GPMB
Gold Member
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Posts: 618
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Post by GPMB on May 16, 2020 2:10:57 GMT -5
52 Karol G ft. Nicki Minaj - Tusa 174,612 53 Sam Hunt - Kinfolks 173,710 YIKES
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dremolus - solarpunk
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Best In This Chaotic Hell with the best taste
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on May 16, 2020 2:19:24 GMT -5
Hoping the cutoff drops below 170,000 so More Hearts than Mine has at least a chance to make the year-end.
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GPMB
Gold Member
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Posts: 618
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Post by GPMB on May 16, 2020 2:48:38 GMT -5
Hoping the cutoff drops below 170,000 so More Hearts than Mine has at least a chance to make the year-end. yeah but who needs Kinfolks, I Don’t Care, and Best on Earth
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dremolus - solarpunk
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Best In This Chaotic Hell with the best taste
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on May 16, 2020 3:52:48 GMT -5
With the new formula, how many points did The Box have in it's strongest week?
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tanooki
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Post by tanooki on May 16, 2020 4:45:28 GMT -5
With the new formula, how many points did The Box have in it's strongest week? 62,700 points (2nd week at #1)
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GP
4x Platinum Member
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Post by GP on May 16, 2020 9:01:34 GMT -5
With the new formula, how many points did The Box have in it's strongest week? 62,700 points (2nd week at #1) DAMN
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Post by waluigionascooter on May 16, 2020 10:51:09 GMT -5
Hoping the cutoff drops below 170,000 so More Hearts than Mine has at least a chance to make the year-end. yeah but who needs Kinfolks, I Don’t Care, and Best on Earth Yikes I forgot I Don't Care was that high
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atg
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Post by atg on May 16, 2020 14:06:18 GMT -5
Imagine Gooba manages to stick around, possibly be a top 5 song of the summer, and end up in the top 10 of the year end
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lazer
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Post by lazer on May 16, 2020 14:41:08 GMT -5
Imagine Gooba manages to stick around, possibly be a top 5 song of the summer, and end up in the top 10 of the year end Not really, it's slowing down on Spotify/Apple and has no radio at all.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 16, 2020 16:59:41 GMT -5
Imagine Gooba manages to stick around, possibly be a top 5 song of the summer, and end up in the top 10 of the year end Not really, it's slowing down on Spotify/Apple and has no radio at all. How's the YouTube doing?
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lazer
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Post by lazer on May 16, 2020 17:12:07 GMT -5
Not really, it's slowing down on Spotify/Apple and has no radio at all. How's the YouTube doing? Still doing 10m daily views but that's not enough for longevity.
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
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Post by Deleted on May 16, 2020 18:00:32 GMT -5
Still doing 10m daily views but that's not enough for longevity. I know I've asked this before, but do you think that Gooba could pull a Fantasia, debuting at #1 but falling so fast that it misses the Year-End list?
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on May 16, 2020 20:20:06 GMT -5
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 16, 2020 23:09:25 GMT -5
okay... one more update. huge thanks to fhas, smash, and lukas for their calculations which helped me re-do the points. New formula: Paid/1250 + Free/1875 + Programmed/2500 + Radio/6000 + Sales/5 New cutoff: 180,000 points (margin of error +/- 7.5%.. 193.5k - 166.5k) Points are about 5-6% more than the old formula... its more accurate too 48 Luke Combs - Even Though I'm Leaving 190,503 55 Ed Sheeran ft. Justin Bieber - I Don't Care 169,521 57 Russ ft. BIA - BEST ON EARTH 168,148 58 Ingrid Andress - More Hearts than Mine 162,613 I Don't Care might end up making the 2020 year end list over More Hearts Than Mine. I don't know how to feel about that assuming this is true.
Well at least Even Though I'm Leaving's chances at making the list proper goes way up while BEST ON EARTH's chances goes somewhat down.
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atg
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Post by atg on May 16, 2020 23:52:14 GMT -5
I don’t even know what to think. I kinda wanna root for Post to get the #1 spot because he’ll actually not be stuck at #2, but i also want Roddy and The Weeknd to get their first #1s as well. If circles, the box and blinding lights becomes the top 3 (in no order), I’ll call 2020 the best chart year ever
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𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿
Diamond Member
Unsteady Weirdo
𝓪 𝓽𝓸𝓻𝓽𝓾𝓻𝓮𝓭 𝓹𝓸𝓮𝓽
Joined: December 2016
Posts: 10,787
My Charts
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Post by 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 on May 17, 2020 5:44:40 GMT -5
I don’t even know what to think. I kinda wanna root for Post to get the #1 spot because he’ll actually not be stuck at #2, but i also want Roddy and The Weeknd to get their first #1s as well. If circles, the box and blinding lights becomes the top 3 (in no order), I’ll call 2020 the best chart year ever Add "Don't Start Now" and "Say So" to round off the YE Top 5 although I think the YE Top 3 would be The Box at #1, Blinding Lights at #2, then Circles at #3.
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spoons
Charting
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Post by spoons on May 17, 2020 8:53:50 GMT -5
I don’t even know what to think. I kinda wanna root for Post to get the #1 spot because he’ll actually not be stuck at #2, but i also want Roddy and The Weeknd to get their first #1s as well. If circles, the box and blinding lights becomes the top 3 (in no order), I’ll call 2020 the best chart year ever Circles already peaked by the time 2020 rolled around . If it ends up #1 Billboard has no credibility. Circles should've just been higher on the 2019 list.
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GPMB
Gold Member
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Posts: 618
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Post by GPMB on May 17, 2020 13:51:17 GMT -5
not like there's any way to measure it but who between tanooki (with her updated formula) and lights are we betting has more accurate predictions as of rn
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Post by nathanalbright on May 17, 2020 14:45:17 GMT -5
52 Karol G ft. Nicki Minaj - Tusa 174,612 53 Sam Hunt - Kinfolks 173,710 YIKES Yup.
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GPMB
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Post by GPMB on May 17, 2020 14:51:44 GMT -5
in Tanooki's old predictions as well as Lights's current ones, Tusa is demonstrably ahead of Kinfolks with Tusa being close to confirmed and Kinfolks being a tossup! this is very bad news for people who want Kinfolks to miss a.k.a. everyone
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 17, 2020 15:57:17 GMT -5
Being a minority when it comes to the opinion of liking Kinfolks, I can gladly say that we can at least agree on BEST ON EARTH being trash.
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lights
Charting
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Post by lights on May 17, 2020 18:21:39 GMT -5
not like there's any way to measure it but who between tanooki (with her updated formula) and lights are we betting has more accurate predictions as of rn What would this bet even be based on lol. I think it's fair to say Tanooki has done/is doing a lot more actual calculations than me, but my system of approximations went well enough last year. Our predictions are pretty similar tbf.
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sirskimask
Platinum Member
LLJW 999
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Post by sirskimask on May 18, 2020 0:33:21 GMT -5
Sorry for the delay, been a busy week Repeats from the 2019 Year-End List - Week 26 (May 17, 2020)
CURRENTLY CHARTING: Post Malone - Circles (current: 8 [=], peak: 1, weeks charting: 36) Weeks in top 10: 36 **NEW RECORD**
Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved (current: 18 [-1], peak: 1, weeks charting: 52) Weeks in top 10: 27
OUT THIS WEEK: None
ALL REPEATS: Post Malone - Circles Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved Chris Brown & Drake - No Guidance Shawn Mendes & Camilla Cabello - Senorita Billie Eilish - bad guy Shaed - Trampoline Lizzo - Truth Hurts Jonas Brothers - Only Human Lil Nas X - Panini
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inverse
2x Platinum Member
Your mind is in disturbia...
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Post by inverse on May 18, 2020 0:40:45 GMT -5
CURRENTLY CHARTING:Post Malone - Circles (current: 8 [=], peak: 1, weeks charting: 36) Weeks in top 10: 36 **NEW RECORD**
Breaking the previous record set by Circles by Post Malone! This record seems unstable however, Circles by Post Malone is coming up fast and could surpass it as soon as next week.
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inverse
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Your mind is in disturbia...
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Post by inverse on May 18, 2020 0:54:41 GMT -5
okay... one more update. huge thanks to fhas, smash, and lukas for their calculations which helped me re-do the points. New formula: Paid/1250 + Free/1875 + Programmed/2500 + Radio/6000 + Sales/5 New cutoff: 180,000 points (margin of error +/- 7.5%.. 193.5k - 166.5k) Points are about 5-6% more than the old formula... its more accurate too 40 Mariah Carey - All I Want For Christmas Is You 215,136 41 Lil Nas X - Panini 213,292 42 Jonas Brothers - Only Human 211,437 43 Young Thug ft. Gunna - Hot 210,716 44 Halsey - You should be sad 202,968 45 Kane Brown - Homesick 198,416 Also how did Mariah go up by like 5 spots that puts it indisputably on the year end list
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tanooki
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Post by tanooki on May 18, 2020 1:52:32 GMT -5
okay... one more update. huge thanks to fhas, smash, and lukas for their calculations which helped me re-do the points. New formula: Paid/1250 + Free/1875 + Programmed/2500 + Radio/6000 + Sales/5 New cutoff: 180,000 points (margin of error +/- 7.5%.. 193.5k - 166.5k) Points are about 5-6% more than the old formula... its more accurate too 40 Mariah Carey - All I Want For Christmas Is You 215,136 41 Lil Nas X - Panini 213,292 42 Jonas Brothers - Only Human 211,437 43 Young Thug ft. Gunna - Hot 210,716 44 Halsey - You should be sad 202,968 45 Kane Brown - Homesick 198,416 Also how did Mariah go up by like 5 spots that puts it indisputably on the year end list i didn't ratio her streaming the first time, also I was heavily underestimating christmas season
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GP
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Post by GP on May 18, 2020 2:47:28 GMT -5
Does the change in the formula go in favour of some songs?
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Post by nathanalbright on May 18, 2020 15:21:02 GMT -5
Does the change in the formula go in favour of some songs? It does increase the points that come from both streaming and radio, but not sales.
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GPMB
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Posts: 618
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Post by GPMB on May 18, 2020 15:43:12 GMT -5
not like there's any way to measure it but who between tanooki (with her updated formula) and lights are we betting has more accurate predictions as of rn What would this bet even be based on lol. I think it's fair to say Tanooki has done/is doing a lot more actual calculations than me, but my system of approximations went well enough last year. Our predictions are pretty similar tbf. honestly i feel like if the outcome of this year's YE is anything like that of last year's, your predictions will be more accurate for songs with a lower peak / that are lower on the list but for the higher ones Tanooki probably has the advantage
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sirskimask
Platinum Member
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Post by sirskimask on May 18, 2020 16:21:40 GMT -5
CURRENTLY CHARTING:Post Malone - Circles (current: 8 [=], peak: 1, weeks charting: 36) Weeks in top 10: 36 **NEW RECORD**
Breaking the previous record set by Circles by Post Malone! This record seems unstable however, Circles by Post Malone is coming up fast and could surpass it as soon as next week. Looks like the record could keep being broken for another 4 weeks!
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