Billboard Hot 100: 2/10/2018

[dhill92]

Jan 31, 2018 13:22:08 GMT -5 scrohr424 said:

So where is The Middle looking to debut at this point? I know many are not looking forward to it debuting, but I don't dislike it as much as quite a few.

Believe it or not, I actually really like this.  In fact, I like it way more than I'm supposed to.

I think it's because some seem to think Zedd is selling out with his latest music.  I very much enjoyed Stay, but Get Low was pretty mediocre for me.  Sure, both Stay and this song is not his best work, but that doesn't mean I can't support this.

[mako]

Stir Fry should get an album boost + music video boost, so top 20 is possible.

Walk It Talk It is hands-down the best Migos' song IMO. Not surprised it's the (predicted) highest Migos' debut this week. Culture II is better than Culture imo.

[willapted33]

Feb 1, 2018 4:53:46 GMT -5 mako said:

Walk It Talk It is hands-down the best Migos' song IMO. Not surprised it's the (predicted) highest Migos' debut this week. Man, Culture II is wayyy better than Culture.

[Harx]

Feb 1, 2018 6:07:23 GMT -5 willapted33 said:

Feb 1, 2018 4:53:46 GMT -5 mako said:

Walk It Talk It is hands-down the best Migos' song IMO. Not surprised it's the (predicted) highest Migos' debut this week. Man, Culture II is wayyy better than Culture.

Can we not put this face in the chart discussion thread?

[mako]

^ I honestly don't even hate Trump. I'm not going to continue because this is the chart discussion thread. Enough said.

[Golden Bluebird]

kworb.net/airadio/

*** = Dropped or added a format

Overall AI (Top 20) - 02/01/2018
1. (=) ED SHEERAN - Perfect (199.988) (-0.344)
2. (=) CAMILA CABELLO - Havana f/Young Thug (167.795) (-0.746)
3. (=) DUA LIPA - New Rules (151.250) (+0.151)
4. (=) HALSEY - Bad At Love (141.000) (-0.804)
5. (=) POST MALONE - Rockstar f/21 Savage (131.547) (-1.209)
6. (=) BRUNO MARS & CARDI B - Finesse (115.237) (+4.283)
7. (=) CHARLIE PUTH - How Long (109.760) (+0.844)
8. (=) IMAGINE DRAGONS - Thunder (102.657) (-1.082)
9. (=) KENDRICK LAMAR - LOVE. (89.162) (+0.863)
10. (=) MAX - Lights Down Low (88.016) (+2.252)
11. (=) SAM SMITH - Too Good At Goodbyes (81.858) (-3.736)
12. (=) PORTUGAL. THE MAN - Feel It Still (81.653) (-0.807)
13. (=) NF - Let You Down (78.636) (+0.821)
14. (+1) G-EAZY & HALSEY - Him & I (75.347) (+1.602)
15. (-1) SHAWN MENDES - There's Nothing Holdin' Me Back (73.860) (-0.280)
16. (+1) SELENA GOMEZ X MARSHMELLO - Wolves (73.163) (+0.881)
17. (-1) G-EAZY - No Limit f/A$AP Rocky, Cardi B (72.456) (-0.746)
18. (=) RUSSELL DICKERSON - Yours (69.527) (-1.738)
19. (=) TAYLOR SWIFT - End Game f/Ed Sheeran/Future (66.621) (+0.053)
20. (=) CHRIS YOUNG - Losing Sleep (66.591) (+0.634)

Outside the Top 20:
23. (+2) OLD DOMINION - Written In The Sand (59.690) (+1.010)
26. (+4) BEBE REXHA - Meant To Be f/F.G.L. (58.150) (+2.331) ***
32. (-1) JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE - Filthy (53.956) (-1.465)
45. (+6) DRAKE - God's Plan (40.961) (+2.872)

[jenglisbe]

I don't see a path for "Finesse" to get to #1. In terms of what we know, there is nothing left to give a big enough boost to sales or streaming. His airplay will rise, but so will that of "God's Plan."

[Deleted]

Migos so far actually has me on board with them for once

I actually like Motorsport(mainly cause of Cardi & Nicki) & Stir Fry
Though, idk if it's enough to warrant an album listen, might check out some of the tracks people call out to be the highlights

[Deleted]

Feb 1, 2018 18:35:29 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

I don't see a path for "Finesse" to get to #1. In terms of what we know, there is nothing left to give a big enough boost to sales or streaming. His airplay will rise, but so will that of "God's Plan."

Just for fun...  Imagine if they aired a live In Living Color reunion special in the coming weeks/month, with Bruno and Cardi performing this as one of the live musical guests.  

That could be a path to #1.  Haha.  I kid, but kind of a great idea if I do say so myself.

[jtd Thee Stallion]

Feb 1, 2018 18:40:39 GMT -5 @mirza said:

Migos so far actually has me on board with them for once

I actually like Motorsport(mainly cause of Cardi & Nicki) & Stir Fry
Though, idk if it's enough to warrant an album listen, might check out some of the tracks people call out to be the highlights

as a rap & Migos fan, I’d suggest not listening to the entire album

[Deleted]

Feb 1, 2018 18:35:29 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

I don't see a path for "Finesse" to get to #1. In terms of what we know, there is nothing left to give a big enough boost to sales or streaming. His airplay will rise, but so will that of "God's Plan."

To be fair, I thought that would happen with TWIL too. It used up its Grammy boost early, but hit #1 in May due to massive airplay and performing steadily for a long time. I'm not gonna rule it out just yet, especially since it looks like this might be one of those 220-250m AI smashes in the works.

[jenglisbe]

Feb 1, 2018 21:50:41 GMT -5 @zach808 said:

Feb 1, 2018 18:35:29 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

I don't see a path for "Finesse" to get to #1. In terms of what we know, there is nothing left to give a big enough boost to sales or streaming. His airplay will rise, but so will that of "God's Plan."

To be fair, I thought that would happen with TWIL too. It used up its Grammy boost early, but hit #1 in May due to massive airplay and performing steadily for a long time. I'm not gonna rule it out just yet, especially since it looks like this might be one of those 220-250m AI smashes in the works.

I'd agree if streaming weren't such a large part of the charts and if "God's Plan" weren't so huge on that metric. "Finesse" certainly needs "GP" to free fall a bit on streaming.

Feb 1, 2018 18:49:59 GMT -5 @mello said:

Feb 1, 2018 18:35:29 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

I don't see a path for "Finesse" to get to #1. In terms of what we know, there is nothing left to give a big enough boost to sales or streaming. His airplay will rise, but so will that of "God's Plan."

Just for fun...  Imagine if they aired a live In Living Color reunion special in the coming weeks/month, with Bruno and Cardi performing this as one of the live musical guests.  

That could be a path to #1.  Haha.  I kid, but kind of a great idea if I do say so myself.

That is a good idea, but I don't know how much of a boost it would get if the Grammys couldn't give it much of one despite 20 million viewers. Maybe if he had a viral moment off it.

[scrohr424]

And let's not forget how Bad and Boujee, despite being one of the biggest songs in streaming of the year, was pretty weak on the radio front in comparison to the big three, Something Just Like This and even Believer. I mention because I saw someone compare God's Plan to HUMBLE. in regards to its slow radio growth.

That aside, I am curious as to how many of those streams for God's Plan are from paid services.

[Golden Bluebird]

kworb.net/airadio/

*** = Dropped or added a format

Overall AI (Top 20) - 02/02/2018
1. (=) ED SHEERAN - Perfect (199.760) (-0.228)
2. (=) CAMILA CABELLO - Havana f/Young Thug (167.812) (+0.017)
3. (=) DUA LIPA - New Rules (151.310) (+0.060)
4. (=) HALSEY - Bad At Love (139.802) (-1.198)
5. (=) POST MALONE - Rockstar f/21 Savage (128.643) (-2.904)
6. (=) BRUNO MARS & CARDI B - Finesse (119.211) (+3.974)
7. (=) CHARLIE PUTH - How Long (110.668) (+0.908)
8. (=) IMAGINE DRAGONS - Thunder (102.136) (-0.521) ***
9. (=) KENDRICK LAMAR - LOVE. (89.636) (+0.474)
10. (=) MAX - Lights Down Low (88.827) (+0.811)
11. (+1) PORTUGAL. THE MAN - Feel It Still (81.550) (-0.103)
12. (+1) NF - Let You Down (78.749) (+0.113)
13. (-2) SAM SMITH - Too Good At Goodbyes (78.734) (-3.124)
14. (=) G-EAZY & HALSEY - Him & I (77.035) (+1.688)
15. (+1) SELENA GOMEZ X MARSHMELLO - Wolves (74.042) (+0.879)
16. (-1) SHAWN MENDES - There's Nothing Holdin' Me Back (73.506) (-0.354)
17. (=) G-EAZY - No Limit f/A$AP Rocky, Cardi B (72.004) (-0.452)
18. (=) RUSSELL DICKERSON - Yours (67.379) (-2.148)
19. (+1) CHRIS YOUNG - Losing Sleep (67.151) (+0.560)
20. (-1) TAYLOR SWIFT - End Game f/Ed Sheeran/Future (66.921) (+0.300)

Outside the Top 20:
44. (+1) DRAKE - God's Plan (43.475) (+2.514)
56. (+2) CARDI B - Bartier Cardi f/21 Savage (36.478) (+1.435)
60. (+7) CAMILA CABELLO - Never Be The Same (34.289) (+1.297)

[Envoirment]

Damn at Bruno's airplay gains! Hope he'll be able to get to #1 on the Hot 100 for a week or two. He's likely going to hit 200 million+ audience on mediabase and have a massive airplay hit on his hands.

[Golden Bluebird]

kworb.net/airadio/

*** = Dropped or added a format

Overall AI (Top 20) - 02/03/2018
1. (=) ED SHEERAN - Perfect (199.355) (-0.405)
2. (=) CAMILA CABELLO - Havana f/Young Thug (167.117) (-0.695)
3. (=) DUA LIPA - New Rules (150.461) (-0.849)
4. (=) HALSEY - Bad At Love (138.598) (-1.204)
5. (=) POST MALONE - Rockstar f/21 Savage (126.407) (-2.236)
6. (=) BRUNO MARS & CARDI B - Finesse (121.616) (+2.405)
7. (=) CHARLIE PUTH - How Long (111.987) (+1.319)
8. (=) IMAGINE DRAGONS - Thunder (100.573) (-1.563)
9. (+1) MAX - Lights Down Low (90.205) (+1.378)
10. (-1) KENDRICK LAMAR - LOVE. (90.122) (+0.486)
11. (=) PORTUGAL. THE MAN - Feel It Still (81.289) (-0.261)
12. (=) NF - Let You Down (78.427) (-0.322)
13. (+1) G-EAZY & HALSEY - Him & I (77.905) (+0.870)
14. (-1) SAM SMITH - Too Good At Goodbyes (75.827) (-2.907)
15. (=) SELENA GOMEZ X MARSHMELLO - Wolves (74.396) (+0.354)
16. (=) SHAWN MENDES - There's Nothing Holdin' Me Back (72.778) (-0.728)
17. (=) G-EAZY - No Limit f/A$AP Rocky, Cardi B (71.704) (-0.300)
18. (+1) CHRIS YOUNG - Losing Sleep (67.882) (+0.731)
19. (+1) TAYLOR SWIFT - End Game f/Ed Sheeran/Future (66.354) (-0.567)
20. (-2) RUSSELL DICKERSON - Yours (65.615) (-1.764)

Outside the Top 20:
21. (+2) OLD DOMINION - Written In The Sand (61.222) (+1.114)
24. (+1) BEBE REXHA - Meant To Be f/F.G.L. (60.168) (+1.184)
43. (+1) DRAKE - God's Plan (45.148) (+1.673)
46. (=) CHRIS STAPLETON - Broken Halos (41.678) (+1.281)
60. (+7) LUKE BRYAN - Most People Are Good (34.237) (+1.036)

[scrohr424]

*sees #46* Oooooooh, that's fascinating. Am hoping this can show some promise down the road!

[GP]

Finesse is obviously the next #1 on Radio

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

^It still needs 3 or 4 weeks to get there.

[GP]

Sure, but with everything decreasing, I dont see anything getting in front of Perfect other than it.

[kindofbiased]

Did Praying get enough to return this week? If so how high?

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

^Praying's radio airplay wasn't boosted at all by the Grammys performance and it is actually #100 according to kworb. It did manage to sell pretty well, good enough for top 10 in Digital Sales next week and rose 80 spots to #109 in last week's Spotify. Adding all up, my guess is that it should be able to re-enter Hot 100 Recurrents next week.

[forg]

That's What I Like long run on radio plus Versace on the Floor flopping sort of paved the way for Finesse to do this well on airplay. Happy to see that. I'm not expecting #1 anymore but longevity

Also just noticed HOW LONG is this high. Charlie Puth is doing so well on radio

[mako]

Praying is predicted to have 10,500 points for this week, so there's a 70/30 chance Praying can re-enter.

[kcdawg13]

Let You Down may not have enough momentum to hit the Top 10, sales are good and airplay is still gaining consistently, but it doesn’t seem to be gaining fast enough to pass any other song above it.

[Golden Bluebird]

kworb.net/airadio/

*** = Dropped or added a format

Overall AI (Top 20) - 02/04/2018
1. (=) ED SHEERAN - Perfect (199.040) (-0.315)
2. (=) CAMILA CABELLO - Havana f/Young Thug (166.675) (-0.442)
3. (=) DUA LIPA - New Rules (149.738) (-0.723)
4. (=) HALSEY - Bad At Love (137.916) (-0.682)
5. (+1) BRUNO MARS & CARDI B - Finesse (125.513) (+3.897)
6. (-1) POST MALONE - Rockstar f/21 Savage (124.335) (-2.072)
7. (=) CHARLIE PUTH - How Long (113.196) (+1.209)
8. (=) IMAGINE DRAGONS - Thunder (99.935) (-0.638)
9. (=) MAX - Lights Down Low (91.334) (+1.129)
10. (=) KENDRICK LAMAR - LOVE. (90.348) (+0.226)
11. (=) PORTUGAL. THE MAN - Feel It Still (81.361) (+0.072)
12. (+1) G-EAZY & HALSEY - Him & I (79.354) (+1.449)
13. (-1) NF - Let You Down (78.688) (+0.261)
14. (+1) SELENA GOMEZ X MARSHMELLO - Wolves (75.115) (+0.719)
15. (-1) SAM SMITH - Too Good At Goodbyes (72.769) (-3.058)
16. (=) SHAWN MENDES - There's Nothing Holdin' Me Back (72.724) (-0.054)
17. (=) G-EAZY - No Limit f/A$AP Rocky, Cardi B (70.974) (-0.730)
18. (=) CHRIS YOUNG - Losing Sleep (68.408) (+0.526)
19. (=) TAYLOR SWIFT - End Game f/Ed Sheeran/Future (66.393) (+0.039)
20. (=) RUSSELL DICKERSON - Yours (63.080) (-2.535)

Outside the Top 20:
21. (+3) BEBE REXHA - Meant To Be f/F.G.L. (62.254 (+2.086)
43. (=) DRAKE - God's Plan (47.571) (+2.423)
57. (+2) CAMILA CABELLO - Never Be the Same (36.074) (+1.358)

[annoymous1]

Top 5 !!!! Go Bruno & Cardi 4 more spots till it gets to number 1

[slw84]

Feb 1, 2018 21:59:18 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

Feb 1, 2018 21:50:41 GMT -5 @zach808 said:

To be fair, I thought that would happen with TWIL too. It used up its Grammy boost early, but hit #1 in May due to massive airplay and performing steadily for a long time. I'm not gonna rule it out just yet, especially since it looks like this might be one of those 220-250m AI smashes in the works.

I'd agree if streaming weren't such a large part of the charts and if "God's Plan" weren't so huge on that metric. "Finesse" certainly needs "GP" to free fall a bit on streaming.

Feb 1, 2018 18:49:59 GMT -5 @mello said:

Just for fun...  Imagine if they aired a live In Living Color reunion special in the coming weeks/month, with Bruno and Cardi performing this as one of the live musical guests.  

That could be a path to #1.  Haha.  I kid, but kind of a great idea if I do say so myself.

That is a good idea, but I don't know how much of a boost it would get if the Grammys couldn't give it much of one despite 20 million viewers. Maybe if he had a viral moment off it.

agreed. Unless Drake puts out a video then Bruno and cardi can continue increasing airplay till it's a peak, discount it and add it on streaming playlist and they could easily promote it on a night time show

Pull a Havana at the right time in a couple of weeks.

[jenglisbe]

Feb 4, 2018 10:21:46 GMT -5 slw84 said:

Feb 1, 2018 21:59:18 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

I'd agree if streaming weren't such a large part of the charts and if "God's Plan" weren't so huge on that metric. "Finesse" certainly needs "GP" to free fall a bit on streaming.

That is a good idea, but I don't know how much of a boost it would get if the Grammys couldn't give it much of one despite 20 million viewers. Maybe if he had a viral moment off it.

agreed. Unless Drake puts out a video then Bruno and cardi can continue increasing airplay till it's a peak, discount it and add it on streaming playlist and they could easily promote it on a night time show

Pull a Havana at the right time in a couple of weeks.

"Havana" had the benefit of the album release promotion (so, multiple performances, ads, etc).

[Soulsista]

Billboard Top 10 from 55, 50, 45, and 40 years ago:

February 9, 1963

01 02 Hey Paula - Paul & Paula (1st of 3 weeks at #1)
02 01 Walk Right In - The Rooftop Singers
03 03 The Night Has A Thousand Eyes - Bobby Vee
04 05 Loop De Loop - Johnny Thunder
05 07 Up On The Roof - The Drifters
06 15 Walk Like a Man - The Four Seasons
07 12 Ruby Baby - Dion
08 11 You've Really Got a Hold On Me - The Miracles
09 19 Rhythm Of The Rain - The Cascades
10 04 Go Away Little Girl - Steve Lawrence


February 10, 1968

01 07 Love Is Blue - Paul Mauriat & His Orchestra (1st of 5 weeks at #1)
02 01 Green Tambourine - The Lemon Pipers
03 04 Spooky - The Classics IV
04 02 Judy In Disguise (With Glasses) - John Fred & His Playboy Band
05 03 Chain Of Fools - Aretha Franklin
06 10 I Wish It Would Rain - The Temptations
07 09 Goin' Out Of My Head / Can't Take My Eyes Off Of You - The Lettermen
08 08 Nobody But Me - The Human Beinz
09 06 Woman, Woman - The Union Gap feat. Gary Puckett
10 05 Bend Me, Shape Me - The American Breed


February 10, 1973

01 01 Crocodile Rock - Elton John (2nd of 3 weeks at #1)
02 02 You're So Vain - Carly Simon
03 04 Why Can't We Live Together - Timmy Thomas
04 06 Oh Babe, What Would You Say - Hurricane Smith
05 03 Superstition - Stevie Wonder
06 09 Do It Again - Steely Dan
07 08 The World Is a Ghetto - War
08 07 Trouble Man - Marvin Gaye
09 12 Don't Expect Me To Be Your Friend - Lobo
10 13 Could It Be I'm Falling In Love - The Spinners

15 34 Killing Me Softly With His Song - Roberta Flack


February 11, 1978

01 01 Stayin' Alive - The Bee Gees (2nd of 4 weeks at #1)
02 02 Short People - Randy Newman
03 05 (Love Is) Thicker Than Water - Andy Gibb
04 04 We Are The Champions / We Will Rock You - Queen
05 06 Just The Way You Are - Billy Joel
06 08 Sometimes When We Touch - Dan Hill
07 03 Baby Come Back - Player
08 10 Emotion - Samantha Sang
09 11 Dance, Dance, Dance (Yowsah, Yowsah, Yowsah) - Chic
10 07 How Deep Is Your Love - The Bee Gees