Billboard Hot 100 Predictions: 11/17/18

[fhas]

1.	thank u, next	46,800	(NEW)
2.	SICKO MODE	28,600	(=)
3.	Happier	28,400	(=)
4.	Girls Like You	28,300	(-3)
5.	Lucid Dreams	26,800	(-1)
6.	Without Me	23,800	(+3)
7.	ZEZE	23,500	(-1)
8.	Better Now	23,500	(-3)
9.	Drip Too Hard	22,600	(-1)
10.	Youngblood	22,500	(-3)

Others (Not necessarily 11-16):
Mo Bamba 22,200
High Hopes 21,800
Love Lies 18,200
Taki Taki 17,900
Natural 17,700
Trip 17,300

[korbel16]

Nov 6, 2018 20:04:12 GMT -5 fhas said:

Way-Too-Early Predictions

1.	SICKO MODE	28,800	(+1)
2.	Happier	28,800	(+1)
3.	Girls Like You	28,500	(-2)
4.	Lucid Dreams	27,300	(=)
5.	Better Now	23,800	(=)
6.	Without Me	23,700	(+3)
7.	ZEZE	23,500	(-1)
8.	Mo Bamba	22,800	(+2)
9.	Youngblood	22,700	(-2)
10.	High Hopes	22,400	(+1)

Others (Not necessarily 11-15):
Drip Too Hard 21,900
Natural 18,100
Taki Taki 18,000
Love Lies 17,900
Shallow 16,900
Trip 16,700

I don't have enough data to predict Thank U Next accurately. Maybe tomorrow. Top 10 is a lock (obviously).

how much sales and streams does she typically need for a number 1 debut

[fhas]

Nov 6, 2018 20:11:46 GMT -5 korbel16 said:

Nov 6, 2018 20:04:12 GMT -5 fhas said:

Way-Too-Early Predictions

1.	SICKO MODE	28,800	(+1)

how much sales and streams does she typically need for a number 1 debut

60k downloads + 30M paid streams OR 45M free streams = 30,000 points

[hot100predictions]

Nov 6, 2018 20:18:30 GMT -5 fhas said:

Nov 6, 2018 20:11:46 GMT -5 korbel16 said:

how much sales and streams does she typically need for a number 1 debut

60k downloads + 30M paid streams OR 45M free streams = 30,000 points

that should be easy, done by tomorrow

[monkeydluffy]

1. Thank u, next
2. Sicko Mode
3. Happier
4. Girls Like You
5. Lucid Dreams
6. Better Now
7. Zeze
8. Without Me
9. Mo Bamba
10. High Hopes

[marc980]

1. thank u, next
2. Happier
3. SICKO MODE
4. Girls Like You
5. Lucid Dreams
6. Better Now
7. ZEZE
8. Without Me
9. Youngblood
10. High Hopes

[ahmiizafii]

1.Thank u,next
2.Sicko mode
3.Happier
4.Girls like You
5.Lucid Dreams
6.Without me
7.Zeze
8.Better Now
9.High Hopes
10.Youngblood

[Deleted]

Nov 6, 2018 20:04:12 GMT -5 fhas said:

Way-Too-Early Predictions

1.	SICKO MODE	28,800	(+1)
2.	Happier	28,800	(+1)
3.	Girls Like You	28,500	(-2)
4.	Lucid Dreams	27,300	(=)
5.	Better Now	23,800	(=)
6.	Without Me	23,700	(+3)
7.	ZEZE	23,500	(-1)
8.	Mo Bamba	22,800	(+2)
9.	Youngblood	22,700	(-2)
10.	High Hopes	22,400	(+1)

Others (Not necessarily 11-15):
Drip Too Hard 21,900
Natural 18,100
Taki Taki 18,000
Love Lies 17,900
Shallow 16,900
Trip 16,700

I don't have enough data to predict Thank U Next accurately. Maybe tomorrow. Top 10 is a lock (obviously).

Ugh so if Ariana didn't do the surprise release then sicko mode would of finally hit number one 

[velaxti]

Nov 7, 2018 2:44:25 GMT -5 @drakeisskinny said:

Nov 6, 2018 20:04:12 GMT -5 fhas said:

Way-Too-Early Predictions

1.	SICKO MODE	28,800	(+1)
2.	Happier	28,800	(+1)
3.	Girls Like You	28,500	(-2)
4.	Lucid Dreams	27,300	(=)
5.	Better Now	23,800	(=)
6.	Without Me	23,700	(+3)
7.	ZEZE	23,500	(-1)
8.	Mo Bamba	22,800	(+2)
9.	Youngblood	22,700	(-2)
10.	High Hopes	22,400	(+1)

Others (Not necessarily 11-15):
Drip Too Hard 21,900
Natural 18,100
Taki Taki 18,000
Love Lies 17,900
Shallow 16,900
Trip 16,700

I don't have enough data to predict Thank U Next accurately. Maybe tomorrow. Top 10 is a lock (obviously).

Ugh so if Ariana didn't do the surprise release then sicko mode would of finally hit number one 

Not necessarily. In the predictions it has the same points as Happier and only a tiny bit higher than Girls Like You. Even Lucid Dreams is so close that a use on TV somewhere, a viral video, a remix, some kind of controversy, etc. could be enough to put it at #1.

[gabe]

1. thank u, next
2. Happier
3. Sicko Mode
4. Girls Like You
5. Lucid Dreams
6. Without You
7. Better Now
8. Zeze
9. Mo Bamba
10. High Hopes

[jtd Thee Stallion]

1. thank u, next
2. SICKO MODE
3. Happier
4. Girls Like You
5. Lucid Dreams
6. Without Me
7. Better Now
8. ZEZE
9. Mo Bamba
10. High Hopes

[wavey.]

[kanfad]

1. Thank you next
2. Sicko mode
3. Happier
4. Gly
5. LD
6. Without me
7. Better now
8. Zeze
9. Mo Bamba
10.High hopes

[TakeMe]

And to think if Thank U was written and released during Drakes reign earlier this year, the song would be just another top ten debut.

[atg]

Nov 7, 2018 15:58:19 GMT -5 TakeMe said:

And to think if Thank U was written and released during Drakes reign earlier this year, the song would be just another top ten debut.

Probably a #2 or #3 debut. Even now the drake reign isn’t completely over since sicko mode is still a great competitor for #1

[renaboss]

1. thank u, next
2. Sicko Mode
3. Girls Like You
4. Happier
5. Lucid Dreams
6. Better Now
7. Without Me
8. ZEZE
9. Youngblood
10. High Hopes

[kindofbiased]

1. Thank U, Next (NEW) (finally oh my god)
2. Sicko Mode (=)
3. Happier (=)
4. Girls Like You (-3)
5. Lucid Dreams (-1)
6. Without Me (+3)
7. Better Now (-2)
8. Mo Bamba (+2)
9. ZEZE (-3)
10. High Hopes (+1)

[Deleted]

1. thank u, next
2. happier
3. gly
4. sicko mode
5. lucid dreams
6. better now
7. zeze
8. without me
9. youngblood
10. mo bamba

[livelightning]

1. Thank u, next
2. Girls Like You
3. Happier
4. SICKO MODE
5. Lucid Dreams
6. Better Now
7. Zeze
8. Without Me
9. Youngblood
10. Mo Bamba

[slw84]

1. Thank you, next
2. Sicko mode
3. Happier
4. Girls like you
5. Lucid dreams
6. Zeze
7. Without me
8. Better now
9. Mo Bamba
10. Youngblood

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

1. Thank U. Next
2. Sicko Mode
3. Girls Like You
4. Happier
5. Lucid Dreams
6. Better Now
7. Zeze
8. Without Me
9. Youngblood
10. High Hopes

[Zach]

1. Thank U, Next
2. Girls Like You
3. Happier
4. Sicko Mode
5. Lucid Dreams
6. Better Now
7. ZEZE
8. Youngblood
9. Without Me
10. Mo Bamba

[annoymous1]

1.thank u, next
2. Sicko Mode
3. Happier
4. Girls Like You
5. Lucid Dreams
6. Better Now
7.Without Me
8. Zeze
9. Youngblood
10. Mo Bamba

[roman1166]

1. Thank U, next
2. Happier
3. SICKOMODE
4. Girls Like You
5. Lucid Dreams
6. Better Now
7. Without Me
8. Zeze
9. Mo Bamba
10. Youngblood

[korbel16]

The people that don’t have thank u, next for #1... sis u still have some time hurry

[higilo]

1. thank u, next
2. Sicko Mode
3. Girls Like You
4. Happier
5. Lucid Dreams
6. Zeze
7. Without Me
8. Mo Bamba
9. Better Now
10. Youngblood

[Zach]

--Results--

1. @killamonjaro : -6
gabe : -6
jtd Thee Stallion : -6
kanfad : -6
@sklohiorawr : -6

6. @delphox : -7
korbel16 : -7

8. campbellssoup : -8
renaboss : -8
kindofbiased : -8
roman1166 : -8 (-1 for late Thursday prediction)
simmnfierzig: -8 (final predictions posted Sunday)

12. lazer : -9
livelightning : -9
slw84 : -9
annoymous1 : -9

16. tallen2001 : -10
monkeydluffy : -10
ahmiizafii : -10
Baby Yoda Hot100Fan : -10

20. fhas : -11 (-3 for Friday edit)
@chroniclea : -11
Zach : -11

23. WILL : -12
hot100predictions : -12
awesomecharts : -12
cedric : -12
billboardtopten : -12
@drakeisskinny : -12
Naos : -12
marc980 : -12
higilo : -12 (-3 for Friday prediction)

32. ahzark : -13 (-7 for Sunday edit)
Nuestro Planeta : -13

34. kingvavis : -14

35. Abbaschand : -15
kcdawg13 : -15

37. 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 : -17

38. owenlovesmusic : -18
atg : -18

--

Congrats to the five participants who share a win this week. This is the first win for @sklohiorawr , while jtd Thee Stallion moves into the top 5 on the Classic Standings. The winners get 58.5 inverse points each.

SIX WEEKS REMAINING IN THE YEAR! The archive of weekly inverse points can be viewed in this document.

--Standings (Week 47 of 53)--

Classic Standings

1. fhas - 11 Wins

2. Baby Yoda Hot100Fan - 4 Wins

3. kcdawg13 - 3.5 Wins
ahmiizafii - 3.5 Wins

5. owenlovesmusic - 2.5 Wins
filthy - 2.5 Wins
monkeydluffy - 2.5 Wins
jtd Thee Stallion - 2.5 Wins

8. chartslovergermany - 2 Wins
kanfad - 2 Wins

10. kacpe3 - 1.5 Wins
roman1166 - 1.5 Wins
𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 - 1.5 Wins
Enigma. - 1.5 Wins
WILL - 1.5 Wins
annoymous1 - 1.5 Wins
livelightning - 1.5 Wins

18. MaRK✓ - 1 Wins
kindofbiased - 1 Wins
feoba - 1 Wins
lazer - 1 Wins
emperortigerstar - 1 Wins
cedric - 1 Wins
rickroller - 1 Wins
@jadenlefranks - 1 Wins
Abbaschand - 1 Wins
marc980 - 1 Wins
@killamonjaro - 1 Wins
gabe - 1 Wins

28. @vilementality - 0.5 Wins
Crimsonio - 0.5 Wins
noober - 0.5 Wins
Mayman - 0.5 Wins
lostinhavana - 0.5 Wins
chroniclea - 0.5 Wins
thelegends - 0.5 Wins
hot100predictions - 0.5 Wins
Naos - 0.5 Wins
CF15 - 0.5 Wins
slw84 - 0.5 Wins
Zach - 0.5 Wins
@sklohiorawr - 0.5 Wins

Inverse Point Standings

First number is the number of inverse points based on weekly ranking while the number in parenthesis is the number of weeks each user has participated in the predictions. Any change in position has also been indicated with the rightmost bracketed figure and this week's participants are bolded.

1. fhas - 1,326.0 (47)
2. Baby Yoda Hot100Fan - 980.5 (47)
3. monkeydluffy - 966.5 (45)
4. jtd Thee Stallion - 859.5 (47)
5. roman1166 - 796.0 (38) (+1)
6. kcdawg13 - 779.0 (37) (-1)
7. annoymous1 - 752.0 (43)
8. ahmiizafii - 732.5 (32)
9. kanfad - 711.5 (31) (+2)
10. Zach - 709.5 (35) (-1)
11. cedric - 674.0 (35) (-1)
12. 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 - 619.0 (46)
13. Naos - 601.5 (36)
14. Abbaschand - 557.0 (47)
15. @chroniclea - 544.5 (35) (+1)
16. kacpe3 - 528.5 (33) (-1)
17. hot100predictions - 502.5 (30)
18. korbel16 - 486.0 (20) (+3)
19. chartslovergermany - 484.5 (24) (-1)
20. WILL - 471.0 (30)
21. owenlovesmusic - 462.5 (38) (-2)
22. filthy - 430.5 (19)
23. marc980 - 413.5 (18)
24. awesomecharts - 411.0 (22)
25. slw84 - 393.0 (21)
26. lazer - 377.0 (27)
27. renaboss - 352.0 (17)
28. kindofbiased - 316.0 (26)
29. gabe - 308.5 (15) (+4)
30. livelightning - 302.0 (10) (-1)
31. @killamonjaro - 284.0 (15) (+5)
32. emperortigerstar - 271.0 (17) (-2)
33. fernando4 - 265.0 (16) (-2)
34. Enigma. - 251.0 (13) (-2)
35. noober - 248.5 (15) (-1)
36. thelegends - 236.5 (24) (-1)
37. @drakeisskinny - 230.0 (20)
38. willapted33 - 210.0 (12)
39. rickroller - 208.0 (13)
40. @vilementality - 189.0 (18)
41. lostinhavana - 176.5 (12)
42. feoba - 144.5 (06)
43. bigbertha - 138.0 (05)
44. Crimsonio - 124.5 (12)
45. @jadenlefranks - 124.0 (06)
46. MoD - 118.0 (12)
47. CF15 - 105.5 (05)
48. mako - 104.0 (13)
49. ur local neighborhood dbender - 97.0 (11)
50. Mayman - 85.0 (03)
51. MaRK✓ - 81.5 (04)
52. wicked - 81.0 (04)
53. @sklohiorawr - 75.5 (04) (+22)
54. flickerer - 71.0 (03) (-1)
55. Mikeramp/KMR McLean - 69.0 (07) (-1)
56. mdj - 65.0 (03) (-1)
57. tallen2001 - 60.0 (03) (+4)
58. @delphox - 54.0 (02) (+16)
58. Hugo! - 54.0 (06) (-2)
60. kingvavis - 50.0 (03) (-2)
61. atg - 47.0 (06) (-3)
61. tanooki - 47.0 (03) (-4)
63. mph7337 - 44.0 (03) (-4)
64. campbellssoup - 43.0 (02) (+14)
65. dynamac - 36.0 (01) (-4)
66. MilesW1998 - 34.0 (03) (-3)
66. mj2000forbes - 34.0 (04) (-3)
68. Nuestro Planeta - 33.0 (03) (+1)
69. kat - 32.0 (02) (-4)
69. born - 32.0 (01) (-4)
71. chloe - 30.0 (02) (-4)
72. hydraflare - 28.0 (02) (-4)
73. do u know da wae - 25.0 (01) (-4)
74. @nocreativity - 24.0 (01) (-3)
75. @levitation - 23.0 (01) (-3)
75. billboardtopten - 23.0 (02) (+8)
77. Someone - 21.0 (03) (-4)
78. higilo - 17.0 (01) (NEW)
79. MTSChart21 - 14.0 (01) (-3)
80. rainie - 13.0 (02) (-3)
81. DistrictTwelve - 10.0 (01) (-2)
81. GP - 10.0 (01) (-2)
83. jarhys - 9.0 (01) (-2)
84. jayhawk1117 - 8.0 (01) (-2)
84. ahzark - 8.0 (01) (NEW)
86. Drake - 6.0 (01) (-3)
87. 1^∞ - 3.0 (01) (-2)
87. @lil14 - 3.0 (01) (-2)
89. amore - 2.0 (01) (-2)
89. saucecan7 - 2.0 (01) (-2)
91. nothingwasthesame - 1.0 (01) (-2)
92. greentoo - 0.0 (01) (-1)

(If you would like to not be tagged in weeks you don't participate let me know)

[Abbaschand]

Congratulations for fhas who win this year's predictions!

[monkeydluffy]

Baby Yoda Hot100Fan 14 point difference... I’m coming for ya, be ready

[fhas]

Nov 17, 2018 1:12:07 GMT -5 Abbaschand said:

Congratulations for fhas who win this year's predictions!

Back to back!!!