2020 Billboard Hot 100 Year-End Predictions (Year 8)

[tanooki]

Hot 100 Artist Year End - Week 51/52 (98.1%)

LW TW Artist Points
1 1 Roddy Ricch 2,115,900
2 2 The Weeknd 2,035,466
3 3 DaBaby 1,751,324
4 4 Lil Baby 1,566,158
5 5 Drake 1,462,625
6 6 Dua Lipa 1,452,092
7 7 Harry Styles 1,383,545
8 8 Post Malone 1,366,114
9 9 Juice WRLD 1,298,691
10 10 Lewis Capaldi 1,188,262

11 11 Justin Bieber 1,184,761
13 12 Pop Smoke 983,519
12 13 Billie Eilish 971,702
14 14 Megan Thee Stallion 848,766
15 15 Maroon 5 817,313
16 16 Lil Uzi Vert 767,150
17 17 Morgan Wallen 728,929
18 18 Doja Cat 707,729
19 19 Future 693,466
20 20 Maren Morris 681,598

21 21 Lizzo 667,017
22 22 Taylor Swift 643,386
23 23 Tones & I 614,329
24 24 Arizona Zervas 608,343
26 25 Chris Brown 563,156
25 26 Jonas Brothers 562,662
27 27 Rod Wave 561,160
29 28 SAINt JHN 554,863
28 29 YoungBoy Never Broke Again 550,768
30 30 Selena Gomez 538,082

31 31 Trevor Daniel 529,363
33 32 Kane Brown 515,374
32 33 blackbear 511,496
34 34 Lil Mosey 489,984
36 35 Young Thug 467,475
35 36 Camila Cabello 466,864
37 37 Gabby Barrett 463,262
43 38 Luke Combs 455,811
39 39 Jack Harlow 449,840
38 40 Halsey 442,262

40 41 BTS 437,846
41 42 Bad Bunny 400,829
42 43 Sam Hunt 389,505
44 44 Travis Scott 381,161
45 45 Gunna 381,025
47 46 Dan + Shay 370,055
46 47 Nicki Minaj 364,210
48 48 Mustard 354,402
49 49 Luke Bryan 345,952
50 50 Jason Aldean 338,012

51 51 Lil Nas X 316,830
52 52 Lady Gaga 295,674
53 53 Eminem 289,368
61 54 Ariana Grande 285,456
54 55 Jhene Aiko 283,919
55 56 Polo G 282,865
56 57 Don Toliver 277,122
57 58 SHAED 262,617
60 59 Cardi B 260,857
58 60 Ed Sheeran 258,163

59 61 NLE Choppa 254,609
62 62 Surfaces 239,738
63 63 Old Dominion 234,396
64 64 Maddie & Tae 228,379
66 65 Blake Shelton 228,103
70 66 Moneybagg Yo 224,080
65 67 Powfu 222,088
67 68 StaySolidRocky 221,578
69 69 Marshmello 218,075
68 70 Mariah Carey 215,136

74 71 Shawn Mendes 208,039
75 72 Lee Brice 205,428
71 73 Beyonce 201,310
72 74 Keith Urban 199,005
76 75 Charlie Puth 198,541
73 76 Thomas Rhett 198,355
80 77 Jason Derulo 190,651
81 78 Jawsh 685 190,651
77 79 Miranda Lambert 189,812
86 80 24kGoldn 188,789

78 81 Quavo 187,630
82 82 Jon Pardi 186,743
79 83 Khalid 184,483
83 84 JP Saxe 175,677
92 85 Saweetie 172,824
91 86 Lil Durk 172,166
84 87 6ix9ine 170,930
85 88 YNW Melly 169,427
87 89 Ingrid Andress 169,077
88 90 Demi Lovato 169,044

89 91 Black Eyed Peas 168,975
93 92 Sam Smith 167,118
90 93 42 Dugg 166,308
94 94 DJ Khaled 165,665
95 95 H.E.R. 161,227
97 96 Tory Lanez 151,844
96 97 Brenda Lee 151,172
98 98 Dustin Lynch 149,459
99 99 Florida Georgia Line 149,422
100 100 Summer Walker 147,954

101 101 JACKBOYS 147,439
106 102 Kenny Chesney 142,228
109 103 AJR 141,937
102 104 Mac Miller 140,632
103 105 BENEE 140,493
104 106 Jordan Davis 137,930
105 107 Travis Denning 137,764
107 108 Lil Tecca 136,373
110 109 J Balvin 131,998
108 110 Brett Young 130,606

111 111 Carly Pearce 123,528
112 112 Burl Ives 123,221
113 113 Jake Owen 121,346
114 114 Russ 121,315
115 115 A Boogie Wit Da Hoodie 119,150
116 116 Bobby Helms 117,281
120 117 surf mesa 115,318
117 118 Andy Williams 113,856
118 119 Gwen Stefani 113,847
121 120 Miley Cyrus 113,646

124 121 Lady A 109,904
119 122 Kid Cudi 106,744
122 123 Chris Janson 105,982
132 124 Ava Max 105,801
123 125 Gene Autry 105,332
125 126 Lil Wayne 104,362
131 127 Parker McCollum 103,510
126 128 Trippie Redd 102,559
127 129 Tyga 100,664
133 130 Machine Gun Kelly 99,548

136 131 HARDY 98,400
139 132 Matt Stell 96,935
140 133 Jameson Rodgers 96,479
128 134 Justin Moore 95,991
129 135 beabadoobee 95,181
130 136 twenty one pilots 94,846
137 137 Kelsea Ballerini 94,119
134 138 Wham! 92,435
135 139 Wale 92,422
142 140 21 Savage 90,568

138 141 PARTYNEXTDOOR 89,007
147 142 Conan Gray 86,723
141 143 Riley Green 85,762
143 144 Scotty McCreery 83,005
144 145 Ozuna 82,108
148 146 NAV 80,959
145 147 Niall Horan 80,866
146 148 Jimmie Allen 80,856
158 149 iann dior 78,392
149 150 Ashley McBryde 76,802

[spicymapping]

one left

TL,DR:
Locked: Be Like That, ily
Added: Kings & Queens, Happy Anywhere, 7 Summers, Some Girls

1. Blinding Lights (=) 1,222,166
2. Circles (=) 1,113,862
3. The Box (=) 1,063,811
4. Don't Start Now (=) 922,940
5. Rockstar (=) 849,654
6. Adore You (=) 782,170
7. Life Is Good (=) 765,069
8. Say So (=) 670,907
9. The Bones (=) 654,324
10. I Hope (+1) 652,404
11. Memories (-1) 651,155
12. Whats Poppin (=) 632,886
13. Savage (=) 613,680
14. Someone You Loved (=) 606,735
15. Intentions (=) 559,364
16. Dance Monkey (=) 556,098
17. Roses (=) 548,482
18. Watermelon Sugar (+2) 536,780
19. Roxanne (-1) 534,340
20. Everything I Wanted (-1) 521,439
21. Before You Go (=) 517,131
22. WAP (=) 514,821
23. Falling (=) 484,502
24. Blueberry Faygo (=) 467,843
25. 10,000 Hours (=) 457,214
26. Hot Girl Bummer (=) 441,916
27. Ballin' (=) 438,166
28. Break My Heart (=) 418,462
29. Toosie Slide (=) 405,194
30. Chasin' You (=) 396,554
31. Savage Love (+2) 395,123
32. Heartless (-1) 388,485
33. Bop (-1) 383,054
34. Go Crazy (+3) 374,138
35. Dynamite (+4) 373,920
36. Lose You To Love Me (-2) 373,297
37. Good As Hell (-2) 369,350
38. My Oh My (-2) 363,087
39. High Fashion (-1) 358,117
40. No Guidance (=) 349,316
41. Laugh Now, Cry Later (=) 346,471
42. Death Bed (=) 319,952
43. Rain On Me (=) 303,153
44. Woah (=) 293,639
45. For The Night (+2) 284,706
46. Mood (+9) 274,240
47. Señorita (-2) 271,188
48. RITMO (-2) 270,197
49. Highest In The Room (-1) 264,202
50. Nobody But You (-1) 263,628
51. Come & Go (+3) 260,689
52. Heart On Ice (-2) 257,849
53. If The World Was Ending (-2) 254,182
54. Bad Guy (-2) 253,394
55. We Paid (-2) 252,306
56. Sunday Best (=) 237,389
57. Got What I Got (+4) 236,716
58. Party Girl (-1) 234,247
59. Die From A Broken Heart (-1) 233,557
60. Trampoline (-1) 232,506
61. One Margarita (-1) 226,993
62. Popstar (+3) 226,910
63. The Bigger Picture (+3) 223,769
64. Truth Hurts (-2) 221,282
65. Hard To Forget (-2) 220,113
66. Emotionally Scarred (-2) 219,317
67. I Hope You're Happy Now (=) 217,725
68. One Of Them Girls (+4) 217,606
69. Godzilla (-1) 217,342
70. Yummy (-1) 214,852
71. The Woo (+3) 212,544
72. One Man Band (-2) 208,636
73. Stuck With U (-2) 207,789
74. Mood Swings (+3) 207,630
75. Suicidal (-2) 201,992
76. Sum 2 Prove (-1) 200,888
77. Supalonely (-1) 198,221
78. Bandit (=) 197,769
79. Rags2Riches (+10) 194,491
80. Dior (-1) 194,380
81. You Should Be Sad (-1) 190,343
82. Wishing Well (+8) 190,038
83. Bluebird (-2) 189,530
84. Hot (-2) 189,430
85. The Scotts (-2) 189,249
86. Only Human (-2) 188,967
87. Be Like That (+6) 188,734
88. All I Want For Christmas Is You (-3) 187,492
89. Homesick (-3) 187,299
90. Panini (-3) 187,261
91. Does To Me (-3) 185,175
92. P*$$y Fairy (-1) 182,547
93. Juicy (-1) 176,936
94. ily (+8) 176,221

--PROJECTED CUTOFF - 175K POINTS--

95. Lovin' On You (+5) 174,950
96. Slide (-2) 174,653
97. Walk Em Down (-2) 173,813
98. More Than My Hometown (+6) 172,140
99. Even Though I'm Leaving (-3) 171,964
100. Said Sum (+9) 169,558

101. Tusa (-4) 167,560
102. Tap In (+4) 166,371
103. Cool Again (-5) 165,327
104. Best On Earth (-5) 165,173
105. Out West (-4) 164,567
106. Cardigan (+1) 163,294
107. More Hearts Than Mine (-4) 162,364
108. Lemonade (+8) 159,357
109. Kinfolks (-4) 158,889
110. Be A Light (-2) 158,306
111. I Love My Country (-1) 154,496
112. Girls In The Hood (-1) 153,116
113. I Don't Care (-1) 152,321
114. One Beer (+3) 151,321
115. Bang! (+5) 150,564

137. Greece (+4) 124,337
142. Holy (+12) 121,537
143. I Should Probably Go To Bed (+4) 119,615
148. Midnight Sky (+1) 116,031
150. Pretty Heart (+6) 112,085
151. Kings & Queens (NEW) 112,074
153. Happy Anywhere (NEW) 108,224
155. 7 Summers (NEW) 107,102
159. Some Girls (NEW) 103,910

--TRACKING CUTOFF - 100K POINTS--

[After Minutes]

So is Blinding Lights locked to be the YE #1 this year?

[xtynaaguilera99]

BILLBOARD YEAR-END PREDICTIONS - JANUARY/DECEMBER FORMAT

- ROCKSTAR reaches the Top 5.
- OUT: Truth Hurts, Tusa.
- NEW ENTRIES: More Than My Hometown, Said Sum

WEEK 45/52
1. (=) The Weeknd – Blinding Lights – 1,212,648
2. (=) Roddy Ricch – The Box – 1,121,890
3. (=) Post Malone – Circles – 1,041,167
4. (=) Dua Lipa – Don’t Start Now – 911,098
5. (+1) DaBaby f/ Roddy Ricch – ROCKSTAR – 822,842
6. (-1) Future f/ Drake – Life Is Good – 814,370
7. (=) Harry Styles – Adore You – 780,249
8. (=) Doja Cat – Say So – 676,446
9. (=) Gabby Barrett f/ Charlie Puth – I Hope – 661,803
10. (=) Maren Morris – The Bones – 632,296

11. (=) Jack Harlow f/ DaBaby, Tory Lanez & Lil Wayne – WHAT’S POPPIN – 627,851
12. (=) Megan Thee Stallion f/ Beyoncé – Savage – 614,136
13. (=) Maroon 5 – Memories – 593,740
14. (=) Justin Bieber f/ Quavo – Intentions – 579,587
15. (=) SAINt JHN - Roses (Imanbek Remix) – 554,863
16. (=) Lewis Capaldi – Someone You Loved – 533,491
17. (=) Tones And I – Dance Monkey – 506,186
18. (+1) Lewis Capaldi – Before You Go – 500,682
19. (-1) Billie Eilish – everything i wanted – 496,059
20. (+1) Harry Styles – Watermelon Sugar – 494,871

21. (+3) Cardi B f/ Megan Thee Stallion – WAP – 489,145
22. (-2) Lil Mosey – Blueberry Faygo – 478,993
23. (-1) Arizona Zervas – ROXANNE – 478,266
24. (-1) Trevor Daniel – Falling – 470,388
25. (=) blackbear – hot girl bummer – 430,141
26. (+1) Dua Lipa – Break My Heart – 417,647
27. (-1) Drake – Toosie Slide – 408,906
28. (=) Dan + Shay, Justin Bieber – 10,000 Hours – 400,214
29. (=) Morgan Wallen - Chasin You - 395,604
30. (=) Mustard, Roddy Ricch – Ballin – 389,049

31. (+2) Jawsh 685, Jason Derulo – Savage Love (Laxed – Siren Beat) – 381,302
32. (-1) Roddy Ricch f/ Mustard – High Fashion – 378,715
33. (-1) Camila Cabello f/ DaBaby – My Oh My – 377,849
34. (=) BTS – Dynamite – 376,758
35. (=) The Weeknd – Heartless – 359,239
36. (=) Chris Brown, Young Thug - Go Crazy – 358,235
37. (=) DaBaby - BOP - 325,722
38. (+1) Drake f/ Lil Durk – Laugh Now, Cry Later – 324,208
39. (-1) powfu f/ deabadoobee – death bed (coffee for your head) – 317,269
40. (=) Selena Gomez – Lose You To Love Me – 297,855

41. (=) Lady Gaga, Ariana Grande – Rain On Me – 293,390
42. (=) Chris Brown f/ Drake – No Guidance – 287,293
43. (=) Blake Shelton f/ Gwen Stefani – Nobody But You – 280,425
44. (=) Lizzo – Good as Hell – 277,943
45. (+1) Pop Smoke f/ Lil Baby, DaBaby – For the Night – 269,671
46. (-1) Black Eyed Peas, J Balvin – RITMO (Bad Boys for Life) – 268,469
47. (+8) 24kGoldn f/ iann dior – Mood – 261,307
48. (+3) Juice WRLD, Marshmello – Come & Go – 251,160
49. (-2) JP Saxe f/ Julia Michaels - If the World Was Ending - 250,967
50. (-2) Lil Baby f/ 42 Pugg – We Paid – 245,595

51. (-2) Lil Baby - Woah - 245,590
52. (-2) Surfaces - Sunday Best - 239,738
53. (-1) Eminem f/ Juice WRLD - Godzilla - 238,132
54. (-1) Justin Bieber - Yummy - 235,750
55. (-1) Rod Wave - Heart on Ice - 235,382
56. (-1) Maddie & Tae - Die from a Broken Heart - 228,379
57. (+6) Jason Aldean – Got What I Got – 225,268
58. (-1) StaySolidRocky - Party Girl - 221,578
59. (-1) Lil Baby - Sum 2 Prove - 220,914
60. (+4) DJ Khaled, Drake – POPSTAR – 218,568

61. (-2) Luke Bryan - One Margarita - 218,494
62. (-2) Lil Baby - Emotionally Scarred - 217,459
63. (-2) Sam Hunt - Hard to Forget - 216,521
64. (-2) Carly Pearce, Lee Brice - I Hope You’re Happy Now - 212,657
65. (+4) Lil Baby – The Bigger Picture – 207,483
66. (-1) Halsey - you should be sad - 207,252
67. (-1) Travis Scott - HIGHEST IN THE ROOM - 206,043
68. (-1) Pop Smoke - Dior - 205,816
69. (-1) Ariana Grande, Justin Bieber - Stuck With U - 205,678
70. (+3) Lee Brice – One of Them Girls – 205,428

71. (+4) Pop Smoke f/ 50 Cent, Roddy Ricch – The Woo – 202,249
72. (-2) Shawn Mendes, Camila Cabello – Senorita – 201,837
73. (-2) BENEE, Gus Dapperton - Supalonely - 200,704
74. (+3) Pop Smoke f/ Lil Tjay – Mood Swings – 197,815
75. (-3) THE SCOTTS, Travis Scott & Kid Cudi – THE SCOTTS – 197,612
76. (-2) YNW Melly, Juice WRLD - Suicidal - 192,432
77. (-1) Luke Combs f/ Eric Church - Does to Me - 191,820
78. (=) Billie Eilish - bad guy - 188,963
79. (+4) Rod Wave f/ ATR Son Son – Rags2Riches – 186,230
80. (-1) Jhene Aiko - PU$$Y FAIRY (OTW) - 186,021

81. (-1) H.E.R., YG - Slide - 184,521
82. (=) Juice WRLD – Wishing Well – 184,195
83. (+4) Kane Brown, Swae Lee, Khalid – Be Like That – 183,210
84. (-1) Miranda Lambert - Bluebird - 183,061
85. (-1) NLE Choppa f/ Roddy Ricch - Walk Em Down - 175,402
86. (-1) SHAED - Trampoline - 172,681
87. (-1) Kane Brown - Homesick - 172,627
88. (=) JACKBOYS, Travis Scott f/ Young Thug - OUT WEST - 169,280
89. (=) Ingrid Andreas - More Hearts Than Mine - 169,077
90. (+3) Luke Combs – Lovin On You – 166,746

91. (+6) surf mesa f/ Emilee – ily (i love you baby) – 164,740
92. (-1) Old Dominion - One Man Band - 162,196
93. (NEW) Morgan Wallen - More Than My Hometown - 162,018
94. (-1) Sam Hunt – Kinfolks – 159,527
95. (=) Taylor Swift – cardigan – 159,460
96. (NEW) Moneybagg Yo - Said Sum - 158,180
97. (+2) Saweetie – Tap In – 157,321
98. (-8) Kane Brown – Cool Again – 157,216
99. (-5) Thomas Rhett, Jon Pardi – Beer Can’t Fix – 155,987
100. (-4) Thomas Rhett, Reba McEntire, Hillary Scott, Chris Tomlin, Keith Urban - Be a Light - 153,153

[inverse]

It looks like ily, Lovin On You, and More Than My Hometown will all enter next week unless Ariana does massive damage to their points. This would make Tisa the cutoff and I really can’t see Said Sum passing it, it’ll probably get caught.

Sadly Break My Heart looks like it’ll be denied the chance to pass two songs because of Ariana but it still had a great run.

[reputainbow]

WEEK 51/52

SPOILER: Click to show

{Spoiler}{Spoiler}{Top 100}KEY: 1100+: Locked | 1000+: Very Likely/Near Locked | 900+: Likely | 800+: Possibly | 700+: In Consideration

1 Blinding Lights (The Weeknd) 6877
2 Circles (Post Malone) 6550
3 The Box (Roddy Ricch) 5680
4 Don't Start Now (Dua Lipa) 5117
5 Rockstar (DaBaby/Roddy Ricch) 4777
6 Life Is Good (Future/Drake) 4241
7 Adore You (Harry Styles) 4127
8 Memories (Maroon 5) 3764
9 Say So (Doja Cat/Nicki Minaj) 3634
10 What's Poppin (Jack Harlow) 3502
11 I Hope (Gabby Barrett) 3442
12 Someone You Loved (Lewis Capaldi) 3433
13 The Bones (Maren Morris) 3371
14 Savage (Megan Thee Stallion/Beyonce) 3347
15 Roses (SAINt JHN) 3177
16 Intentions (Justin Bieber/Quavo) 3089
17 ROXANNE (Arizona Zervas) 2933
18 Dance Monkey (Tones and I) 2932
19 Watermelon Sugar (Harry Styles) 2840
20 everything i wanted (Billie Eilish) 2685
21 Falling (Trevor Daniel) 2647
22 Blueberry Faygo (Lil Mosey) 2537
23 Before You Go (Lewis Capaldi) 2497
24 10,000 Hours (Dan + Shay/Justin Bieber) 2400
25 WAP (Cardi B/Megan Thee Stallion) 2370
26 Hot Girl Bummer (Blackbear) 2332
27 Break My Heart (Dua Lipa) 2326
28 Savage Love (Laxed - Siren Beat) (Jawsh 685/Jason Derulo) 2201
29 Ballin' (Mustard/Roddy Ricch) 2201
30 Toosie Slide (Drake) 2186
31 Chasin' You (Morgan Wallen) 2110
32 Heartless (The Weeknd) 2092
33 Good as Hell (Lizzo) 2011
34 High Fashion (Roddy Ricch/Mustard) 1988
35 Lose You to Love Me (Selena Gomez) 1919
36 Go Crazy (Chris Brown/Young Thug) 1911
37 My Oh My (Camila Cabello/DaBaby) 1890
38 No Guidance (Chris Brown/Drake) 1883
39 BOP (DaBaby) 1880
40 Dynamite (BTS) 1839
41 Laugh Now Cry Later (Drake/Lil Durk) 1830
42 death bed (Pwfu/beabadoobee) 1796
43 Mood (24Kgoldn/Iann Dior) 1711
44 Rain on Me (Lady Gaga/Ariana Grande) 1677
45 Woah (Lil Baby) 1538
46 Senorita (Shawn Mendes/Camila Cabello) 1496
47 For the Night (Pop Smoke) 1465
48 Come & Go (Juice WRLD/Marshmello) 1430
49 Nobody But You (Blake Shelton/Gwen Stefani) 1428
50 We Paid (Lil Baby/42 Dugg) 1364
51 HIGHEST IN THE ROOM (Travis Scott) 1351
52 If the World Was Ending (JP Saxe/Julia Michaels) 1342
53 RITMO (Bad Boys For Life) (The Black Eyed Peas/J Balvin) 1338
54 Heart On Ice (Rod Wave) 1331
55 Bad Guy (Billie Eilish) 1273
56 Got What I Got (Jason Aldean) 1264
57 Sunday Best (Surfaces) 1252
58 Party Girl (Staysolidrocky) 1243
59 Popstar (DJ Khaled/Drake) 1241
60 One Margarita (Luke Bryan) 1227
61 Hard to Forget (Sam Hunt) 1204
62 Trampoline (SHAED) 1196
63 Die From a Broken Heart (Maddie & Tae) 1194
64 The Woo (Pop Smoke) 1189
65 Truth Hurts (Lizzo) 1183
66 All I Want for Christmas Is You (Mariah Carey) 1135
67 The Bigger Picture (Lil Baby) 1128
68 Godzilla (Eminem/Juice WRLD) 1115
69 Mood Swings (Pop Smoke) 1112
70 One Man Band (Old Dominion) 1105
71 Emotionally Scarred (Lil Baby) 1094
72 Dior (Pop Smoke) 1077
73 Sum 2 Prove (Lil Baby) 1073
74 Supalonely (BENEE/Gus Dapperton) 1068
75 Wishing Well (Juice WRLD) 1066
76 Be Like That (Kane Brown/Swae Lee/Khalid) 1060
77 One of Them Girls (Lee Brice) 1057
78 The Scotts (Travis Scott/Kid Cudi) 1054
79 Rags 2 Riches (Rod Wave/Atr Son Son) 1046
80 Stuck With U (Ariana Grande/Justin Bieber) 1029
81 I Hope You're Happy Now (Carly Pearce/Lee Brice) 1027
82 Suicidal (YNW Melly/Juice WRLD) 1015
83 Only Human (Jonas Brothers) 1004
84 Does to Me (Luke Combs/Eric Church) 1002
85 Bandit (Juice WRLD/YoungBoy NeverBrokeAgain) 1000
86 You Should Be Sad (Halsey) 989
87 Hot (Young Thug/Gunna) 977
88 Bluebird (Miranda Lambert) 976
89 Yummy (Justin Bieber) 960
90 Panini (Lil Nas X) 943
91 Walk Em Down (NLE Choppa/Roddy Rich) 922
92 Lovin' On You (Luke Combs) 899
93 Cardigan (Taylor Swift) 892
94 Tap In (Saweetie) 889
95 Even Though I'm Leaving (Luke Combs) 884
96 Said Sum (Moneybagg Yo) 882
97 Juicy (Doja Cat/Tyga) 881
98 Slide (H.E.R./YG) 845
99 Homesick (Kane Brown) 837
100 Lemonade (Internet Money/Gunna/Toliver) 830

---

101 I Don't Care (Ed Sheeran/Justin Bieber) 825
102 More Than My Hometown (Morgan Wallen) 822
103 Cool Again (Kane Brown) 807
104 Pussy Fairy (OTW) (Jhene Aiko) 801
105 Beer Can't Fix (Thomas Rhett/Jon Pardi) 780
106 Kinfolks (Sam Hunt) 759
107 ily (surf mesa/Emilee) 751
108 Girls In the Hood (Megan Thee Stallion) 751
109 More Hearts Than Mine (Ingrid Andress) 740
110 Out West (JACKBOYS/Young Thug) 739
111 Stupid Love (Lady Gaga) 736
112 Bang! (AJR) 735
113 After a Few (Travis Denning) 731
114 I Love My Country (Florida Georgia Line) 730
115 Be Kind (Marshmello/Halsey) 725
116 BEST ON EARTH (Russ/BIA) 722
117 Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (Brenda Lee) 722
118 In Your Eyes (The Weeknd) 710
119 Be a Light (Thomas Rhett/Reba McEntire/Hillary Scott/Chris Tomlin/Keith Urban) 702
120 Tusa (Karol G/Nicki Minaj) 700

---

122 Midnight Sky (Miley Cyrus) 664
125 I Should Probably Go to Bed (Dan + Shay) 650
127 Holy (Justin Bieber/Chance the Rapper) 643
131 One Beer (Hardy/Lauren Alaina/Devin Dawson) 616
134 Kings & Queens (Ava Max) 593
136 Greece (DJ Khaled/Drake) 579
139 7 Summers (Morgan Wallen) 556
149 Franchise (Travis Scott/Young Thug/M.I.A.) 516
151 Some Girls (Jameson Rodgers) 512
157 Happy Anywhere (Blake Shelton/Gwen Stefani) 486
160 Heather (Conan Gray) 474
165 Pretty Heart (Parker McCollum) 456
166 What You Know Bout Love (Pop Smoke) 450
167 24 (Money Man/Lil Baby) 443
168 My Ex's Best Friend (Machine Gun Kelly/Blackbear) 442
173 Hawai (Maluma) 402
182 Un Dia (One Day) (J Balvin/Dua Lipa/Bad Bunny) 374
199 Dreams (Fleetwood Mac) 317

If Every Song Stays at This Week's Position for the Rest of the Year

SPOILER: Click to show

{Spoiler}{Spoiler}{Top 100}}1 Blinding Lights (The Weeknd) 7027
2 Circles (Post Malone) 6633
3 The Box (Roddy Ricch) 5680
4 Don't Start Now (Dua Lipa) 5180
5 Rockstar (DaBaby/Roddy Ricch) 4867
6 Life Is Good (Future/Drake) 4241
7 Adore You (Harry Styles) 4197
8 Memories (Maroon 5) 3764
9 Say So (Doja Cat/Nicki Minaj) 3634
10 What's Poppin (Jack Harlow) 3583
11 I Hope (Gabby Barrett) 3582
12 Someone You Loved (Lewis Capaldi) 3433
13 The Bones (Maren Morris) 3371
14 Savage (Megan Thee Stallion/Beyonce) 3347
15 Roses (SAINt JHN) 3239
16 Intentions (Justin Bieber/Quavo) 3089
17 ROXANNE (Arizona Zervas) 2933
18 Dance Monkey (Tones and I) 2932
19 Watermelon Sugar (Harry Styles) 2926
20 everything i wanted (Billie Eilish) 2685
21 Falling (Trevor Daniel) 2647
22 Before You Go (Lewis Capaldi) 2585
23 Blueberry Faygo (Lil Mosey) 2537
24 WAP (Cardi B/Megan Thee Stallion) 2500
25 10,000 Hours (Dan + Shay/Justin Bieber) 2400
26 Break My Heart (Dua Lipa) 2383
27 Hot Girl Bummer (Blackbear) 2332
28 Savage Love (Laxed - Siren Beat) (Jawsh 685/Jason Derulo) 2321
29 Ballin' (Mustard/Roddy Ricch) 2201
30 Toosie Slide (Drake) 2186
31 Chasin' You (Morgan Wallen) 2110
32 Heartless (The Weeknd) 2092
33 Good as Hell (Lizzo) 2011
34 Go Crazy (Chris Brown/Young Thug) 1996
35 Laugh Now Cry Later (Drake/Lil Durk) 1990
36 High Fashion (Roddy Ricch/Mustard) 1988
37 Dynamite (BTS) 1928
38 Lose You to Love Me (Selena Gomez) 1919
39 My Oh My (Camila Cabello/DaBaby) 1890
40 No Guidance (Chris Brown/Drake) 1883
41 Mood (24Kgoldn/Iann Dior) 1881
42 BOP (DaBaby) 1880
43 death bed (Pwfu/beabadoobee) 1796
44 Rain on Me (Lady Gaga/Ariana Grande) 1677
45 For the Night (Pop Smoke) 1552
46 Woah (Lil Baby) 1538
47 Come & Go (Juice WRLD/Marshmello) 1507
48 Senorita (Shawn Mendes/Camila Cabello) 1496
49 Nobody But You (Blake Shelton/Gwen Stefani) 1428
50 We Paid (Lil Baby/42 Dugg) 1364
51 HIGHEST IN THE ROOM (Travis Scott) 1351
52 Got What I Got (Jason Aldean) 1344
53 If the World Was Ending (JP Saxe/Julia Michaels) 1342
54 RITMO (Bad Boys For Life) (The Black Eyed Peas/J Balvin) 1338
55 Heart On Ice (Rod Wave) 1331
56 Popstar (DJ Khaled/Drake) 1288
57 Bad Guy (Billie Eilish) 1273
58 The Woo (Pop Smoke) 1255
59 Sunday Best (Surfaces) 1252
60 Party Girl (Staysolidrocky) 1243
61 One Margarita (Luke Bryan) 1227
62 Hard to Forget (Sam Hunt) 1204
63 Trampoline (SHAED) 1196
64 Die From a Broken Heart (Maddie & Tae) 1194
65 Truth Hurts (Lizzo) 1183
66 Mood Swings (Pop Smoke) 1166
67 The Bigger Picture (Lil Baby) 1147
68 Be Like That (Kane Brown/Swae Lee/Khalid) 1142
69 All I Want for Christmas Is You (Mariah Carey) 1135
70 One of Them Girls (Lee Brice) 1132
71 Godzilla (Eminem/Juice WRLD) 1115
72 Rags 2 Riches (Rod Wave/Atr Son Son) 1107
73 One Man Band (Old Dominion) 1105
74 Wishing Well (Juice WRLD) 1105
75 Emotionally Scarred (Lil Baby) 1094
76 Dior (Pop Smoke) 1077
77 Sum 2 Prove (Lil Baby) 1073
78 Supalonely (BENEE/Gus Dapperton) 1068
79 The Scotts (Travis Scott/Kid Cudi) 1054
80 Stuck With U (Ariana Grande/Justin Bieber) 1029
81 I Hope You're Happy Now (Carly Pearce/Lee Brice) 1027
82 Suicidal (YNW Melly/Juice WRLD) 1015
83 Only Human (Jonas Brothers) 1004
84 Does to Me (Luke Combs/Eric Church) 1002
85 Bandit (Juice WRLD/YoungBoy NeverBrokeAgain) 1000
86 You Should Be Sad (Halsey) 989
87 Hot (Young Thug/Gunna) 977
88 Bluebird (Miranda Lambert) 976
89 Said Sum (Moneybagg Yo) 966
90 Yummy (Justin Bieber) 960
91 Lovin' On You (Luke Combs) 959
92 Panini (Lil Nas X) 943
93 Lemonade (Internet Money/Gunna/Toliver) 940
94 Tap In (Saweetie) 931
95 Walk Em Down (NLE Choppa/Roddy Rich) 922
96 More Than My Hometown (Morgan Wallen) 900
97 Cardigan (Taylor Swift) 897
98 Even Though I'm Leaving (Luke Combs) 884
99 Juicy (Doja Cat/Tyga) 881
100 Slide (H.E.R./YG) 845

---

102 ily (surf mesa/Emilee) 827
104 Bang! (AJR) 808
110 Holy (Justin Bieber/Chance the Rapper) 743
120 Midnight Sky (Miley Cyrus) 709
122 I Should Probably Go to Bed (Dan + Shay) 701
125 One Beer (Hardy/Lauren Alaina/Devin Dawson) 681
126 Kings & Queens (Ava Max) 672
135 7 Summers (Morgan Wallen) 597
136 Greece (DJ Khaled/Drake) 589
138 Some Girls (Jameson Rodgers) 568
139 Franchise (Travis Scott/Young Thug/M.I.A.) 566
145 Happy Anywhere (Blake Shelton/Gwen Stefani) 541
152 What You Know Bout Love (Pop Smoke) 522
154 Pretty Heart (Parker McCollum) 514
156 Heather (Conan Gray) 504
157 Positions (Ariana Grande) 500
161 24 (Money Man/Lil Baby) 492
163 My Ex's Best Friend (Machine Gun Kelly/Blackbear) 486
170 Hawai (Maluma) 439
180 Dreams (Fleetwood Mac) 385
183 Un Dia (One Day) (J Balvin/Dua Lipa/Bad Bunny) 381
187 Wonder (Shawn Mendes) 371
190 Forever After All (Luke Combs) 360
193 Love You Like I Used To (Russell Dickerson) 355
194 You Broke Me First (Tate Mcrae) 352
198 Mr. Right Now (21 Savage/Metro Boomin/Drake) 340
200 Martin & Gina (Polo G) 332

[atg]

So technically dua lipa had a better album era than the weeknd, even though blinding lights was the biggest hit of the year. I would’ve preferred if in your eyes, smile, over now and even heartless and save your tears had a better rollout than just have one hit dominate the entire era. I guess dua did have don’t start now for a while, but break my heart and levitating are still decent sized hits (the latter could become the biggest single in the era who knows). All i’m saying is that Abel deserved to have more than just 2 songs make the year end as this was his year without a doubt

[mikerivera]

Nov 3, 2020 13:31:45 GMT -5 atg said:

So technically dua lipa had a better album era than the weeknd, even though blinding lights was the biggest hit of the year. I would’ve preferred if in your eyes, smile, over now and even heartless and save your tears had a better rollout than just have one hit dominate the entire era. I guess dua did have don’t start now for a while, but break my heart and levitating are still decent sized hits (the latter could become the biggest single in the era who knows). All i’m saying is that Abel deserved to have more than just 2 songs make the year end as this was his year without a doubt

Physical was also a big hit in the green parts of Not America (congrats to everyone who gets that reference). Which, since she’s from the UK, I’m guessing that’s the most important thing to her and her label. Also, Heartless was still a big hit. It debuted at #1 shortly before debuting at #1 became completely meaningless. 

[mikerivera]

Also, once Circles is done charting, I’ll post the real points decade-end list for the 2010s, with every song’s total chart run counted. Eligibility will be based on debuting on a year end list in the 2010s (so Circles would count for the 2010s, not 2020s)

[joshtheking]

Does anyone know of Thriller is expected to re-enter the Hot 100 this year?

[xtynaaguilera99]

Nov 3, 2020 14:57:04 GMT -5 mikerivera said:

Also, once Circles is done charting, I’ll post the real points decade-end list for the 2010s, with every song’s total chart run counted. Eligibility will be based on debuting on a year end list in the 2010s (so Circles would count for the 2010s, not 2020s)

So, I guess Tik Tok and Need You Now won’t be in the list, since they debuted in 2009, right?

[samo🦕]

Nov 3, 2020 16:14:21 GMT -5 xtynaaguilera99 said:

So, I guess Tik Tok and Need You Now won’t be in the list, since they debuted in 2009, right?

Nov 3, 2020 14:57:04 GMT -5 mikerivera said:

based on debuting on a year end list in the 2010s

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Nov 3, 2020 15:01:43 GMT -5 joshtheking said:

Does anyone know of Thriller is expected to re-enter the Hot 100 this year?

It probably won't since it had only two days' worth of tracking this week for streaming and digital song sales.

[mikerivera]

I’m doing the official year ends, not the J-D ones. Specifically because even though TiK ToK and Need You Now came out in 2009, they were definitely more defining hits in 2010.

[xtynaaguilera99]

Nov 3, 2020 16:52:02 GMT -5 mikerivera said:

I’m doing the official year ends, not the J-D ones. Specifically because even though TiK ToK and Need You Now came out in 2009, they were definitely more defining hits in 2010.

Ok, thanks! Sorry for misunderstanding 😂

[M5]

Nov 3, 2020 14:46:44 GMT -5 mikerivera said:

Nov 3, 2020 13:31:45 GMT -5 atg said:

So technically dua lipa had a better album era than the weeknd, even though blinding lights was the biggest hit of the year. I would’ve preferred if in your eyes, smile, over now and even heartless and save your tears had a better rollout than just have one hit dominate the entire era. I guess dua did have don’t start now for a while, but break my heart and levitating are still decent sized hits (the latter could become the biggest single in the era who knows). All i’m saying is that Abel deserved to have more than just 2 songs make the year end as this was his year without a doubt

Physical was also a big hit in the green parts of Not America (congrats to everyone who gets that reference). Which, since she’s from the UK, I’m guessing that’s the most important thing to her and her label. Also, Heartless was still a big hit. It debuted at #1 shortly before debuting at #1 became completely meaningless. 

Heartless didn't debut at number one

[Dadude#0839]

One more week. This is getting intense. Can’t wait to see the official year end

[n13l5]

Two more weeks I thought

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Nov 1, 2020 16:43:48 GMT -5 joshtheking said:

Nov 1, 2020 15:54:30 GMT -5 @delphox said:

This week, Said Sum might rise to the top 20, More Than My Hometown might rise to the top 25, and Lovin' On You might return to the top 40. Assuming all of this is true, I think I have an official projected cutoff for my 2020 year end predictions. Since all 3 are likely to surpass Walk Em Down, that leaves it as the #100 song.

The fact that we're giving Said Sum a year end spot while Cardigan, More Hearts Than Mine, In Your Eyes and Be Kind will all miss...

The real tragedy is that SUGAR didn't become a hit this year. Imagine how much better this chart year would've been if we gave BROCKHAMPTON a Top 40 hit

[mikerivera]

Nov 3, 2020 18:53:57 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Nov 1, 2020 16:43:48 GMT -5 joshtheking said:

The fact that we're giving Said Sum a year end spot while Cardigan, More Hearts Than Mine, In Your Eyes and Be Kind will all miss...

The real tragedy is that SUGAR didn't become a hit this year. Imagine how much better this chart year would've been if we gave BROCKHAMPTON a Top 40 hit

Like 2% better? This year has been a really terrible movie with a really awesome soundtrack

[walt91]

Nov 3, 2020 17:43:48 GMT -5 M5 said:

Nov 3, 2020 14:46:44 GMT -5 mikerivera said:

Physical was also a big hit in the green parts of Not America (congrats to everyone who gets that reference). Which, since she’s from the UK, I’m guessing that’s the most important thing to her and her label. Also, Heartless was still a big hit. It debuted at #1 shortly before debuting at #1 became completely meaningless. 

Heartless didn't debut at number one

this is some mandela effect shit I could've sworn it was a number one debut lmao

[M5]

Oh I remember it got there on the second week lol. I checked to make sure I wasn't going crazy and I was right.

[atg]

Nov 3, 2020 23:53:14 GMT -5 mikerivera said:

Nov 3, 2020 18:53:57 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

The real tragedy is that SUGAR didn't become a hit this year. Imagine how much better this chart year would've been if we gave BROCKHAMPTON a Top 40 hit

Like 2% better? This year has been a really terrible movie with a really awesome soundtrack

Or Sonic 06...

[xtynaaguilera99]

Nov 3, 2020 12:57:34 GMT -5 After Minutes said:

So is Blinding Lights locked to be the YE #1 this year?

Yup.

[lifeofaguardian]

Week 51 - 07/11/2020

Well, we're here, near the end of the year. Either one or two more weeks to go. However, I have good news - one of the predictors in the Talk Of The Charts server has made contact with someone at Billboard to actually ask for the end date...
and they have responded. Right now, they're not sure if they can disclose it yet, but once the decision is finalized, they will contact him again. When they do, if he doesn't decide to post it here himself, I'll relay the message.
For now, though, I will show both possible scenarios.

Current Status (100 biggest songs so far, 173.000 points to be considered locked):

Added this week:
surf mesa ft. Emilee - ily

Drop-Outs this week:
Russ & BIA - BEST ON EARTH

Songs Locked this week:
Rod Wave ft. ATR Son Son - Rags 2 Riches
Kane Brown with Swae Lee & Khalid - Be Like That
Juice WRLD - Wishing Well

Songs Crossing the Cut-off this week:
surf mesa ft. Emilee - ily
Luke Combs - Lovin' On You
Morgan Wallen - More Than My Hometown
Moneybagg Yo - Said Sum

Currently lowest Locked song:
Luke Combs ft. Eric Church - Does To Me

Songs predicted to lock within 5 weeks:
1 week:
surf mesa ft. Emilee - ily
Luke Combs - Lovin' On You
Morgan Wallen - More Than My Hometown
Moneybagg Yo - Said Sum

2 weeks:
Internet Money & Gunna ft. Don Toliver & NAV - Lemonade

Crossing cutoff in 2 weeks:
1 week:
Saweetie - Tap In

2 weeks:
Taylor Swift - cardigan
HARDY ft. Lauren Alaina & Devin Dawson - One Beer
AJR - Bang!

Predicted Positions for Locked Drop-Outs:
See image for all drop-outs
#116: Megan Thee Stallion - Girls In The Hood

Forecast (Songs must have 158.000 points when adding multiple weeks of the points gained last week to their total):

I'm going to be doing something a bit different here. To hopefully avoid overloading the thread with images, I'll spoiler each of my images and explain what they are above.

SPOILER: Click to show

{Scenario #1: Ends on 14/11/2020}

SPOILER: Click to show

{Scenario #2: Ends on 21/11/2020}

SPOILER: Click to show

{Both Scenarios side by side}

[Deleted]

Nov 3, 2020 14:46:44 GMT -5 mikerivera said:

Nov 3, 2020 13:31:45 GMT -5 atg said:

So technically dua lipa had a better album era than the weeknd, even though blinding lights was the biggest hit of the year. I would’ve preferred if in your eyes, smile, over now and even heartless and save your tears had a better rollout than just have one hit dominate the entire era. I guess dua did have don’t start now for a while, but break my heart and levitating are still decent sized hits (the latter could become the biggest single in the era who knows). All i’m saying is that Abel deserved to have more than just 2 songs make the year end as this was his year without a doubt

Physical was also a big hit in the green parts of Not America (congrats to everyone who gets that reference). Which, since she’s from the UK, I’m guessing that’s the most important thing to her and her label. Also, Heartless was still a big hit. It debuted at #1 shortly before debuting at #1 became completely meaningless. 

Crash Course World History?

[Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ]

IDC if it's 52 or 53 weeks, I just want Memories at #11.

[Groovy]

For the supposed streaming queen, positions has not being as well as most people thought, the numbers aren't really good.

[Groovy]

Also, expect WAP to drop out of the top 10 once the streaming falls off. Radio is starting to drop it and the sales have collapsed.

[nathanalbright]

Nov 4, 2020 12:10:09 GMT -5 Groovy said:

Also, expect WAP to drop out of the top 10 once the streaming falls off. Radio is starting to drop it and the sales have collapsed.

Do you think that will endanger its 2021 YE changes, obviously?