Gary
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Post by Gary on Jul 17, 2019 12:53:41 GMT -5
Welp, looks like Bad Guy is gonna take over what was supposed to be a record breaking week in chart history. Itβs been a good run OTR. Record breaking would be next week - record tying is this week either way - we'll see
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David
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Post by David on Jul 17, 2019 13:01:31 GMT -5
All going to come down between airplay and YouTube....
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kacpi
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Post by kacpi on Jul 17, 2019 13:58:22 GMT -5
Why do I feel like Nas has something else up his sleeve? It seems like he prepared himself for every situation. Billie dropped bad guy remix and he simultaneously dropped another OTR one with the video. What if Eilish has a music video for the Bieber version ready to drop? Would he release another remix? LOL
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Gary
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Post by Gary on Jul 17, 2019 14:04:55 GMT -5
Yes
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David
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Post by David on Jul 17, 2019 14:12:04 GMT -5
Why do I feel like Nas has something else up his sleeve? It seems like he prepared himself for every situation. Billie dropped bad guy remix and he simultaneously dropped another OTR one with the video. What if Eilish has a music video for the Bieber version ready to drop? Would he release another remix? LOL With his decline in airplay every day, if they release a music video it'll be curtains for OTR...but they may not care about stopping OTR, honestly.
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jenglisbe
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Post by jenglisbe on Jul 17, 2019 14:13:38 GMT -5
Why do I feel like Nas has something else up his sleeve? It seems like he prepared himself for every situation. Billie dropped bad guy remix and he simultaneously dropped another OTR one with the video. What if Eilish has a music video for the Bieber version ready to drop? Would he release another remix? LOL He's done what he's needed to do at every turn.
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wjr15
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Post by wjr15 on Jul 17, 2019 14:16:28 GMT -5
Lil Nas X is the embodiment of a Pulse chart follower if one of yβall had a huge hit single.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 17, 2019 14:52:24 GMT -5
Holy s***. I wasnβt expecting bad guy to be so close
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 17, 2019 14:53:11 GMT -5
Holy s***. I wasnβt expecting bad guy to be so close Nevermind, actually It makes complete sense
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Post by itsatravesty on Jul 17, 2019 14:56:34 GMT -5
Holy s***. I wasnβt expecting bad guy to be so close Nevermind, actually It makes complete sense Really? I was expecting it would be closer.
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Choco
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Post by Choco on Jul 17, 2019 14:57:20 GMT -5
Unless numbers change dramatically that difference between OTR and BG is not within the margin of error.
The Mason/Young Thug remix did it's job.
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Post by itsatravesty on Jul 17, 2019 14:59:27 GMT -5
If there's one thing that bothers me about these predictions, it's that I've seen people use them in place of the actual chart on less chart-driven websites. It irks me because we know that the predictors dont typically have access to Apple Music numbers or actual Neilsen radio and sales figure.
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Jul 17, 2019 15:45:22 GMT -5
Keep in mind that the difference between the two's airplay will be smaller with Nielsen Music than Mediabase. for the July 20 chart, it was 79.6m (BG) vs. 65.2m (OTR).
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Post by chartslovergermany on Jul 17, 2019 15:55:31 GMT -5
OTR first Remix continues to drop on apple music and the OTR Remix with Young Thug&Mason is freefalling. I think Bad Guy has a good chance to take OTR down this week. Itβs now only YT vs. Radio
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Post by king_billboard_100 on Jul 17, 2019 16:06:50 GMT -5
Its look like Bad guy is going to break a record for most weeks at #2 without peaking at #1
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jayhawk1117
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Post by jayhawk1117 on Jul 17, 2019 16:16:14 GMT -5
If the Bad Guy Remix gets a video then I see no way OTR breaks the record probably only ties
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Post by οΌ³ο½ο½ο½ο½ο½ο½π€ο½ο½ on Jul 17, 2019 16:26:42 GMT -5
OTR first Remix continues to drop on apple music and the OTR Remix with Young Thug&Mason is freefalling. I think Bad Guy has a good chance to take OTR down this week. Itβs now only YT vs. Radio Old Town Road (1st remix) #15 (=) Continues to drop?Old Town Road (2nd remix) #55 (-9) Free falling?Old Town Road (original) #239 (-2)
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Jul 17, 2019 16:31:34 GMT -5
If OTR manages to hold on, it will be mostly due to its advantage in YouTube where it has gotten it most consistently during its run at #1.
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narp
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Post by narp on Jul 17, 2019 16:32:32 GMT -5
I had no idea bad Guy was so close. I hope she releases a remix video soon.
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wjr15
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Post by wjr15 on Jul 17, 2019 16:41:11 GMT -5
OTR first Remix continues to drop on apple music and the OTR Remix with Young Thug&Mason is freefalling. I think Bad Guy has a good chance to take OTR down this week. Itβs now only YT vs. Radio Old Town Road (1st remix) #15 (=) Continues to drop?Old Town Road (2nd remix) #55 (-9) Free falling?Old Town Road (original) #239 (-2)Also, I know iTunes isnβt as much of a factor these days but OTR still has a lead over BG OTR remix - #2 (0.9795) BG - #6 (0.5254) BG remix - #9 (0.4053) OTR remix 2 - #66 (0.0679) OTR - #82 (0.0519) OTR combined (1.0993) BG combined (0.9307)
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dajross6
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Post by dajross6 on Jul 17, 2019 16:45:53 GMT -5
OTR first Remix continues to drop on apple music and the OTR Remix with Young Thug&Mason is freefalling. I think Bad Guy has a good chance to take OTR down this week. Itβs now only YT vs. Radio I think that's a good way to look at it if you understand that OTR's YT lead is worth probably 60-70m airplay. So yes, it will technically come down to YT and radio, but the radio component isn't weighted nearly the same as streaming. Just a drop in the bucket really.
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fhas
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Post by fhas on Jul 17, 2019 17:09:29 GMT -5
Something people forget is that on-demand streaming isn't only Spotify/Apple Music and that's where OTR's points lead over bad guy is even bigger than the radio points gap between these two songs. I have some examples about how Amazon/Tidal/SoundCloud, etc. are impacting the charts. Dancing With A Stranger:#43 on-demand (last week's chart) #87 Spotify (weekly chart) #133 Apple Music (daily chart, according to Kworb) Beer Never Broke My Heart:#31 on-demand (last week's chart) #85 Spotify (weekly chart) #67 Apple Music (daily chart, according to Kworb)
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garrettlen
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Post by garrettlen on Jul 17, 2019 17:28:39 GMT -5
If OTR manages to hold on, it will be mostly due to its advantage in YouTube where it has gotten it most consistently during its run at #1. It still counts.
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Au$tin
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Post by Au$tin on Jul 17, 2019 17:31:47 GMT -5
People like to dismiss songs that are #1 because they are lopsided in one metric. Dismiss it all you want, it's still #1.
Side eye to all those that hate Girls Like You for remaining at #1 thanks to airplay.
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kiddo1994
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Post by kiddo1994 on Jul 17, 2019 20:39:28 GMT -5
Seems likely that the following will all go recurrent this week: SHALLOW Lady Gaga & Bradley Cooper 1 41 OCEAN EYES Billie Eilish 84 20 come on SHALLOW.. and WOW at Ocean Eyes spending 20weeks even with 84 peak, is this a record for longest stay of lowest peaking song??... truly one of her best songs, definitely top3 of Billie
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Jul 17, 2019 20:57:24 GMT -5
Thanks for the info, fhas. True, it;'s not just about Spotify and Apple Music.
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jayhawk1117
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Post by jayhawk1117 on Jul 17, 2019 21:47:24 GMT -5
People like to dismiss songs that are #1 because they are lopsided in one metric. Dismiss it all you want, it's still #1. Side eye to all those that hate Girls Like You for remaining at #1 thanks to airplay. maroon 5 isn't a meme artist that's why the reception is different
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rimetm
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Post by rimetm on Jul 17, 2019 21:55:30 GMT -5
For me at least, it was the combination of the airplay dependence along with just how close multiple of the songs it blocked got to beating it in addition to just how low the points were. It was as if margin of error just kept wanting to spite us from a healthy run of toppers.
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Gary
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Post by Gary on Jul 17, 2019 22:02:22 GMT -5
Seems likely that the following will all go recurrent this week: SHALLOW Lady Gaga & Bradley Cooper 1 41 OCEAN EYES Billie Eilish 84 20 come on SHALLOW.. and WOW at Ocean Eyes spending 20weeks even with 84 peak, is this a record for longest stay of lowest peaking song??... truly one of her best songs, definitely top3 of Billie No - - I don't remember where I posted it but there was a 20 week song that peaked at #88 in 2000
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kimberly
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Post by kimberly on Jul 17, 2019 23:29:13 GMT -5
People like to dismiss songs that are #1 because they are lopsided in one metric. Dismiss it all you want, it's still #1. Side eye to all those that hate Girls Like You for remaining at #1 thanks to airplay. People are actively choosing to stream OTR and make content with it whereas GLY simply got put on heavy rotation by like a handful of people in the country that choose what gets played because of how generic it is lol but go off Alas GLY was sales #1 and peaked at #5 in streaming so it did deserve to be #1. It just stayed there 3 weeks too long.
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