2020 Billboard Hot 100 Year-End Predictions (Year 8)

[n13l5]

Oct 28, 2020 2:53:39 GMT -5 tanooki said:

SPOILER: Click to show

{2020 Chart Year Listed by Most Hot 100 Songs}Lil Uzi Vert 38
Lil Baby 33
YoungBoy Never Broke Again 33
Juice WRLD 32
DaBaby 30
Drake 25
Pop Smoke 22
Gunna 21
Future 20
Taylor Swift 20
The Weeknd 16
Young Thug 15
21 Savage 15
Rod Wave 14
Bad Bunny 14
Eminem 14
Polo G 14
Roddy Ricch 13
Travis Scott 13
Metro Boomin 13
Justin Bieber 12
A Boogie Wit Da Hoodie 12
Mac Miller 10
Megan Thee Stallion 8
Nicki Minaj 8
Tory Lanez 8
Harry Styles 7
Post Malone 7
Selena Gomez 7
Luke Combs 7
Jhene Aiko 7
Don Toliver 7
Moneybagg Yo 7
Lil Wayne 7
Trippie Redd 7
Doja Cat 6
Kane Brown 6
Halsey 6
Quavo 6
Khalid 6
Lil Durk 6
J Balvin 6
Big Sean 6
Dua Lipa 5
Billie Eilish 5
Jonas Brothers 5
Chris Brown 5
Camila Cabello 5
BTS 5
NLE Choppa 5
Marshmello 5
Sam Smith 5
Karol G 5
Anuel AA 5
Morgan Wallen 4
Lady Gaga 4
Ed Sheeran 4
Cardi B 4
Blake Shelton 4
Keith Urban 4
Demi Lovato 4
Summer Walker 4
JACKBOYS 4
Lil Tecca 4
Machine Gun Kelly 4
Lil Tjay 4
BLACKPINK 4
Bryson Tiller 4
Meek Mill 4
John Legend 4
Ty Dolla $ign 4
Kehlani 4
blackbear 3
Lil Nas X 3
Thomas Rhett 3
YNW Melly 3
Kenny Chesney 3
Tyga 3
Kelsea Ballerini 3
PARTYNEXTDOOR 3
Ozuna 3
Niall Horan 3
NAV 3
Internet Money 3
J. Cole 3
Chance the Rapper 3
Kelly Clarkson 3
Sech 3
Daddy Yankee 3
Fivio Foreign 3
Lewis Capaldi 2
Maroon 5 2
Lizzo 2
Trevor Daniel 2
Lil Mosey 2
Sam Hunt 2
Dan + Shay 2
Mustard 2
Luke Bryan 2
Jason Aldean 2
Ariana Grande 2
Beyonce 2
Shawn Mendes 2
Miranda Lambert 2
Jon Pardi 2
6ix9ine 2
24kGoldn 2
Black Eyed Peas 2
42 Dugg 2
Saweetie 2
DJ Khaled 2
H.E.R. 2
Carly Pearce 2
Gwen Stefani 2
Kid Cudi 2
Chris Janson 2
Gene Autry 2
Lady A 2
Matt Stell 2
Migos 2
Eric Church 2
Joji 2
Idina Menzel 2
SZA 2
Jeremih 2
Perry Cuomo 2
Kanye West 2
Alicia Keys 2
Chris Lane 2
Swae Lee 2
Playboi Carti 2
London On Da Track 2
Justin Timberlake 2
Lil Yachty 2
A$AP Ferg 2
Stunna 4 Vegas 2
ROSALIA 2
MadeinTYO 2
Myke Towers 2
Brantley Gilbert 2
Nas 2
Miguel 2
Maren Morris 1
Tones & I 1
Arizona Zervas 1
SAINt JHN 1
Gabby Barrett 1
Jack Harlow 1
SHAED 1
Surfaces 1
Old Dominion 1
Maddie & Tae 1
Powfu 1
StaySolidRocky 1
Mariah Carey 1
Lee Brice 1
Charlie Puth 1
Jason Derulo 1
Jawsh 685 1
JP Saxe 1
Ingrid Andress 1
Brenda Lee 1
Dustin Lynch 1
Florida Georgia Line 1
BENEE 1
Jordan Davis 1
Travis Denning 1
Brett Young 1
AJR 1
Burl Ives 1
Jake Owen 1
Russ 1
Bobby Helms 1
Andy Williams 1
surf mesa 1
Miley Cyrus 1
Justin Moore 1
beabadoobee 1
twenty one pilots 1
Parker McCollum 1
Ava Max 1
Wham! 1
Wale 1
HARDY 1
Jameson Rodgers 1
Riley Green 1
Scotty McCreery 1
Jimmie Allen 1
Conan Gray 1
Ashley McBryde 1
LOCASH 1
Julia Michaels 1
Dean Martin 1
Jose Feliciano 1
Tim McGraw 1
Diplo 1
iann dior 1
Nat King Cole 1
Maluma 1
The Ronettes 1
Regard 1
Brockhampton 1
DaniLeigh 1
Gus Dapperton 1
Tae McRae 1
YG 1
Noah Cyrus 1
Chloe X Halle 1
ATR Son Son 1
BIA 1
Money Man 1
Ant Saunders 1
AURORA 1
Chase Rice 1
Russell Dickerson 1
Emilee 1
Katy Perry 1
Fleetwood Mac 1
NF 1
Chris Stapleton 1
Billy Ray Cyrus 1
A7S 1
Topic 1
Gucci Mane 1
Carrie Underwood 1
Ellie Goulding 1
Bugsey 1
Young T 1
Rihanna 1
Giveon 1
50 Cent 1
9lokknine 1
Headie One 1
Disclosure 1
Usher 1
The Kid LAROI 1
G Herbo 1
Leon Bridges 1
T-Pain 1
Devin Dawson 1
Lauren Alaina 1
Vedo 1
Darlene Love 1
Calvin Harris 1
Chuck Berry 1
Offset 1
Reba McEntire 1
Garth Brooks 1
Chris Tomlin 1
Hillary Scott 1
Why Don't We 1
Elvis Presley 1
Niko Moon 1
Bing Crosby 1
Ozzy Osbourne 1
BabyKeem 1
Frank Sinatra 1
Ritt Momney 1
WhoHeem 1
Thurl Ravenscroft 1
Mulatto 1
Ashe 1
City Girls 1
Layton Greene 1
PnB Rock 1
Normani 1
Tainy 1
M.I.A. 1
Olivia Rodrigo 1
SadaBaby 1
J. Rey Soul 1
Pink 1
Panic! At the Disco 1
Evan Rachel Wood 1
Sleepy Hallow 1
Breland 1
bbno$ 1
Y2K 1
J.I. 1
Benny Blanco 1
Arcangel 1
Ne-Yo 1
Rick Ross 1
XXXTentacion 1
Chief Keef 1
Brray 1
Nio Garcia 1
Farruko 1
Young MA 1
Agust D 1
Jowell 1
Nengo Flow 1
Randy 1
Tyla Yaweh 1
Bebe Rexha 1
Ali Gatie 1
Dierks Bentley 1
Yung Bleu 1
Rowdy Rebel 1
ZAYN 1
Kevin Gates 1
Larray 1
Logic 1
YFN Lucci 1
Andrew Jannakos 1
BRS Kash 1
Clairo 1
Juanka 1
Zac Brown Band 1
6lack 1
G-Eazy 1
Meghan Trainor 1
Clever 1
Anitta 1
T.I. 1
Yaviah 1
Skylar Grey 1
Lindsay Ell 1
Sosa Geek 1
Sheck Wes 1
Royce Da 5'9 1
White Gold 1
Ashanti 1
Kygo 1
OneRepublic 1
Syd 1
Dr. Dre 1
Fat Joe 1
Anderson .Paak 1
DJ Snake 1
Amanda Shires 1
Snoop Dogg 1
King Combs 1
Tierra Whack 1
Young Nudy 1
Sherhonda Gaulden 1
Nipsey Hussle 1
Trace Adkins 1
JetsonMade 1
Mary J. Blige 1
A$AP Rocky 1
Tyler the Creator 1

this list is vetted/accurate, ignore the other one

Anderson Paak finally hit the hot 100 this year? Must have missed it, with which song?

[Lost In Musical Reverie]

Oct 28, 2020 16:39:09 GMT -5 n13l5 said:

Oct 28, 2020 2:53:39 GMT -5 tanooki said:

SPOILER: Click to show

{2020 Chart Year Listed by Most Hot 100 Songs}Lil Uzi Vert 38
Lil Baby 33
YoungBoy Never Broke Again 33
Juice WRLD 32
DaBaby 30
Drake 25
Pop Smoke 22
Gunna 21
Future 20
Taylor Swift 20
The Weeknd 16
Young Thug 15
21 Savage 15
Rod Wave 14
Bad Bunny 14
Eminem 14
Polo G 14
Roddy Ricch 13
Travis Scott 13
Metro Boomin 13
Justin Bieber 12
A Boogie Wit Da Hoodie 12
Mac Miller 10
Megan Thee Stallion 8
Nicki Minaj 8
Tory Lanez 8
Harry Styles 7
Post Malone 7
Selena Gomez 7
Luke Combs 7
Jhene Aiko 7
Don Toliver 7
Moneybagg Yo 7
Lil Wayne 7
Trippie Redd 7
Doja Cat 6
Kane Brown 6
Halsey 6
Quavo 6
Khalid 6
Lil Durk 6
J Balvin 6
Big Sean 6
Dua Lipa 5
Billie Eilish 5
Jonas Brothers 5
Chris Brown 5
Camila Cabello 5
BTS 5
NLE Choppa 5
Marshmello 5
Sam Smith 5
Karol G 5
Anuel AA 5
Morgan Wallen 4
Lady Gaga 4
Ed Sheeran 4
Cardi B 4
Blake Shelton 4
Keith Urban 4
Demi Lovato 4
Summer Walker 4
JACKBOYS 4
Lil Tecca 4
Machine Gun Kelly 4
Lil Tjay 4
BLACKPINK 4
Bryson Tiller 4
Meek Mill 4
John Legend 4
Ty Dolla $ign 4
Kehlani 4
blackbear 3
Lil Nas X 3
Thomas Rhett 3
YNW Melly 3
Kenny Chesney 3
Tyga 3
Kelsea Ballerini 3
PARTYNEXTDOOR 3
Ozuna 3
Niall Horan 3
NAV 3
Internet Money 3
J. Cole 3
Chance the Rapper 3
Kelly Clarkson 3
Sech 3
Daddy Yankee 3
Fivio Foreign 3
Lewis Capaldi 2
Maroon 5 2
Lizzo 2
Trevor Daniel 2
Lil Mosey 2
Sam Hunt 2
Dan + Shay 2
Mustard 2
Luke Bryan 2
Jason Aldean 2
Ariana Grande 2
Beyonce 2
Shawn Mendes 2
Miranda Lambert 2
Jon Pardi 2
6ix9ine 2
24kGoldn 2
Black Eyed Peas 2
42 Dugg 2
Saweetie 2
DJ Khaled 2
H.E.R. 2
Carly Pearce 2
Gwen Stefani 2
Kid Cudi 2
Chris Janson 2
Gene Autry 2
Lady A 2
Matt Stell 2
Migos 2
Eric Church 2
Joji 2
Idina Menzel 2
SZA 2
Jeremih 2
Perry Cuomo 2
Kanye West 2
Alicia Keys 2
Chris Lane 2
Swae Lee 2
Playboi Carti 2
London On Da Track 2
Justin Timberlake 2
Lil Yachty 2
A$AP Ferg 2
Stunna 4 Vegas 2
ROSALIA 2
MadeinTYO 2
Myke Towers 2
Brantley Gilbert 2
Nas 2
Miguel 2
Maren Morris 1
Tones & I 1
Arizona Zervas 1
SAINt JHN 1
Gabby Barrett 1
Jack Harlow 1
SHAED 1
Surfaces 1
Old Dominion 1
Maddie & Tae 1
Powfu 1
StaySolidRocky 1
Mariah Carey 1
Lee Brice 1
Charlie Puth 1
Jason Derulo 1
Jawsh 685 1
JP Saxe 1
Ingrid Andress 1
Brenda Lee 1
Dustin Lynch 1
Florida Georgia Line 1
BENEE 1
Jordan Davis 1
Travis Denning 1
Brett Young 1
AJR 1
Burl Ives 1
Jake Owen 1
Russ 1
Bobby Helms 1
Andy Williams 1
surf mesa 1
Miley Cyrus 1
Justin Moore 1
beabadoobee 1
twenty one pilots 1
Parker McCollum 1
Ava Max 1
Wham! 1
Wale 1
HARDY 1
Jameson Rodgers 1
Riley Green 1
Scotty McCreery 1
Jimmie Allen 1
Conan Gray 1
Ashley McBryde 1
LOCASH 1
Julia Michaels 1
Dean Martin 1
Jose Feliciano 1
Tim McGraw 1
Diplo 1
iann dior 1
Nat King Cole 1
Maluma 1
The Ronettes 1
Regard 1
Brockhampton 1
DaniLeigh 1
Gus Dapperton 1
Tae McRae 1
YG 1
Noah Cyrus 1
Chloe X Halle 1
ATR Son Son 1
BIA 1
Money Man 1
Ant Saunders 1
AURORA 1
Chase Rice 1
Russell Dickerson 1
Emilee 1
Katy Perry 1
Fleetwood Mac 1
NF 1
Chris Stapleton 1
Billy Ray Cyrus 1
A7S 1
Topic 1
Gucci Mane 1
Carrie Underwood 1
Ellie Goulding 1
Bugsey 1
Young T 1
Rihanna 1
Giveon 1
50 Cent 1
9lokknine 1
Headie One 1
Disclosure 1
Usher 1
The Kid LAROI 1
G Herbo 1
Leon Bridges 1
T-Pain 1
Devin Dawson 1
Lauren Alaina 1
Vedo 1
Darlene Love 1
Calvin Harris 1
Chuck Berry 1
Offset 1
Reba McEntire 1
Garth Brooks 1
Chris Tomlin 1
Hillary Scott 1
Why Don't We 1
Elvis Presley 1
Niko Moon 1
Bing Crosby 1
Ozzy Osbourne 1
BabyKeem 1
Frank Sinatra 1
Ritt Momney 1
WhoHeem 1
Thurl Ravenscroft 1
Mulatto 1
Ashe 1
City Girls 1
Layton Greene 1
PnB Rock 1
Normani 1
Tainy 1
M.I.A. 1
Olivia Rodrigo 1
SadaBaby 1
J. Rey Soul 1
Pink 1
Panic! At the Disco 1
Evan Rachel Wood 1
Sleepy Hallow 1
Breland 1
bbno$ 1
Y2K 1
J.I. 1
Benny Blanco 1
Arcangel 1
Ne-Yo 1
Rick Ross 1
XXXTentacion 1
Chief Keef 1
Brray 1
Nio Garcia 1
Farruko 1
Young MA 1
Agust D 1
Jowell 1
Nengo Flow 1
Randy 1
Tyla Yaweh 1
Bebe Rexha 1
Ali Gatie 1
Dierks Bentley 1
Yung Bleu 1
Rowdy Rebel 1
ZAYN 1
Kevin Gates 1
Larray 1
Logic 1
YFN Lucci 1
Andrew Jannakos 1
BRS Kash 1
Clairo 1
Juanka 1
Zac Brown Band 1
6lack 1
G-Eazy 1
Meghan Trainor 1
Clever 1
Anitta 1
T.I. 1
Yaviah 1
Skylar Grey 1
Lindsay Ell 1
Sosa Geek 1
Sheck Wes 1
Royce Da 5'9 1
White Gold 1
Ashanti 1
Kygo 1
OneRepublic 1
Syd 1
Dr. Dre 1
Fat Joe 1
Anderson .Paak 1
DJ Snake 1
Amanda Shires 1
Snoop Dogg 1
King Combs 1
Tierra Whack 1
Young Nudy 1
Sherhonda Gaulden 1
Nipsey Hussle 1
Trace Adkins 1
JetsonMade 1
Mary J. Blige 1
A$AP Rocky 1
Tyler the Creator 1

this list is vetted/accurate, ignore the other one

Anderson Paak finally hit the hot 100 this year? Must have missed it, with which song?

"Lock It Up", a collaboration with Eminem for his "Music To Be Murdered By" album earlier this year.

[inverse]

What songs do we think can repeat onto the 2021 year end list? It's hard because the points are so weak that high positions don't make a song safe. Even WAP despite being at #2 is only like 5000 points away from out of the top 10 and isn't a lock. My personal predictions are in bold.

There's only two songs I think are truly guaranteed
-Mood
-Laugh Now Cry Later

Some pretty safe bets
-WAP
-Savage Love
-Rockstar

Four songs that are gonna have the 52/25 rule to deal with
-Blinding Lights
-I Hope

-Before You Go

-What's Poppin

Some lower songs that I think are iffy

-Dynamite

-Watermelon Sugar

-For The Night

-Go Crazy

-Be Like That

-Come & Go

-ily

And one song that doesn't fit categorization

-All I Want For Christmas Is You

lastly there's the sad tale of Circles and I just don't see it. It first has to survive Ariana which I think it can. Then it's gonna be killed by Christmas but I think it can at least stick it out for like 5 weeks before the Christmas songs blitz the top 20 and Billboard will let it return in January. But then Drake will happen in late January and if it's even still on by that point there is no way that it will survive that or have gotten enough points. (This Drake album is also why I think I Hope will miss)

[waluigionascooter]

Oct 28, 2020 18:00:08 GMT -5 inverse said:

What songs do we think can repeat onto the 2021 year end list? It's hard because the points are so weak that high positions don't make a song safe. Even WAP despite being at #2 is only like 5000 points away from out of the top 10 and isn't a lock. My personal predictions are in bold.

There's only two songs I think are truly guaranteed
-Mood
-Laugh Now Cry Later

Some pretty safe bets
-WAP
-Savage Love
-Rockstar

Four songs that are gonna have the 52/25 rule to deal with
-Blinding Lights
-I Hope

-Before You Go

-What's Poppin

Some lower songs that I think are iffy

-Dynamite

-Watermelon Sugar

-For The Night

-Go Crazy

-Be Like That

-Come & Go

-ily

And one song that doesn't fit categorization

-All I Want For Christmas Is You

lastly there's the sad tale of Circles and I just don't see it. It first has to survive Ariana which I think it can. Then it's gonna be killed by Christmas but I think it can at least stick it out for like 5 weeks before the Christmas songs blitz the top 20 and Billboard will let it return in January. But then Drake will happen in late January and if it's even still on by that point there is no way that it will survive that or have gotten enough points. (This Drake album is also why I think I Hope will miss)

For The Night might have a decent chance, since it JUST got picked up on radio, so it might stick around for an extra 15+ weeks

[CarnoTorrential]

I remember last Christmas season, when the Christmas songs fell off, a bunch of hits that had been knocked off by them had been brought out of recurrency and re-entered (Only Human, I Don't Care, Sucker, Talk, Beautiful People, Suge, & Baby).

Can we expect that to happen again this year? And if so, could Circles re-enter and have a shot at a year-end three-peat?

[GP]

WAP is surely guaranteed

[mikerivera]

Oct 29, 2020 12:50:27 GMT -5 CarnoTorrential said:

I remember last Christmas season, when the Christmas songs fell off, a bunch of hits that had been knocked off by them had been brought out of recurrency and re-entered (Only Human, I Don't Care, Sucker, Talk, Beautiful People, Suge, & Baby).

Can we expect that to happen again this year? And if so, could Circles re-enter and have a shot at a year-end three-peat?

Absolutely not. Notice how none of those songs you listed made the YE. Because even if they did come back, they still lost weeks that would’ve made a massive difference. And Circles has a higher standard than all of those songs, because it’s subject to the 25/52 rule

[xtynaaguilera99]

Speaking of Year End credits:

- Say So will be credited under its solo version, right?
- I Hope will be credited under Charlie Puth’s version?

[Lost In Musical Reverie]

Oct 29, 2020 13:59:13 GMT -5 xtynaaguilera99 said:

Speaking of Year End credits:

- Say So will be credited under its solo version, right?
- I Hope 

[Groovy]

Oct 29, 2020 13:59:13 GMT -5 xtynaaguilera99 said:

Speaking of Year End credits:

- Say So will be credited under its solo version, right?
- I Hope will be credited under Charlie Puth’s version?

The former, yes. The latter, no.

[GPMB]

given the current state of my own year end prediction system, assuming that there will be 2 instead of 3 weeks left of the chart year, and given what I personally think will happen in said last 2 weeks, this is what I predict the final year end will look like

1. Blinding Lights
2. Circles
3. The Box
4. Don't Start Now
5. Life Is Good
6. ROCKSTAR
7. Adore You
8. Memories
9. I Hope
10. The Bones
11. Say So
12. WHATS POPPIN
13. Someone You Loved
14. Savage
15. Intentions
16. Roses
17. Dance Monkey
18. everything i wanted
19. ROXANNE
20. Watermelon Sugar
21. Falling
22. Before You Go
23. Blueberry Faygo
24. WAP
25. hot girl bummer
26. 10,000 Hours
27. Ballin'
28. Break My Heart
29. Heartless
30. Toosie Slide
31. BOP
32. Savage Love
33. Chasin' You
34. My Oh My
35. Lose You to Love Me
36. Good as Hell
37. High Fashion
38. Go Crazy
39. No Guidance
40. Laugh Now Cry Later
41. Dynamite
42. Woah
43. death bed
44. Senorita
45. Rain on Me
46. Mood
47. RITMO
48. Come & Go
49. Nobody but You
50. For the Night
51. HIGHEST IN THE ROOM
52. Heart on Ice
53. bad guy
54. Godzilla
55. If the World Was Ending
56. Trampoline
57. We Paid
58. Got What I Got
59. Sunday Best
60. POPSTAR
61. Truth Hurts
62. Die from a Broken Heart
63. Yummy
64. Party Girl
65. One Man Band
66. Emotionally Scarred
67. I Hope You're Happy Now
68. One Margarita
69. Suicidal
70. One of Them Girls
71. Sum 2 Prove
72. You should be sad
73. Hard to Forget
74. THE SCOTTS
75. Bandit
76. Wishing Well
77. The Woo
78. The Bigger Picture
79. Only Human
80. Stuck with U
81. Hot
82. Supalonely
83. Mood Swings
84. Dior
85. Homesick
86. Be like That
87. Panini
88. P*$$Y Fairy (OTW)
89. Rags2Riches
90. Juicy
91. Does to Me
92. Bluebird
93. Even Though I'm Leaving
94. ily
95. Slide
96. All I Want for Christmas Is You
97. cardigan
98. Tusa
99. Said Sum
100. Walk Em Down

101. BEST ON EARTH
102. More than My Hometown
103. OUT WEST
104. More Hearts than Mine
105. Lovin' on You
106. Kinfolks
107. I Don't Care

[xtynaaguilera99]

Oct 29, 2020 14:58:35 GMT -5 Groovy said:

Oct 29, 2020 13:59:13 GMT -5 xtynaaguilera99 said:

Speaking of Year End credits:

- Say So will be credited under its solo version, right?
- I Hope will be credited under Charlie Puth’s version?

The former, yes. The latter, no.

Why Charlie won’t receive credit on I Hope?

[xtynaaguilera99]

Oct 29, 2020 14:45:22 GMT -5 Lost In Musical Reverie said:

Oct 29, 2020 13:59:13 GMT -5 xtynaaguilera99 said:

Speaking of Year End credits:

- Say So will be credited under its solo version, right?
- I Hope 

😂😂😂😂
Nicki’s version is a hot mess!

[CarnoTorrential]

Oct 29, 2020 13:22:26 GMT -5 mikerivera said:

Oct 29, 2020 12:50:27 GMT -5 CarnoTorrential said:

I remember last Christmas season, when the Christmas songs fell off, a bunch of hits that had been knocked off by them had been brought out of recurrency and re-entered (Only Human, I Don't Care, Sucker, Talk, Beautiful People, Suge, & Baby).

Can we expect that to happen again this year? And if so, could Circles re-enter and have a shot at a year-end three-peat?

Absolutely not. Notice how none of those songs you listed made the YE. Because even if they did come back, they still lost weeks that would’ve made a massive difference. And Circles has a higher standard than all of those songs, because it’s subject to the 25/52 rule

Well Only Human will make 2020's year end, but your point still stands.

[Groovy]

Oct 29, 2020 15:22:17 GMT -5 xtynaaguilera99 said:

Oct 29, 2020 14:58:35 GMT -5 Groovy said:

The former, yes. The latter, no.

Why Charlie won’t receive credit on I Hope?

Although the remix out peaked the original, the original has charting much longer than the remix. The remix started charting the second time it entered the top 10 which would be 4 or 5 weeks whereas the original has been charting for almost 40 weeks, it has no hope of making the year-end even if it hits number 1. 

[plankton5165]

Oct 28, 2020 18:00:08 GMT -5 inverse said:

What songs do we think can repeat onto the 2021 year end list? It's hard because the points are so weak that high positions don't make a song safe. Even WAP despite being at #2 is only like 5000 points away from out of the top 10 and isn't a lock. My personal predictions are in bold.

There's only two songs I think are truly guaranteed
-Mood
-Laugh Now Cry Later

Some pretty safe bets
-WAP
-Savage Love
-Rockstar

Four songs that are gonna have the 52/25 rule to deal with
-Blinding Lights
-I Hope

-Before You Go

-What's Poppin

Some lower songs that I think are iffy

-Dynamite

-Watermelon Sugar

-For The Night

-Go Crazy

-Be Like That

-Come & Go

-ily

And one song that doesn't fit categorization

-All I Want For Christmas Is You

lastly there's the sad tale of Circles and I just don't see it. It first has to survive Ariana which I think it can. Then it's gonna be killed by Christmas but I think it can at least stick it out for like 5 weeks before the Christmas songs blitz the top 20 and Billboard will let it return in January. But then Drake will happen in late January and if it's even still on by that point there is no way that it will survive that or have gotten enough points. (This Drake album is also why I think I Hope will miss)

If Circles is to do it, it will be the first song to crack the Billboard Year-End three times.

[waluigionascooter]

Oct 29, 2020 13:22:26 GMT -5 mikerivera said:

Oct 29, 2020 12:50:27 GMT -5 CarnoTorrential said:

I remember last Christmas season, when the Christmas songs fell off, a bunch of hits that had been knocked off by them had been brought out of recurrency and re-entered (Only Human, I Don't Care, Sucker, Talk, Beautiful People, Suge, & Baby).

Can we expect that to happen again this year? And if so, could Circles re-enter and have a shot at a year-end three-peat?

Absolutely not. Notice how none of those songs you listed made the YE. Because even if they did come back, they still lost weeks that would’ve made a massive difference. And Circles has a higher standard than all of those songs, because it’s subject to the 25/52 rule

Also there's a light chance that Circles could fall out before Christmas, from a big enough album bomb. 
Ariana Grande is right around the corner.

[smallbubble]

I actually thinks that WAP would have a run rather similar to in my feelings (20-25 weeks on the chart, collapse rather quickly after leaving top 5) judging by its declining rate on spotify, which means it would probably miss the 2021 list.
P.S: WAP's run at the top should be just as strong as IMF if not for the removal of UGC...

[inverse]

Cool chart nerd stat if Lovin' On You can make it then Luke Combs would by far break the record for lowest placement of 3 songs on the year end list (meaning only 3, not just taking the 3 lowest from someone with more). There's even a chance that all three are in the 90's which i don't think has ever happened before. It would probably set an unbeatable record

The current holder of this not-exactly-coveted record is Dev who had 3 songs in 2011 at #72, #84 and #85.

[Groovy]

Just a prediction of what I think will make the year-end list in 2021

positions by Ariana Grande
Forever After All by Luke Combs
Heather by Conan Gray
Mood by 24kGoldn feat. Iann Dior
For the Night by Pop Smoke feat. Lil Baby and DaBaby
Laugh Now Cry Later by Drake feat. Lil Durk
Holy by Justin Bieber feat. Chance the Rapper
Tyler Herro by Jack Harlow
Lonely by Justin Bieber feat. Benny Blanco
Put Your Records On by Ritt Momney
7 Summers by Morgan Wallen
you broke me first by Tate McRae
Golden by Harry Styles
Levitating by Dua Lipa feat. DaBaby
What You Know About Love by Pop Smoke
34+35 by Ariana Grande
Bang by AJR
Kings & Queens by Ava Max
ily by Surf Mesa feat. Emilee
WAP by Cardi B feat. Megan thee Stallion
Midnight Sky by Miley Cyrus
Lemonade by Internet Money & Gunna feat. Don Toliver & NAV

[Foxable]

Oct 30, 2020 8:58:01 GMT -5 Groovy said:

Just a prediction of what I think will make the year-end list in 2021

positions by Ariana Grande
Forever After All by Luke Combs
Heather by Conan Gray
Mood by 24kGoldn feat. Iann Dior
For the Night by Pop Smoke feat. Lil Baby and DaBaby
Laugh Now Cry Later by Drake feat. Lil Durk
Holy by Justin Bieber feat. Chance the Rapper
Tyler Herro by Jack Harlow
Lonely by Justin Bieber feat. Benny Blanco
Put Your Records On by Ritt Momney
7 Summers by Morgan Wallen
you broke me first by Tate McRae
Golden by Harry Styles
Levitating by Dua Lipa feat. DaBaby
What You Know About Love by Pop Smoke
34+35 by Ariana Grande
Bang by AJR
Kings & Queens by Ava Max
ily by Surf Mesa feat. Emilee
WAP by Cardi B feat. Megan thee Stallion
Midnight Sky by Miley Cyrus
Lemonade by Internet Money & Gunna feat. Don Toliver & NAV

I don't see Midnight Sky being able to make next year's year end because it's already starting to tank on the radio.

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Hot shot predictions for 2021: 7 Summers is going to end up in the year end Top 10 thanks to longevity on streaming, and once the radio push starts, it'll hold the top spot on country charts for months.

[Groovy]

Oct 30, 2020 13:18:20 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Hot shot predictions for 2021: 7 Summers is going to end up in the year end Top 10 thanks to longevity on streaming, and once the radio push starts, it'll hold the top spot on country charts for months.

That would be great

[Groovy]

Oct 30, 2020 12:23:40 GMT -5 Foxable said:

Oct 30, 2020 8:58:01 GMT -5 Groovy said:

Just a prediction of what I think will make the year-end list in 2021

positions by Ariana Grande
Forever After All by Luke Combs
Heather by Conan Gray
Mood by 24kGoldn feat. Iann Dior
For the Night by Pop Smoke feat. Lil Baby and DaBaby
Laugh Now Cry Later by Drake feat. Lil Durk
Holy by Justin Bieber feat. Chance the Rapper
Tyler Herro by Jack Harlow
Lonely by Justin Bieber feat. Benny Blanco
Put Your Records On by Ritt Momney
7 Summers by Morgan Wallen
you broke me first by Tate McRae
Golden by Harry Styles
Levitating by Dua Lipa feat. DaBaby
What You Know About Love by Pop Smoke
34+35 by Ariana Grande
Bang by AJR
Kings & Queens by Ava Max
ily by Surf Mesa feat. Emilee
WAP by Cardi B feat. Megan thee Stallion
Midnight Sky by Miley Cyrus
Lemonade by Internet Money & Gunna feat. Don Toliver & NAV

I don't see Midnight Sky being able to make next year's year end because it's already starting to tank on the radio.

Maybe the album can give it a new lease on life. 

[joshtheking]

Oct 30, 2020 13:18:20 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Hot shot predictions for 2021: 7 Summers is going to end up in the year end Top 10 thanks to longevity on streaming, and once the radio push starts, it'll hold the top spot on country charts for months.

so basically The Bones 2.0

[inverse]

Adore You vs Life Is Good is gonna come down to the wire. Hoping Adore You can pull off the advantage not only because it's better but also because it'd be a #6 peak finishing at 6

[spoons]

Oct 30, 2020 23:07:52 GMT -5 inverse said:

Adore You vs Life Is Good is gonna come down to the wire. Hoping Adore You can pull off the advantage not only because it's better but also because it'd be a #6 peak finishing at 6

i hope LiG beats it because Adore You felt big, but Watermelon Sugar felt bigger. All subjective.

[mikerivera]

Oct 30, 2020 23:07:52 GMT -5 inverse said:

Adore You vs Life Is Good is gonna come down to the wire. Hoping Adore You can pull off the advantage not only because it's better but also because it'd be a #6 peak finishing at 6

So basically, the same reason I really wanted to see 7 Rings finish at #7 last year, Say You Won’t Let Go at #11 in 2017, and Thinking Out Loud at #2 in 2015. 

[𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿]

Oct 31, 2020 0:59:37 GMT -5 mikerivera said:

Oct 30, 2020 23:07:52 GMT -5 inverse said:

Adore You vs Life Is Good is gonna come down to the wire. Hoping Adore You can pull off the advantage not only because it's better but also because it'd be a #6 peak finishing at 6

So basically, the same reason I really wanted to see 7 Rings finish at #7 last year, Say You Won’t Let Go at #11 in 2017, and Thinking Out Loud at #2 in 2015. 

All those songs mentioned did end up at the same YE position as their peak/namesake, let's hope Adore You does this too

[waluigionascooter]

Oct 31, 2020 0:59:37 GMT -5 mikerivera said:

Oct 30, 2020 23:07:52 GMT -5 inverse said:

Adore You vs Life Is Good is gonna come down to the wire. Hoping Adore You can pull off the advantage not only because it's better but also because it'd be a #6 peak finishing at 6

So basically, the same reason I really wanted to see 7 Rings finish at #7 last year, Say You Won’t Let Go at #11 in 2017, and Thinking Out Loud at #2 in 2015. 

I mean The Bones could probably finish at 12