GPMB
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Post by GPMB on Oct 22, 2020 2:40:34 GMT -5
at this point i'm predicting that I Hope will end up in the top 10 of the year end list at either #9 or #10, kicking out either The Bones, Say So, or Someone You Loved (depending on what's actually the #10 right now)
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dremolus - solarpunk
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𝙁𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝙋𝙖𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙚 𝙩𝙤 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙋𝙝𝙞𝙡𝙞𝙥𝙥𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨, 𝙎𝙩𝙤𝙥 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙐.𝙎. 𝙒𝙖𝙧 𝙈𝙖𝙘
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on Oct 22, 2020 7:13:39 GMT -5
Do y'all think Billboard is going to introduce new rules regarding holiday songs or are we in for another Christmas freeze?
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Oct 22, 2020 9:03:24 GMT -5
Do y'all think Billboard is going to introduce new rules regarding holiday songs or are we in for another Christmas freeze? Prepare to see All I Want for Christmas Is You and co. to come and disrupt the charts. |
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GP
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Post by GP on Oct 22, 2020 9:09:25 GMT -5
Do y'all think Billboard is going to introduce new rules regarding holiday songs or are we in for another Christmas freeze? Prepare to see All I Want for Christmas Is You and co. to come and disrupt the charts. I may be at fault, I've already started playing it.. as soon as it gets cold Christmas music gets so good |
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Oct 22, 2020 9:21:53 GMT -5
Prepare to see All I Want for Christmas Is You and co. to come and disrupt the charts. I may be at fault, I've already started playing it.. as soon as it gets cold Christmas music gets so good I don't know if I'm the only one but I hate the charts around Christmas time, every Christmas song gets extremely overplayed which makes the chart so boring and predictable. |
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Oct 22, 2020 9:26:38 GMT -5
^And this year the lyrics for the song can be even more meaningful for some.
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GP
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Post by GP on Oct 22, 2020 9:32:51 GMT -5
I may be at fault, I've already started playing it.. as soon as it gets cold Christmas music gets so good I don't know if I'm the only one but I hate the charts around Christmas time, every Christmas song gets extremely overplayed which makes the chart so boring and predictable. I hate the charts too, but I get that they dont inforce any other rules, it's in fact the music most consumed during a month |
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dremolus - solarpunk
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𝙁𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝙋𝙖𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙚 𝙩𝙤 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙋𝙝𝙞𝙡𝙞𝙥𝙥𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨, 𝙎𝙩𝙤𝙥 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙐.𝙎. 𝙒𝙖𝙧 𝙈𝙖𝙘
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on Oct 22, 2020 11:16:00 GMT -5
at this point i'm predicting that I Hope will end up in the top 10 of the year end list at either #9 or #10, kicking out either The Bones, Say So, or Someone You Loved (depending on what's actually the #10 right now) The CMA's are in two and half weeks so I expect there's going to be a big sales boost that might be enough to get the #!0 spot |
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mikerivera
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Post by mikerivera on Oct 22, 2020 11:23:15 GMT -5
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 22, 2020 12:10:20 GMT -5
at this point i'm predicting that I Hope will end up in the top 10 of the year end list at either #9 or #10, kicking out either The Bones, Say So, or Someone You Loved (depending on what's actually the #10 right now) The CMA's are in two and half weeks so I expect there's going to be a big sales boost that might be enough to get the #!0 spot The problem is that even if the CMAs do give a boost to a few songs, it probably won't be until after the current chart year is over unless this year gets an extra week. |
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joshtheking
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Post by joshtheking on Oct 22, 2020 15:48:00 GMT -5
I'm predicting that billboard will change the rules with Christmas songs at least regarding with the year end, because if not then we're gonna see AIWFCIY on the year end list for every single year
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samo🦕
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Post by samo🦕 on Oct 22, 2020 16:21:46 GMT -5
the only christmas song we should be playing this early is this
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rockgolf
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Post by rockgolf on Oct 22, 2020 18:44:04 GMT -5
the only christmas song we should be playing this early is this I agree but it's virtually unknown in America. |
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kingvavis
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Post by kingvavis on Oct 22, 2020 19:45:42 GMT -5
the only christmas song we should be playing this early is this I agree but it's virtually unknown in America. Every American knows that song from Louis the New Yorker to Bob the Farmer to Ashley the valley girl. |
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Post by nathanalbright on Oct 22, 2020 23:31:01 GMT -5
I agree but it's virtually unknown in America. Every American knows that song from Louis the New Yorker to Bob the Farmer to Ashley the valley girl. Congrats for identifying three of the few Americans who are familiar with the song. |
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CF15
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Post by CF15 on Oct 23, 2020 12:37:20 GMT -5
Circles will be gone by Christmas, and aside from that, I expect Blinding Lights, I Hope, Got What I Got, One of Them Girls, Watermelon Sugar, What’s Poppin and Dreams to all miss. Go Crazy, Before You Go, For the Night and Be Like That will all be borderline I see BL making it honestly I was gonna say, I really can't imagine "Blinding Lights" not still being in the top 25 until at least March or April 2021, lol. Especially if "Circles" managed to last as long as it did. Radio just isn't letting up on those two. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 23, 2020 20:48:27 GMT -5
I see BL making it honestly I was gonna say, I really can't imagine "Blinding Lights" not still being in the top 25 until at least March or April 2021, lol. Especially if "Circles" managed to last as long as it did. Radio just isn't letting up on those two. Yeah, I see it sticking around well into 2021 as well. It's gonna make that Year-End list for sure. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 23, 2020 21:00:35 GMT -5
Blinding Lights' chances of making the 2021 year end list depend on whether or not it goes recurrent due to the Christmas freeze.
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Oct 23, 2020 21:56:12 GMT -5
^I agree. In particular, the tracking week that finishes for streaming and sales on December 24th could probably end making quite a few songs go recurrent.
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
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Post by Deleted on Oct 23, 2020 23:53:53 GMT -5
Blinding Lights' chances of making the 2021 year end list depend on whether or not it goes recurrent due to the Christmas freeze. I think it's streaming and radio is gonna be stable enough to survive the Christmas Freeze (whereas Circles will go recurrent, if it hadn't already by then). Feel free to quote this if I'm wrong. |
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Post by xtynaaguilera99 on Oct 24, 2020 5:47:21 GMT -5
Some chart facts for this year:
- BLINDING LIGHTS is the biggest #1 of the year.
- LIFE IS GOOD is the biggest song released in 2020 to date.
- DON’T START NOW is the biggest song of the year to not reach #1.
- ADORE YOU is the biggest song of the year to not reach Top 5.
- THE BONES is the biggest song of the year to not reach Top 10, and the biggest song to not reach the Top 10 since 1998.
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jodakyellow
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Post by jodakyellow on Oct 24, 2020 13:45:03 GMT -5
I'm predicting that billboard will change the rules with Christmas songs at least regarding with the year end, because if not then we're gonna see AIWFCIY on the year end list for every single year It’ll creat a weird dynamic when some Christmas perennials need to reach #25 to re-enter but others just need to reach #50.. assuming they enforce the 52/25 rule here, that is |
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atg
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Post by atg on Oct 25, 2020 12:23:11 GMT -5
Some chart facts for this year: - BLINDING LIGHTS is the biggest #1 of the year. - LIFE IS GOOD is the biggest song released in 2020 to date. - DON’T START NOW is the biggest song of the year to not reach #1. - ADORE YOU is the biggest song of the year to not reach Top 5. - THE BONES is the biggest song of the year to not reach Top 10, and the biggest song to not reach the Top 10 since 1998. And soon (hopefully), circles is the only song that made last year’s list and lasted throughout the entire 2020 chart year |
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Oct 25, 2020 17:52:51 GMT -5
Now that I look back at it, 2016 was a great year for music but the charts didn't show it at all.
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korbel16
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Post by korbel16 on Oct 25, 2020 17:58:56 GMT -5
Some chart facts for this year: - BLINDING LIGHTS is the biggest #1 of the year. - LIFE IS GOOD is the biggest song released in 2020 to date. - DON’T START NOW is the biggest song of the year to not reach #1. - ADORE YOU is the biggest song of the year to not reach Top 5. - THE BONES is the biggest song of the year to not reach Top 10, and the biggest song to not reach the Top 10 since 1998. And soon (hopefully), circles is the only song that made last year’s list and lasted throughout the entire 2020 chart year probably will leave after ariana’s album bomb |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 25, 2020 18:06:45 GMT -5
And soon (hopefully), circles is the only song that made last year’s list and lasted throughout the entire 2020 chart year probably will leave after ariana’s album bomb How long do you think Circles would last without the 25/52 rule? |
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atg
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Post by atg on Oct 25, 2020 19:50:46 GMT -5
probably will leave after ariana’s album bomb How long do you think Circles would last without the 25/52 rule? I would say at the rate its going i guess about 70-90 weeks. What’s even crazier is how blinding lights could outlast circles and without the 25/52 rule it could probably go for 80-100 weeks |
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inverse
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Post by inverse on Oct 25, 2020 22:01:20 GMT -5
Circles has the potential to be the first song ever to repeat on the year end list while lasting through the entire second year. The list of the longest that songs have made it currently looks like this
Counting Stars: 46
How Do I Live: 45
I'm Yours: 45
Happier: 40 (out early from 52 week rule)
Smooth: 40
Love Story: 39
Ho Hey: 39
Sicko Mode: 38
Closer: 37 (out early from 52 week rule)
Here Without You: 37
Shake It Off: 37
Un-Break My Heart: 36
Eastside: 35 (52 week rule)
Amazed: 35 (returned to the chart)
so if Circles could become the first song to get the full 52 weeks despite the 52 week rule that'd be utter insanity
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mikerivera
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Post by mikerivera on Oct 25, 2020 22:59:31 GMT -5
For what it’s worth, Radioactive debuted in August 2012, and lasted until May 2014. With a 25/52 rule, it would’ve gotten knocked out at week 67, although it had 4 nonconsecutive weeks afterwards where it charted above the top 25, so it would be interesting to see how Billboard would enforce that
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inverse
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Post by inverse on Oct 26, 2020 0:14:32 GMT -5
My personal headcanon is that it would have re-entered at #13 following its Grammy wins. We have seen Billboard occasionally allow songs to re-enter for award shows before like Uptown Funk in 2016 so I think it's plausible. It would also keep its week after then at #23 before being removed from the chart at 69 weeks. However there's no way to know for sure. The same principle is also why I give Rolling In The Deep credit for 55 weeks under a 52/25 system. However in both cases they'd fall off the year end hot 100 for their second year. I think the full list of songs that would have missed year ends if 25/52 were always there looks like Macarena 1997 You Were Meant For Me/Foolish Games 1998 You And Me 2006 Use Somebody 2010 Rolling In The Deep 2012 Radioactive 2014 mikerivera if you have any idea what would have taken their place in the last the 2010's years from creating the january-december ones i'd be very interested |
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