Billboard Hot 100: 5/12/18

[hot100predictions]

I feel like Drake will be real smart with his release of Scorpion, likely not releasing the album (with likely 20+ songs) all at once like J. Cole did, as well as Post did with the exception to Rockstar and Psycho. As I feel like Drake will likely release another song on May 18, (the weekend of BBMAs), and maybe another June 1 or 8. Of course he will probably have the song the summer or songs of summer as JB did last year with Despacito, Friends, I'm the One and 2U. Drake should have no problem FOR SURE then on Spotify, with one or two additional releases before the actual album release on June 22.

[Deleted]

Friends and 2U were not big hits.

[lazer]

May 3, 2018 13:14:43 GMT -5 hot100predictions said:

I feel like Drake will be real smart with his release of Scorpion, likely not releasing the album (with likely 20+ songs) all at once like J. Cole did, as well as Post did with the exception to Rockstar and Psycho. As I feel like Drake will likely release another song on May 18, (the weekend of BBMAs), and maybe another June 1 or 8. Of course he will probably have the song the summer or songs of summer as JB did last year with Despacito, Friends, I'm the One and 2U. Drake should have no problem FOR SURE then on Spotify, with one or two additional releases before the actual album release on June 22.

I hope it's not 20+ songs

[House Lannister]

Maybe 3-4 songs from Rae Sremmurd will chart, and maybe just as many will bubble under.

Their mistake was trying to do this in between Kanye, Drake, J. Cole, and Post Malone.

No way they'll get all 27 songs on the chart. I'll eat my fedora if that happens.

[annoymous1]

27 songs on one album???? Oh Boy this Rae Srummurd( i think that's how you spell it ) album will be bad there is no way they can stay on topic for 27 songs .

[hot100predictions]

May 3, 2018 13:38:39 GMT -5 annoymous1 said:

27 songs on one album???? Oh Boy this Rae Srummurd( i think that's how you spell it ) album will be bad there is no way they can stay on topic for 27 songs .

Plus no one likes them and there is no hype, Black Beatles was only a hit because of the Mannequin Challenge.

[Mayman]

The Rae Sremmurd album is a triple album. Part 1 is the songs that Swae Lee and Slim Jxmmi worked on together. Part 2 is Swae Lee's debut solo album. Part 3 is Slim Jxmmi's debut solo album.

[Mayman]

May 3, 2018 13:56:44 GMT -5 hot100predictions said:

May 3, 2018 13:38:39 GMT -5 annoymous1 said:

27 songs on one album???? Oh Boy this Rae Srummurd( i think that's how you spell it ) album will be bad there is no way they can stay on topic for 27 songs .

Plus no one likes them and there is no hype, Black Beatles was only a hit because of the Mannequin Challenge.

This is not true. They've been pretty popular since 2014 when they had hit after hit. Some of their recent output for this upcoming album is actually pretty great and some of their best material yet.

I think instead of saying "no one likes them" you should say "I'm not a fan of them" because your opinion does not speak for everyone else.

[Gary]

Ed Sheeran's 'Perfect' & DJ Khaled's 'I'm the One' Reach 1 Billion Views on YouTube

News

By Shanté Honeycutt | May 03, 2018 3:40 PM EDT


Hitmakers Ed Sheeran and DJ Khaled have both made it to No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart in the past year. Sheeran came out on top with his single "Perfect" back in December, whereas Khaled’s star-studded "I’m the One" reigned supreme last May. Now, the artists’ respective hits have achieved yet another milestone: They've each racked up 1 billion views for their videos on YouTube.

"Perfect" is the third video of Sheeran’s to accrue 1 billion views on the streaming platform. The creative visuals for "Thinking Out Loud" and "Shape of You" -- another No. 1 hit on the Hot 100 chart for Sheeran -- previously reached the landmark.

Khaled’s "I’m the One," which features the all-star lineup of Justin Bieber, Quavo, Chance the Rapper and Lil Wayne stunting at a beachfront mansion, is his first video to reach the billion mark.

[jenglisbe]

May 2, 2018 19:04:46 GMT -5 aussie1 said:

Radio is dropping Finesse so quickly which is odd to me seeing as how huge Cardi is right now and how it is the last single off 24K magic. Oh well the song aged like milk to me anyways.

Cardi B isn't huge at Top 40 radio. What formats has she done really well in?

[Dylan :)]

May 3, 2018 14:23:03 GMT -5 Mayman said:

May 3, 2018 13:56:44 GMT -5 hot100predictions said:

Plus no one likes them and there is no hype, Black Beatles was only a hit because of the Mannequin Challenge.

This is not true. They've been pretty popular since 2014 when they had hit after hit. Some of their recent output for this upcoming album is actually pretty great and some of their best material yet.

I think instead of saying "no one likes them" you should say "I'm not a fan of them" because your opinion does not speak for everyone else.

Assuming we stick to their solo singles/singles where they are lead@

No Flex Zone: #36 Hot 100, #9 Rap Airplay, #35 Rhythmic
No Type: #16 Hot 100, #3 Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs, #2 Hot Rap Songs, #22 Rhythmic
Throw Sum Mo: #30 Hot 100, #1 R&B/Hip-Hop Airplay, #7 Rhythmic
This Could Be Us: #49 Hot 100, #15 Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs, #34 Rhythmic
Come Get Her: #56 Hot 100, #19 Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs
By Chance: #8 Bubbling Under, #39 Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs
Look Alive: #72 Hot 100, #26 Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs
Black Beatles: #1 Hot 100, #1 Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs, #1 Mainstream Top 40, #1 Rhythmic
Swang: #26 Hot 100, #13 Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs

Hit after hit?   Looking at that I would say one hit (Black Beatles, which can thank the mannequin challenge) and a moderately well performing single (No Type). However, I do agree with the second part of your post, though

[Mayman]

May 3, 2018 15:40:53 GMT -5 Dylan :) said:

May 3, 2018 14:23:03 GMT -5 Mayman said:

This is not true. They've been pretty popular since 2014 when they had hit after hit. Some of their recent output for this upcoming album is actually pretty great and some of their best material yet.

I think instead of saying "no one likes them" you should say "I'm not a fan of them" because your opinion does not speak for everyone else.

Assuming we stick to their solo singles/singles where they are lead@

No Flex Zone: #36 Hot 100, #9 Rap Airplay, #35 Rhythmic
No Type: #16 Hot 100, #3 Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs, #2 Hot Rap Songs, #22 Rhythmic
Throw Sum Mo: #30 Hot 100, #1 R&B/Hip-Hop Airplay, #7 Rhythmic
This Could Be Us: #49 Hot 100, #15 Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs, #34 Rhythmic
Come Get Her: #56 Hot 100, #19 Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs
By Chance: #8 Bubbling Under, #39 Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs
Look Alive: #72 Hot 100, #26 Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs
Black Beatles: #1 Hot 100, #1 Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs, #1 Mainstream Top 40, #1 Rhythmic
Swang: #26 Hot 100, #13 Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs

Hit after hit?   Looking at that I would say one hit (Black Beatles, which can thank the mannequin challenge) and a moderately well performing single (No Type). However, I do agree with the second part of your post, though

I worded that post wrong sorry. I meant in 2014-early 2015 they had hit after hit. I know they weren't high peaking hits, but they did well on streaming and somewhat well on radio.

[annoymous1]

May 3, 2018 14:18:42 GMT -5 Mayman said:

The Rae Sremmurd album is a triple album. Part 1 is the songs that Swae Lee and Slim Jxmmi worked on together. Part 2 is Swae Lee's debut solo album. Part 3 is Slim Jxmmi's debut solo album.

oh ok I thought it was gonna be all Rae Sremmurd for 27 songs .

[Sherane Lamar]

May 3, 2018 12:23:24 GMT -5 Au$tin said:

27 songs? Wow. Billboard, please step up and fix what you've done, this is just getting ridiculous. No one wants an album of 27 songs. They can't all possibly sound different enough for them not to just blend together at that point.

I don't think Rae will be that much of a threat, though. Probably decent first day numbers, but it's not even going to be close to Cardi, Migos, XXX, J. Cole, and Post.

1. It's not Billboard's fault that artists are trying to put out longer albums. Artists get paid per stream, so they'd do it regardless. Putting out a 27 song album could actually hurt them on the Hot 100. For the Hot 100, you have to hit that magic number where none of your songs will be left off the chart. That would maximize the amount of Hot 100 points you get because it means your fans won't waste their time listening to non-charting songs, and will hopefully go back to listening to your more popular songs again. 

2. It's not actually one album. It's three albums. One from Rae Sremmurd. And an album for each of the members as a solo act. It's actually really confusing, to be honest. 

3. You are right. Rae Sremmurd has never been able to do anything close to an album takeover before. I don't think they've ever debuted more than one song in the same week. 

kanfad

[Sherane Lamar]

May 3, 2018 13:56:44 GMT -5 hot100predictions said:

May 3, 2018 13:38:39 GMT -5 annoymous1 said:

27 songs on one album???? Oh Boy this Rae Srummurd( i think that's how you spell it ) album will be bad there is no way they can stay on topic for 27 songs .

Plus no one likes them and there is no hype, Black Beatles was only a hit because of the Mannequin Challenge.

Rae Sremmurd is actually very respected in the Hip-Hop community. 

Personally, I'd put Sremmlife alongside Culture as the best trap album of the decade.

[renfield75]

Rae Sremmurd might have jumped just a little too quickly to their version of "Speakerboxxx/The Love Below". Probably needed one more big group album before doing the dual solo album thing.

[fhas]

440,772,661 on-demand streams for Post Malone, according to HDD's Streaming Songs Chart. 51-53% Spotify / 47-49% Others.

hitsdailydouble.com/streaming_songs

[𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿]

May 3, 2018 18:29:32 GMT -5 fernando4 said:

Will "Done For Me" debut this week? 

As much I love to see "Done For Me" debut, I think it will not debut next week due to Post Malone. Maybe by the 05-19 chart week or 05-26 chart week (where Voicenotes impacts I guess)

[kanfad]

So it looks like the diff in streams between NFW and Psycho might be enough to keep Drake at no 1

[hot100predictions]

New Travis Scott song out tonight called "Watch", it features Kanye West & Lil Uzi Vert. Does it have potential chat?

[ddlz]

May 3, 2018 19:07:03 GMT -5 kanfad said:

So it looks like the diff in streams between NFW and Psycho might be enough to keep Drake at no 1

Yep, he's staying at #1.

[fhas]

May 3, 2018 19:07:03 GMT -5 kanfad said:

So it looks like the diff in streams between NFW and Psycho might be enough to keep Drake at no 1

Psycho's non-Spotify streams (~6.5M) doesn't make sense, tho. I mean, it was getting 8.6M non-Spotify on-demand streams before the album was released, it's like it didn't receive any boost from the album or they are not counting all of its four versions in the top 200 of Apple Music.

And... they often have trouble counting multiple versions (Perfect is the best example).

[Sherane Lamar]

May 3, 2018 19:11:06 GMT -5 hot100predictions said:

New Travis Scott song out tonight called "Watch", it features Kanye West & Lil Uzi Vert. Does it have potential chat?

With those three names, I would be surprised if it doesn't chart. 

Obviously, Kanye is very talked about right now. 

But Uzi has also been on the shelf for quite a while now. Interest in him has likely been building up. 

[Keelzit]

May 3, 2018 13:14:43 GMT -5 hot100predictions said:

I feel like Drake will be real smart with his release of Scorpion, likely not releasing the album (with likely 20+ songs) all at once like J. Cole did, as well as Post did with the exception to Rockstar and Psycho.

Hasn't Drake's rollout been the same as Post's so far? They both put out 2 huge singles before the album that included them dropped. I have a feeling he'll go for a 10-track album so as he can claim the record of having an entire album in the top 10 as in literally the entire album, not only 10 songs from a 20+ one since the top 10 only has.. like.. 10 songs on it.

[85la]

The thing is, with streaming still increasing exponentially and album and track sales vanishing into nothingness, it's only inevitable that album units will almost entirely consist of streaming one day, regardless of genre, so this means that EVERY SINGLE WEEK, UNLESS THE RULES ARE CHANGED, the Hot 100 will be completely populated by album tracks from the highest ranking albums on the Billboard 200. People are seriously ok with this? It would be like in the 90s when multiple albums could sell 100k+ copies per week, and if Billboard were to count each of the tracks on those albums towards the Hot 100, the chart would just consist of songs from the Billboard 200 Albums every week (which is probably why they didn't do this of course, and also why they will most probably make some kind of change if current trends continue).

Of course, Billboard might change the way they calculate album units, and the concept of the album and how artists release music itself might change (it already has), which could completely change the nature of this discussion and the Billboard 200 and Hot 100 charts might not even exist anymore as they do in their current, discreet forms.

[jenglisbe]

May 3, 2018 21:09:44 GMT -5 85la said:

The thing is, with streaming still increasing exponentially and album and track sales vanishing into nothingness, it's only inevitable that album units will almost entirely consist of streaming one day, regardless of genre, so this means that EVERY SINGLE WEEK, UNLESS THE RULES ARE CHANGED, the Hot 100 will be completely populated by album tracks from the highest ranking albums on the Billboard 200. People are seriously ok with this? It would be like in the 90s when multiple albums could sell 100k+ copies per week, and if Billboard were to count each of the tracks on those albums towards the Hot 100, the chart would just consist of songs from the Billboard 200 Albums every week (which is probably why they didn't do this of course, and also why they will most probably make some kind of change if current trends continue).

I think they didn't do it then because:
1. What was a "single" was very clear whereas now it's harder to tell.
2. People directly purchased a full album, and again it was clear it was that versus buying a single.
3. Record labels weren't interested in how the singles they were doing were performing. The Hot 100 is a tool for the business above all else.

[Sherane Lamar]

May 3, 2018 21:09:44 GMT -5 85la said:

The thing is, with streaming still increasing exponentially and album and track sales vanishing into nothingness, it's only inevitable that album units will almost entirely consist of streaming one day, regardless of genre, so this means that EVERY SINGLE WEEK, UNLESS THE RULES ARE CHANGED, the Hot 100 will be completely populated by album tracks from the highest ranking albums on the Billboard 200. People are seriously ok with this? It would be like in the 90s when multiple albums could sell 100k+ copies per week, and if Billboard were to count each of the tracks on those albums towards the Hot 100, the chart would just consist of songs from the Billboard 200 Albums every week (which is probably why they didn't do this of course, and also why they will most probably make some kind of change if current trends continue).

Of course, Billboard might change the way they calculate album units, and the concept of the album and how artists release music itself might change (it already has), which could completely change the nature of this discussion and the Billboard 200 and Hot 100 charts might not even exist anymore as they do in their current, discreet forms.

If that's reflective of how music is consumed and how our popular culture functions, then yes, I'd be happy with that. 

But for a number of reasons, I don't think it'll be nearly as extreme as what you're hinting at. 

Album sales hit their highest after the physical single was phased out because CDs were literally the only possible way to listen to new music on demand. 

Also, Billboard has always treated sales as artificially frontloaded. Where 100% of a fan's interest was counted towards the first week it was released. 

With streaming, it is still front loaded, but it is more natural in how the interest is spaced between the first and second week. 

[Choco]

I use the charts mainly as a way to find new music and the CHR and Hot AC airplay charts (and the UK charts, even with the dumb new rules) still reflect what I usually like, so I'll be fine, but the Hot 100 is turning into "who released a big album this week?" which is something I can just get from the BB200... it's been a bore to watch, accurate or not.

[jenglisbe]

May 3, 2018 21:29:53 GMT -5 Sherane Lamar said:

Also, Billboard has always treated sales as artificially frontloaded. Where 100% of a fan's interest was counted towards the first week it was released. 

What was the alternative?

[rfucom]

Sad if post's psycho don't hot no.1