Hot 100 - Streaming Era #1s ranked by points

[fhas]

I just calculated the estimated real points for all the #1s of the "Streaming Era" (since Billboard added YouTube to its charts on March 2, 2013).

Formulas (thanks to Ride$ and Daniel Collins):
March 2, 2013 - November 30, 2013: sales/12 + airplay/9,000 + streams/490 ---> 0.9765 multiplier
December 7, 2013 - November 29, 2014: sales/12 + airplay/9,000 + streams/600 ---> 1.0662 multiplier
December 6, 2014 - February 6, 2016: sales/11 + airplay/9,000 + streams/850 ---> 0.9841 multiplier
February 13, 2016 - February 4, 2017: sales/9 + airplay/9,000 + streams/1,200 ---> 1.1466 multiplier
February 11, 2017 - July 7, 2018: sales/7,2 + airplay/8,400 + streams/1,625 ---> 1.0000 multiplier

I didn't try to separate on-demand/YouTube streams and programmed streams because it's impossible to do this for 2013-2016.

Multipliers:

I tried to balance the points because some formulas had lower points (2016 formula) due to Billboard's formula decreasing streams harder than increasing sales and vice-versa (2015 formula).

The multiplier for each year is equal to the formula's median #1 compared to 2017/2018's median #1.
Example: 2017/2018 median #1 is 56,199 points - 2013 median #1 is 57,552 ---> 56,199/57,552 = 0.9765 multiplier for 2013.
What is a median number? en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Median

[owenlovesmusic]

Did not realize Harlem Shake was that big. Woah.

[Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ]

Nice For What very lucky to have 7 weeks at #1

[fhas]

Jun 24, 2018 20:32:37 GMT -5 owenlovesmusic said:

Did not realize Harlem Shake was that big. Woah.

Harlem Shake had God's Plan-level streaming numbers... in 2013!

1st week: 103M
2nd week: 98M
3rd week: 54M
4th week: 48M
5th week: 28M

[fhas]

Strongest 1st week at #1: Harlem Shake
Strongest 2nd week at #1: Harlem Shake
Strongest 3rd week at #1: Harlem Shake
Strongest 4th week at #1: Harlem Shake
Strongest 5th week at #1: God's Plan
Strongest 6th week at #1: Despacito
Strongest 7th week at #1: Despacito
Strongest 8th week at #1: Despacito
Strongest 9th week at #1: Despacito
Strongest 10th week at #1: Despacito
Strongest 11th week at #1: Despacito
Strongest 12th week at #1: Despacito
Strongest 13th week at #1: Despacito
Strongest 14th week at #1: Despacito

Despacito wasn't one of the highest peaking #1s but the way it held with a huge amount of points is unmatched this decade. Amazing run at #1 (it fell pretty hard after leaving the top, tho).

[imbondz]

Harlem Shake deserves an asterisk. It was literally 100 million streams of 30 seconds or less of it. Such a stupid rule. If you only stream 30 seconds of a song it shouldn’t count as a full stream.

[velaxti]

Jun 24, 2018 21:33:59 GMT -5 imbondz said:

Harlem Shake deserves an asterisk. It was literally 100 million streams of 30 seconds or less of it. Such a stupid rule. If you only stream 30 seconds of a song it shouldn’t count as a full stream.

Maybe 95 million streams. I think some people did legitimately listen to the song in full (I know I did). That's just being pedantic though.

I think its chart success was over-represented though. I could understand it being #1 in the first couple of weeks because it really was a huge thing, but the trend died down so quickly, and I was perplexed at the time when it was apparently getting half the streams in its 4th week that it was getting in the 1st week even though in the first week everybody was talking about it and in the 4th week I heard practically nothing about it. Maybe dividing the streams by 3 would be more accurate, but that raises a whole load of other questions, and probably makes gathering the data more difficult as well (auto-detecting songs and counting views each week by country is one thing, but calculating the length of the video, or the length that the audio is used in the video is another thing. The technology is probably there (maybe even in 2013), but I imagine there would be complications).

I'm not sure if anybody remembers, but it was obvious Billboard weren't planning to add Youtube so early. They obviously had plans for adding Youtube because they suspiciously created a new "Streaming Songs" chart, which was almost identical to the On-Demand chart at the time (obviously they had something more planned for it, and now we know that it was Youtube), and I know I can't prove this, but I'm pretty sure they were planning on adding Youtube in perhaps April or May, and were just doing the test charts at the time (which they did before adding On-Demand Streaming in 2012 as well), but when Harlem Shake happened they rushed released the addition of Youtube, I think they didn't want another Gangnam Style situation where it missed #1 when it was undoubtedly the biggest song at the time. Had it been a "normal" week I think we would have had to wait a few more weeks/months before we got Youtube added.

My theory is basically that they knew they had to change their formula because Gangnam Style should have obviously been at #1 for at least part of One More Night's run. So they spent a while working on including Youtube. They were running test charts, launched the Streaming Songs chart in preparation, ready to add Youtube in April or May or whenever they were confident, and then another viral hit blew up and they probably figured their test charts seem to be working anyway so they may as well just add Youtube to the real Hot 100 right away to capture Harlem Shake so that they don't get another round of backlash like with Gangnam Style getting blocked by One More Night a few months before. I remember even Adam from Maroon 5 seemed a bit upset that he was blocking Gangnam Style lol.

And thanks fhas, this information is amazing!

[Deleted]

Harlem Shake was so tragic.

Very interesting list!

[Deleted]

Jun 24, 2018 21:33:59 GMT -5 imbondz said:

Harlem Shake deserves an asterisk. It was literally 100 million streams of 30 seconds or less of it. Such a stupid rule. If you only stream 30 seconds of a song it shouldn’t count as a full stream.

It still was by far the biggest song in America at that time

[imbondz]

Jun 25, 2018 5:02:44 GMT -5 @drakeisskinny said:

Jun 24, 2018 21:33:59 GMT -5 imbondz said:

Harlem Shake deserves an asterisk. It was literally 100 million streams of 30 seconds or less of it. Such a stupid rule. If you only stream 30 seconds of a song it shouldn’t count as a full stream.

It still was by far the biggest song in America at that time

30 seconds of it was

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

^Most of it was memes, though.

[Mayman]

Thanks for posting this.

[fhas]

The 100k Club (weeks at #1 with 100k+ points)
Harlem Shake 4x
Hello 3x
Wrecking Ball 1x
Look What You Made Me Do 1x

The 90k Club
Harlem Shake 4x
Hello 3x
Wrecking Ball 1x
Look What You Made Me Do 1x

The 80k Club
Harlem Shake 4x
Hello 4x
Wrecking Ball 1x
Look What You Made Me Do 1x
Shake It Off 1x
God's Plan 1x

The 70k Club
Despacito 7x
Hello 6x
Closer 5x
Harlem Shake 4x
Shake It Off 3x
God's Plan 3x
Black Beatles 2x
Work 2x
Blank Space 2x
Wrecking Ball 1x
Look What You Made Me Do 1x
Happy 1x
UpTown Funk! 1x
Can't Stop The Feeling 1x
Blurred Lines 1x
See You Again 1x
Shape Of You 1x

The 60k Club
Despacito 11x
God's Plan 9x
Happy 9x
Closer 9x
Hello 8x
Blurred Lines 8x
UpTown Funk! 7x
Shape Of You 7x
See You Again 6x
Harlem Shake 5x
All About That Bass 5x
Black Beatles 4x
Work 4x
Shake It Off 3x
One Dance 3x
Fancy 3x
Look What You Made Me Do 2x
Blank Space 2x
Perfect 2x
Wrecking Ball 1x
Can't Stop The Feeling 1x
Roar 1x
The Monster 1x
Bad Blood 1x
What Do You Mean? 1x
I'm The One 1x
Dark Horse 1x

[Drake]

Update for In My Feelings!

Interesting fact: SAD! is the only #1 in streaming era history never to reach 40k points

[fhas]

Aug 22, 2018 18:43:31 GMT -5 Drake said:

Update for In My Feelings!

Interesting fact: SAD! is the only #1 in streaming era history never to reach 40k points

I will update next month probably. I need to compare the new formula with the old one to know how if its points are lower/higher and In My Feelings is so huge that it's not easy to compare.

SAD: that's interesting, but YouTube not counting its streams when the official video was released probably is the reason why it never reached 40k.

[YourFaveIsAFlop]

Jun 25, 2018 5:02:44 GMT -5 @drakeisskinny said:

Jun 24, 2018 21:33:59 GMT -5 imbondz said:

Harlem Shake deserves an asterisk. It was literally 100 million streams of 30 seconds or less of it. Such a stupid rule. If you only stream 30 seconds of a song it shouldn’t count as a full stream.

It still was by far the biggest song in America at that time

Ask someone on the street to name the song. 

[Drake]

Aug 23, 2018 11:00:41 GMT -5 YourFaveIsAFlop said:

Jun 25, 2018 5:02:44 GMT -5 @drakeisskinny said:

It still was by far the biggest song in America at that time

Ask someone on the street to name the song. 

Dude, everyone I know remembers Harlem shake

[brady47]

Damn had no idea "Psycho" was one of the weakest streaming #1s

It's lucky to get that week at #1

[fhas]

Aug 23, 2018 16:17:18 GMT -5 brady47 said:

Damn had no idea "Psycho" was one of the weakest streaming #1s

It's lucky to get that week at #1

The funny thing is: if Psycho peaked at #2 it would have been the highest peaking #2 (in points) of the past 2.5 years because it was blocked by God's Plan while having 48.9k points.

[Drake]

Aug 23, 2018 16:31:57 GMT -5 fhas said:

Aug 23, 2018 16:17:18 GMT -5 brady47 said:

Damn had no idea "Psycho" was one of the weakest streaming #1s

It's lucky to get that week at #1

The funny thing is: if Psycho peaked at #2 it would have been the highest peaking #2 (in points) of the past 2.5 years because it was blocked by God's Plan while having 48.9k points.

What are the highest weeks at #2? Thrift shop’s? Maybe uptown funk 60k? Thinking out loud?

[fhas]

Aug 23, 2018 16:44:08 GMT -5 Drake said:

Aug 23, 2018 16:31:57 GMT -5 fhas said:

The funny thing is: if Psycho peaked at #2 it would have been the highest peaking #2 (in points) of the past 2.5 years because it was blocked by God's Plan while having 48.9k points.

What are the highest weeks at #2? Thrift shop’s? Maybe uptown funk 60k? Thinking out loud?

I know that Anaconda had ~70k points at #2, but I'm not sure if it's the biggest #2.

[korbel16]

Aug 23, 2018 16:46:59 GMT -5 fhas said:

Aug 23, 2018 16:44:08 GMT -5 Drake said:

What are the highest weeks at #2? Thrift shop’s? Maybe uptown funk 60k? Thinking out loud?

I know that Anaconda had ~70k points at #2, but I'm not sure if it's the biggest #2.

poor Nicki lmaooo

[jayhawk1117]

Aug 23, 2018 17:08:44 GMT -5 korbel16 said:

Aug 23, 2018 16:46:59 GMT -5 fhas said:

I know that Anaconda had ~70k points at #2, but I'm not sure if it's the biggest #2.

poor Nicki lmaooo

nobody can compete with week 1 Taylor, its a known fact at this point

[Drake]

Aug 23, 2018 19:27:45 GMT -5 jayhawk1117 said:

Aug 23, 2018 17:08:44 GMT -5 korbel16 said:

poor Nicki lmaooo

nobody can compete with week 1 Taylor, its a known fact at this point

3 songs can beat her at her biggest, according to this post :)

[jayhawk1117]

Aug 23, 2018 19:45:01 GMT -5 Drake said:

Aug 23, 2018 19:27:45 GMT -5 jayhawk1117 said:

nobody can compete with week 1 Taylor, its a known fact at this point

3 songs can beat her at her biggest, according to this post :)

that's Fair lol. I mean one is Adele and the other two were memed/viral videos

[GP]

well Adele damn

[thabb]

wondering where I Like It's, SAD!'s, IMF's weeks would be on this list

[fhas]

Sept 19, 2018 5:37:37 GMT -5 thabb said:

wondering where I Like It's, SAD!'s, IMF's weeks would be on this list

SAD! and I Like It were very weak, maybe bottom 10 for both. In My Feelings will be all over the ranking, because it's the first song of the streaming era with at least a week at #1 in the 80k, 70k, 60k, 50k, 40k and 30k range of points (maybe even 90k).

[thabb]

Sept 21, 2018 8:06:01 GMT -5 fhas said:

Sept 19, 2018 5:37:37 GMT -5 thabb said:

wondering where I Like It's, SAD!'s, IMF's weeks would be on this list

SAD! and I Like It were very weak, maybe bottom 10 for both. In My Feelings will be all over the ranking, because it's the first song of the streaming era with at least a week at #1 in the 80k, 70k, 60k, 50k, 40k and 30k range of points (maybe even 90k).

thx for letting me know

[Deleted]

Any chance on an update for OTR?