemon 70 (debut)
69 Sky Walker 69 (-3)
70 Fix A Drink 66 (-3)
71 Losing Sleep 66 (-3)
72 Round Here Buzz 64 (+10)
73 I Could Use A Love Song 63 (+8)
74 Jocelyn Flores 62 (-4)
75 My Choppa Hate *****s 62 (+19)
76 Patek Water 62 (+1)
77 Good Old Days 61 (-5)
78 Transportin' 59 (-5)
79 Questions 58 (=)
80 Dusk Till Dawn 58 (-2)
81 Yours 58 (-5)
82 Wait 58 (debut)
83 **** Love 57 (-3)
84 Sauce It Up 57 (-9)
85 Gorgeous 55 (-16)
86 Lights Down Low 53 (-2)
87 Relationship 53 (+1)
88 Mayores 51 (-5)
89 Ask Me How I Know 50 (+1)
90 Ahora Me Llama 50 (debut)
91 Candy Paint 49 (-6)
92 High End 48 (+8)
93 Smooth 48 (-4)
94 Go Flex 47 (-8)
95 You Broke Up With Me 45 (-4)
96 Glorious 44 (-9)
97 Too Much To Ask 43 (-2)
98 Heartache On The Dance Floor 43 (-6)
99 All On Me 40 (-1)
100 When We 39 (debut)
Others
Rx (Medicate) 36
Faking It 34
Recurrent
Body Like A Back Road
|
|
85la
3x Platinum Member
Joined: July 2007
Posts: 3,919
|
Post by 85la on Nov 12, 2017 13:44:19 GMT -5
Hope Havana gets it this week. Walk On Water isn't going number 1 lol it's an album opener that just happens to be sent to radio Yeah, it won't be going #1 right away at least (the 12/2 chart, the first week it's elligeable). It has only a slight lead on iTunes, and it actually isn't getting any airplay either. He's performing on SNL next week, so an album release might be very imminent though. |
|
marcuz
Bubbling Under
Joined: October 2016
Posts: 15
|
Post by marcuz on Nov 12, 2017 13:50:30 GMT -5
simmnfierzig‘s final predictions Recurrent Body Like A Back Road I wonder how many points it got. I was hoping it sneaked in one more week for a higher placement in the year end chart. I'd ask simm but it turns out there is no sign up page for ATRL. Why is that? |
|
Leo ✔
Diamond Member
Julia Michaels Stan
Happy happy happy ♪
Joined: June 2016
Posts: 75,447
My Charts
Pronouns: He/him/his
|
Post by Leo ✔ on Nov 12, 2017 15:32:01 GMT -5
why the sudden jump of TGAG?
|
|
Harx
5x Platinum Member
Joined: August 2016
Posts: 5,049
|
Post by Harx on Nov 12, 2017 15:33:26 GMT -5
why the sudden jump of TGAG? Album release |
|
Soulsista
Diamond Member
Room for one more, honey.
Joined: December 2006
Posts: 11,876
|
Post by Soulsista on Nov 12, 2017 16:56:30 GMT -5
Billboard Top 10 from 55, 50, 45, and 40 years ago:
November 24, 1962
01 01 Big Girls Don't Cry - The Four Seasons (2nd of 5 weeks at #1)
02 02 Return To Sender - Elvis Presley
03 04 All Alone Am I - Brenda Lee
04 07 Bobby's Girl - Marcie Blane
05 05 Next Door To An Angel - Neil Sedaka
06 09 Limbo Rock - Chubby Checker
07 08 Don't Hang Up - The Orlons
08 03 He's a Rebel - The Crystals
09 06 Gina - Johnny Mathis
10 13 Ride - Dee Dee Sharp
November 25, 1967
01 03 Incense And Peppermints - Strawberry Alarm Clock (1st and only week at #1)
02 01 To Sir With Love - Lulu
03 04 The Rain, The Park And Other Things - The Cowsills
04 02 Soul Man - Sam & Dave
05 33 Daydream Believer - The Monkees
06 06 Please Love Me Forever - Bobby Vinton
07 08 I Say a Little Prayer - Dionne Warwick
08 05 It Must Be Him - Vicki Carr
09 10 I Can See For Miles - The Who
10 09 Expressway (To Your Heart) - The Soul Survivors
November 25, 1972
01 01 I Can See Clearly Now - Johnny Nash (4th and final week at #1)
02 02 I'd Love You To Want Me - Lobo
03 03 I'll Be Around - The Spinners
04 04 I Am Woman - Helen Reddy
05 06 Papa Was a Rollin' Stone - The Temptations
06 10 Summer Breeze - Seals & Crofts
07 13 If You Don't Know Me By Now - Harold Melvin & The Blue Notes
08 15 You Ought To Be With Me - Al Green
09 05 Nights In White Satin - The Moody Blues
10 11 If I Could Reach You - The 5th Dimension
November 26, 1977
01 01 You Light Up My Life - Debby Boone (7th of 10 weeks at #1)
02 03 Don't It Make My Brown Eyes Blue - Crystal Gayle
03 06 How Deep Is Your Love - The Bee Gees
04 02 Boogie Nights - Heatwave
05 05 Baby, What a Big Surprise - Chicago
06 07 Heaven On The 7th Floor - Paul Nicholas
07 08 We're All Alone - Rita Coolidge
08 09 Blue Bayou - Linda Ronstadt
09 04 It's Ecstasy When You Lay Down Next To Me - Barry White
10 16 It's So Easy - Linda Ronstadt
|
|
Soulsista
Diamond Member
Room for one more, honey.
Joined: December 2006
Posts: 11,876
|
Post by Soulsista on Nov 12, 2017 17:25:55 GMT -5
Billboard Top 10 from 35, 30, 25, and 20 years ago:
November 27, 1982
01 02 Truly - Lionel Richie (1st of 2 weeks at #1)
02 04 Gloria - Laura Branigan
03 03 Heart Attack - Olivia Newton-John
04 01 Up Where We Belong - Joe Cocker & Jennifer Warnes
05 05 Heartlight - Neil Diamond
06 07 Mickey - Toni Basil
07 08 Maneater - Daryl Hall & John Oates
08 09 Steppin' Out - Joe Jackson
09 14 The Girl Is Mine - Michael Jackson & Paul McCartney
10 10 Muscles - Diana Ross
November 28, 1987
01 02 (I've Had) The Time Of My Life - Bill Medley & Jennifer Warnes (1st and only week at #1)
02 03 Heaven Is a Place On Earth - Belinda Carlisle
03 01 Mony Mony (Live) - Billy Idol
04 07 Should've Known Better - Richard Marx
05 10 Faith - George Michael
06 05 Brilliant Disguise - Bruce Springsteen
07 04 I Think We're Alone Now - Tiffany
08 11 We'll Be Together - Sting
09 09 I've Been In Love Before - Cutting Crew
10 14 Shake Your Love - Debbie Gibson
November 28, 1992
01 12 I Will Always Love You - Whitney Houston (1st of 14 weeks at #1)
02 01 How Do You Talk To An Angel - The Heights
03 02 If I Ever Fall In Love - Shai
04 05 Rump Shaker - Wreckx-N-Effect
05 03 I'd Die Without You - P.M. Dawn
06 04 End Of The Road - Boyz II Men
07 06 Rhythm Is a Dancer - Snap!
08 09 Real Love - Mary J. Blige
09 07 What About Your Friends - TLC
10 11 Good Enough - Bobby Brown
15 NE In The Still Of The Nite - Boyz II Men
November 22, 1997
01 01 Candle In The Wind 1997 / Something About The Way You Look Tonight - Elton John (7th of 14 weeks at #1)
02 02 You Make Me Wanna... - Usher
03 03 How Do I Live - LeAnn Rimes
04 05 All Cried Out - Allure feat. 112
05 08 My Body - LSG
06 06 My Love Is The Shhh! - Somethin' For The People feat. Trina & Tamara
07 04 4 Seasons Of Loneliness - Boyz II Men
08 07 Tubthumping - Chumbawumba
09 09 The One I Gave My Heart To - Aaliyah
10 12 Feel So Good - Mase
|
|
