narp
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Post by narp on Jul 17, 2019 0:46:43 GMT -5
I’m from the future, here is what happens in the charts over the next few weeks. -Lil Nas X breaks the record at 17 weeks - Bad Guy immediately has 2 weeks at number one (remix is not counted) -Next number one is Senorita for one week -Then the Git Up for 4 Weeks, which becomes the biggest dance craze of the year - Rihanna’s newest single debuts at number one in late September, number one for 7 weeks -Taylor swifts third single is number one for 1 week -Post Malone’s new single debuts at number one for one week -Last number one hit of the decade is Adele’s newest single, which stays at number one for 12 weeks into the new year Save this post because it is how the rest of the year plays out If only... I hope Rihanna and Adele come back, I’ve been missing them
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owenlovesmusic
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Needs a Nap
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Post by owenlovesmusic on Jul 17, 2019 0:54:01 GMT -5
- Rihanna’s newest single debuts at number one in late September, number one for 7 weeks -Last number one hit of the decade is Adele’s newest single, which stays at number one for 12 weeks into the new year LOL.
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Abbaschand
Platinum Member
Joined: July 2016
Posts: 1,626
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Post by Abbaschand on Jul 17, 2019 1:33:41 GMT -5
I’m from the TRUE future, here is what happens in the charts over the next few weeks. -Lil Nas X breaks the record at 17 weeks - Billie Eilish immediately remixed Old Town Road and had 2 weeks at number one -Then Blanco Brown mashed "The Git Up" and "Old Town Road" to hit #1 for 5 Weeks, which becomes the biggest dance craze of the year - Rihanna’s newest Old Town Road remix debuts at number one in late September, number one for 7 weeks -Taylor swifts third single is Old Town Road, number one for 1 week -Last number one hit of the decade is Adele’s newest Old Town Road remix, which stays at number one for 13 weeks into the new year Save this post because it is how the rest of the year plays out
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Post by thegreatdivine on Jul 17, 2019 1:36:58 GMT -5
So, apparently, we could be getting a new Khalid and Majid Jordan single (very) soon. Majid Jordan are a singer/producer duo signed to Drake, much like dvsn, who are also signed to him. I'm excited because they're all really good friends so they should have good chemistry.
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Post by thegreatdivine on Jul 17, 2019 1:50:38 GMT -5
Chance the Rapper announced his forthcoming album, The Big Day, on Jimmy Fallon. Arrives on July 26. Thoughts on what the album might do? Anyone?
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Enigma.
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Posts: 13,962
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Post by Enigma. on Jul 17, 2019 2:11:47 GMT -5
Will be #1 on album chart, not counting on big bomb on Hot 100 though, Chance is yet to have a top 40 hit as a lead artist.
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jayhawk1117
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Joined: July 2013
Posts: 2,757
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Post by jayhawk1117 on Jul 17, 2019 4:15:26 GMT -5
I’m from the future, here is what happens in the charts over the next few weeks. -Lil Nas X breaks the record at 17 weeks - Bad Guy immediately has 2 weeks at number one (remix is not counted) -Next number one is Senorita for one week -Then the Git Up for 4 Weeks, which becomes the biggest dance craze of the year - Rihanna’s newest single debuts at number one in late September, number one for 7 weeks -Taylor swifts third single is number one for 1 week -Post Malone’s new single debuts at number one for one week -Last number one hit of the decade is Adele’s newest single, which stays at number one for 12 weeks into the new year Save this post because it is how the rest of the year plays out If only... I hope Rihanna and Adele come back, I’ve been missing them well Adele is all but confirmed for this year
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Post by thegreatdivine on Jul 17, 2019 4:44:54 GMT -5
Will be #1 on album chart, not counting on big bomb on Hot 100 though, Chance is yet to have a top 40 hit as a lead artist. It's worth noting that the single he dropped in anticipation for the album, Groceries, didn't do anything. He tried his best to make a dance challenge to go along with it to enable the track to take off, but it never happened. It didn't even chart on the Hot 100. What figures would he have to put up for you to not see his first week numbers as a flop or under performance? 100K? 200K? It's also worth noting that Chance isn't typically known as a commercial juggernaut. He gets on by with critically acclaimed projects and he's established himself as an arena touring force in that time so he should have no issues selling out a tour.
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Enigma.
Diamond Member
Joined: July 2007
Posts: 13,962
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Post by Enigma. on Jul 17, 2019 5:31:37 GMT -5
His old album just reached #5 so I bet the new one does 100k at least (CB is also platinum I think?).
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Post by Mayman on Jul 17, 2019 5:38:15 GMT -5
I’m from the future, here is what happens in the charts over the next few weeks. -Lil Nas X breaks the record at 17 weeks - Bad Guy immediately has 2 weeks at number one (remix is not counted) -Next number one is Senorita for one week -Then the Git Up for 4 Weeks, which becomes the biggest dance craze of the year - Rihanna’s newest single debuts at number one in late September, number one for 7 weeks -Taylor swifts third single is number one for 1 week -Post Malone’s new single debuts at number one for one week -Last number one hit of the decade is Adele’s newest single, which stays at number one for 12 weeks into the new year Save this post because it is how the rest of the year plays out hot100predictions dupe?
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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Jul 17, 2019 6:09:42 GMT -5
A Taylor number one but no Lizzo? And no more new artists at number one after the Git Up? Nah. Won’t happen.
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rfucom
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Beerbongs fanatic
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Posts: 10,118
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Post by rfucom on Jul 17, 2019 6:24:10 GMT -5
He seems on high.
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Au$tin
Diamond Member
Pop Culture Guru
Grrrrrrrrrr. Fuckity fuck why don't you watch my film before you judge it? FURY.
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My Charts
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Post by Au$tin on Jul 17, 2019 6:35:23 GMT -5
If only... I hope Rihanna and Adele come back, I’ve been missing them well Adele is all but confirmed for this year And Rihanna. Both have stated new music is coming this year. It's only July, there's still 5 more months! Adele is more than likely coming around Christmas and Rihanna likely a tad bit earlier. If I had to wager a guess, I'd say we the the lead single from Rihanna in October and Adele in November/December. Wouldn't shock me to see Rihanna drop the full album at once, but Adele will almost for sure do the standard lead single release.
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spicymapping
Platinum Member
ahoe s2e11 out now
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Posts: 1,116
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Post by spicymapping on Jul 17, 2019 6:59:53 GMT -5
My own take on one of these is
7/27-8/10: OTR 8/17: Bad Guy 8/24, 9/7-10/12: Senorita 8/31: Lover 3rd Single (if it's actually good this time) 10/19-11/2: Truth Hurts 11/9-12/28: 30 Lead Single
Roast me when i'm proven wrong
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jodakyellow
Platinum Member
Joined: July 2018
Posts: 1,527
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Post by jodakyellow on Jul 17, 2019 7:09:49 GMT -5
It can’t be “locked” because it’s not even #1 YTD yet (it’s #5 by most estimates, right?). If it has anything close to a remotely normal fall down the charts once it’s done being #1, then it’s a near-guarantee. If it, say, gets banned by the US government an hour from now and fully disappears from the Internet and radio, then it can’t get any higher than #5 YE. I know I’m being nitpicky and pedantic, but, to me anyway, “locked” would mean it’s already at #1 YTD and gonna stay there. (Someone please correct me if that’s not the accepted understanding of “locked” around these parts!) “basically” A fair point!!!
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Gary
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Joined: January 2014
Posts: 45,843
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Post by Gary on Jul 17, 2019 7:51:05 GMT -5
The daily YE prediction threads aside. The week 15 streaming numbers of 70 million have only been achieved by 5 other songs in the streaming era.
This song may not be number one forever but it will be around long enough to impact any chart coming in December
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renaboss
Platinum Member
I don't want to miss a thing.
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Post by renaboss on Jul 17, 2019 7:52:13 GMT -5
I’m from the future, here is what happens in the charts over the next few weeks. -Lil Nas X breaks the record at 17 weeks - Bad Guy immediately has 2 weeks at number one (remix is not counted) -Next number one is Senorita for one week -Then the Git Up for 4 Weeks, which becomes the biggest dance craze of the year - Rihanna’s newest single debuts at number one in late September, number one for 7 weeks -Taylor swifts third single is number one for 1 week -Post Malone’s new single debuts at number one for one week -Last number one hit of the decade is Adele’s newest single, which stays at number one for 12 weeks into the new year Save this post because it is how the rest of the year plays out I am very much okay with all of this, thank you messiah.
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HolidayGuy
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Posts: 33,900
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Post by HolidayGuy on Jul 17, 2019 9:15:50 GMT -5
Five-day Spotify Totals Bad Guy: 9,647,026 Old Town Road: 9,409,832
If OTR has a big YouTube advantage, then, yeah, it probably will hang on for a 16th week.
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kacpi
Charting
Joined: January 2019
Posts: 378
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Post by kacpi on Jul 17, 2019 10:29:51 GMT -5
It really is neck and neck between OTR and BG! Nas's probably coming for the 16th week at #1. I think because of it we'll see how powerful Youtube is when it comes to chart points - is it gonna be a very small gap or quite the opposite (around 100 points)?
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Jul 17, 2019 10:32:31 GMT -5
Daily US YT views (7/15):
Lil Nas X - Old Town Road (feat. Billy Ray Cyrus 2,857,015 Billie Eilish - bad guy 1,155,405
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Soundcl🕤ck
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Post by Soundcl🕤ck on Jul 17, 2019 10:41:01 GMT -5
With yesterday's video (3 million already), I'm pretty sure OTR will hang on for a 16th week.
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kacpi
Charting
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Posts: 378
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Post by kacpi on Jul 17, 2019 10:41:08 GMT -5
Daily US YT views (7/15): Lil Nas X - Old Town Road (feat. Billy Ray Cyrus 2,857,015 Billie Eilish - bad guy 1,155,405 + Lil Nas X - Old Town Road (feat. Billy Ray Cyrus, Young Thug & Mason Ramsey) 925,243
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Jul 17, 2019 10:49:24 GMT -5
kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates 2019/07/17
1(=) Khalid - Talk 176.35(+0.19) 2(=) Ed Sheeran & Justin Bieber - I Don't Care 148.68(+1.26) 3(=) Jonas Brothers - Sucker 144.70(-0.28) 4(=) Shawn Mendes - If I Can't Have You 112.36(+0.70) 5(=) Billie Eilish - bad guy 110.89(+1.26) 6(=) Panic! At the Disco - Hey Look Ma, I Made It 106.67(+0.57) 7(=) Sam Smith & Normani - Dancing with a Stranger 97.91(-0.71) 8(=) Lil Nas X - Old Town Road (feat. Billy Ray Cyrus) [Remix] 82.07(-2.25) 9(=) Post Malone - Wow. 76.82(-0.89) 10(=) Lizzo - Truth Hurts 72.22(+2.09)
13(+1) Eric Church - Some of It 63.26(+1.31) 15(+2) Taylor Swift - You Need To Calm Down 60.83(+0.99)
19(+1) Shawn Mendes & Camila Cabello - Señorita 58.12(+1.81)
28(+2) Chris Brown - No Guidance (feat. Drake) 47.13(+1.45) 40(+1) Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved 39.85(+1.24)
45(+8) Post Malone - Goodbyes (feat. Young Thug) 34.74(+2.00) 69(+2) Drake - Money In The Grave (feat. Rick Ross) 27.09(+1.07) 71(+3) Young Thug - The London (feat. J. Cole & Travis Scott) 26.34(+0.92)
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Agent Yoncé
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Post by Agent Yoncé on Jul 17, 2019 11:01:53 GMT -5
So, apparently, we could be getting a new Khalid and Majid Jordan single (very) soon. Majid Jordan are a singer/producer duo signed to Drake, much like dvsn, who are also signed to him. I'm excited because they're all really good friends so they should have good chemistry. IDK how to feel about this.
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David
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Posts: 4,473
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Post by David on Jul 17, 2019 11:45:31 GMT -5
Go Billie!!!
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Post by thegreatdivine on Jul 17, 2019 11:47:31 GMT -5
So, apparently, we could be getting a new Khalid and Majid Jordan single (very) soon. Majid Jordan are a singer/producer duo signed to Drake, much like dvsn, who are also signed to him. I'm excited because they're all really good friends so they should have good chemistry. IDK how to feel about this. Why? You don't like Majid Jordan or you don't like Khalid?
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TakeMe
Charting
Joined: November 2017
Posts: 350
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Post by TakeMe on Jul 17, 2019 12:02:37 GMT -5
Welp, looks like Bad Guy is gonna take over what was supposed to be a record breaking week in chart history. It’s been a good run OTR.
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jenglisbe
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Joined: January 2005
Posts: 35,137
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Post by jenglisbe on Jul 17, 2019 12:04:07 GMT -5
Welp, looks like Bad Guy is gonna take over what was supposed to be a record breaking week in chart history. It’s been a good run OTR. Huh?
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wjr15
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Post by wjr15 on Jul 17, 2019 12:26:17 GMT -5
Welp, looks like Bad Guy is gonna take over what was supposed to be a record breaking week in chart history. It’s been a good run OTR. What are you talking about? OTR is still ahead of BG, mostly due to YouTube views.
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#LisaRinna
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#LiteralLegender
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Post by #LisaRinna on Jul 17, 2019 12:34:52 GMT -5
Airplay according to kworb (first day of tracking week): "bad guy" - 109.63M (+0.52) "Old Town Road" - 84.32M (-2.15) Gap: 25.31M (+2.67) Airplay according to kworb (second day of tracking week): "bad guy" - 110.89M (+1.26) "Old Town Road" - 82.07M (-2.25) Gap: 28.82M (+3.51)
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