2020 Billboard Hot 100 Year-End Predictions (Year 8)

[nathanalbright]

If 11/30/18 is included in 2019 and 11/30/19 is not included in 2019 but 11/23/19 is, then we have at least good reason to think *crosses fingers* that 11/30/19 would count for 2020.

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Here's to hoping Even Though I'm Leaving, Lover and Ballin' don't get caught in between years

and here's to also hoping 'hot girl bummer' gets trapped between years and rots in hell.

[Deleted]

Dec 4, 2019 7:23:06 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Here's to hoping Even Though I'm Leaving, Lover and Ballin' don't get caught in between years

and here's to also hoping 'hot girl bummer' gets trapped between years and rots in hell.

Same here. Also hoping that “Don’t Start Now” gets to make the 2020 Year End (currently a guaranteed top 5 for my personal best list) and that Chris Brown’s “Heat” gets caught between years.

[tuna]

January-April is usually when the top songs of the year come around. Who do you think will dominate the first year of the new decade?

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Dec 4, 2019 12:16:44 GMT -5 tuna said:

January-April is usually when the top songs of the year come around. Who do you think will dominate the first year of the new decade?

Yung Jay West

[whales10268]

Dec 4, 2019 7:23:06 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Here's to hoping Even Though I'm Leaving, Lover and Ballin' don't get caught in between years

and here's to also hoping 'hot girl bummer' gets trapped between years and rots in hell.

What’s wrong with hot girl bummer?

[anman1227]

Nov 29, 2019 16:44:15 GMT -5 weirdo said:

Nov 29, 2019 9:30:28 GMT -5 atg said:

I know its a complete long shot, but let’s just say a song by The Weeknd will be #1 of YE 2020

I think it will be either a new Drake song or Dance Monkeu

My money is on a new Adele song

[Deleted]

Dec 4, 2019 12:16:44 GMT -5 tuna said:

January-April is usually when the top songs of the year come around. Who do you think will dominate the first year of the new decade?

Out of the releases we know so far from well-established artists, I’m betting on upcoming releases from The Weeknd, Selena Gomez (even if “Look At Her Now” flopped, she still has potential to drop another song that clicks with the GP), and maybe Kesha (especially if it’s a more nostalgic song reminiscent of her “Tik Tok” era). “Don’t Start Now” by Dua Lipa has everything to become a top 15 hit in the US, and I hope her upcoming era gets to spawn another hit, since I’m absolutely loving the direction she’s going lately.

As for rumored releases, Adele, Drake, and Rihanna will inevitably have their moment of domination once they release new music. I don’t think the One Direction boys will make much of an impact given their recent underperformance, but we never know. Finally, Taylor Swift might be able to redeem herself chart-wise with a late single release from “Lover”, since the album has plenty of incredible songs just waiting to be promoted like “Cruel Summer”, “The Man”, and “Paper Rings”.

However, much like 2010, 2020 will probably have plenty of new artists trying to set up a new genre or trend. We already witnessed this in 2019 with Lil Nas X, Billie Eilish, and Lizzo, and it’s probably going to be even crazier next year. Expect lots of one hit wonders, especially as Tik Tok memes are in full power.

[narp]

Dec 4, 2019 13:24:55 GMT -5 whales10268 said:

Dec 4, 2019 7:23:06 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Here's to hoping Even Though I'm Leaving, Lover and Ballin' don't get caught in between years

and here's to also hoping 'hot girl bummer' gets trapped between years and rots in hell.

What’s wrong with hot girl bummer?

Yeah wtf

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Dec 4, 2019 13:24:55 GMT -5 whales10268 said:

Dec 4, 2019 7:23:06 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Here's to hoping Even Though I'm Leaving, Lover and Ballin' don't get caught in between years

and here's to also hoping 'hot girl bummer' gets trapped between years and rots in hell.

What’s wrong with hot girl bummer?

There haven't been too many hit songs this year that make me truly angry at their quality and popularity except for this song, Earth, Robbery and Someone You Loved.

[weirdo]

Dec 4, 2019 13:35:37 GMT -5 anman1227 said:

Nov 29, 2019 16:44:15 GMT -5 weirdo said:

I think it will be either a new Drake song or Dance Monkeu

My money is on a new Adele song

I feel like im the only one who doesn't think Adele will release next year. Everyone thought she'd release this year and nothing ever happened

[Lukas]

Dec 4, 2019 21:27:25 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Dec 4, 2019 13:24:55 GMT -5 whales10268 said:

What’s wrong with hot girl bummer?

There haven't been too many hit songs this year that make me truly angry at their quality and popularity except for this song, Earth, Robbery and Someone You Loved.

What a very concrete explanation there!

[HeyHeyHey]

Dec 4, 2019 21:27:25 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Dec 4, 2019 13:24:55 GMT -5 whales10268 said:

What’s wrong with hot girl bummer?

There haven't been too many hit songs this year that make me truly angry at their quality and popularity except for this song, Earth, Robbery and Someone You Loved.

Didn’t Earth kinda bomb after debuting at 17?

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Dec 4, 2019 22:47:00 GMT -5 Lukas said:

Dec 4, 2019 21:27:25 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

There haven't been too many hit songs this year that make me truly angry at their quality and popularity except for this song, Earth, Robbery and Someone You Loved.

What a very concrete explanation there!

Look I'm tired of saying the song misogynist and sexist in other forums so I'll just say it makes me angry and avoid discussion

[Lukas]

Dec 4, 2019 22:53:39 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Dec 4, 2019 22:47:00 GMT -5 Lukas said:

What a very concrete explanation there!

Look I'm tired of saying the song misogynist and sexist in other forums so I'll just say it makes me angry and avoid discussion

I see. But some people here really don't check other forums so....

[sirskimask]

Dec 4, 2019 12:16:44 GMT -5 tuna said:

January-April is usually when the top songs of the year come around. Who do you think will dominate the first year of the new decade?

Drake
The Weeknd
Adele (If she actually releases)
Dua Lipa (Hopefully)
Kendrick
TikTok in general

[m450n]

Dec 4, 2019 12:16:44 GMT -5 tuna said:

January-April is usually when the top songs of the year come around. Who do you think will dominate the first year of the new decade?        

I think Selena's next singles will do well, also Weeknd, Rihanna, Adele, Justin (maybe, his album snippets sound kinda bad)

[whales10268]

Dec 4, 2019 22:53:39 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Dec 4, 2019 22:47:00 GMT -5 Lukas said:

What a very concrete explanation there!

Look I'm tired of saying the song misogynist and sexist in other forums so I'll just say it makes me angry and avoid discussion

It’s not misogynistic or sexist and if you’re offended by song lyrics you must not have many real things to worry about.

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Dec 5, 2019 8:46:15 GMT -5 whales10268 said:

Dec 4, 2019 22:53:39 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Look I'm tired of saying the song misogynist and sexist in other forums so I'll just say it makes me angry and avoid discussion

It’s not misogynistic or sexist and if you’re offended by song lyrics you must not have many real things to worry about.

......see this is why I didn't want to say why I don't like hot girl bummer

[tuna]

Dec 5, 2019 0:27:29 GMT -5 m450n said:

Dec 4, 2019 12:16:44 GMT -5 tuna said:

January-April is usually when the top songs of the year come around. Who do you think will dominate the first year of the new decade?        

I think Selena's next singles will do well, also Weeknd, Rihanna, Adele, Justin (maybe, his album snippets sound kinda bad)

Selena doesn't have #1-of-the-entire-year power. The Weeknd dominating is very possible if pushes Heartless and especially Blinding Lights hard enough

Adele will probably drop next year. I don't know what everyone else is on about

Justin already hit his peak in 2016. I don't think he has enough star power left to make another year-defining hit, even if it's for a worthless shitty year like the last time he was on top.

Rihanna hasn't earned that yearly #1 despite being huge for a decade and a half, so maybe

[nathanalbright]

Has anyone gotten the ytd year end list given that we're about 3 weeks in so far?

[Lukas]

Dec 5, 2019 15:34:07 GMT -5 nathanalbright said:

Has anyone gotten the ytd year end list given that we're about 3 weeks in so far?

I don't have one for 11/23/2019 yet, but I'm planning on posting my two-week year-end prediction for 12/7/2019 soon.

[flextamcsignals]

You guys think Blinding Lights by The Weeknd makes next year’s list? It’s so good and I hope it becomes a hit.

[Lukas]

Sidenote: I am completely aware of the fact that the first week of 2020 might actually be 11/23/2019 instead of 11/30/2019. Somewhere along the line I'll update that if I have time. But for now, I have this:

Year-End Predictions Up to 12/7/2019 (Week 2/52):

Top 10 Points:

Rank	Song	Radio	Sales	Weighted Streams	Total Streams	Radio %	Sales %	Streaming %	Total Points
1	Circles	90,601,000	20,772	20,455,500	24,600,000	43.08	11.52	45.39	30,042
2	Someone You Loved	91,798,000	11,370	17,358,000	22,000,000	49.34	7.13	43.53	26,581
3	Good As Hell	97,398,000	16,806	12,057,000	15,211,000	56.21	11.32	32.47	24,753
4	Memories	70,000,000	16,830	15,571,500	19,410,000	43.13	12.1	44.77	23,186
5	Roxanne	15,197,000	4,740	29,778,000	36,600,000	9.52	3.46	87.02	22,813
6	Lose You To Love Me	62,202,000	15,378	15,477,000	18,600,000	40.82	11.77	47.4	21,767
7	Senorita	61,397,000	9,882	15,331,500	20,600,000	42.5	7.98	49.52	20,639
8	10,000 Hours	66,598,000	10,716	13,707,000	16,900,000	46.55	8.74	44.71	20,438
9	Truth Hurts	66,500,000	10,326	13,218,000	16,871,000	47.42	8.59	43.99	20,033
10	No Guidance	59,500,000	3,000	16,467,000	20,761,000	42.55	2.5	54.95	19,978

Year-End Chart (Top 50):

TW	LW	Song	Points This Week	Total Points
1	1	Circles	30,042	58,300
2	2	Someone You Loved	26,581	53,266
3	3	Good As Hell	24,753	48,256
4	4	Memories	23,186	44,939
5	5	Lose You To Love Me	21,767	42,270
6	12	Roxanne	22,813	41,584
7	6	Senorita	20,639	40,925
8	7	No Guidance	19,978	39,913
9	9	10,000 Hours	20,438	39,850
10	10	Truth Hurts	20,033	39,347
11	11	Panini	18,996	37,868
12	14	Highest in the Room	17,644	35,578
13	13	Trampoline	16,858	35,230
14	18	BOP	19,027	35,149
15	19	Dance Monkey	19,048	35,130
16	17	Bad Guy	18,295	34,482
17	8	Everything I Wanted	14,390	33,951
18	20	Ballin'	17,518	33,540
19	15	Lover	16,078	33,302
20	16	Woah	14,884	31,445
21	21	Hot	15,333	31,314
22	22	One Man Band	15,278	31,239
23	27	Old Town Road	16,057	29,858
24	31	All I Want For Christmas Is You	16,646	29,846
25	24	Only Human	14,660	29,517
26	23	Beautiful People	13,743	29,426
27	26	Ransom	14,547	28,820
28	25	Even Though I'm Leaving	13,637	28,331
29	28	Bandit	13,367	27,121
30	29	On Chill	13,200	26,901
31	30	I Don't Care	12,400	26,087
32	32	Talk	12,200	25,200
33	34	Baby	11,660	24,260
34	39	Graveyard	12,600	24,260
35	33	Goodbyes	11,300	24,100
36	35	How Do You Sleep?	11,480	23,880
37	37	Heat	11,840	23,860
38	36	Playing Games	10,980	23,180
39	42	Don't Start Now	12,020	23,160
40	40	Suge	10,820	22,300
41	41	Hot Girl Bummer	10,660	21,960
42	45	One Thing Right	9,600	20,260
43	43	Time	9,200	20,180
44	50	The Bones	9,400	19,400
45	-	Take What You Want	10,000	18,600
46	47	What If I Never Get Over You	7,825	18,205
47	-	Falling	11,140	16,765
48	44	Jerry Sprunger	5,000	15,820
49	49	Reply	4,700	14,820
50	-	Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree	13,449	13,449

[sirskimask]

Dec 5, 2019 16:21:45 GMT -5 flextamcsignals said:

You guys think Blinding Lights by The Weeknd makes next year’s list? It’s so good and I hope it becomes a hit.

It would have to have an epic collapse in order to not make it and I just can't see that happening with how radio-friendly it is

[tanooki]

Dec. 7, 2019 (Week 3)

1. Circles 872
2. Someone You Loved 818
3. Good As Hell 700
4. Memories 667
5. Lose You to Love Me 630
6. Senorita 627
7. Truth Hurts 596
8. No Guidance 595
9. "10,000 Hours" 592
10. Panini 577
11. Roxanne 546
12. HIGHEST IN THE ROOM 535
13. Trampoline 515
14. bad guy 515
15. Dance Monkey 474
16. Even Though I'm Leaving 454
17. Woah 449
18. Lover 448
19. Hot 441
20. Ballin' 435
21. Beautiful People 430
22. Only Human 419
23. Ran$om 418
24. BOP 413
25. One Man Band 412
26. Old Town Road 404
27. everything I wanted 383
28. Bandit 380
29. All I Want For Christmas Is You 375
30. On Chill 364
31. I Don't Care 362
32. Talk 346
33. Goodbyes 332
34. How Do You Sleep? 328
35. Baby 326
36. Heat 318
37. Playing Games 316
38. Graveyard 310
39. Suge 298
40. Don't Start Now 291
41. hot girl bummer 278
42. One Thing Right 273
43. Time 269
44. Juicy 256
45. The Bones 254
46. 223's 249
47. Take What You Want 249
48. Follow God 245
49. What If I Never Get Over You 243
50. Heart on Ice 239

[flextamcsignals]

Dec 5, 2019 19:57:48 GMT -5 sirskimask said:

Dec 5, 2019 16:21:45 GMT -5 flextamcsignals said:

You guys think Blinding Lights by The Weeknd makes next year’s list? It’s so good and I hope it becomes a hit.

It would have to have an epic collapse in order to not make it and I just can't see that happening with how radio-friendly it is

I’m just worried we’ll have another I Feel It Coming/Party Monster situation where one song’s a big hit and the other isn’t. Although I can see both Heartless and Blinding Lights being big hits in this case.

[Deleted]

I'm going to try and do a full year end prediction this year. Since I'm new to this, it will probably be pretty off but whatever.

[weirdo]

Heres a fun ptediction-style sort of thing. Basically, this is a year end
prediction based off simon's weekly predictions. Im only doing the Top 20 each week. I don't own any of this data and its all from simon falk's predictions on Twitter. This also isnt meant to be accurate and is just for fun


WEEK 1 OF 52 (Nov 23, 2019)
1: Someone You Loved - 280
2: Circles - 279
3: Senorita - 234
4: Truth Hurts - 211
5: Good As **** - 211
6: Lose You To Love Me - 204
7: Memories - 203
8: No Guidance - 199
9: 10,000 Hours - 192
10: Panini - 189
11: Bad Guy - 177
12: HIGHEST IN THE ROOM - 177
13: Hot - 176
14: Beautiful People - 172
15: Trampoline - 169
16: Ransom - 168
17: Even Though Im Leaving - 163
18: Only Human - 161
19: ROXANNE - 160
20: Dance Monkey - 151

I'll do 11/30 soon

[Dadude#0839]

I might try predicting as well, but I don’t guarantee I’ll be doing so for very long.