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Post by felle on Aug 13, 2020 20:21:57 GMT -5
lol cardigan will 100% make the year end Bookmarked. If i recall correctly its getting 15 weeks on this chart year, the SCOTTS locked after 12 weeks i think, it just has to beat the SCOTTS and with radio that shouldn't be a problem
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rochdief
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Post by rochdief on Aug 14, 2020 0:11:48 GMT -5
This is a good year for country, there are a lot a songs. I think is its best year since 2013
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joshtheking
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Post by joshtheking on Aug 14, 2020 4:33:59 GMT -5
This is a good year for country, there are a lot a songs. I think is its best year since 2013 Definitely a good year for female country as well. The Bones, I Hope, Bluebird, I Hope You're Happy Now, Die From A Broken Heart, More Hearts Than Mine & One Night Standards if it becomes a hit.
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lights
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Post by lights on Aug 14, 2020 6:30:42 GMT -5
If i recall correctly its getting 15 weeks on this chart year, the SCOTTS locked after 12 weeks i think, it just has to beat the SCOTTS and with radio that shouldn't be a problem Just one slight problem here, which is the enormous assumption that you've made. It's falling far harder on streaming than THE SCOTTS did.
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Post by felle on Aug 14, 2020 7:30:28 GMT -5
If i recall correctly its getting 15 weeks on this chart year, the SCOTTS locked after 12 weeks i think, it just has to beat the SCOTTS and with radio that shouldn't be a problem Just one slight problem here, which is the enormous assumption that you've made. It's falling far harder on streaming than THE SCOTTS did. that's true but it still has a lot more radio than the SCOTTS had and its not doing bad on streaming, especially spotify. I think you're underestimating the power of radio
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Aug 14, 2020 7:49:41 GMT -5
Is WAP gonna last more than week at 1? I don’t know how it’s doing on radio or streaming but the sales have been pretty consistent all week.
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lights
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Post by lights on Aug 14, 2020 9:29:06 GMT -5
Just one slight problem here, which is the enormous assumption that you've made. It's falling far harder on streaming than THE SCOTTS did. that's true but it still has a lot more radio than the SCOTTS had and its not doing bad on streaming, especially spotify. I think you're underestimating the power of radio Radio gains are already slowing right down. There's no reason to expect a great or even good radio run.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 14, 2020 9:50:16 GMT -5
Is it too early to say that My Future will probably miss the 2020 year end list? It's losing streams faster than Cardigan and it's not doing that well on radio either. I can see this dropping to the middle of the charts, only lasting 20 weeks due to slow radio gains, and getting caught between years.
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spoons
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Post by spoons on Aug 14, 2020 11:31:31 GMT -5
Super Early Prediction for the 2020 YE Top 25: 1. Blinding Lights (1) 2. The Box (1) 3. Circles (1) 4. Don't Start Now (2) 5. Rockstar (1) 6. Say So (1) 7. Life Is Good (2) 8. Savage (1) 9. Adore You (6) 10. Memories (2) 11. Intentions (5) 12. Someone You Loved (1) 13. Dance Monkey (4) 14. Roses (4) 15. Watermelon Sugar (1) 16. The Bones (12) 17. Whats Poppin (2) 18. Roxanne (4) 19. Before You Go (11^) 20. Everything I Wanted (8) 21. I Hope (15^) 22. 10,000 Hours (4) 23. Blueberry Faygo (8) 24. Hot Girl Bummer (11) 25. Falling (17) I might be the only person in the world whos praying for Toosie Slide to sneak in the top 25! What are its chances?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 14, 2020 13:07:02 GMT -5
How high do you think WAP could get on the Year-End list in 13-15 weeks?
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joshtheking
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Post by joshtheking on Aug 14, 2020 13:09:10 GMT -5
How high do you think WAP could get on the Year-End list in 13-15 weeks? My completely random guess is #60.
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joshtheking
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Post by joshtheking on Aug 14, 2020 13:10:16 GMT -5
Is it too early to say that My Future will probably miss the 2020 year end list? It's losing streams faster than Cardigan and it's not doing that well on radio either. I can see this dropping to the middle of the charts, only lasting 20 weeks due to slow radio gains, and getting caught between years. Sadly I don't see it making the year end list. I think it will last a while in the top 50 but get caught between years just like Lover did.
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joshtheking
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Post by joshtheking on Aug 14, 2020 13:13:31 GMT -5
So it looks like we're gonna have Wet Ass Pussy and Pussy Fairy on the 2020 year end list.
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n13l5
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Post by n13l5 on Aug 14, 2020 13:29:02 GMT -5
WAP hasnt even charted yet, why already predicting it to end on the YE list? It could flop after the first two weeks
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 14, 2020 13:32:34 GMT -5
WAP hasnt even charted yet, why already predicting it to end on the YE list? It could flop after the first two weeks It will already have at least half the points (probably even more) it needs to make the 2020 year end list after its first two weeks of charting.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 14, 2020 13:40:46 GMT -5
Super Early Prediction for the 2020 YE Top 25: I might be the only person in the world whos praying for Toosie Slide to sneak in the top 25! What are its chances? Pretty low if you ask me. It drops out in 3 weeks and will probably just pass 400,000 points. I have it at #22 currently but there are definitely more than 3 songs that can pass it by the end of the year. I'd say it will finish at around #30.
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joshtheking
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Post by joshtheking on Aug 14, 2020 14:00:17 GMT -5
Is Die From A Broken Heart gonna make year end? I assume once it hits #1 on country radio it'll go into freefall like Bluebird & More Hearts Than Mine did
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Post by After Minutes on Aug 14, 2020 14:23:20 GMT -5
Is WAP gonna last more than week at 1? I don’t know how it’s doing on radio or streaming but the sales have been pretty consistent all week. It's hard to tell since Drake just dropped and that might sneak ahead of it this week, and then in two weeks it might have already decreased enough to the point that Rockstar or Watermelon Sugar will rise back up to the top, but yeah, I hope so, because it will be another new rap #1 and the more of those the better
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inverse
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Post by inverse on Aug 14, 2020 15:25:25 GMT -5
How high do you think WAP could get on the Year-End list in 13-15 weeks? My completely random guess is #60. my random guess is 27
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 14, 2020 15:44:18 GMT -5
Is Die From A Broken Heart gonna make year end? I assume once it hits #1 on country radio it'll go into freefall like Bluebird & More Hearts Than Mine did I have it ending around Even Though I'm Leaving assuming a freefall from radio after #1. That should be enough to make the 2020 year end list.
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Post by waluigionascooter on Aug 14, 2020 19:10:29 GMT -5
How high do you think WAP could get on the Year-End list in 13-15 weeks? If any song has a chance of getting to #1 and staying for more than 1 week, its WAP
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GPMB
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Post by GPMB on Aug 15, 2020 0:34:03 GMT -5
can i just say how wild it is that the chart year is basically almost over and the top 3 race is still going on in a way that it hasn't in years?
like around halfway through last chart year, we all knew that the top 3 would be #1 - OTR, #2 - Sunflower, and #3 - Without Me, but in regards to 2020 it's now August and it's still unclear what the order of the top 3 will be
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Aug 15, 2020 9:06:45 GMT -5
What are the odds that 7 Summers makes the year-end? The song is killing it on sales and actually has good streaming for a country song and it’s on pace to debut in the top 5.
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Dadude#0839
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Post by Dadude#0839 on Aug 15, 2020 11:33:46 GMT -5
is be kind's chances of making the year end pretty nonexistent now? like i know it advanced this week because of taylor's songs dropping but it looks like it'll drop off within this month. also is a "robbery" (#100 last year) situation even possible for this song? i mean their chart runs look fairly similar (for me) except robbery peaked higher and sticked around longer and be kind spent more time in the top 50 for comparison here are their chart runs: be kind 29-33-43-39-36-33-40-41-39-50-62-61-96-88 [14 weeks] robbery 27-28-34-27-35-37-48-59-61-66-68-74-75-84-87-87-96-98 [18 weeks] personally, i don't (radio dropped it waaaay hard) but would like to hear your thoughts! I hope it can rebound but no i think it’ll miss
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joshtheking
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Post by joshtheking on Aug 15, 2020 14:42:08 GMT -5
I still have a feeling that The Box will be #1 on year end, even though it is really close. I hope Blinding Lights can pull through
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thyler
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Post by thyler on Aug 15, 2020 14:55:02 GMT -5
What are the odds that 7 Summers makes the year-end? The song is killing it on sales and actually has good streaming for a country song and it’s on pace to debut in the top 5. i think if it mirrors a 10,000 hours run where it falls below the top 10 in its second week then hover around 9-14, it could make it. otherwise, it's still too early to tell.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 15, 2020 17:51:30 GMT -5
I still have a feeling that The Box will be #1 on year end, even though it is really close. I hope Blinding Lights can pull through The only way for The Box to be #1 on the 2020 year end list is if it lasts until the end of the year (even then Blinding Lights can still beat it).
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joshtheking
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Post by joshtheking on Aug 15, 2020 18:39:09 GMT -5
I still have a feeling that The Box will be #1 on year end, even though it is really close. I hope Blinding Lights can pull through The only way for The Box to be #1 on the 2020 year end list is if it lasts until the end of the year (even then Blinding Lights can still beat it). Oh okay definitely not then lol. I see it making to 38 weeks at the most.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 15, 2020 19:52:19 GMT -5
Is it a possibility that Circles ends up the Year-End #1, thus becoming the first repeat to ever do so?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 15, 2020 20:00:10 GMT -5
Is it a possibility that Circles ends up the Year-End #1, thus becoming the first repeat to ever do so? It essentially would have to stay above #25 for the rest of the year to avoid super reccurency, rely on The Box to drop out as soon as possible, and have Blinding Lights start losing massive amounts of points. Sure it is possible, but I think it is highly unlikely. I think it will probably end up at #3, behind Blinding Lights and The Box.
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